Probability Abstracts 108

This document contains abstracts 7954-8212
from Jan-1-2009 to February-28-2009.
They have been mailed on Mar 3, 2009.

7954. Regularity of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by a L{\'e}vy white noise

Author(s): Zdzis{\l}aw Brze{\'z}niak and Jerzy Zabczyk

Abstract: The paper is concerned with spatial and time regularity of solutions to linear stochastic evolution equation perturbed by L\'evy white noise "obtained by subordination of a Gaussian white noise". Sufficient conditions for spatial continuity are derived. It is also shown that solutions do not have in general \cadlag modifications. General results are applied to equations with fractional Laplacian. Applications to Burgers stochastic equations are considered as well.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0028

7955. Weak Solutions of the Stochastic Landau-Lifshitz-Gilbert Equation

Author(s): Z. Brzezniak and B. Goldys

Abstract: The Landau-Lifshitz-Gilbert equation perturbed by a multiplicative space-dependent noise is considered for a ferromagnet filling a bounded three-dimensional domain. We show the existence of weak martingale solutions taking values in a sphere $\mathbb S^2$. The regularity of weak solutions is also discussed. Some of the regularity results are new even for the deterministic Landau-Lifshitz-Gilbert equation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0039

7956. Conditions for certain ruin for the generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and the structure of the upper and lower bounds

Author(s): Damien Bankovsky

Abstract: For a bivariate \Levy process $(\xi_t,\eta_t)_{t\geq 0}$ the generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process is defined as \[V_t:=e^{\xi_t}(z+\int_0^t e^{-\xi_{s-}}\ud \eta_s), t\ge0,\]where $z\in\mathbb{R}.$ We present conditions on the characteristic triplet of $(\xi,\eta)$ which ensure certain ruin for the GOU. We present a detailed analysis on the structure of the upper and lower bounds and the sets of values on which the GOU is almost surely increasing, or decreasing. This paper is the sequel to \cite{BankovskySly08}, which stated conditions for zero probability of ruin, and completes a significant aspect of the study of the GOU.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0207

7957. Current and density fluctuations for interacting particle systems with anomalous diffusive behavior

Author(s): M. Jara

Abstract: We prove density and current fluctuations for two examples of symmetric, interacting particle systems with anomalous diffusive behavior: the zero-range process with long jumps and the zero-range process with degenerated bond disorder. As an application, we obtain subdiffusive behavior of a tagged particle in a simple exclusion process with variable diffusion coefficient.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0229

7958. Order-invariant Measures on Causal Sets

Author(s): Graham Brightwell and Malwina Luczak

Abstract: A causal set is a partially ordered set on a countably infinite ground-set such that each element is above finitely many others. A natural extension of a causal set is an enumeration of its elements which respects the order. We bring together two different classes of random processes. In one class, we are given a fixed causal set, and we consider random natural extensions of this causal set: we think of the random enumeration as being generated one point at a time. In the other class of processes, we generate a random causal set, again working from the bottom up, adding one new maximal element at each stage. Processes of both types can exhibit a property called order-invariance: if we stop the process after some fixed number of steps, then, conditioned on the structure of the causal set, every possible order of generation of its elements is equally likely. We develop a framework for the study of order-invariance which includes both types of example: order-invariance is then a property of probability measures on a certain space. Our main result is a description of the extremal order-invariant measures.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0240

7959. Spatial Epidemics and Local Times for Critical Branching Random Walks in Dimensions 2 and 3

Author(s): Steven P. Lalley and Xinghua Zheng

Abstract: The behavior at criticality of spatial SIR (susceptible/infected/recovered) epidemic models in dimensions two and three is investigated. In these models, finite populations of size N are situated at the vertices of the integer lattice, and infectious contacts are limited to individuals at the same or at neighboring sites. Susceptible individuals, once infected, remain contagious for one unit of time and then recover, after which they are immune to further infection. It is shown that the measure-valued processes associated with these epidemics, suitably scaled, converge, in the large-N limit, either to a standard Dawson-Watanabe process (super-Brownian motion) or to a Dawson-Watanabe process with location-dependent killing, depending on the size of the the initially infected set. A key element of the argument is a proof of Adler's 1993 conjecture that the local time processes associated with branching random walks converge to the local time density process associated with the limiting super-Brownian motion.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0246

7960. Representation of gaussian small ball probabilities in $l_2$

Author(s): Andr\'e Mas (I3M)

Abstract: Let $z=\sum_{i=1}^{+\infty}x_{i}^{2}/a_{i}^{2}$ where the $x_{i}$'s are i.d.d centered with unit variance gaussian random variables and $(a_{i}) _{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ an increasing sequence such that $\sum _{i=1}^{+\infty}a_{i}^{-2}<+\infty$. We propose an exponential-integral representation theorem for the gaussian small ball probability $\mathbb{P}% (z<\varepsilon) $ when $\varepsilon\downarrow0$. We start from a result by Meyer-Wolf, Zeitouni (1993) and Dembo, Meyer-Wolf, Zeitouni (1995) who computed this probability by means of series. We prove that $\mathbb{P}% (z<\varepsilon) $ belongs to a class of functions introduced by de Haan, well-known in extreme value theory, the class Gamma, for which an explicit exponential-integral representation is available. The converse implication holds under a mild additional assumption. Some applications are underlined in connection with statistical inference for random functions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0264

7961. Adjustment coefficient for risk processes in some dependent contexts

Author(s): H. Cossette and E. Marceau and V. Maume-Deschamps

Abstract: Following an article by Muller and Pflug, we study the adjustment coefficient of ruin theory in a context of temporal dependency. We provide a consistent estimator of this coefficient, and perform some simulations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0182

7962. Maximum Entropy on Compact Groups

Author(s): Peter Harremoes

Abstract: On a compact group the Haar probability measure plays the role as uniform distribution. The entropy and rate distortion theory for this uniform distribution is studied. New results and simplified proofs on convergence of convolutions on compact groups are presented and they can be formulated as entropy increases to its maximum. Information theoretic techniques and Markov chains play a crucial role. The rate of convergence is shown to be exponential. The results are also formulated via rate distortion functions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0015

7963. p-Adic Spherical Coordinates and Their Applications

Author(s): Anatoly N. Kochubei

Abstract: On the space $\mathbb Q_p^n$, where $p\ne 2$ and $p$ does not divide $n$, we construct a p-adic counterpart of spherical coordinates. As applications, a description of homogeneous distributions on $\mathbb Q_p^n$ and a skew product decomposition of p-adic L\'evy processes are given.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0071

7964. Order-invariant Measures on Fixed Causal Sets

Author(s): Graham Brightwell and Malwina Luczak

Abstract: A causal set is a countably infinite poset in which every element is above finitely many others; causal sets are exactly the posets that have a linear extension with the order-type of the natural numbers -- we call such a linear extension a {\em natural extension}. We study probability measures on the set of natural extensions of a causal set, especially those measures having the property of {\em order-invariance}: if we condition on the set of the bottom $k$ elements of the natural extension, each possible ordering among these $k$ elements is equally likely. We give sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of an order-invariant measure on the set of natural extensions of a causal set.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0242

7965. Beta Jacobi processes

Author(s): Nizar Demni

Abstract: We define and study a multidimensional process that generalizes the eigenvalues of matrix Jacobi processes on the one hand and whose stationary distribution is given by the beta Jacobi ensemble on the other hand.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0324

7966. Stein's lemma, Malliavin calculus, and tail bounds, with application to polymer fluctuation exponent

Author(s): Frederi G. Viens

Abstract: We consider a random variable X satisfying almost-sure conditions involving G:= where DX is X's Malliavin derivative and L^{-1} is the inverse Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator. A lower- (resp. upper-) bound condition on G is proved to imply a Gaussian-type lower (resp. upper) bound on the tail P[X>z]. Bounds of other natures are also given. A key ingredient is the use of Stein's lemma, including the explicit form of the solution of Stein's equation relative to the function 1_{x>z}, and its relation to G. Another set of comparable results is established, without the use of Stein's lemma, using instead a formula for the density of a random variable based on G, recently devised by the author and Ivan Nourdin. As an application, via a Mehler-type formula for G, we show that the Brownian polymer in a Gaussian environment which is white-noise in time and positively correlated in space has deviations of Gaussian type and a fluctuation exponent \chi=1/2. We also show this exponent remains 1/2 after a non-linear transformation of the polymer's Hamiltonian.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0383

7967. General discrete random walk with variable absorbing probabilities

Author(s): Theo van Uem

Abstract: We obtain expected number of arrivals, probability of arrival, absorption probabilities and expected time before absorption for a general discrete random walk with variable absorbing probabilities on a finite interval using Fibonacci numbers

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0469

7968. Random Current Representation for Transverse Field Ising Models

Author(s): Nicholas Crawford and Dmitry Ioffe

Abstract: Recently, a random current representation for transverse field Ising models has been introduced in \cite{ILN}. This representation is a space-time version of the classical random current representation exploited by Aizenman et. al. %It is a space-time version of the classical random current representation \cite{Ai82, ABF, AF}. In this paper we formulate and prove corresponding space-time versions of the classical switching lemma and show how they generate various correlation inequalities. In particular we prove exponential decay of truncated two-point functions at positive magnetic fields in $\sfz$-direction and address the issue of the sharpness of phase transition.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0812.4834

7969. Invariant manifolds for random and stochastic partial differential equations

Author(s): Tomas Caraballo and Jinqiao Duan and Kening Lu and Bjorn Schmalfuss

Abstract: Random invariant manifolds are geometric objects useful for understanding complex dynamics under stochastic influences. Under a nonuniform hyperbolicity or a nonuniform exponential dichotomy condition, the existence of random pseudo-stable and pseudo-unstable manifolds for a class of \emph{random} partial differential equations and \emph{stochastic} partial differential equations is shown. Unlike the invariant manifold theory for stochastic \emph{ordinary} differential equations, random norms are not used. The result is then applied to a nonlinear stochastic partial differential equation with linear multiplicative noise.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0382

7970. An upper bound for front propagation velocities inside moving populations

Author(s): A. Gaudilliere and F.R. Nardi

Abstract: We consider a two type (red and blue or $R$ and $B$) particle population that evolves on the $d$-dimensional lattice according to some reaction-diffusion process $R+B\to 2R$ and starts with a single red particle and a density $\rho$ of blue particles. For two classes of models we give an upper bound on the propagation velocity of the red particles front with explicit dependence on $\rho$. In the first class of models red and blue particles respectively evolve with a diffusion constant $D_R=1$ and a possibly time dependent jump rate $D_B \geq 0$ -- more generally blue particles follow some independent bistochastic process and this also includes long range random walks with drift and various deterministic processes. We then get in all dimensions an upper bound of order $\max(\rho,\sqrt\rho)$ that depends only on $\rho$ and $d$ and not on the specific process followed by blue particles, in particular that does not depend on $D_B$. We argue that for $d \geq 2$ or $\rho \geq 1$ this bound can be optimal (in $\rho$), while for the simplest case with $d=1$ and $\rho < 1$ known as the frog model, we give a better bound of order $\rho$. In the second class of models particles evolve with exclusion and possibly attraction inside a large two-dimensional box with periodic boundary conditions according to Kawasaki dynamics (that turns into simple exclusion when the attraction is set to zero.) In a low density regime we then get an upper bound of order $\sqrt\rho$. This proves a long-range decorrelation of dynamical events in this low density regime.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0586

7971. A unifying formulation of the Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equation for general stochastic hybrid systems (extended version)

Author(s): Julien Bect

Abstract: A general formulation of the Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov (FPK) equation for stochastic hybrid systems is presented, within the framework of Generalized Stochastic Hybrid Systems (GSHS). The FPK equation describes the time evolution of the probability law of the hybrid state. Our derivation is based on the concept of mean jump intensity, which is related to both the usual stochastic intensity (in the case of spontaneous jumps) and the notion of probability current (in the case of forced jumps). This work unifies all previously known instances of the FPK equation for stochastic hybrid systems, and provides GSHS practitioners with a tool to derive the correct evolution equation for the probability law of the state in any given example.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0615

7972. Infinite rate mutually catalytic branching in infinitely many colonies. Construction, characterization and convergence

Author(s): Achim Klenke and Leonid Mytnik

Abstract: We construct a mutually catalytic branching process on a countable site space with infinite "branching rate". The finite rate mutually catalytic model, in which the rate of branching of one population at a site is proportional to the mass of the other population at that site, was introduced by Dawson and Perkins in [DP98]. We show that our model is the limit for a class of models and in particular for the Dawson- Perkins model as the rate of branching goes to infinity. Our process is characterized as the unique solution to a martingale problem. We also give a characterization of the process as a weak solution of an infinite system of stochastic integral equations driven by a Poisson noise.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0623

7973. On the growth of the supercritical long-range percolation cluster on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ and an application for spatial epidemics

Author(s): Pieter Trapman

Abstract: We consider long-range percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ in which the measure on the configuration of edges is a product measure and the probability that two vertices at distance $r$ share an edge is given by $p(r) = 1-\exp[-\lambda(r)] \in (0,1)$. Here $\lambda(r)$ is a strictly positive, non-increasing regularly varying function. We investigate the asymptotic growth of the size of the $k$-ball around the origin, $|\mathcal{B}_k|$, i.e. the number of vertices that are within graph-distance $k$ of the origin, for $k \to \infty$ for different $\lambda(r)$. We show that conditioned on the origin being in the infinite component, non-empty classes of non-increasing regularly varying $\lambda(r)$ exist for which respectively $|\mathcal{B}_k|^{1/k} \to \infty$ almost surely, there exist $1

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0661

7974. Isomorphism and Symmetries in Random Phylogenetic Trees

Author(s): Philippe Flajolet and Miklos Bona

Abstract: The probability that two randomly selected phylogenetic trees of the same size are isomorphic is found to be asymptotic to a decreasing exponential modulated by a polynomial factor. The number of symmetrical nodes in a random phylogenetic tree of large size obeys a limiting Gaussian distribution, in the sense of both central and local limits. The probability that two random phylogenetic trees have the same number of symmetries asymptotically obeys an inverse square-root law. Precise estimates for these problems are obtained by methods of analytic combinatorics, involving bivariate generating functions, singularity analysis, and quasi-powers approximations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0696

7975. Convolution symmetries of integrable hierarchies, matrix models and $\tau$-functions

Author(s): J. Harnad and A. Yu. Orlov

Abstract: Generalized convolution symmetries of integrable hierarchies of KP-Toda and 2KP-Toda type have the effect of multiplying the Fourier coefficients of the Baker-Akhiezer function by a specified sequence of constants. The induced action on the associated fermionic Fock space is diagonal in the standard orthonormal base determined by occupation sites and labeled by partitions. The coefficients in the single and double Schur function expansions of the associated $\tau$-functions, which are the Pl\"ucker coordinates of a decomposable element, are multiplied by the corresponding diagonal factors. Applying such transformations to matrix integrals, we obtain new matrix models of externally coupled type which are also KP-Toda or 2KP-Toda $\tau$-functions. More general multiple integral representations of tau functions are similarly obtained, as well as finite determinantal expressions for them.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0323

7976. New bounds for the free energy of directed polymer in dimension 1+1 and 1+2

Author(s): Hubert Lacoin

Abstract: We study the free energy of the directed polymer in random environment in dimension 1+1 and 1+2. For dimension 1, we improve the statement of Comets and Vargas concerning very strong disorder by giving sharp estimates on the free energy at high temperature. In dimension 2, we prove that very strong disorder holds at all temperatures, thus solving a long standing conjecture.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0699

7977. Phantom Probability

Author(s): Yehuda Izhakian and Zur Izhakian

Abstract: The classical probability theory supports probability measures assigning each event with a fixed positive real value; aiming to formulate occurrences in real life, these measures are far from being satisfactory. The main innovation of this paper is the introduction of a new probability measure, enabling the assignment of events with varying probabilities that are recorded by ring elements; this measure still provides a Bayesian model, resembling the classical probability model. By introducing two principles for the possible variation of a probability (also known as uncertainty, ambiguity, or imprecise probability), together with the ``correct'' algebraic structure allowing the framing of these principles, we present the foundations for the theory of phantom probability, generalizing the classical probability theory in a natural way. This generalization preserves much of the well known properties, as well as familiar distribution functions, of the classical probability theory: moments, covariance, moment generating functions, the low of large numbers, and the central limit theorem are a few instances demonstrating the concept of the phantom probability theory.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0902

7978. A new approach to mutual information. II

Author(s): Fumio Hiai and Takuho Miyamoto

Abstract: A new concept of mutual pressure is introduced for potential functions on both continuous and discrete compound spaces via discrete micro-states of permutations, and its relations with the usual pressure and the mutual information are established. This paper is a continuation of the paper of Hiai and Petz in Banach Center Publications, Vol. 78.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1072

7979. When do nonlinear filters achieve maximal accuracy?

Author(s): Ramon van Handel

Abstract: The nonlinear filter for an ergodic signal observed in white noise is said to achieve maximal accuracy if the stationary filtering error vanishes as the signal to noise ratio diverges. We give a general characterization of the maximal accuracy property in terms of various systems theoretic notions. When the signal state space is a finite set explicit necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained, while the linear Gaussian case reduces to a classic result of Kwakernaak and Sivan (1972).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1084

7980. A CLT for the L^{2} modulus of continuity of Brownian local time

Author(s): Xia Chen and Wenbo Li and Michael B. Marcus and Jay Rosen

Abstract: Let $\{L^{x}_{t} ; (x,t)\in R^{1}\times R^{1}_{+}\}$ denote the local time of Brownian motion and \[ \alpha_{t}:=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} (L^{x}_{t})^{2} dx . \] Let $\eta=N(0,1)$ be independent of $\alpha_{t}$. For each fixed $t$ \[ {\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} (L^{x+h}_{t}- L^{x}_{t})^{2} dx- 4ht\over h^{3/2}} \stackrel{\mathcal{L}}{\to}({64 \over 3})^{1/2}\sqrt{\alpha_{t}} \eta, \] as $h\rar 0$. Equivalently \[ {\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} (L^{x+1}_{t}- L^{x}_{t})^{2} dx- 4t\over t^{3/4}} \stackrel{\mathcal{L}}{\to}({64 \over 3} )^{1/2}\sqrt{\alpha_{1}} \eta, \] as $t\rar\infty$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1102

7981. Asymptotic behaviour of a general reversible chemical reaction-diffusion equation

Author(s): Ivan Gentil (CEREMADE) and Boguslaw Zegarlinski

Abstract: In this work, we prove the existence and the exponential decay to equilibrium of a general reversible chemical reaction-diffusion equation with same but general diffusion. Moreover, we prove the optimal asymptotic behaviour in the "two-by-two" case.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1241

7982. Projecting the Fokker-Planck Equation onto a finite dimensional exponential family

Author(s): Damiano Brigo and Giovanni Pistone

Abstract: In the present paper we discuss problems concerning evolutions of densities related to Ito diffusions in the framework of the statistical exponential manifold. We develop a rigorous approach to the problem, and we particularize it to the orthogonal projection of the evolution of the density of a diffusion process onto a finite dimensional exponential manifold. It has been shown by D. Brigo (1996) that the projected evolution can always be interpreted as the evolution of the density of a different diffusion process. We give also a compactness result when the dimension of the exponential family increases, as a first step towards a convergence result to be investigated in the future. The infinite dimensional exponential manifold structure introduced by G. Pistone and C. Sempi is used and some examples are given.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1308

7983. Collisions and Spirals of Loewner Traces

Author(s): Joan Lind and Donald E. Marshall and and Steffen Rohde

Abstract: We analyze Loewner traces driven by functions asymptotic to K\sqrt{1-t}. We prove a stability result when K is not 4 and show that K=4 can lead to non locally connected hulls. As a consequence, we obtain a driving term \lambda(t) so that the hulls driven by K\lambda(t) are generated by a continuous curve for all K > 0 with K not equal to 4 but not when K = 4, so that the space of driving terms with continuous traces is not convex. As a byproduct, we obtain an explicit construction of the traces driven by K\sqrt{1-t} and a conceptual proof of the corresponding results of Kager, Nienhuis and Kadanoff, math-ph/0309006

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1157

7984. A Better Way to Deal the Cards

Author(s): Mark Conger and Jason Howald

Abstract: This thesis considers the effect of riffle shuffling on decks of cards, allowing for some cards to be indistinguishable from other cards. The dual problem of dealing a game with hands, such as bridge or poker, is also considered. The Gilbert-Shannon-Reeds model of card shuffling is used, along with variation distance for measuring how close to uniform a deck has become. The surprising results are that for a deck with only two types of cards (such as red and black), the shuffler can greatly improve the randomness of the deck by insuring that the top and bottom cards are the same before shuffling. And in the case of dealing cards for a game with "hands", such as bridge or poker, the normal method of dealing cyclically around the table is very far from optimal. In the case of a well-shuffled bridge deck, changing to another dealing method is as good as doing 3.7 extra shuffles. How the deck is cut in poker affects its randomness as well.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1324

7985. Semi-infinite TASEP with a Complex Boundary Mechanism

Author(s): Nicky Sonigo (UMPA-Ensl)

Abstract: We consider a totally asymmetric exclusion process on the positive half-line. When particles enter in the system according to a Poisson source, Liggett has computed all the limit distributions when the initial distribution has an asymptotic density. In this paper we consider systems for which particles enter at the boundary according to a complex mechanism depending on the current configuration in a finite neighborhood of the origin. For this kind of models, we prove a strong law of large numbers for the number of particles entered in the system at a given time. Our main tool is a new representation of the model as a multi-type particle system with infinitely many particle types.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1364

7986. Two kinds of conditionings for stable L\'evy processes

Author(s): Kouji Yano

Abstract: Two kinds of conditionings for one-dimensional stable L\'evy processes are discussed via $ h $-transforms of excursion measures: One is to stay positive, and the other is to avoid the origin.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1374

7987. Mixture of the Riesz distribution with respect to the multivariate Poisson

Author(s): Abdelhamid Hassairi and Mahdi Louati

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to study the mixture of the Riesz distribution on symmetric matrices with respect to the multivariate Poisson distribution. We show, in particular, that this distribution is related to the modified Bessel function of the first kind. We also study the generated natural exponential family. We determine the domain of the means and the variance function of this family.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1390

