Probability Abstracts 90

This document contains abstracts 3796-3953 from Nov-1-2005 to Dec-29-2005.
They have been mailed on January 4, 2006.

3796. Propagation of Fluctuations in Biochemical Systems, I: Linear SSC Networks

Author(s): David Anderson and Jonathan Mattingly and H. Frederik Nijhout and Michael Reed

Abstract: We investigate the propagation of random fluctuations through biochemical networks in which the concentrations of species are large enough so that the unperturbed problem is well-described by ordinary differential equation. We characterize the behavior of variance as fluctuations propagate down chains, study the effect of side chains and feedback loops, and investigate the asymptotic behavior as one rate constant gets large. We also describe how the ideas can be applied to the study of methionine metabolism.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510642
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510642 (alternate)

3797. Transportation to random zeroes by the gradient flow

Author(s): Fedor Nazarov and Mikhail Sodin and Alexander Volberg

Abstract: We show that the basins of zeroes under the gradient flow of the random potential U corresponding to a random Gaussian Entire Function f partition the complex plane into domains of equal area and that the probability that the diameter of a particular basin is greater than R is exponentially small in R.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510654
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CV/0510654 (alternate)

3798. No multiple collisions for mutually repelling Brownian particles

Author(s): Emmanuel C\'{e}pa (MAPMO) and Dominique L\'{e}pingle (MAPMO)

Abstract: Brownian particles in electrostatic interaction may pairwise collide when the interaction parameter is small. But multiple collisions are never possible.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511445
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511445 (alternate)

3799. A permutation test for matching and its asymptotic distribution

Author(s): Larry Goldstein and Yosef Rinott

Abstract: We consider a permutation method for testing whether observations given in their natural pairing exhibit an unusual level of similarity in situations where any two observations may be similar at some unknown baseline level. Under a null hypotheses where there is no distinguished pairing of the observations, a normal approximation with explicit bounds and rates is presented for determining approximate critical test levels.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511427
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0511427 (alternate)

3800. Combinatorics and distributions of partial injections

Author(s): Olexandr Ganyushkin and Volodymyr Mazorchuk

Abstract: We obtain several combinatorial results about chains, cycles and orbits of the elements of the symmetric inverse semigroup $\IS_n$ and the set $T_n$ of nilpotent elements in $\IS_n$. We also get some estimates for the growth of $|\IS_n|$ and $|T_n|$, and study random products of elements from $\IS_n$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511431
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511431 (alternate)

3801. Multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type and non-intersecting Brownian motions

Author(s): E. Daems and A.B.J. Kuijlaars

Abstract: We present a generalization of multiple orthogonal polynomials of type I and type II, which we call multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type. Some basic properties are formulated, and a Riemann-Hilbert problem for the multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type is given. We derive a Christoffel-Darboux formula for these polynomials using the solution of the Riemann-Hilbert problem. The main motivation for studying these polynomials comes from a model of non-intersecting one-dimensional Brownian motions with a given number of starting points and endpoints. The correlation kernel for the positions of the Brownian paths at any intermediate time coincides with the Christoffel-Darboux kernel for the multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type with respect to Gaussian weights.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511470
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0511470 (alternate)

3802. An Oriented Competition model on Z_{+}^2

Author(s): George Kordzakhia and Steven Lalley

Abstract: We consider a two-type oriented competition model on the first quadrant of the two-dimensional integer lattice. Each vertex of the space may contain only one particle of either Red type or Blue type. A vertex flips to the color of a randomly chosen southwest nearest neighbor at exponential rate 2. At time zero there is one Red particle located at (1,0) and one Blue particle located at (0,1). The main result is a partial shape theorem: Denote by R(t) and B(t) the red and blue regions at time t. Then (i) eventually the upper half of the unit square contains no points of B(t)=t, and the lower half no points of R(t)=t; and (ii) with positive probability there are angular sectors rooted at (1,1) that are eventually either red or blue. The second result is contingent on the uniform curvature of the boundary of the corresponding Richardson shape.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511504
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511504 (alternate)

3803. Berry Esseen bounds for combinatorial central limit theorems and pattern occurrences, using zero and size biasing

Author(s): Larry Goldstein

Abstract: Berry Esseen type bounds to the normal, based on zero- and size-bias couplings, are derived using Stein's method. The zero biasing bounds are illustrated with an application to combinatorial central limit theorems where the random permutation has either the uniform distribution or one which is constant over permutations with the same cycle type and having no fixed points. The size biasing bounds are applied to the occurrences of fixed relatively ordered sub-sequences (such as rising sequences) in a random permutation, and to the occurrences of patterns, extreme values, and subgraphs on finite graphs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511510
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511510 (alternate)

3804. Random dense countable sets: characterization by independence

Author(s): Boris Tsirelson

Abstract: A random dense countable set is characterized (in distribution) by independence and stationarity. Two examples are `Brownian local minima' and `unordered infinite sample'. They are identically distributed; the former ad hoc proof of this fact is now superseded by a general result.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511011
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511011 (alternate)

3805. Stochastic Integral with respect to Cylindrical Wiener Process

Author(s): Anna Karczewska

Abstract: This paper is devoted to a construction of the stochastic It\^o integral with respect to infinite dimensional cylindrical Wiener process. The construction given is an alternative one to that introduced by DaPrato and Zabczyk [3]. The connection of the introduced integral with the integral defined by Walsh [9] is provided as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511512
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511512 (alternate)

3806. Random trees and applications

Author(s): Jean-Francois Le Gall

Abstract: We discuss several connections between discrete and continuous random trees. In the discrete setting, we focus on Galton-Watson trees under various conditionings. In particular, we present a simple approach to Aldous' theorem giving the convergence in distribution of the contour process of conditioned Galton-Watson trees towards the normalized Brownian excursion. We also briefly discuss applications to combinatorial trees. In the continuous setting, we use the formalism of real trees, which yields an elegant formulation of the convergence of rescaled discrete trees towards continuous objects. We explain the coding of real trees by functions, which is a continuous version of the well-known coding of discrete trees by Dyck paths. We pay special attention to random real trees coded by Brownian excursions, and in a particular we provide a simple derivation of the marginal distributions of the CRT. The last section is an introduction to the theory of the Brownian snake, which combines the genealogical structure of random real trees with independent spatial motions. We introduce exit measures for the Brownian snake and we present some applications to a class of semilinear partial differential equations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511515
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511515 (alternate)

3807. Exponential functionals of Brownian motion, I: Probability laws at fixed time

Author(s): Hiroyuki Matsumoto Marc Yor

Abstract: This paper is the first part of our survey on various results about the distribution of exponential type Brownian functionals defined as an integral over time of geometric Brownian motion. Several related topics are also mentioned.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511517
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511517 (alternate)

3808. Exponential functionals of Brownian motion, II: Some related diffusion processes

Author(s): Hiroyuki Matsumoto Marc Yor

Abstract: This is the second part of our survey on exponential functionals of Brownian motion. We focus on the applications of the results about the distributions of the exponential functionals, which have been discussed in the first part. Pricing formula for call options for the Asian options, explicit expressions for the heat kernels on hyperbolic spaces, diffusion processes in random environments and extensions of L\'evy's and Pitman's theorems are discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511519
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511519 (alternate)

3809. A Variation Embedding Theorem and Applications

Author(s): Peter Friz and Nicolas Victoir

Abstract: Fractional Sobolev spaces, also known as Besov or Slobodetzki spaces, arise in many areas of analysis, stochastic analysis in particular. We prove an embedding into certain q-variation spaces and discuss a few applications. First we show q-variation regularity of Cameron-Martin paths associated to fractional Brownian motion and other Volterra processes. This is useful, for instance, to establish large deviations for enhanced fractional Brownian motion. Second, the q-variation embedding, combined with results of rough path theory, provides a different route to a regularity result for stochastic differential equations by Kusuoka. Third, the embedding theorem works in a non-commutative setting and can be used to establish Hoelder/variation regularity of rough paths.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511520
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511520 (alternate)

3810. Giant Components in Biased Graph Processes

Author(s): Gideon Amir and Ori Gurel-Gurevich and Eyal Lubetzky and Amit Singer

Abstract: A random graph process, $\Gorg[1](n)$, is a sequence of graphs on $n$ vertices which begins with the edgeless graph, and where at each step a single edge is added according to a uniform distribution on the missing edges. It is well known that in such a process a giant component (of linear size) typically emerges after $(1+o(1))\frac{n}{2}$ edges (a phenomenon known as ``the double jump''), i.e., at time $t=1$ when using a timescale of $n/2$ edges in each step. We consider a generalization of this process, $\Gorg[K](n)$, which gives a weight of size 1 to missing edges between pairs of isolated vertices, and a weight of size $K \in [0,\infty)$ otherwise. This corresponds to a case where links are added between $n$ initially isolated settlements, where the probability of a new link in each step is biased according to whether or not its two endpoint settlements are still isolated. Combining methods of \cite{SpencerWormald} with analytical techniques, we describe the typical emerging time of a giant component in this process, $t_c(K)$, as the singularity point of a solution to a set of differential equations. We proceed to analyze these differential equations and obtain properties of $\Gorg$, and in particular, we show that $t_c(K)$ strictly decreases from 3/2 to 0 as $K$ increases from 0 to $\infty$, and that $t_c(K) = \frac{4}{\sqrt{3K}}(1 + o(1))$. Numerical approximations of the differential equations agree both with computer simulations of the process $\Gorg(n)$ and with the analytical results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511526
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511526 (alternate)

3811. Fourier transform of a Gaussian measure on the Heisenberg group

Author(s): Matyas Barczy and Gyula Pap

Abstract: An explicit formula is derived for the Fourier transform of a Gaussian measure on the Heisenberg group at the Schrodinger representation. Using this explicit formula, necessary and sufficient conditions are given for the convolution of two Gaussian measures to be a Gaussian measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511016
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511016 (alternate)

3812. The spatial $\Lambda$-coalescent

Author(s): Vlada Limic and Anja Sturm

Abstract: This paper extends the notion of the $\la$-coalescent of Pitman (1999) to the spatial setting. The partition elements of the spatial $\Lambda$-coalescent migrate in a (finite) geographical space and may only coalesce if located at the same site of the space. We characterize the $\Lambda$-coalescents that come down from infinity, in an analogous way to Schweinsberg (2000). Surprisingly, all spatial coalescents that come down from infinity, also come down from infinity in a uniform way. This enables us to study space-time asymptotics of spatial $\Lambda$-coalescents on large tori in $d\ge 3$ dimensions. Our results generalize and strengthen those of Greven et al. (2005), who studied the spatial Kingman coalescent in this context.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511536
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511536 (alternate)

3813. The realization of positive random variables via absolutely continuous transformations of measure on Wiener space

Author(s): D. Feyel and A.S. Ustunel and M. Zakai

Abstract: Let \mu be a Gaussian measure on some measurable space {W = {w}, \calB (W)} and let \nu be a measure on the same space which is absolutely continuous with respect to \nu. The paper surveys results on the problem of constructing a transformation T on the W space such that Tw = w+u(w) where u takes values in the Cameron-Martin space and the image of \mu under T is \mu. In addition we ask for the existence of transformations T belonging to some particular classes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511545
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511545 (alternate)

3814. Random walk models and probabilistic techniques for inhomogeneous polymer chains

Author(s): Francesco Caravenna

Abstract: Modeling of polymer chains has received a lot of attention in mathematics. In fact, probabilistic models that naturally arise in statistical mechanics have been widely studied by mathematicians for the very challenging and novel problems that they pose. The physical situation that we consider in this thesis is that of a polymer in the proximity of an interface between two selective solvents, in the case when the interaction of the monomers with the solvents and the interface may vary from monomer to monomer (inhomogeneous polymer). In interesting cases thee is a phase transition between a state in which the polymer sticks very close to the interface (localized regime) and a state in which it wanders away from it (delocalized regime). The mechanism underlying such a transition is an energy/entropy competition. Our task has been to study random walk models of polymer chains with the purpose of understanding this competition in a deep and quantitative way. Despite the fact that the definition of these models is extremely elementary, their analysis is not simple at all, and several interesting questions are still open. In this Ph.D. thesis we present new results that answer some of these questions. The analysis performed has required the application of a wide range of techniques, including large deviations, concentration inequalities, renewal theory, fluctuation theory for random walks. A numerical and statistical study has been performed too. Finally we prove a local limit theorem for random walks conditioned to stay positive.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511561
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511561 (alternate)

3815. On constrained annealed bounds for pinning and wetting models

Author(s): Francesco Caravenna and Giambattista Giacomin

Abstract: The free energy of quenched disordered systems is bounded above by the free energy of the corresponding annealed system. This bound may be improved by applying the annealing procedure, which is just Jensen inequality, after having modified the Hamiltonian in a way that the quenched expressions are left unchanged. This procedure is often viewed as a partial annealing or as a constrained annealing, in the sense that the term that is added may be interpreted as a Lagrange multiplier on the disorder variables. In this note we point out that, for a family of models, some of which have attracted much attention, the multipliers of the form of empirical averages of local functions cannot improve on the basic annealed bound from the viewpoint of characterizing the phase diagram. This class of multipliers is the one that is suitable for computations and it is often believed that in this class one can approximate arbitrarily well the quenched free energy.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511562
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511562 (alternate)

