Probability Abstracts 42

This document contains abstracts 908-938. They have been mailed on December 1, 1997.

908. HOW SYSTEM PERFORMANCE IS AFFECTED BY THE INTERPLAY OF AVERAGES IN A FLUID QUEUE WITH LONG RANGE DEPENDENCE INDUCED BY HEAVY TAILS

David Heath, Sidney Resnick and Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider a
fluid queue with sessions arriving according to a Poisson
process. A long--tailed distribution of session lengths induces 
long range dependence in the system and 
causes its performance to deteriorate.
The deterioration is due to occurrence of  load
regimes far from  average ones. Nonetheless, the 
{\it extent} of this performance deterioration is shown to 
depend crucially on the average values of the system parameters. 

davidh@orie.cornell.edu, sid@orie.cornell.edu, gennady@orie.cornell.edu

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909. MEASURE-VALUED IMMIGRATON PROCESSES AND KUZNETSOV PROCESSES

Zeng-Hu Li

An immigration process associated with the Borel right
Dawson-Watanabe superprocess does not always have a right
continuous realization. We construct the immigration process by
adding up measure-valued paths in the Kuznetsov process determined
by an entrance rule for the superprocess. The path behavior of the
Kuznetsov process is studied, which gives insights into trajectory
structures of the immigration process. Some known results on
excessive measures are interpreted probabilistically in terms of
stationary immigration processes. It is also shown that a class of
infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes may arise as
fluctuation limits of the stationary immigration processes.

lizh@bnu.edu.cn (AMS-TeX file and hardcopy available)

910. THE ASYMPTOTICS OF WAITING TIMES BETWEEN STATIONARY PROCESSES, ALLOWING DISTORTION

Amir Dembo  and  Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Given two independent realizations of the stationary processes 
$\{X_n ; n\geq 1\}$ and $\{Y_n ; n\geq 1\}$, our main quantity 
of interest is the waiting time $W_n(D)$ until a $D$-close version 
of the initial string $(X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n)$ first appears as a 
contiguous substring in $(Y_1,Y_2,Y_3,\ldots)$, where closeness is
measured with respect to some ``average distortion'' criterion.

We study the asymptotics of $W_n(D)$ for large $n$ under various 
mixing conditions on $\{X_n\}$ and $\{Y_n\}$. We first prove a 
strong approximation theorem between $\log W_n(D)$ and the 
logarithm of the probability of a $D$-ball around $(X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n)$.
Using large deviations techniques, we show that this probability can, 
in turn, be strongly approximated by an associated random walk, 
and we conclude that: (i) $n^{-1}\log W_n(D)$ converges almost surely
to a constant $R$ determined by an explicit variational problem; 
(ii) $[\log W_n(D)-R]$, properly normalized, satisfies a central 
limit theorem, a law of the iterated logarithm, and, more generally, 
an almost sure invariance principle.

yiannis@isl.stanford.edu

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911. THE QUASI-SURE RATIO ERGODIC THEOREM

P. J. Fitzsimmons

Let (P_t)_{t\ge 0} be the transition semigroup of a right Markov process, and
let m be a conservative (P_t)-invariant measure. Let f and g be elements
of L^1(m) with g > 0. We show that, with the exception of an m-polar set of
starting points x, the ratio int_0^t P_s[f](x)ds / int_0^t P_s[g](x)ds
converges as t --> infty, and we identify the limit as a ratio of
conditional expectations with respect to the appropriate invariant
sigma-algebra. This improves upon earlier work of M. Fukushima and M.G.
Shur, in which the exceptional set was shown to be m-semipolar. The proof
is based on Neveu's presentation of the Chacon-Ornstein filling scheme,
adapted to continuous time. The method yields, as a by-product, a local
limit theorem for the ratio of the ``characteristics'' of two continuous
additive functionals, extending work of Mokobodzki.

pfitzsim@ucsd.edu

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912. BROWNIAN SPACE-TIME FUNCTIONS OF ZERO QUADRATIC VARIATION DEPEND ONLY ON TIME

