Probability Abstracts 103

This document contains abstracts 6753-6993 from March-1-2008 to April-30-2008.
They have been mailed on May 4th, 2008.

6753. The conditioned reconstructed process

Author(s): Tanja Gernhard

Abstract: We investigate a neutral model for speciation and extinction, the constant rate birth-death process. The process is conditioned to have $n$ extant species today, we look at the tree distribution of the reconstructed trees-- i.e. the trees without the extinct species. Whereas the tree shape distribution is well-known and actually the same as under the pure birth process, no analytic results for the speciation times were known. We provide the distribution for the speciation times and calculate the expectations analytically. This characterizes the reconstructed trees completely. We will show how the results can be used to date phylogenies.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0153

6754. The square negative correlation property for generalized Orlicz balls

Author(s): Jakub Onufry Wojtaszczyk

Abstract: Antilla, Ball and Perissinaki proved that the squares of coordinate functions in $\ell_p^n$ are negatively correlated. This paper extends their results to balls in generalized Orlicz norms on R^n. From this, the concentration of the Euclidean norm and a form of the Central Limit Theorem for the generalized Orlicz balls is deduced. Also, a counterexample for the square negative correlation hypothesis for 1-symmetric bodies is given. Currently the CLT is known in full generality for convex bodies (see the paper "Power-law estimates for the central limit theorem for convex sets" by B. Klartag), while for generalized Orlicz balls a much more general result is true (see "The negative association property for the absolute values of random variables equidistributed on a generalized Orlicz ball" by M. Pilipczuk and J. O. Wojtaszczyk). While, however, both aforementioned papers are rather long, complicated and technical, this paper gives a simple and elementary proof of, eg., the Euclidean concentration for generalized Orlicz balls.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0433

6755. The negative association property for the absolute values of random variables equidistributed on a generalized Orlicz ball

Author(s): Marcin Pilipczuk and Jakub Onufry Wojtaszczyk

Abstract: Random variables equidistributed on convex bodies have received quite a lot of attention in the last few years. In this paper we prove the negative association property (which generalizes the subindependence of coordinate slabs) for generalized Orlicz balls. This allows us to give a strong concentration property, along with a few moment comparison inequalities. Also, the theory of negatively associated variables is being developed in its own right, which allows us to hope more results will be available. Moreover, a simpler proof of a more general result for $\ell_p^n$ balls is given.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0434

6756. Individual Risk and Lebesgue Extension without Aggregate Uncertainty

Author(s): Yeneng Sun and Yongchao Zhang

Abstract: Many economic models include random shocks imposed on a large number (continuum) of economic agents with individual risk. In this context, an exact law of large numbers and its converse is presented in Sun [Journal of Economic Theory 126(2006), 31-69] to characterize the cancelation of individual risk via aggregation. However, it is well known that the Lebesgue unit interval is not suitable for modeling a continuum of agents in the particular setting. The purpose of this paper is to show that an extension of the Lebesgue unit interval does work well as an agent space with various desirable properties associated with individual risk.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0442

6757. Stein's method and exact Berry-Ess\'een asymptotics for functionals of Gaussian fields

Author(s): Ivan Nourdin (PMA) and Giovanni Peccati (LSTA)

Abstract: We show how to detect optimal Berry-Ess\'een bounds in the normal approximation of functionals of Gaussian fields. Our techniques are based on a combination of Malliavin calculus, Stein's method and the method of moments and cumulants, and provide de facto local (one term) Edgeworth expansions. The findings of the present paper represent a further refinement of the main results proved in Nourdin and Peccati (2007b). Among several examples, we discuss three crucial applications: (i) to Toeplitz quadratic functionals of continuous-time stationary processes (extending results by Ginovyan (1994) and Ginovyan and Sahakyan (2007)), (ii) to ``exploding'' quadratic functionals of a Brownian sheet, and (iii) to a continuous-time version of the Breuer-Major CLT for functionals of a fractional Brownian motion.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0458

6758. Rough evolution equations

Author(s): Massimiliano Gubinelli and Samy Tindel

Abstract: We show how to generalize Lyons' rough paths theory in order to give a pathwise meaning to some nonlinear infinite-dimensional evolution equations associated to an analytic semigroup and driven by an irregular noise. As an illustration, we apply the theory to a class of 1d SPDEs driven by a space-time fractional Brownian motion.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0552

6759. Superposition rules and stochastic Lie-Scheffers systems

Author(s): Joan-Andreu L\'azaro-Cam\'i and Juan-Pablo Ortega

Abstract: This paper proves a version for stochastic differential equations of the Lie-Scheffers Theorem. This result characterizes the existence of nonlinear superposition rules for the general solution of those equations in terms of the involution properties of the distribution generated by the vector fields that define it. When stated in the particular case of standard deterministic systems, our main theorem improves various aspects of the classical Lie-Scheffers result. We show that the stochastic analog of the classical Lie-Scheffers systems can be reduced to the study of Lie group valued stochastic Lie-Scheffers systems; those systems, as well as those taking values in homogeneous spaces are studied in detail. The developments of the paper are illustrated with several examples.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0600

6760. Polling systems with parameter regeneration, the general case

Author(s): Iain MacPhee and Mikhail Menshikov and Dimitri Petritis and Serguei Popov

Abstract: We consider a polling model with multiple stations, each with Poisson arrivals and a queue of infinite capacity. The service regime is exhaustive and there is Jacksonian feedback of served customers. What is new here is that when the server comes to a station it chooses the service rate and the feedback parameters at random; these remain valid during the whole stay of the server at that station. We give criteria for recurrence, transience, and existence of the $s$th moment of the return time to the empty state for this model. This paper generalizes the model when only two stations accept arriving jobs which was considered in \cite{MMPP}. Our results are stated in terms of Lyapunov exponents for random matrices. From the recurrence criteria it can be seen that the polling model with parameter regeneration can exhibit the unusual phenomenon of null recurrence over a thick region of parameter space.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0625

6761. The Theory of Fallible Probability and The Dynamics of Degrees of Belief

Author(s): Amos Nathan

Abstract: This monograph is an account of the theory of fallible probability and of the dynamics of degrees of belief. It discusses the first order subjective theory in which first order degrees of belief are expressed by subjective probabilities and are updated by conditionalization (Bayes, 1764; Ramsey, 1926), gives an improved exposition of the greater part of the author's theory of Probability Dynamics (Nathan, 2006) which should replace the so-called Probability Kinematics (Jeffrey, 1965), resolves the problem of New Explanation of Old Evidence (Jeffrey, 1995), provides a Theory of Confirmation, and refutes the Principle of Reflection (Van Fraassen, 1984).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0630

6762. A note on optimal probability lower bounds for centered random variables

Author(s): Mark Veraar

Abstract: In this note we obtain lower bounds for $\P(\xi\geq 0)$ and $\P(\xi>0)$ under assumptions on the moments of a centered random variable $\xi$. The obtained estimates are shown to be optimal and improve results from the literature. The results are applied to obtain probability lower bounds for second order Rademacher chaos.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0727

6763. Recurrence of the twisted planar random walk

Author(s): U. Haboeck

Abstract: We show that the "twisted" planar random walk - which results by summing up stationary increments rotated by multiples of a fixed angle - is recurrent under diverse assumptions on the increment process. For example, if the increment process is alpha-mixing and of finite second moment, then the twisted random walk is recurrent for every angle fixed choice of the angle out of a set of full Lebesgue measure, no matter how slow the mixing coefficients decay.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0724

6764. Time--space harmonic polynomials relative to a L\'{e}vy process

Author(s): Josep Llu\'is Sol\'e and Frederic Utzet

Abstract: In this work, we give a closed form and a recurrence relation for a family of time--space harmonic polynomials relative to a L\'{e}vy process. We also state the relationship with the Kailath--Segall (orthogonal) polynomials associated to the process.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0829

6765. On the ruin problem in the renewal risk processes perturbed by diffusion

Author(s): Min Song

Abstract: In this paper, we consider the perturbed renewal risk process. Systems of integro-differential equations for the Gerber-Shiu functions at ruin caused by a claim and oscillation are established, respectively. The explicit Laplase transforms of Gerber-Shiu functions are obtained, while the closed form expressions for the Gerber-Shiu functions are derived when the claim amount distribution is from the rational family. Finally, we present numerical examples intended to illustrate the main results.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0906

6766. On the Second-Order Correlation Function of the Characteristic Polynomial of a Hermitian Wigner Matrix

Author(s): F. G\"otze and H. K\"osters

Abstract: We consider the asymptotics of the second-order correlation function of the characteristic polynomial of a random matrix. We show that the known result for a random matrix from the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble essentially continues to hold for a general Hermitian Wigner matrix. Our proofs rely on an explicit formula for the exponential generating function of the second-order correlation function of the characteristic polynomial.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0926

6767. On the Second-Order Correlation Function of the Characteristic Polynomial of a Real Symmetric Wigner Matrix

Author(s): H. K\"osters

Abstract: We consider the asymptotic behaviour of the second-order correlation function of the characteristic polynomial of a real symmetric random matrix. Our main result is that the existing result for a random matrix from the Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble essentially continues to hold for a general real symmetric Wigner matrix.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0932

6768. Statistical analysis of self-similar conservative fragmentation chains

Author(s): Marc Hoffmann (LAMA) and Nathalie Krell (PMA)

Abstract: We explore statistical inference in self-similar conservative fragmentation chains, when only (approximate) observations of the size of the fragments below a given threshold are available. This framework, introduced by Bertoin and Martinez, is motivated by mineral crushing in mining industry. The underlying estimated object is the step distribution of the random walk associated to a randomly tagged fragment that evolves along the genealogical tree representation of the fragmentation process. We compute upper and lower rates of estimation in a parametric framework, and show that in the non-parametric case, the difficulty of the estimation is comparable to ill-posed linear inverse problems of order 1 in signal denoising.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0879

6769. Toeplitz Block Matrices in Compressed Sensing

Author(s): Florian Sebert and Leslie Ying and and Yi Ming Zou

Abstract: Recent work in compressed sensing theory shows that $n\times N$ independent and identically distributed (IID) sensing matrices whose entries are drawn independently from certain probability distributions guarantee exact recovery of a sparse signal with high probability even if $n\ll N$. Motivated by signal processing applications, random filtering with Toeplitz sensing matrices whose elements are drawn from the same distributions were considered and shown to also be sufficient to recover a sparse signal from reduced samples exactly with high probability. This paper considers Toeplitz block matrices as sensing matrices. They naturally arise in multichannel and multidimensional filtering applications and include Toeplitz matrices as special cases. It is shown that the probability of exact reconstruction is also high. Their performance is validated using simulations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0755