7988. Tails of multivariate Archimedean copulas

Author(s): Arthur Charpentier and Johan Segers

Abstract: A complete and user-friendly directory of tails of Archimedean copulas is presented which can be used in the selection and construction of appropriate models with desired properties. The results are synthesized in the form of a decision tree: Given the values of some readily computable characteristics of the Archimedean generator, the upper and lower tails of the copula are classified into one of three classes each, one corresponding to asymptotic dependence and the other two to asymptotic independence. For a long list of single-parameter families, the relevant tail quantities are computed so that the corresponding classes in the decision tree can easily be determined. In addition, new models with tailor-made upper and lower tails can be constructed via a number of transformation methods. The frequently occurring category of asymptotic independence turns out to conceal a surprisingly rich variety of tail dependence structures.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1521

7989. The phase transition of the quantum Ising model is sharp

Author(s): J. E. Bj\"ornberg and G. R. Grimmett

Abstract: An analysis is presented of the phase transition of the quantum Ising model with transverse field on the d-dimensional hypercubic lattice. It is shown that there is a unique sharp transition. The value of the critical point is calculated rigorously in one dimension. The first step is to express the quantum Ising model in terms of a (continuous) classical Ising model in d+1 dimensions. A so-called `random-parity' representation is developed for the latter model, similar to the random-current representation for the classical Ising model on a discrete lattice. Certain differential inequalities are proved. Integration of these inequalities yields the sharpness of the phase transition, and also a number of other facts concerning the critical and near-critical behaviour of the model under study.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0328

7990. A cautionary tale on the efficiency of some adaptive Monte Carlo Schemes

Author(s): Yves F. Atchade

Abstract: There is a growing interest in the literature for adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods based on sequences of random transition kernels $\{P_n\}$ where the kernel $P_n$ is allowed to have an invariant distribution $\pi_n$ not necessarily equal to the distribution of interest $\pi$ (target distribution). These algorithms are designed such that as $n\to\infty$, $P_n$ converges to $P$, a kernel that has the correct invariant distribution $\pi$. Typically, $P$ is a kernel with good convergence properties, but one that cannot be directly implemented. It is then expected that the algorithm will inherit the good convergence properties of $P$. The equi-energy sampler of \cite{kzw06} is an example of this type of adaptive MCMC. We show in this paper, that the asymptotic variance of this type of adaptive MCMC is always at least as large as the asymptotic variance of the Markov chain with transition kernel $P$. We also show by simulation that the difference can be substantial.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1378

7991. The Logarithmic Sobolev Inequality in Infinite dimensions for Unbounded Spin Systems on the Lattice with non Quadratic Interactions

Author(s): Ioannis Papageorgiou (Imperial College London)

Abstract: We are interested in the Logarithmic Sobolev Inequality for the infinite volume Gibbs measure with no quadratic interactions. We consider unbounded spin systems on the one dimensional Lattice with interactions that go beyond the usual strict convexity and without uniform bound on the second derivative. We assume that the one dimensional single-site measure with boundaries satisfies the Log-Sobolev inequality uniformly on the boundary conditions and we determine conditions under which the Log-Sobolev Inequality can be extended to the infinite volume Gibbs measure.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1403

7992. Degree-distribution Stability of Evolving Networks

Author(s): Zhenting Hou and Xiangxing Kong and Dinghua Shi and Guanrong Chen and Qinggui Zhao

Abstract: In this paper, we abstract a kind of stochastic processes from evolving processes of evolving networks, this process is called evolving network Markov chains. Thus the degree distribution of evolving network is transformed to the corresponding problem of evolving network Markov chains. First we investigate the evolving network Markov chains, and get its exact formulas and obtain a criteria to judge whether the steady degree distribution is power-law or not. Then we apply it to evolving networks. With this method, we get a rigorous, exact and unified solution of the steady degree distribution for evolving networks.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1418

7993. Perturbing the Logarithmic Sobolev Inequality for Unbounded Spin Systems on the Lattice with non Quadratic Interactions

Author(s): Ioannis Papageorgiou (Imperial College London)

Abstract: We consider unbounded spin systems on the one dimensional Lattice with interactions that go beyond the usual strict convexity and without uniform bound on the second derivative. We assume that the one dimensional without interactions (boundary-free) measure satisfies the Logarithmic Sobolev inequality and we determine conditions under which the Log-Sobolev Inequality can be extended to the infinite volume Gibbs measure.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1482

7994. Correlation inequalities of GKS type for the Potts model

Author(s): Geoffrey Grimmett

Abstract: Correlation inequalities are presented for functionals of a ferromagnetic Potts model with external field, using the random-cluster representation. These results extend earlier inequalities of Ganikhodjaev--Razak and Schonmann, and yield also GKS-type inequalities when the spin-space is taken as the set of qth roots of unity.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1625

7995. Entropic Measure on Multidimensional Spaces

Author(s): Karl-Theodor Sturm

Abstract: We construct the entropic measure $\mathbb{P}^\beta$ on compact manifolds of any dimension. It is defined as the push forward of the Dirichlet process (another random probability measure, well-known to exist on spaces of any dimension) under the {\em conjugation map} $$\Conj:\mathcal{P}(M)\to\mathcal{P}(M).$$ This conjugation map is a continuous involution. It can be regarded as the canonical extension to higher dimensional spaces of a map between probability measures on 1-dimensional spaces characterized by the fact that the distribution functions of $\mu$ and $\Conj(\mu)$ are inverse to each other. We also present an heuristic interpretation of the entropic measure as $$d\mathbb{P}^\beta(\mu)=\frac{1}{Z}\exp(-\beta\cdot {Ent} (\mu|m))\cdot d\mathbb{P}^0(\mu).$$

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1815

7996. Approximation of target problems in Blackwell spaces

Author(s): Giacomo Aletti and Diane Saada

Abstract: On a weakly Blackwell space we show how to define a Markov chain approximating problem, for the target problem. The approximating problem is proved to converge to the optimal reduced problem under different pseudometrics. A computational example of compression of information is discussed.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1871

7997. Distribution of Random Variables on the Symmetric Group

Author(s): Vytas Zacharovas

Abstract: The well known Erdos-Turan law states that the logarithm of an order of a random permutation is asymptotically normally distributed. The aim of this work is to estimate convergence rate in this theorem and also to prove analogous result for distribution of the logarithm of an order of a random permutation on a certain class of subsets of the symmetric group. We also study the asymptotic behavior of the mean values of multiplicative functions on the symmetric group and the results we obtain are of independent interest besides their application to the investigation of the remainder term in the Erdos-Turan law. We also study a related problem of distribution of the degree of a splitting field of a random polynomial and obtain sharp estimates for its convergence rate to normal law. In research we apply both probabilistic and analytic methods. Some analytic methods used here have their origins in the probabilistic number theory, and some have their roots in the theory of summation of divergent series. One of the approaches we use is to apply Tauberian type estimates for Voronoi summability of divergent series to analyze the generating functions of the mean values of multiplicative functions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1733

7998. Classification of E_0--Semigroups by Product Systems

Author(s): Michael Skeide

Abstract: In these notes we tie up some loose ends in the theory of E_0-semigroups and their classification by product systems of Hilbert modules. We explain how the notion of cocycle conjugacy must be modified in order to see how product systems classify E_0-semigroups. Actually, we will find two notions of cocycle conjugacy (which for Hilbert spaces coincide) that lead to classification up to isomorphism of product systems and up to Morita equivalence of product systems, respectively. (In between there is also a classification up to generalized isomorphism of product systems.) Apart from these new results, we provide also general versions of results known for Hilbert modules with unit vectors. In this context it is also indispensable to review the notions of Morita equivalent product systems and Morita equivalent Hilbert modules, adding some generalities that have not yet been mentioned. In any case, we underline the outstanding role played by Morita equivalence in the relation between E_0-semigroups and product systems. As usual with Morita equivalence, the most satisfying form of the results we find for von Neumann algebras. Some of the C*-versions of the results will depend on countability assumptions. Altogether, we have now a complete the theory of the classification of normal E_0-semigroups on B^a(E) by product systems of von Neumann correspondences. We have the same theory for the classification of strict E_0-semigroups by product systems of C*-correspondences under countability hypotheses. In both cases, we apply our theory to prove that a Markov semigroup admits a Hudson-Parthasarathy dilation if and only if it is spatial.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1798

7999. A finite dimensional filter with exponential conditional density

Author(s): Damiano Brigo

Abstract: In this paper we consider the continuous--time nonlinear filtering problem, which has an infinite--dimensional solution in general, as proved by Chaleyat--Maurel and Michel. There are few examples of nonlinear systems for which the optimal filter is finite dimensional, in particular Kalman's, Benes', and Daum's filters. In the present paper, we construct new classes of scalar nonlinear filtering problems admitting finite--dimensional filters. We consider a given (nonlinear) diffusion coefficient for the state equation, a given (nonlinear) observation function, and a given finite--dimensional exponential family of probability densities. We construct a drift for the state equation such that the resulting nonlinear filtering problem admits a finite--dimensional filter evolving in the prescribed exponential family augmented by the observaton function and its square.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1952

8000. Brownian motion with respect to time-changing Riemannian metrics, applications to Ricci flow

Author(s): Kol\'eh\'e Abdoulaye Coulibaly-Pasquier (LMA)

Abstract: We generalize Brownian motion on a Riemannian manifold to the case of a family of metrics which depends on time. Such questions are natural for equations like the heat equation with respect to time dependent Laplacians (inhomogeneous diffusions). In this paper we are in particular interested in the Ricci flow which provides an intrinsic family of time dependent metrics. We give a notion of parallel transport along this Brownian motion, and establish a generalization of the Dohrn-Guerra or damped parallel transport, Bismut integration by part formulas, and gradient estimate formulas. One of our main results is a characterization of the Ricci flow in terms of the damped parallel transport. At the end of the paper we give an intrinsic definition of the damped parallel transport in terms of stochastic flows, and derive an intrinsic martingale which may provide information about singularities of the flow.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1999

8001. Some differential systems driven by a fBm with Hurst parameter greater than 1/4

Author(s): Samy Tindel (IECN) and Iv\'an Torrecilla (UB)

Abstract: This note is devoted to show how to push forward the algebraic integration setting in order to treat differential systems driven by a noisy input with H\"older regularity greater than 1/4. After recalling how to treat the case of ordinary stochastic differential equations, we mainly focus on the case of delay equations. A careful analysis is then performed in order to show that a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/4 fulfills the assumptions of our abstract theorems.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2010

8002. The cut metric, random graphs, and branching processes

Author(s): Bela Bollobas and Svante Janson and Oliver Riordan

Abstract: In this paper we study the component structure of random graphs with independence between the edges. Under mild assumptions, we determine whether there is a giant component, and find its asymptotic size when it exists. We assume that the sequence of matrices of edge probabilities converges to an appropriate limit object (a kernel), but only in a very weak sense, namely in the cut metric. Our results thus generalize previous results on the phase transition in the already very general inhomogeneous random graph model we introduced recently, as well as related results of Bollob\'as, Borgs, Chayes and Riordan, all of which involve considerably stronger assumptions. We also prove corresponding results for random hypergraphs; these generalize our results on the phase transition in inhomogeneous random graphs with clustering.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2091

8003. Hankel determinants of Dirichlet series

Author(s): H. Monien

Abstract: We derive a general expression for the Hankel determinants of a Dirichlet series F(s) and derive the asymptotic behavior for the special case that F(s) is the Riemann zeta function. In this case the Hankel determinant is a discrete analogue of the Selberg integral and can be viewed as a matrix integral with discrete measure. We briefly comment on its relation to Plancherel measures.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1883

8004. A Lower Bound on the Capacity of Wireless Erasure Networks with Random Node Locations

Author(s): Rayyan G. Jaber and Jeffrey G. Andrews

Abstract: In this paper, a lower bound on the capacity of wireless ad hoc erasure networks is derived in closed form in the canonical case where $n$ nodes are uniformly and independently distributed in the unit area square. The bound holds almost surely and is asymptotically tight. We assume all nodes have fixed transmit power and hence two nodes should be within a specified distance $r_n$ of each other to overcome noise. In this context, interference determines outages, so we model each transmitter-receiver pair as an erasure channel with a broadcast constraint, i.e. each node can transmit only one signal across all its outgoing links. A lower bound of $\Theta(n r_n)$ for the capacity of this class of networks is derived. If the broadcast constraint is relaxed and each node can send distinct signals on distinct outgoing links, we show that the gain is a function of $r_n$ and the link erasure probabilities, and is at most a constant if the link erasure probabilities grow sufficiently large with $n$. Finally, the case where the erasure probabilities are themselves random variables, for example due to randomness in geometry or channels, is analyzed. We prove somewhat surprisingly that in this setting, variability in erasure probabilities increases network capacity.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1936

8005. Soliton dynamics for the Korteweg-de Vries equation with multiplicative homogeneous noise

Author(s): Anne De Bouard (CMAP) and Arnaud Debussche (IRMAR)

Abstract: We consider a randomly perturbed Korteweg-de Vries equation. The perturbation is a random potential depending both on space and time, with a white noise behavior in time, and a regular, but stationary behavior in space. We investigate the dynamics of the soliton of the KdV equation in the presence of this random perturbation, assuming that the amplitude of the perturbation is small. We estimate precisely the exit time of the perturbed solution from a neighborhood of the modulated soliton, and we obtain the modulation equations for the soliton parameters. We moreover prove a central limit theorem for the dispersive part of the solution, and investigate the asymptotic behavior in time of the limit process.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.1965

8006. H"older index for density states of (alpha,1,beta)-superprocesses at a given point

Author(s): Klaus Fleischmann and Leonid Mytnik and Vitali Wachtel

Abstract: A H"older regularity index at given points for density states of (alpha,1,beta)-superprocesses with alpha>1+beta is determined. It is shown that this index is strictly greater than the optimal index of local H"older continuity for those density states.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2315

8007. On weak approximation of U-statistics

Author(s): Masoud M. Nasari

Abstract: This paper investigates weak convergence of U-statistics via approximation in probability. The classical condition that the second moment of the kernel of the underlying U-statistic exists is relaxed to having 4/3 moments only (modulo a logarithmic term). Furthermore, the conditional expectation of the kernel is only assumed to be in the domain of attraction of the normal law (instead of the classical two-moment condition).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2343

8008. An Excursion-Theoretic Approach to Stability of Discrete-Time Stochastic Hybrid Systems

Author(s): Debasish Chatterjee and Soumik Pal

Abstract: We address stability of a class of Markovian discrete-time stochastic hybrid systems. This class of systems is characterized by the state-space of the system being partitioned into a safe or target set and its exterior, and the dynamics of the system being different in each domain. We give conditions for $L_1$-boundedness of Lyapunov functions based on certain negative drift conditions outside the target set, together with some more minor assumptions. We then apply our results to a wide class of randomly switched systems (or iterated function systems), for which we give conditions for global asymptotic stability almost surely and in $L_1$. The systems need not be time-homogeneous, and our results apply to certain systems for which functional-analytic or martingale-based estimates are difficult or impossible to get.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2269

8009. Counterexamples in the theory of fair division

Author(s): Theodore P. Hill and Kent E. Morrison

Abstract: The formal mathematical theory of fair division has a rich history dating back at least to Steinhaus in the 1940's. In recent work in this area, several general classes of errors have appeared along with confusion about the necessity and sufficiency of certain hypotheses. It is the purpose of this article to correct the scientific record and to point out with concrete examples some of the pitfalls that have led to these mistakes. These examples may serve as guideposts for future work.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2360

8010. Pricing and trading credit default swaps in a hazard process model

Author(s): Tomasz R. Bielecki and Monique Jeanblanc and Marek Rutkowski

Abstract: In the paper we study dynamics of the arbitrage prices of credit default swaps within a hazard process model of credit risk. We derive these dynamics without postulating that the immersion property is satisfied between some relevant filtrations. These results are then applied so to study the problem of replication of general defaultable claims, including some basket claims, by means of dynamic trading of credit default swaps.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2390

8011. Poisson process approximation for dependent superposition of point processes

Author(s): Louis H. Y. Chen and Aihua Xia

Abstract: Although the study of weak convergence of superposition of point processes to the Poisson process dates back to the work of Grigelionis in 1963, it was only recently that Schuhmacher (2005a) obtained error bounds for the weak convergence. Schuhmacher considered dependent supposition, truncated the individual point processes to 0--1 point processes and then applied Stein's method to the latter. In this paper we take a different approach to the problem by using Palm theory and Stein's method, thereby expressing the error bounds in terms of the mean measures of the individual point processes, which is not possible by Schuhmacher's approach. We consider locally dependent supposition as a generalization of the locally dependent point process introduced in Chen and Xia (2004) and apply the main theorem to the superposition of thinned point processes and of renewal processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2445

8012. Busemann functions and equilibrium measures in last passage percolation

Author(s): Eric Cator and Leandro P.R. Pimentel

Abstract: The interplay between two-dimensional percolation growth models and one-dimensional particle processes has always been a fruitful source of interesting mathematical phenomena. In this paper we develop a connection between the construction of Busemann functions in the Hammersley last-passage percolation model with i.i.d. random weights, and the existence, ergodicity and uniqueness of equilibrium measures for the related (multi-class) interacting particle process. As we shall see, in the classical Hammersley model where each point has weight one, this approach brings a new and rather geometrical solution of the longest increasing subsequence problem, as well as a detailed description of the scaling behavior of the Busemann function along different directions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2450

8013. Asymptotic optimality of maximum pressure policies in stochastic processing networks

Author(s): J. G. Dai and Wuqin Lin

Abstract: We consider a class of stochastic processing networks. Assume that the networks satisfy a complete resource pooling condition. We prove that each maximum pressure policy asymptotically minimizes the workload process in a stochastic processing network in heavy traffic. We also show that, under each quadratic holding cost structure, there is a maximum pressure policy that asymptotically minimizes the holding cost. A key to the optimality proofs is to prove a state space collapse result and a heavy traffic limit theorem for the network processes under a maximum pressure policy. We extend a framework of Bramson [Queueing Systems Theory Appl. 30 (1998) 89--148] and Williams [Queueing Systems Theory Appl. 30 (1998b) 5--25] from the multiclass queueing network setting to the stochastic processing network setting to prove the state space collapse result and the heavy traffic limit theorem. The extension can be adapted to other studies of stochastic processing networks.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2451

8014. State-dependent Foster-Lyapunov criteria for subgeometric convergence of Markov chains

Author(s): Stephen B. Connor and Gersende Fort

Abstract: We consider a form of state-dependent drift condition for a general Markov chain, whereby the chain subsampled at some deterministic time satisfies a geometric Foster-Lyapunov condition. We present sufficient criteria for such a drift condition to exist, and use these to partially answer a question posed by Connor & Kendall (2007) concerning the existence of so-called 'tame' Markov chains. Furthermore, we show that our 'subsampled drift condition' implies the existence of finite moments for the return time to a small set.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2453

8015. Central limit theorem for the solution of the Kac equation

Author(s): Ester Gabetta and Eugenio Regazzini

Abstract: We prove that the solution of the Kac analogue of Boltzmann's equation can be viewed as a probability distribution of a sum of a random number of random variables. This fact allows us to study convergence to equilibrium by means of a few classical statements pertaining to the central limit theorem. In particular, a new proof of the convergence to the Maxwellian distribution is provided, with a rate information both under the sole hypothesis that the initial energy is finite and under the additional condition that the initial distribution has finite moment of order $2+\delta$ for some $\delta$ in $(0,1]$. Moreover, it is proved that finiteness of initial energy is necessary in order that the solution of Kac's equation can converge weakly. While this statement may seem to be intuitively clear, to our knowledge there is no proof of it as yet.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2464

8016. The asymptotic distribution and Berry--Esseen bound of a new test for independence in high dimension with an application to stochastic optimization

Author(s): Wei-Dong Liu and Zhengyan Lin and Qi-Man Shao

Abstract: Let $\mathbf{X}_1,...,\mathbf{X}_n$ be a random sample from a $p$-dimensional population distribution. Assume that $c_1n^{\alpha}\leq p\leq c_2n^{\alpha}$ for some positive constants $c_1,c_2$ and $\alpha$. In this paper we introduce a new statistic for testing independence of the $p$-variates of the population and prove that the limiting distribution is the extreme distribution of type I with a rate of convergence $O((\log n)^{5/2}/\sqrt{n})$. This is much faster than $O(1/\log n)$, a typical convergence rate for this type of extreme distribution. A simulation study and application to stochastic optimization are discussed.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2468

8017. Optimal stopping and free boundary characterizations for some Brownian control problems

Author(s): Amarjit Budhiraja and Kevin Ross

Abstract: A singular stochastic control problem with state constraints in two-dimensions is studied. We show that the value function is $C^1$ and its directional derivatives are the value functions of certain optimal stopping problems. Guided by the optimal stopping problem, we then introduce the associated no-action region and the free boundary and show that, under appropriate conditions, an optimally controlled process is a Brownian motion in the no-action region with reflection at the free boundary. This proves a conjecture of Martins, Shreve and Soner [SIAM J. Control Optim. 34 (1996) 2133--2171] on the form of an optimal control for this class of singular control problems. An important issue in our analysis is that the running cost is Lipschitz but not $C^1$. This lack of smoothness is one of the key obstacles in establishing regularity of the free boundary and of the value function. We show that the free boundary is Lipschitz and that the value function is $C^2$ in the interior of the no-action region. We then use a verification argument applied to a suitable $C^2$ approximation of the value function to establish optimality of the conjectured control.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2474

8018. The contact process in a dynamic random environment

Author(s): Daniel Remenik

Abstract: We study a contact process running in a random environment in $\mathbb {Z}^d$ where sites flip, independently of each other, between blocking and nonblocking states, and the contact process is restricted to live in the space given by nonblocked sites. We give a partial description of the phase diagram of the process, showing in particular that, depending on the flip rates of the environment, survival of the contact process may or may not be possible for large values of the birth rate. We prove block conditions for the process that parallel the ones for the ordinary contact process and use these to conclude that the critical process dies out and that the complete convergence theorem holds in the supercritical case.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2480

8019. A von Neumann theorem for uniformly distributed sequences of partitions

Author(s): Ingrid Carbone and Aljosa Volcic (University of Calabria - Italy)

Abstract: In this paper we consider permutations of sequences of partitions, obtaining a result which parallels von Neumann's theorem on permutations of dense sequences and uniformly distributed sequences of points.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2531

8020. Fermionic construction of partition functions for two-matrix models and perturbative Schur function expansions

Author(s): J. Harnad and A.Yu. Orlov

Abstract: A new representation of the 2N fold integrals appearing in various two-matrix models that admit reductions to integrals over their eigenvalues is given in terms of vacuum state expectation values of operator products formed from two-component free fermions. This is used to derive the perturbation series for these integrals under deformations induced by exponential weight factors in the measure, expressed as double and quadruple Schur function expansions, generalizing results obtained earlier for certain two-matrix models. Links with the coupled two-component KP hierarchy and the two-component Toda lattice hierarchy are also derived.

