Probability Abstracts 90

This document contains abstracts 3796-3953 from Nov-1-2005 to Dec-29-2005.
They have been mailed on January 4, 2006.

3796. Propagation of Fluctuations in Biochemical Systems, I: Linear SSC Networks

Author(s): David Anderson and Jonathan Mattingly and H. Frederik Nijhout and Michael Reed

Abstract: We investigate the propagation of random fluctuations through biochemical networks in which the concentrations of species are large enough so that the unperturbed problem is well-described by ordinary differential equation. We characterize the behavior of variance as fluctuations propagate down chains, study the effect of side chains and feedback loops, and investigate the asymptotic behavior as one rate constant gets large. We also describe how the ideas can be applied to the study of methionine metabolism.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510642
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510642 (alternate)

3797. Transportation to random zeroes by the gradient flow

Author(s): Fedor Nazarov and Mikhail Sodin and Alexander Volberg

Abstract: We show that the basins of zeroes under the gradient flow of the random potential U corresponding to a random Gaussian Entire Function f partition the complex plane into domains of equal area and that the probability that the diameter of a particular basin is greater than R is exponentially small in R.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510654
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CV/0510654 (alternate)

3798. No multiple collisions for mutually repelling Brownian particles

Author(s): Emmanuel C\'{e}pa (MAPMO) and Dominique L\'{e}pingle (MAPMO)

Abstract: Brownian particles in electrostatic interaction may pairwise collide when the interaction parameter is small. But multiple collisions are never possible.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511445
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511445 (alternate)

3799. A permutation test for matching and its asymptotic distribution

Author(s): Larry Goldstein and Yosef Rinott

Abstract: We consider a permutation method for testing whether observations given in their natural pairing exhibit an unusual level of similarity in situations where any two observations may be similar at some unknown baseline level. Under a null hypotheses where there is no distinguished pairing of the observations, a normal approximation with explicit bounds and rates is presented for determining approximate critical test levels.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511427
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0511427 (alternate)

3800. Combinatorics and distributions of partial injections

Author(s): Olexandr Ganyushkin and Volodymyr Mazorchuk

Abstract: We obtain several combinatorial results about chains, cycles and orbits of the elements of the symmetric inverse semigroup $\IS_n$ and the set $T_n$ of nilpotent elements in $\IS_n$. We also get some estimates for the growth of $|\IS_n|$ and $|T_n|$, and study random products of elements from $\IS_n$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511431
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511431 (alternate)

3801. Multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type and non-intersecting Brownian motions

Author(s): E. Daems and A.B.J. Kuijlaars

Abstract: We present a generalization of multiple orthogonal polynomials of type I and type II, which we call multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type. Some basic properties are formulated, and a Riemann-Hilbert problem for the multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type is given. We derive a Christoffel-Darboux formula for these polynomials using the solution of the Riemann-Hilbert problem. The main motivation for studying these polynomials comes from a model of non-intersecting one-dimensional Brownian motions with a given number of starting points and endpoints. The correlation kernel for the positions of the Brownian paths at any intermediate time coincides with the Christoffel-Darboux kernel for the multiple orthogonal polynomials of mixed type with respect to Gaussian weights.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511470
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0511470 (alternate)

3802. An Oriented Competition model on Z_{+}^2

Author(s): George Kordzakhia and Steven Lalley

Abstract: We consider a two-type oriented competition model on the first quadrant of the two-dimensional integer lattice. Each vertex of the space may contain only one particle of either Red type or Blue type. A vertex flips to the color of a randomly chosen southwest nearest neighbor at exponential rate 2. At time zero there is one Red particle located at (1,0) and one Blue particle located at (0,1). The main result is a partial shape theorem: Denote by R(t) and B(t) the red and blue regions at time t. Then (i) eventually the upper half of the unit square contains no points of B(t)=t, and the lower half no points of R(t)=t; and (ii) with positive probability there are angular sectors rooted at (1,1) that are eventually either red or blue. The second result is contingent on the uniform curvature of the boundary of the corresponding Richardson shape.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511504
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511504 (alternate)

3803. Berry Esseen bounds for combinatorial central limit theorems and pattern occurrences, using zero and size biasing

Author(s): Larry Goldstein

Abstract: Berry Esseen type bounds to the normal, based on zero- and size-bias couplings, are derived using Stein's method. The zero biasing bounds are illustrated with an application to combinatorial central limit theorems where the random permutation has either the uniform distribution or one which is constant over permutations with the same cycle type and having no fixed points. The size biasing bounds are applied to the occurrences of fixed relatively ordered sub-sequences (such as rising sequences) in a random permutation, and to the occurrences of patterns, extreme values, and subgraphs on finite graphs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511510
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511510 (alternate)

3804. Random dense countable sets: characterization by independence

Author(s): Boris Tsirelson

Abstract: A random dense countable set is characterized (in distribution) by independence and stationarity. Two examples are `Brownian local minima' and `unordered infinite sample'. They are identically distributed; the former ad hoc proof of this fact is now superseded by a general result.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511011
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511011 (alternate)

3805. Stochastic Integral with respect to Cylindrical Wiener Process

Author(s): Anna Karczewska

Abstract: This paper is devoted to a construction of the stochastic It\^o integral with respect to infinite dimensional cylindrical Wiener process. The construction given is an alternative one to that introduced by DaPrato and Zabczyk [3]. The connection of the introduced integral with the integral defined by Walsh [9] is provided as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511512
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511512 (alternate)

3806. Random trees and applications

Author(s): Jean-Francois Le Gall

Abstract: We discuss several connections between discrete and continuous random trees. In the discrete setting, we focus on Galton-Watson trees under various conditionings. In particular, we present a simple approach to Aldous' theorem giving the convergence in distribution of the contour process of conditioned Galton-Watson trees towards the normalized Brownian excursion. We also briefly discuss applications to combinatorial trees. In the continuous setting, we use the formalism of real trees, which yields an elegant formulation of the convergence of rescaled discrete trees towards continuous objects. We explain the coding of real trees by functions, which is a continuous version of the well-known coding of discrete trees by Dyck paths. We pay special attention to random real trees coded by Brownian excursions, and in a particular we provide a simple derivation of the marginal distributions of the CRT. The last section is an introduction to the theory of the Brownian snake, which combines the genealogical structure of random real trees with independent spatial motions. We introduce exit measures for the Brownian snake and we present some applications to a class of semilinear partial differential equations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511515
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511515 (alternate)

3807. Exponential functionals of Brownian motion, I: Probability laws at fixed time

Author(s): Hiroyuki Matsumoto Marc Yor

Abstract: This paper is the first part of our survey on various results about the distribution of exponential type Brownian functionals defined as an integral over time of geometric Brownian motion. Several related topics are also mentioned.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511517
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511517 (alternate)

3808. Exponential functionals of Brownian motion, II: Some related diffusion processes

Author(s): Hiroyuki Matsumoto Marc Yor

Abstract: This is the second part of our survey on exponential functionals of Brownian motion. We focus on the applications of the results about the distributions of the exponential functionals, which have been discussed in the first part. Pricing formula for call options for the Asian options, explicit expressions for the heat kernels on hyperbolic spaces, diffusion processes in random environments and extensions of L\'evy's and Pitman's theorems are discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511519
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511519 (alternate)