P. J. Fitzsimmons

Let B(t), t >= 0, be a d-dimensional Brownian motion and let f be a
continuous function mapping R^d x [0,infty[ into R. We show that if
t --> f(B(t),t) is locally of zero quadratic variation, then
f(x,t) = f(0,t) for all (x,t). This result extends recent work of F.B.
Knight, thereby confirming a conjecture of T. Salisbury.

pfitzsim@ucsd.edu

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913. RANDOM WALKS ON GRAPHICAL SIERPINSKI CARPETS

Martin T. Barlow and Richard F. Bass

We consider random walks on a class of graphs derived from 
Sierpinski carpets. We obtain upper and lower bounds (which are non-Gaussian) 
on the transition probabilities which are, up to constants, the best possible. 
We also extend some classical Sobolev and Poincar\'e inequalities to this 
setting. 

bass@math.washington.edu

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914. CRITICAL PERCOLATION ON ANY NONAMENABLE GROUP HAS NO INFINITE CLUSTERS

Itai Benjamini, Russell Lyons, Yuval Peres, and Oded Schramm

We show that independent percolation on any Cayley graph of a 
nonamenable group has no infinite components at the critical
parameter.  We first obtained this result as a corollary of a general study
of group-invariant percolation. The goal here is to present a simpler 
self-contained proof that easily extends to quasi-transitive graphs
with a unimodular automorphism group. The key tool is a ``mass-transport''  
method, which is a technique of averaging in nonamenable settings.

itai@wisdom.weizmann.ac.il       rdlyons@indiana.edu
peres@stat.berkeley.edu          schramm@wisdom.weizmann.ac.il

915. BACKWARD STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS WITH CONSTRAINTS ON THE GAINS-PROCESS

Jaksa Cvitanic, Ioannis Karatzas and Mete Soner

We study Backward Stochastic Differential Equations with convex 
constraints on the gains (or intensity-of-noise) process.  Existence and
uniqueness of a  minimal solution 
are established in the case of a drift coefficient which is  
 Lipschitz-continuous  in the state- and  gains-processes,
and  convex in the gains-process.  It is also shown that  
the minimal solution can be characterized as the unique solution
of a functional stochastic control-type equation. This representation
is related to the penalization method for constructing solutions of stochastic 
differential equations,  involves change of measure techniques, and 
employs  notions and results from convex analysis, such as the 
support function of the convex set of constraints and its various properties. 

cj@stat.columbia.edu

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916. THE MAXIMUM OF THE PERIODOGRAM FOR A HEAVY--TAILED SEQUENCE

Thomas Mikosch, Sidney Resnick, and Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider the maximum of the periodogram based on an infinite variance
heavy--tailed sequence. For $\alpha<1$ we show that the maxima
constitute a weakly convergent sequence, and find its limiting distribution.
For $1\leq\alpha <2$ we show that the sequence of the maxima is not
tight, and find a normalization that makes it tight. 

sid@orie.cornell.edu 

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917. AMENABILITY AND PHASE TRANSITION IN THE ISING MODEL

Johan Jonasson and Jeffrey E. Steif

We consider the Ising model with external field $h$ and coupling constant
$J$ on an infinite connected graph $G$ with uniformly bounded degree.
We prove that if $G$ is nonamenable, then the Ising model exhibits phase 
transition for some $h \neq 0$ and some $J<\infty$.
On the other hand, if $G$ is amenable and quasi--transitive, then phase 
transition cannot occur for $h \neq 0$.
In particular, a group is nonamenable if and only if the Ising model on 
one (all) of its Cayley graphs exhibits a phase transition for some $h \neq 0$
and some $J<\infty$.

expect@math.chalmers.se  steif@math.chalmers.se 

918. APPLICATIONS OF A REPRESENTATION OF LONG MEMORY GAUSSIAN PROCESSES

Philippe Carmona, Laure Coutin and Gerard Montseny

We  study   a class of Gaussian processes which have a moving average
representation with respect to a fixed driving Brownian motion, and can 
be represented as a mixture of Markovian semimartingale Gaussian
processes with a numerically efficient approximation scheme (a typical
process in this class is fractional Brownian motion).

In particular, we try to answer the following questions:

--  When is this process a Brownian motion ? a semimartingale ?