http://arxiv.org/abs/math-ph/0512056

8021. Synchronization of dissipative dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian Levy noises

Author(s): Xianming Liu and Jinqiao Duan and Jicheng Liu and Peter E. Kloeden

Abstract: Dynamical systems driven by Gaussian noises have been considered extensively in modeling, simulation and theory. However, complex systems in engineering and science are often subject to non-Gaussian fluctuations or uncertainties. A coupled dynamical system under non- Gaussian Levy noises is considered. After discussing cocycle prop- erty, stationary orbits and random attractors, a synchronization phe- nomenon is shown to occur, when the drift terms of the coupled system satisfy certain dissipativity and integrability conditions. The synchro- nization result implies that coupled dynamical systems share a dy- namical feature in some asymptotic sense.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2446

8022. Exact Asymptotic for the Tail of Maximum of Smooth Random Field Distribution

Author(s): E. Ostrovsky

Abstract: We obtain in this paper using the saddle point method the expression for the exact asymptotic for the tail of maximum of smooth (twice continuous differentiable) random field (process) distribution.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2714

8023. Averaging of Hamiltonian flows with an ergodic component

Author(s): Dmitry Dolgopyat and Leonid Koralov

Abstract: We consider a process on $\mathbb{T}^2$, which consists of fast motion along the stream lines of an incompressible periodic vector field perturbed by white noise. It gives rise to a process on the graph naturally associated to the structure of the stream lines of the unperturbed flow. It has been shown by Freidlin and Wentzell [Random Perturbations of Dynamical Systems, 2nd ed. Springer, New York (1998)] and [Mem. Amer. Math. Soc. 109 (1994)] that if the stream function of the flow is periodic, then the corresponding process on the graph weakly converges to a Markov process. We consider the situation where the stream function is not periodic, and the flow (when considered on the torus) has an ergodic component of positive measure. We show that if the rotation number is Diophantine, then the process on the graph still converges to a Markov process, which spends a positive proportion of time in the vertex corresponding to the ergodic component of the flow.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2776

8024. Optimal approximation rate of certain stochastic integrals

Author(s): Heikki Sepp\"al\"a

Abstract: Given an increasing function $H:[0,1)\to [0,\infty)$ and $$ A_n(H):=\inf_{\tau\in \mathcal{T}_n}(\sum_{i=1}^n \int_{t_{i-1}}^{t_i} (t_i-t)H^2(t)dt)^{{1/2}}, $$ where $\mathcal{T}_n:=\{\tau=(t_i)_{i=0}^n: 0=t_0

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2777

8025. Weak solutions for forward--backward SDEs--a martingale problem approach

Author(s): Jin Ma and Jianfeng Zhang and Ziyu Zheng

Abstract: In this paper, we propose a new notion of Forward--Backward Martingale Problem (FBMP), and study its relationship with the weak solution to the forward--backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs). The FBMP extends the idea of the well-known (forward) martingale problem of Stroock and Varadhan, but it is structured specifically to fit the nature of an FBSDE. We first prove a general sufficient condition for the existence of the solution to the FBMP. In the Markovian case with uniformly continuous coefficients, we show that the weak solution to the FBSDE (or equivalently, the solution to the FBMP) does exist. Moreover, we prove that the uniqueness of the FBMP (whence the uniqueness of the weak solution) is determined by the uniqueness of the viscosity solution of the corresponding quasilinear PDE.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2790

8026. Some local approximations of Dawson--Watanabe superprocesses

Author(s): Olav Kallenberg

Abstract: Let $\xi$ be a Dawson--Watanabe superprocess in $\mathbb{R}^d$ such that $\xi_t$ is a.s. locally finite for every $t\geq 0$. Then for $d\geq2$ and fixed $t>0$, the singular random measure $\xi_t$ can be a.s. approximated by suitably normalized restrictions of Lebesgue measure to the $\varepsilon$-neighborhoods of $\operatorname {supp}\xi_t$. When $d\geq3$, the local distributions of $\xi_t$ near a hitting point can be approximated in total variation by those of a stationary and self-similar pseudo-random measure $\tilde{\xi}$. By contrast, the corresponding distributions for $d=2$ are locally invariant. Further results include improvements of some classical extinction criteria and some limiting properties of hitting probabilities. Our main proofs are based on a detailed analysis of the historical structure of $\xi$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2840

8027. Trivial intersection of $\sigma$-fields and Gibbs sampling

Author(s): Patrizia Berti and Luca Pratelli and Pietro Rigo

Abstract: Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P)$ be a probability space and $\mathcal{N}$ the class of those $F\in\mathcal{F}$ satisfying $P(F)\in\{0,1\}$. For each $\mathcal{G}\subset\mathcal{F}$, define $\overline{\mathcal{G}}=\sigma(\mathcal{G}\cup\mathcal {N})$. Necessary and sufficient conditions for $\overline{\mathcal{A}}\cap\overline{\mathcal{B}}=\overline {\mathcal {A}\cap\mathcal{B}}$, where $\mathcal{A},\mathcal{B}\subset\mathcal{F}$ are sub-$\sigma$-fields, are given. These conditions are then applied to the (two-component) Gibbs sampler. Suppose $X$ and $Y$ are the coordinate projections on $(\Omega,\mathcal{F})=(\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{Y},\mathcal {U}\otimes \mathcal{V})$ where $(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{U})$ and $(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{V})$ are measurable spaces. Let $(X_n,Y_n)_{n\geq0}$ be the Gibbs chain for $P$. Then, the SLLN holds for $(X_n,Y_n)$ if and only if $\overline{\sigma(X)}\cap\overline{\sigma(Y)}=\mathcal{N}$, or equivalently if and only if $P(X\in U)P(Y\in V)=0$ whenever $U\in\mathcal{U}$, $V\in\mathcal{V}$ and $P(U\times V)=P(U^c\times V^c)=0$. The latter condition is also equivalent to ergodicity of $(X_n,Y_n)$, on a certain subset $S_0\subset\Omega$, in case $\mathcal{F}=\mathcal{U}\otimes\mathcal{V}$ is countably generated and $P$ absolutely continuous with respect to a product measure.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2851

8028. Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Equations with time-dependent coefficients and Levy Noise in finite and infinite dimensions

Author(s): F. Kn\"able

Abstract: We solve a time-dependent linear SPDE with additive Levy noise in the mild and weak sense. Existence of a generalized invariant measure for the associated transition semigroup is established and the generator is characterized on the corresponding L^2-space. The square field operator is calculated, allowing to derive a Poincare and a Harnack inequality.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2887

8029. Evolution Systems of Measures for Non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes with Levy noise

Author(s): Robert Wooster

Abstract: We examine the question of existence and uniqueness of evolution systems of measures for non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type processes with jumps. In particular, we give examples where we explicitly compute the densities of such families of measures.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2899

8030. Depinning of a polymer in a multi-interface medium

Author(s): Francesco Caravenna and Nicolas P\'etr\'elis

Abstract: In this paper we consider a model which describes a polymer chain interacting with an infinity of equi-spaced linear interfaces. The distance between two consecutive interfaces is denoted by T = T_N and is allowed to grow with the size N of the polymer. When the polymer receives a positive reward for touching the interfaces, its asymptotic behavior has been derived in a previous paper, showing that a transition occurs when T_N \approx log(N). In the present paper, we deal with the so-called depinning case, i.e., the polymer is repelled rather than attracted by the interfaces. Using techniques from renewal theory, we determine the scaling behavior of the model for large N as a function of T_N, showing that two transitions occur, when T_N \approx N^{1/3} and when T_N \approx N^{1/2} respectively.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2902

8031. A martingale approach to continuous time marginal structural models

Author(s): Kjetil Roysland

Abstract: Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. We present a variant of the marginal structural strategy in continuous time using martingale theory and marked point processes. This offers a mathematical interpretation of marginal structural models that has not been available before. Our approach starts with a characterization of reasonable models of randomized trials in terms of local independence. Such a model gives a martingale measure that is equivalent to the observational measure. The continuous time likelihood ratio process with respect to these two probability measures corresponds to the weights in a discrete time marginal structural model. In order to do inference for the new measure, we can simulate sampling using the observed data weighted by this likelihood ratio.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2593

8032. The compositional construction of Markov processes

Author(s): L. de Francesco Albasini and N. Sabadini and R.F.C. Walters

Abstract: We describe an algebra for composing automata in which the actions have probabilities. We illustrate by showing how to calculate the probability of reaching deadlock in k steps in a model of the classical Dining Philosopher problem, and show, using the Perron-Frobenius Theorem, that this probability tends to 1 as k tends to infinity.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2434

8033. Ham Sandwich with Mayo: A Stronger Conclusion to the Classical Ham Sandwich Theorem

Author(s): John H. Elton and Theodore P. Hill

Abstract: The conclusion of the classical ham sandwich theorem of Banach and Steinhaus may be strengthened: there always exists a common bisecting hyperplane that touches each of the sets, that is, intersects the closure of each set. Hence, if the knife is smeared with mayonnaise, a cut can always be made so that it will not only simultaneously bisect each of the ingredients, but it will also spread mayonnaise on each. A discrete analog of this theorem says that n finite nonempty sets in n-dimensional Euclidean space can always be simultaneously bisected by a single hyperplane that contains at least one point in each set. More generally, for n compactly-supported positive finite Borel measures in Euclidean n-space, there is always a hyperplane that bisects each of the measures and intersects the support of each measure.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2589

8034. A Trotter type approach to infinite rate mutually catalytic branching

Author(s): Achim Klenke and Mario Oeler

Abstract: Dawson and Perkins (1998) constructed a stochastic model of an interacting two-type population indexed by a countable site space which locally undergoes a mutually catalytic branching mechanism. Klenke and Mytnik (2009) showed that as the branching rate approaches infinity the process converges to a process that is called the infinite rate mutually catalytic branching process. It is most conveniently characterised as the solution to a certain martingale problem. While Klenke and Mytnik used a noise equation approach in order to construct a solution to this martingale problem, the aim of this paper is to provide a Trotter type construction.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2993

8035. Condenser physics applied to Markov chains - A brief introduction to potential theory

Author(s): A. Gaudilliere

Abstract: These notes constitute the introduction to potential theory I exposed at the XIIth brazilian school of probability inside Elisabetta Scoppola's Introduction to Metastability.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3053

8036. Simulation and approximation of Levy-driven stochastic differential equations

Author(s): Nicolas Fournier

Abstract: We consider the problem of the simulation of Levy-driven stochastic differential equations. It is generally impossible to simulate the increments of a Levy-process. Thus in addition to an Euler scheme, we have to simulate approximately these increments. We use a method in which the large jumps are simulated exactly, while the small jumps are approximated by Gaussian variables. Using some recent results of Rio about the central limit theorem, in the spirit of the famous paper by Komlos-Major-Tsunady, we derive an estimate for the strong error of this numerical scheme. This error remains reasonnable when the Levy measure is very singular near 0, which is not the case when neglecting the small jumps. In the same spirit, we study the problem of the approximation of a Levy-driven S.D.E. by a Brownian S.D.E. when the Levy process has no large jumps.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3082

8037. On the Convergence of the Ensemble Kalman Filter

Author(s): Jan Mandel and Loren Cobb and and Jonathan D. Beezley

Abstract: Convergence of the ensemble Kalman filter in the limit for large ensembles to the Kalman filter is proved. In each step of the filter, convergence of the ensemble sample covariance follows from a weak law of large numbers for exchangeable random variables, Slutsky's theorem gives weak convergence of ensemble members, and $L^p$ bounds on the ensemble then give $L^p$ convergence.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2951

8038. A process very similar to multifractional Brownian motion

Author(s): Antoine Ayache (LPP) and Pierre R. Bertrand (INRIA Saclay - Ile de France)

Abstract: In Ayache and Taqqu (2005), the multifractional Brownian (mBm) motion is obtained by replacing the constant parameter $H$ of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by a smooth enough functional parameter $H(.)$ depending on the time $t$. Here, we consider the process $Z$ obtained by replacing in the wavelet expansion of the fBm the index $H$ by a function $H(.)$ depending on the dyadic point $k/2^j$. This process was introduced in Benassi et al (2000) to model fBm with piece-wise constant Hurst index and continuous paths. In this work, we investigate the case where the functional parameter satisfies an uniform H\"older condition of order $\beta>\sup_{t\in \rit} H(t)$ and ones shows that, in this case, the process $Z$ is very similar to the mBm in the following senses: i) the difference between $Z$ and a mBm satisfies an uniform H\"older condition of order $d>\sup_{t\in \R} H(t)$; ii) as a by product, one deduces that at each point $t\in \R$ the pointwise H\"older exponent of $Z$ is $H(t)$ and that $Z$ is tangent to a fBm with Hurst parameter $H(t)$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2808

8039. Max-plus Stochastic Control and Risk-sensitivity

Author(s): Wendell H. Fleming and Hidehiro Kaise and Shuenn-Jyi Sheu

Abstract: In the Maslov idempotent probability calculus, expectations of random variables are defined so as to be linear with respect to max-plus addition and scalar multiplication. This paper considers control problems in which the objective is to minimize the max-plus expectation of some max-plus additive running cost. Such problems arise naturally as limits of some types of risk sensitive stochastic control problems. The value function is a viscosity solution to a quasivariational inequality (QVI) of dynamic programming. Equivalence of this QVI to a nonlinear parabolic PDE with discontinuous Hamiltonian is used to prove a comparison theorem for viscosity sub- and super-solutions. An example from math finance is given, and an application in nonlinear H-infinity control is sketched.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3007

8040. Factorization of Joint Probability Mass Functions into Parity Check Interactions

Author(s): M. F. Bayramoglu and A. \"Ozg\"ur Y{\i}lmaz

Abstract: We show that any joint probability mass function (PMF) can be expressed as a product of parity check factors and factors of degree one, if the alphabet size is appropriate for defining a parity check equation. In other words, marginalization or maximization of a joint PMF is equivalent to a decoding task as long as a finite field can be constructed over the alphabet of the PMF. In factor graph terminology this claim means that a factor graph representing such a joint PMF always has an equivalent Tanner graph. We provide a systematic method based on the Hilbert space of PMFs and orthogonal projections for obtaining this factorization.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3056

8041. Moderate deviations in random graphs and Bernoulli random matrices

Author(s): Hanna D\"oring and Peter Eichelsbacher

Abstract: We prove a moderate deviation principle for subgraph count statistics of Erdos-Renyi random graphs. This is equivalent in showing a moderate deviation principle for the trace of a power of a Bernoulli random matrix. It is done via an estimation of the log-Laplace transform and the Gaertner-Ellis theorem. We obtain upper bounds on the upper tail probabilities of the number of occurrences of small subgraphs. The method of proof is used to show supplemental moderate deviation principles for a class of symmetric statistics, including non-degenerate U-statistics with independent or Markovian entries.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3246

8042. From the long jump random walk to the fractional Laplacian

Author(s): Enrico Valdinoci

Abstract: This note illustrates how a simple random walk with possibly long jumps is related to fractional powers of the Laplace operator. The exposition is elementary and self-contained.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3261

8043. Limit theorems for random spatial drainage networks

Author(s): Mathew D. Penrose and Andrew R. Wade

Abstract: Suppose that under the action of gravity, liquid drains through the unit $d$-cube via a minimal-length network of channels constrained to pass through random sites and to flow with nonnegative component in one of the canonical orthogonal basis directions of $\R^d$, $d \geq 2$. The resulting network is a version of the so-called minimal directed spanning tree. We give laws of large numbers and convergence in distribution results on the large-sample asymptotic behaviour of the total power-weighted edge-length of the network on uniform random points in $(0,1)^d$. The distributional results exhibit a weight-dependent phase transition between Gaussian and boundary-effect-derived distributions. These boundary contributions are characterized in terms of limits of the so-called on-line nearest-neighbour graph, a natural model of spatial network evolution, for which we also present some new results. Also, we give a convergence in distribution result for the length of the longest edge in the drainage network; when $d=2$, the limit is expressed in terms of Dickman-type variables.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3297

8044. The algebraic difference of two random Cantor sets: the Larsson family

Author(s): F.Michel Dekking and Karoly Simon and and Balazs Szekely

Abstract: In this paper we consider a family of random Cantor sets on the line and consider the question whether the condition that the sum of the Hausdorff dimensions is larger than one implies the existence of interior points in the difference set of two independent copies. We give a new and complete proof that this is the case for the random Cantor sets introduced by Per Larsson.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3304

8045. A Stochastic Approach for Parameterizing Unresolved Scales in a System with Memory

Author(s): Aijun Du and Jinqiao Duan

Abstract: Complex systems display variability over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Some scales are unresolved due to computational limitations. The impact of these unresolved scales on the resolved scales needs to be parameterized or taken into account. One stochastic parameterization scheme is devised to take the effects of unresolved scales into account, in the context of solving a nonlinear partial differential equation with memory (a time-integral term), via large eddy simulations. The obtained large eddy simulation model is a stochastic partial differential equation. Numerical experiments are performed to compare the solutions of the original system and of the stochastic large eddy simulation model.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3312

8046. The mean width of circumscribed random polytopes

Author(s): K\'aroly J. B\"or\"oczky and Rolf Schneider

Abstract: For a given convex body K in $R^d$, a random polytope $K^{(n)}$ is defined (essentially) as the intersection of $n$ independent closed halfspaces containing $K$ and having an isotropic and (in a specified sense) uniform distribution. We prove upper and lower bounds, of optimal orders, for the difference of the mean widths of $K^{(n)}$ and K, as n tends to infinity. For a simplicial polytope P, a precise asymptotic formula for the difference of the mean widths of $P^{(n)}$ and P is obtained.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3343

8047. The Asymptotic Shape Theorem for Generalized First Passage Percolation

Author(s): Michael Bj\"orklund

Abstract: We generalize the asymptotic shape theorem in first passage percolation on $\Z^d$ to cover the case of general semimetrics. We prove a structure theorem for equivariant semimetrics on topological groups and an extended version of the maximal inequality for $\Z^d$-cocycles by D. Boivin and Y. Derriennic in the vector-valued case. This inequality will imply a very general form of Kingman's subadditive ergodic theorem. For certain classes of generalized first passage percolation we prove further structure theorems and provide rates of convergence in the asymptotic shape theorem. We also establish a general form of the multiplicative ergodic theorem by A. Karlsson and F. Ledrappier for cocycles with values in separable Banach spaces with the Radon-Nikod\'ym property.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3449

8048. Excursions of the integral of the Brownian motion

Author(s): Emmanuel Jacob (PMA)

Abstract: The integrated Brownian motion is sometimes known as the Langevin process. Lachal studied several excursion laws induced by the latter. Here we follow a different point of view developed by Pitman for general stationary processes. We first construct a stationary Langevin process and then determine explicitly its stationary excursion measure. This is then used to provide new descriptions of It\^o's excursion measure of the Langevin process reflected at a completely inelastic boundary, which has been introduced recently by Bertoin.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3464

8049. Expansion of the propagation of chaos for Bird and Nanbu systems

Author(s): Sylvain Rubenthaler (JAD)

Abstract: The Bird and Nanbu systems are particle systems used to approximate the solution of Boltzmann mollified equation. In particular, they have the propagation of chaos property. Following [GM94], we use coupling techniques and resultson branching processes to write an expansion of the error in the propagation of chaos in terms of the number of particles, for slightly more general systems than the ones cited above. As explained in [DMPR] and [DMPR09], this result will lead to the proof of the convergence of U-statistics for these systems.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3476

8050. Normal approximation for isolated balls in an urn allocation model

Author(s): Mathew D. Penrose

Abstract: Consider throwing $n$ balls at random into $m$ urns, each ball landing in urn $i$ with probability $p_i$. Let $S$ be the resulting number of singletons, i.e., urns containing just one ball. We give an error bound for the Kolmogorov distance from $S$ to the normal, and estimates on its variance. These show that if $n$, $m$ and $(p_i, 1 \leq i \leq m)$ vary in such a way that $\sup_i p_i = O(n^{-1})$, then $S$ satisfies a CLT if and only if $n^2 \sum_i p_i^2$ tends to infinity, and demonstrate an optimal rate of convergence in the CLT in this case. In the uniform case $(p_i \equiv m^{-1}) with $m$ and $n$ growing proportionately, we provide bounds with better asymptotic constants. The proof of the error bounds are based on Stein's method via size-biased couplings.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3493

8051. Zonal polynomials and hypergeometric functions of quaternion matrix argument

Author(s): Fei Li and Yifeng Xue

Abstract: We define zonal polynomials of quaternion matrix argument and deduce some important formulae of zonal polynomials and hypergeometric functions of quaternion matrix argument. As an application, we give the distributions of the largest and smallest eigenvalues of a quaternion central Wishart matrix $W\sim\mathbb{Q}W(n,\Sigma)$, respectively.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3379

8052. The mean width of random polytopes circumscribed around a convex body

Author(s): K\'aroly J. B\"or\"oczky and Ferenc Fodor and Daniel Hug

Abstract: Let K be a d-dimensional convex body, and let $K^{(n)}$ be the intersection of n halfspaces containing $K$ whose bounding hyperplanes are independent and identically distributed. Under suitable distributional assumptions, we prove an asymptotic formula for the expectation of the difference of the mean widths of $K^{(n)}$ and K, and another asymptotic formula for the expectation of the number of facets of $K^{(n)}$. These results are achieved by establishing an asymptotic result on weighted volume approximation of $K$ and by "dualizing" it using polarity.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3419

8053. Generalized Whittle-Mat$\acute{\text{E}}$rn random field as a model of correlated fluctuations

Author(s): S.C. Lim and L.P. Teo

Abstract: This paper considers a generalization of Gaussian random field with covariance function of Whittle-Mat$\acute{\text{e}}$rn family. Such a random field can be obtained as the solution to the fractional stochastic differential equation with two fractional orders. Asymptotic properties of the covariance functions belonging to this generalized Whittle-Mat$\acute{\text{e}}$rn family are studied, which are used to deduce the sample path properties of the random field. The Whittle-Mat$\acute{\text{e}}$rn field has been widely used in modeling geostatistical data such as sea beam data, wind speed, field temperature and soil data. In this article we show that generalized Whittle-Mat$\acute{\text{e}}$rn field provides a more flexible model for wind speed data.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3581