3809. A Variation Embedding Theorem and Applications

Author(s): Peter Friz and Nicolas Victoir

Abstract: Fractional Sobolev spaces, also known as Besov or Slobodetzki spaces, arise in many areas of analysis, stochastic analysis in particular. We prove an embedding into certain q-variation spaces and discuss a few applications. First we show q-variation regularity of Cameron-Martin paths associated to fractional Brownian motion and other Volterra processes. This is useful, for instance, to establish large deviations for enhanced fractional Brownian motion. Second, the q-variation embedding, combined with results of rough path theory, provides a different route to a regularity result for stochastic differential equations by Kusuoka. Third, the embedding theorem works in a non-commutative setting and can be used to establish Hoelder/variation regularity of rough paths.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511520
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511520 (alternate)

3810. Giant Components in Biased Graph Processes

Author(s): Gideon Amir and Ori Gurel-Gurevich and Eyal Lubetzky and Amit Singer

Abstract: A random graph process, $\Gorg[1](n)$, is a sequence of graphs on $n$ vertices which begins with the edgeless graph, and where at each step a single edge is added according to a uniform distribution on the missing edges. It is well known that in such a process a giant component (of linear size) typically emerges after $(1+o(1))\frac{n}{2}$ edges (a phenomenon known as ``the double jump''), i.e., at time $t=1$ when using a timescale of $n/2$ edges in each step. We consider a generalization of this process, $\Gorg[K](n)$, which gives a weight of size 1 to missing edges between pairs of isolated vertices, and a weight of size $K \in [0,\infty)$ otherwise. This corresponds to a case where links are added between $n$ initially isolated settlements, where the probability of a new link in each step is biased according to whether or not its two endpoint settlements are still isolated. Combining methods of \cite{SpencerWormald} with analytical techniques, we describe the typical emerging time of a giant component in this process, $t_c(K)$, as the singularity point of a solution to a set of differential equations. We proceed to analyze these differential equations and obtain properties of $\Gorg$, and in particular, we show that $t_c(K)$ strictly decreases from 3/2 to 0 as $K$ increases from 0 to $\infty$, and that $t_c(K) = \frac{4}{\sqrt{3K}}(1 + o(1))$. Numerical approximations of the differential equations agree both with computer simulations of the process $\Gorg(n)$ and with the analytical results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511526
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511526 (alternate)

3811. Fourier transform of a Gaussian measure on the Heisenberg group

Author(s): Matyas Barczy and Gyula Pap

Abstract: An explicit formula is derived for the Fourier transform of a Gaussian measure on the Heisenberg group at the Schrodinger representation. Using this explicit formula, necessary and sufficient conditions are given for the convolution of two Gaussian measures to be a Gaussian measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511016
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511016 (alternate)

3812. The spatial $\Lambda$-coalescent

Author(s): Vlada Limic and Anja Sturm

Abstract: This paper extends the notion of the $\la$-coalescent of Pitman (1999) to the spatial setting. The partition elements of the spatial $\Lambda$-coalescent migrate in a (finite) geographical space and may only coalesce if located at the same site of the space. We characterize the $\Lambda$-coalescents that come down from infinity, in an analogous way to Schweinsberg (2000). Surprisingly, all spatial coalescents that come down from infinity, also come down from infinity in a uniform way. This enables us to study space-time asymptotics of spatial $\Lambda$-coalescents on large tori in $d\ge 3$ dimensions. Our results generalize and strengthen those of Greven et al. (2005), who studied the spatial Kingman coalescent in this context.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511536
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511536 (alternate)

3813. The realization of positive random variables via absolutely continuous transformations of measure on Wiener space

Author(s): D. Feyel and A.S. Ustunel and M. Zakai

Abstract: Let \mu be a Gaussian measure on some measurable space {W = {w}, \calB (W)} and let \nu be a measure on the same space which is absolutely continuous with respect to \nu. The paper surveys results on the problem of constructing a transformation T on the W space such that Tw = w+u(w) where u takes values in the Cameron-Martin space and the image of \mu under T is \mu. In addition we ask for the existence of transformations T belonging to some particular classes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511545
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511545 (alternate)

3814. Random walk models and probabilistic techniques for inhomogeneous polymer chains

Author(s): Francesco Caravenna

Abstract: Modeling of polymer chains has received a lot of attention in mathematics. In fact, probabilistic models that naturally arise in statistical mechanics have been widely studied by mathematicians for the very challenging and novel problems that they pose. The physical situation that we consider in this thesis is that of a polymer in the proximity of an interface between two selective solvents, in the case when the interaction of the monomers with the solvents and the interface may vary from monomer to monomer (inhomogeneous polymer). In interesting cases thee is a phase transition between a state in which the polymer sticks very close to the interface (localized regime) and a state in which it wanders away from it (delocalized regime). The mechanism underlying such a transition is an energy/entropy competition. Our task has been to study random walk models of polymer chains with the purpose of understanding this competition in a deep and quantitative way. Despite the fact that the definition of these models is extremely elementary, their analysis is not simple at all, and several interesting questions are still open. In this Ph.D. thesis we present new results that answer some of these questions. The analysis performed has required the application of a wide range of techniques, including large deviations, concentration inequalities, renewal theory, fluctuation theory for random walks. A numerical and statistical study has been performed too. Finally we prove a local limit theorem for random walks conditioned to stay positive.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511561
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511561 (alternate)

3815. On constrained annealed bounds for pinning and wetting models

Author(s): Francesco Caravenna and Giambattista Giacomin

Abstract: The free energy of quenched disordered systems is bounded above by the free energy of the corresponding annealed system. This bound may be improved by applying the annealing procedure, which is just Jensen inequality, after having modified the Hamiltonian in a way that the quenched expressions are left unchanged. This procedure is often viewed as a partial annealing or as a constrained annealing, in the sense that the term that is added may be interpreted as a Lagrange multiplier on the disorder variables. In this note we point out that, for a family of models, some of which have attracted much attention, the multipliers of the form of empirical averages of local functions cannot improve on the basic annealed bound from the viewpoint of characterizing the phase diagram. This class of multipliers is the one that is suitable for computations and it is often believed that in this class one can approximate arbitrarily well the quenched free energy.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511562
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511562 (alternate)

3816. A modified version of frozen percolation on the binary tree

Author(s): R.Brouwer

Abstract: We consider the following, intuitively described process: at time zero, all sites of a binary tree are at rest. Each site becomes activated at a random uniform [0,1] time, independent of the other sites. As soon as a site is in an infinite cluster of activated sites, this cluster of activated sites freezes. The main question is whether a process like this exists. Aldous [Ald00] proved that this is the case for a slightly different version of frozen percolation. In this paper we construct a process that fits the intuitive description and discuss some properties.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511021 (alternate)

3817. Directed percolation in two dimensions: An exact solution

Author(s): L. C. Chen and F. Y. Wu

Abstract: We consider a directed percolation process on an ${\cal M}$ x ${\cal N}$ rectangular lattice whose vertical edges are directed upward with an occupation probability y and horizontal edges directed toward the right with occupation probabilities x and 1 in alternate rows. We deduce a closed-form expression for the percolation probability P(x,y), the probability that one or more directed paths connect the lower-left and upper-right corner sites of the lattice. It is shown that P(x,y) is critical in the aspect ratio $a = {\cal M}/{\cal N}$ at a value $a_c =[1-y^2-x(1-y)^2]/2y^2$ where P(x,y) is discontinuous, and the critical exponent of the correlation length for $a < a_c$ is $\nu=2$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0511296
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0511296 (alternate)