3816. A modified version of frozen percolation on the binary tree

Author(s): R.Brouwer

Abstract: We consider the following, intuitively described process: at time zero, all sites of a binary tree are at rest. Each site becomes activated at a random uniform [0,1] time, independent of the other sites. As soon as a site is in an infinite cluster of activated sites, this cluster of activated sites freezes. The main question is whether a process like this exists. Aldous [Ald00] proved that this is the case for a slightly different version of frozen percolation. In this paper we construct a process that fits the intuitive description and discuss some properties.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511021 (alternate)

3817. Directed percolation in two dimensions: An exact solution

Author(s): L. C. Chen and F. Y. Wu

Abstract: We consider a directed percolation process on an ${\cal M}$ x ${\cal N}$ rectangular lattice whose vertical edges are directed upward with an occupation probability y and horizontal edges directed toward the right with occupation probabilities x and 1 in alternate rows. We deduce a closed-form expression for the percolation probability P(x,y), the probability that one or more directed paths connect the lower-left and upper-right corner sites of the lattice. It is shown that P(x,y) is critical in the aspect ratio $a = {\cal M}/{\cal N}$ at a value $a_c =[1-y^2-x(1-y)^2]/2y^2$ where P(x,y) is discontinuous, and the critical exponent of the correlation length for $a < a_c$ is $\nu=2$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0511296
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0511296 (alternate)

3818. On the Limiting Distribution for the Longest Alternating Sequence in a Random Permutation

Author(s): Harold Widom

Abstract: Recently Richard Stanley initiated a study of the distribution of the length as(w) of the longest alternating subsequence in a random permutation w from the symmetric group $S_n$. Among other things he found an explicit formula for the generating function (on n and k) for the probability that as(w) is at most k and conjectured that the distribution, suitably centered and normalized, tended to a Gaussian with variance 8/45. In this note we present a proof of the conjecture based on the generating function.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511533
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511533 (alternate)

3819. Linear Functions on the Classical Matrix Groups

Author(s): Elizabeth Meckes

Abstract: Let $M$ be a random matrix in the orthogonal group $\O_n$, distributed according to Haar measure, and let $A$ be a fixed $n\times n$ matrix over $\R$ such that $\tr(AA^t)=n$. Then the total variation distance of the random variable $\tr(AM)$ to standard normal is bounded by $2\sqrt{3}/(n-1)$, and this rate is sharp up to the constant. Analogous results are obtained for $M$ a random unitary matrix and $A$ a fixed $n\times n$ matrix over $\C$. The proofs are via an improvement of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs which makes use of the continuous nature of the symmetries of the classical matrix groups.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509441
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509441 (alternate)

3820. Zero biasing and a discrete central limit theorem

Author(s): Larry Goldstein and Aihua Xia

Abstract: We introduce a new family of distributions to approximate $\prob(W\in A)$ for $A\subset\{...,-2,-1,0,1,2,...\}$ and $W$ a sum of independent integer-valued random variables $\xi_1$, $\xi_2$, $...$, $\xi_n$ with finite second moments, where with large probability $W$ is not concentrated on a lattice of span greater than 1. The well-known Berry--Esseen theorem states that for $Z$ a normal random variable with mean $\mean(W)$ and variance $\var(W)$, $\prob(Z \in A)$ provides a good approximation to $\prob(W \in A)$ for $A$ of the form $(-\infty,x]$. However, for more general $A$ such as the set of all even numbers, the normal approximation becomes unsatisfactory and it is desirable to have an appropriate discrete, non-normal, distribution which approximates $W$ in total variation, and a discrete version of the Berry--Esseen theorem to bound the error. In this paper, using the concept of zero biasing for discrete random variables [cf Goldstein and Reinert (2005)], we introduce a new family of discrete distributions and provide a discrete version of the Berry--Esseen theorem showing how members of the family approximate the distribution of a sum $W$ of integer valued variables in total variation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509444
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509444 (alternate)

3821. On a class of stochastic semilinear PDE's

Author(s): Luigi Manca

Abstract: We consider stochastic semilinear partial differential equations with Lipschitz nonlinear terms. We prove existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and the existence of a solution for the corresponding Kolmogorov equation in the space $L^2(H;\nu)$, where $\nu$ is the invariant measure. We also prove the closability of the derivative operator and an integration by parts formula. Finally, under boundness conditions on the nonlinear term, we prove a Poincar\'e inequality, a logarithmic Sobolev inequality and the ipercontractivity of the transition semigroup.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509446
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509446 (alternate)

3822. A Central Limit Theorem and Higher Order Results for the Angular Bispectrum

Author(s): D. Marinucci

Abstract: The angular bispectrum of spherical random fields has recently gained an enormous importance, especially in connection with statistical inference on cosmological data. In this paper, we provide expressions for its moments of arbitrary order and we use these results to establish a multivariate central limit theorem and higher order approximations. The results rely upon combinatorial methods from graph theory and a detailed investigation for the asymptotic behaviour of Clebsch-Gordan coefficients; the latter are widely used in representation theory and quantum theory of angular momentum.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509430
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509430 (alternate)

3823. Fluctuations of the front in a stochastic combustion model

Author(s): Francis Comets and Jeremy Quastel and Alejandro F. Ramirez

Abstract: We consider an interacting particle system on the one dimensional lattice $\bf Z$ modeling combustion. The process depends on two integer parameters $2\le a

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511025
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511025 (alternate)

3824. The conformally invariant measure on self-avoiding loops

Author(s): Wendelin Werner

Abstract: We show that there exists (up to multiplicative constants) a unique and natural measure on simple loops on Riemann surfaces, such that the measure is conformally invariant and also invariant under restriction (i.e. the measure on a Riemann surface S' that is contained in another Riemann surface S, is just the measure on S restricted to those loops that stay in S'). We then study some of its properties and consequences concerning outer boundaries of critical percolation clusters and Brownian loops.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511605
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511605 (alternate)

3825. Threshold for monotone symmetric properties through a logarithmic Sobolev inequality

Author(s): Rapha\"el Rossignol

Abstract: Threshold phenomena are investigated under a general approach, following Talagrand, Friedgut and Kalai. The general upper bound for the threshold width of symmetric monotone properties is improved. This follows from a new lower bound on the maximal influence of a variable on a Boolean function. The method of proof is based upon a well known logarithmic Sobolev inequality on the discrete cube. This new bound is shown to be asymptotically optimal.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511607
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511607 (alternate)

3826. Enumerating contingency tables via random permanents

Author(s): Alexander Barvinok

Abstract: Given m positive integers R=(r_i), n positive integers C=(c_j) such that sum r_i = sum c_j =N, and mn non-negative weights W=(w_ij), we consider the total weight T(R, C; W) of non-negative integer matrices (contingency tables) D=(d_ij) with the row sums r_i, column sums c_j, and the weight of D equal to the product w_ij^{d_ij}$. We present a randomized algorithm of a polynomial in N complexity which approximates T(R,C; W) within a factor of (2 pi N)^{-1/2} (2 pi t)^{N/2t} e^{N/12t^2} where t=max{min r_i, min c_j}. In many cases, this approximation provides an asymptotically accurate estimate of ln T(R, C; W). The idea of the algorithm is to express T(R,C; W) as the expectation of the permanent of an NxN random matrix with exponentially distributed entries and approximate the expectation by the integral of an efficiently computable log-concave function on R^{mn}.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511596
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511596 (alternate)

3827. The Probability of a Run

Author(s): Mark B. Villarino

Abstract: We prove the explicit formula for the probability of a run of r successes in n trials.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511652
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511652 (alternate)

3828. A simple theory for the study of SDEs driven by a fractional Brownian motion, in dimension one

Author(s): Ivan Nourdin (LPMA)

Abstract: In this paper, we will focus - in dimension one - on the SDEs of the type dX\_t=s(X\_t)dB\_t+b(X\_t)dt where B is a fractional Brownian motion. Our principal motivation is to describe one of the simplest theory - from our point of view - allowing to study this SDE, and this for any Hurst index H between 0 and 1. We will consider several definitions of solution and we will study, for each one of them, in which condition one has existence and uniqueness. Finally, we will examine the convergence or not of the canonical scheme associated to our SDE, when the integral with respect to fBm is defined using the Russo-Vallois symmetric integral.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511027
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511027 (alternate)

3829. Optimal flow through the disordered lattice

Author(s): David J. Aldous (U.C. Berkeley)

Abstract: Consider routing traffic on the $N \times N$ torus, simultaneously between all source-destination pairs, to minimize the cost $\sum_e c(e)f^2(e)$, where $f(e)$ is the volume of flow across edge $e$ and the $c(e)$ form an i.i.d. random environment. We prove existence of a rescaled $N \to \infty$ limit constant for minimum cost, by comparison with an appropriate analogous problem about minimum-cost flows across a $M \times M$ subsquare of the lattice.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511694
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511694 (alternate)

3830. Fragmentation associated to Levy processes using snake

Author(s): Romain Abraham (MAPMO) and Jean-Francois Delmas (CERMICS)

Abstract: We consider the height process of a Levy process with no negative jumps, and its associated continuous tree representation. Using Levy snake tools developed by Duquesne and Le Gall, with an underlying Poisson process, we construct a fragmentation process, which in the stable case corresponds to the self-similar fragmentation described by Miermont. For the general fragmentation process we compute a family of dislocation measures as well as the law of the size of a tagged fragment. We also give a special Markov property for the snake which is interesting in itself.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511702
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511702 (alternate)

3831. Kolmogorov Equations in Infinite Dimensions: Well-Posedness and Regularity of Solutions, with Applications to Stochastic Generalized Burgers Equations

Author(s): Michael R\"ockner and Zeev Sobol

Abstract: We develop a new method to uniquely solve a large class of heat equations, so called Kolmogorov equations in infinitely many variables. The equations are analyzed in spaces of sequentially weakly continuous functions weighted by proper (Lyapunov type) functions. This way for the first time the solutions are constructed everywhere without exceptional sets for equations with possibly non-locally Lipschitz drifts. Apart from general analytic interest, the main motivation is to apply this to uniquely solve martingale problems in the sense of Stroock-Varadhan given by stochastic partial differential equations from hydrodynamics, such as the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations. In this paper this is done in the case of the stochastic generalized Burgers equation. Uniqueness is shown in the sense of Markov flows.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511708
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511708 (alternate)

3832. A long range dependence stable process and an infinite variance branching system

Author(s): Tomasz Bojdecki and Luis G. Gorostiza and Anna Talarczyk

Abstract: We prove a functional limit theorem for the rescaled occupation time fluctuations of a (d,\alpha,\beta)-branching particle system (particles moving in R^d according to a symmetric \alpha-stable Levy process, branching law in the domain of attraction of a (1+\beta)-stable law, 0<\beta<1, uniform Poisson initial state) in the case of intermediate dimensions, \alpha/\beta < d < \alpha(1+\beta)/\beta. The limit is a process of the form K\lambda \xi, where K is a constant, \lambda is the Lebesgue measure on R^d, and \xi =(\xi_t)_{t\geq 0} is a (1+\beta)-stable process which has long range dependence. There are two long range dependence regimes, one for all \beta>d/(d+\alpha), which coincides with the case of finite variance branching (\beta=1), and another one for \beta\leq d/(d+\alpha), where the long range dependence depends on the value of \beta. The long range dependence is characterized by a dependence exponent \kappa which describes the asymptotic behavior of the codifference of increments of \xi on intervals far apart, and which is d/\alpha for the first case and (1+\beta-d/(d+\alpha))d/\alpha for the second one. The convergence proofs use techniques of S'(R^d)-valued processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511739
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511739 (alternate)

3833. The process of most recent common ancestors in an evolving coalescent

Author(s): P. Pfaffelhuber and A. Wakolbinger

Abstract: In a population of constant size, whose family sizes evolve as Wright-Fisher diffusions, all individuals alive at time $t$ have a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) who lived at time $A(t)$, say. The process $(A(t))$ has piecewise constant paths. At each jump time $E_n$, a new MRCA takes over, who lived at time $B_n:=A(E_n)$. We construct the random sequence $(B_n, E_n)$ in terms of a look-down process and investigate its dynamics as well as that of $(A(t))$. In particular, we find the joint distribution of the waiting time from $t$ to the next MRCA change and of the time when this next MRCA will have lived.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511743
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511743 (alternate)

3834. The Full Brownian Web as Scaling Limit of Stochastic Flows

Author(s): Luiz Renato Fontes Charles M. Newman

Abstract: In this paper we construct an object which we call the full Brownian web (FBW) and prove that the collection of all space-time trajectories of a class of one-dimensional stochastic flows converges weakly, under diffusive rescaling, to the FBW. The (forward) paths of the FBW include the coalescing Brownian motions of the ordinary Brownian web along with bifurcating paths. Convergence of rescaled stochastic flows to the FBW follows from general characterization and convergence theorems that we present here combined with earlier results of Piterbarg.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511029
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511029 (alternate)

3835. Occupation time fluctuations of an infinite variance branching system in large dimensions

Author(s): Tomasz Bojdecki and Luis G. Gorostiza and Anna Talarczyk

Abstract: We prove limit theorems for rescaled occupation time fluctuations of a (d,alpha,beta)-branching particle system (particles moving in R^d according to a spherically symmetric alpha-stable Levy process, (1+beta)-branching, 0alpha(1+beta)/beta. The fluctuation processes are continuous but their limits are stable processes with independent increments, which have jumps. The convergence is in the sense of finite-dimensional distributions, and also of space-time random fields (tightness does not hold in the usual Skorohod topology). The results are in sharp contrast with those for intermediate dimensions, alpha/beta < d < d(1+beta)/beta, where the limit process is continuous and has long range dependence (this case is studied by Bojdecki et al, 2005). The limit process is measure-valued for the critical dimension, and S'(R^d)-valued for large dimensions. We also raise some questions of interpretation of the different types of dimension-dependent results obtained in the present and previous papers in terms of properties of the particle system.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511745
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511745 (alternate)