--  Do we have an Ito formula ? Can we solve stochastic differential
equations ? What does this mean in terms of the underlying driving
Brownian motion ?

carmona@cict.fr, coutin@cict.fr, montseny@laas.fr

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919. TAILS AND MOMENTS ESTIMATES FOR SOME TYPES OF CHAOS

Rafa{\l} Lata{\l}a

Let $X_{i}$ be a sequence of independent symmetric real random variables
with logarithmically concave tails (that is such that the functions
$-\ln P(|X_{i}|\geq t)$ are convex on $(0,\infty)$). We consider a
random variable $X=\sum_{i\neq j}a_{i,j}X_{i}X_{j}$, where $a_{i,j}$ 
are real numbers. We derive approximate formulas for the tails and moments
of $X$ and its decoupled version, which are exact up to some universal
constants.

rlatala@math.gatech.edu (LaTex file available)

920. RATES OF CONVERGENCE FOR A NON-REVERSIBLE MARKOV CHAIN SAMPLER

Martin Hildebrand

Diaconis, Holmes, and Neal have described a non-reversible Markov chain 
sampler. Like the Metropolis algorithm, this Markov chain sampler
depends on a stationary probability $\pi$. This Markov chain 
involves a duplication of states; the transition probabilities will
depend on which duplicate the algorithm is on at the start of a step as
well as the ratio of probabilities at 2 states. The transition probabilities
also depend on a parameter $\theta$ which governs transitions between 
the duplicate sets. This paper examines the behavior of this Markov chain
for certain $\theta$ and $\pi$ and finds examples where the 
Markov chain converges to the stationary distribution faster than the
corresponding Metropolis algorithm's Markov chain does. The proofs of
these results use various facts from Markov chain and probability theory.

martinhi@math.albany.edu

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921. DIFFUSIONS AND ELLIPTIC OPERATORS

Richard F. Bass

This is a book about the interplay of diffusion processes and
elliptic PDEs. The best clue to what is in the book is the
table of contents.

I STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS
  Preliminaries
  Pathwise solutions
  Lipschitz coefficients
  Types of uniqueness
  Markov properties
  One-dimensional case
  Examples
  Some estimates
  Stratonovich integrals
  Flows
  SDEs with reflection
  SDEs with reflection: pathwise results

II REPRESENTATIONS OF SOLUTIONS
  Poisson's equation
  Dirichlet problem
  Cauchy problem
  Schr\"odinger operators
  Girsanov transformation
  The Neumann and oblique derivative problems
  Fundamental solutions and Green functions
  Adjoints

III REGULARITY OF SOLUTIONS
  Variation of parameters
  Weighted H\"older norms
  Regularity of hitting distributions
  Schauder estimates
  Dirichlet problem
  Extensions
  Neumann and oblique derivative problem
  Calder\'on-Zygmund estimates
  Flows

IV ONE-DIMENSIONAL DIFFUSIONS
  Natural scale
  Speed measures
  Diffusions as solutions of SDEs
  Boundaries
  Eigenvalue expansions

V NONDIVERGENCE FORM OPERATORS
  Definitions
  Some estimates
  Examples
  Convexity
  Green functions
  Resolvents
  Harnack inequality
  Equicontinuity and approximation

VI MARTINGALE PROBLEMS
  Existence
  The strong Markov property
  Some useful techniques
  Some uniqueness results
  Consequences of uniqueness
  Submartingale problems

VII DIVERGENCE FORM OPERATORS
  Preliminaries
  Inequalities
  Moser's Harnack inequality
  Upper bounds on heat kernels
  Off-diagonal upper bounds
  Lower bounds
  Extensions
  Path properties

VIII THE MALLIAVIN CALCULUS
  Integration by parts formula
  Smooth functionals
  A criterion for smooth densities
  Vector fields
  H\"ormander's theorem
  An alternative approach

bass@math.washington.edu

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922. POLAR BOUNDARY SETS FOR SUPERDIFFUSIONS AND REMOVABLE LATERAL SINGULARITIES FOR NONLINEAR PARABOLIC PDE'S

S. E. Kuznetsov

Suppose $L$ is a second order elliptic differential operator in $R^d$ and $D$ 
is a bounded smooth domain in $R^d$.   Let $\alpha \in (1,2]$ and let 
$\Gamma$ be a closed subset of $\partial D$. It is known (Dynkin and Kuznetsov, 
1996) that the following three properties are equivalent:

(i)  $\Gamma$ is d-polar, that is $\Gamma$ is not hit by the range of the 
corresponding $(L,\alpha)$-superdiffusion in $D$;

(ii)  The Poisson capacity of $\Gamma$ is equal to zero;
 
(iii) $\Gamma$ is a removable boundary singularity for the equation 
$Lu=u^\alpha$ in $D$.