8054. Logconcave Random Graphs

Author(s): Alan Frieze and Santosh Vempala and Juan Vera

Abstract: We propose the following model of a random graph on n vertices. Let F be a distribution in R_+^{n(n-1)/2} with a coordinate for every pair i$ with 1 \le i,j \le n. Then G_{F,p} is the distribution on graphs with n vertices obtained by picking a random point X from F and defining a graph on n vertices whose edges are pairs ij for which X_{ij} \le p. The standard Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi model is the special case when F is uniform on the 0-1 unit cube. We examine basic properties such as the connectivity threshold for quite general distributions. We also consider cases where the X_{ij} are the edge weights in some random instance of a combinatorial optimization problem. By choosing suitable distributions, we can capture random graphs with interesting properties such as triangle-free random graphs and weighted random graphs with bounded total weight.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3697

8055. On a random number of disorders

Author(s): Krzysztof Szajowski

Abstract: We register a random sequence constructed based on Markov processes by switching between them. At two random moments $\theta_1$, $\theta_2$, where $0\leq \theta_1 \leq \theta_2$, the source of observations is changed. In effect the number of homogeneous segments is random. The transition probabilities of each process are known and \emph{a priori} distribution of the disorder moments is given. The various questions are formulated concerning the distribution changes in the model in the former research. The random number of distributional segments creates new problems in solutions of the problems formulated for model with deterministic number of segments. Two cases are presented in details. In the first one the objectives is to stop on between the disorder moments and in the second one our objective is to find the strategy which immediately detects the distribution changes. Both problems are reformulated to optimal stopping of the observed sequences. The detailed analysis of the problem is presented to show the form of optimal decision function.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3795

8056. On the global maximum of the solution to a stochastic heat equation with compact-support initial data

Author(s): Mohammud Foondun and Davar Khoshnevisan

Abstract: Consider a stochastic heat equation $\partial_t u = \kappa \partial^2_{xx}u+\sigma(u)\dot{w}$ for a space-time white noise $\dot{w}$ and a constant $\kappa>0$. Under some suitable conditions on the the initial function $u_0$ and $\sigma$, we show that the quantity \limsup_{t\to\infty}t^{-1}\ln\E(\sup_{x\in\R} |u_t(x)|^2) is bounded away from zero and infinity by explicit multiples of $1/\kappa$. Our proof works by demonstrating quantitatively that the peaks of the stochastic process $x\mapsto u_t(x)$ are highly concentrated for infinitely-many large values of $t$. In the special case of the parabolic Anderson model--where $\sigma(u)= \lambda u$ for some $\lambda>0$--this "peaking" is a way to make precise the notion of physical intermittency.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3814

8057. A phase diagram for a stochastic reaction diffusion system

Author(s): Carl Mueller and Roger Tribe

Abstract: In this paper a stochastic reaction diffusion system is considered, which models the spread of a finite population reacting with a non-renewable resource in the presence of individual based noise. A two-parameter phase diagram is established to describe the large time evolution, distinguishing between certain death or possible life of the population.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3859

8058. New Classes of Infinitely Divisible Distributions Related to the Goldie-Steutel-Bondesson Class

Author(s): Takahiro Aoyama and Alexander Lindner and Makoto Maejima

Abstract: Recently, many classes of infinitely divisible distributions on R^d have been characterized in several ways. Among others, the first way is to use Levy measures, the second one is to use transformations of Levy measures, and the third one is to use mappings of infinitely divisible distributions defined by stochastic integrals with respect to Levy processes. In this paper, we are concerned with a class of mappings, by which we construct new classes of infinitely divisible distributions on R^d. Then we study a special case in R^1, which is the class of infinitely divisible distributions without Gaussian parts generated by stochastic integrals with respect to a fixed compound Poisson processes on R^1. This is closely related to the Goldie-Steutel-Bondesson class.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3874

8059. Affine Diffusion Processes: Theory and Applications

Author(s): Damir Filipovic and Eberhard Mayerhofer

Abstract: We revisit affine diffusion processes on general and on the canonical state space in particular. A detailed study of theoretic and applied aspects of this class of Markov processes is given. In particular, we derive admissibility conditions and provide a full proof of existence and uniqueness through stochastic invariance of the canonical state space. Existence of exponential moments and the full range of validity of the affine transform formula are established. This is applied to the pricing of bond and stock options, which is illustrated for the Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and Heston models.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4003

8060. Limiting behaviors of the Brownian motions on hyperbolic spaces

Author(s): Hiroyuki Matsumoto

Abstract: By adopting the upper half space realizations of the real, complex and quaternionic hyperbolic spaces and solving the corresponding stochastic differential equations, we can represent the Brownian motions on these classical families of the hyperbolic spaces as explicit Wiener functionals. Using the representations, we show that the almost sure convergence of the Brownian motions and the central limit theorems for the radial components as time tends to infinity are easily obtained. We also give a straightforward strategy to obtain the explicit expressions for the Poisson kernels by combining the representations with some results on the distributions of the random variables which are defined by the perpetual (infinite) integrals of the usual geometric Brownian motions with negative drifts.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4028

8061. Growth Rates and Explosions in Sandpiles

Author(s): Anne Fey and Lionel Levine and Yuval Peres

Abstract: We study the abelian sandpile growth model, where n particles are added at the origin on a stable background configuration in Z^d. Any site with at least 2d particles then topples by sending one particle to each neighbor. We find that with constant background height h <= 2d-2, the diameter of the set of sites that topple has order n^{1/d}. This was previously known only for h

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3805

8062. Generalized kinetic Maxwell type models of granular gases

Author(s): A.V. Bobylev and C. Cercignani and I.M. Gamba

Abstract: We consider generalizations of kinetic granular gas models given by Boltzmann equations of Maxwell type. These type of models for non-linear elastic or inelastic interactions, have many applications in physics, dynamics of granular gases, economy, etc. We present the problem and develop its form in the space of characteristic functions, i.e. Fourier transforms of probability measures, from a very general point of view, including those with arbitrary polynomial non-linearities and in any dimension space. We find a whole class of generalized Maxwell models that satisfy properties that characterize the existence and asymptotic of dynamically scaled or self-similar solutions, often referred as {\em homogeneous cooling states}. Of particular interest is a concept interpreted as an operator generalization of usual Lipschitz conditions which allows to describe the behavior of solutions to the corresponding initial value problem. In particular, we present, in the most general case, existence of self similar solutions and study, in the sense of probability measures, the convergence of dynamically scaled solutions associated with the Cauchy problem to those self-similar solutions, as time goes to infinity. In addition we show that the properties of these self-similar solutions lead to non classical equilibrium stable states exhibiting power tails. These results apply to different specific problems related to the Boltzmann equation (with elastic and inelastic interactions) and show that all physically relevant properties of solutions follow directly from the general theory developed in this presentation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.3864

8063. Choice-memory tradeoff in allocations

Author(s): Noga Alon and Ori Gurel-Gurevich and Eyal Lubetzky

Abstract: In the classical balls-and-bins paradigm, where n balls are placed independently and uniformly in n bins, typically the number of bins with at least two balls in them has order n and the maximum number of balls in a bin has order (log n)/(log log n). It is well known that when each round offers k independent uniform options for bins, it is possible to typically achieve a constant maximal load if and only if k is at least of order (log n). Moreover, it is possible whp to avoid any collisions between (n/2) balls if (k> log_2 n). In this work, we extend this into the setting where only m bits of memory are available. We establish a tradeoff between the number of choices k and the memory m, dictated by the quantity km/n. Roughly put, we show that for (k m) larger than n, one can achieve a constant maximal load, while for (k m) smaller than n no substantial improvement can be gained over the case k=1 (i.e., a random allocation). For any (k = \Omega(log n)) and (m = \Omega(log^2 n)), one can achieve a constant load whp if (k m = \Omega(n)), yet the load is unbounded if (k m =o(n)). Similarly, if (k m > C n) then (n/2) balls can be allocated without any collisions whp, whereas for (k m < \epsilon n) there are typically order n collisions. Furthermore, we show that the load is whp at least log(n/m)/[log k + log log(n/m)]. In particular, for k=polylog(n), if m = n^{1-\delta} the optimal maximal load is of order (log n)/(log log n) (the same as in the case k=1), while m=2n suffices to ensure a constant load. Finally, we analyze non-adaptive allocation algorithms and give tight upper and lower bounds for their performance.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4056

8064. Heat kernel estimates and Harnack inequalities for some Dirichlet forms with non-local part

Author(s): Mohammud Foondun

Abstract: We consider the Dirichlet form given by \sE(f,f)&=&{1/2}\int_{\bR^d}\sum_{i,j=1}^d a_{ij}(x)\frac{\partial f(x)}{\partial x_i} \frac{\partial f(x)}{\partial x_j} dx &+&\int_{\bR^d\times \bR^d} (f(y)-f(x))^2J(x,y)dxdy. Under the assumption that the $\{a_{ij}\}$ are symmetric and uniformly elliptic and with suitable conditions on $J$, the nonlocal part, we obtain upper and lower bounds on the heat kernel of the Dirichlet form. We also prove a Harnack inequality and a regularity theorem for functions that are harmonic with respect to $\sE$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4127

8065. On the Limiting Shape of Random Young Tableaux Associated to Inhomogeneous Words

Author(s): Christian Houdr\'e and Hua Xu

Abstract: The limiting shape of the random Young tableaux associated to the inhomogeneous word problem is identified as a multidimensional Brownian functional. This functional is thus identical in law to the spectrum of a certain matrix ensemble. The Poissonized word problem is also studied, and the asymptotic behavior of the shape analyzed.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4138

8066. Mixing time of critical Ising model on trees is polynomial in the height

Author(s): Jian Ding and Eyal Lubetzky and Yuval Peres

Abstract: In the heat-bath Glauber dynamics for the Ising model on the lattice, physicists believe that the spectral gap of the continuous-time chain exhibits the following behavior. For some critical inverse-temperature $\beta_c$, the inverse-gap is bounded for $\beta < \beta_c$, polynomial in the surface area for $\beta = \beta_c$ and exponential in it for $\beta > \beta_c$. This has been proved for $\Z^2$ except at criticality. So far, the only underlying geometry where the critical behavior has been confirmed is the complete graph. Recently, the dynamics for the Ising model on a regular tree, also known as the Bethe lattice, has been intensively studied. The facts that the inverse-gap is bounded for $\beta < \beta_c$ and exponential for $\beta > \beta_c$ were established, where $\beta_c$ is the critical spin-glass parameter, and the tree-height $h$ plays the role of the surface area. In this work, we complete the picture for the inverse-gap of the Ising model on the $b$-ary tree, by showing that it is indeed polynomial in $h$ at criticality. The degree of our polynomial bound does not depend on $b$, and furthermore, this result holds under any boundary condition. We also obtain analogous bounds for the mixing-time of the chain. In addition, we study the near critical behavior, and show that for $\beta > \beta_c$, the inverse-gap and mixing-time are both $\exp[\Theta((\beta-\beta_c) h)]$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4152

8067. Discretization-invariant Bayesian inversion and Besov space priors

Author(s): Matti Lassas. Eero Saksman and Samuli Siltanen

Abstract: Bayesian solution of an inverse problem for indirect measurement $M = AU + {\mathcal{E}}$ is considered, where $U$ is a function on a domain of $R^d$. Here $A$ is a smoothing linear operator and $ {\mathcal{E}}$ is Gaussian white noise. The data is a realization $m_k$ of the random variable $M_k = P_kA U+P_k {\mathcal{E}}$, where $P_k$ is a linear, finite dimensional operator related to measurement device. To allow computerized inversion, the unknown is discretized as $U_n=T_nU$, where $T_n$ is a finite dimensional projection, leading to the computational measurement model $M_{kn}=P_k A U_n + P_k {\mathcal{E}}$. Bayes formula gives then the posterior distribution $\pi_{kn}(u_n | m_{kn})\sim\pi_n(u_n) \exp(-{1/2}\|m_{kn} - P_kA u_n\|_2^2)$ in $R^d$, and the mean $U^{CM}_{kn}:=\int u_n \pi_{kn}(u_n | m_k) du_n$ is considered as the reconstruction of $U$. We discuss a systematic way of choosing prior distributions $\prior_n$ for all $n\geq n_0>0$ by achieving them as projections of a distribution in a infinite-dimensional limit case. Such choice of prior distributions is {\em discretization-invariant} in the sense that $\prior_n$ represent the same {\em a priori} information for all $n$ and that the mean $U^{CM}_{kn}$ converges to a limit estimate as $k,n\to\infty$. Gaussian smoothness priors and wavelet-based Besov space priors are shown to be discretization invariant. In particular, Bayesian inversion in dimension two with $B^1_{11}$ prior is related to penalizing the $\ell^1$ norm of the wavelet coefficients of $U$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4220

8068. Note: Random-to-front shuffles on trees

Author(s): Anders Bj\"orner

Abstract: A Markov chain is considered whose states are orderings of an underlying fixed tree and whose transitions are local "random-to-front" reorderings, driven by a probability distribution on subsets of the leaves. The eigenvalues of the transition matrix are determined using Brown's theory of random walk on semigroups.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4278

8069. Excited against the tide: A random walk with competing drifts

Author(s): Mark Holmes

Abstract: We study a random walk that has a drift $\frac{\beta}{d}$ to the right when located at a previously unvisited vertex and a drift $\frac{\mu}{d}$ to the left otherwise. We prove that in high dimensions, for every $\mu$, the drift to the right is a strictly increasing and continuous function of $\beta$, and that there is precisely one value $\beta_0(\mu,d)$ for which the resulting speed is zero.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4393

8070. Uniform shrinking and expansion under isotropic Brownian flows

Author(s): Peter Baxendale and Georgi Dimitroff

Abstract: We study some finite time transport properties of isotropic Brownian flows. Under a certain nondegeneracy condition on the potential spectral measure, we prove that uniform shrinking or expansion of balls under the flow over some bounded time interval can happen with positive probability. We also provide a control theorem for isotropic Brownian flows with drift. Finally, we apply the above results to show that under the nondegeneracy condition the length of a rectifiable curve evolving in an isotropic Brownian flow with strictly negative top Lyapunov exponent converges to zero as $t\to \infty$ with positive probability.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4414

8071. Regeneration in Random Combinatorial Structures

Author(s): Alexander V. Gnedin

Abstract: Theory of Kingman's partition structures has two culminating points: the general paintbox representation, relating finite partitions to hypothetical infinite populations via a natural sampling procedure, known as Kingman's paintbox; a central example of the theory - the Ewens-Pitman two-parameter family of partitions. In these notes we further develop the theory by passing to structures enriched by the order on the collection of categories; extending the class of tractable models by exploring the idea of regeneration; analysing regenerative properties of the Ewens-Pitman partitions; studying asymptotic features of the regenerative compositions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4444

8072. Exact confidence intervals for the Hurst parameter of a fractional Brownian motion

Author(s): Jean-Christophe Breton (MIA) and Ivan Nourdin (PMA) and Giovanni Peccati (MODAL'X)

Abstract: In this short note, we show how to use concentration inequalities in order to build exact confidence intervals for the Hurst parameter associated with a one-dimensional fractional Brownian motion

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4456

8073. Universality of the Pearcey process

Author(s): Mark Adler and Nicolas Orantin and Pierre van Moerbeke

Abstract: Consider non-intersecting Brownian motions on the line leaving from the origin and forced to two arbitrary points. Letting the number of Brownian particles tend to infinity, and upon rescaling, there is a point of bifurcation, where the support of the density of particles goes from one interval to two intervals. In this paper, we show that at that very point of bifurcation a cusp appears, near which the Brownian paths fluctuate like the Pearcey process. This is a universality result within this class of problems. Tracy and Widom obtained such a result in the symmetric case, when the two target points are symmetric with regard to the origin. This asymmetry enabled us to improve considerably a result concerning the non-linear partial differential equations governing the transition probabilities for the Pearcey process, obtained by Adler and van Moerbeke.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4520

8074. Is the critical percolation probability local?

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Asaf Nachmias and Yuval Peres

Abstract: We show that the critical probability for percolation on a d-regular non-amenable graph of large girth is close to the critical probability for percolation on an infinite d-regular tree. This is a special case of a conjecture due to O. Schramm on the locality of p_c. We also prove a finite analogue of the conjecture for expander graphs.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4616

8075. Nagaev method via Keller-Liverani theorem

Author(s): Lo\"ic Herv\'e (IRMAR) and Fran\c{c}oise P\`ene (LM)

Abstract: Nagaev's method, via the perturbation operator theorem of Keller and Liverani, has been exploited in recent papers to establish local limit and Berry-Essen type theorems for unbounded functionals of strongly ergodic Markov chains. The main difficulty of this approach is to prove Taylor expansions for the dominating eigenvalue of the Fourier kernels. This paper outlines this method and extends it by proving a multi-dimensional local limit theorem, a first-order Edgeworth expansion, and a multi-dimensional Berry-Esseen type theorem in the sense of Prohorov metric. When applied to uniformly or geometrically ergodic chains and to iterative Lipschitz models, the above cited limit theorems hold under moment conditions similar, or close, to those of the i.i.d. case.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4617

8076. A survey on dynamical percolation

Author(s): Jeffrey E. Steif

Abstract: Percolation is one of the simplest and nicest models in probability theory/statistical mechanics which exhibits critical phenomena. Dynamical percolation is a model where a simple time dynamics is added to the (ordinary) percolation model. This dynamical model exhibits very interesting behavior. Our goal in thissurvey is to give an overview of the work in dynamical percolation that has been done (and some of which is in the process of being written up).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4760

8077. A stochastic calculus for multidimensional fractional Brownian motion with arbitrary Hurst index

Author(s): Jeremie Unterberger (IECN)

Abstract: We construct in this article an explicit rough path over a multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion $B$ with arbitrary Hurst index $H$ (in particular, for $H<1/4$) by regularizing an associated random Fourier series defined in \cite{Unt08}. The regularization procedure is applied to 'Fourier normal ordered' iterated integrals obtained by permuting the order of integration so that innermost integrals have highest Fourier modes. The algebraic properties of this rough path are best understood using the Hopf algebra structure of the algebra of decorated rooted trees. Rough path theory gives then a general procedure to define a stochastic calculus and solve stochastic differential equations driven by this very irregular process. A variant of our regularization scheme is also expected to apply to arbitrary deterministic H\"older paths. The last section is also dedicated to the definition of a related two-dimensional Gaussian process, called {\em antisymmetric two-dimensional fractional Brownian motion}, with the same regularity as $B$ but with dependent components, to which the above construction extends naturally.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4771

8078. Weak KAM methods and ergodic optimal problems for countable Markov shifts

Author(s): Rodrigo Bissacot and Eduardo Garibaldi

Abstract: Let $\sigma$: S -> S be the left shift acting on S, a one-sided Markov subshift on a countable alphabet. Our intention is to guarantee the existence of $\sigma$-invariant Borel probabilities that maximize the integral of a given locally H\"older continuous potential A:S -> R. Under certain conditions, we are able to show not only that A-maximizing probabilities do exist, but also that they are characterized by the fact their support lies actually in a particular Markov subshift on a finite alphabet. To that end, we make use of objects dual to maximizing measures, the so-called sub-actions (concept analogous to subsolutions of the Hamilton-Jacobi equation), and specially the calibrated sub-actions (notion similar to weak KAM solutions).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4640

8079. Ergodicity of multiplicative statistics

Author(s): Yuri Yakubovich

Abstract: For a subfamily of multiplicative measures on integer partitions we give conditions for properly rescaled associated Young diagrams to converge in probability to a certain deterministic curve named the limit shape of partitions. We provide explicit formulas for the scaling function and the limit shape covering some known and some new examples.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4655

8080. Scaled limit and rate of convergence for the largest eigenvalue from the generalized Cauchy random matrix ensemble

Author(s): Joseph Najnudel and Ashkan Nikeghbali and Felix Rubin

Abstract: In this paper, we are interested in the asymptotic properties for the largest eigenvalue of the Hermitian random matrix ensemble, called the Generalized Cauchy ensemble $GCy$, whose eigenvalues PDF is given by $$\textrm{const}\cdot\prod_{1\leq j-1/2$ and where $N$ is the size of the matrix ensemble. Using results by Borodin and Olshanski \cite{Borodin-Olshanski}, we first prove that for this ensemble, the largest eigenvalue divided by $N$ converges in law to some probability distribution for all $s$ such that $\Re(s)>-1/2$. Using results by Forrester and Witte \cite{Forrester-Witte2} on the distribution of the largest eigenvalue for fixed $N$, we also express the limiting probability distribution in terms of some non-linear second order differential equation. Eventually, we show that the convergence of the probability distribution function of the re-scaled largest eigenvalue to the limiting one is at least of order $(1/N)$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4800

8081. Wick Calculus For Nonlinear Gaussian Functionals

Author(s): Yaozhong Hu and Jia-an Yan

Abstract: This paper surveys some results on Wick product and Wick renormalization. The framework is the abstract Wiener space. Some known results on Wick product and Wick renormalization in the white noise analysis framework are presented for classical random variables. Some conditions are described for random variables whose Wick product or whose renormalization are integrable random variables. Relevant results on multiple Wiener integrals, second quantization operator, Malliavin calculus and their relations with the Wick product and Wick renormalization are also briefly presented. A useful tool for Wick product is the $S$-transform which is also described without the introduction of generalized random variables.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4911

8082. Parameter estimation for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

Author(s): Yaozhong Hu and David Nualart

Abstract: We study a least squares estimator $\hat {\theta}_T$ for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, $dX_t=\theta X_t dt+\sigma dB^H_t$, driven by fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\ge \frac12$. We prove the strong consistence of $\hat {\theta}_T$ (the almost surely convergence of $\hat {\theta}_T$ to the true parameter ${% \theta}$). We also obtain the rate of this convergence when $1/2\le H<3/4$, applying a central limit theorem for multiple Wiener integrals. This least squares estimator can be used to study other more simulation friendly estimators such as the estimator $\tilde \theta_T$ defined by (4.1).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4925

8083. A note on adiabatic theorem for Markov chains and adiabatic quantum computation

Author(s): Yevgeniy Kovchegov

Abstract: We derive an adiabatic theorem for Markov chains using well known facts about mixing and relaxation times. We discuss the results in the context of the recent developments in adiabatic quantum computation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4954