3836. Asymptotic behavior of edge-reinforced random walks

Author(s): Franz Merkl and Silke Rolles

Abstract: In this article, we study linearly edge-reinforced random walk on general multi-level ladders for large initial edge weights. For infinite ladders, we show that the process can be represented as a random walk in a random environment, given by random weights on the edges. The edge weights decay exponentially in space. The process converges to a stationary process. We provide asymptotic bounds for the range of the random walker up to a given time, showing that it localizes much more than an ordinary random walker. The random environment is described in terms of an infinite-volume Gibbs measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511750
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511750 (alternate)

3837. Quantitative concentration inequalities on sample path space for mean field interaction

Author(s): Fran\c{c}ois Bolley (UMPA-ENSL)

Abstract: We consider a system of particles experiencing diffusion and mean field interaction, and study its behaviour when the number of particles goes to infinity. We derive non-asymptotic large deviation bounds measuring the concentration of the empirical measure of the paths of the particles around its limit. The method is based on a coupling argument, strong integrability estimates on the paths in Holder norm, and some general concentration result for the empirical measure of identically distributed independent paths.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511752
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511752 (alternate)

3838. Rosenthal type inequalities for free chaos

Author(s): Marius Junge and Javier Parcet and Quanhua Xu

Abstract: Let $\mathcal{A}$ denote the reduced amalgamated free product of a family $\mathsf{A}_1, \mathsf{A}_2, ..., \mathsf{A}_n$ of von Neumann algebras over a von Neumann subalgebra $\Be$ with respect to normal faithful conditional expectations $\Es_k: \mathsf{A}_k \to \Be$. We investigate the norm in $L_p(\Al)$ of homogeneous polynomials of a given degree $d$. We first generalize Voiculescu's inequality to arbitrary degree $d \ge 1$ and indices $1 \le p \le \infty$. This can be regarded as a free analogue of the classical Rosenthal inequality. Our second result is a length-reduction formula from which we generalize recent results of Pisier, Ricard and the authors. All constants in our estimates are independent of $n$ so that we may consider infinitely many free factors. As applications, we study square functions of free martingales. More precisely we show that, in contrast with the Khintchine and Rosenthal inequalities, the free analogue of the Burkholder-Gundy inequalities does not hold on $L_\infty(\Al)$. At the end of the paper we also consider Khintchine type inequalities for Shlyakhtenko's generalized circular systems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511732
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0511732 (alternate)

3839. Spatial and non-spatial stochastic models for immune response

Author(s): Rinaldo Schinazi and Jason Schweinsberg

Abstract: We study some simple mathematical models designed to test the following hypothesis: can a pathogen escape the immune system only because of its high probability of mutation? We propose both spatial and non-spatial models. In all of our models, we assume that pathogens can mutate, leading to the appearance of new types of pathogens. We also assume that the immune system is able to get rid of all the pathogens of a given type at once but that it recognizes only one type at a time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512009
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512009 (alternate)

3840. Colouring powers of cycles from random lists

Author(s): Michael Krivelevich and Asaf Nachmias

Abstract: Let $C_n^k$ be the $k$-th power of a cycle on $n$ vertices (i.e. the vertices of $C_n^k$ are those of the $n$-cycle, and two vertices are connected by an edge if their distance along the cycle is at most $k$). For each vertex draw uniformly at random a subset of size $c$ from a base set $S$ of size $s=s(n)$. In this paper we solve the problem of determining the asymptotic probability of the existence of a proper colouring from the lists for all fixed values of $c,k$, and growing $n$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512004
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0512004 (alternate)

3841. Colouring complete bipartite graphs from random lists

Author(s): Michael Krivelevich and Asaf Nachmias

Abstract: Let $K_{n,n}$ be the complete bipartite graph with $n$ vertices in each side. For each vertex draw uniformly at random a list of size $k$ from a base set $S$ of size $s=s(n)$. In this paper we estimate the asymptotic probability of the existence of a proper colouring from the random lists for all fixed values of $k$ and growing $n$. We show that this property exhibits a sharp threshold for $k\geq 2$ and the location of the threshold is precisely $s(n)=2n$ for $k=2$, and approximately $s(n)=\frac{n}{2^{k-1}\ln 2}$ for $k\geq 3$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512010
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0512010 (alternate)

3842. Increasing and Decreasing Subsequences of Permutations and Their Variants

Author(s): Richard P. Stanley

Abstract: We survey the theory of increasing and decreasing subsequences of permutations. Enumeration problems in this area are closely related to the RSK algorithm. The asymptotic behavior of the expected value of the length is(w) of the longest increasing subsequence of a permutation w of 1,2,...,n was obtained by Vershik-Kerov and (almost) by Logan-Shepp. The entire limiting distribution of is(w) was then determined by Baik, Deift, and Johansson. These techniques can be applied to other classes of permutations, such as involutions, and are related to the distribution of eigenvalues of elements of the classical groups. A number of generalizations and variations of increasing/decreasing subsequences are discussed, including the theory of pattern avoidance, unimodal and alternating subsequences, and crossings and nestings of matchings and set partitions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512035
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0512035 (alternate)

3843. Limit velocity and zero-one laws for diffusions in random environment

Author(s): Laurent Goergen

Abstract: This article is accepted for publication in the "Annals of Applied Probability". We prove that multi-dimensional diffusions in random environment have a limiting velocity which takes at most two different values. Further, in the two-dimensional case we show that for any direction, the probability to escape to infinity in this direction equals either zero or one. Combined with our results on the limiting velocity, this implies a strong law of large numbers in two dimensions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512061
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512061 (alternate)

3844. A microscopic interpretation for adaptive dynamics trait substitution sequence models

Author(s): Nicolas Champagnat (WIAS)

Abstract: We consider an interacting particle Markov process for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with non-constant population size, involving a linear birth rate, a density-dependent logistic death rate, and a probability $\mu$ of mutation at each birth event. We introduce a renormalization parameter $K$ scaling the size of the population, which leads, when $K\to+\infty$, to a deterministic dynamics for the density of individuals holding a given trait. By combining in a non-standard way the limits of large population ($K\to+\infty$) and of small mutations ($\mu\to 0$), we prove that a time scales separation between the birth and death events and the mutation events occurs and that the interacting particle microscopic process converges for finite dimensional distributions to the biological model of evolution known as the ``monomorphic trait substitution sequence'' model of adaptive dynamics, which describes the Darwinian evolution in an asexual population as a Markov jump process in the trait space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512063
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512063 (alternate)

3845. Functional Inequalities for Particle Systems on Polish Spaces

Author(s): Michael R\"ockner and Feng-Yu Wang

Abstract: Various Poincare-Sobolev type inequalities are studied for a reaction-diffusion model of particle systems on Polish spaces. The systems we consider consist of finite particles which are killed or produced at certain rates, while particles in the system move on the Polish space interacting with one another (i.e. diffusion). Thus, the corresponding Dirichlet form, which we call reaction-diffusion Dirichlet form, consists of two parts: the diffusion part induced by certain Markov processes on the product spaces $E^n (n \geq 1)$ which determine the motion of particles, and the reaction part induced by a $Q$-process on $\mathbb Z_+$ and a sequence of reference probability measures, where the $Q$-process determines the variation of the number of particles and the reference measures describe the locations of newly produced particles. We prove that the validity of Poincare and weak Poincare inequalities are essentially due to the pure reaction part, i.e. either of these inequalities holds if and only if it holds for the pure reaction Dirichlet form, or equivalently, for the corresponding $Q$-process. But under a mild condition, stronger inequalities rely on both parts: the reaction-diffusion Dirichlet form satisfies a super Poincare inequality (e.g. the log-Sobolev inequality) if and only if so do both the corresponding $Q$-process and the diffusion part. Explicit estimates of constants in the inequalities are derived. Finally, some specific examples are presented to illustrate the main results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512100
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512100 (alternate)

3846. Joint asymptotic behavior of local and occupation times

Author(s): Endre Cs\'{a}ki and Ant\'{o}nia F\"{o}ldes and P\'al R\'ev\'esz

Abstract: Considering a simple symmetric random walk in dimension $d\geq 3$, we study the almost sure joint asymptotic behavior of two objects: first the local times of a pair of neighboring points, then the local time of a point and the occupation time of the surface of the unit ball around it.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511049
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511049 (alternate)

3847. Infinitely divisible distributions for rectangular free convolution: classification and matricial interpretation

Author(s): Florent Benaych-Georges (DMA)

Abstract: In a previous paper (called "Rectangular random matrices. Related covolution"), we defined, for $\lambda \in [0,1]$, the rectangular free convolution with ratio $\lambda$. Here, we investigate the related notion of infinite divisiblity, which happens to be closely related the classical infinite divisibility: there exists a bijection between the set of classical symmetric infinitely divisible distributions and the set of infinitely divisible distributions with respect to this convolution, which preserves limit theorems. We give an interpretation of this correspondance in term of random matrices: we construct distributions on sets of complex rectangular matrices which give rise to random matrices with singular laws (i.e. uniform distributions on their singular values) going from the symmetric classical infinitely divisible distributions to their images by the previously mentioned bijection when the dimensions go from one to infinity in a ratio $\lambda$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512080
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0512080 (alternate)

3848. Rectangular random matrices, related free entropy and free Fisher's information

Author(s): Florent Benaych-Georges (DMA)

Abstract: We prove that independent rectangular random matrices, when embedded in a space of larger square matrices, are asymptotically free with amalgamation over a commutative finite dimensional subalgebra $D$ (under an hypothesis of unitary invariance). Then we consider elements of a finite von Neumann algebra containing $D$, which have kernel and range projection in $D$. We associate them a free entropy with the microstates approach, and a free Fisher's information with the conjugate variables approach. Both give rise to optimization problems whose solutions involve freeness with amalgamation over $D$. It could be a first proposition for the study of operators between different Hilbert spaces with the tools of free probability. As an application, we prove a result of freeness with amalgamation between the two parts of the polar decomposition of $R$-diagonal elements with non trivial kernel.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512081
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0512081 (alternate)

3849. Optimal control of a large dam

Author(s): Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Abstract: A large dam model is an object of study of this paper. The parameters $L^{lower}$ and $L^{upper}$ are its lower and upper levels, $L=L^{upper}-L^{lower}$ is large, and if a current level of water is between these bounds, then the dam is assumed to be in normal state. Passage one or other bound leads to damage. It is assumed that input stream of water is described by a Poisson process, while the output stream is state-dependent (the exact formulation of the problem is given in the paper). Let $L_t$ denote the dam level at time $t$, and let $p_1=\lim_{t\to\infty}\mathbf{P}\{L_t= L^{lower}\}$, $p_2=\lim_{t\to\infty}\mathbf{P}\{L_t> L^{upper}\}$ exist. Then the expected long-run damage $J=p_1J_1+p_2J_2$ for the long time interval $T$ proportional to $L$ ($J_1$ and $J_2$ are the corresponding damage costs per time $T$ associated with passage the bounds) is a performance measure, and the aim of the paper is to choose the parameter of output stream (exactly specified in the paper) minimizing $J$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512118
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512118 (alternate)

3850. Quasi-product forms for Levy-driven fluid networks

Author(s): K. Debicki and A. B. Dieker and T. Rolski

Abstract: We study stochastic tree fluid networks driven by a multidimensional Levy process. We are interested in (the joint distribution of) the steady-state content in each of the buffers, the busy periods, and the idle periods. To investigate these fluid networks, we relate the above three quantities to fluctuations of the input Levy process by solving a multidimensional Skorokhod problem. This leads to the analysis of the distribution of the componentwise maximums, the corresponding epochs at which they are attained, and the beginning of the first last-passage excursion. Using the notion of splitting times, we are able to find their Laplace transforms. It turns out that, if the components of the Levy process are `ordered', the Laplace transform has a so-called quasi-product form. The theory is illustrated by working out special cases, such as tandem networks and priority queues.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512119
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512119 (alternate)

3851. Asympyotic expansions for infinite weighted convolutions of light subexponential distributions

Author(s): Ph. Barbe (CNRS) and W.P. McCormick (UGA)

Abstract: We establish some asymptotic expansions for infinite weighted convolutions of distributions having light subexponential tails. Examples are presented, some showing that in order to obtain an expansion with two significant terms, one needs to have a general way to calculate higher order expansions, due to possible cancellations of terms. An algebraic methodology is employed to obtain the results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512141
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512141 (alternate)

3852. Backward Stochatic Differential Equations II

Author(s): Fabrice Blache (LMA-Clermont)

Abstract: In a preceding article, we have studied a generalization of the problem of finding a martingale on a manifold whose terminal value is known. This article completes the results obtained in the first article by providing uniqueness and existence theorems in a general framework (in particular if positive curvatures are allowed), still using differential geometry tools.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512145
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512145 (alternate)

3853. Distribution of Eigenvalues for the Ensemble of Real Symmetric Palindromic Toeplitz Matrices

Author(s): Adam Massey and Steven J. Miller and John Sinsheimer

Abstract: Consider the ensemble of real symmetric Toeplitz matrices, each independent entry an i.i.d. random variable chosen from a fixed probability distribution p of mean 0, variance 1, and finite higher moments. Previous investigations showed that the limiting spectral measure (the density of normalized eigenvalues) converges (weakly and almost surely), independent of p, to a distribution which is almost the Gaussian. The deviations from Gaussian behavior can be interpreted as arising from obstructions to solutions of Diophantine equations. We show that these obstructions vanish if instead one considers real symmetric palindromic Toeplitz matrices (matrices where the first row is a palindrome), and the resulting spectral measures converge (weakly and almost surely) to the Gaussian.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512146
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512146 (alternate)