We investigate a similar problem for a parabolic operator in a smooth cylinder
$Q = [0,\infty)\times D$. Let $\Gamma$ be a compact set on the lateral 
boundary of $Q$. We show that the following three properties are equivalent:

(a) $\Gamma$ is G-polar, that is $\Gamma$ is not hit by the graph of the 
corresponding $(L,\alpha)$-superdiffusion in $Q$;

(b) The Poisson capacity of $\Gamma$ is equal to zero;

(c) $\Gamma$ is a removable lateral singularity for the equation 

$\dot u + Lu = u^\alpha$ in $Q$, 

that is if $u$ is a non-negative solution of the problem $\dot u + Lu=u^\alpha$ 
in $Q$, $u=0$ on $\partial Q \setminus \Gamma$ and $u \to 0$ if $t$ tends to 
infinity, then $u=0$.

sk47@cornell.edu

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923. REMOVABLE LATERAL SINGULARITIES OF SEMILINEAR PARABOLIC PDE'S AND BESOV CAPACITIES

S. E. Kuznetsov

Suppose $\alpha$ belongs tp (1,2], $L$ is a second order elliptic differential 
operator in $R^d$ and $D$ is a bounded smooth domain in $R^d$.  Let $Q = 
[0,\infty)\times D$ and let $\Gamma$ be a compact set on the lateral boundary 
of $Q$. Refining previous result of the author, we prove that $\Gamma$ is a 
removable lateral singularity for the equation $\dot u + Lu = u^\alpha$ in $Q$ 
if and only if 
$$
Cap_{1/\alpha,2/\alpha,\alpha')(\Gamma) = 0 
$$
where $Cap$ stands for the Besov capacity on the boundary and 
$\alpha' = \alpha/(\alpha-1)$.

sk47@cornell.edu

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924. $\sigma$-MODERATE SOLUTIONS of $Lu = u^\alpha$ AND FINE TRACE ON THE BOUNDARY

S. E. Kuznetsov

We investigate the class of all positive solutions of the equation 
$Lu = u^\alpha$, $\alpha$ belongs to (1,2], in a smooth domain $E$ in $R^d$.  
We define the fine trace $tr(u)$ of a solution $u$ as a pair $(\Gamma,\nu)$ 
where $\Gamma$ is a set of singular boundary points of $u$ and $\nu$ is a 
certain $\sigma$-finite measure on the complement of $\Gamma$. We describe 
all possible traces and we construct the minimal solution with the given trace.

sk47@cornell.edu

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925. FINE TOPOLOGY AND FINE TRACE ON THE BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH A CLASS OF SEMILINEAR DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS

E. B. Dynkin and S. E. Kuznetsov

We investigate the set of all positive solutions of a semilinear equation 
$Lu=\psi(u)$ where $L$ is a second order elliptic differential operator in a 
domain $E$ of $R^d$ or, more generally, in a Riemannian manifold and $\psi$ 
belongs to a wide class of convex functions which contains $\psi(u)=u^\alpha$ 
for all $\alpha>1$. We define  boundary singularities of a solution $u$ in 
terms of points of rapid growth of the right derivative $\psi^+(u)$, we 
introduce a fine topology and a fine trace of $u$ on the Martin boundary 
and we construct the minimal solution for every possible value of this trace.   

ebd1@cornell.edu, sk47@cornell.edu

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926. ON THE EQUIVALENCE OF CERTAIN ERGODIC PROPERTIES FOR GIBBS STATES