6770. Random motion with gamma-distributed alternating velocities in biological modeling

Author(s): Antonio Di Crescenzo and Barbara Martinucci

Abstract: Motivated by applications in mathematical biology concerning randomly alternating motion of micro-organisms, we analyze a generalized integrated telegraph process. The random times between consecutive velocity reversals are gamma-distributed, and perform an alternating renewal process. We obtain the probability law and the mean of the process.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1067

6771. Plane recursive trees, Stirling permutations and an urn model

Author(s): Svante Janson

Abstract: We exploit a bijection between plane recursive trees and Stirling permutations; this yields the equivalence of some results previously proven separately by different methods for the two types of objects as well as some new results. We also prove results on the joint distribution of the numbers of ascents, descents and plateaux in a random Stirling permutation. The proof uses an interesting generalized Polya urn

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1129

6772. Long time behaviour of a stochastic-Lagrangian particle system for the Navier-Stokes equations

Author(s): Gautam Iyer and Jonathan Mattingly

Abstract: This paper is based on a formulation of the Navier-Stokes equations developed in \texttt{arxiv:math.PR/0511067} (to appear in Commun. Pure Appl. Math), where the velocity field of a viscous incompressible fluid is written as the expected value of a stochastic process. In this paper, we take $N$ copies of the above process (each based on independent Wiener processes), and replace the expected value with $\frac{1}{N}$ times the sum over these $N$ copies. We prove that in two dimensions, this system has (time) global solutions with $\holderspace{1}{\alpha}$ initial data. Further, we show that as $N \to \infty$ the system converges to the solution of Navier-Stokes equations on any finite interval $[0,T]$. However for fixed $N$, we prove that this system retains roughly $O(\frac{1}{N})$ times it's original energy $t \to \infty$. For general flows, we only provide a lower bound to this effect. In the special case of shear flows, we compute the behaviour as $t \to \infty$ explicitly.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1222

6773. Parameter Collapse due to the Zeros in the Inverse Condition

Author(s): R. Spjut

Abstract: Helton, Lasserre, and Putinar (2008, Ann. Probability; arXiv:math/0702314) expose the relationship between three properties of a measure: the conditional triangularity property of the associated orthogonal polynomials, the zeros in the inverse condition of the truncated moment matrix, and conditional independence. The purpose of this article is to provide examples of parameter collapse to product structure given that the zeros in the inverse condition holds up to some degree d. Specifically, start with a parameterized family of probability density functions; require that the zeros in the inverse condition up to degree d holds; and validate that imposing this restriction on the parameterized family results in a measure with product structure, or at least that conditional independence holds. Algorithms related to parameter collapse are supplied, including the computation of the zeros in the inverse condition up to degree d.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1225

6774. On some transformations of bilateral birth-and-death processes with applications

Author(s): Antonio Di Crescenzo

Abstract: A method yielding simple relationships among bilateral birth-and-death processes is outlined. This allows one to relate birth and death rates of two processes in such a way that their transition probabilities, first-passage-time densities and ultimate crossing probabilities are mutually related by some product-form expressions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1413

6775. Estimation of Wiener--Ito integrals and polynomials of independent Gaussian random variables

Author(s): Peter Major

Abstract: In this paper I prove good estimates on the moments and tail distribution of $k$-fold Wiener--It\^o integrals and also present their natural counterpart for polynomials of independent Gaussian random variables. The proof is based on the so-called diagram formula for Wiener--It\^o integrals which yields a good representation for their products as a sum of such integrals. I intend to show in a subsequent paper that this method also yields good estimates for degenerate $U$-statistics. The main result of this paper is a generalization of the estimates of Hanson and Wright about bilinear forms of independent standard normal random variables. On the other hand, it is a weaker estimate than the main result of a paper of Lata{\l}a [6]. But that paper contains an error, and it is not clear whether its result is true. This question is also discussed here.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1453

6776. Lyapunov exponents for the one-dimensional parabolic Anderson model with drift

Author(s): Alexander Drewitz

Abstract: We consider the solution $u$ to the one-dimensional parabolic Anderson model with homogeneous initial condition $u(0, \cdot) \equiv 1$, arbitrary drift and a time-independent potential bounded from above. Under ergodicity and independence conditions we derive representations for both the quenched Lyapunov exponent and, more importantly, the $p$-th annealed Lyapunov exponents for {\it all} $p \in (0, \infty).$ These results enable us to prove the heuristically plausible fact that the $p$-th annealed Lyapunov exponent converges to the quenched Lyapunov exponent as $p \downarrow 0.$ Furthermore, we show that $u$ is $p$-intermittent for $p$ large enough. As a byproduct, we compute the optimal quenched speed of the random walk appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of $u$ under the corresponding Gibbs measure. In this context, depending on the negativity of the potential, a phase transition from zero speed to positive speed appears.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1480

6777. Diffraction of stochastic point sets: Exactly solvable examples

Author(s): Michael Baake (Bielefeld) and Matthias Birkner (Berlin) and Robert V. Moody (Victoria)

Abstract: Stochastic point sets are considered that display a diffraction spectrum of mixed type, with special emphasis on explicitly computable cases together with a unified approach of reasonable generality. Several pairs of autocorrelation and diffraction measures are discussed which show a duality structure that may be viewed as analogues of the Poisson summation formula for lattice Dirac combs.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1266

6778. Reversibility of Interacting Fleming-Viot Processes with Mutation, Selection, and Recombination

Author(s): Shui Feng and Byron Schmuland and Jean Vaillancourt and and Xiaowen Zhou

Abstract: Reversibility of the Fleming-Viot process with mutation, selection, and recombination is well understood. In this paper, we study the reversibility of a system of Fleming-Viot processes that live on a countable number of colonies interacting with each other through migrations between the colonies. It is shown that reversibility fails when both migration and mutation are non-trivial.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1492

6779. On some generalized reinforced random walks on integers

Author(s): Olivier Raimond (LM-Orsay) and Bruno Schapira (LM-Orsay)

Abstract: We consider Reinforced Random Walks where transition probabilities are a function of the proportion of times the walk has traversed an edge. We give conditions for recurrence or transience. A phase transition is observed, similar to Pemantle \cite{Pem000} on trees.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1590

6780. Equality of pressures for diffeomorphisms preserving hyperbolic measures

Author(s): Katrin Gelfert

Abstract: For a diffeomorphism which preserves a hyperbolic measure the potential $\phi^u=-\log|{\rm Jac} df|_{E^u}|$ is studied. Various types of pressure of $\phi^u$ are introduced. It is shown that these pressures satisfy a corresponding variational principle.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1525

6781. A note on multi-type cookie random walk on integers

Author(s): Bruno Schapira (LM-Orsay)

Abstract: We consider a random walk on integers where at the first visits to a site the walker gets a positive drift, but where after a certain number of visits the walker gets a negative drift. We prove that the walker is almost surely transient to the left with positive speed. This is a variant of a model studied by Zerner, Kosygina and Zerner, and Basdevant and Singh.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1664

6782. Copolymers at selective interfaces: new bounds on the phase diagram

Author(s): T. Bodineau and G. Giacomin and H. Lacoin and F. Toninelli

Abstract: We investigate the phase diagram of disordered copolymers at the interface between two selective solvents, and in particular its weak-coupling behavior, encoded in the slope $m_c$ of the critical line at the origin. In mathematical terms, the partition function of such a model does not depend on all the details of the Markov chain that models the polymer, but only on the time elapsed between successive returns to zero and on whether the walk is in the upper or lower half plane between such returns. This observation leads to a natural generalization of the model, in terms of arbitrary laws of return times: the most interesting case being the one of return times with power law tails (with exponent $1+\ga$, $\ga=1/2$ in the case of the symmetric random walk). The main results we present here are: 1/ The improvement of the known result $1/(1+\alpha)\le m_c\le 1$, as soon as $\ga >1$ for what concerns the upper bound, and down to $\ga\approx 0.65$ for the lower bound. 2/ A proof of the fact that the critical curve lies strictly below the critical curve of the annealed model for every non-zero value of the coupling parameter. We also provide an argument that rigorously shows the strong dependence of the phase diagram on the details of the return probability (and not only on the tail behavior). Lower bounds are obtained by exhibiting a new localization strategy, while upper bounds are based on estimates of non-integer moments of the partition function.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1766

6783. BSDEs with two RCLL Reflecting Obstacles driven by a Brownian Motion and Poisson Measure and related Mixed Zero-Sum Games

Author(s): S.Hamad\'ene and H.Wang

Abstract: In this paper we study Backward Stochastic Differential Equations with two reflecting right continuous with left limits obstacles (or barriers) when the noise is given by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure mutually independent. The jumps of the obstacle processes could be either predictable or inaccessible. We show existence and uniqueness of the solution when the barriers are completely separated and the generator uniformly Lipschitz. We do not assume the existence of a difference of supermartingales between the obstacles. As an application, we show that the related mixed zero-sum differential-integral game problem has a value.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1815

6784. Balance, growth and diversity of financial markets

Author(s): Constantinos Kardaras

Abstract: A financial market comprising of a certain number of distinct companies is considered, and the following statement is proved: either a specific agent will surely beat the whole market unconditionally in the long run, or (and this "or" is not exclusive) all the capital of the market will accumulate in one company. Thus, absence of any "free unbounded lunches relative to the total capital" opportunities lead to the most dramatic failure of diversity in the market: one company takes over all other until the end of time. In order to prove this, we introduce the notion of perfectly balanced markets, which is an equilibrium state in which the relative capitalization of each company is a martingale under the physical probability. Then, the weaker notion of balanced markets is discussed where the martingale property of the relative capitalizations holds only approximately, we show how these concepts relate to growth-optimality and efficiency of the market, as well as how we can infer a shadow interest rate that is implied in the economy in the absence of a bank.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1858

6785. The numeraire portfolio in semimartingale financial models

Author(s): Ioannis Karatzas and Constantinos Kardaras

Abstract: We study the existence of the numeraire portfolio under predictable convex constraints in a general semimartingale model of a financial market. The numeraire portfolio generates a wealth process, with respect to which the relative wealth processes of all other portfolios are supermartingales. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of the numeraire portfolio are obtained in terms of the triplet of predictable characteristics of the asset price process. This characterization is then used to obtain further necessary and sufficient conditions, in terms of a no-free-lunch-type notion. In particular, the full strength of the "No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk" (NFLVR) is not needed, only the weaker "No Unbounded Profit with Bounded Risk" (NUPBR) condition that involves the boundedness in probability of the terminal values of wealth processes. We show that this notion is the minimal a-priori assumption required in order to proceed with utility optimization. The fact that it is expressed entirely in terms of predictable characteristics makes it easy to check, something that the stronger NFLVR condition lacks.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1877