3854. Asymptotic properties of power variations of L\'{e}vy processes

Author(s): Jean Jacod (IMJ)

Abstract: We determine the asymptotic behavior of the realized power variations, or more generally of sums of a given test function evaluated at the successive increments of a L\'{e}vy process. One can completely elucidate the first order behavior (convergence in probability, possibly after normalization). As for the associated CLT, one can show some versions of it, but only in a limited number of cases. In some other cases, a CLT just does not exist.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511052
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511052 (alternate)

3855. The fair and random maximal division of "pizza"

Author(s): Floyd E. Brown and Anant P. Godbole

Abstract: Consider n straight line cuts of a circular pizza made so as to maximize the number of pieces. We investigate how fair such a maximal division may be and how many slices are obtained if the cuts are successfully made with a certain probability.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512177
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512177 (alternate)

3856. Multi-Scaling of the $n$-point density function for coalescing Brownian motions

Author(s): R. Munasinghe and R. Rajesh and R. Tribe and O. Zaboronski

Abstract: This paper gives a derivation for the large time asymptotics of the $n$-point density function of a system of coalescing Brownian motions on $\bf{R}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512179
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512179 (alternate)

3857. Statistical mechanical systems on complete graphs, infinite exchangeability, finite extensions and a discrete finite moment problem

Author(s): Thomas Liggett and Jeffrey Steif and Balint Toth

Abstract: We show that a large collection of statistical mechanical systems with quadratically represented Hamiltonians on the complete graph can be extended to infinite exchangeable processes. This includes all ferromagnetic Ising, Potts and Heisenberg models. By de Finetti's theorem, this is equivalent to showing that these probability measures can be expressed as averages of product measures. We provide examples showing that ``ferromagnetism'' is not however in itself sufficient and also study in some detail the Ising model with an additional 3-body interaction. Finally, we study the question of how much the antiferromagnetic Ising model can be extended. In this direction, we obtain sharp asymptotic results via a solution to a new moment problem. We also obtain a ``formula'' for the extension which is valid in many cases.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512191
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512191 (alternate)

3858. Feller property and infinitesimal generator of the exploration process

Author(s): Romain Abraham (MAPMO) and Jean-Francois Delmas (CERMICS)

Abstract: We consider the exploration process associated to the continuous random tree (CRT) built using a Levy process with no negative jumps. This process has been studied by Duquesne, Le Gall and Le Jan. This measure-valued Markov process is a useful tool to study CRT as well as super-Brownian motion with general branching mechanism. In this paper we prove this process is Feller, and we compute its infinitesimal generator on exponential functionals and give the corresponding martingale.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512195
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512195 (alternate)

3859. Strictly stable distributions on convex cones

Author(s): Youri Davydov and Ilya Molchanov and Sergei Zuyev

Abstract: Using the LePage representation, a strictly stable random element in a Banach space with $\alpha\in(0,2)$ can be represented as a sum of points of a Poisson process. This point process is union-stable, i.e. the union of its two independent copies coincides in distribution with the rescaled original point process. These concepts makes sense in any convex cone, i.e. in a commutative semigroup equipped with multiplication by numbers, and lead to a construction of stable laws in general cones by means of the LePage series. The corresponding limit theorem shows that random samples (or binomial point processes) converge in distribution to the union-stable Poisson point process, and so yields a limit theorem for normalised sums of random elements with $\alpha$-stable limit for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. By using the technique of harmonic analysis on semigroups we characterise distributions of $\alpha$-stable random elements and show how possible values of $\alpha$ relate to the properties of the semigroup and the corresponding scaling operation, in particular, their distributivity properties. The approach developed in the paper not only makes it possible to handle stable distributions in rather general cones (like spaces of sets or measures), but also provides an alternative way to prove classical limit theorems and deduce the LePage representation for strictly stable random vectors in Banach spaces.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512196
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512196 (alternate)

3860. On time inhomogeneous controlled diffusion processes in domains

Author(s): Hongjie Dong and N.V. Krylov

Abstract: Time inhomogeneous controlled diffusion processes in both cylindrical and non-cylindrical domains are considered. Bellman's principle and its applications to proving the continuity of value functions are investigated.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512200
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512200 (alternate)

3861. The critical random graph, with martingales

Author(s): Asaf Nachmias and Yuval Peres

Abstract: We give a short proof that the largest component of the random graph $G(n, 1/n)$ is of size approximately $n^{2/3}$. The proof gives explicit bounds for the probability that the ratio is very large or very small.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512201
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512201 (alternate)

3862. Balls-in-bins with feedback and Brownian Motion

Author(s): Roberto Oliveira

Abstract: In a balls-in-bins process with feedback, balls are sequentially thrown into bins so that the probability that a bin with n balls obtains the next ball is proportional to f(n) for some function f. A commonly studied case where there are two bins and f(n) = n^p for p > 0, and our goal is to study the fine behavior of this process with two bins and a large initial number t of balls. Perhaps surprisingly, Brownian Motions are an essential part of both our proofs. For p>1/2, it was known that with probability 1 one of the bins will lead the process at all large enough times. We show that if the first bin starts with t+\lambda\sqrt{t} balls (for constant \lambda\in \R), the probability that it always or eventually leads has a non-trivial limit depending on \lambda. For p\leq 1/2, it was known that with probability 1 the bins will alternate in leadership. We show, however, that if the initial fraction of balls in one of the bins is >1/2, the time until it is overtaken by the remaining bin scales like \Theta({t^{1+1/(1-2p)}}) for p<1/2 and \exp(\Theta{t}) for p=1/2. In fact, the overtaking time has a non-trivial distribution around the scaling factors, which we determine explicitly. Our proofs use a continuous-time embedding of the balls-in-bins process (due to Rubin) and a non-standard approximation of the process by Brownian Motion. The techniques presented also extend to more general functions f.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510648
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510648 (alternate)

3863. Almost sure asymptotics for a diffusion process in a drifted Brownian potential

Author(s): Alexis Devulder (PMA)

Abstract: We study a one-dimensional diffusion process in a drifted Brownian potential. We characterize the upper functions of its hitting times in the sense of Paul L\'evy, and determine the lower limits in terms of an iterated logarithm law.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511053
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511053 (alternate)

3864. Large Deviation Principle for Enhanced Gaussian Processes

Author(s): Peter Friz and Nicolas Victoir

Abstract: We study large deviation principles for Gaussian processes lifted to the free nilpotent group of step N. We apply this to a large class of Gaussian processes lifted to geometric rough paths. A large deviation principle for enhanced (fractional) Brownian motion, in Hoelder- or modulus topology, appears as special case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512213
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512213 (alternate)

3865. Feller Processes on non-locally compact spaces

Author(s): Tomasz Szarek

Abstract: We introduce the ergodic condition which assures the existence of an invariant measure for Feller processes defined on an arbitrary complete and separable metric space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512221
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512221 (alternate)

3866. Tail behaviour of multiple random integrals and U-statistics

Author(s): Peter Major

Abstract: This paper contains sharp estimates about the distribution of multiple random integrals of functions of several variables with respect to a normalized empirical measure, about the distribution of U-statistics and multiple Wiener-Ito integrals with respect to a white noise. It also contains good estimates about the supremum of appropriate classes of such integrals or U-statistics. The proof of most results is omitted, I have concentrated on the explanation of their content and the picture behind them. I also tried to explain the reason for the investigation of such questions. My goal was to yield such a presentation of the results which a non-expert also can understand, and not only on a formal level.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512238
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512238 (alternate)

3867. Critical Scaling for the Simple SIS Stochastic Epidemic

Author(s): R. G. Dolgoarshinnykh Steven P. Lalley

Abstract: We exhibit a scaling law for the critical SIS stochastic epidemic: If at time 0 the population consists of square root N infected and N - square root N susceptible individuals, then when time and number currently infected are both scaled by square root N, the resulting process converges, for large N, to a diffusion process related to the Feller diffusion by a change of drift. As a consequence, the rescaled size of the epidemic has a limit law that coincides with that of a first-passage time for the standard Ornstein- Uhlenbeck process. These results are the analogues for the SIS epidemic of results of Martin-Lof for the simple SIR epidemic.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512252
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512252 (alternate)

3868. Strong Solutions of Stochastic Generalized Porous Media Equations: Existence, Uniqueness and Ergodicity

Author(s): Giuseppe Da Prato and Boris L. Rozovskii and Michael R\"ockner and Feng-Yu Wang

Abstract: Explicit conditions are presented for the existence, uniqueness and ergodicity of the strong solution to a class of generalized stochastic porous media equations. Our estimate of the convergence rate is sharp according to the known optimal decay for the solution of the classical (deterministic) porous medium equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512259
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512259 (alternate)

3869. Harmonic continuous time branching moments

Author(s): Didier Piau

Abstract: We show that the mean inverse populations of nondecreasing, square integrable, continuous time branching processes decrease to zero like the inverse of their mean population if and only if the initial population k is greater than a threshold m, which is at least one. If furthermore k is greater than a second threshold m', which is at least m, the normalized mean inverse population is at most 1/(k-m'). We express m and m' as explicit functionals of the reproducing distribution, we discuss some analogues for discrete time branching processes, and we link these results to the behavior of random products involving i.i.d. nonnegative sums.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511058
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511058 (alternate)

3870. Global Regularity and Bounds for Solutions of Parabolic Equations for Probability Measures

Author(s): Vladimir I. Bogachev and Michael R\"ockner and Stanislav V. Shaposhnikov

Abstract: Given a second order parabolic operator $$ Lu(t,x) :=\frac{\partial u(t,x)}{\partial t} + a^{ij}(t,x)\partial_{x_i}\partial_{x_j}u(t,x) + b^i(t,x)\partial_{x_i}u(t,x), $$ we consider the weak parabolic equation $L^{*}\mu=0$ for Borel probability measures on $(0,1)\times\mathbb{R}^d$. The equation is understood as the equality $$ \int_{(0,1)\times\mathbb{R}^d} Lu d\mu =0 $$ for all smooth functions $u$ with compact support in~$(0,1)\times\mathbb{R}^d$. This equation is satisfied for the transition probabilities of the diffusion process associated with~$L$. We show that under broad assumptions $\mu$ has the form $\mu=\varrho(t,x) dt dx$, where the function $x\mapsto \varrho(t,x)$ is Sobolev, $|\nabla_x \varrho(x,t)|^2/\varrho(t,x)$ is Lebesgue integrable over $[0,\tau]\times\mathbb{R}^d$, and $\varrho\in L^p([0,\tau]\times\mathbb{R}^d)$ for all $p\in [1,+\infty)$ and $\tau<1$. Moreover, a sufficient condition for the uniform boundedness of $\varrho$ on $[0,\tau]\times\mathbb{R}^d$ is given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512264
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512264 (alternate)

3871. Chaotic States and Stochastic Integration in Quantum Systems

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: Quantum chaotic states over a noncommutative monoid, a unitalization of a noncommutative Ito algebra parametrizing a quantum stochastic Levy process, are described in terms of their infinitely divisible generating functionals over the monoid-valued processes on an atomless `space-time' set. A canonical decomposition of the logarithmic conditionally posive-definite generating functional is constructed in a pseudo-Euclidean space, given by a quadruple defining the monoid triangular operator representation and a cyclic zero pseudo-norm state in this space. It is shown that the exponential representation in the corresponding pseudo-Fock space yields the infinitely-divisible generating functional with respect to the exponential state vector, and its compression to the Fock space defines the cyclic infinitly-divisible representation associated with the Fock vacuum state. The structure of states on an arbitrary Ito algebra is studied with two canonical examples of quantum Wiener and Poisson states. A generalized quantum stochastic nonadapted multiple integral is explicitly defined in Fock scale, its continuity and quantum stochastic differentiability is proved. A unified non-adapted and functional quantum Ito formula is discovered and established both in weak and strong sense, and the multiplication formula on the exponential Ito algebra is found for the relatively bounded kernel-operators in Fock scale. The unitarity and projectivity properties of nonadapted quantum stochastic linear differential equations are studied, and their solution is constructed for the locally bounded nonadapted generators in terms of the chronological products in the underlying kernel algebra canonically represented by triangular operators in the pseudo-Fock space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512265
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512265 (alternate)

3872. Weak Solutions to the Stochastic Porous Media Equation via Kolmogorov

Author(s): Viorel Barbu and Vladimir I. Bogachev and Giuseppe Da Prato and Michael R\"ockner

Abstract: A stochastic version of the porous medium equation with coloured noise is studied. The corresponding Kolmogorov equation is solved in the space $L^2(H,\nu)$ where $\nu$ is an infinitesimally excessive measure. Then a weak solution is constructed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512266
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512266 (alternate)

3873. Explicit formulas for the moments of the sojourn time in the M/G/1 processor sharing queue with permanent jobs

Author(s): S.F.Yashkov

Abstract: We give some representation about recent achievements in analysis of the M/G/1 queue with egalitarian processor sharing discipline (EPS). The new formmulas are derived for the j-th moments (j=1,2,...) of the (conditional) stationary sojourn time in the M/G/1--EPS queue with K (K=0,1,2,...) permanent jobs of infinite size. We discuss also how to simplify the computations of the moments.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512281
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512281 (alternate)