3818. On the Limiting Distribution for the Longest Alternating Sequence in a Random Permutation

Author(s): Harold Widom

Abstract: Recently Richard Stanley initiated a study of the distribution of the length as(w) of the longest alternating subsequence in a random permutation w from the symmetric group $S_n$. Among other things he found an explicit formula for the generating function (on n and k) for the probability that as(w) is at most k and conjectured that the distribution, suitably centered and normalized, tended to a Gaussian with variance 8/45. In this note we present a proof of the conjecture based on the generating function.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511533
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511533 (alternate)

3819. Linear Functions on the Classical Matrix Groups

Author(s): Elizabeth Meckes

Abstract: Let $M$ be a random matrix in the orthogonal group $\O_n$, distributed according to Haar measure, and let $A$ be a fixed $n\times n$ matrix over $\R$ such that $\tr(AA^t)=n$. Then the total variation distance of the random variable $\tr(AM)$ to standard normal is bounded by $2\sqrt{3}/(n-1)$, and this rate is sharp up to the constant. Analogous results are obtained for $M$ a random unitary matrix and $A$ a fixed $n\times n$ matrix over $\C$. The proofs are via an improvement of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs which makes use of the continuous nature of the symmetries of the classical matrix groups.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509441
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509441 (alternate)

3820. Zero biasing and a discrete central limit theorem

Author(s): Larry Goldstein and Aihua Xia

Abstract: We introduce a new family of distributions to approximate $\prob(W\in A)$ for $A\subset\{...,-2,-1,0,1,2,...\}$ and $W$ a sum of independent integer-valued random variables $\xi_1$, $\xi_2$, $...$, $\xi_n$ with finite second moments, where with large probability $W$ is not concentrated on a lattice of span greater than 1. The well-known Berry--Esseen theorem states that for $Z$ a normal random variable with mean $\mean(W)$ and variance $\var(W)$, $\prob(Z \in A)$ provides a good approximation to $\prob(W \in A)$ for $A$ of the form $(-\infty,x]$. However, for more general $A$ such as the set of all even numbers, the normal approximation becomes unsatisfactory and it is desirable to have an appropriate discrete, non-normal, distribution which approximates $W$ in total variation, and a discrete version of the Berry--Esseen theorem to bound the error. In this paper, using the concept of zero biasing for discrete random variables [cf Goldstein and Reinert (2005)], we introduce a new family of discrete distributions and provide a discrete version of the Berry--Esseen theorem showing how members of the family approximate the distribution of a sum $W$ of integer valued variables in total variation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509444
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509444 (alternate)

3821. On a class of stochastic semilinear PDE's

Author(s): Luigi Manca

Abstract: We consider stochastic semilinear partial differential equations with Lipschitz nonlinear terms. We prove existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and the existence of a solution for the corresponding Kolmogorov equation in the space $L^2(H;\nu)$, where $\nu$ is the invariant measure. We also prove the closability of the derivative operator and an integration by parts formula. Finally, under boundness conditions on the nonlinear term, we prove a Poincar\'e inequality, a logarithmic Sobolev inequality and the ipercontractivity of the transition semigroup.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509446
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509446 (alternate)

3822. A Central Limit Theorem and Higher Order Results for the Angular Bispectrum

Author(s): D. Marinucci

Abstract: The angular bispectrum of spherical random fields has recently gained an enormous importance, especially in connection with statistical inference on cosmological data. In this paper, we provide expressions for its moments of arbitrary order and we use these results to establish a multivariate central limit theorem and higher order approximations. The results rely upon combinatorial methods from graph theory and a detailed investigation for the asymptotic behaviour of Clebsch-Gordan coefficients; the latter are widely used in representation theory and quantum theory of angular momentum.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0509430
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0509430 (alternate)

3823. Fluctuations of the front in a stochastic combustion model

Author(s): Francis Comets and Jeremy Quastel and Alejandro F. Ramirez

Abstract: We consider an interacting particle system on the one dimensional lattice $\bf Z$ modeling combustion. The process depends on two integer parameters $2\le a

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511025
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511025 (alternate)

3824. The conformally invariant measure on self-avoiding loops

Author(s): Wendelin Werner

Abstract: We show that there exists (up to multiplicative constants) a unique and natural measure on simple loops on Riemann surfaces, such that the measure is conformally invariant and also invariant under restriction (i.e. the measure on a Riemann surface S' that is contained in another Riemann surface S, is just the measure on S restricted to those loops that stay in S'). We then study some of its properties and consequences concerning outer boundaries of critical percolation clusters and Brownian loops.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511605
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511605 (alternate)

3825. Threshold for monotone symmetric properties through a logarithmic Sobolev inequality

Author(s): Rapha\"el Rossignol

Abstract: Threshold phenomena are investigated under a general approach, following Talagrand, Friedgut and Kalai. The general upper bound for the threshold width of symmetric monotone properties is improved. This follows from a new lower bound on the maximal influence of a variable on a Boolean function. The method of proof is based upon a well known logarithmic Sobolev inequality on the discrete cube. This new bound is shown to be asymptotically optimal.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511607
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511607 (alternate)

3826. Enumerating contingency tables via random permanents

Author(s): Alexander Barvinok

Abstract: Given m positive integers R=(r_i), n positive integers C=(c_j) such that sum r_i = sum c_j =N, and mn non-negative weights W=(w_ij), we consider the total weight T(R, C; W) of non-negative integer matrices (contingency tables) D=(d_ij) with the row sums r_i, column sums c_j, and the weight of D equal to the product w_ij^{d_ij}$. We present a randomized algorithm of a polynomial in N complexity which approximates T(R,C; W) within a factor of (2 pi N)^{-1/2} (2 pi t)^{N/2t} e^{N/12t^2} where t=max{min r_i, min c_j}. In many cases, this approximation provides an asymptotically accurate estimate of ln T(R, C; W). The idea of the algorithm is to express T(R,C; W) as the expectation of the permanent of an NxN random matrix with exponentially distributed entries and approximate the expectation by the integral of an efficiently computable log-concave function on R^{mn}.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511596
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0511596 (alternate)

3827. The Probability of a Run

Author(s): Mark B. Villarino

Abstract: We prove the explicit formula for the probability of a run of r successes in n trials.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511652
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511652 (alternate)

3828. A simple theory for the study of SDEs driven by a fractional Brownian motion, in dimension one

Author(s): Ivan Nourdin (LPMA)

Abstract: In this paper, we will focus - in dimension one - on the SDEs of the type dX\_t=s(X\_t)dB\_t+b(X\_t)dt where B is a fractional Brownian motion. Our principal motivation is to describe one of the simplest theory - from our point of view - allowing to study this SDE, and this for any Hurst index H between 0 and 1. We will consider several definitions of solution and we will study, for each one of them, in which condition one has existence and uniqueness. Finally, we will examine the convergence or not of the canonical scheme associated to our SDE, when the integral with respect to fBm is defined using the Russo-Vallois symmetric integral.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511027
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511027 (alternate)

3829. Optimal flow through the disordered lattice

Author(s): David J. Aldous (U.C. Berkeley)

Abstract: Consider routing traffic on the $N \times N$ torus, simultaneously between all source-destination pairs, to minimize the cost $\sum_e c(e)f^2(e)$, where $f(e)$ is the volume of flow across edge $e$ and the $c(e)$ form an i.i.d. random environment. We prove existence of a rescaled $N \to \infty$ limit constant for minimum cost, by comparison with an appropriate analogous problem about minimum-cost flows across a $M \times M$ subsquare of the lattice.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511694
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511694 (alternate)

3830. Fragmentation associated to Levy processes using snake

Author(s): Romain Abraham (MAPMO) and Jean-Francois Delmas (CERMICS)