6786. Monotonicity for excited random walk in high dimensions

Author(s): Remco van der Hofstad and Mark Holmes

Abstract: We prove that the drift $\theta(d,\beta)$ for excited random walk in dimension $d$ is monotone in the excitement parameter $\beta \in[0, 1]$, when $d\ge 9$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1881

6787. On financial markets where only buy-and-hold trading is possible

Author(s): Constantinos Kardaras and Eckhard Platen

Abstract: A financial market model where agents can only trade using realistic buy-and-hold trategies is considered. Minimal assumptions are made on the nature of the asset-price process - in particular, the semimartingale property is not assumed. Via a natural assumption of limited opportunities for unlimited resulting wealth from trading, coined the No-Unbounded-Profit-with-Bounded-Risk (NUPBR) condition, we establish that asset-prices have be semimartingales, as well as a weakened version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing that involves supermartingale deflators rather than equivalent martingale measures. Further, the utility maximization problem is considered and it is shown that using only buy-and-hold strategies, optimal utilities and wealth processes resulting from continuous trading can be approximated arbitrarily well.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1890

6788. Constants of concentration for a simple recurrent random walk on random environment

Author(s): Pierre Andreoletti (MAPMO)

Abstract: We precise the asymptotic of the limsup of the size of the neighborhood of concentration of Sinai's walk. Also we get the almost sure limits of the number of points visited more than a fixed proportion of a given amount of time.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2006

6789. Strong law of large numbers with concave moments

Author(s): Anders Karlsson and Nicolas Monod

Abstract: In this note not intended for publication, it is observed that a wellnigh trivial application of the ergodic theorem of Karlsson-Ledrappier yields a strong LLN for arbitrary concave moments.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.1856

6790. Diffusion at the random matrix hard edge

Author(s): Jose A. Ramirez and Brian Rider

Abstract: We show that the limiting minimal eigenvalue distributions for a natural generalization of Gaussian sample-covariance structures (the "beta ensembles") are described in by the spectrum of a random diffusion generator. By a Riccati transformation, we obtain a second diffusion description of the limiting eigenvalues in terms of hitting laws. This picture pertains to the so-called hard edge of random matrix theory and sits in complement to the recent work of the authors and B. Virag on the general beta random matrix soft edge. In fact, the diffusion descriptions found on both sides are used here to prove there exists a transition between the soft and hard edge laws at all values of beta.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2043

6791. Optimal two-value zero-mean disintegration of zero-mean random variables

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: For any continuous zero-mean random variable (r.v.) X, a reciprocating function r is constructed, based only on the distribution of X, such that the conditional distribution of X given the (at-most-)two-point set {X,r(X)} is the zero-mean distribution on this set; in fact, a more general construction without the continuity assumption is given in this paper, as well as a large variety of other related results, including characterizations of the reciprocating function and modeling distribution asymmetry patterns. The mentioned disintegration of zero-mean r.v.'s implies, in particular, that an arbitrary zero-mean distribution is represented as the mixture of two-point zero-mean distributions; moreover, this mixture representation is most symmetric in a variety of senses. Somewhat similar representations -- of any probability distribution as the mixture of two-point distributions with the same skewness coefficient (but possibly with different means) -- go back to Kolmogorov; very recently, Aizenman et al. further developed such representations and applied them to (anti-)concentration inequalities for functions of independent random variables and to spectral localization for random Schroedinger operators. One kind of application given in the present paper is to construct certain statistical tests for asymmetry patterns and for location without symmetry conditions. Exact inequalities implying conservative properties of such tests are presented. These developments extend results established earlier by Efron, Eaton, and Pinelis under a symmetry condition.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2068

6792. No-Free-Lunch equivalences for exponential Levy models

Author(s): Constantinos Kardaras

Abstract: We provide equivalence of numerous no-free-lunch type conditions for financial markets where the asset prices are modeled as exponential Levy processes, under possible convex constraints in the use of investment strategies. The general message is the following: if any kind of free lunch exists in these models it has to be of the most egregious type, generating an increasing ealth. Furthermore, we connect the previous to the existence of the numeraire portfolio, both for its particular expositional clarity in exponential Levy models and as a first step in obtaining analogues of the no-free-lunch equivalences in general semimartingale models.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2169

6793. On Agents' Agreement and Partial-Equilibrium Pricing in Incomplete Markets

Author(s): Michail Anthropelos and Gordan Zitkovic

Abstract: We consider two risk-averse financial agents who negotiate the price of an illiquid indivisible contingent claim in an incomplete semimartingale market environment. Under the assumption that the agents are exponential utility maximizers with non-traded random endowments, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for negotiation to be successful, i.e., for the trade to occur. We also study the asymptotic case where the size of the claim is small compared to the random endowments and we give a full characterization in this case. Finally, we study a partial-equilibrium problem for a bundle of divisible claims and establish existence and uniqueness. A number of technical results on conditional indifference prices are provided.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2198

6794. Duality of Chordal SLE, II

Author(s): Dapeng Zhan

Abstract: We improve the geometric properties of SLE$(\kappa;\vec{\rho})$ processes derived in an earlier paper, which are then used to obtain more results about the duality of SLE. We find that for $\kappa\in (4,8)$, the boundary of a standard chordal SLE$(\kappa)$ hull stopped on swallowing a fixed $x\in\R\sem\{0\}$ is the image of some SLE$(16/\kappa;\vec{\rho})$ trace started from a random point. Using this fact together with a similar proposition in the case that $\kappa\ge 8$, we obtain a description of the boundary of a standard chordal SLE$(\kappa)$ hull for $\kappa>4$, at a finite stopping time. Finally, we prove that for $\kappa>4$, in many cases, the limit of a chordal or strip SLE$(\kappa;\vec{\rho})$ trace exists.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2223

6795. A decomposition of the bifractional Brownian motion and some applications

Author(s): Pedro Lei and David Nualart

Abstract: In this paper we show a decomposition of the bifractional Brownian motion with parameters H,K into the sum of a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter HK plus a stochastic process with absolutely continuous trajectories. Some applications of this decomposition are discussed.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2227

6796. Random solutions of random problems...are not just random

Author(s): Dimitris Achlioptas and Amin Coja-Oghlan

Abstract: Let I(n,m) denote a uniformly random instance of some constraint satisfaction problem CSP with n variables and m constraints. Assume that the density r=m/n is small enough so that with high probability I(n,m) has a solution, and consider the experiment of first choosing an instance I=I(n,m) at random, and then sampling a random solution sigma of I (if one exists). For many CSPs (e.g., k-SAT, k-NAE, or k-coloring), this experiment appears difficult both to implement and to analyze; in fact, for a large range of r, no efficient algorithm is known to even compute a single solution of I. In the present paper we show that for many CSPs the above experiment is essentially equivalent to first choosing a random assignment sigma to the n variables, and then drawing a random instance satisfied by sigma uniformly. In general, this second experiment is very easy to implement and amenable to a rigorous analysis. In fact, using this equivalence, we can analyze the solution space of random CSPs. Thus, we can achieve the long-standing goal of establishing rigorously a picture put forward by statistical physicists on the basis of sophisticated but non-rigorous techniques such as the cavity and the replica method. This picture is suggestive as to why random CSP instances seem difficult to deal with algorithmically. Furthermore, we show that the second experiment gives rise to one-way functions, if one assumes that random instances of CSP are hard for some range of densities.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2122

6797. Partial differential equations driven by rough paths

Author(s): Michael Caruana and Peter Friz

Abstract: We study a class of linear first and second order partial differential equations driven by weak geometric $p$-rough paths, and prove the existence of a unique solution for these equations. This solution depends continuously on the driving rough path. This allows a robust approach to stochastic partial differential equations. In particular, we may replace Brownian motion by more general Gaussian and Markovian noise. Support theorems and large deviation statements all became easy corollaries of the corresponding statements of the driving process. In the case of first order equations with Gaussian noise, we discuss the existence of a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure for the solution.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2178

6798. On perpetual American put valuation and first-passage in a regime-switching model with jumps

Author(s): Z. Jiang and M.R. Pistorius

Abstract: In this paper we consider the problem of pricing a perpetual American put option in an exponential regime-switching L\'{e}vy model. For the case of the (dense) class of phase-type jumps and finitely many regimes we derive an explicit expression for the value function. The solution of the corresponding first passage problem under a state-dependent level rests on a path transformation and a new matrix Wiener-Hopf factorization result for this class of processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2302

6799. Absolute continuity and convergence in variation for distributions of a functionals of Poisson point measure

Author(s): Alexey M.Kulik

Abstract: General sufficient conditions are given for absolute continuity and convergence in variation of distributions of a functionals on a probability space, generated by a Poisson point measure. The phase space of the Poisson point measure is supposed to be of the form (0,\infty)\times U, and its intensity measure to be equal dt\Pi(du). We introduce the family of time stretching transformations of the configurations of the point measure. The sufficient conditions for absolute continuity and convergence in variation are given in the terms of the time stretching transformations and the relative differential operators. These conditions are applied to solutions of SDE's driven by Poisson point measures, including an SDE's with non-constant jump rate.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2389

6800. On a Szego Type Limit Theorem, the Holder-Young-Brascamp-Lieb Inequality, and the Asymptotic Theory of Integrals and Quadratic Forms of Stationary Fields

Author(s): Florin Avram (LMA-PAU) and Nikolai Leonenko and Ludmila Sakhno

Abstract: Many statistical applications require establishing central limit theorems for sums, integrals, or for quadratic forms of functions of a stationary process. A particularly important case is that of Appell polynomials, since the Appell expansion rank" determines typically the type of central limit theorem satisfied by these functionals. We review and extend here to multidimensional indices a functional analysis approach to this problem proposed by Avram and Brown (1989), based on the method of cumulants and on integrability assumptions in the spectral domain; several applications are presented as well.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2441

6801. Stability of a processor sharing queue with varying throughput

Author(s): Pascal Moyal

Abstract: In this paper, we present a stability criterion for Processor Sharing queues, in which the throughput may depend on the number of customers in the system (in such cases such as interferences between the users). Such a system is represented by a point measure-valued stochastic recursion keeping track of the remaining processing times of the customers.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2459

6802. On the least squares estimator in a nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial AR models

Author(s): S\'andor Baran and Gyula Pap

Abstract: A nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial autoregressive processes is investigated, when the sum of the absolute values of the autoregressive coefficients tends to one. It is shown that after an appropriate norming the least squares estimator for these coefficients has a normal limit distribution. If none of the parameters equals zero than the typical rate of convergence is n.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2486