3874. A Predictive Theory of Games

Author(s): David H. Wolpert

Abstract: Conventional noncooperative game theory hypothesizes that the joint strategy of a set of players in a game must satisfy an "equilibrium concept". All other joint strategies are considered impossible; the only issue is what equilibrium concept is "correct". This hypothesis violates the desiderata underlying probability theory. Indeed, probability theory renders moot the problem of what equilibrium concept is correct - every joint strategy can arise with non-zero probability. Rather than a first-principles derivation of an equilibrium concept, game theory requires a first-principles derivation of a distribution over joint (mixed) strategies. This paper shows how information theory can provide such a distribution over joint strategies. If a scientist external to the game wants to distill such a distribution to a point prediction, that prediction should be set by decision theory, using their (!) loss function. So the predicted joint strategy - the "equilibrium concept" - varies with the external scientist's loss function. It is shown here that in many games, having a probability distribution with support restricted to Nash equilibria - as stipulated by conventional game theory - is impossible. It is also show how to: i) Derive an information-theoretic quantification of a player's degree of rationality; ii) Derive bounded rationality as a cost of computation; iii) Elaborate the close formal relationship between game theory and statistical physics; iv) Use this relationship to extend game theory to allow stochastically varying numbers of players.

http://arXiv.org/abs/nlin/0512015
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/nlin.AO/0512015 (alternate)

3875. Infinite Dimensional Ito Algebras of Quantum White Noise

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A simple axiomatic characterization of the general (infinite dimensional, noncommutative) Ito algebra is given and a pseudo-Euclidean fundamental representation for such algebra is described. The notion of Ito B*-algebra, generalizing the C*-algebra is defined to include the Banach infinite dimensional Ito algebras of quantum Brownian and quantum Levy motion, and the B*-algebras of vacuum and thermal quantum noise are characterized. It is proved that every Ito algebra is canonically decomposed into the orthogonal sum of quantum Brownian (Wiener) algebra and quantum Levy (Poisson) algebra. In particular, every quantum thermal noise is the orthogonal sum of a quantum Wiener noise and a quantum Poisson noise as it is stated by the Levy-Khinchin theorem in the classical case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512288
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512288 (alternate)

3876. Positive Definite Germs of Quantum Stochastic Processes

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A new notion of stochastic germs for quantum processes is introduced and a characterisation of the stochastic differentials for positive definite (PD) processes is found in terms of their germs for arbitrary Ito algebra. A representation theorem, giving the pseudo-Hilbert dilation for the germ-matrix of the differential, is proved. This suggests the general form of quantum stochastic evolution equations with respect to the Poisson (jumps), Wiener (diffusion) or general quantum noise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512289
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512289 (alternate)

3877. On Stochastic Generators of Positive Definite Exponents

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A characterisation of quantum stochastic positive definite (PD) exponent is given in terms of the conditional positive definiteness (CPD) of their form-generator. The pseudo-Hilbert dilation of the stochastic form-generator and the pre-Hilbert dilation of the corresponding dissipator is found. The structure of quasi-Poisson stochastic generators giving rise to a quantum stochastic birth processes is studied.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512290
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512290 (alternate)

3878. Poisson kernel and Green function of the ball in real hyperbolic spaces

Author(s): T. Byczkowski and J. Malecki

Abstract: Let $(X_t)_{t\geq0}$ be the $n$-dimensional hyperbolic Brownian motion, that is the diffusion on the real hyperbolic space $\D^n$ having the Laplace-Beltrami operator as its generator. The aim of the paper is to derive the formulas for the Gegenbauer transform of the Poisson kernel and the Green function of the ball for the process $(X_t)_{t\geq0}$. Under some additional hypotheses we give the formulas for the Poisson kernel itself. In particular, we provide formulas in $\D^4$ and $\D^6$ spaces for the Poisson kernel and the Green function as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512294
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512294 (alternate)

3879. Random homeomorphisms and Fourier expansions - the pointwise behavior

Author(s): Gady Kozma

Abstract: Let phi be a Dubins-Freedman random homeomorphism on [0,1] derived from the base measure uniform on the vertical line x=1/2, and let f be a periodic function satisfying that |f(x)-f(0)| = o(1/log log log 1/x). Then the Fourier expansion of f composed with phi converges at 0 with probability 1. In the condition on f, o cannot be replaced by O. Also we deduce some 0-1 laws for this kind of problems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511036
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0511036 (alternate)

3880. Binomial upper bounds on generalized moments and tail probabilities of (super)martingales with differences bounded from above

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Let (S_0,S_1,...) be a supermartingale relative to a nondecreasing sequence of sigma-algebras H_0,H_1,..., with S_0\le0 almost surely (a.s.) and differences X_i:=S_i-S_{i-1}. Suppose that X_i\le d and Var(X_i|H_{i-1})\le \si_i^2 a.s. for every i=1,2,..., where d>0 and \si_i>0 are non-random constants. Let T_n:=Z_1+...+Z_n, where Z_1,...,Z_n are i.i.d. r.v.'s each taking on only two values, one of which is d, and satisfying the conditions E(Z_i)=0 and Var(Z_i)=\si^2:=(\si_1^2+...+\si_n^2)/n. Then, based on a comparison inequality between generalized moments of S_n and T_n for a rich class of generalized moment functions, the tail comparison inequality P(S_n \ge y) \le c P^{\lin,\lc}(T_n \ge y+h/2)\quad\forall y\in\R is obtained, where c:=e^2/2=3.694..., h:=d+\si^2/d, and the function y\mapsto P^{\lin,\lc}(T_n > y) is the least log-concave majorant of the linear interpolation of the tail function y\mapsto P(T_n \ge y) over the lattice of all points of the form nd+kh (k\in\Z). An explicit formula for P^{\lin,\lc}(T_n\ge y+h/2) is given. Another, similar bound is given under somewhat different conditions. It is shown that these bounds improve significantly upon known bounds.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512301
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512301 (alternate)

3881. Local structure of random quadrangulations

Author(s): Maxim Krikun (IEC)

Abstract: This paper is an adaptation of a method used in math.PR/0311127 to the model of random quadrangulations. We prove local weak convergence of uniform measures on quadrangulations and show that local growth of quadrangulation is governed by certain critical time-reversed branching process. As an intermediate result we calculate a biparametric generating function for certain class of quadrangulations with boundary.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512304
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512304 (alternate)

3882. Large systems of path-repellent Brownian motions in a trap at positive temperature

Author(s): Stefan Adams and Jean-Bernard Bru and Wolfgang Koenig

Abstract: We study a model of $ N $ mutually repellent Brownian motions under confinement to stay in some bounded region of space. Our model is defined in terms of a transformed path measure under a trap Hamiltonian, which prevents the motions from escaping to infinity, and a pair-interaction Hamiltonian, which imposes a repellency of the $N$ paths. In fact, this interaction is an $N$-dependent regularisation of the Brownian intersection local times, an object which is of independent interest in the theory of stochastic processes. The time horizon (interpreted as the inverse temperature) is kept fixed. We analyse the model for diverging number of Brownian motions in terms of a large deviation principle. The resulting variational formula is the positive-temperature analogue of the well-known Gross-Pitaevskii formula, which approximates the ground state of a certain dilute large quantum system; the kinetic energy term of that formula is replaced by a probabilistic energy functional. This study is a continuation of the analysis in \cite{ABK04} where we considered the limit of diverging time (i.e., the zero-temperature limit) with fixed number of Brownian motions, followed by the limit for diverging number of motions. \bibitem[ABK04]{ABK04} {\sc S.~Adams, J.-B.~Bru} and {\sc W.~K\"onig}, \newblock Large deviations for trapped interacting Brownian particles and paths, \newblock {\it Ann. Probab.}, to appear (2004).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512305
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512305 (alternate)

3883. A functional central limit theorem for a class of urn models

Author(s): Gopal K Basak and Amites Dasgupta

Abstract: We construct an independent increments Gaussian process associated to a class of multicolor urn models. The construction uses random variables from the urn model which are different from the random variables for which central limit theorems are available in the two color case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512325
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512325 (alternate)

3884. Coupling all the Levy stochastic areas of multidimensional Brownian motion

Author(s): Wilfrid Kendall

Abstract: It is shown how to construct a successful co-adapted coupling of two copies of an n-dimensional Brownian motion while simultaneously coupling all corresponding copies of Levy stochastic areas. It is conjectured that successful co-adapted couplings still exist when the Levy stochastic areas are replaced by a finite set of multiply-iterated path-and-time integrals, subject to algebraic compatibility of the initial conditions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512336
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512336 (alternate)

3885. Quantum Stochastic Semigroups and Their Generators

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A rigged Hilbert space characterisation of the unbounded generators of quantum completely positive (CP) stochastic semigroups is given. The general form and the dilation of the stochastic completely dissipative (CD) equation over the algebra L(H) is described, as well as the unitary quantum stochastic dilation of the subfiltering and contractive flows with unbounded generators is constructed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512360
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512360 (alternate)

3886. Quantum Stochastic Calculus and Quantum Nonlinear Filtering

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A *-algebraic indefinite structure of quantum stochastic (QS) calculus is introduced and a continuity property of generalized nonadapted QS integrals is proved under the natural integrability conditions in an infinitely dimensional nuclear space. The class of nondemolition output QS processes in quantum open systems is characterized in terms of the QS calculus, and the problem of QS nonlinear filtering with respect to nondemolition continuous measurments is investigated. The stochastic calculus of a posteriori conditional expectations in quantum observed systems is developed and a general quantum filtering stochastic equation for a QS process is derived. An application to the description of the spontaneous collapse of the quantum spin under continuous observation is given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512362
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512362 (alternate)

3887. Logarithmic asymptotics for the number of periodic orbits of the Teichmueller flow on Veech's space of zippered rectangles

Author(s): Alexander I. Bufetov

Abstract: The logarithmic asymptotics is computed for the growth of the number of periodic orbits for the Teichmueller flow on Veech's moduli space of zippered rectangles. The rate is equal to the entropy of the flow with respect to the absolutely continuous invariant measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511035
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0511035 (alternate)

3888. Localization transition for a copolymer in an emulsion

Author(s): F den Hollander and S G Whittington

Abstract: In this paper we study a two-dimensional directed self-avoiding walk model of a random copolymer in a random emulsion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512374
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512374 (alternate)

3889. Gibbs distributions for random partitions generated by a fragmentation process

Author(s): Nathanael Berestycki (U.B.C.) and Jim Pitman (U.C. BERKELEY)

Abstract: In this paper we study random partitions of {1,...,n} where every cluster of size j can be in any of w(j) possible internal states. The Gibbs (n,k,w) distribution is obtained by sampling uniformly among such partitions with k clusters. Gibbs distributions arise naturally as equilibrium distributions of reversible coagulation - fragmentation processes. The goal of this work is to study random processes where at step k the process has the Gibbs (n,k,w) distribution, so that this microscopical equilibrium is subject to irreversible fragmentation as time evolves. It is not always possible to combine those two features, and in our main result we identify those weight sequences w(j) for which such a process exists subject to some simplifying assumptions. In this case the time-reversed process turns out to be the discrete Marcus-Lushnikov coalescent process with affine collision rate K(x,y)=a+b(x+y) for some real numbers a and b.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512378
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512378 (alternate)

3890. A quantitative investigation into the accumulation of rounding errors in the numerical solution of ODEs

Author(s): Sebastian Mosbach and Amanda G. Turner

Abstract: We examine numerical rounding errors of some deterministic solvers for systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We show that the accumulation of rounding errors results in a solution that is inherently random and we obtain the theoretical distribution of the trajectory as a function of time, the step size and the numerical precision of the computer. We consider, in particular, systems which amplify the effect of the rounding errors so that over long time periods the solutions exhibit divergent behaviour. By performing multiple repetitions with different values of the time step size, we observe numerically the random distributions predicted theoretically. We mainly focus on the explicit Euler and RK4 methods but also briefly consider more complex algorithms such as the implicit solvers VODE and RADAU5.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512364
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NA/0512364 (alternate)

3891. Normal domination of (super)martingales

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Let (S_0,S_1,...) be a supermartingale relative to a nondecreasing sequence of \sigma-algebras (H_{\le0},H_{\le1},...), with S_0\le0 almost surely (a.s.) and differences X_i:=S_i-S_{i-1}. Suppose that for every i=1,2,... there exist H_{\le(i-1)}-measurable r.v.'s C_{i-1} and D_{i-1} and a positive real number s_i such that C_{i-1}\le X_i\le D_{i-1} and D_{i-1}-C_{i-1}\le 2 s_i a.s. Then for all real t and natural n one has \E f_t(S_n)\le\E f_t(sZ), where f_t(x):=\max(0,x-t)^5, s:=\sqrt{s_1^2+...+s_n^2}, and Z is N(0,1). In particular, this implies P(S_n\ge x)\le c_{5,0}P(Z\ge x/s) for all x in \R, where c_{5,0}=5!(e/5)^5=5.699.... Results for \max_{0\le k\le n}S_k in place of S_n and for concentration of measure also follow.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512382
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512382 (alternate)

3892. Relative entropy and waiting times for continuous-time Markov processes

Author(s): Jean-Rene Chazottes and Cristian Giardina and Frank Redig

Abstract: For discrete-time stochastic processes, there is a close connection between return/waiting times and entropy. Such a connection cannot be straightforwardly extended to the continuous-time setting. Contrarily to the discrete-time case one does need a reference measure and so the natural object is relative entropy rather than entropy. In this paper we elaborate on this in the case of continuous-time Markov processes with finite state space. A reference measure of special interest is the one associated to the time-reversed process. In that case relative entropy is interpreted as the entropy production rate. The main results of this paper are: almost-sure convergence to relative entropy of suitable waiting-times and their fluctuation properties (central limit theorem and large deviation principle).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512386
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512386 (alternate)