F. den Hollander and J.E. Steif

We extend our previous work by proving that for translation invariant 
Gibbs states on $\Z^d$ with a translation invariant interaction potential 
$\Psi = (\Psi_A)$ satisfying $\sum_{A \ni 0} |A|^{-1} [\mbox{diam}(A)]^d 
\|\Psi_A\| < \infty$ the following hold:\\
(1) the Kolmogorov-property implies a Trivial Full Tail;
(2) the Bernoulli-property implies F\o lner Independence.
The existence of bilaterally deterministic Bernoulli Shifts tells us that 
neither (1) nor (2) is true for random fields in general without some 
further assumption (even when $d=1$).

denholla@sci.kun.nl

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927. A NEW INDUCTIVE APPROACH TO THE LACE EXPANSION FOR SELF-AVOIDING WALKS

R. van der Hofstad, F. den Hollander and G. Slade

We introduce a new inductive approach to the lace expansion, and apply
it to prove Gaussian behaviour for the weakly self-avoiding walk on
${\Bbb Z}^d$ where loops of length $m$ are penalised by a factor 
$e^{-\beta/m^{p}}$ ($0<\beta \ll 1$) when:
(1) $d>4$, $p \geq 0$;
(2) $d \leq 4$, $p > \frac{4-d}{2}$.
In particular, we derive results first obtained by Brydges and Spencer
(and revisited by other authors) for the case $d>4$, $p=0$. In addition,
we prove a local central limit theorem, with the exception of the
case $d>4$, $p=0$.

denholla@sci.kun.nl

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928. SOLUTIONS OF NONLINEAR DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS ON A RIEMANNIAN MANIFOLD AND THEIR TRACE ON THE MARTIN BOUNDARY

E.B.Dynkin and S.E.Kuznetsov

Let $L$ be a second order elliptic differential operator on a
Riemannian manifold $E$ with no zero order terms. We say that a
function $h$ is $L$-harmonic if $Lh=0$. Every 
positive $L$-harmonic function  has a unique representation
$$
h(x)=\int_{E'} k(x,y) \nu(dy)
$$
where $k$ is the Martin kernel, $E'$ is the Martin boundary and
$\nu$ is a finite measure on $E'$ concentrated on the minimal part
$E^*$ of $E'$. We call $\nu$ the trace of $h$ on $E'$.

Our objective is to investigate positive solutions of a nonlinear equation
$$
L u=u^\alpha\text{ on } E                     \tag *
$$
for $1<\alpha\le 2$ [the restriction $\alpha\le 2$ is imposed because our
main tool is the $(L,\alpha)$-superdiffusion which is not defined for
$\alpha>2$]. We associate with every solution $u$ of (*) a pair
$(\Gamma,\nu)$ where $\Gamma$ is a closed subset of $E'$ and $\nu$ is a
Radon measure on $O=E'\setminus \Gamma$. We
call $(\Gamma,\nu)$ the trace of $u$ on $E'$. $\Gamma$ is empty if
and only if $u$ is dominated by an $L$-harmonic function. We call such
solutions moderate. A moderate solution is determined
uniquely by its trace. In general, many solutions can have the same
trace. 

In an earlier paper, we investigated  the  case when
$L$ is a second order elliptic 
differential operator in $\rd$ and $E$ is a bounded smooth
domain in $\rd$.  We obtained necessary and sufficient
conditions for 
a pair $(\GG,\nu)$ to be a trace and we gave a probabilistic formula
for the maximal solution with a given trace.

General theory developed in the present paper is applicable, in
particular, to elliptic operators $L$ with bounded 
coefficients in an arbitrary bounded domain of $R^d$ assuming only that the
Martin boundary and the geometric boundary coincide.

ebd1@cornell.edu, sk47@cornell.edu

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929. STOCHASTIC BOUNDARY VALUES AND BOUNDARY SINGULARITIES FOR THE EQUATION $Lu = u^\alpha$

E.B.Dynkin

We investigate positive solutions of a nonlinear equation $Lu=u^\alpha$ where 
$L$ is a second order elliptic differential operator in a Riemannian manifold 
$E$ and $1<\alpha\le 2$. The restriction $\alpha\le 2$ is imposed because our 
main tool is $(L,\alpha)$-superdiffusion $X$ which is not defined for 
$\alpha>2$. We establish a 1-1 correspondence between the set $U$ of positive 
solutions and a class $\frak Z$ of functionals of $X$ which we call linear 
boundary functionals (they depend only on the behavior of $X$ near the Martin 
boundary $E'$).