6803. A Ruelle Operator for continuous time Markov Chains

Author(s): Alexandre Baraviera and Ruy Exel and Artur O. Lopes

Abstract: We consider a generalization of the Ruelle theorem for the case of continuous time problems. We present a result which we believe is important for future use in problems in Mathematical Physics related to $C^*$-Algebras We consider a finite state set $S$ and a stationary continuous time Markov Chain $X_t$, $t\geq 0$, taking values on $S$. We denote by $\Omega$ the set of paths $w$ taking values on $S$ (the elements $w$ are locally constant with left and right limits and are also right continuous on $t$). We consider an infinitesimal generator $L$ and a stationary vector $p_0$. We denote by $P$ the associated probability on ($\Omega, {\cal B}$). All functions $f$ we consider bellow are in the set ${\cal L}^\infty (P)$. From the probability $P$ we define a Ruelle operator ${\cal L}^t, t\geq 0$, acting on functions $f:\Omega \to \mathbb{R}$ of ${\cal L}^\infty (P)$. Given $V:\Omega \to \mathbb{R}$, such that is constant in sets of the form $\{X_0=c\}$, we define a modified Ruelle operator $\tilde{{\cal L}}_V^t, t\geq 0$. We are able to show the existence of an eigenfunction $u$ and an eigen-probability $\nu_V$ on $\Omega$ associated to $\tilde{{\cal L}}^t_V, t\geq 0$. We also show the following property for the probability $\nu_V$: for any integrable $g\in {\cal L}^\infty (P)$ and any real and positive $t$ $$ \int e^{-\int_0^t (V \circ \Theta_s)(.) ds} [ (\tilde{{\cal L}}^t_V (g)) \circ \theta_t ] d \nu_V = \int g d \nu_V$$ This equation generalize, for the continuous time Markov Chain, a similar one for discrete time systems (and which is quite important for understanding the KMS states of certain $C^*$-algebras).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2501

6804. A circle of interacting servers; spontaneous collective behavior in case of large fluctuations

Author(s): E.A. Pechersky and N.D. Vvedenskaya

Abstract: We consider large fluctuations, namely overload of servers, in a network with dynamic routing of messages. The servers form a circle. The number of input flows is equal to the number of servers, the messages of any flow are distributed between two neighboring servers, upon its arrival a message is directed to the least loaded of these servers. Under the condition that at least two servers are overloaded the number of overloaded servers in such network depends on the rate of input flows. In particular there exists critical level of input rate that in case of higher rate most probable that all servers are overloaded.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2576

6805. Markov Chains Approximations of jump-Diffusion Quantum Trajectories

Author(s): Clement Pellegrini (ICJ)

Abstract: "Quantum trajectories" are solutions of stochastic differential equations also called Belavkin or Stochastic Schr\"odinger Equations. They describe random phenomena in quantum measurement theory. Two types of such equations are usually considered, one is driven by a one-dimensional Brownian motion and the other is driven by a counting process. In this article, we present a way to obtain more advanced models which use jump-diffusion stochastic differential equations. Such models come from solutions of martingale problems for infinitesimal generators. These generators are obtained from the limit of generators of classical Markov chains which describe discrete models of quantum trajectories. Furthermore, stochastic models of jump-diffusion equations are physically justified by proving that their solutions can be obtained as the limit of the discrete trajectories.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2593

6806. Poisson and Diffusion Approximation of Stochastic Schrodinger equations with Control

Author(s): Clement Pellegrini (ICJ)

Abstract: "Quantum trajectories" are solutions of stochastic differential equations of non-usual type. Such equations are called ``Belavkin'' or ``Stochastic Schr\"odinger Equations'' and describe random phenomena in continuous measurement theory of Open Quantum System. Many recent investigations deal with the control theory in such model. In this article, stochastic models are mathematically and physically justified as limit of concrete discrete procedures called ``Quantum Repeated Measurements''. In particular, this gives a rigorous justification of the Poisson and diffusion approximation in quantum measurement theory with control. Furthermore we investigate some examples using control in quantum mechanics.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2643

6807. A New Central Limit Theorem under Sublinear Expectations

Author(s): Shige Peng

Abstract: We describe a new framework of a sublinear expectation space and the related notions and results of distributions, independence. A new notion of G-distributions is introduced which generalizes our G-normal-distribution in the sense that mean-uncertainty can be also described. W present our new result of central limit theorem under sublinear expectation. This theorem can be also regarded as a generalization of the law of large number in the case of mean-uncertainty.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2656

6808. Field theory conjecture for loop-erased random walks

Author(s): Andrei A. Fedorenko and Pierre Le Doussal and Kay Joerg Wiese

Abstract: We give evidence that the functional renormalization group (FRG), developed to study disordered systems, may provide a field theoretic description for the loop-erased random walk (LERW), allowing to compute its fractal dimension in a systematic expansion in epsilon=4-d. Up to two loop, the FRG agrees with rigorous bounds, correctly reproduces the leading logarithmic corrections at the upper critical dimension d=4, and compares well with numerical studies. We obtain the universal subleading logarithmic correction in d=4, which can be used as a further test of the conjecture.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2357

6809. Discrete stochastic processes, replicator and Fokker-Planck equations of coevolutionary dynamics in finite and infinite populations

Author(s): Jens Christian Claussen

Abstract: Finite-size fluctuations in coevolutionary dynamics arise in models of biological as well as of social and economic systems. This brief tutorial review surveys a systematic approach starting from a stochastic process discrete both in time and state. The limit $N\to \infty$ of an infinite population can be considered explicitly, generally leading to a replicator-type equation in zero order, and to a Fokker-Planck-type equation in first order in $1/\sqrt{N}$. Consequences and relations to some previous approaches are outlined.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2443

6810. Typical Dispersion and Generalized Lyapunov Exponents

Author(s): Steven Finch and Zai-Qiao Bai and Pascal Sebah

Abstract: Let f(n) denote the number of odd entries in the nth row of Pascal's binomial triangle. We study "average dispersion" and "typical dispersion" of f(n) -- the latter involves computing a generalized Lyapunov exponent -- and then turn to numerical analysis of higher dimensional examples.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2611

6811. Potts models in the continuum. Uniqueness and exponential decay in the restricted ensembles

Author(s): A. De Masi and I. Merola and E. Presutti and Y. Vignaud

Abstract: In this paper we study a continuum version of the Potts model. Particles are points in R^d, with a spin which may take S possible values, S being at least 3. Particles with different spins repel each other via a Kac pair potential. In mean field, for any inverse temperature there is a value of the chemical potential at which S+1 distinct phases coexist. For each mean field pure phase, we introduce a restricted ensemble which is defined so that the empirical particles densities are close to the mean field values. Then, in the spirit of the Dobrushin Shlosman theory, we get uniqueness and exponential decay of correlations when the range of the interaction is large enough. In a second paper, we will use such a result to implement the Pirogov-Sinai scheme proving coexistence of S+1 extremal DLR measures.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2767

6812. On Monge-Kantorovich Problem in the Plane

Author(s): Yinfang Shen and Weian Zheng

Abstract: We transfer the celebrating Monge-Kontorovich problem in a bounded domain of Euclidean plane into a Dirichlet boundary problem associated to a quasi-linear elliptic equation with $0-$order term missing in its diffusion coefficients: \begin{eqnarray*} A(x, F'_x)F''_{xx}+B(y, F'_y)F''_{yy}&=&C(x, y, F'_x, F'_y) \end{eqnarray*} where $A(.,.)>0, B(.,.)>0$ and $C$ are functions based on the initial distributions, $F$ is an unknown probability distribution function and therefore closed the former problem.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2830

6813. Self-repelling random walk with directed edges on Z

Author(s): Balint Toth and Balint Veto

Abstract: We consider a variant of self-repelling random walk on the integer lattice Z where the self-repellence is defined in terms of the local time on oriented edges. The long-time asymptotic scaling of this walk is surprisingly different from the asymptotics of the similar process with self-repellence defined in terms of local time on unoriented edges. We prove limit theorems for the local time process and for the position of the random walker. The main ingredient is a Ray-Knight-type of approach. At the end of the paper, we also present some computer simulations which show the strange scaling behaviour of the walk considered.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2848

6814. Product-form stationary distributions for deficiency zero chemical reaction networks

Author(s): David F. Anderson and Gheorghe Craciun and Thomas G. Kurtz

Abstract: We consider both deterministically and stochastically modeled chemical reaction systems and prove that a product-form stationary distribution exists for each closed, irreducible subset of the state space of a stochastically modeled system if the corresponding deterministically modeled system admits a complex balanced equilibrium. Feinberg's deficiency zero theorem then implies that such a distribution exists so long as the corresponding chemical network is weakly reversible and has a deficiency of zero. We also demonstrate that the main parameter of the stationary distribution for the stochastically modeled system is a complex balanced equilibrium value for the corresponding deterministically modeled system.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3042

6815. Repeated quantum interactions Quantum Langevin equation and the low density limit

Author(s): Ameur Dhahri (CEREMADE)

Abstract: We consider a repeated quantum interaction model describing a small system $\Hh_S$ in interaction with each one of the identical copies of the chain $\bigotimes_{\N^*}\C^{n+1}$, modeling a heat bath, one after another during the same short time intervals $[0,h]$. We suppose that the repeated quantum interaction Hamiltonian is split in two parts: a free part and an interaction part with time scale of order $h$. After giving the GNS representation, we establish the relation between the time scale $h$ and the classical low density limit. We introduce a chemical potential $\mu$ related to the time $h$ as follows: $h^2=e^{\beta\mu}$. We further prove that the solution of the associated discrete evolution equation converges strongly, when $h$ tends to 0, to the unitary solution of a quantum Langevin equation directed by Poisson processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3059

6816. A Lindblad model for a spin chain coupled to heat baths

Author(s): Ameur Dhahri (ICJ and Ceremade)

Abstract: We study a XY model which consists of a spin chain coupled to heat baths. We give a repeated quantum interaction Hamiltonian describing this model. We compute the explicit form of the associated Lindblad generator in the case of the spin chain coupled to one, two and several heat baths. We further study the properties of quantum master equation such as approach to equilibrium, local equilibrium states, entropy production and quantum detailed balance condition.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3060

6817. Records in a changing world

Author(s): Joachim Krug

Abstract: In the context of this paper, a record is an entry in a sequence of random variables (RV's) that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. After a brief review of the classic theory of records, which is largely restricted to sequences of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) RV's, new results for sequences of independent RV's with distributions that broaden or sharpen with time are presented. In particular, we show that when the width of the distribution grows as a power law in time $n$, the mean number of records is asymptotically of order $\ln n$ for distributions with a power law tail (the \textit{Fr\'echet class} of extremal value statistics), of order $(\ln n)^2$ for distributions of exponential type (\textit{Gumbel class}), and of order $n^{1/(\nu+1)}$ for distributions of bounded support (\textit{Weibull class}), where the exponent $\nu$ describes the behaviour of the distribution at the upper (or lower) boundary. Simulations are presented which indicate that, in contrast to the i.i.d. case, the sequence of record breaking events is correlated in such a way that the variance of the number of records is asymptotically smaller than the mean.