Abstract: We consider the height process of a Levy process with no negative jumps, and its associated continuous tree representation. Using Levy snake tools developed by Duquesne and Le Gall, with an underlying Poisson process, we construct a fragmentation process, which in the stable case corresponds to the self-similar fragmentation described by Miermont. For the general fragmentation process we compute a family of dislocation measures as well as the law of the size of a tagged fragment. We also give a special Markov property for the snake which is interesting in itself.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511702
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511702 (alternate)

3831. Kolmogorov Equations in Infinite Dimensions: Well-Posedness and Regularity of Solutions, with Applications to Stochastic Generalized Burgers Equations

Author(s): Michael R\"ockner and Zeev Sobol

Abstract: We develop a new method to uniquely solve a large class of heat equations, so called Kolmogorov equations in infinitely many variables. The equations are analyzed in spaces of sequentially weakly continuous functions weighted by proper (Lyapunov type) functions. This way for the first time the solutions are constructed everywhere without exceptional sets for equations with possibly non-locally Lipschitz drifts. Apart from general analytic interest, the main motivation is to apply this to uniquely solve martingale problems in the sense of Stroock-Varadhan given by stochastic partial differential equations from hydrodynamics, such as the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations. In this paper this is done in the case of the stochastic generalized Burgers equation. Uniqueness is shown in the sense of Markov flows.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511708
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511708 (alternate)

3832. A long range dependence stable process and an infinite variance branching system

Author(s): Tomasz Bojdecki and Luis G. Gorostiza and Anna Talarczyk

Abstract: We prove a functional limit theorem for the rescaled occupation time fluctuations of a (d,\alpha,\beta)-branching particle system (particles moving in R^d according to a symmetric \alpha-stable Levy process, branching law in the domain of attraction of a (1+\beta)-stable law, 0<\beta<1, uniform Poisson initial state) in the case of intermediate dimensions, \alpha/\beta < d < \alpha(1+\beta)/\beta. The limit is a process of the form K\lambda \xi, where K is a constant, \lambda is the Lebesgue measure on R^d, and \xi =(\xi_t)_{t\geq 0} is a (1+\beta)-stable process which has long range dependence. There are two long range dependence regimes, one for all \beta>d/(d+\alpha), which coincides with the case of finite variance branching (\beta=1), and another one for \beta\leq d/(d+\alpha), where the long range dependence depends on the value of \beta. The long range dependence is characterized by a dependence exponent \kappa which describes the asymptotic behavior of the codifference of increments of \xi on intervals far apart, and which is d/\alpha for the first case and (1+\beta-d/(d+\alpha))d/\alpha for the second one. The convergence proofs use techniques of S'(R^d)-valued processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511739
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511739 (alternate)

3833. The process of most recent common ancestors in an evolving coalescent

Author(s): P. Pfaffelhuber and A. Wakolbinger

Abstract: In a population of constant size, whose family sizes evolve as Wright-Fisher diffusions, all individuals alive at time $t$ have a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) who lived at time $A(t)$, say. The process $(A(t))$ has piecewise constant paths. At each jump time $E_n$, a new MRCA takes over, who lived at time $B_n:=A(E_n)$. We construct the random sequence $(B_n, E_n)$ in terms of a look-down process and investigate its dynamics as well as that of $(A(t))$. In particular, we find the joint distribution of the waiting time from $t$ to the next MRCA change and of the time when this next MRCA will have lived.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511743
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511743 (alternate)

3834. The Full Brownian Web as Scaling Limit of Stochastic Flows

Author(s): Luiz Renato Fontes Charles M. Newman

Abstract: In this paper we construct an object which we call the full Brownian web (FBW) and prove that the collection of all space-time trajectories of a class of one-dimensional stochastic flows converges weakly, under diffusive rescaling, to the FBW. The (forward) paths of the FBW include the coalescing Brownian motions of the ordinary Brownian web along with bifurcating paths. Convergence of rescaled stochastic flows to the FBW follows from general characterization and convergence theorems that we present here combined with earlier results of Piterbarg.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511029
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511029 (alternate)

3835. Occupation time fluctuations of an infinite variance branching system in large dimensions

Author(s): Tomasz Bojdecki and Luis G. Gorostiza and Anna Talarczyk

Abstract: We prove limit theorems for rescaled occupation time fluctuations of a (d,alpha,beta)-branching particle system (particles moving in R^d according to a spherically symmetric alpha-stable Levy process, (1+beta)-branching, 0alpha(1+beta)/beta. The fluctuation processes are continuous but their limits are stable processes with independent increments, which have jumps. The convergence is in the sense of finite-dimensional distributions, and also of space-time random fields (tightness does not hold in the usual Skorohod topology). The results are in sharp contrast with those for intermediate dimensions, alpha/beta < d < d(1+beta)/beta, where the limit process is continuous and has long range dependence (this case is studied by Bojdecki et al, 2005). The limit process is measure-valued for the critical dimension, and S'(R^d)-valued for large dimensions. We also raise some questions of interpretation of the different types of dimension-dependent results obtained in the present and previous papers in terms of properties of the particle system.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511745
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511745 (alternate)

3836. Asymptotic behavior of edge-reinforced random walks

Author(s): Franz Merkl and Silke Rolles

Abstract: In this article, we study linearly edge-reinforced random walk on general multi-level ladders for large initial edge weights. For infinite ladders, we show that the process can be represented as a random walk in a random environment, given by random weights on the edges. The edge weights decay exponentially in space. The process converges to a stationary process. We provide asymptotic bounds for the range of the random walker up to a given time, showing that it localizes much more than an ordinary random walker. The random environment is described in terms of an infinite-volume Gibbs measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511750
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511750 (alternate)

3837. Quantitative concentration inequalities on sample path space for mean field interaction

Author(s): Fran\c{c}ois Bolley (UMPA-ENSL)

Abstract: We consider a system of particles experiencing diffusion and mean field interaction, and study its behaviour when the number of particles goes to infinity. We derive non-asymptotic large deviation bounds measuring the concentration of the empirical measure of the paths of the particles around its limit. The method is based on a coupling argument, strong integrability estimates on the paths in Holder norm, and some general concentration result for the empirical measure of identically distributed independent paths.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511752
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511752 (alternate)

3838. Rosenthal type inequalities for free chaos

Author(s): Marius Junge and Javier Parcet and Quanhua Xu

Abstract: Let $\mathcal{A}$ denote the reduced amalgamated free product of a family $\mathsf{A}_1, \mathsf{A}_2, ..., \mathsf{A}_n$ of von Neumann algebras over a von Neumann subalgebra $\Be$ with respect to normal faithful conditional expectations $\Es_k: \mathsf{A}_k \to \Be$. We investigate the norm in $L_p(\Al)$ of homogeneous polynomials of a given degree $d$. We first generalize Voiculescu's inequality to arbitrary degree $d \ge 1$ and indices $1 \le p \le \infty$. This can be regarded as a free analogue of the classical Rosenthal inequality. Our second result is a length-reduction formula from which we generalize recent results of Pisier, Ricard and the authors. All constants in our estimates are independent of $n$ so that we may consider infinitely many free factors. As applications, we study square functions of free martingales. More precisely we show that, in contrast with the Khintchine and Rosenthal inequalities, the free analogue of the Burkholder-Gundy inequalities does not hold on $L_\infty(\Al)$. At the end of the paper we also consider Khintchine type inequalities for Shlyakhtenko's generalized circular systems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511732
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0511732 (alternate)