3893. Asymptotic direction for random walks in random environments

Author(s): Fran\c{c}ois Simenhaus (PMA)

Abstract: In this paper we study the property of asymptotic direction for random walks in random i.i.d. environments (RWRE). We prove that if the set of directions where the walk is transient is non empty and open, the walk admits an asymptotic direction. The main tool to obtain this result is the construction of a renewal structure with cones. We also prove that RWRE admits at most two opposite asymptotic directions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512388
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512388 (alternate)

3894. Randomly Growing Braid on Three Strands and the Manta Ray, with Appendix

Author(s): Jean Mairesse and Fr\'ed\'eric Math\'eus

Abstract: Consider the braid group B3 = < a,b | aba = bab > and the nearest neighbor random walk defined by a probability \nu with support {a,b,a^-1,b^-1}. The rate of escape of the walk is explicitely expressed in function of the unique solution of a set of eight polynomial equations of degree three over eight indeterminates. We also explicitely describe the harmonic measure of the induced random walk on B3 quotiented by its center. The method and results apply, mutatis mutandis, to nearest neighbor random walks on dihedral Artin groups.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512391
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512391 (alternate)

3895. A universal dilation of discrete Markov evolutions

Author(s): M. Gregoratti

Abstract: Given a finite state space E, we build a universal dilation for all possible discrete time Markov chains on E, homogeneous or not: we introduce a second system (an ``environment'') and a deterministic invertible time-homogeneous global evolution of the system E with this environment such that any Markov evolution of E can be realized by a proper choice of the initial (random) state of the environment, which therefore determines the transition probabilities of the system. We also compare this dilation with the quantum dilations of a Quantum Dynamical Semigroup: given a Classical Markov Semigroup, we show that it can be extended to a Quantum Dynamical Semigroup for which we can find a quantum dilation to a group of *-automorphisms admitting an invariant abelian subalgebra where this quantum dilation gives just our classical dilation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512393
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512393 (alternate)

3896. Large deviations of the empirical current in interacting particle systems

Author(s): L. Bertini and A. De Sole and D. Gabrielli and G. Jona-Lasinio and C. Landim

Abstract: We study current fluctuations in lattice gases in the hydrodynamic scaling limit. More precisely, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical current in the symmetric simple exclusion process with rate functional I. We then estimate the asymptotic probability of a fluctuation of the average current over a large time interval and show that the corresponding rate function can be obtained by solving a variational problem for the functional I. For the symmetric simple exclusion process the minimizer is time independent so that this variational problem can be reduced to a time independent one. On the other hand, for other models the minimizer is time dependent. This phenomenon is naturally interpreted as a dynamical phase transition.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512394
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512394 (alternate)

3897. Conformal invariance of isoradial dimer models & the case of triangular quadri-tilings

Author(s): B. de Tili\`ere

Abstract: We consider dimer models on graphs which are bipartite, periodic and satisfy a geometric condition called {\em isoradiality}, defined in \cite{Kenyon3}. We show that the scaling limit of the height function of any such dimer model is $1/\sqrt{\pi}$ times a Gaussian free field. Triangular quadri-tilings were introduced in \cite{Bea}; they are dimer models on a family of isoradial graphs arising form rhombus tilings. By means of two height functions, they can be interpreted as random interfaces in dimension 2+2. We show that the scaling limit of each of the two height functions is $1/\sqrt{\pi}$ times a Gaussian free field, and that the two Gaussian free fields are independent.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512395
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512395 (alternate)

3898. The monotonicity condition for BSDE on manifolds

Author(s): Fabrice Blache (IAM)

Abstract: In two preceding articles, we studied the problem of the existence and uniqueness of a solution to some general BSDE on manifolds. In these two articles, we assumed some Lipschitz conditions on the drift $f(b,x,z)$. The purpose of this article is to extend the existence and uniqueness results under weaker assumptions, in particular a monotonicity condition in the variable $x$. This extends well-known results for Euclidean BSDE.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512403
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512403 (alternate)

3899. Operator Markovian Cocycles via Associated Semigroups

Author(s): J. Martin Lindsay and Stephen J. Wills

Abstract: A recent characterisation of Fock-adapted contraction operator stochastic cocycles on a Hilbert space, in terms of their associated semigroups, yields a general principle for the construction of such cocycles by approximation of their stochastic generators. This leads to new existence results for quantum stochastic differential equations. We also give necessary and sufficient conditions for a cocycle to satisfy such an equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512398
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.FA/0512398 (alternate)

3900. Markov measures on Young tableaux and induced representations on the infinite symmetric group

Author(s): A.M.Vershik and N.V.Tsilevich

Abstract: We show that the class of inductive limits of the representations of finite symmetric groups with simple spectrum coinsides with the class of Markov representations of the infinite symmetric group associated with Markov measures on the space of infinite Young tableaux. We also show that the representations of infinite symmetric group induced from identity representation of two-block Young subgroup are Markov representations and find explicit formulas for transition probabilities of corresponding Markov measure on the Young diagrmas. Induced two-row representations of finite symmetric group are studied using tensor model of those representations which alows easily to obtain the formulas for Gel'fand-Zetlin basis.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512389
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.RT/0512389 (alternate)

3901. Reconstruction theorem for quantum stochastic processes

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: Statistically interpretable axioms are formulated that define a quantum stochastic process (QSP) as a causally ordered operator field in an arbitrary space-time region T of an open quantum system under a sequential observation at a discrete space-time localization. It is shown that to every QSP described in the weak sense by a self-consistent system of causally ordered correlation kernels there corresponds a unique, up to unitary equivalence, minimal QSP in the strong sense. It is shown that the proposed QSP construction, which reduces in the case of the linearly ordered discrete T=Z to the construction of the inductive limit of Lindblad's canonical representations, corresponds to Kolmogorov's classical reconstruction if the order on T is ignored and leads to Lewis construction if one uses the system of all (not only causal) correlation kernels, regarding this system as lexicographically preordered on T. The approach presented encompasses both nonrelativistic and relativistic irreversible dynamics of open quantum systems and fields satisfying the conditions of local commutativity and semigroup covariance. Also given are necessary and sufficient conditions of dynamicity (or conditional Markovianity) and regularity, these leading to the properties of complete mixing (relaxation) and ergodicity of the QSP.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512410
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512410 (alternate)

3902. Semilogics, Quasilogics and Other Quantum Structures

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: We give an axiomatic formulation of quantum structures like semilogics and quasilogics which generalize the boolean semirings of events and fuzzy logics. The notions of distributions, states, representations observables and semiobservables are introduced and their Hilbert space realizations are found. The closed and open structures in semilogics are introduced and the regular distributions on the semilogics are studied.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512413
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512413 (alternate)

3903. Occupation time fluctuations of Poisson and equilibrium finite variance branching systems

Author(s): Piotr Milos

Abstract: Functional limit theorems are presented for the rescaled occupation time fluctuations process of a critical finite variance branching particle system in $R^d$ with symmetric a-stable motion starting off from either a standard Poisson random field or from the equilibrium distribution for intermediate dimensions a

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512414
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512414 (alternate)

3904. Quantum Probabilities and Paradoxes of the Quantum Century

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A history and drama of the development of quantum probability theory is outlined starting from the discovery of the Plank's constant exactly a 100 years ago. It is shown that before the rise of quantum mechanics 75 years ago, the quantum theory had appeared first in the form of the statistics of quantum thermal noise and quantum spontaneous jumps which have never been explained by quantum mechanics. Moreover, the only reasonable probabilistic interpretation of quantum theory put forward by Max Born was in fact in irreconcilable contradiction with traditional mechanical reality and classical probabilistic causality. This led to numerous quantum paradoxes, some of them due to the great inventors of quantum theory such as Einstein and Schroedinger. They are reconsidered in this paper from the modern quantum probabilistic point of view.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512415
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512415 (alternate)

3905. Generalized probabilities taking values in non-Archimedean fields and topological groups

Author(s): Andrei Khrennikov

Abstract: We develop an analogue of probability theory for probabilities taking values in topological groups. We generalize Kolmogorov's method of axiomatization of probability theory: main distinguishing features of frequency probabilities are taken as axioms in the measure-theoretic approach. We also present a review of non-Kolmogorovian probabilistic models including models with negative, complex, and $p$-adic valued probabilities. The latter model is discussed in details. The introduction of $p$-adic (as well as more general non-Archimedean) probabilities is one of the main motivations for consideration of generalized probabilities taking values in topological groups which are distinct from the field of real numbers. We discuss applications of non-Kolmogorovian models in physics and cognitive sciences. An important part of this paper is devoted to statistical interpretation of probabilities taking values in topological groups (and in particular in non-Archimedean fields).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512427
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512427 (alternate)

3906. On Maximum Increase and Decrease of Brownian Motion

Author(s): Paavo Salminen and Pierre Vallois

Abstract: The joint distribution of maximum increase and decrease for Brownian motion up to an independent exponential time is computed. This is achieved by decomposing the Brownian path at the hitting times of the infimum and the supremum before the exponential time. It is seen that an important element in our formula is the distribution of the maximum decrease for the three dimensional Bessel process with drift started from 0 and stopped at the first hitting of a given level. From the joint distribution of the maximum increase and decrease it is possible to calculate the correlation coefficient between these at a fixed time and this is seen to be -0.47936... .

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512440
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512440 (alternate)

3907. A stochastic Lagrangian representation of the 3-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations

Author(s): Peter Constantin and Gautam Iyer

Abstract: In this paper we derive a representation of the deterministic 3-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations based on stochastic Lagrangian paths. The particle trajectories obey SDEs driven by a uniform Wiener process; the inviscid Weber formula for the Euler equations of ideal fluids is used to recover the velocity field. This method admits a self-contained proof of local existence for the nonlinear stochastic system, and can be extended to formulate stochastic representations of related hydrodynamic-type equations, including viscous Burgers equations and LANS-alpha models.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511067
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511067 (alternate)

3908. Controlled diffusion processes

Author(s): Vivek S. Borkar

Abstract: This article gives an overview of the developments in controlled diffusion processes, emphasizing key results regarding existence of optimal controls and their characterization via dynamic programming for a variety of cost criteria and structural assumptions. Stochastic maximum principle and control under partial observations (equivalently, control of nonlinear filters) are also discussed. Several other related topics are briefly sketched.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511077
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511077 (alternate)

3909. Basic Properties of Strong Mixing Conditions. A Survey and Some Open Questions

Author(s): Richard C. Bradley

Abstract: This is an update of, and a supplement to, a 1986 survey paper by the author on basic properties of strong mixing conditions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511078
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511078 (alternate)

3910. Asymptotic analysis for the ratio of the random sum of squares to the square of the random sum with applications to risk measures

Author(s): S.A. Ladoucette and J.L. Teugels

Abstract: Let \{X_1, X_2, ...\} be a sequence of independent and identically distributed positive random variables of Pareto-type with index \alpha>0 and let \{N(t); t\geq 0\} be a counting process independent of the X_i's. For any fixed t\geq 0, define T_{N(t)}:=\frac{X_1^2 + X_2^2 + ... + X_{N(t)}^2} {(X_1 + X_2 + ... + X_{N(t)})^2} if N(t)\geq 1 and T_{N(t)}:=0 otherwise. We derive limiting distributions for T_{N(t)} by assuming some convergence properties for the counting process. This is even achieved when both the numerator and the denominator defining T_{N(t)} exhibit an erratic behavior (\mathbb{E}X_1=\infty) or when only the numerator has an erratic behavior (\mathbb{E}X_1<\infty and \mathbb{E}X_1^2=\infty). Thanks to these results, we obtain asymptotic properties pertaining to both the sample coefficient of variation and the sample dispersion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511082
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511082 (alternate)

3911. Plongement stochastique des syst\`{e}mes lagrangiens

Author(s): Jacky Cresson (LM-Besan\c{c}on) and S\'{e}bastien Darses (LM-Besan\c{c}on)

Abstract: We define an operator which extends classical differentiation from smooth deterministic functions to certain stochastic processes. Based on this operator, we define a procedure which associates a stochastic analog to standard differential operators and ordinary differential equations. We call this procedure stochastic embedding. By embedding lagrangian systems, we obtain a stochastic Euler-Lagrange equation which, in the case of natural lagrangian systems, is called the embedded Newton equation. This equation contains the stochastic Newton equation introduced by Nelson in his dynamical theory of brownian diffusions. Finally, we consider a diffusion with a gradient drift, a constant diffusion coefficient and having a probability density function. We prove that a necessary condition for this diffusion to solve the embedded Newton equation is that its density be the square of the modulus of a wave function solution of a linear Schr\"{o}dinger equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510655
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510655 (alternate)

3912. A momentum conserving model with anomalous thermal conductivity in low dimension

Author(s): Giada Basile (CEREMADE) and Cedric Bernardin (UMPA-ENSL) and Stefano Olla (CEREMADE)

Abstract: Anomalous large thermal conductivity has been observed numerically and experimentally in one and two dimensional systems. All explicitly solvable microscopic models proposed until now did not explain this phenomenon and there is an open debate about the role of conservation of momentum. We introduce a model whose thermal conductivity diverges in dimension 1 and 2, while it remains finite in dimension 3. We compute the finite-size thermal conductivity of a system of harmonic oscillators perturbed by a non-linear stochastic dynamics conserving momentum and energy. In the limit as the size N of the system goes to infinity, conductivity diverges like N in dimension 1 and like ln N in dimension 2. Conductivity remains finite if d=3 or if a pinning (on site potential) is present. This result clarify the role of conservation of momentum in the anomalous thermal conductivity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0509688
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0509688 (alternate)