The class $\frak Z$ is a closed convex cone and $u\in U$ is a subadditive 
function of $Z \in \frak Z$. Special roles belong to moderate solutions 
corresponding to $Z$ with finite mathematical expectations and to a family of 
solutions determined by the range of $X$. A new formula is deduced connecting  
$u, Z$ and $L$-diffusions conditioned to hit the boundary $E'$ at a given 
point $y$. A concept of a singular boundary point for $u$ is introduced in 
terms of the conditioned diffusion.

ebd1@cornell.edu

930. ON EXIT SPACES FOR THE DAWSON-WATANABE SUPERPROCESSES

E.B.Dynkin

Let $\xi$ be a Markov process in a space $E$ with transition function 
$p(r,x;t,dy)$ and let $X$ be the corresponding Dawson-Watanabe superprocess 
[i.e. the superprocess with the branching characteristic $\psi(u)=\gamma u^2$]. 
Denote by $\Cal P$ the transition function of $X$ and put
$$
p_n(r,x;t,dy)=
\prod\limits_{i=1}^n p(r,x_i;t,dy_i).
$$
To every $p_n$-exit law $\ell$ at time $\beta$ there corresponds a 
$\cal P$-exit law $L_\ell$ at the same time such that, for every $t$, 
$L_\ell^t(\mu)$ is a polynomial of degree $n$ in $\mu$ with the leading 
term $\<\ell^t,\mu^n\>$. 

Polynomial exit laws for $\xi$ form a convex cone. Under broad conditions on 
$p$, we describe all extremal elements of this cone  and we prove existence 
and uniqueness theorem for decomposition into extremal elements. (If $p$ is 
the transition function of a diffusion and if $\beta<\infty$, then the classes 
of proportional extremal polynomial exit laws are in  a natural correspondence 
with finite integer-valued non-zero measures on $E$.)


ebd1@cornell.edu

931. ROTATION NUMBERS FOR LINEAR STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS

Ludwig Arnold and Peter Imkeller

Let $dx=\sum_{i=0}^m A_ix\circ dW^i$ be a linear SDE
in ${\bf R}^d$, generating  the flow $\Phi_t$ of
linear isomorphisms. The  multiplicative ergodic
theorem asserts that every vector
$v\in{\bf R}^d\setminus\{0\}$ possesses a Lyapunov
exponent (exponential  growth rate) $\lambda(v)$
under $\Phi_t$ which is a random variable taking
its values from a finite list of canonical
exponents $\lambda_i$ realized in  the invariant
Oseledets spaces $E_i$. We  prove that, in the
case of simple Lyapunov spectrum, every 2-plane
$p$  in ${\bf R}^d$ possesses a rotation number
$\rho(p)$ under $\Phi_t$ which  is defined as the linear growth
rate of the cumulative infinitesimal rotations
of a vector $v_t$ inside $\Phi_t(p)$. Again, $\rho(p)$ is a random
variable taking its values from a finite list
of canonical rotation numbers $\rho_{ij}$
realized in span$(E_i,E_j)$.  We give
rather explicit formulas  for the $\rho_{ij}$.
This carries over  results of Arnold  and San
Martin from random to stochastic differential
equations which is made  possible by utilizing
anticipative calculus.

imkeller@mathematik.hu-berlin.de

932. ADDITIONAL LOGARITHMIC UTILITY OF AN INSIDER

Juergen Amendinger, Peter Imkeller, and Martin Schweizer

In this paper,  we consider a security market  in
which two investors on different information
levels maximize their logarithmic utility from
terminal wealth. While the ordinary investor's
portfolio decisions are based on the public
information flow, the insider possesses from the
very beginning some extra information about the
outcome of some random variable $G$, e.g., the
future price of a stock. We solve the two
optimization problems and rewrite the insider's
additional expected logarithmic utility in terms
of a relative entropy. This enables us to provide
simple conditions on $G$ for the finiteness of
this additional utility and to show that it is
basically given by the entropy of $G$.