3839. Spatial and non-spatial stochastic models for immune response

Author(s): Rinaldo Schinazi and Jason Schweinsberg

Abstract: We study some simple mathematical models designed to test the following hypothesis: can a pathogen escape the immune system only because of its high probability of mutation? We propose both spatial and non-spatial models. In all of our models, we assume that pathogens can mutate, leading to the appearance of new types of pathogens. We also assume that the immune system is able to get rid of all the pathogens of a given type at once but that it recognizes only one type at a time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512009
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512009 (alternate)

3840. Colouring powers of cycles from random lists

Author(s): Michael Krivelevich and Asaf Nachmias

Abstract: Let $C_n^k$ be the $k$-th power of a cycle on $n$ vertices (i.e. the vertices of $C_n^k$ are those of the $n$-cycle, and two vertices are connected by an edge if their distance along the cycle is at most $k$). For each vertex draw uniformly at random a subset of size $c$ from a base set $S$ of size $s=s(n)$. In this paper we solve the problem of determining the asymptotic probability of the existence of a proper colouring from the lists for all fixed values of $c,k$, and growing $n$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512004
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0512004 (alternate)

3841. Colouring complete bipartite graphs from random lists

Author(s): Michael Krivelevich and Asaf Nachmias

Abstract: Let $K_{n,n}$ be the complete bipartite graph with $n$ vertices in each side. For each vertex draw uniformly at random a list of size $k$ from a base set $S$ of size $s=s(n)$. In this paper we estimate the asymptotic probability of the existence of a proper colouring from the random lists for all fixed values of $k$ and growing $n$. We show that this property exhibits a sharp threshold for $k\geq 2$ and the location of the threshold is precisely $s(n)=2n$ for $k=2$, and approximately $s(n)=\frac{n}{2^{k-1}\ln 2}$ for $k\geq 3$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512010
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0512010 (alternate)

3842. Increasing and Decreasing Subsequences of Permutations and Their Variants

Author(s): Richard P. Stanley

Abstract: We survey the theory of increasing and decreasing subsequences of permutations. Enumeration problems in this area are closely related to the RSK algorithm. The asymptotic behavior of the expected value of the length is(w) of the longest increasing subsequence of a permutation w of 1,2,...,n was obtained by Vershik-Kerov and (almost) by Logan-Shepp. The entire limiting distribution of is(w) was then determined by Baik, Deift, and Johansson. These techniques can be applied to other classes of permutations, such as involutions, and are related to the distribution of eigenvalues of elements of the classical groups. A number of generalizations and variations of increasing/decreasing subsequences are discussed, including the theory of pattern avoidance, unimodal and alternating subsequences, and crossings and nestings of matchings and set partitions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512035
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0512035 (alternate)

3843. Limit velocity and zero-one laws for diffusions in random environment

Author(s): Laurent Goergen

Abstract: This article is accepted for publication in the "Annals of Applied Probability". We prove that multi-dimensional diffusions in random environment have a limiting velocity which takes at most two different values. Further, in the two-dimensional case we show that for any direction, the probability to escape to infinity in this direction equals either zero or one. Combined with our results on the limiting velocity, this implies a strong law of large numbers in two dimensions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512061
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512061 (alternate)

3844. A microscopic interpretation for adaptive dynamics trait substitution sequence models

Author(s): Nicolas Champagnat (WIAS)

Abstract: We consider an interacting particle Markov process for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with non-constant population size, involving a linear birth rate, a density-dependent logistic death rate, and a probability $\mu$ of mutation at each birth event. We introduce a renormalization parameter $K$ scaling the size of the population, which leads, when $K\to+\infty$, to a deterministic dynamics for the density of individuals holding a given trait. By combining in a non-standard way the limits of large population ($K\to+\infty$) and of small mutations ($\mu\to 0$), we prove that a time scales separation between the birth and death events and the mutation events occurs and that the interacting particle microscopic process converges for finite dimensional distributions to the biological model of evolution known as the ``monomorphic trait substitution sequence'' model of adaptive dynamics, which describes the Darwinian evolution in an asexual population as a Markov jump process in the trait space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512063
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512063 (alternate)

3845. Functional Inequalities for Particle Systems on Polish Spaces

Author(s): Michael R\"ockner and Feng-Yu Wang

Abstract: Various Poincare-Sobolev type inequalities are studied for a reaction-diffusion model of particle systems on Polish spaces. The systems we consider consist of finite particles which are killed or produced at certain rates, while particles in the system move on the Polish space interacting with one another (i.e. diffusion). Thus, the corresponding Dirichlet form, which we call reaction-diffusion Dirichlet form, consists of two parts: the diffusion part induced by certain Markov processes on the product spaces $E^n (n \geq 1)$ which determine the motion of particles, and the reaction part induced by a $Q$-process on $\mathbb Z_+$ and a sequence of reference probability measures, where the $Q$-process determines the variation of the number of particles and the reference measures describe the locations of newly produced particles. We prove that the validity of Poincare and weak Poincare inequalities are essentially due to the pure reaction part, i.e. either of these inequalities holds if and only if it holds for the pure reaction Dirichlet form, or equivalently, for the corresponding $Q$-process. But under a mild condition, stronger inequalities rely on both parts: the reaction-diffusion Dirichlet form satisfies a super Poincare inequality (e.g. the log-Sobolev inequality) if and only if so do both the corresponding $Q$-process and the diffusion part. Explicit estimates of constants in the inequalities are derived. Finally, some specific examples are presented to illustrate the main results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512100
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512100 (alternate)

3846. Joint asymptotic behavior of local and occupation times

Author(s): Endre Cs\'{a}ki and Ant\'{o}nia F\"{o}ldes and P\'al R\'ev\'esz

Abstract: Considering a simple symmetric random walk in dimension $d\geq 3$, we study the almost sure joint asymptotic behavior of two objects: first the local times of a pair of neighboring points, then the local time of a point and the occupation time of the surface of the unit ball around it.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511049
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511049 (alternate)

3847. Infinitely divisible distributions for rectangular free convolution: classification and matricial interpretation

Author(s): Florent Benaych-Georges (DMA)

Abstract: In a previous paper (called "Rectangular random matrices. Related covolution"), we defined, for $\lambda \in [0,1]$, the rectangular free convolution with ratio $\lambda$. Here, we investigate the related notion of infinite divisiblity, which happens to be closely related the classical infinite divisibility: there exists a bijection between the set of classical symmetric infinitely divisible distributions and the set of infinitely divisible distributions with respect to this convolution, which preserves limit theorems. We give an interpretation of this correspondance in term of random matrices: we construct distributions on sets of complex rectangular matrices which give rise to random matrices with singular laws (i.e. uniform distributions on their singular values) going from the symmetric classical infinitely divisible distributions to their images by the previously mentioned bijection when the dimensions go from one to infinity in a ratio $\lambda$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512080
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0512080 (alternate)

3848. Rectangular random matrices, related free entropy and free Fisher's information

Author(s): Florent Benaych-Georges (DMA)

Abstract: We prove that independent rectangular random matrices, when embedded in a space of larger square matrices, are asymptotically free with amalgamation over a commutative finite dimensional subalgebra $D$ (under an hypothesis of unitary invariance). Then we consider elements of a finite von Neumann algebra containing $D$, which have kernel and range projection in $D$. We associate them a free entropy with the microstates approach, and a free Fisher's information with the conjugate variables approach. Both give rise to optimization problems whose solutions involve freeness with amalgamation over $D$. It could be a first proposition for the study of operators between different Hilbert spaces with the tools of free probability. As an application, we prove a result of freeness with amalgamation between the two parts of the polar decomposition of $R$-diagonal elements with non trivial kernel.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512081
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0512081 (alternate)