8084. On generalized Cauchy-Stieltjes transforms of some Beta distributions

Author(s): Nizar Demni

Abstract: We express generalized Cauchy-Stieltjes transforms of some particular Beta distributions (of ultraspherical type generating functions for orthogonal polynomials) as a powered Cauchy-Stieltjes transform of some measure. For suitable values of the power parameter, the latter measure turns out to be a probability measure and its density is written down using Markov transforms. The discarded values give a negative answer to a deformed free probability unless a restriction on the power parameter is made. A particular symmetric distribution interpolating between Wigner and arcsine distributions is obtained. Its moments are expressed through a terminating hypergeometric series interpolating between Catalan and shifed Catalan numbers. for small values of the power parameter, the free cumulants are computed. Interesting opne problems related to a deformed representation theory of the infinite symmetric group and to a deformed Bozejko's convolution are discussed.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0054

8085. On Brownian motion on the plane with membranes on rays with a common endpoint

Author(s): Olga V. Aryasova and Andrey Yu. Pilipenko

Abstract: We consider a Brownian motion on the plane with semipermeable membranes on n rays that have a common endpoint in the origin. We obtain the necessary and sufficient conditions for the process to reach the origin and we show that the probability of hitting the origin is equal to zero or one.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0067

8086. Palm pairs and the general mass-transport principle

Author(s): Daniel Gentner and G\"unter Last

Abstract: We consider a lcsc group G acting properly on a Borel space S and measurably on an underlying sigma-finite measure space. Our first main result is a transport formula connecting the Palm pairs of jointly stationary random measures on S. A key (and new) technical result is a measurable disintegration of the Haar measure on G along the orbits. The second main result is an intrinsic characterization of the Palm pairs of a G-invariant random measure. We then proceed with deriving a general version of the mass-transport principle for possibly non-transitive and non-unimodular group operations first in a deterministic and then in its full probabilistic form.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0068

8087. Cutpoints and resistance of random walk paths

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Ori Gurel-Gurevich and Oded Schramm

Abstract: We construct a bounded degree graph G, such that a simple random walk on it is transient but the random walk path (i.e., the subgraph of all the edges the random walk has crossed) has only finitely many cutpoints, almost surely. We also prove that the expected number of cutpoints of any transient Markov chain is infinite. This answers two questions of James, Lyons and Peres. Additionally, we consider a simple random walk on a finite connected graph G that starts at some fixed vertex x and is stopped when it first visits some other fixed vertex y. We provide a lower bound on the expected effective resistance between x and y in the path of the walk, giving a partial answer to a question raised in http://arxiv.org/abs/math/0603060

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0115

8088. A passage to the Poisson-Dirichlet through the Bessel square processes

Author(s): Soumik Pal

Abstract: This principal result in this article is that every Poisson-Dirichlet distribution PD(0,a) is an asymptotically invariant distribution for a growing collection of independent Bessel square processes of dimension zero divided by their total sum, under the condition that the sum total of their initial values grows to infinity in probability. Implications in several areas of Probability theory have been discussed, including Brownian local time, Fernholz & Karatzas's Volatility Stabilized Market models of Mathematical Finance, Watterson's Infinitely Many Neutral Alleles model in Statistical Genetics, branching Bessel diffusions, and the Poisson-Dirichlet cascades. A key step involves generalization of a polar decomposition result involving squared Bessel processes that was observed by Warren & Yor in their study of the Brownian burglar.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0116

8089. Variance decay for functionals of the environment viewed by the particle

Author(s): Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Abstract: For the random walk among random conductances, we prove an algebraic decay of the variance of a large class of functionals of the environment viewed by the particle, our main hypothesis being that the conductances are bounded away from zero. The basis of our method is the establishment of a Nash inequality, followed either by a comparison with the simple random walk or by a more direct analysis based on a martingale decomposition. As an example of application, we show that under certain conditions, our results imply an estimate of the speed of convergence of the mean square displacement of the walk towards its limit.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0204

8090. Critical behavior in inhomogeneous random graphs

Author(s): Remco van der Hofstad

Abstract: We study the critical behavior of inhomogeneous random graphs where edges are present independently but with unequal edge occupation probabilities. We show that the critical behavior depends sensitively on the properties of the asymptotic degrees. Indeed, when the proportion of vertices with degree at least $k$ is bounded above by $k^{-\tau+1}$ for some $\tau>4$, the largest critical connected component is of order $n^{2/3}$, where $n$ denotes the size of the graph, as on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph. The restriction $\tau>4$ corresponds to finite {\it third} moment of the degrees. When, the proportion of vertices with degree at least $k$ is asymptotically equal to $ck^{-\tau+1}$ for some $\tau\in (3,4),$ the largest critical connected component is of order $n^{(\tau-2)/(\tau-1)},$ instead. Our results show that, for inhomogeneous random graphs with a power-law degree sequence, the critical behavior admits a transition when the third moment of the degrees turns from finite to infinite. Similar phase transitions have been shown to occur for typical distances in such random graphs when the variance of the degrees turns from finite to infinite. We present further results related to the size of the critical or scaling window, and state conjectures for this and related random graph models.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0216

8091. Shelf Life of Candidates in the Generalized Secretary Problem

Author(s): Krzysztof Szajowski and Mitsushi Tamaki

Abstract: A version of the secretary problem called the duration problem, in which the objective is to maximize the time of possession of relatively best objects or the second best, is treated. It is shown that in this duration problem there are threshold numbers $(k_1^\star,k_2^\star)$ such that the optimal strategy immediately selects a relatively best object if it appears after time $k_1^\star$ and a relatively second best object if it appears after moment $k_2^\star$. When number of objects tends to infinity the thresholds values are $\lfloor 0.417188N\rfloor$ and $\rfloor 0.120381N\rfloor$, respectively. The asymptotic mean time of shelf life of the object is $0.403827N$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0232

8092. On Stein's method for multivariate normal approximation

Author(s): Elizabeth S. Meckes

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to synthesize the approaches taken by Chatterjee-Meckes and Reinert-R\"ollin in adapting Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for multivariate normal approximation. The more general linear regression condition of Reinert-R\"ollin allows for wider applicability of the method, while the method of bounding the solution of the Stein equation due to Chatterjee-Meckes allows for improved convergence rates. Two abstract normal approximation theorems are proved, one for use when the underlying symmetries of the random variables are discrete, and one for use in contexts in which continuous symmetry groups are present. The application to runs on the line from Reinert-R\"ollin is reworked to demonstrate the improvement in convergence rates, and a new application to joint value distributions of eigenfunctions of the Laplace-Beltrami operator on a compact Riemannian manifold is presented.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0333

8093. Fermionic construction of tau functions and random processes

Author(s): John Harnad and Alexander Yu. Orlov

Abstract: Tau functions expressed as fermionic expectation values are shown to provide a natural and straightforward description of a number of random processes and statistical models involving hard core configurations of identical particles on the integer lattice, like a discrete version simple exclusion processes (ASEP), nonintersecting random walkers, lattice Coulomb gas models and others, as well as providing a powerful tool for combinatorial calculations involving paths between pairs of partitions. We study the decay of the initial step function within the discrete ASEP (d-ASEP) model as an example.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0704.1157

8094. Clustering Bounds on N-Point Correlations for Unbounded Spin Systems

Author(s): Abdelmalek Abdesselam and Aldo Procacci and Benedetto Scoppola

Abstract: We prove clustering estimates for the truncated correlations, i.e., cumulants of an unbounded spin system on the lattice. We provide a unified treatment, based on cluster expansion techniques, of four different regimes: large mass, small interaction between sites, large self-interaction, as well as the more delicate small self-interaction or `low temperature' regime. A clustering estimate in the latter regime is needed for the Bosonic case of the recent result obtained by Lukkarinen and Spohn on the rigorous control on kinetic scales of quantum fluids.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4756

8095. Very large graphs

Author(s): Laszlo Lovasz

Abstract: In the last decade it became apparent that a large number of the most interesting structures and phenomena of the world can be described by networks: separable elements, with connections (or interactions) between certain pairs of them. These huge networks pose exciting challenges for the mathematician. Graph Theory (the mathematical theory of networks) faces novel, unconventional problems: these very large networks (like the Internet) are never completely known, in most cases they are not even well defined. Data about them can be collected only by indirect means like random local sampling. Dense networks (in which a node is adjacent to a positive percent of others nodes) and sparse networks (in which a node has a bounded number of neighbors) show very different behavior. From a practical point of view, sparse networks are more important, but at present we have more complete theoretical results for dense networks. The paper surveys relations with probability, algebra, extrema graph theory, and analysis.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0132

8096. Carries, shuffling, and symmetric functions

Author(s): Persi Diaconis and Jason Fulman

Abstract: The "carries" when n random numbers are added base b form a Markov chain with an "amazing" transition matrix determined by Holte. This same Markov chain occurs in following the number of descents or rising sequences when n cards are repeatedly riffle shuffled. We give generating and symmetric function proofs and determine the rate of convergence of this Markov chain to stationarity. Similar results are given for type B shuffles. We also develop connections with Gaussian autoregressive processes and the Veronese mapping of commutative algebra.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0179

8097. Poset limits and exchangeable random posets

Author(s): Svante Janson

Abstract: We develop a theory of limits of finite posets in close analogy to the recent theory of graph limits. In particular, we study representations of the limits by functions of two variables on a probability space, and connections to exchangeable random infinite posets.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0306

8098. Random symmetrizations of measurable sets

Author(s): Aljosa Volcic

Abstract: In this paper we prove almost sure convergence to the ball, in the Nikodym metric, of sequences of random Steiner symmetrizations of bounded Caccioppoli and bounded measurable sets, paralleling a result due to Mani-Levitska concerning convex bodies.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0462

8099. A L\'{e}vy input model with additional state-dependent services

Author(s): Zbigniew Palmowski and Maria Vlasiou

Abstract: We consider a queuing model with the workload evolving between consecutive i.i.d. exponential timers $\{e_q^{(i)}\}_{i=1,2,...}$ according to a spectrally positive L\'{e}vy process $Y(t)$ which is reflected at 0. When the exponential clock $e_q^{(i)}$ ends, the additional state-dependent service requirement modifies the workload so that the latter is equal to $F_i(Y(e_q^{(i)}))$ at epoch $e^{(1)}_q+...+e^{(i)}_q$ for some random nonnegative i.i.d. functionals $F_i$. In particular, we focus on the case when $F_i(y)=(B_i-y)^+$, where $\{B_i\}_{i=1,2,...}$ are i.i.d. nonnegative random variables. We analyse the steady-state workload distribution for this model.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0485

8100. Discretizing the fractional Levy area

Author(s): Andreas Neuenkirch and Samy Tindel (IECN) and J\'er\'emie Unterberger (IECN)

Abstract: In this article, we give sharp bounds for the Euler- and trapezoidal discretization of the Levy area associated to a d-dimensional fractional Brownian motion. We show that there are three different regimes for the exact root mean-square convergence rate of the Euler scheme. For H<3/4 the exact convergence rate is n^{-2H+1/2}, where n denotes the number of the discretization subintervals, while for H=3/4 it is n^{-1} (log(n))^{1/2} and for H>3/4 the exact rate is n^{-1}. Moreover, the trapezoidal scheme has exact convergence rate n^{-2H+1/2} for H>1/2. Finally, we also derive the asymptotic error distribution of the Euler scheme. For H lesser than 3/4 one obtains a Gaussian limit, while for H>3/4 the limit distribution is of Rosenblatt type.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0497

8101. Convergence of multi-class systems of fixed possibly infinite sizes

Author(s): Carl Graham (CMAP)

Abstract: Multi-class systems having possibly both finite and infinite classes are investigated under a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of such a system, given the vector of the empirical measures of its finite classes and directing measures of its infinite ones (given by the de Finetti Theorem), corresponds to sampling independently from each class, without replacement from the finite classes and i.i.d. from the directing measure for the infinite ones. The equivalence between the convergence of multi-exchangeable systems with fixed class sizes and the convergence of the corresponding vectors of measures is then established.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0539

8102. A Bernstein type inequality and moderate deviations for weakly dependent sequences

Author(s): Florence Merlev\`ede (LAMA) and Magda Peligrad and Emmanuel Rio (LM-Versailles, INRIA Bordeaux - Sud-Ouest)

Abstract: In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing sequences. The result is then used to derive asymptotic moderate deviations results. Applications include classes of Markov chains, functions of linear processes with absolutely regular innovations and ARCH models

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0582

8103. Variance limite d'une marche al\'eatoire r\'eversible en milieu al\'eatoire sur Z (Limit of the Variance of a Reversible Random Walk in Random Medium on Z)

Author(s): J\'er\^ome Depauw (LMPT and FRDP) and Jean-Marc Derrien (LM-Brest)

Abstract: The Central Limit Theorem for the random walk on a stationary random network of conductances has been studied by several authors. In one dimension, when conductances and resistances are integrable, and following a method of martingale introduced by S. Kozlov (1985), we can prove the Quenched Central Limit Theorem. In that case the variance of the limit law is not null. When resistances are not integrable, the Annealed Central Limit Theorem with null variance was established by Y. Derriennic and M. Lin (personal communication). The quenched version of this last theorem is proved here, by using a very simple method. The similar problem for the continuous diffusion is then considered. Finally our method allows us to prove an inequality for the quadratic mean of a diffusion (X_t)_t at all time t.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0584

8104. Belief propagation : an asymptotically optimal algorithm for the random assignment problem

Author(s): Justin Salez (INRIA Rocquencourt) and Devavrat Shah (MIT)

Abstract: The random assignment problem asks for the minimum-cost perfect matching in the complete $n\times n$ bipartite graph $\Knn$ with i.i.d. edge weights, say uniform on $[0,1]$. In a remarkable work by Aldous (2001), the optimal cost was shown to converge to $\zeta(2)$ as $n\to\infty$, as conjectured by M\'ezard and Parisi (1987) through the so-called cavity method. The latter also suggested a non-rigorous decentralized strategy for finding the optimum, which turned out to be an instance of the Belief Propagation (BP) heuristic discussed by Pearl (1987). In this paper we use the objective method to analyze the performance of BP as the size of the underlying graph becomes large. Specifically, we establish that the dynamic of BP on $\Knn$ converges in distribution as $n\to\infty$ to an appropriately defined dynamic on the Poisson Weighted Infinite Tree, and we then prove correlation decay for this limiting dynamic. As a consequence, we obtain that BP finds an asymptotically correct assignment in $O(n^2)$ time only. This contrasts with both the worst-case upper bound for convergence of BP derived by Bayati, Shah and Sharma (2005) and the best-known computational cost of $\Theta(n^3)$ achieved by Edmonds and Karp's algorithm (1972).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0585

8105. Heat Conduction Networks: Disposition of Heat Baths and Invariant Measure

Author(s): Alain Camanes (LMJL)

Abstract: We consider a model of heat conduction networks consisting of oscillators in contact with heat baths at different temperatures. Our aim is to generalize the results concerning the existence and uniqueness of the stationnary state already obtained when the network is reduced to a chain of particles. Using Lasalle's principle, we establish a condition on the disposition of the heat baths among the network that ensures the uniqueness of the invariant measure. We will show that this condition is sharp when the oscillators are linear. Moreover, when the interaction between the particles is stronger than the pinning, we prove that this condition implies the existence of the invariant measure.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0586

8106. On Small Perturbations of a Spin Glass System

Author(s): Louis-Pierre Arguin and Nicola Kistler

Abstract: We show through a simple example that perturbations of the Hamiltonian of a spin glass which cannot be detected at the level of the free energy can completely alter the behavior of the overlap. In particular, perturbations of order O(log N), with N the size of the system, suffice to have ultrametricity emerge in the thermodynamical limit.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0294

8107. Some Rigorous Results on Semiflexible Polymers. I. Free and confined polymers

Author(s): Ostap Hryniv and Yvan Velenik

Abstract: We introduce a class of models of semiflexible polymers. The latter are characterized by a strong rigidity, the correlation length associated to the gradient-gradient correlations, called the persistence length, being of the same order as the polymer length. We determine the macroscopic scaling limit, from which we deduce bounds on the free energy of a polymer confined inside a narrow tube.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0694

8108. A Finitization of the Bead Process

Author(s): Benjamin J. Fleming and Peter J. Forrester and Eric Nordenstam

Abstract: The bead process is the particle system defined on parallel lines, with underlying measure giving constant weight to all configurations in which particles on neighbouring lines interlace, and zero weight otherwise. Motivated by the statistical mechanical model of the tiling of an $abc$-hexagon by three species of rhombi, a finitized version of the bead process is defined. The corresponding joint distribution can be realized as an eigenvalue probability density function for a sequence of random matrices. The finitized bead process is determinantal, and we give the correlation kernel in terms of Jacobi polynomials. Two scaling limits are considered: a global limit in which the spacing between lines goes to zero, and a certain bulk scaling limit. In the global limit the shape of the support of the particles is determined, while in the bulk scaling limit the bead process kernel of Boutillier is reclaimed, after approriate identification of the anisotropy parameter therein.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0709

8109. A few ideas about quantitative convergence of collison models to the mean field limit

Author(s): Remi Peyre

Abstract: We consider a stochastic N-particle model for the spatially homogeneous Boltzmann evolution and show its convergence to the associated Boltzmann equation when N tends to infinity. More precisely, for any time T>0 we bound over the distance between the empirical measure of the particle system and the measure given by Boltzmann evolution. That distance is computed in some homogeneous Sobolev space. The control we get is Gaussian, i.e. we prove that the distance is bigger than $x N^{-1/2}$ with a probability of type $e^{-x^2}$ at most. The two ingredients needed are first a control of fluctuations due to the discrete nature of collisions, secondly a kind of Lipschitz continuity for the Boltzmann collision kernel. The latter condition, in our present setting, is only satisfied for Maxwellian models. We also have to control the initial situation of the particle evolution, which we do by a kind of Chernoff inequality for the i.i.d. case. Numerical applications tend to show that our results are useful in practice.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0721

8110. Isoperimetry for spherically symmetric log-concave probability measures

Author(s): Nolwen Huet (IMT)

Abstract: We prove an isoperimetric inequality for probability measures $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with density proportional to $\exp(-\phi(\lambda | x|))$, where $|x|$ is the euclidean norm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ and $\phi$ is a non-decreasing convex function. It applies in particular when $\phi(x)=x^\alpha$ with $\alpha\ge1$. Under mild assumptions on $\phi$, the inequality is dimension-free if $\lambda$ is chosen such that the covariance of $\mu$ is the identity.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0743

8111. Correlated Drainage Model

Author(s): Siva Athreya and Sreekar Vadlamani

Abstract: In this article we present an example of a random oriented tree model on d-dimensional lattice, that is a forest in d=3 with positive probability. This is in contrast with the other random tree models in the literature which are a forest only when d strictly greater than 3.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0762

8112. Total Current Fluctuations in ASEP

Author(s): Craig A. Tracy and Harold Widom

Abstract: A limit theorem for the total current in the asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP) with step initial condition is proved. This extends the result of Johansson on TASEP to ASEP.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0821

8113. Univariate approximations in the infinite occupancy scheme

Author(s): A. D. Barbour

Abstract: The paper concerns the classical occupancy scheme with infinitely many boxes. We establish approximations to the distributions of the number of occupied boxes, and of the number of boxes containing exactly r balls, within the family of translated Poisson distributions. These are shown to be of ideal asymptotic order, with respect both to total variation distance and to the approximation of point probabilities. The proof is probabilistic, making use of a translated Poisson approximation theorem of R\"ollin (2005).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0879

8114. Translated Poisson approximation to equilibrium distributions of Markov population processes

Author(s): Sanda N. Socoll and A. D. Barbour

Abstract: The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in Kolmogorov distance, is of the smallest order that is compatible with their having integer support. Here, an approximation in the much stronger total variation norm is established, without any loss in the asymptotic order of accuracy; the approximating distribution is a translated Poisson distribution having the same variance and (almost) the same mean. Our arguments are based on the Stein-Chen method and Dynkin's formula.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0884

8115. Local limit approximations for Markov population processes

Author(s): Sanda N. Socoll and A. D. Barbour

Abstract: The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distribution $\Pi_n$ of the $n$-th element in a sequence of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. Under a $(2+\a)$-th moment condition on the jump distributions, we establish a bound of order $O(n^{-(\a+1)/2}\sqrt{\log n})$ on the difference between the point probabilities of $\Pi_n$ and those of a translated Poisson distribution with the same variance. Except for the factor $\sqrt{\log n}$, the result is as good as could be obtained in the simpler setting of sums of independent integer-valued random variables. Our arguments are based on the Stein-Chen method and coupling.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0886

8116. Random Walks on Directed Covers of Graphs

Author(s): Lorenz A. Gilch and Sebastian M\"uller

Abstract: Directed covers of finite graphs are also known as periodic trees or trees with finitely many cone types. We expand the existing theory of directed covers of finite graphs to those of infinite graphs. While the lower growth rate still equals the branching number, upper and lower growth rate do not longer coincide in general. Furthermore, the behaviour of random walks on directed covers of infinite graphs is more subtile. We provide a classification in recurrence and transience and point out that the critical random walk may be recurrent or transient. Our proof is based on the observation that recurrence of the random walk is equivalent to the almost sure extinction of an appropriate branching process. Two examples in random environment are provided: homesick random walk on infinite percolation clusters and random walk in random environment on directed covers. Furthermore, we calculate, under reasonable assumptions, the rate of escape with respect to suitable length functions and prove the existence of the asymptotic entropy including an explicit formula which is also a new result for directed covers of finite graphs. In particular, the asymptotic entropy of random walks on directed covers of finite graphs is positive if and only if the random walk is transient.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0908

8117. About Gaussian filtering problems with general exponential quadratic criteria

Author(s): M.L.Keptsyna and A.Le Breton and M.Viot

Abstract: Filtering problems with general exponential quadratic criteria are investigated for Gauss-Markov processes. In this setting, the Linear Exponential Gaussian and Risk-Sensitive filtering problems are solved and it is shown that they may have different solutions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0940

8118. Randomized Kaczmarz solver for noisy linear systems

Author(s): Deanna Needell

Abstract: The Kaczmarz method is an iterative algorithm for solving systems of linear equations Ax=b. Theoretical convergence rates for this algorithm were largely unknown until recently when work was done on a randomized version of the algorithm. It was proved that for overdetermined systems, the randomized Kaczmarz method converges with expected exponential rate, independent of the number of equations in the system. Here we analyze the case where the system Ax=b is corrupted by noise, so we consider the system where Ax is approximately b + r where r is an arbitrary error vector. We prove that in this noisy version, the randomized method reaches an error threshold dependent on the matrix A with the same rate as in the error-free case. We provide examples showing our results are sharp in the general context.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0958