imkeller@mathematik.hu-berlin.de

933. COALESCENTS WITH MULTIPLE COLLISIONS

Jim Pitman 

For each finite measure $\Lambda$ on $[0,1]$, a coalescent Markov process, 
with state space the compact set of all partitions of the set $N$ of 
positive integers, is constructed so the restriction of the partition
to each finite subset of $N$ is a Markov chain with the following transition 
rates: when the partition has $b$ blocks, each $k$-tuple of blocks is merging 
to form a single block at rate $\int_0^1 x^{k-2} (1 - x) ^{b-k} \Lambda(dx)$. 
Call this process a {\em $\Lambda$-coalescent}.  Discrete measure valued 
processes derived from the $\Lambda$-coalescent model a system of masses 
undergoing coalescent collisions.  Kingman's coalescent, which has numerous 
applications in population genetics, is the $\delta_0$-coalescent for 
$\delta_0$ a unit mass at 0. The coalescent recently derived by Bolthausen and 
Sznitman from Ruelle's probability cascades, in the context of the 
Sherrington-Kirkpatrick spin glass model in mathematical physics, is the 
$U$-coalescent for $U$ uniform on $[0,1]$. For $\Lambda=U$, and whenever an 
infinite number of masses are present, each collision in a $\Lambda$-coalescent involves an infinite number of masses almost surely, and the proportion of 
masses involved exists almost surely and is distributed proportionally to 
$\Lambda$.  The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet family of random discrete 
distributions derived from a stable subordinator, and corresponding 
exchangeable random partitions of $N$ governed by a generalization of the 
Ewens sampling formula, are applied to describe transition mechanisms for 
processes of coalescence and fragmentation, including the $U$-coalescent and 
its time reversal.

pitman@stat.Berkeley.edu     
Technical Report No. 495,  Department of Statistics, U.C. Berkeley

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  • Or here.

934. EMPIRICAL PROCESSES BASED ON PSEUDO-OBSERVATIONS

Kilani Ghoudi and Bruno Remillard

Usually, empirical distribution functions are used to estimate 
the theoretical distribution function of known functions 
$\theta(X)$ of the observable random variable $X$. 
In practice, many researchers are using empirical distribution functions 
constructed from residuals, which are estimations of a non-observable 
error terms in linear models. This falls under a class of more general 
problems in which one is interested in the estimation of the 
distribution function of a non-observable random variable $\theta(Q,X)$ 
depending on an observable random variable $X$ together with its unknown 
law $Q$. When $Q$ is estimated by some $Q_n$,  the quantities 
$\theta(Q_n,X_i)$ are called pseudo-observations. Some work has been done 
recently when the pseudo-observations are the so-called residuals of linear
models.

The aim of this paper is to provide some tools to study the asymptotic 
behavior of empirical processes constructed from general 
pseudo-observations. Examples of pseudo-observations will be
given together with applications to copulas, weighted symmetry, regression 
and other statistical concepts.

ghoudi@uqtr.uquebec.ca or remillar@uqtr.uquebec.ca

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935. LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR NONLINEAR HYPERBOLIC SPDE'S IN THE BESOV-ORLICZ SPACE

Boualem Djehich and M'Hamed Eddahbi

We investigate the regularity of the solutions of a class of nonlinear
hyperbolic stochastic partial differential equations in the anisotropic
Besov--Orlicz space $\Cal B_{\tau,\omega}^0$ modulated by the Young
function $\tau(t)=\exp(t^2) -1$ and the modulus of continuity
$\omega(t)=\left(t(1+\log(1/t))\right)^{1/2}$. Moreover, we derive in
the Besov--Orlicz norm a large deviation estimate of Freidlin--Wentzell
type for the solution. 