3849. Optimal control of a large dam

Author(s): Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Abstract: A large dam model is an object of study of this paper. The parameters $L^{lower}$ and $L^{upper}$ are its lower and upper levels, $L=L^{upper}-L^{lower}$ is large, and if a current level of water is between these bounds, then the dam is assumed to be in normal state. Passage one or other bound leads to damage. It is assumed that input stream of water is described by a Poisson process, while the output stream is state-dependent (the exact formulation of the problem is given in the paper). Let $L_t$ denote the dam level at time $t$, and let $p_1=\lim_{t\to\infty}\mathbf{P}\{L_t= L^{lower}\}$, $p_2=\lim_{t\to\infty}\mathbf{P}\{L_t> L^{upper}\}$ exist. Then the expected long-run damage $J=p_1J_1+p_2J_2$ for the long time interval $T$ proportional to $L$ ($J_1$ and $J_2$ are the corresponding damage costs per time $T$ associated with passage the bounds) is a performance measure, and the aim of the paper is to choose the parameter of output stream (exactly specified in the paper) minimizing $J$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512118
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512118 (alternate)

3850. Quasi-product forms for Levy-driven fluid networks

Author(s): K. Debicki and A. B. Dieker and T. Rolski

Abstract: We study stochastic tree fluid networks driven by a multidimensional Levy process. We are interested in (the joint distribution of) the steady-state content in each of the buffers, the busy periods, and the idle periods. To investigate these fluid networks, we relate the above three quantities to fluctuations of the input Levy process by solving a multidimensional Skorokhod problem. This leads to the analysis of the distribution of the componentwise maximums, the corresponding epochs at which they are attained, and the beginning of the first last-passage excursion. Using the notion of splitting times, we are able to find their Laplace transforms. It turns out that, if the components of the Levy process are `ordered', the Laplace transform has a so-called quasi-product form. The theory is illustrated by working out special cases, such as tandem networks and priority queues.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512119
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512119 (alternate)

3851. Asympyotic expansions for infinite weighted convolutions of light subexponential distributions

Author(s): Ph. Barbe (CNRS) and W.P. McCormick (UGA)

Abstract: We establish some asymptotic expansions for infinite weighted convolutions of distributions having light subexponential tails. Examples are presented, some showing that in order to obtain an expansion with two significant terms, one needs to have a general way to calculate higher order expansions, due to possible cancellations of terms. An algebraic methodology is employed to obtain the results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512141
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512141 (alternate)

3852. Backward Stochatic Differential Equations II

Author(s): Fabrice Blache (LMA-Clermont)

Abstract: In a preceding article, we have studied a generalization of the problem of finding a martingale on a manifold whose terminal value is known. This article completes the results obtained in the first article by providing uniqueness and existence theorems in a general framework (in particular if positive curvatures are allowed), still using differential geometry tools.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512145
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512145 (alternate)

3853. Distribution of Eigenvalues for the Ensemble of Real Symmetric Palindromic Toeplitz Matrices

Author(s): Adam Massey and Steven J. Miller and John Sinsheimer

Abstract: Consider the ensemble of real symmetric Toeplitz matrices, each independent entry an i.i.d. random variable chosen from a fixed probability distribution p of mean 0, variance 1, and finite higher moments. Previous investigations showed that the limiting spectral measure (the density of normalized eigenvalues) converges (weakly and almost surely), independent of p, to a distribution which is almost the Gaussian. The deviations from Gaussian behavior can be interpreted as arising from obstructions to solutions of Diophantine equations. We show that these obstructions vanish if instead one considers real symmetric palindromic Toeplitz matrices (matrices where the first row is a palindrome), and the resulting spectral measures converge (weakly and almost surely) to the Gaussian.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512146
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512146 (alternate)

3854. Asymptotic properties of power variations of L\'{e}vy processes

Author(s): Jean Jacod (IMJ)

Abstract: We determine the asymptotic behavior of the realized power variations, or more generally of sums of a given test function evaluated at the successive increments of a L\'{e}vy process. One can completely elucidate the first order behavior (convergence in probability, possibly after normalization). As for the associated CLT, one can show some versions of it, but only in a limited number of cases. In some other cases, a CLT just does not exist.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511052
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511052 (alternate)

3855. The fair and random maximal division of "pizza"

Author(s): Floyd E. Brown and Anant P. Godbole

Abstract: Consider n straight line cuts of a circular pizza made so as to maximize the number of pieces. We investigate how fair such a maximal division may be and how many slices are obtained if the cuts are successfully made with a certain probability.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512177
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512177 (alternate)

3856. Multi-Scaling of the $n$-point density function for coalescing Brownian motions

Author(s): R. Munasinghe and R. Rajesh and R. Tribe and O. Zaboronski

Abstract: This paper gives a derivation for the large time asymptotics of the $n$-point density function of a system of coalescing Brownian motions on $\bf{R}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512179
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512179 (alternate)

3857. Statistical mechanical systems on complete graphs, infinite exchangeability, finite extensions and a discrete finite moment problem

Author(s): Thomas Liggett and Jeffrey Steif and Balint Toth

Abstract: We show that a large collection of statistical mechanical systems with quadratically represented Hamiltonians on the complete graph can be extended to infinite exchangeable processes. This includes all ferromagnetic Ising, Potts and Heisenberg models. By de Finetti's theorem, this is equivalent to showing that these probability measures can be expressed as averages of product measures. We provide examples showing that ``ferromagnetism'' is not however in itself sufficient and also study in some detail the Ising model with an additional 3-body interaction. Finally, we study the question of how much the antiferromagnetic Ising model can be extended. In this direction, we obtain sharp asymptotic results via a solution to a new moment problem. We also obtain a ``formula'' for the extension which is valid in many cases.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512191
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512191 (alternate)

3858. Feller property and infinitesimal generator of the exploration process

Author(s): Romain Abraham (MAPMO) and Jean-Francois Delmas (CERMICS)

Abstract: We consider the exploration process associated to the continuous random tree (CRT) built using a Levy process with no negative jumps. This process has been studied by Duquesne, Le Gall and Le Jan. This measure-valued Markov process is a useful tool to study CRT as well as super-Brownian motion with general branching mechanism. In this paper we prove this process is Feller, and we compute its infinitesimal generator on exponential functionals and give the corresponding martingale.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512195
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512195 (alternate)

3859. Strictly stable distributions on convex cones

Author(s): Youri Davydov and Ilya Molchanov and Sergei Zuyev

Abstract: Using the LePage representation, a strictly stable random element in a Banach space with $\alpha\in(0,2)$ can be represented as a sum of points of a Poisson process. This point process is union-stable, i.e. the union of its two independent copies coincides in distribution with the rescaled original point process. These concepts makes sense in any convex cone, i.e. in a commutative semigroup equipped with multiplication by numbers, and lead to a construction of stable laws in general cones by means of the LePage series. The corresponding limit theorem shows that random samples (or binomial point processes) converge in distribution to the union-stable Poisson point process, and so yields a limit theorem for normalised sums of random elements with $\alpha$-stable limit for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. By using the technique of harmonic analysis on semigroups we characterise distributions of $\alpha$-stable random elements and show how possible values of $\alpha$ relate to the properties of the semigroup and the corresponding scaling operation, in particular, their distributivity properties. The approach developed in the paper not only makes it possible to handle stable distributions in rather general cones (like spaces of sets or measures), but also provides an alternative way to prove classical limit theorems and deduce the LePage representation for strictly stable random vectors in Banach spaces.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512196
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512196 (alternate)