http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0702136

6818. Local semicircle law and complete delocalization for Wigner random matrices

Author(s): Laszlo Erdos and Benjamin Schlein and Horng-Tzer Yau

Abstract: We consider $N\times N$ Hermitian random matrices with i.i.d. entries. The matrix is normalized so that the average spacing between consecutive eigenvalues is of order 1/N. Under suitable assumptions on the distribution of the single matrix element, we prove that, away from the spectral edges, the density of eigenvalues concentrates around the Wigner semicircle law on energy scales $\eta \gg N^{-1} (\log N)^8$. Up to the logarithmic factor, this is the smallest energy scale for which the semicircle law may be valid. We also prove that for all eigenvalues away from the spectral edges, the $\ell^\infty$-norm of the corresponding eigenvectors is of order $O(N^{-1/2})$, modulo logarithmic corrections. The upper bound $O(N^{-1/2})$ implies that every eigenvector is completely de-localized, i.e., the maximum size of the components of the eigenvector is of the same order as their average size. In the Appendix, we include a lemma by J. Bourgain which removes one of our assumptions on the distribution of the matrix elements.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0542

6819. Interacting particle systems out of equilibrium

Author(s): Thomas Kriecherbauer and Joachim Krug

Abstract: These notes are based on lectures delivered by the authors at the Langeoog seminar of SFB/TR12 "Symmetries and universality in mesoscopic systems" in November 2007, to a mixed audience of mathematicians and theoretical physicists. After a brief outline of the basic physical concepts of equilibrium and nonequilibrium states, the one-dimensional totally asymmetric simple exclusion process (TASEP) is introduced as a paradigmatic nonequilibrium interacting particle system. The stationary measure on the ring is derived and the idea of the hydrodynamic limit is sketched. We then explain in detail a famous rigorous result due to Johansson, which relates the TASEP current fluctuations to the Tracy-Widom distribution of random matrix theory, and discuss its implications within the framework of the phenomenological Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.2796

6820. Minors in random regular graphs

Author(s): N. Fountoulakis and D. K\"uhn and D. Osthus

Abstract: We show that there is a constant c>0 so that for any fixed r which is at least 3 a.a.s. an r-regular graph on n vertices contains a complete graph on c n^{1/2} vertices as a minor. This confirms a conjecture of Markstrom. Since any minor of an r-regular graph on n vertices has at most rn/2 edges, our bound is clearly best possible up to the value of the constant c. As a corollary, we also obtain the likely order of magnitude of the largest complete minor in a random graph G(n,p) during the phase transition (i.e. when pn is close to 1).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3001

6821. Diversity and relative arbitrage in equity markets

Author(s): Robert Fernholz and Ioannis Karatzas and Constantinos Kardaras

Abstract: A financial market is called "diverse" if no single stock is ever allowed to dominate the entire market in terms of relative capitalization. In the context of the standard Ito-process model initiated by Samuelson (1965) we formulate this property (and the allied, successively weaker notions of "weak diversity" and "asymptotic weak diversity") in precise terms. We show that diversity is possible to achieve, but delicate. Several illustrative examples are provided, which demonstrate that weakly-diverse financial markets contain relative arbitrage opportunities: it is possible to outperform (or underperform) such markets over sufficiently long time-horizons, and to underperform them significantly over arbitrary time-horizons. The existence of such relative arbitrage does not interfere with the development of option pricing, and has interesting consequences for the pricing of long-term warrants and for put-call parity. Several open questions are suggested for further study.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3093

6822. Regenerative tree growth: binary self-similar continuum random trees and Poisson-Dirichlet compositions

Author(s): Jim Pitman and Matthias Winkel

Abstract: We use a natural ordered extension of the Chinese Restaurant Process to grow a two-parameter family of binary self-similar continuum fragmentation trees. We provide an explicit embedding of Ford's sequence of alpha model trees in the continuum tree which we identified in a previous article as a distributional scaling limit of Ford's trees. In general, the Markov branching trees induced by the two-parameter growth rule are not sampling consistent, so the existence of compact limiting trees cannot be deduced from previous work on the sampling consistent case. We develop here a new approach to establish such limits, based on regenerative interval partitions and the urn-model description of sampling from Dirichlet random distributions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3098

6823. A few remarks on the operator norm of random Toeplitz matrices

Author(s): Rados{\l}aw Adamczak

Abstract: We present some results concerning the almost sure behaviour of the operator norm or random Toeplitz matrices, including the law of large numbers for the norm, normalized by its expectation (in the i.i.d. case). As tools we present some concentration inequalities for suprema of empirical processes, which are refinements of recent results by Einmahl and Li.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3111

6824. Symmetric jump processes: localization, heat kernels, and convergence

Author(s): Richard F. Bass and Moritz Kassmann and and Takashi Kumagai

Abstract: We consider symmetric processes of pure jump type. We prove local estimates on the probability of exiting balls, the H\"older continuity of harmonic functions and of heat kernels, and convergence of a sequence of such processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3164

6825. On some results of Cufaro Petroni about Student t-processes

Author(s): C. Berg and C. Vignat

Abstract: This paper deals with Student t-processes as studied in (Cufaro Petroni N 2007 J. Phys. A, Math. Theor. 40(10), 2227-2250). We prove and extend some conjectures expressed by Cufaro Petroni about the asymptotical behavior of a Student t-process and the expansion of its density. First, the explicit asymptotic behavior of any real positive convolution power of a Student t-density with any real positive degrees of freedom is given in the multivariate case; then the integer convolution power of a Student t-distribution with odd degrees of freedom is shown to be a convex combination of Student t-densities with odd degrees of freedom. At last, we show that this result does not extend to the case of non-integer convolution powers.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3198

6826. Recurrence and transience of a multi-excited random walk on a regular tree

Author(s): Anne-Laure Basdevant and Arvind Singh

Abstract: We study a model of multi-excited random walk on a regular tree which generalizes the models of the once excited random walk and the digging random walk introduced by Volkov (2003). We show the existence of a phase transition of the recurrence/transience property of the walk. In particular, we prove that the asymptotic behavior of the walk depends on the order of the excitations, which contrasts with the one dimensional setting studied by Zerner (2005). Special attention is given to the cases of the once excited, the twice excited and the digging random walk where explicit criterions, depending on the initial cookie environment, are provided to determine whether the walk is recurrent or transient.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3284

6827. Branching Process approach for 2-SAT thresholds

Author(s): Elchanan Mossel (UC Berkeley) and Arnab Sen (UC Berkeley)

Abstract: It is well known that, as $n$ tends to infinity, the probability of satisfiability for a random 2-SAT formula on $n$ variables, where each clause occurs independently with probability $\alpha/2n$, exhibits a sharp threshold at $\alpha=1$. We provide a simple conceptual proof of this fact based on branching process arguments. We also study a generalized 2-SAT model in which each clause occurs independently but with probability $\alpha_i/2n$ where $i \in \{0,1,2 \}$ is the number of positive literals in that clause. We use 2-type branching process arguments to determine the satisfiability threshold for this model in terms of the maximum eigenvalue of the branching matrix.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3285

6828. A Generalized Feynman-Kac Formula For One Dimensional Processes

Author(s): George Lowther

Abstract: Suppose that a real valued process X is given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. Then, for any twice continuously differentiable function f, the Feynman-Kac formula gives a condition for f(t,X) to be a local martingale. We generalize the Feynman-Kac formula in two main ways. First, it is extended to nondifferentiable functions. Second, the process X is not required to satisfy an SDE. Instead, it is only required to be a quasimartingale satisfying an integrability condition, and the martingale condition for f(t,X) is then expressed in terms of the marginal distributions, drift measure and jumps of X. The proof involves the stochastic calculus of Dirichlet processes and a time-reversal argument. These results are then applied to show that a continuous and strong Markov martingale is uniquely determined by its marginal distributions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3303

6829. Asymptotics of Input-Constrained Binary Symmetric Channel Capacity

Author(s): Guangyue Han and Brian Marcus

Abstract: In this paper, we study the classical problem of noisy constrained capacity in the case of the binary symmetric channel (BSC), namely, the capacity of a BSC whose input is a sequence from a constrained set. Motivated by a result of Ordentlich and Weissman, we derive an asymptotic formula (when the noise parameter is small) for the entropy rate of a hidden Markov chain, observed when a Markov chain passes through a binary symmetric channel. Using this result we establish an asymptotic formula for the capacity of a binary symmetric channel with input process supported on an irreducible finite type constraint, as the noise parameter tends to zero.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3360

6830. Multivariate Analysis and Jacobi Ensembles: Largest eigenvalue, Tracy Widom Limits and Rates of Convergence

Author(s): Iain M. Johnstone

Abstract: Let $A$ and $B$ be independent, central Wishart matrices in $p$ variables with common covariance and having $m$ and $n$ degrees of freedom respectively. The distribution of the largest eigenvalue of $(A+B)^{-1}B$ has numerous applications in multivariate statistics, but is difficult to calculate exactly. Suppose that $m$ and $n$ grow in proportion to $p$. We show that after centering and scaling, the distribution is approximated to second order, $O(p^{-2/3})$, by the Tracy-Widom law. The results are obtained for both complex and then real valued data by using methods of random matrix theory to study the largest eigenvalue of the Jacobi unitary and orthogonal ensembles. Asymptotic approximations of Jacobi polynomials near the largest zero play a central role.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3408

6831. Homogenization for semi-linear PDE with discontinuous coefficients

Author(s): K. Bahlali (IMATH) and Abouo Elouaflin (UFR-MI) and E. Pardoux (CMI)

Abstract: We study the asymptotic behavior of the solution of semi-linear PDEs. Neither periodicity nor ergodicity assumptions are assumed. The coefficients admit only a limit in a Cesaro sense. In such a case, the limit coefficients may have discontinuity. We use probabilistic approach based on weak convergence techniques for the associated backward stochastic differential equation in the S-topology. We establish weak continuity for the flow of the limit diffusion process and related the PDE limit to the backward stochastic differential equation via the representation of Lp-viscosity solution.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3499

6832. Maxima of Dirichlet and triangular arrays of gamma variables

Author(s): Arup Bose and Amites Dasgupta and Krishanu Maulik

Abstract: Consider a rowwise independent triangular array of gamma random variables with varying parameters. Under several different conditions on the shape parameter, we show that the sequence of row-maximums converges weakly after linear or power transformation. Depending on the parameter combinations, we obtain both Gumbel and non-Gumbel limits. The weak limits for maximum of the coordinates of certain Dirichlet vectors of increasing dimension are also obtained using the gamma representation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3518