3913. Mismatched codebooks and the role of entropy-coding in lossy data compression

Author(s): Ioannis Kontoyiannis (Athens U of Econ & Business) and Rami Zamir (Tel-Aviv University)

Abstract: We introduce a universal quantization scheme based on random coding, and we analyze its performance. This scheme consists of a source-independent random codebook (typically_mismatched_ to the source distribution), followed by optimal entropy-coding that is_matched_ to the quantized codeword distribution. A single-letter formula is derived for the rate achieved by this scheme at a given distortion, in the limit of large codebook dimension. The rate reduction due to entropy-coding is quantified, and it is shown that it can be arbitrarily large. In the special case of "almost uniform" codebooks (e.g., an i.i.d. Gaussian codebook with large variance) and difference distortion measures, a novel connection is drawn between the compression achieved by the present scheme and the performance of "universal" entropy-coded dithered lattice quantizers. This connection generalizes the "half-a-bit" bound on the redundancy of dithered lattice quantizers. Moreover, it demonstrates a strong notion of universality where a single "almost uniform" codebook is near-optimal for_any_ source and_any_ difference distortion measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0511009
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.IT/0511009 (alternate)

3914. The k-core and branching processes

Author(s): Oliver Riordan

Abstract: The k-core of a graph G is the maximal subgraph of G having minimum degree at least k. In 1996, Pittel, Spencer and Wormald found the threshold $\lambda_c$ for the emergence of a non-trivial k-core in the random graph $G(n,\lambda/n)$, and the asymptotic size of the k-core above the threshold. We give a new proof of this result using a local coupling of the graph to a suitable branching process. This proof extends to a general model of inhomogeneous random graphs with independence between the edges. As an example, we study the k-core in a certain power-law or `scale-free' graph with a parameter c controlling the overall density of edges. For each k at least 3, we find the threshold value of c at which the k-core emerges, and the fraction of vertices in the k-core when c is \epsilon above the threshold. In contrast to $G(n,\lambda/n)$, this fraction tends to 0 as \epsilon tends to 0.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511093
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511093 (alternate)

3915. Limiting laws for long Brownian Bridges perturbed by their one-sided maximum, III

Author(s): Bernard Roynette (IEC) and Pierre Vallois (IEC) and Marc Yor (PMA)

Abstract: Results of penalization of a one-dimensional Brownian motion $(X_t) $, by its one-sided maximum $\dis (S_t=\sup_{0 \leq u \leq t}X_u)$, which were recently obtained by the authors are improved with the consideration-in the present paper- of the asymptotic behaviour of the likewise penalized Brownian bridges of length $t$, as $t\to \infty$, or penalizations by functions of $(S_t,X_t)$, and also the study of the speed of convergence, as $t\to \infty$, of the penalized distributions at time $t$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511102
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511102 (alternate)

3916. Exercise regions and continuity corrections for (perpetual) American and Bermudan options on multiple assets

Author(s): Frederik S Herzberg

Abstract: In a general Markovian martingale framework for multi-dimensional options, the existence of optimal exercise regions for multi-dimensional Bermudan options is established. Afterwards one can proceed to prove explicit formulae and asymptotic results on the perpetual American-Bermudan (barrier) put option price difference (``continuity correction'') when the argument of this function -- taken to be the (logarithmic) start price -- approaches the exercise boundary. In particular, results of Feller's shall be generalised to show that an extrapolation from the exact Bermudan prices to the American price cannot be polynomial in the exercise mesh size in the setting of many common market models, and more specific bounds on the natural scaling exponent of the non-polynomial extrapolation for a number of (both one- and multi-dimensional) market models will be deduced.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511106
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511106 (alternate)

3917. Ruin Analysis in Constant Elasticity of Variance Model with large initial funds

Author(s): F. Klebaner and R. Liptser

Abstract: We consider the value process described by the Constant Elasticity of Variance Model (CEV), given by the stochastic differential equation $$ dX_t=\alpha X_tdt+\sigma X^\gamma_tdB_t, $$ with $X_0=K$, and $1/2\le \gamma<1$. Denote the time of ruin $\tau_K=\inf\{t:X_t=0\}$. We give an asymptotic for the ruin probability by time $T$, $\mathsf{P}(\tau_K\le T)$ \begin{gather*} \lim\limits_{K\to\infty} \frac{1}{K^{2(1-\gamma)}}\log\mathsf{P}(\tau_K\le T) =-\begin{cases} \frac{\alpha}{\sigma^2[1-e^{-2\alpha(1-\gamma)T}]}, & \alpha\ne 0 \ \frac{1}{2\sigma^2(1-\gamma)T}, & \alpha=0 \end{cases}. \end{gather*} The most likely paths to ruin is also found. The results are obtained by solving a control problem arising with help the Large Deviations Principle (LDP).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511116
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511116 (alternate)

3918. Lemme de coherence et th\'{e}or\`{e}me de Noether stochastique

Author(s): Jacky Cresson (LM-Besan\c{c}on) and S\'{e}bastien Darses (LM-Besan\c{c}on)

Abstract: The stochastic embedding procedure associates a stochastic Euler-Lagrange equation (SEL) to the standard Euler-Lagrange equation (EL). Can we derive (SEL) from a generalized least action principle? To address this question, we develop a stochastic calculus of variation initiated by Yasue. We give a stochastic analog F of the lagrangian action functional. We introduce a notion of stationarity according to which the solutions of (SEL) are the stationary points of F. This notion of stationarity brings coherence to stochastic calculus of variation with respect to stochastic embedding. Finally, we prove a stochastic Noether theorem which introduces an original notion of stochastic first integral.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510656
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510656 (alternate)

3919. Density of paths of iterated L\'{e}vy transforms of Brownian motion

Author(s): Marc Malric (PMA)

Abstract: The L\'{e}vy transform of a Brownian motion B is the Brownian motion B't, the integral over (O,t) of sign of Bs with respect to dBs. Call T the corresponding transformation on the Wiener space W. We establish that a.s. the orbit of w in W under T is dense in W for the compact uniform convergence topology.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511154
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511154 (alternate)

3920. Joint density for the local times of continuous-time Markov chains

Author(s): D. Brydges and R. van der Hofstad and W. Konig

Abstract: We investigate the local times of a continuous-time Markov chain on an arbitrary discrete state space. For fixed finite range of the Markov chain, we derive an explicit formula for the joint density of all local times on the range, at any fixed time. We use standard tools from the theory of stochastic processes and finite-dimensional complex calculus. We apply this formula in the following directions: (1) we derive large deviation upper estimates for the normalized local times beyond the exponential scale, (2) we derive the upper bound in Varadhan's Lemma for any measurable functional of the local times, (3) we derive large deviation upper bounds for continuous-time simple random walk on large subboxes of $\Z^d$ tending to $\Z^d$ as time diverges, and (4) we prove the analog of the well-known Ray-Knight description of Brownian local times for any nearest-neighbor continuous-time Markov chain on $\Z$, with particularly explicit formulas for simple random walk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511169
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511169 (alternate)

3921. Regenerative real trees

Author(s): Mathilde Weill (DMA)

Abstract: In this work, we give a description of all sigma-finite measures on the space of rooted compact real trees which satisfy a certain regenerative property. We show that any infinite measure which satisfies the regenerative property is the "law" of a Levy tree, that is, the "law" of a tree-valued random variable that describes the genealogy of a population evolving according to a continuous-state branching process. On the other hand, we prove that a probability measure with the regenerative property must be the law of the genealogical tree associated with a continuous-time discrete-state branching process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511172
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511172 (alternate)

3922. Percolation for the stable marriage of Poisson and Lebesgue

Author(s): Marcelo Ventura Freire and Serguei Popov and Marina Vachkovskaia

Abstract: Let $\Xi$ be the set of points (we call the elements of $\Xi$ centers) of Poisson point process in ${\bf R}^d$, $d\geq 2$, with unit intensity. Consider the allocation of ${\bf R}^d$ to $\Xi$ which is stable in the sense of Gale-Shapley marriage problem and in which each center claims a region of volume $\alpha\leq 1$. We prove that there is no percolation in the set of claimed sites if $\alpha$ is small enough, and that, for high dimensions, there is percolation in the set of claimed sites if $\alpha<1$ is large enough.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511186
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511186 (alternate)

3923. Harris Processes

Author(s): S Sherly and M K Jose and E Sandhya and N Raju

Abstract: In this paper, we develop two stochastic models where the variable under consideration follows Harris distribution. The mean and variance of the processes are derived and the processes are shown to be non-stationary. In the second model, starting with a Poisson process, an alternate way of obtaining Harris process is introduced.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510658
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510658 (alternate)

3924. Metric Construction, Stopping Times and Path Coupling

Author(s): Magnus Bordewich and Martin Dyer and Marek Karpinski

Abstract: In this paper we examine the importance of the choice of metric in path coupling, and the relationship of this to \emph{stopping time analysis}. We give strong evidence that stopping time analysis is no more powerful than standard path coupling. In particular, we prove a stronger theorem for path coupling with stopping times, using a metric which allows us to restrict analysis to standard one-step path coupling. This approach provides insight for the design of non-standard metrics giving improvements in the analysis of specific problems. We give illustrative applications to hypergraph independent sets and SAT instances, hypergraph colourings and colourings of bipartite graphs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511202
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511202 (alternate)

3925. A Necessary and Sufficient Condition for the Tail-Triviality of a Recursive Tree Process

Author(s): Antar Bandyopadhyay

Abstract: Given a recursive distributional equation (RDE) and a solution $\mu$ of it, we consider the tree indexed invariant process called the recursive tree process (RTP) with marginal $\mu$. We introduce a new type of bivariate uniqueness property which is different from the one defined by Aldous and Bandyopadhyay (2005), and we prove that this property is equivalent to tail-triviality for the RTP. Thus obtaining a necessary and sufficient condition to determine tail-triviality for a RTP in general. As an application we consider Aldous' (2000) construction of the frozen percolation process on a infinite regular tree and show that the associated RTP has a trivial tail.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511203
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511203 (alternate)

3926. High-resolution product quantization for Gaussian processes under sup-norm distortion

Author(s): Harald Luschgy and Gilles Pag\`{e}s (PMA)

Abstract: We derive high-resolution upper bounds for optimal product quantization of pathwise contionuous Gaussian processes respective to the supremum norm on [0,T]^d. Moreover, we describe a product quantization design which attains this bound. This is achieved under very general assumptions on random series expansions of the process. It turns out that product quantization is asymptotically only slightly worse than optimal functional quantization. The results are applied e.g. to fractional Brownian sheets and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511208
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511208 (alternate)

3927. Inverse Littlewood-Offord theorems and the condition number of random discrete matrices

Author(s): Terence Tao and Van Vu

Abstract: Consider a random sum $\eta_1 v_1 + ... + \eta_n v_n$, where $\eta_1,...,\eta_n$ are i.i.d. random signs and $v_1,...,v_n$ are integers. The Littlewood-Offord problem asks to maximize concentration probabilities such as $\P(\eta_1 v_1 + ... + \eta_n v_n = 0)$ subject to various hypotheses on the $v_1,...,v_n$. In this paper we develop an \emph{inverse} Littlewood-Offord theorem (somewhat in the spirit of Freiman's inverse sumset theorem), which starts with the hypothesis that a concentration probability is large, and concludes that almost all of the $v_1,...,v_n$ are efficiently contained in an arithmetic progression. As an application we give some new bounds on the distribution of the least singular value of a random Bernoulli matrix, which in turn gives upper tail estimates on the condition number.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511215
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511215 (alternate)

3928. On the separation principle of quantum control

Author(s): Luc Bouten and Ramon van Handel

Abstract: It is well known that continuous quantum measurements and nonlinear filtering can be developed within the framework of the quantum stochastic calculus of Hudson-Parthasarathy. The addition of real-time feedback control has been discussed by many authors, but never in a rigorous way. Here we introduce the notion of a controlled quantum flow, where feedback is taken into account by allowing the coefficients of the quantum stochastic differential equation to be adapted processes in the observation algebra. We then prove a separation theorem for quantum control: the admissible control that minimizes a given cost function is only a function of the filter, provided that the associated Bellman equation has a sufficiently regular solution. Along the way we obtain results on the innovations problem in the quantum setting.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0511021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0511021 (alternate)

3929. Nonlinearity, correlation and the valuation of employee stock options

Author(s): M. R. Grasselli

Abstract: We propose a discrete time algorithm for the valuation of employee stock options based on exponential indifference prices and taking into account both the possibility of partial exercise of a fraction of the options and the use of a correlated traded asset to hedge part of their risk. We determine the optimal exercise policy under this conditions and present numerical results showing how both effects can significantly change the value of the option for an employee, as well as its cost for the issuing firm.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511234
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0511234 (alternate)

3930. Avoiding defeat in a balls-in-bins process with feedback

Author(s): Roberto Oliveira and Joel Spencer

Abstract: Imagine that there are two bins to which balls are added sequentially, and each incoming ball joins a bin with probability proportional to the p-th power of the number of balls already there. A general result says that if p>1/2, there almost surely is some bin that will have more balls than the other at all large enough times, a property that we call eventual leadership. In this paper, we compute the asymptotics of the probability that bin 1 eventually leads when the total initial number of balls $t$ is large and bin 1 has a fraction \alpha<1/2 of the balls; in fact, this probability is \exp(c_p(\alpha)t + O{t^{2/3}}) for some smooth, strictly negative function c_p. Moreover, we show that conditioned on this unlikely event, the fraction of balls in the first bin can be well-approximated by the solution to a certain ordinary differential equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510663
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510663 (alternate)