8119. Transience/Recurrence and the speed of a one-dimensional random walk in a "have your cookie and eat it" environment

Author(s): Ross Pinsky

Abstract: Consider a simple random walk on the integers with the following transition mechanism. At each site $x$, the probability of jumping to the right is $\omega(x)\in[\frac12,1)$, until the first time the process jumps to the left from site $x$, from which time onward the probability of jumping to the right is $\frac12$. We investigate the transience/recurrence properties of this process in both deterministic and stationary, ergodic environments $\{\omega(x)\}_{x\in Z}$. In deterministic environments, we also study the speed of the process.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1026

8120. Multiple orthogonal polynomial ensembles

Author(s): Arno B.J. Kuijlaars

Abstract: Multiple orthogonal polynomials are traditionally studied because of their connections to number theory and approximation theory. In recent years they were found to be connected to certain models in random matrix theory. In this paper we introduce the notion of a multiple orthogonal polynomial ensemble (MOP ensemble) and derive some of their basic properties. It is shown that Angelesco and Nikishin systems give rise to MOP ensembles and that the equilibrium problems that are associated with these systems have a natural interpretation in the context of MOP ensembles.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1058

8121. Extremes of Levy processes with light tails

Author(s): Michael Braverman

Abstract: We give conditions under which the tail probability of the supremum over unit interval of a Levy process with light tail is equivalent to the tail of the value of the process at the right endpoint.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1075

8122. Asymptotic directions in random walks in random environment revisited

Author(s): Alexander Drewitz and Alejandro F. Ram\'irez

Abstract: Recently Simenhaus proved that for any elliptic random walk in random environment, transience in the neighborhood of a given direction is equivalent to the a.s. existence of a deterministic asymptotic direction and to transience in any direction in the open half space defined by this asymptotic direction. Here we prove an improved version of this result and review some open problems.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1115

8123. Probabilistic Representation of Weak Solutions of Partial Differential Equations with Polynomial Growth Coefficients

Author(s): Qi Zhang and Huaizhong Zhao

Abstract: In this paper we develop a new weak convergence and compact embedding method to study the existence and uniqueness of the $L_{\rho}^2({\mathbb{R}^{d}};{\mathbb{R}^{1}})\otimes L_{\rho}^2({\mathbb{R}^{d}};{\mathbb{R}^{d}})$ valued solution of backward stochastic differential equations with p-growth coefficients. Then we establish the probabilistic representation of the weak solution of PDEs with p-growth coefficients via corresponding BSDEs.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1148

8124. On the spread of supercritical random graphs

Author(s): Louigi Addario-Berry and Svante Janson and Colin McDiarmid

Abstract: The spread of a connected graph G was introduced by Alon Boppana and Spencer (1998) and measures how tightly connected the graph is. It is defined as the maximum over all Lipschitz functions f on V(G) of the variance of f(X) when X is uniformly distributed on $V(G)$. We investigate the spread of a variety of random graphs, in particular the random regular graphs G(n,d), d >= 3, and Erdos-Renyi random graphs G_{n,p} in the supercritical range p>1/n. We show that if p=c/n with c>1 fixed then with high probability the spread is bounded, and prove similar statements for G(n,d), d >= 3. We also prove lower bounds on the spread in the barely supercritical case p-1/n = o(1). Finally, we show that for d large the spread of G(n,d) becomes arbitrarily close to that of the complete graph K_n.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1156

8125. Asymptotic Expansions for the Sojourn Time Distribution in the $M/G/1$-PS Queue

Author(s): Qiang Zhen and Charles Knessl

Abstract: We consider the $M/G/1$ queue with a processor sharing server. We study the conditional sojourn time distribution, conditioned on the customer's service requirement, as well as the unconditional distribution, in various asymptotic limits. These include large time and/or large service request, and heavy traffic, where the arrival rate is only slightly less than the service rate. Our results demonstrate the possible tail behaviors of the unconditional distribution, which was previously known in the cases $G=M$ and $G=D$ (where it is purely exponential). We assume that the service density decays at least exponentially fast. We use various methods for the asymptotic expansion of integrals, such as the Laplace and saddle point methods.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1199

8126. On Sojourn Times in the $M/M/1$-PS Model, Conditioned on the Number of Other Users

Author(s): Qiang Zhen and Charles Knessl

Abstract: We consider the $M/M/1$-PS queue with processor sharing. We study the conditional sojourn time distribution of an arriving customer, conditioned on the number of other customers present. A new formula is obtained for the conditional sojourn time distribution, using a discrete Green's function. This is shown to be equivalent to some classic results of Pollaczeck and Vaulot from 1946. Then various asymptotic limits are studied, including large time and/or large number of customers present, and heavy traffic, where the arrival rate is only slightly less than the service rate.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1200

8127. Uniform bounds for exponential moments of maximum of Dyck paths

Author(s): O. Khorunzhiy and J.-F. Marckert

Abstract: Let D be a Dyck path chosen uniformly from the set of Dyck paths with 2n steps. We prove that the sequence of the exponential moments of the maximum of D normalized by the square root of n converges in the limit of infinite n, and therefore is bounded uniformly in n. This result justifies corresponding assumption used to prove certain estimates of high moments of large random matrices.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1229

8128. On Azema-Yor processes, their optimal properties and the Bachelier-Drawdown equation

Author(s): Laurent Carraro and Nicole El Karoui and Jan Obloj

Abstract: We study the class of Azema-Yor (AY) processes defined from a general semimartingale with a continuous running supremum process. We show that they arise as unique strong solutions of the Bachelier stochastic differential equation which we prove is equivalent to the Drawdown equation. Solutions of the latter have the drawdown property: they always stay above a given function of their past supremum. We then show that any process which satisfies the drawdown property is in fact an AY process. The proofs exploit group structure of the set of AY processes, indexed by functions, which we introduce. Further, we study in detail AY martingales defined from a non-negative local martingale converging to zero at infinity. In particular, we construct AY martingales with a given terminal law and this allows us to rediscover the AY solution to the Skorokhod embedding problem. Finally, we prove new optimal properties of AY martingales relative to concave ordering of terminal laws of martingales.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1328

8129. The martingale problem for Markov solutions to the Navier-Stokes equations

Author(s): Marco Romito

Abstract: Under suitable assumptions of regularity and non-degeneracy on the covariance of the driving additive noise, any Markov solution to the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations has an associated generator of the diffusion and is the unique solution to the corresponding martingale problem. Some elementary examples are discussed to interpret these results.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1402

8130. An almost sure energy inequality for Markov solutions to the 3D Navier-Stokes equations

Author(s): Marco Romito

Abstract: We prove existence of weak martingale solutions satisfying an almost sure version of the energy inequality and which constitute a (almost sure) Markov process.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1407

8131. Random Graphons and a Weak Positivstellensatz for Graphs

Author(s): L\'aszl\'o Lov\'asz and Bal\'azs Szegedy

Abstract: In an earlier paper the authors proved that limits of convergent graph sequences can be described by various structures, including certain 2-variable real functions called graphons, random graph models satisfying certain consistency conditions, and normalized, multiplicative and reflection positive graph parameters. In this paper we show that each of these structures has a related, relaxed version, which are also equivalent. Using this, we describe a further structure equivalent to graph limits, namely probability measures on countable graphs that are ergodic with respect to the group of permutations of the nodes. As an application, we prove an analogue of the Positivstellensatz for graphs: We show that every linear inequality between subgraph densities that holds asymptotically for all graphs has a formal proof in the following sense: it can be approximated arbitrarily well by another valid inequality that is a "sum of squares" in the algebra of partially labeled graphs.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1327

8132. Bilinear and Quadratic Variants on the Littlewood-Offord Problem

Author(s): Kevin P. Costello

Abstract: If f(x_1, x_2, ..., x_n) is a polynomial dependent on a large number of independent Bernoulli random variables, what can be said about the maximum concentration of f on any single value? For linear polynomials, this reduces to one version of the classical Littlewood-Offord problem: Given nonzero constants a_1 through a_n, what is the maximum number of sums of the form +/- a_1 +/- a_2 +/-... +/- a_n which take on any single value? Here we consider the case where f is either a bilinear form or a quadratic form. For the bilinear case, we show that the only forms having concentration significantly larger than n^{-1} are those which are in a certain sense very close to being degenerate. For the quadratic case, we show that no form having many nonzero coefficients has concentration significantly larger than n^{-1/2}. In both cases the results are nearly tight.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1538

8133. Homogenization of locally stationary diffusions with possibly degenerate diffusion matrix

Author(s): R\'emi Rhodes (CEREMADE)

Abstract: This paper deals with homogenization of second order divergence form parabolic operators with locally stationary coefficients. Roughly speaking, locally stationary coefficients have two evolution scales: both an almost constant microscopic one and a smoothly varying macroscopic one. The homogenization procedure aims to give a macroscopic approximation that takes into account the microscopic heterogeneities. This paper follows "Diffusion in a locally stationary random environment" (published in Probability Theory and Related Fields) and improves this latter work by considering possibly degenerate diffusion matrices. The geometry of the homogenized equation shows that the particle is trapped in subspace of R^d.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1586

8134. A simple construction of Werner measure from chordal SLE$_{8/3}$

Author(s): Robert O. Bauer

Abstract: We give a direct construction of the conformally invariant measure on self-avoiding loops in Riemann surfaces (Werner measure) from chordal $\text{SLE}_{8/3}$. We give a new proof of uniqueness of the measure and use Schramm's formula to construct a measure on boundary bubbles encircling an interior point. After establishing covariance properties for this bubble measure, we apply these properties to obtain a measure on loops by integrating measures on boundary bubbles. We calculate the distribution of the conformal radius of boundary bubbles encircling an interior point and deduce from it explicit upper and lower bounds for the loop measure.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1626

8135. Gaussian density estimates for solutions to quasi-linear stochastic partial differential equations

Author(s): David Nualart and Lluis Quer-Sardanyons

Abstract: In this paper we establish lower and upper Gaussian bounds for the solutions to the heat and wave equations driven by an additive Gaussian noise, using the techniques of Malliavin calculus and recent density estimates obtained by Nourdin and Viens. In particular, we deal with the one-dimensional stochastic heat equation in $[0,1]$ driven by the space-time white noise, and the stochastic heat and wave equations in $\mathbb{R}^d$ ($d\geq 1$ and $d\leq 3$, respectively) driven by a Gaussian noise which is white in time and has a general spatially homogeneous correlation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1849

8136. The critical Z-invariant Ising model via dimers: locality property

Author(s): C\'edric Boutillier and B\'eatrice de Tili\`ere

Abstract: We study a large class of critical two-dimensional Ising models, namely critical Z-invariant Ising models. Fisher [Fis66] introduced a correspondence between the Ising model and the dimer model on a decorated graph, thus setting dimer techniques as a powerful tool for understanding the Ising model. In this paper, we give a full description of the dimer model corresponding to the critical Z-invariant Ising model, consisting of explicit expressions which only depend on the local geometry of the underlying isoradial graph. Our main result is an explicit local formula for the inverse Kasteleyn matrix, in the spirit of [Ken02], as a contour integral of the discrete exponential function of [Mer01a,Ken02] multiplied by a local function. Using results of [BdT08] and techniques of [dT07b,Ken02], this yields an explicit local formula for a natural Gibbs measure, and a local formula for the free energy. As a corollary, we recover Baxter's formula for the free energy of the critical Z-invariant Ising model [Bax89], and thus a new proof of it. The latter is equal, up to a constant, to the logarithm of the normalized determinant of the Laplacian obtained in [Ken02].

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1882

8137. Randomness on Computable Probability Spaces - A Dynamical Point of View

Author(s): Peter Gacs and Mathieu Hoyrup (INRIA Lorraine - LORIA) and Cristobal Rojas (CREA)

Abstract: We extend the notion of randomness (in the version introduced by Schnorr) to computable Probability Spaces and compare it to a dynamical notion of randomness: typicality. Roughly, a point is typical for some dynamic, if it follows the statistical behavior of the system (Birkhoff's pointwise ergodic theorem). We prove that a point is Schnorr random if and only if it is typical for every mixing computable dynamics. To prove the result we develop some tools for the theory of computable probability spaces (for example, morphisms) that are expected to have other applications.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1939

8138. Cover Time and Broadcast Time

Author(s): Robert Els\"asser and Thomas Sauerwald

Abstract: We introduce a new technique for bounding the cover time of random walks by relating it to the runtime of randomized broadcast. In particular, we strongly confirm for dense graphs the intuition of Chandra et al. \cite{CRRST97} that "the cover time of the graph is an appropriate metric for the performance of certain kinds of randomized broadcast algorithms". In more detail, our results are as follows: For any graph $G=(V,E)$ of size $n$ and minimum degree $\delta$, we have $\mathcal{R}(G)= \Oh(\frac{|E|}{\delta} \cdot \log n)$, where $\mathcal{R}(G)$ denotes the quotient of the cover time and broadcast time. This bound is tight for binary trees and tight up to logarithmic factors for many graphs including hypercubes, expanders and lollipop graphs. For any $\delta$-regular (or almost $\delta$-regular) graph $G$ it holds that $\mathcal{R}(G) = \Omega(\frac{\delta^2}{n} \cdot \frac{1}{\log n})$. Together with our upper bound on $\mathcal{R}(G)$, this lower bound strongly confirms the intuition of Chandra et al. for graphs with minimum degree $\Theta(n)$, since then the cover time equals the broadcast time multiplied by $n$ (neglecting logarithmic factors). Conversely, for any $\delta$ we construct almost $\delta$-regular graphs that satisfy $\mathcal{R}(G) = \Oh(\max \{\sqrt{n},\delta \} \cdot \log^2 n)$. Since any regular expander satisfies $\mathcal{R}(G) = \Theta(n)$, the strong relationship given above does not hold if $\delta$ is polynomially smaller than $n$. Our bounds also demonstrate that the relationship between cover time and broadcast time is much stronger than the known relationships between any of them and the mixing time (or the closely related spectral gap).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1735

8139. Mesoscopic fluctuations of the zeta zeros

Author(s): Paul Bourgade

Abstract: We prove a multidimensional extension of Selberg's central limit theorem for $\log\zeta$, in which non-trivial correlations appear. In particular, this answers a question by Coram and Diaconis about the mesoscopic fluctuations of the zeros of the Riemann zeta function. Similar results are given in the context of random matrices from the unitary group. This shows the correspondence $n \leftrightarrow \log t$ not only between the dimension of the matrix and the height on the critical line, but also, in a local scale, for small deviations from the critical axis or the unit circle.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.1757

8140. On the diameter of the set of satisfying assignments in random satisfiable k-CNF formulas

Author(s): Uriel Feige and Abraham D. Flaxman and Dan Vilenchik

Abstract: It is known that random k-CNF formulas have a so-called satisfiability threshold at a density (namely, clause-variable ratio) of roughly 2^k\ln 2: at densities slightly below this threshold almost all k-CNF formulas are satisfiable whereas slightly above this threshold almost no k-CNF formula is satisfiable. In the current work we consider satisfiable random formulas, and inspect another parameter -- the diameter of the solution space (that is the maximal Hamming distance between a pair of satisfying assignments). It was previously shown that for all densities up to a density slightly below the satisfiability threshold the diameter is almost surely at least roughly n/2 (and n at much lower densities). At densities very much higher than the satisfiability threshold, the diameter is almost surely zero (a very dense satisfiable formula is expected to have only one satisfying assignment). In this paper we show that for all densities above a density that is slightly above the satisfiability threshold (more precisely at ratio (1+ \eps)2^k \ln 2, \eps=\eps(k) tending to 0 as k grows) the diameter is almost surely O(k2^{-k}n). This shows that a relatively small change in the density around the satisfiability threshold (a multiplicative (1 + \eps) factor), makes a dramatic change in the diameter. This drop in the diameter cannot be attributed to the fact that a larger fraction of the formulas is not satisfiable (and hence have diameter 0), because the non-satisfiable formulas are excluded from consideration by our conditioning that the formula is satisfiable.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2012

8141. Batch queues, reversibility and first-passage percolation

Author(s): James B. Martin

Abstract: We consider a model of queues in discrete time, with batch services and arrivals. The case where arrival and service batches both have Bernoulli distributions corresponds to a discrete-time M/M/1 queue, and the case where both have geometric distributions has also been previously studied. We describe a common extension to a more general class where the batches are the product of a Bernoulli and a geometric, and use reversibility arguments to prove versions of Burke's theorem for these models. Extensions to models with continuous time or continuous workload are also described. As an application, we show how these results can be combined with methods of Seppalainen and O'Connell to provide exact solutions for a new class of first-passage percolation problems.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2026

8142. Transportation-information inequalities for Markov processes (II) : relations with other functional inequalities

Author(s): Arnaud Guillin and Christian Leonard (CMAP and MODAL'X) and Feng-Yu Wang and Liming Wu

Abstract: We continue our investigation on the transportation-information inequalities $W_pI$ for a symmetric markov process, introduced and studied in \cite{GLWY}. We prove that $W_pI$ implies the usual transportation inequalities $W_pH$, then the corresponding concentration inequalities for the invariant measure $\mu$. We give also a direct proof that the spectral gap in the space of Lipschitz functions for a diffusion process implies $W_1I$ (a result due to \cite{GLWY}) and a Cheeger type's isoperimetric inequality. Finally we exhibit relations between transportation-information inequalities and a family of functional inequalities (such as $\Phi$-log Sobolev or $\Phi$-Sobolev).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2101

8143. A Single Server Retrial Queue with Different Types of Server Interruptions

Author(s): Tewfik Kernane

Abstract: We consider a single server retrial queue with the server subject to interruptions and classical retrial policy for the access from the orbit to the server. We analyze the equilibrium distribution of the system and obtain the generating functions of the limiting distribution.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2110

8144. Burkholder-Davis-Gundy type Inequalities of the It\^o stochastic integral with respect to Levy noise on Banach spaces

Author(s): Erika Hausenblas

Abstract: The aim of this note is to give some Burkholder-Davis-Gundy type inequalities which are valid for the Ito stochastic integral with respect to Banach valued Levy noise.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2114

8145. Stochastic approach for the subordination in Bochner sense

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMA)

Abstract: It is possible to construct a double indexed process with sample paths a surface of a family of subordinators obtained by subordination. We study here a branch of this subordination process. This opens martingale methods on symbolic calculus questions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2133

8146. A new look at the Heston characteristic function

Author(s): Sebastian del Ba\~no Rollin and Albert Ferreiro-Castilla and Frederic Utzet

Abstract: A new expression for the characteristic function of log-spot in Heston model is presented. This expression more clearly exhibits its properties as an analytic characteristic function and allows us to compute the exact domain of the moment generating function. This result is then applied to the volatility smile at extreme strikes and to the control of the moments of spot. We also give a factorization of the moment generating function as product of Bessel type factors, and an approximating sequence to the law of log-spot is deduced.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2154

8147. Heavy-traffic analysis of the maximum of an asymptotically stable random walk

Author(s): Seva Shneer and Vitali Wachtel

Abstract: For families of random walks $\{S_k^{(a)}\}$ with $\mathbf E S_k^{(a)} = -ka < 0$ we consider their maxima $M^{(a)} = \sup_{k \ge 0} S_k^{(a)}$. We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of $M^{(a)}$ as $a \to 0$ for asymptotically stable random walks. This problem appeared first in the 1960's in the analysis of a single-server queue when the traffic load tends to 1 and since then is referred to as the heavy-traffic approximation problem. Kingman and Prokhorov suggested two different approaches which were later followed by many authors. We give two elementary proofs of our main result, using each of these approaches. It turns out that the main technical difficulties in both proofs are rather similar and may be resolved via a generalisation of the Kolmogorov inequality to the case of an infinite variance. Such a generalisation is also obtained in this note.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2185

8148. M/M/1 Queueing System with Non-preemptive Priority

Author(s): Zhao Guo-xi and Hu Qi-Zhou

Abstract: The performance of non-preemptive M/M/1 queueing system with two priority is analyzed. By using complementary variable method to make vector Markov process and analyzing the state-change equations of the queueing system, the generating function of two kinds of customers'length distribution are derived under non-preemptive priority .Through further discussion, the probability of the server that it is working or free and average length of two kinds of customers are also derived.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2086

8149. Distribution-valued heavy-traffic limits for the $G/GI/\infty$ queue

Author(s): Rishi Talreja and Josh Reed

Abstract: We study the $G/GI/\infty$ queue from two different perspectives in the same heavy-traffic regime. First, we represent the dynamics of the system using a measure-valued process that keeps track of the age of each customer in the system. Using the continuous-mapping approach together with the martingale functional central limit theorem, we obtain fluid and diffusion limits for this process in a space of distribution-valued processes. Next, we study a measure-valued process that keeps track of the residual service time of each customer in the system. In this case, using the functional central limit theorem and the random time change theorem together with the continuous-mapping approach, we again obtain fluid and diffusion limits in our space of distribution-valued processes. In both cases, we find that our diffusion limits may be characterized as distribution-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Further, these diffusion limits can be analyzed using standard results from the theory of Markov processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2236

8150. A note on the Poisson boundary of lamplighter random walks

Author(s): Ecaterina Sava

Abstract: The main goal of this paper is to determine the Poisson boundary of lamplighter random walks over a general class of discrete groups $\Gamma$ endowed with a rich boundary. The starting point is the Strip Criterion of identification of the Poisson boundary for random walks on discrete groups due to Kaimanovich. A geometrical method for constructing the strip as a subset of the lamplighter group starting with a smaller strip in the base group $\Gamma$ is developed. Then, this method is applied to several classes of base groups $\Gamma$: groups with infinitely many ends, hyperbolic groups in the sense of Gromov, and Euclidean lattices. We show that under suitable hypothesis the Poisson boundary for a class of random walks on lamplighter groups is the space of infinite limit configurations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2285

8151. Limit theorems for Parrondo's paradox

Author(s): S. N. Ethier and Jiyeon Lee

Abstract: That two losing games can be combined to form a winning game is known as Parrondo's paradox. We establish a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for the Parrondo player's sequence of profits, both in a one-parameter family of profit-dependent games and in a two-parameter family of history-dependent games, with the potentially winning game being either a random mixture or a nonrandom pattern of the two losing games. We derive formulas for the mean and variance parameters of the central limit theorem in nearly all such scenarios; formulas for the mean permit an analysis of when the Parrondo effect is present.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2368