3860. On time inhomogeneous controlled diffusion processes in domains

Author(s): Hongjie Dong and N.V. Krylov

Abstract: Time inhomogeneous controlled diffusion processes in both cylindrical and non-cylindrical domains are considered. Bellman's principle and its applications to proving the continuity of value functions are investigated.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512200
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512200 (alternate)

3861. The critical random graph, with martingales

Author(s): Asaf Nachmias and Yuval Peres

Abstract: We give a short proof that the largest component of the random graph $G(n, 1/n)$ is of size approximately $n^{2/3}$. The proof gives explicit bounds for the probability that the ratio is very large or very small.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512201
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512201 (alternate)

3862. Balls-in-bins with feedback and Brownian Motion

Author(s): Roberto Oliveira

Abstract: In a balls-in-bins process with feedback, balls are sequentially thrown into bins so that the probability that a bin with n balls obtains the next ball is proportional to f(n) for some function f. A commonly studied case where there are two bins and f(n) = n^p for p > 0, and our goal is to study the fine behavior of this process with two bins and a large initial number t of balls. Perhaps surprisingly, Brownian Motions are an essential part of both our proofs. For p>1/2, it was known that with probability 1 one of the bins will lead the process at all large enough times. We show that if the first bin starts with t+\lambda\sqrt{t} balls (for constant \lambda\in \R), the probability that it always or eventually leads has a non-trivial limit depending on \lambda. For p\leq 1/2, it was known that with probability 1 the bins will alternate in leadership. We show, however, that if the initial fraction of balls in one of the bins is >1/2, the time until it is overtaken by the remaining bin scales like \Theta({t^{1+1/(1-2p)}}) for p<1/2 and \exp(\Theta{t}) for p=1/2. In fact, the overtaking time has a non-trivial distribution around the scaling factors, which we determine explicitly. Our proofs use a continuous-time embedding of the balls-in-bins process (due to Rubin) and a non-standard approximation of the process by Brownian Motion. The techniques presented also extend to more general functions f.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0510648
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0510648 (alternate)

3863. Almost sure asymptotics for a diffusion process in a drifted Brownian potential

Author(s): Alexis Devulder (PMA)

Abstract: We study a one-dimensional diffusion process in a drifted Brownian potential. We characterize the upper functions of its hitting times in the sense of Paul L\'evy, and determine the lower limits in terms of an iterated logarithm law.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511053
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511053 (alternate)

3864. Large Deviation Principle for Enhanced Gaussian Processes

Author(s): Peter Friz and Nicolas Victoir

Abstract: We study large deviation principles for Gaussian processes lifted to the free nilpotent group of step N. We apply this to a large class of Gaussian processes lifted to geometric rough paths. A large deviation principle for enhanced (fractional) Brownian motion, in Hoelder- or modulus topology, appears as special case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512213
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512213 (alternate)

3865. Feller Processes on non-locally compact spaces

Author(s): Tomasz Szarek

Abstract: We introduce the ergodic condition which assures the existence of an invariant measure for Feller processes defined on an arbitrary complete and separable metric space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512221
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512221 (alternate)

3866. Tail behaviour of multiple random integrals and U-statistics

Author(s): Peter Major

Abstract: This paper contains sharp estimates about the distribution of multiple random integrals of functions of several variables with respect to a normalized empirical measure, about the distribution of U-statistics and multiple Wiener-Ito integrals with respect to a white noise. It also contains good estimates about the supremum of appropriate classes of such integrals or U-statistics. The proof of most results is omitted, I have concentrated on the explanation of their content and the picture behind them. I also tried to explain the reason for the investigation of such questions. My goal was to yield such a presentation of the results which a non-expert also can understand, and not only on a formal level.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512238
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512238 (alternate)

3867. Critical Scaling for the Simple SIS Stochastic Epidemic

Author(s): R. G. Dolgoarshinnykh Steven P. Lalley

Abstract: We exhibit a scaling law for the critical SIS stochastic epidemic: If at time 0 the population consists of square root N infected and N - square root N susceptible individuals, then when time and number currently infected are both scaled by square root N, the resulting process converges, for large N, to a diffusion process related to the Feller diffusion by a change of drift. As a consequence, the rescaled size of the epidemic has a limit law that coincides with that of a first-passage time for the standard Ornstein- Uhlenbeck process. These results are the analogues for the SIS epidemic of results of Martin-Lof for the simple SIR epidemic.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512252
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512252 (alternate)

3868. Strong Solutions of Stochastic Generalized Porous Media Equations: Existence, Uniqueness and Ergodicity

Author(s): Giuseppe Da Prato and Boris L. Rozovskii and Michael R\"ockner and Feng-Yu Wang

Abstract: Explicit conditions are presented for the existence, uniqueness and ergodicity of the strong solution to a class of generalized stochastic porous media equations. Our estimate of the convergence rate is sharp according to the known optimal decay for the solution of the classical (deterministic) porous medium equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512259
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512259 (alternate)

3869. Harmonic continuous time branching moments

Author(s): Didier Piau

Abstract: We show that the mean inverse populations of nondecreasing, square integrable, continuous time branching processes decrease to zero like the inverse of their mean population if and only if the initial population k is greater than a threshold m, which is at least one. If furthermore k is greater than a second threshold m', which is at least m, the normalized mean inverse population is at most 1/(k-m'). We express m and m' as explicit functionals of the reproducing distribution, we discuss some analogues for discrete time branching processes, and we link these results to the behavior of random products involving i.i.d. nonnegative sums.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511058
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511058 (alternate)

3870. Global Regularity and Bounds for Solutions of Parabolic Equations for Probability Measures

Author(s): Vladimir I. Bogachev and Michael R\"ockner and Stanislav V. Shaposhnikov

Abstract: Given a second order parabolic operator $$ Lu(t,x) :=\frac{\partial u(t,x)}{\partial t} + a^{ij}(t,x)\partial_{x_i}\partial_{x_j}u(t,x) + b^i(t,x)\partial_{x_i}u(t,x), $$ we consider the weak parabolic equation $L^{*}\mu=0$ for Borel probability measures on $(0,1)\times\mathbb{R}^d$. The equation is understood as the equality $$ \int_{(0,1)\times\mathbb{R}^d} Lu d\mu =0 $$ for all smooth functions $u$ with compact support in~$(0,1)\times\mathbb{R}^d$. This equation is satisfied for the transition probabilities of the diffusion process associated with~$L$. We show that under broad assumptions $\mu$ has the form $\mu=\varrho(t,x) dt dx$, where the function $x\mapsto \varrho(t,x)$ is Sobolev, $|\nabla_x \varrho(x,t)|^2/\varrho(t,x)$ is Lebesgue integrable over $[0,\tau]\times\mathbb{R}^d$, and $\varrho\in L^p([0,\tau]\times\mathbb{R}^d)$ for all $p\in [1,+\infty)$ and $\tau<1$. Moreover, a sufficient condition for the uniform boundedness of $\varrho$ on $[0,\tau]\times\mathbb{R}^d$ is given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512264
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512264 (alternate)