6833. Integration with respect to local time and Ito's formula for smooth nondegenerate martingales

Author(s): Xavier Bardina and Carles Rovira

Abstract: We show an It\^ o's formula for nondegenerate Brownian martingales $X_t=\int_0^t u_s dW_s$ and functions $F(x,t)$ with locally integrable derivatives in $t$ and $x$. We prove that one can express the additional term in It\^o's s formula as an integral over space and time with respect to local time.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3522

6834. Escaping the Brownian stalkers

Author(s): Alexander Weiss

Abstract: We propose a simple model for the behaviour of longterm investors on a stock market, consisting of three particles, which represent the current price of the stock and the opinion of the buyers, respectively sellers, about the right trading price. As time evolves, both groups of traders update their opinions with respect to the current price. The update speed is controled by a parameter $\gamma$, the price process is described by a geometric Brownian motion. We consider the stability of the market in terms of the distance between the buyers' and sellers' opinion, and prove that the distance process is recurrent/transient in dependence on $\gamma$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3590

6835. On convergence of dynamics of hopping particles to a birth-and-death process in continuum

Author(s): Dmitri Finkelshtein and Yuri Kondratiev and Eugene Lytvynov

Abstract: We show that some classes of birth-and-death processes in continuum (Glauber dynamics) may be derived as a scaling limit of a dynamics of interacting hopping particles (Kawasaki dynamics)

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3551

6836. The Equivalence between Uniqueness and Continuous Dependence of Solution for BSDEs with Continuous Coefficient

Author(s): Guangyan Jia and Zhiyong Yu

Abstract: In this paper, we will prove that, if the coefficient $g=g(t,y,z)$ of a BSDE is assumed to be continuous and linear growth in $(y,z)$, then the uniqueness of solution and continuous dependence with respect to $g$ and the terminal value $\xi$ are equivalent.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3660

6837. Integration with respect to fractional local times with Hurst index $1/2

Author(s): Litan Yan and Xiangfeng Yang

Abstract: In this paper, we study the stochastic integration with respect to local times of fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst index $1/2

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3665

6838. The game-theoretic martingales behind the zero-one laws

Author(s): Akimichi Takemura and Vladimir Vovk and and Glenn Shafer

Abstract: We prove game-theoretic generalizations of some well known zero-one laws. Our proofs make the martingales behind the laws explicit.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3679

6839. Numerical Algorithms and Simulations for Reflected Backward Stochastic Differential Equations with two Continuous Barriers

Author(s): Mingyu Xu

Abstract: In this paper we study different algorithms for reflected backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE in short) with two continuous barriers basing on random work framework. We introduce different numerical algorithms by penalization method and reflected method. At last simulation results are also presented.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3712

6840. On distributional properties of perpetuities

Author(s): Gerold Alsmeyer and Alex Iksanov and Uwe Roesler

Abstract: We study probability distributions of convergent random series of a special structure, called perpetuities. By giving a new argument, we prove that such distributions are of pure type: degenerate, absolutely continuous, or continuously singular. We further provide necessary and sufficient criteria for the finiteness of $p$-moments, $p>0$ as well as exponential moments. In particular, a formula for the abscissa of convergence of the moment generating function is provided. The results are illustrated with a number of examples at the end of the article.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3716

6841. Normally Reflected Brownian Motion and Spectral Properties of the Neumann Laplacian in Unbounded Domains

Author(s): Ross Pinsky

Abstract: Let $D\subsetneq R^d$ be an unbounded domain and let $B(t)$ be a Brownian motion in $D$ with normal reflection at the boundary, generated by $\frac12\Delta_N$, where $\Delta_N$ is the Neumann Laplacian on $D$. For a bounded subdomain $U$, let $\tau_U=\inf\{t\ge0:B(t)\in \bar U\}$ denote the first hitting time of $\bar U$. It is well-known that the behavior of the random variable $\tau_U$ determines the global behavior of the Brownian motion--that is, its transience, null recurrence or positive recurrence. In fact, the behavior of $\tau_U$ as $U$ varies over all bounded subdomains determines certain spectral properties of the Neumann Laplacian. In this paper we study the behavior of $\tau_U$ in order to treat both of these issues. Most of the work deals with domains of the form $D=\{(x,z)\in R^{l+m}:|z|

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3748

6842. The Fourier Spectrum of Critical Percolation

Author(s): Christophe Garban and Gabor Pete and Oded Schramm

Abstract: Consider the indicator function $f$ of a two-dimensional percolation crossing event. In this paper, the Fourier transform of $f$ is studied and sharp bounds are obtained for its lower tail in several situations. Various applications of these bounds are derived. In particular, we show that the set of exceptional times of dynamical critical site percolation on the triangular grid in which the origin percolates has dimension 31/36 a.s., and the corresponding dimension in the half-plane is 5/9. It is also proved that critical bond percolation on the square grid has exceptional times a.s. Also, the asymptotics of the number of sites that need to be resampled in order to significantly perturb the global percolation configuration in a large square is determined.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3750

6843. Conditional Haar measures on classical compact groups

Author(s): Paul Bourgade

Abstract: We give a probabilistic proof of the Weyl integration formula on the unitary group. This relies on a suitable definition of Haar measures conditioned to the existence of a stable subspace with any given dimension. The developed method leads to the following result : for this conditional measure, writing $Z_U^{(p)}$ for the first non-zero derivative of the characteristic polynomial at 1, $Z_U^{(p)}$ can be decomposed as an explicit product of $n-p$ indepedent random variables. This implies a central limit theorem for $\log Z_U^{(p)}$ and asymptotics for the density of $Z_U^{(p)}$ near 0. Similar limit theorems are given for the orthogonal and symplectic groups.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3753

6844. Geometric properties of two-dimensional near-critical percolation

Author(s): Federico Camia and Matthijs Joosten and Ronald Meester

Abstract: Using certain scaling relations for two-dimensional percolation, we study some global geometric properties of "near-critical" scaling limits. More precisely, we show that when the lattice spacing is sent to zero, there are only three possible types of scaling limits for the collection of percolation interfaces: the trivial one consisting of no curves at all, the critical one corresponding to the full scaling limit of critical percolation, and one in which any deterministic point in the plane is surrounded with probability one by a largest loop and by a countably infinite family of nested loops with radii going to zero. All three cases occur. The first one corresponds to the subcritical and supercritical phases. The last one corresponds to the near-critical regime, with a scaling limit which is nontrivial, like the critical one, but which, unlike the critical one, is not scale invariant and thus retains a flavor of supercritical percolation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3785

6845. The Reverse of The Law of Large Numbers

Author(s): Kieran Kelly and Przemyslaw Repetowicz and Seosamh macReamoinn

Abstract: The Law of Large Numbers tells us that as the sample size (N) is increased, the sample mean converges on the population mean, provided that the latter exists. In this paper, we investigate the opposite effect: keeping the sample size fixed while increasing the number of outcomes (M) available to a discrete random variable. We establish sufficient conditions for the variance of the sample mean to increase monotonically with the number of outcomes, such that the sample mean ``diverges'' from the population mean, acting like an ``reverse'' to the law of large numbers. These results, we believe, are relevant to many situations which require sampling of statistics of certain finite discrete random variables.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3913

6846. An approximation algorithm for counting contingency tables

Author(s): Alexander Barvinok and Zur Luria and Alex Samorodnitsky and and Alexander Yong

Abstract: We present a randomized approximation algorithm for counting contingency tables, mxn non-negative integer matrices with given row sums R=(r_1, ..., r_m) and column sums C=(c_1, ..., c_n). We define smooth margins (R,C) in terms of the typical table and prove that for such margins the algorithm has quasi-polynomial N^{O(ln N)} complexity, where N=r_1+...+r_m=c_1+...+c_n. Various classes of margins are smooth, e.g., when m=O(n), n=O(m) and the ratios between the largest and the smallest row sums as well as between the largest and the smallest column sums are strictly smaller than the golden ratio (1+sqrt{5})/2 = 1.618. The algorithm builds on Monte Carlo integration and sampling algorithms for log-concave densities, the matrix scaling algorithm, the permanent approximation algorithm, and an integral representation for the number of contingency tables.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.3948

6847. The Tracy--Widom limit for the largest eigenvalues of singular complex Wishart matrices

Author(s): Alexei Onatski

Abstract: This paper extends the work of El Karoui [Ann. Probab. 35 (2007) 663--714] which finds the Tracy--Widom limit for the largest eigenvalue of a nonsingular $p$-dimensional complex Wishart matrix $W_{\mathbb{C}}(\Omega_p,n)$ to the case of several of the largest eigenvalues of the possibly singular $(n

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4155

6848. Small Deviations of Smooth Stationary Gaussian Processes

Author(s): F.Aurzada and I.A.Ibragimov and M.A.Lifshits and J.H. van Zanten

Abstract: We investigate the small deviation probabilities of a class of very smooth stationary Gaussian processes playing an important role in Bayesian statistical inference. Our calculations are based on the appropriate modification of the entropy method due to Kuelbs, Li, and Linde as well as on classical results about the entropy of classes of analytic functions. They also involve Tsirelson's upper bound for small deviations and shed some light on the limits of sharpness for that estimate.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4238

6849. On Sequential Estimation and Prediction for Discrete Time Series

Author(s): G. Morvai and B. Weiss

Abstract: The problem of extracting as much information as possible from a sequence of observations of a stationary stochastic process $X_0,X_1,...X_n$ has been considered by many authors from different points of view. It has long been known through the work of D. Bailey that no universal estimator for $\textbf{P}(X_{n+1}|X_0,X_1,...X_n)$ can be found which converges to the true estimator almost surely. Despite this result, for restricted classes of processes, or for sequences of estimators along stopping times, universal estimators can be found. We present here a survey of some of the recent work that has been done along these lines.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4332

6850. Consistent price systems and face-lifting pricing under transaction costs

Author(s): Paolo Guasoni and Mikl\'os R\'asonyi and Walter Schachermayer

Abstract: In markets with transaction costs, consistent price systems play the same role as martingale measures in frictionless markets. We prove that if a continuous price process has conditional full support, then it admits consistent price systems for arbitrarily small transaction costs. This result applies to a large class of Markovian and non-Markovian models, including geometric fractional Brownian motion. Using the constructed price systems, we show, under very general assumptions, the following ``face-lifting'' result: the asymptotic superreplication price of a European contingent claim $g(S_T)$ equals $\hat{g}(S_0)$, where $\hat{g}$ is the concave envelope of $g$ and $S_t$ is the price of the asset at time $t$. This theorem generalizes similar results obtained for diffusion processes to processes with conditional full support.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4416