8152. The determinacy of infinite games with eventual perfect monitoring

Author(s): Eran Shmaya

Abstract: An infinite two-player zero-sum game with a Borel winning set, in which the opponent's actions are monitored eventually but not necessarily immediately after they are played, admits a value. The proof relies on a representation of the game as a stochastic game with perfect information, in which Nature operates as a delegate for the players and performs the randomizations for them.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2254

8153. Some results on random circulant matrices

Author(s): Mark W. Meckes

Abstract: This paper considers random (non-Hermitian) circulant matrices, and proves several results analogous to recent theorems on non-Hermitian random matrices with independent entries. In particular, the limiting spectral distribution of a random circulant matrix is shown to be complex normal, and bounds are given for the probability that a circulant sign matrix is singular.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2472

8154. Heat kernel analysis on semi-infinite Lie groups

Author(s): Tai Melcher

Abstract: This paper studies Brownian motion and heat kernel measure on a class of infinite dimensional Lie groups. We prove a Cameron-Martin type quasi-invariance theorem for the heat kernel measure and give estimates on the $L^p$ norms of the Radon-Nikodym derivatives. We also prove that a logarithmic Sobolev inequality holds in this setting.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2500

8155. Expansions for Gaussian processes and Parseval frames

Author(s): Harald Luschgy and Gilles Pag\`es (PMA)

Abstract: We derive a precise link between series expansions of Gaussian random vectors in a Banach space and Parseval frames in their reproducing kernel Hilbert space. The results are applied to pathwise continuous Gaussian processes and a new optimal expansion for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes is derived. In the end an extension of this result to Gaussian stationary processes with convex covariance function is established.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2563

8156. Integral Equations and the First Passage Time of Brownian Motions

Author(s): Sebastian Jaimungal and Alex Krenin and and Angelo Valov

Abstract: The first passage time problem for Brownian motions hitting a barrier has been extensively studied in the literature. In particular, many incarnations of integral equations which link the density of the hitting time to the equation for the barrier itself have appeared. Most interestingly, Peskir(2002b) demonstrates that a master integral equation can be used to generate a countable number of new equations via differentiation or integration by parts. In this article, we generalize Peskir's results and provide a more powerful unifying framework for generating integral equations through a new class of martingales. We obtain a continuum of Volterra type integral equations of the first kind and prove uniqueness for a subclass. Furthermore, through the integral equations, we demonstrate how certain functional transforms of the boundary affect the density function. Finally, we demonstrate a fundamental connection between the Volterra integral equations and a class of Fredholm integral equations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2569

8157. The Policy Iteration Algorithm for Average Continuous Control of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes

Author(s): O.L.V. Costa and F. Dufour

Abstract: The main goal of this paper is to apply the so-called policy iteration algorithm (PIA) for the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with compact action space depending on the state variable. In order to do that we first derive some important properties for a pseudo-Poisson equation associated to the problem. In the sequence it is shown that the convergence of the PIA to a solution satisfying the optimality equation holds under some classical hypotheses and that this optimal solution yields to an optimal control strategy for the average control problem for the continuous-time PDMP in a feedback form.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2673

8158. Li-Yau Type Gradient Estimates and Harnack Inequalities by Stochastic Analysis

Author(s): Marc Arnaudon (LMA) and Anton Thalmaier

Abstract: In this paper we use methods from Stochastic Analysis to establish Li-Yau type estimates for positive solutions of the heat equation. In particular, we want to emphasize that Stochastic Analysis provides natural tools to derive local estimates in the sense that the gradient bound at given point depends only on universal constants and the geometry of the Riemannian manifold locally about this point.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2681

8159. Existence of an Optimal Control for Stochastic Systems with Nonlinear Cost Functional

Author(s): Rainer Buckdahn (LM) and Boubakeur Labed and Catherine Rainer (LM) and Lazhar Tamer

Abstract: We consider a stochastic control problem which is composed of a controlled stochastic differential equation, and whose associated cost functional is defined through a controlled backward stochastic differential equation. Under appropriate convexity assumptions on the coefficients of the forward and the backward equations we prove the existence of an optimal control on a suitable reference stochastic system. The proof is based on an approximation of the stochastic control problem by a sequence of control problems with smooth coefficients, admitting an optimal feedback control. The quadruplet formed by this optimal feedback control and the associated solution of the forward and the backward equations is shown to converge in law, at least along a subsequence. The convexity assumptions on the coefficients then allow to construct from this limit an admissible control process which, on an appropriate reference stochastic system, is optimal for our stochastic control problem.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2693

8160. Regularity of the Optimal Stopping Problem for Levy Processes with Non-Degenerate Diffusions

Author(s): Erhan Bayraktar and Hao Xing

Abstract: The value function of an optimal stopping problem for a process with Levy jumps is known to be a generalized solution of a variational inequality. Assuming the diffusion component of the process is non-degenerate and a mild assumption on the singularity of the Levy measure, this paper shows that the value function is smooth in the continuation region for problems with either finite or infinite variation jumps. Moreover, the smooth-fit property is shown via the global regularity of the value function. This paper confirms the intuition that the non-degenerate diffusion component dictates the regularity of the value function in the optimal stopping problem for jump processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2479

8161. A Simulation Approach to Optimal Stopping Under Partial Information

Author(s): Mike Ludkovski

Abstract: We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional diffusion with correlated noise. Such models where the controller is not fully aware of her environment are of interest in applied probability and financial mathematics. We propose a new approximate numerical algorithm based on the particle filtering and regression Monte Carlo methods. The algorithm maintains a continuous state-space and yields an integrated approach to the filtering and control sub-problems. Our approach is entirely simulation-based and therefore allows for a robust implementation with respect to model specification. We carry out the error analysis of our scheme and illustrate with several computational examples. An extension to discretely observed stochastic volatility models is also considered.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2518

8162. A presentation of the category of stochastic matrices

Author(s): Tobias Fritz

Abstract: This note gives generators and relations for the strict monoidal category of probabilistic maps on finite cardinals (i.e., stochastic matrices).

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2554

8163. Random Walks in the Quarter Plane Absorbed at the Boundary : Exact and Asymptotic

Author(s): Kilian Raschel

Abstract: Nearest neighbor random walks in the quarter plane that are absorbed when reaching the boundary are studied. The cases of positive and zero drift are considered. Absorption probabilities at a given time and at a given site are made explicit. The following asymptotics for these random walks starting from a given point $(n_0,m_0)$ are computed : that of probabilities of being absorbed at a given site $(i,0)$ [resp. $(0,j)$] as $i\to \infty$ [resp. $j \to \infty$], that of the distribution's tail of absorption time at x-axis [resp. y-axis], that of the Green functions at site $(i,j)$ when $i,j\to \infty$ and $j/i \to \tan \gamma$ for $\gamma \in [0, \pi/2]$. These results give the Martin boundary of the process and in particular the suitable Doob $h$-transform in order to condition the process never to reach the boundary. They also show that this $h$-transformed process is equal in distribution to the limit as $n\to \infty$ of the process conditioned by not being absorbed at time $n$. The main tool used here is complex analysis.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2785

8164. Continuous Model for Homopolymers

Author(s): M. Cranston and L. Koralov and S. Molchanov and B. Vainberg

Abstract: We consider the model for the distribution of a long homopolymer in a potential field. The typical shape of the polymer depends on the temperature parameter. We show that at a critical value of the temperature the transition occurs from a globular to an extended phase. For various values of the temperature, including those at or near the critical value, we consider the limiting behavior of the polymer when its size tends to infinity.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2830

8165. Fractional multiplicative processes

Author(s): Julien Barral and Benoit Mandelbrot

Abstract: Statistically self-similar measures on $[0,1]$ are limit of multiplicative cascades of random weights distributed on the $b$-adic subintervals of $[0,1]$. These weights are i.i.d, positive, and of expectation $1/b$. We extend these cascades naturally by allowing the random weights to take negative values. This yields martingales taking values in the space of continuous functions on $[0,1]$. Specifically, we consider for each $H\in (0,1)$ the martingale $(B_{n})_{n\geq1}$ obtained when the weights take the values $-b^{-H}$ and $b^{-H}$, in order to get $B_n$ converging almost surely uniformly to a statistically self-similar function $B$ whose H\"{o}lder regularity and fractal properties are comparable with that of the fractional Brownian motion of exponent $H$. This indeed holds when $H\in(1/2,1)$. Also the construction introduces a new kind of law, one that it is stable under random weighted averaging and satisfies the same functional equation as the standard symmetric stable law of index $1/H$. When $H\in(0,1/2]$, to the contrary, $B_n$ diverges almost surely. However, a natural normalization factor $ a_n$ makes the normalized correlated random walk $ B_n / a_n$ converge in law, as $n$ tends to $\infty$, to the restriction to $[0,1]$ of the standard Brownian motion. Limit theorems are also associated with the case $H>1/2$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2902

8166. Random repeated quantum interactions and random invariant states

Author(s): Ion Nechita (ICJ) and Cl\'ement Pellegrini

Abstract: We consider a generalized model of repeated quantum interactions, where a system $\mathcal{H}$ is interacting in a random way with a sequence of independent quantum systems $\mathcal{K}_n, n \geq 1$. Two types of randomness are studied in detail. One is provided by considering Haar-distributed unitaries to describe each interaction between $\mathcal{H}$ and $\mathcal{K}_n$. The other involves random quantum states describing each copy $\mathcal{K}_n$. In the limit of a large number of interactions, we present convergence results for the asymptotic state of $\mathcal{H}$. This is achieved by studying spectral properties of (random) quantum channels which guarantee the existence of unique invariant states. Finally this allows to introduce a new physically motivated ensemble of random density matrices called the \emph{asymptotic induced ensemble}.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2634

8167. Bounds on the Location of the Maximum Stirling Numbers of the Second Kind

Author(s): Yaming Yu

Abstract: Let K_n denote the smaller mode of the nth row of Stirling numbers of the second kind S(n, k). Using a probablistic argument, it is shown that for all n>=2, [exp(w(n))]-2<=K_n<=[exp(w(n))]+1, where [x] denotes the integer part of x, and w(n) is Lambert's W-function.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.2964

8168. Irreducibility and uniqueness of stationary distribution

Author(s): Ping He and Jiangang Ying

Abstract: In this paper, we shall prove that the irreducibility in the sense of fine topology implies the uniqueness of invariant probability measures. It is also proven that this irreducibility is strictly weaker than the strong Feller property plus irreducibility in the sense of original topology, which is the usual uniqueness condition.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3296

8169. Backward SDEs with superquadratic growth

Author(s): Freddy Delbaen (Department of Mathematics) and Ying Hu (IRMAR) and Xiaobo Bao (Department of Mathematics)

Abstract: In this paper, we discuss the solvability of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with superquadratic generators. We first prove that given a superquadratic generator, there exists a bounded terminal value, such that the associated BSDE does not admit any bounded solution. On the other hand, we prove that if the superquadratic BSDE admits a bounded solution, then there exist infinitely many bounded solutions for this BSDE. Finally, we prove the existence of a solution for Markovian BSDEs where the terminal value is a bounded continuous function of a forward stochastic differential equation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3316

8170. Quenched scaling limits of trap models

Author(s): M. Jara and C. Landim and A. Teixeira

Abstract: Fix a strictly positive measure $W$ on the $d$-dimensional torus $\bb T^d$. For an integer $N\ge 1$, denote by $W^N_x$, $x=(x_1, ..., x_d)$, $0\le x_i 1$, if $W$ is a finite discrete measure, $W=\sum_{i\ge 1} w_i \delta_{x_i}$, we prove that the random walk which jumps from $x/N$ uniformly to one of its neighbors at rate $(W^N_x)^{-1}$ has a metastable behavior, as defined in \cite{bl1}, described by the $K$-process introduced in \cite{fm1}.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3334

8171. Anisotropic Young diagrams and infinite-dimensional diffusion processes with the Jack parameter

Author(s): Grigori Olshanski

Abstract: We construct a family of Markov processes with continuous sample trajectories on an infinite-dimensional space, the Thoma simplex. The family depends on three continuous parameters, one of which, the Jack parameter, is similar to the beta parameter in random matrix theory. The processes arise in a scaling limit transition from certain finite Markov chains, the so called up-down chains on the Young graph with the Jack edge multiplicities. Each of the limit Markov processes is ergodic and its stationary distribution is a symmetrizing measure. The infinitesimal generators of the processes are explicitly computed; viewed as selfadjoint operators in the L^2 spaces over the symmetrizing measures, the generators have purely discrete spectrum which is explicitly described. For the special value 1 of the Jack parameter, the limit Markov processes coincide with those of the recent work by Borodin and the author (Prob. Theory Rel. Fields 144 (2009), 281--318; arXiv:0810.3751). In the limit as the Jack parameter goes to 0, our family of processes degenerates to the one-parameter family of diffusions on the Kingman simplex studied long ago by Ethier and Kurtz in connection with some models of population genetics. The techniques of the paper are essentially algebraic. The main computations are performed in the algebra of shifted symmetric functions with the Jack parameter and rely on the concept of anisotropic Young diagrams due to Kerov.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3395

8172. Effect of Noise on Front Propagation in Reaction-Diffusion equations of KPP type

Author(s): Carl Mueller and Leonid Mytnik and Jeremy Quastel

Abstract: We consider reaction-diffusion equations of KPP type in one spatial dimension, perturbed by a Fisher-Wright white noise, under the assumption of uniqueness in distribution. Examples include the randomly perturbed Fisher-KPP equations $ \partial_t u = \partial_x^2 u + u(1-u) + \epsilon \sqrt{u(1-u)}\dot W, $ and $ \partial_t u = \partial_x^2 u + u(1-u) + \epsilon \sqrt{u}\dot W, $ where $\dot W= \dot W(t,x)$ is a space-time white noise. We prove the Brunet-Derrida conjecture that the speed of traveling fronts is asymptotically $ 2-\pi^2 |\log \epsilon^2|^{-2} $ up to a factor of order $ (\log|\log\epsilon|)|\log\epsilon|^{-3}$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3423

8173. Finitely-additive measures on the asymptotic foliations of a Markov compactum

Author(s): Alexander I. Bufetov

Abstract: An asymptotic expansion is established for time averages of translation flows on flat surfaces. This result, which extends earlier work of A.Zorich and G.Forni, yields limit theorems for translation flows. The argument, close in spirit to that of G.Forni, uses the approximation of ergodic integrals by holonomy-invariant Hoelder cocycles on trajectories of the flows. The space of holonomy-invariant Hoelder cocycles is finite-dimensional, and is given by an explicit construction. First, a symbolic representation for a uniquely ergodic translation flow is obtained following S.Ito and A.M. Vershik, and then, the space of cocycles is constructed using a family of finitely-additive complex-valued holonomy-invariant measures on the asymptotic foliations of a Markov compactum.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3303

8174. A (rough) pathwise approach to fully non-linear stochastic partial differential equations

Author(s): Michael Caruana and Peter Friz and Harald Oberhauser

Abstract: In a series of papers, starting with [Fully nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations. C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris Ser. I Math. 326 (1998), no. 9] Lions and Souganidis proposed a (pathwise) theory for fully non-linear stochastic partial differential equations. We present here a (partial) extension towards certain spatial dependence in the noise term. The main novelty is the use of rough path theory in this context [Lyons, Terry J.; Differential equations driven by rough signals. Rev. Mat. Iberoamericana 14 (1998), no. 2, 215-310].

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3352

8175. Periodic homogenization with an interface: the one-dimensional case

Author(s): Martin Hairer and Charles Manson

Abstract: We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with coefficients that are periodic outside of a finite 'interface region'. The question investigated in this article is the limiting long time / large scale behaviour of such a process under diffusive rescaling. Our main result is that it converges weakly to a rescaled version of skew Brownian motion, with parameters that can be given explicitly in terms of the coefficients of the original diffusion. Our method of proof relies on the framework provided by Freidlin and Wentzell for diffusion processes on a graph in order to identify the generator of the limiting process. The graph in question consists of one vertex representing the interface region and two infinite segments corresponding to the regions on either side.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3471

8176. Interacting Brownian motions in infinite dimensions with logarithmic interaction potentials

Author(s): Hirofumi Osada

Abstract: We investigate the construction of diffusions consisting of infinitely numerous Brownian particles moving in $ \Rd $ and interacting via logarithmic functions (2D Coulomb potentials). These potentials are really strong and long range in nature. The associated equilibrium states are no longer Gibbs measures. We present general results for the construction of such diffusions and, as applications thereof, construct two typical interacting Brownian motions with logarithmic interaction potentials, namely the Dyson model in infinite dimensions and Ginibre interacting Brownian motions. The former is a particle system in $ \R $ while the latter is in $ \R ^2 $. Both models are translation and rotation invariant in space, and as such, are prototypes of dimensions $ d = 1,2 $, respectively. The equilibrium states of the former diffusion model are determinantal random point fields with sine kernels. They appear in the thermodynamical limits of the spectrum of the ensembles of Gaussian random matrices such as GOE, GUE and GSE. The equilibrium states of the latter diffusion model are the thermodynamical limits of the spectrum of the ensemble of complex non-Hermitian Gaussian random matrices known as the Ginibre ensemble.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3561

8177. Large Deviations and Moments for the Euler Characteristic of a Random Surface

Author(s): Kevin Fleming and Nicholas Pippenger

Abstract: We study random surfaces constructed by glueing together $N/k$ filled $k$-gons along their edges, with all $(N-1)!! = (N-1)(N-3)...3\cdot 1$ pairings of the edges being equally likely. (We assume that lcm $\{2,k\}$ divides $N$.) The Euler characteristic of the resulting surface is related to the number of cycles in a certain random permutation of $\{1, ..., N\}$. Gamburd has shown that when 2 lcm $\{2,k\}$ divides $N$, the distribution of this random permutation converges to that of the uniform distribution on the alternating group $A_N$ in the total-variation distance as $N\to\infty$. We obtain large-deviations bounds for the number of cycles that, together with Gamburd's result, allow us to derive sharp estimates for the moments of the number of cycles. These estimates allow us to confirm certain cases of conjectures made by Pippenger and Schleich.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3646

8178. Single-crossover dynamics: finite versus infinite populations

Author(s): Ellen Baake and Inke Herms

Abstract: Populations evolving under the joint influence of recombination and resampling (traditionally known as genetic drift) are investigated. First, we summarise and adapt a deterministic approach, as valid for infinite populations, which assumes continuous time and single crossover events. The corresponding nonlinear system of differential equations permits a closed solution, both in terms of the type frequencies and via linkage disequilibria of all orders. To include stochastic effects, we then consider the corresponding finite-population model, the Moran model with single crossovers, and examine it both analytically and by means of simulations. Particular emphasis is on the connection with the deterministic solution. If there is only recombination and every pair of recombined offspring replaces their pair of parents (i.e., there is no resampling), then the {\em expected} type frequencies in the finite population, of arbitrary size, equal the type frequencies in the infinite population. If resampling is included, the stochastic process converges, in the infinite-population limit, to the deterministic dynamics, which turns out to be a good approximation already for populations of moderate size.

http://arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0612024

8179. A better algorithm for random k-SAT

Author(s): Amin Coja-Oghlan

Abstract: Let F be a uniformly distributed random k-SAT formula with n variables and m clauses. We present a polynomial time algorithm that finds a satisfying assignment of F with high probability for constraint densities m/n<(1-eps_k)2^k\ln(k)/k, where eps_k->0. Previously no efficient algorithm was known to find solutions with non-vanishing probability beyond m/n=1.817.2^k/k [Frieze and Suen, J. of Algorithms 1996].