boualem@math.kth.se

936. CONCENTRATION OF MEASURE AND LOGARITHMIC SOBOLEV INEQUALITIES

Michel Ledoux

   These notes corresponds to a mini-course given at the Technische
Universitat Berlin in November 1997. The aim of these notes is to present a
complete account on the applications of logarithmic Sobolev inequalities
to the concentration of measure phenomenon. The basic argument we develop
is going back to I. Herbst and has been revived recently by several authors
including S. Aida, T. Masuda, I. Shigekawa, D. Stroock, S. Bobkov, F.
G\"otze, L. Gross, O. Rothaus. We exploit Herbst's original argument to
deduce from the logarithmic Sobolev inequalities some differential
inequalities on the Laplace transforms of Lipschitz functions. According to
the family of entropy-energy inequalities we are dealing with, these
differential inequalities yield various  behaviors of the Laplace
transforms of Lipschitz functions and of their concentration properties. 
Besides applications to Talagrand's concentration inequalities for 
product measures, we present recent joint work with S. Bobkov on 
modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and their applications to 
non-Gaussian tails. In addition, we include some new tail estimate
for Brownian motion on a manifold with non-negative Ricci curvature as
well as upper bounds on the logarithmic Sobolev constant in compact
manifolds. In particular, we determine the behavior of the logarithmic
Sobolev constant of the Euclidean unit ball as a function of the dimension.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. ISOPERIMETRIC AND CONCENTRATION INEQUALITIES
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Isoperimetric inequalities for Gaussian and Boltzmann measures 
1.3 Some general facts about concentration
2. SPECTRAL GAP AND LOGARITHMIC SOBOLEV INEQUALITIES
2.1 Abstract functional inequalities
2.2 Examples of logarithmic Sobolev inequalities
2.3 Herbst's argument
2.4 Entropy-energy inequalities and non-Gaussian tails
2.5 Poincar\'e inequalities and concentration
3. DEVIATION INEQUALITIES FOR PRODUCT MEASURES
3.1 Concentration with respect to the Hamming metric
3.2 Deviation inequalities for convex functions
3.3 Concentration inequalities for contracting Markov chains
3.4 Applications to bounds on empirical processes
4. MODIFIED LOGARITHMIC SOBOLEV INEQUALITIES FOR LOCAL GRADIENTS
4.1 The exponential measure
4.2 Modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities
4.3 Poincar\'e inequalities and modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities
5. MODIFIED LOGARITHMIC SOBOLEV INEQUALITIES IN DISCRETE SETTINGS
5.1 Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for Bernoulli and Poisson measures
5.2 Modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and Poisson tails
5.3 Sharp bounds
6. SOME APPLICATIONS TO LARGE DEVIATIONS AND TO BROWNIAN MOTION
ON A MANIFOLD
6.1 Logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and large deviation upper bounds
6.2 Some tail estimate for Brownian motion on a manifold
7. ON REVERSED HERBST'S INEQUALITIES AND BOUNDS ON THE
LOGARITHMIC SOBOLEV CONSTANT
7.1 Reversed Herbst's inequality
7.2 Dimension free lower bounds
7.3 Upper bounds on the logarithmic Sobolev constant

ledoux@cict.fr  (postcript file only available)      
http:/www-sv.cict.fr/lsp/Ledoux/index.html

937. ON MINIMAL PARABOLIC FUNCTIONS AND TIME-HOMOGENEOUS PARABOLIC $h$-TRANSFORMS

Krzysztof Burdzy and Thomas S. Salisbury

Does a minimal harmonic function $h$ remain minimal 
when it is viewed as a parabolic function? 
The question is answered for a class of long thin 
semi-infinite tubes $D\subset \R^d$ of variable width
and minimal harmonic functions $h$ corresponding to the 
boundary point of $D$ ``at infinity.'' Suppose $f(u)$
is the width of the tube $u$ units away from its
endpoint and $f$ is a Lipschitz function. 
The answer to the question is affirmative if and only if
$\int^\infty f^3(u)du = \infty$. If the test fails, there 
exist parabolic $h$-transforms of space-time Brownian motion
in $D$ with infinite lifetime which are not time-homogenous.

burdzy@math.washington.edu or salt@nexus.yorku.ca

  • To see a preprint or other information provided by the author click here.

938. IMPROVED BONFERRONI INEQUALITIES

Klaus Dohmen

We prove that the binomial moments appearing in classical Bonferroni
inequalities can be replaced by smaller quantities involving much
fewer terms. The new bounds, which are sharper and faster to compute,
are applied to reliability theory, chromatic graph theory and extreme
value statistics.

dohmen@informatik.hu-berlin.de

  • To see a preprint or other information provided by the author click here.
stefano . iacus at unimi . it