6851. Stochastic solution of a nonlinear fractional differential equation

Author(s): F. Cipriano and H. Ouerdiane and R. Vilela Mendes

Abstract: A stochastic solution is constructed for a fractional generalization of the KPP (Kolmogorov, Petrovskii, Piskunov) equation. The solution uses a fractional generalization of the branching exponential process and propagation processes which are spectral integrals of Levy processes

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4457

6852. Real and complex zeros of Riemannian random waves

Author(s): Steve Zelditch

Abstract: We consider Riemannian random waves, i.e. Gaussian random linear combination of eigenfunctions of the Laplacian on a compact Riemannian manifold with frequencies from a short interval (`asymptotically fixed frequency'). We first show that the expected limit distribution of the real zero set of a is uniform with respect to the volume form of a compact Riemannian manifold $(M, g)$. We then show that the complex zero set of the analytic continuations of such Riemannian random waves to a Grauert tube in the complexification of $M$ tends to a limit current.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4334

6853. Poisson Cluster Measures: Quasi-invariance, Integration by Parts and Equilibrium Stochastic Dynamics

Author(s): Leonid Bogachev and Alexei Daletskii

Abstract: The distribution $\mu_{cl}$ of a Poisson cluster process in $X=\mathbb{R}^d$ (with i.i.d. clusters) is studied via an auxiliary Poisson measure on the space of configurations in $\mathfrak{X}=\sqcup_n X^n$, with intensity defined as a convolution of the background intensity of cluster centres and the probability distribution of a generic cluster. We show that the measure $\mu_{cl}$ is quasi-invariant with respect to the group of compactly supported diffeomorphisms of $X$ and prove an integration-by-parts formula for $\mu_{cl}$. The corresponding equilibrium stochastic dynamics is then constructed using the method of Dirichlet forms.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4496

6854. A Theoretical Study of Mafia Games

Author(s): Erlin Yao

Abstract: Mafia can be described as an experiment in human psychology and mass hysteria, or as a game between informed minority and uninformed majority. Focus on a very restricted setting, Mossel et al. [to appear in Ann. Appl. Probab. Volume 18, Number 2] showed that in the mafia game without detectives, if the civilians and mafias both adopt the optimal randomized strategy, then the two groups have comparable probabilities of winning exactly when the total player size is R and the mafia size is of order Sqrt(R). They also proposed a conjecture which stated that this phenomenon should be valid in a more extensive framework. In this paper, we first indicate that the main theorem given by Mossel et al. [to appear in Ann. Appl. Probab. Volume 18, Number 2] can not guarantee their conclusion, i.e., the two groups have comparable winning probabilities when the mafia size is of order Sqrt(R). Then we give a theorem which validates the correctness of their conclusion. In the last, by proving the conjecture proposed by Mossel et al. [to appear in Ann. Appl. Probab. Volume 18, Number 2], we generalize the phenomenon to a more extensive framework, of which the mafia game without detectives is only a special case.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0071

6855. Estimates of tempered stable densities

Author(s): Pawe{\l} Sztonyk

Abstract: Estimates of densities of convolution semigroups of probability measures are given under specific assumptions on the corresponding L\'evy measure and the L\'evy--Khinchin exponent. The assumptions are satisfied, e.g., by tempered stable semigroups of J. Rosi{\'n}ski.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0113

6856. Weak existence of the squared Bessel process, CIR model, and Longstaff model, with skew reflection on a deterministic time dependent curve

Author(s): Gerald Trutnau

Abstract: Using the technique of moving domains, and classical direct stochastic calculus, we construct the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process, as well as its squareroot, with additional skew reflection on a deterministic time dependent curve.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0119

6857. Basic properties of nonlinear stochastic Schr\"{o}dinger equations driven by Brownian motions

Author(s): Carlos M. Mora and Rolando Rebolledo

Abstract: The paper is devoted to the study of nonlinear stochastic Schr\"{o}dinger equations driven by standard cylindrical Brownian motions (NSSEs) arising from the unraveling of quantum master equations. Under the Born--Markov approximations, this class of stochastic evolutions equations on Hilbert spaces provides characterizations of both continuous quantum measurement processes and the evolution of quantum systems. First, we deal with the existence and uniqueness of regular solutions to NSSEs. Second, we provide two general criteria for the existence of regular invariant measures for NSSEs. We apply our results to a forced and damped quantum oscillator.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0121

6858. Pathwise uniqueness of the squared Bessel process, and CIR process, with skew reflection on a deterministic time dependent curve

Author(s): Gerald Trutnau

Abstract: We investigate pathwise uniqueness for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process with additional reflection term multiplied by some real integer between zero and one. The reflection term is the symmetric local time of the CIR process at a deterministic time dependent curve, which in general only needs to be locally of bounded variation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0123

6859. Convex pricing by a generalized entropy penalty

Author(s): Johannes Leitner

Abstract: In an incomplete Brownian-motion market setting, we propose a convex monotonic pricing functional for nonattainable bounded contingent claims which is compatible with prices for attainable claims. The pricing functional is defined as the convex conjugate of a generalized entropy penalty functional and an interpretation in terms of tracking with instantaneously vanishing risk can be given.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0127

6860. Phase Transitions in Partially Structured Random Graphs

Author(s): Oskar Sandberg

Abstract: We study a one parameter family of random graph models that spans a continuum between traditional random graphs of the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi type, where there is no underlying structure, and percolation models, where the possible edges are dictated exactly by a geometry. We find that previously developed theories in the fields of random graphs and percolation have, starting from different directions, covered almost all the models described by our family. In particular, the existence or not of a phase transition where a giant cluster arises has been proved for all values of the parameter but one. We prove that the single remaining case behaves like a random graph and has a single linearly sized cluster when the expected vertex degree is greater than one.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0137

6861. Renormalization of the two-dimensional Lotka--Volterra model

Author(s): J. Theodore Cox and Edwin A. Perkins

Abstract: We show that renormalized two-dimensional Lotka--Volterra models near criticality converge to a super-Brownian motion. This is used to establish long-term survival of a rare type for a range of parameter values near the voter model.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0158

6862. Estimating correlation from high, low, opening and closing prices

Author(s): L. C. G. Rogers and Fanyin Zhou

Abstract: In earlier studies, the estimation of the volatility of a stock using information on the daily opening, closing, high and low prices has been developed; the additional information in the high and low prices can be incorporated to produce unbiased (or near-unbiased) estimators with substantially lower variance than the simple open--close estimator. This paper tackles the more difficult task of estimating the correlation of two stocks based on the daily opening, closing, high and low prices of each. If we had access to the high and low values of some linear combination of the two log prices, then we could use the univariate results via polarization, but this is not data that is available. The actual problem is more challenging; we present an unbiased estimator which halves the variance.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0162

6863. Characterization of the critical values of branching random walks on weighted graphs through infinite-type branching processes

Author(s): Daniela Bertacchi and Fabio Zucca

Abstract: We study the branching random walk on weighted graphs; site-breeding and edge-breeding branching random walks on graphs are seen as particular cases. We describe the strong critical value in terms of a geometrical parameter of the graph. We characterize the weak critical value and relate it to another geometrical parameter. We prove that, at the strong critical value, the process dies out locally almost surely; while, at the weak critical value, global survival and global extinction are both possible.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0224

6864. Real Roots of Random Polynomials and Zero Crossing Properties of Diffusion Equation

Author(s): Gregory Schehr and Satya N. Majumdar

Abstract: We study various statistical properties of real roots of three different classes of random polynomials which recently attracted a vivid interest in the context of probability theory and quantum chaos. We first focus on gap probabilities on the real axis, i.e. the probability that these polynomials have no real root in a given interval. For generalized Kac polynomials, indexed by an integer d, of large degree n, one finds that the probability of no real root in the interval [0,1] decays as a power law n^{-\theta(d)} where \theta(d) > 0 is the persistence exponent of the diffusion equation with random initial conditions in spatial dimension d. For n \gg 1 even, the probability that they have no real root on the full real axis decays like n^{-2(\theta(2)+\theta(d))}. For Weyl polynomials and Binomial polynomials, this probability decays respectively like \exp{(-2\theta_{\infty}} \sqrt{n}) and \exp{(-\pi \theta_{\infty} \sqrt{n})} where \theta_{\infty} is such that \theta(d) = 2^{-3/2} \theta_{\infty} \sqrt{d} in large dimension d. We also show that the probability that such polynomials have exactly k roots on a given interval [a,b] has a scaling form given by \exp{(-N_{ab} \tilde \phi(k/N_{ab}))} where N_{ab} is the mean number of real roots in [a,b] and \tilde \phi(x) a universal scaling function. We develop a simple Mean Field (MF) theory reproducing qualitatively these scaling behaviors, and improve systematically this MF approach using the method of persistence with partial survival, which in some cases yields exact results. Finally, we show that the probability density function of the largest absolute value of the real roots has a universal algebraic tail with exponent {-2}. These analytical results are confirmed by detailed numerical computations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0803.4396

6865. Quenched large deviations for random walk in a random environment

Author(s): Atilla Yilmaz

Abstract: We take the point of view of a particle performing random walk with bounded jumps on Z^d in a stationary and ergodic random environment. We prove the quenched large deviation principle (LDP) for the pair empirical measure of the environment Markov chain. By the contraction principle, we deduce the quenched LDP for the mean velocity of the particle and obtain a variational formula for the corresponding rate function. We propose an Ansatz for the minimizer of this formula. We verify this Ansatz for nearest-neighbor walks on Z. As a separate result, we give a probabilistic formula for the ergodic invariant density of the environment Markov chain in the case of ballistic random walk with bounded jumps on Z.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0262

6866. Ito's formula in UMD Banach spaces and regularity of solutions of the Zakai equation

Author(s): Z. Brzezniak and J. M. A. M. van Neerven and M. C. Veraar and L. Weis

Abstract: Using the theory of stochastic integration for processes with values in a UMD Banach space developed recently by the authors, an Ito formula is proved which is applied to prove the existence of strong solutions for a class of stochastic evolution equations in UMD Banach spaces. The abstract results are applied to prove regularity in space and time of the solutions of the Zakai equation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0302

6867. Existence of an infinite particle limit of stochastic ranking process

Author(s): Kumiko Hattori and Tetsuya Hattori

Abstract: We study a stochastic particle system which models the time evolution of the ranking of books by online bookstores (e.g., Amazon). In this system, particles are lined in a queue. Each particle jumps at random jump times to the top of the queue, and otherwise stays in the queue, being pushed toward the tail every time another particle jumps to the top. In an infinite particle limit, the random motion of each particle between its jumps converges to a deterministic trajectory. (This trajectory is actually observed in the ranking data on web sites.) We prove that the (random) empirical distribution of this particle system converges to a deterministic space-time dependent distribution. A core of the proof is the law of large numbers for {\it dependent} random variables.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0321