3931. Probabilities on cladograms: introduction to the alpha model

Author(s): Daniel J. Ford

Abstract: The alpha model, a parametrized family of probabilities on cladograms (rooted binary leaf labeled trees), is introduced. This model is Markovian self-similar, deletion-stable (sampling consistent), and passes through the Yule, Uniform and Comb models. An explicit formula is given to calculate the probability of any cladogram or tree shape under the alpha model. Sackin's and Colless' index are shown to be $O(n^{1+\alpha})$ with asymptotic covariance equal to 1. Thus the expected depth of a random leaf with $n$ leaves is $O(n^\alpha)$. The number of cherries on a random alpha tree is shown to be asymptotically normal with known mean and variance. Finally the shape of published phylogenies is examined, using trees from Treebase.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511246
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511246 (alternate)

3932. Finite-dimensional approximation for the diffusion coefficient in simple exclusion process

Author(s): M. D. Jara

Abstract: We show that for the mean zero simple exclusion process and for the asymmetric simple exclusion process in dimension d > 2, the self-diffusion coefficient of a tagged particle is stable when approximated by simple exclusion processes on large periodic lattices. The proof relies on a similar property for the Sobolev inner product associated to the generator of the process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511249
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511249 (alternate)

3933. Weak logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and entropic convergence

Author(s): Patrick Cattiaux (MODAL'X and CMAP) and Ivan Gentil (CEREMADE) and Arnaud Guillin (CEREMADE)

Abstract: In this paper we introduce and study a weakened form of logarithmic Sobolev inequalities in connection with various others functional inequalities (weak Poincar\'{e} inequalities, general Beckner inequalities...). We also discuss the quantitative behaviour of relative entropy along a symmetric diffusion semi-group. In particular, we exhibit an example where Poincar\'{e} inequality can not be used for deriving entropic convergence whence weak logarithmic Sobolev inequality ensures the result.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511255
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511255 (alternate)

3934. Exponential functionals of Levy processes

Author(s): Jean Bertoin and Marc Yor

Abstract: This text surveys properties and applications of the exponential functional $\int_0^t\exp(-\xi_s)ds$ of real-valued L\'evy processes $\xi=(\xi_t,t\geq0)$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511265
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511265 (alternate)

3935. Probability & incompressible Navier-Stokes equations: An overview of some recent developments

Author(s): Edward C. Waymire

Abstract: This is largely an attempt to provide probabilists some orientation to an important class of non-linear partial differential equations in applied mathematics, the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. Particular focus is given to the probabilistic framework introduced by LeJan and Sznitman [Probab. Theory Related Fields 109 (1997) 343-366] and extended by Bhattacharya et al. [Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 355 (2003) 5003-5040; IMA Vol. Math. Appl., vol. 140, 2004, in press]. In particular this is an effort to provide some foundational facts about these equations and an overview of some recent results with an indication of some new directions for probabilistic consideration.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511266
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511266 (alternate)

3936. Some recent aspects of random conformally invariant systems

Author(s): Wendelin Werner

Abstract: These are the lecture notes from a course given in July 2005 at the summer school in Les Houches. We describe some recent results concerning two-dimensional conformally invariant systems. In particular, we discuss conformally invariant measures on loops and conformal loop-ensembles (CLE).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511268
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511268 (alternate)

3937. On the ergodic principle for Markov and quadratic Stochastic Processes and its relations

Author(s): Nasir Ganikhodjaev and Hasan Akin and Farrukh Mukhamedov

Abstract: In the paper we prove that a quadratic stochastic process satisfies the ergodic principle if and only if the associated Markov process satisfies one.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511270
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511270 (alternate)

3938. Approximate McKean-Vlasov Representations for a class of SPDEs

Author(s): Dan Crisan and Jie Xiong

Abstract: The solution $\vartheta =(\vartheta_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ of a class of linear stochastic partial differential equations is approximated using Clark's robust representation approach (\cite{c}, \cite{cc}). The ensuing approximations are shown to coincide with the time marginals of solutions of a certain McKean-Vlasov type equation. We prove existence and uniqueness of the solution of the McKean-Vlasov equation. The result leads to a representation of $\vartheta $as a limit of empirical distributions of systems of equally weighted particles. In particular, the solution of the Zakai equation and that of the Kushner-Stratonovitch equation (the two main equations of nonlinear filtering) are shown to be approximated the empirical distribution of systems of particles that have equal weights (unlike those presented in \cite{kj1} and \cite{kj2}) and do not require additional correction procedures (such as those introduced in \cite{dan3}, \cite{dan4}, \cite{dmm}, etc).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510668
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510668 (alternate)

3939. Computable Convergence Rates for Subgeometrically Ergodic Markov Chains

Author(s): Randal Douc (CMAP) and Eric Moulines (LTCI) and Philippe Soulier (MODAL'X)

Abstract: In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These bounds are then specialized to the stochastically monotone case, covering the case where there is no minimal reachable element. The results are illustrated on two examples from queueing theory and Markov Chain Monte Carlo.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511273
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511273 (alternate)

3940. Asymptotic expansion for inverse moments of binomial and Poisson distributions

Author(s): Marko Znidaric

Abstract: An asymptotic expansion for inverse moments of positive binomial and Poisson distributions is derived. The expansion coefficients of the asymptotic series are given by the positive central moments of the distribution. Compared to previous results, a single expansion formula covers all (also non-integer) inverse moments. In addition, the approach can be generalized to other positive distributions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511226
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0511226 (alternate)

3941. Existence of the zero range process and a deposition model with superlinear growth rates

Author(s): M. Balazs and F. Rassoul-Agha and T. Seppalainen and S. Sethuraman

Abstract: We give a construction of the totally asymmetric zero range process and the so-called bricklayers' process in the attractive case. The novelty is that we allow jump rates to grow as fast as exponentially. These processes have not been constructed for any jump rate growing faster than linearly. We also prove many of the usual semigroup properties, and show that a family of iid. product measures, one for each particle density, is invariant and extremal for the process. Extremality is proved using a new approach, which is rather simple compared to ergodicity proofs found in the literature.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511287
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511287 (alternate)

3942. Capital process and optimality properties of Bayesian Skeptic in the fair and biased coin games

Author(s): Masayuki Kumon and Akimichi Takemura and Kei Takeuchi

Abstract: We study capital process behavior in the fair-coin game and biased-coin games in the framework of the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk (2001). We show that if Skeptic uses a Bayesian strategy with a beta prior, the capital process is lucidly expressed in terms of the past average of Reality's moves. From this it is proved that the Skeptic's Bayesian strategy weakly forces the strong law of large numbers (SLLN) with the convergence rate of O(\sqrt{\log n/n})$ and if Reality violates SLLN then the exponential growth rate of the capital process is very accurately described in terms of the Kullback divergence between the average of Reality's moves when she violates SLLN and the average when she observes SLLN. We also investigate optimality properties associated with Bayesian strategy.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510662
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0510662 (alternate)

3943. Introduction to determinantal point processes from a quantum probability viewpoint

Author(s): Alex D. Gottlieb

Abstract: Determinantal point processes on a measure space X whose kernels represent trace class Hermitian operators on L^2(X) are associated to "quasifree" density operators on the Fock space over L^2(X).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511334
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511334 (alternate)

3944. A note on a.s. finiteness of perpetual integral functionals of diffusions

Author(s): Paavo Salminen and Marc Yor (PMA)

Abstract: In this note, with the help of the boundary classification of diffusions, we derive a criterion of the convergence of perpetual integral functionals of transient real-valued diffusions. In the particular case of transient Bessel processes, we note that this criterion agrees with the one obtained via Jeulin's convergence lemma.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511336
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511336 (alternate)

3945. Sequential and asynchronous processes driven by stochastic or quantum grammars and their application to genomics: a survey

Author(s): Dimitri Petritis (IRMAR)

Abstract: We present the formalism of sequential and asynchronous processes defined in terms of random or quantum grammars and argue that these processes have relevance in genomics. To make the article accessible to the non-mathematicians, we keep the mathematical exposition as elementary as possible, focusing on some general ideas behind the formalism and stating the implications of the known mathematical results. We close with a set of open challenging problems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511346
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511346 (alternate)

3946. Non-tangential and probabilistic boundary behavior of pluriharmonic functions

Author(s): Steve Tanner

Abstract: Let $u$ be a pluriharmonic function on the unit ball in $C^n$. I consider the relationship between the set of points $L_u$ on the boundary of the ball at which $u$ converges non-tangentially, and the set of points $\L_u$ at which $u$ converges along conditioned Brownian paths. For harmonic funcitons $u$ of two variables, the result $L_u = \L_u$ (a.e.) has been known for some time, as has a counterexample to the same equality for three variable harmonic functions. I extend the $L_u = \L_u$ (a.e.) result to pluriharmonic functions in arbitrary dimensions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511368
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511368 (alternate)

3947. Sharp asymptotic behavior for wetting models in (1+1)-dimension

Author(s): Francesco Caravenna and Giambattista Giacomin and Lorenzo Zambotti

Abstract: We consider continuous and discrete (1+1)-dimensional wetting models which undergo a localization/delocalization phase transition. Using a simple approach based on Renewal Theory we determine the precise asymptotic behavior of the partition function, from which we obtain the scaling limits of the models and an explicit construction of the infinite volume measure (thermodynamic limit) in all regimes, including the critical one.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511376
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511376 (alternate)

3948. Lace expansion for the Ising model

Author(s): Akira Sakai

Abstract: The lace expansion has been a powerful tool to investigate mean-field behavior for various stochastic-geometrical models, such as self-avoiding walk and percolation, above their respective upper-critical dimension. In this paper, we prove for the first time the lace expansion for the Ising model, which is independent of the property of the spin-spin coupling. In the ferromagnetic case, we provide key propositions to prove that, without requiring the reflection positivity of the spin-spin coupling, the two-point function obeys a Gaussian infrared bound for the nearest-neighbor model with d>>4 and for the spread-out model with d>4 and L>>1, as well as that the critical two-point function exhibits a Gaussian asymptotics for the spread-out model with d>4 and L>>1. As a result, these models exhibit the ferromagnetic mean-field behavior.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0510093
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0510093 (alternate)

3949. Asymptotics of counts of small components in random combinatorial structures and models of coagulation-fragmentation

Author(s): Boris L. Granovsky

Abstract: We establish necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence of non scaled multiplicative measures on the set of partitions. The measures depict component spectrums of random structures and the equilibrium of some models of statistical mechanics, including stochastic processes of coagulation-fragmentation. Based on the above result, we show that the common belief that interacting groups in mean field models become independent as the number of particles goes to infinity, is in general not true.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511381
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511381 (alternate)

3950. Remarks on some linear fractional stochastic equations

Author(s): Ivan Nourdin (PMA) and Ciprian A. Tudor (SAMOS)

Abstract: Using the multiple stochastic integrals we prove an existence and uniqueness result for a linear stochastic equation driven by the fractional Brownian motion with any Hurst parameter. We study both the one parameter and two parameter cases. When the drift is zero, we show that in the one-parameter case the solution in an exponential, thus positive, function while in the two-parameter settings the solution is negative on a non-negligible set.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511383
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511383 (alternate)

3951. Fragmentation of compositions and intervals

Author(s): Anne-Laure Basdevant (PMA)

Abstract: The fragmentation processes of exchangeable partitions have already been studied by several authors. In this paper, we examine rather fragmentation of exchangeable compositions, that means partitions of $\mcn$ where the order of the blocks counts. We will prove that such a fragmentation is bijectively associated to an interval fragmentation. Using this correspondence, we then calculate the Hausdorff dimension of certain random closed set that arise in interval fragmentations and we study Ruelle's interval fragmentation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511388
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511388 (alternate)

3952. An invariance principle for Az\'{e}ma martingales

Author(s): Nathanael Enriquez (PMA)

Abstract: An invariance principle for Az\'{e}ma martingales is presented as well as a new device to construct solutions of Emery's structure equations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511402
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511402 (alternate)

3953. Theory of Amalgamated Lp Spaces in Noncommutative Probability

Author(s): Marius Junge and Javier Parcet

Abstract: Let $f_1, f_2, ..., f_n$ be a family of independent copies of a given random variable $f$ in a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mu)$. Then, the following equivalence of norms holds whenever $1 \le q \le p < \infty$ $$\Big(\int_{\Omega} \Big[ \sum_{k=1}^n |f_k|^q \Big]^{\frac{p}{q}} d \mu \Big)^{\frac1p} \sim \max_{r \in \{p,q\}} {n^{\frac1r} \Big(\int_\Omega |f|^r d\mu \Big)^{\frac1r}}.$$ We prove a noncommutative analogue of this inequality for sums of free random variables over a given von Neumann subalgebra. This formulation leads to new classes of noncommutative function spaces which appear in quantum probability as square functions, conditioned square functions and maximal functions. Our main tools are Rosenthal type inequalities for free random variables, noncommutative martingale theory and factorization of operator-valued analytic functions. This allows us to generalize this inequality as a result for noncommutative $L_p$ in the category of operator spaces. Moreover, the use of free random variables produces the right formulation for $p=\infty$, which has not a commutative counterpart.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511406
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0511406 (alternate)
stefano . iacus at unimi . it