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3583

8180. On the re-rooting invariance property of Levy trees

Author(s): Thomas Duquesne and Jean-Francois Le Gall

Abstract: We prove a strong form of the invariance under re-rooting of the distribution of the continuous random trees called Levy trees. This extends previous results due to several authors.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3735

8181. Thick Points of the Gaussian Free Field

Author(s): Xiaoyu Hu and Jason Miller and Yuval Peres

Abstract: Let $U \subseteq \C$ be a bounded domain with smooth boundary and let $F$ be an instance of the continuum Gaussian free field on $U$ with respect to the Dirichlet inner product $\int_U \nabla f(x) \cdot \nabla g(x) dx$. The set $T(a;U)$ of $a$-thick points of $F$ consists of those $z \in U$ such that the average of $F$ on a disk of radius $r$ centered at $z$ has growth $\sqrt{a/\pi} \log \tfrac{1}{r}$ as $r \to 0$. We show that for each $0 \leq a \leq 2$ the Hausdorff dimension of $T(a;U)$ is almost surely $2-a$ and that with probability one $T(a;U)$ is empty when $a > 2$. Furthermore, we prove that $T(a;U)$ is invariant under conformal transformations in an appropriate sense. The notion of a thick point is connected to the Liouville quantum gravity measure with parameter $\gamma$ given formally by $\Gamma(dz) = e^{\sqrt{2\pi} \gamma F(z)} dz$ considered by Duplantier and Sheffield.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3842

8182. Asymptotic Independence of the Extreme Eigenvalues of GUE

Author(s): Folkmar Bornemann

Abstract: We give a short, operator-theoretic proof of the asymptotic independence of the minimal and maximal eigenvalue of the n \times n Gaussian Unitary Ensemble in the large matrix limit n \to \infty. This is done by representing the joint probability distribution of those extreme eigenvalues as the Fredholm determinant of an operator matrix that asymptotically becomes diagonal. The method is amenable to explicitly establish the leading order term of an asymptotic expansion. As a corollary we obtain that the correlation of the extreme eigenvalues asymptotically behaves like n^{-2/3}/4\sigma^2, where \sigma^2 denotes the variance of the Tracy--Widom distribution.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3870

8183. Equilibrium Fluctuations for the Totally Asymmetric Zero Range process

Author(s): Patricia Goncalves

Abstract: We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the empirical measure in the one-dimensional Totally Asymmetric Zero-Range Process in the hyperbolic scaling $N$, starting from the equilibrium measure $\nu_{\rho}$. We also show that when taking the direction of the characteristics, the limit density fluctuation field does not evolve in time until $N^{4/3}$, which implies the current across the characteristics to vanish in this longer time scale.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3974

8184. Rare event simulation for T-cell activation

Author(s): Florian Lipsmeier and Ellen Baake

Abstract: The problem of \emph{statistical recognition} is considered, as it arises in immunobiology, namely, the discrimination of foreign antigens against a background of the body's own molecules. The precise mechanism of this foreign-self-distinction, though one of the major tasks of the immune system, continues to be a fundamental puzzle. Recent progress has been made by van den Berg, Rand, and Burroughs (2001), who modelled the \emph{probabilistic} nature of the interaction between the relevant cell types, namely, T-cells and antigen-presenting cells (APCs). Here, the stochasticity is due to the random sample of antigens present on the surface of every APC, and to the random receptor type that characterises individual T-cells. It has been shown previously that this model, though highly idealised, is capable of reproducing important aspects of the recognition phenomenon, and of explaining them on the basis of stochastic rare events. These results were obtained with the help of a refined large deviation theorem and were thus asymptotic in nature. Simulations have, so far, been restricted to the straightforward simple sampling approach, which does not allow for sample sizes large enough to address more detailed questions. Building on the available large deviation results, we develop an importance sampling technique that allows for a convenient exploration of the relevant tail events by means of simulation. With its help, we investigate the mechanism of statistical recognition in some depth. In particular, we illustrate how a foreign antigen can stand out against the self background if it is present in sufficiently many copies, although no \emph{a priori} difference between self and nonself is built into the model.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.2227

8185. Levy flights and Levy -Schroedinger semigroups

Author(s): Piotr Garbaczewski

Abstract: We analyze Levy flights subject to an influence of external potentials and/or external conservative forces. Our goal is to clarify a discord between two classes of pertinent processes: those driven by Langevin equation with Levy noise and those named topological processes. Jump intensities of the latter processes are locally modified (via multiplicative Gibbs-type factors) by a "potential landscape" traveled by the flight and no explicit external forces are used to modify (confine) the noise. The discussion is set within the general framework of so-called Schrodinger boundary data problem which encompasses both Gaussian and non-Gaussian Markov processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3536

8186. Space-time covariance functions with compact support

Author(s): Viktor P. Zastavnyi and Emilio Porcu

Abstract: We characterize completely the Gneiting class of space-time covariance functions and give more relaxed conditions on the involved functions. We then show necessary conditions for the construction of compactly supported functions of the Gneiting type. These conditions are very general since they do not depend on the Euclidean norm. Finally, we discuss a general class of positive definite functions, used for multivariate Gaussian random fields. For this class, we show necessary criteria for its generator to be compactly supported.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3656

8187. On the Bennett-Hoeffding inequality

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: The well-known Bennett-Hoeffding bound for sums of independent random variables is refined, by taking into account truncated third moments, and at that also improved by using, instead of the class of all increasing exponential functions, the much larger class of all generalized moment functions f such that f and f" are increasing and convex. It is shown that the resulting bounds have certain optimality properties. Comparisons with related known bounds are given. The results can be extended in a standard manner to (the maximal functions of) (super)martingales.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4058

8188. Positive-part moments via the Fourier-Laplace transform

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Integral expressions for positive-part moments E X_+^p (p>0) of random variables X are presented, in terms of the Fourier-Laplace or Fourier transforms of the distribution of X. A necessary and sufficient condition for the validity of such an expression is given. This study was motivated by extremal problems in probability and statistics, where one needs to evaluate such positive-part moments.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4214

8189. On regularity properties of Bessel flow

Author(s): L. Vostrikova

Abstract: We study the differentiability of Bessel flow $\rho : x \to \rho ^x_t$, where $(\rho ^x_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is BES $^x(\delta $) process of dimension $\delta >1$ starting from $x$. For $\delta \geq 2$ we prove the existence of bicontinuous derivatives in P-a.s. sense at $x\geq 0$ and we study the asymptotic behaviour of the derivatives at $x=0$. For $1< \delta <2$ we prove the existence of a modification of Bessel flow having derivatives in probability sense at $x\geq 0$. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the derivatives at $t=\tau_0(x)$ where $\tau_0(x)$ is the first zero of $(\rho ^x_t)_{t\geq 0}$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4232

8190. Antithetic variates in higher dimensions

Author(s): Sebastian del Ba\~no Rollin and Joan-Andreu L\'azaro-Cam\'i

Abstract: We introduce the concept of multidimensional antithetic as the absolute minimum of the covariance function $O(N)\to\mathbb{R}$ defined by $A\mapsto Cov(f(\xi),f(A\xi))$ where $\xi$ is a standard $N$-dimensional normal random variable and $f:\mathbb{R}^{N}\to\mathbb{R}$ is an almost everywhere differentiable function. The antithetic matrix is designed to optimise the calculation of $E[f(\xi)]$ in a Monte Carlo simulation. We present an iterative annealing algorithm that dynamically incorporates the estimation of the antithetic matrix within the Monte Carlo calculation.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4211

8191. Load optimization in a planar network

Author(s): Charles Bordenave (IMT) and Giovanni Luca Torrisi

Abstract: We analyze the asymptotic properties of an Euclidean optimization problem on the plane. Specifically, we consider a network with 3 bins and n objects spatially uniformly distributed, each object being allocated to a bin at a cost depending on its position. Two allocations are considered: the allocation minimizing the bin loads and the allocation allocating each object to its less costly bin. We analyze the asymptotic properties of these allocations as the number of objects grows to infinity. Using the symmetries of the problem, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem and a large deviation principle for both loads with explicit expressions. In particular, we prove that the two allocations satisfy the same law of large numbers, but they do not have the same asymptotic fluctuations and rate functions.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4304

8192. Scaling Limit of the Prudent Walk

Author(s): V. Beffara and S. Friedli and Y. Velenik

Abstract: We describe the scaling limit of the nearest neighbour prudent walk on the square lattice, which performs steps uniformly in directions in which it does not see sites already visited. We show that the process eventually settles in one of the quadrants, and derive its scaling limit, which can be expressed in terms of a pair of independent stable subordinators. We also show that the asymptotic speed of the walk is well-defined in the L_1 -norm and equals 3/7. This process possesses unusual properties: it is ballistic but does not have an asymptotic direction, and several natural observables display ageing.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4312

8193. A Note on variational solutions to SPDE perturbed by Gaussian noise in a general class

Author(s): Michael R\"ockner and Yi Wang

Abstract: This note deals with existence and uniqueness of (variational) solutions to the following type of stochastic partial differential equations on a Hilbert space H dX(t) = A(t,X(t))dt + B(t,X(t))dW(t) + h(t) dG(t) where A and B are random nonlinear operators satisfying monotonicity conditions and G is an infinite dimensional Gaussian process adapted to the same filtration as the cylindrical Wiener pocess W(t), t >= 0.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4324

8194. General tax structures and the Levy insurance risk model

Author(s): Andreas E.Kyprianou and Xiaowen Zhou

Abstract: In the spirit of previous of Albrecher, Hipp, Renaud and Zhou we consider a L\'evy insurance risk model with tax payments of a more general structure than in the aforementioned papers that was also considered in \cite{ABBR}. In terms of scale functions, we establish three fundamental identities of interest which have stimulated a large volume of actuarial research in recent years. That is to say, the two sided exit problem, the net present value of tax paid until ruin as well as a generalized version of the Gerber-Shiu function. The method we appeal to differs from former works in that we appeal predominantly to excursion theory.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4340

8195. Strong limit theorems for a simple random walk on the 2-dimensional comb

Author(s): E. Csaki and M. Csorgo and A. Foldes and P. Revesz

Abstract: We study the path behaviour of a simple random walk on the 2-dimensional comb lattice ${\mathbb C}^2$ that is obtained from ${\mathbb Z}^2$ by removing all horizontal edges off the x-axis. In particular, we prove a strong approximation result for such a random walk which, in turn, enables us to establish strong limit theorems, like the joint Strassen type law of the iterated logarithm of its two components, as well as their marginal Hirsch type behaviour.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4369

8196. Theory of minimum spanning trees I: Mean-field theory and strongly disordered spin-glass model

Author(s): T. S. Jackson and N. Read

Abstract: The minimum spanning tree (MST) is a combinatorial optimization problem: given a connected graph with a real weight ("cost") on each edge, find the spanning tree that minimizes the sum of the total cost of the occupied edges. We consider the random MST, in which the edge costs are (quenched) independent random variables. There is a strongly-disordered spin-glass model due to Newman and Stein [Phys. Rev. Lett. 72, 2286 (1994)], which maps precisely onto the random MST. We study scaling properties of random MSTs using a relation between Kruskal's greedy algorithm for finding the MST, and bond percolation. We solve the random MST problem on the Bethe lattice (BL) with appropriate wired boundary conditions and calculate the fractal dimension D=6 of the connected components. Viewed as a mean-field theory, the result implies that on a lattice in Euclidean space of dimension d, there are of order W^{d-D} large connected components of the random MST inside a window of size W, and that d = d_c = D = 6 is a critical dimension. This differs from the value 8 suggested by Newman and Stein. We also critique the original argument for 8, and provide an improved scaling argument that again yields d_c=6. The result implies that the strongly-disordered spin-glass model has many ground states for d>6, and only of order one below six. The results for MSTs also apply on the Poisson-weighted infinite tree, which is a mean-field approach to the continuum model of MSTs in Euclidean space, and is a limit of the BL. In a companion paper we develop an epsilon=6-d expansion for the random MST on critical percolation clusters.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.3651

8197. Stationarity, time--reversal and fluctuation theory for a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes

Author(s): Alessandra Faggionato and Davide Gabrielli and Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

Abstract: We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The continuous variable $x$ follows a piecewise deterministic dynamics, the discrete variable $\s$ evolves by a stochastic jump dynamics and the two resulting evolutions are fully--coupled. We study stationarity, reversibility and time--reversal symmetries of the process. Increasing the frequency of the $\s$--jumps, we show that the system behaves asymptotically as deterministic and we investigate the structure of fluctuations (i.e. deviations from the asymptotic behavior), recovering in a non Markovian frame results obtained by Bertini et al. \cite{BDGJL1, BDGJL2, BDGJL3, BDGJL4}, in the context of Markovian stochastic interacting particle systems. Finally, we discuss a Gallavotti--Cohen--type symmetry relation with involution map different from time--reversal. For several examples the above results are recovered by explicit computations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4195

8198. Maximal inequality for high-dimensional cubes: quantitative estimates

Author(s): Guillaume Aubrun (ICJ)

Abstract: We present lower estimates for the best constant appearing in the weak (1,1) maximal inequality in the space $(\R^n,\|\cdot\|_{\infty})$. We show that it grows to infinity faster than $(\log n)^{\kappa}$ for any $\kappa <1$. We follow the approach used by J.M. Aldaz in a recent paper. The new part of the argument relies on Donsker's theorem identifying the Brownian bridge as the limit $(n \to \infty)$ of the empirical distribution function associated to coordinates of a point randomly chosen in the unit cube $[0,1]^n$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4305

8199. Connectivity, Percolation, and Information Dissemination in Large-Scale Wireless Networks with Dynamic Links

Author(s): Zhenning Kong and Edmund M. Yeh

Abstract: We investigate the problem of disseminating broadcast messages in wireless networks with time-varying links from a percolation-based perspective. Using a model of wireless networks based on random geometric graphs with dynamic on-off links, we show that the delay for disseminating broadcast information exhibits two behavioral regimes, corresponding to the phase transition of the underlying network connectivity. When the dynamic network is in the subcritical phase, ignoring propagation delays, the delay scales linearly with the Euclidean distance between the sender and the receiver. When the dynamic network is in the supercritical phase, the delay scales sub-linearly with the distance. Finally, we show that in the presence of a non-negligible propagation delay, the delay for information dissemination scales linearly with the Euclidean distance in both the subcritical and supercritical regimes, with the rates for the linear scaling being different in the two regimes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4449

8200. Strategies of Voting in Stochastic Environment: Egoism and Collectivism

Author(s): V.I. Borzenko and Z.M. Lezina and A. K.Loginov and Ya.Yu. Tsodikova and and P.Yu. Chebotarev

Abstract: Consideration was given to a model of social dynamics controlled by successive collective decisions based on the threshold majority procedures. The current system state is characterized by the vector of participants' capitals (utilities). At each step, the voters can either retain their status quo or accept the proposal which is a vector of the algebraic increments in the capitals of the participants. In this version of the model, the vector is generated stochastically. Comparative utility of two social attitudes--egoism and collectivism--was analyzed. It was established that, except for some special cases, the collectivists have advantages, which makes realizable the following scenario: on the conditions of protecting the corporate interests, a group is created which is joined then by the egoists attracted by its achievements. At that, group egoism approaches altruism. Additionally, one of the considered variants of collectivism handicaps manipulation of voting by the organizers.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4460

8201. Asymptotic coupling and a weak form of Harris' theorem with applications to stochastic delay equations

Author(s): Martin Hairer and Jonathan C. Mattingly and Michael Scheutzow

Abstract: There are many Markov chains on infinite dimensional spaces whose one-step transition kernels are mutually singular when starting from different initial conditions. We give results which prove unique ergodicity under minimal assumptions on one hand and the existence of a spectral gap under conditions reminiscent of Harris' theorem. The first uses the existence of couplings which draw the solutions together as time goes to infinity. Such "asymptotic couplings" were central to recent work on SPDEs on which this work builds. The emphasis here is on stochastic differential delay equations.Harris' celebrated theorem states that if a Markov chain admits a Lyapunov function whose level sets are "small" (in the sense that transition probabilities are uniformly bounded from below), then it admits a unique invariant measure and transition probabilities converge towards it at exponential speed. This convergence takes place in a total variation norm, weighted by the Lyapunov function. A second aim of this article is to replace the notion of a "small set" by the much weaker notion of a "d-small set," which takes the topology of the underlying space into account via a distance-like function d. With this notion at hand, we prove an analogue to Harris' theorem, where the convergence takes place in a Wasserstein-like distance weighted again by the Lyapunov function. This abstract result is then applied to the framework of stochastic delay equations.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4495

8202. Geometric ergodicity of a bead-spring pair with stochastic Stokes forcing

Author(s): Jonathan C. Mattingly and Scott A. McKinley and Natesh S. Pillai

Abstract: We consider a simple model for the fluctuating hydrodynamics of a flexible polymer in dilute solution, demonstrating geometric ergodicity for a pair of particles that interact with each other through a nonlinear spring potential while being advected by a stochastic Stokes fluid velocity field. This is a generalization of previous models which have used linear spring forces as well as white-in-time fluid velocity fields. We follow previous work combining control theoretic arguments, Lyapunov functions, and hypo-elliptic diffusion theory to prove exponential convergence via a Harris chain argument. To this, we add the possibility of excluding certain "bad" sets in phase space in which the assumptions are violated but from which the systems leaves with a controllable probability. This allows for the treatment of singular drifts, such as those derived from the Lennard-Jones potential, which is an novel feature of this work.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4496

8203. Many-Sources Large Deviations for Max-Weight Scheduling

Author(s): Vijay G. Subramanian and Tara Javidi and Somsak Kittipiyakul

Abstract: In this paper, a many-sources large deviations principle (LDP) for the transient workload of a multi-queue single-server system is established where the service rates are chosen from a compact, convex and coordinate-convex rate region and where the service discipline is the max-weight policy. Under the assumption that the arrival processes satisfy a many-sources LDP, this is accomplished by employing Garcia's extended contraction principle that is applicable to quasi-continuous mappings. For the simplex rate-region, an LDP for the stationary workload is also established under the additional requirements that the scheduling policy be work-conserving and that the arrival processes satisfy certain mixing conditions. The LDP results can be used to calculate asymptotic buffer overflow probabilities accounting for the multiplexing gain, when the arrival process is an average of \emph{i.i.d.} processes. The rate function for the stationary workload is expressed in term of the rate functions of the finite-horizon workloads when the arrival processes have \emph{i.i.d.} increments.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4569

8204. The CRT is the scaling limit of unordered binary trees

Author(s): Jean-Fran\c{c}ois Marckert (LaBRI) and Gr\'egory Miermont (ENS)

Abstract: We prove that a uniform, rooted unordered binary tree with $n$ vertices has the Brownian continuum random tree as its scaling limit for the Gromov-Hausdorff topology. The limit is thus, up to a constant factor, the same as that of uniform plane trees or labeled trees. Our analysis rests on a combinatorial and probabilistic study of appropriate trimming procedures of trees.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4570

8205. Criteria for hitting probabilities with applications to systems of stochastic wave equations

Author(s): Robert C. Dalang and Marta Sanz-Sol\'e

Abstract: We develop several results on hitting probabilities of random fields which highlight the role of the dimension of the parameter space. This yields upper and lower bounds in terms of Hausdorff measure and Bessel-Riesz capacity, respectively. We apply these results to a system of stochastic wave equations in spatial dimension $k\ge1$ driven by a $d$-dimensional spatially homogeneous additive Gaussian noise that is white in time and colored in space.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4583

8206. Analytical Expression of the Expected Values of Capital at Voting in the Stochastic Environment

Author(s): Pavel Chebotarev

Abstract: In the simplest version of the model of group decision making in the stochastic environment, the participants are segregated into egoists and a group of collectivists. A "proposal of the environment" is a stochastically generated vector of algebraic increments of capitals. The social dynamics is determined by the sequence of proposals accepted by a majority voting (with a threshold) of the participants. In this paper, we obtain analytical expressions for the expected values of capitals for all the participants, including collectivists and egoists. In addition, distinctions between some principles of group voting are discussed.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4514

8207. A combinatorial analysis of interacting diffusions

Author(s): Sourav Chatterjee and Soumik Pal

Abstract: We consider a particular class of n-dimensional homogeneous diffusions all of which have an identity diffusion matrix and a drift function that is piecewise constant and scale invariant. Abstract stochastic calculus immediately gives us general results about existence and uniqueness in law and invariant probability distributions when they exist. These invariant distributions are probability measures on the $n$-dimensional space and can be extremely resistant to a more detailed understanding. To have a better analysis, we construct a polyhedra such that the inward normal at its surface is given by the drift function and show that the finer structures of the invariant probability measure is intertwined with the geometry of the polyhedra. We show that several natural interacting Brownian particle models can thus be analyzed by studying the combinatorial fan generated by the drift function, particularly when these are simplicial. This is the case when the polyhedra is a polytope that is invariant under a Coxeter group action, which leads to an explicit description of the invariant measures in terms of iid Exponential random variables. Another class of examples is furnished by interactions indexed by weighted graphs all of which generate simplicial polytopes with $n !$ faces. We show that the proportion of volume contained in each component simplex corresponds to a probability distribution on the group of permutations, some of which have surprising connections with the classical urn models.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4762

8208. Relative frequencies in multitype branching processes

Author(s): Andrei Y. Yakovlev and Nikolay M. Yanev

Abstract: This paper considers the relative frequencies of distinct types of individuals in multitype branching processes. We prove that the frequencies are asymptotically multivariate normal when the initial number of ancestors is large and the time of observation is fixed. The result is valid for any branching process with a finite number of types; the only assumption required is that of independent individual evolutions. The problem under consideration is motivated by applications in the area of cell biology. Specifically, the reported limiting results are of advantage in cell kinetics studies where the relative frequencies but not the absolute cell counts are accessible to measurement. Relevant statistical applications are discussed in the context of asymptotic maximum likelihood inference for multitype branching processes.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4773

8209. Degenerate diffusions arising from gene duplication models

Author(s): Rick Durrett and Lea Popovic

Abstract: We consider two processes that have been used to study gene duplication, Watterson's [Genetics 105 (1983) 745--766] double recessive null model and Lynch and Force's [Genetics 154 (2000) 459--473] subfunctionalization model. Though the state spaces of these diffusions are two and six-dimensional, respectively, we show in each case that the diffusion stays close to a curve. Using ideas of Katzenberger [Ann. Probab. 19 (1991) 1587--1628] we show that one-dimensional projections converge to diffusion processes, and we obtain asymptotics for the time to loss of one gene copy. As a corollary we find that the probability of subfunctionalization decreases exponentially fast as the population size increases. This rigorously confirms a result Ward and Durrett [Theor. Pop. Biol. 66 (2004) 93--100] found by simulation that the likelihood of subfunctionalization for gene duplicates decays exponentially fast as the population size increases.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4780

8210. Integrated functionals of normal and fractional processes

Author(s): Boris Buchmann and Ngai Hang Chan

Abstract: Consider $Z^f_t(u)=\int_0^{tu}f(N_s) ds$, $t>0$, $u\in[0,1]$, where $N=(N_t)_{t\in\mathbb{R}}$ is a normal process and $f$ is a measurable real-valued function satisfying $Ef(N_0)^2<\infty$ and $Ef(N_0)=0$. If the dependence is sufficiently weak Hariz [J. Multivariate Anal. 80 (2002) 191--216] showed that $Z_t^f/t^{1/2}$ converges in distribution to a multiple of standard Brownian motion as $t\to\infty$. If the dependence is sufficiently strong, then $Z_t/(EZ_t(1)^2)^{1/2}$ converges in distribution to a higher order Hermite process as $t\to\infty$ by a result by Taqqu [Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 50 (1979) 53--83]. When passing from weak to strong dependence, a unique situation encompassed by neither results is encountered. In this paper, we investigate this situation in detail and show that the limiting process is still a Brownian motion, but a nonstandard norming is required. We apply our result to some functionals of fractional Brownian motion which arise in time series. For all Hurst indices $H\in(0,1)$, we give their limiting distributions. In this context, we show that the known results are only applicable to $H<3/4$ and $H>3/4$, respectively, whereas our result covers $H=3/4$.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4784

8211. A Berry--Esseen theorem for sample quantiles under weak dependence

Author(s): S. N. Lahiri and S. Sun

Abstract: This paper proves a Berry--Esseen theorem for sample quantiles of strongly-mixing random variables under a polynomial mixing rate. The rate of normal approximation is shown to be $O(n^{-1/2})$ as $n\to\infty$, where $n$ denotes the sample size. This result is in sharp contrast to the case of the sample mean of strongly-mixing random variables where the rate $O(n^{-1/2})$ is not known even under an exponential strong mixing rate. The main result of the paper has applications in finance and econometrics as financial time series data often are heavy-tailed and quantile based methods play an important role in various problems in finance, including hedging and risk management.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4796

8212. The calculation of expectations for classes of diffusion processes by Lie symmetry methods

Author(s): Mark Craddock and Kelly A. Lennox

Abstract: This paper uses Lie symmetry methods to calculate certain expectations for a large class of It\^{o} diffusions. We show that if the problem has sufficient symmetry, then the problem of computing functionals of the form $E_x(e^{-\lambda X_t-\int_0^tg(X_s) ds})$ can be reduced to evaluating a single integral of known functions. Given a drift $f$ we determine the functions $g$ for which the corresponding functional can be calculated by symmetry. Conversely, given $g$, we can determine precisely those drifts $f$ for which the transition density and the functional may be computed by symmetry. Many examples are presented to illustrate the method.

http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.4806

stefano . iacus at unimi . it