6868. Asymptotic Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Stochastic Parabolic Equations with Additive Fractional Brownian Motion

Author(s): Igor Cialenco and Sergey Lototsky and Jan Pospisil

Abstract: A parameter estimation problem is considered for a diagonaliazable stochastic evolution equation using a finite number of the Fourier coefficients of the solution. The equation is driven by additive noise that is white in space and fractional in time with the Hurst parameter $H\geq 1/2$. The objective is to study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator as the number of the Fourier coefficients increases. A necessary and sufficient condition for consistency and asymptotic normality is presented in terms of the eigenvalues of the operators in the equation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0407

6869. Probabilistic Interpretation for Systems of Isaacs Equations with Two Reflecting Barriers

Author(s): Rainer Buckdahn and Juan Li

Abstract: In this paper we investigate zero-sum two-player stochastic differential games whose cost functionals are given by doubly controlled reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RBSDEs) with two barriers. For admissible controls which can depend on the whole past and so include, in particular, information occurring before the beginning of the game, the games are interpreted as games of the type "admissible strategy" against "admissible control", and the associated lower and upper value functions are studied. A priori random, they are shown to be deterministic, and it is proved that they are the unique viscosity solutions of the associated upper and the lower Bellman-Isaacs equations with two barriers, respectively. For the proofs we make full use of the penalization method for RBSDEs with one barrier and RBSDEs with two barriers. For this end we also prove new estimates for RBSDEs with two barriers, which are sharper than those in [18]. Furthermore, we show that the viscosity solution of the Isaacs equation with two reflecting barriers not only can be approximated by the viscosity solutions of penalized Isaacs equations with one barrier, but also directly by the viscosity solutions of penalized Isaacs equations without barrier.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0311

6870. Hyperdeterminantal point processes

Author(s): Steven N. Evans and Alex Gottlieb

Abstract: As well as arising naturally in the study of non-intersecting random paths, random spanning trees, and eigenvalues of random matrices, determinantal point processes (sometimes also called fermionic point processes) are relatively easy to simulate and provide a quite broad class of models that exhibit repulsion between points. The fundamental ingredient used to construct a determinantal point process is a kernel giving the pairwise interactions between points: the joint distribution of any number of points then has a simple expression in terms of determinants of certain matrices defined from this kernel. In this paper we initiate the study of an analogous class of point processes that are defined in terms of a kernel giving the interaction between $2M$ points for some integer $M$. The role of matrices is now played by $2M$-dimensional "hypercubic" arrays, and the determinant is replaced by a suitable generalization of it to such arrays -- Cayley's first hyperdeterminant. We show that some of the desirable features of determinantal point processes continue to be exhibited by this generalization.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0450

6871. An introduction to L\'{e}vy processes with applications in finance

Author(s): Antonis Papapantoleon

Abstract: These lectures notes aim at introducing L\'{e}vy processes in an informal and intuitive way, accessible to non-specialists in the field. In the first part, we focus on the theory of L\'{e}vy processes. We analyze a `toy' example of a L\'{e}vy process, viz. a L\'{e}vy jump-diffusion, which yet offers significant insight into the distributional and path structure of a L\'{e}vy process. Then, we present several important results about L\'{e}vy processes, such as infinite divisibility and the L\'{e}vy-Khintchine formula, the L\'{e}vy-It\^{o} decomposition, the It\^{o} formula for L\'{e}vy processes and Girsanov's transformation. Some (sketches of) proofs are presented, still the majority of proofs is omitted and the reader is referred to textbooks instead. In the second part, we turn our attention to the applications of L\'{e}vy processes in financial modeling and option pricing. We discuss how the price process of an asset can be modeled using L\'{e}vy processes and give a brief account of market incompleteness. Popular models in the literature are presented and revisited from the point of view of L\'{e}vy processes, and we also discuss three methods for pricing financial derivatives. Finally, some indicative evidence from applications to market data is presented.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0482

6872. Convergence Properties of Kemp's q-Binomial Distribution

Author(s): Stefan Gerhold and Martin Zeiner

Abstract: We consider Kemp's q-analogue of the binomial distribution. Several convergence results involving the classical binomial, the Heine, the discrete normal, and the Poisson distribution are established. Some of them are q-analogues of classical convergence properties. Besides elementary estimates, we apply Mellin transform asymptotics.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0534

6873. Decentralized Search with Random Costs

Author(s): Oskar Sandberg

Abstract: A decentralized search algorithm is a method of routing on a random graph that uses only limited, local, information about the realization of the graph. In some random graph models it is possible to define such algorithms which produce short paths when routing from any vertex to any other, while for others it is not. We consider random graphs with random costs assigned to the edges. In this situation, we use the methods of stochastic dynamic programming to create a decentralized search method which attempts to minimize the total cost, rather than the number of steps, of each path. We show that it succeeds in doing so among all decentralized search algorithms which monotonically approach the destination. Our algorithm depends on knowing the expected cost of routing from every vertex to any other, but we show that this may be calculated iteratively, and in practice can be easily estimated from the cost of previous routes and compressed into a small routing table. The methods applied here can also be applied directly in other situations, such as efficient searching in graphs with varying vertex degrees.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0577

6874. On the role of Convexity in Functional and Isoperimetric Inequalities

Author(s): Emanuel Milman

Abstract: This is a continuation of our previous work 0712.4092. It is well known that various isoperimetric inequalities imply their functional ``counterparts'', but in general this is not an equivalence. We show that under certain convexity assumptions (e.g. for log-concave probability measures in Euclidean space), the latter implication can in fact be reversed for very general inequalities, generalizing a reverse form of Cheeger's inequality due to Buser and Ledoux. We develop a coherent single framework for passing between isoperimetric inequalities, Orlicz-Sobolev functional inequalities and capacity inequalities, the latter being notions introduced by Maz'ya and extended by Barthe--Cattiaux--Roberto. As an application, we extend the known results due to the latter authors about the stability of the isoperimetric profile under tensorization, when there is no Central-Limit obstruction. As another application, we show that under our convexity assumptions, $q$-log-Sobolev inequalities ($q \in [1,2]$) are equivalent to an appropriate family of isoperimetric inequalities, extending results of Bakry--Ledoux and Bobkov--Zegarlinski. Our results extend to the more general setting of Riemannian manifolds with density which satisfy the $CD(0,\infty)$ curvature-dimension condition of Bakry--\'Emery.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0453

6875. The structure of unicellular maps, and a connection between maps of positive genus and planar labelled trees

Author(s): Guillaume Chapuy

Abstract: A unicellular map is a map which has only one face. We give a bijection between a dominant subset of rooted unicellular maps of fixed genus and a set of rooted plane trees with distinguished vertices. The bijection applies as well to the case of labelled unicellular maps, which are related to all rooted maps by Marcus and Schaeffer's bijection. This gives an immediate derivation of the asymptotic number of unicellular maps of given genus, and a simple bijective proof of a formula of Lehman and Walsh on the number of triangulations with one vertex. From the labelled case, we deduce an expression of the asymptotic number of maps of genus g with n edges involving the ISE random measure, and an explicit characterization of the limiting profile and radius of random bipartite quadrangulations of genus g in terms of the ISE.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0546

6876. A system of grabbing particles related to Galton-Watson trees

Author(s): Jean Bertoin (DMA and PMA) and Vladas Sidoravicius (UCI and CWI) and Maria Eulalia Vares (CBPF)

Abstract: We consider a system of particles with arms that are activated randomly to grab other particles as a toy model for polymerization. We assume that the following two rules are fulfilled: Once a particle has been grabbed then it cannot be grabbed again, and an arm cannot grab a particle that belongs to its own cluster. We are interested in the shape of a typical polymer in the situation when the initial number of monomers is large and the numbers of arms of monomers are given by i.i.d. random variables. Our main result is a limit theorem for the empirical distribution of polymers, where limit is expressed in terms of a Galton-Watson tree.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0726

6877. Cryptanalysis of the Algebraic Eraser and short expressions of permutations as products

Author(s): Arkadius Kalka and Mina Teicher and and Boaz Tsaban

Abstract: On March 2004, Anshel, Anshel, Goldfeld, and Lemieux introduced the _Algebraic Eraser_ scheme for key agreement over an insecure channel. This scheme is based on semidirect products of algebraic structures, and uses a novel hybrid of infinite and finite noncommutative groups. They also introduced the_Colored Burau Key Agreement Protocol (CBKAP)_, a concrete realization of this scheme. We present an efficient method to extract the shared key out of the public information provided by CBKAP, assuming that the keys are chosen with standard distributions. Our methods come from probabilistic group theory, and seem to have not been used before in cryptanalysis. Of independent interest may be a simple heuristic algorithm we propose for finding short expressions of permutations as products of given random permutations. According to heuristic analysis supported by experiments, our algorithm gives expressions of length O(n^2log n) in running time O(n^4log n).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0629

6878. Complements and signed digit representations: Analysis of a multi-exponentiation-algorithm of Wu, Lou, Lai and Chang

Author(s): Clemens Heuberger and Helmut Prodinger

Abstract: Wu, Lou, Lai and Chang proposed a multi-exponentiation algorithm using binary complements and the non-adjacent form. The purpose of this paper is to show that neither the analysis of the algorithm given by its original proposers nor that by other authors are correct. In fact it turns out that the complement operation does not have significant influence on the performance of the algorithm and can therefore be omitted.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0733

6879. Markov Jump Processes Approximating a Nonsymmetric Generalized Diffusion

Author(s): Nedzad Limi\'c

Abstract: Consider a nonsymetric generalized diffusion $X(\cdot)$ in ${\bbR}^d$ generated by the differential operator $A(\msx)=\sum_{ij} \partial_ia_{ij}(\msx)\partial_j +\sum_i b_i(\msx)\partial_i$. In this paper the diffusion process is approximated by Markov jump processes $X_n(\cdot)$ in homogeneous and isotropic grids $G_n \subset {\bbR}^d$ which converge in distribution to diffusion. The generators of $X_n(\cdot)$ are constructed explicitly. Due to the homogeneity and isotropy of grids the proposed method for $d\geq3$ can be applied to processes for which the diffusion tensor $\{a_{ij}(\msx)\}_{11}^{dd}$ fulfills an additional condition. The proposed construction offers a simple method for simulation of sample paths of nonsymetric generalized diffusion. Simulations are carried out in terms of jump processes $X_n(\cdot)$. For $d=2$ the construction can be easily implemented into a computer code.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0804.0848

6880.