3871. Chaotic States and Stochastic Integration in Quantum Systems

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: Quantum chaotic states over a noncommutative monoid, a unitalization of a noncommutative Ito algebra parametrizing a quantum stochastic Levy process, are described in terms of their infinitely divisible generating functionals over the monoid-valued processes on an atomless `space-time' set. A canonical decomposition of the logarithmic conditionally posive-definite generating functional is constructed in a pseudo-Euclidean space, given by a quadruple defining the monoid triangular operator representation and a cyclic zero pseudo-norm state in this space. It is shown that the exponential representation in the corresponding pseudo-Fock space yields the infinitely-divisible generating functional with respect to the exponential state vector, and its compression to the Fock space defines the cyclic infinitly-divisible representation associated with the Fock vacuum state. The structure of states on an arbitrary Ito algebra is studied with two canonical examples of quantum Wiener and Poisson states. A generalized quantum stochastic nonadapted multiple integral is explicitly defined in Fock scale, its continuity and quantum stochastic differentiability is proved. A unified non-adapted and functional quantum Ito formula is discovered and established both in weak and strong sense, and the multiplication formula on the exponential Ito algebra is found for the relatively bounded kernel-operators in Fock scale. The unitarity and projectivity properties of nonadapted quantum stochastic linear differential equations are studied, and their solution is constructed for the locally bounded nonadapted generators in terms of the chronological products in the underlying kernel algebra canonically represented by triangular operators in the pseudo-Fock space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512265
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512265 (alternate)

3872. Weak Solutions to the Stochastic Porous Media Equation via Kolmogorov

Author(s): Viorel Barbu and Vladimir I. Bogachev and Giuseppe Da Prato and Michael R\"ockner

Abstract: A stochastic version of the porous medium equation with coloured noise is studied. The corresponding Kolmogorov equation is solved in the space $L^2(H,\nu)$ where $\nu$ is an infinitesimally excessive measure. Then a weak solution is constructed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512266
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512266 (alternate)

3873. Explicit formulas for the moments of the sojourn time in the M/G/1 processor sharing queue with permanent jobs

Author(s): S.F.Yashkov

Abstract: We give some representation about recent achievements in analysis of the M/G/1 queue with egalitarian processor sharing discipline (EPS). The new formmulas are derived for the j-th moments (j=1,2,...) of the (conditional) stationary sojourn time in the M/G/1--EPS queue with K (K=0,1,2,...) permanent jobs of infinite size. We discuss also how to simplify the computations of the moments.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512281
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512281 (alternate)

3874. A Predictive Theory of Games

Author(s): David H. Wolpert

Abstract: Conventional noncooperative game theory hypothesizes that the joint strategy of a set of players in a game must satisfy an "equilibrium concept". All other joint strategies are considered impossible; the only issue is what equilibrium concept is "correct". This hypothesis violates the desiderata underlying probability theory. Indeed, probability theory renders moot the problem of what equilibrium concept is correct - every joint strategy can arise with non-zero probability. Rather than a first-principles derivation of an equilibrium concept, game theory requires a first-principles derivation of a distribution over joint (mixed) strategies. This paper shows how information theory can provide such a distribution over joint strategies. If a scientist external to the game wants to distill such a distribution to a point prediction, that prediction should be set by decision theory, using their (!) loss function. So the predicted joint strategy - the "equilibrium concept" - varies with the external scientist's loss function. It is shown here that in many games, having a probability distribution with support restricted to Nash equilibria - as stipulated by conventional game theory - is impossible. It is also show how to: i) Derive an information-theoretic quantification of a player's degree of rationality; ii) Derive bounded rationality as a cost of computation; iii) Elaborate the close formal relationship between game theory and statistical physics; iv) Use this relationship to extend game theory to allow stochastically varying numbers of players.

http://arXiv.org/abs/nlin/0512015
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/nlin.AO/0512015 (alternate)

3875. Infinite Dimensional Ito Algebras of Quantum White Noise

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A simple axiomatic characterization of the general (infinite dimensional, noncommutative) Ito algebra is given and a pseudo-Euclidean fundamental representation for such algebra is described. The notion of Ito B*-algebra, generalizing the C*-algebra is defined to include the Banach infinite dimensional Ito algebras of quantum Brownian and quantum Levy motion, and the B*-algebras of vacuum and thermal quantum noise are characterized. It is proved that every Ito algebra is canonically decomposed into the orthogonal sum of quantum Brownian (Wiener) algebra and quantum Levy (Poisson) algebra. In particular, every quantum thermal noise is the orthogonal sum of a quantum Wiener noise and a quantum Poisson noise as it is stated by the Levy-Khinchin theorem in the classical case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512288
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512288 (alternate)

3876. Positive Definite Germs of Quantum Stochastic Processes

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A new notion of stochastic germs for quantum processes is introduced and a characterisation of the stochastic differentials for positive definite (PD) processes is found in terms of their germs for arbitrary Ito algebra. A representation theorem, giving the pseudo-Hilbert dilation for the germ-matrix of the differential, is proved. This suggests the general form of quantum stochastic evolution equations with respect to the Poisson (jumps), Wiener (diffusion) or general quantum noise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512289
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512289 (alternate)

3877. On Stochastic Generators of Positive Definite Exponents

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A characterisation of quantum stochastic positive definite (PD) exponent is given in terms of the conditional positive definiteness (CPD) of their form-generator. The pseudo-Hilbert dilation of the stochastic form-generator and the pre-Hilbert dilation of the corresponding dissipator is found. The structure of quasi-Poisson stochastic generators giving rise to a quantum stochastic birth processes is studied.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512290
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512290 (alternate)

3878. Poisson kernel and Green function of the ball in real hyperbolic spaces

Author(s): T. Byczkowski and J. Malecki

Abstract: Let $(X_t)_{t\geq0}$ be the $n$-dimensional hyperbolic Brownian motion, that is the diffusion on the real hyperbolic space $\D^n$ having the Laplace-Beltrami operator as its generator. The aim of the paper is to derive the formulas for the Gegenbauer transform of the Poisson kernel and the Green function of the ball for the process $(X_t)_{t\geq0}$. Under some additional hypotheses we give the formulas for the Poisson kernel itself. In particular, we provide formulas in $\D^4$ and $\D^6$ spaces for the Poisson kernel and the Green function as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512294
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512294 (alternate)

3879. Random homeomorphisms and Fourier expansions - the pointwise behavior

Author(s): Gady Kozma

Abstract: Let phi be a Dubins-Freedman random homeomorphism on [0,1] derived from the base measure uniform on the vertical line x=1/2, and let f be a periodic function satisfying that |f(x)-f(0)| = o(1/log log log 1/x). Then the Fourier expansion of f composed with phi converges at 0 with probability 1. In the condition on f, o cannot be replaced by O. Also we deduce some 0-1 laws for this kind of problems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511036
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0511036 (alternate)

3880. Binomial upper bounds on generalized moments and tail probabilities of (super)martingales with differences bounded from above

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Let (S_0,S_1,...) be a supermartingale relative to a nondecreasing sequence of sigma-algebras H_0,H_1,..., with S_0\le0 almost surely (a.s.) and differences X_i:=S_i-S_{i-1}. Suppose that X_i\le d and Var(X_i|H_{i-1})\le \si_i^2 a.s. for every i=1,2,..., where d>0 and \si_i>0 are non-random constants. Let T_n:=Z_1+...+Z_n, where Z_1,...,Z_n are i.i.d. r.v.'s each taking on only two values, one of which is d, and satisfying the conditions E(Z_i)=0 and Var(Z_i)=\si^2:=(\si_1^2+...+\si_n^2)/n. Then, based on a comparison inequality between generalized moments of S_n and T_n for a rich class of generalized moment functions, the tail comparison inequality P(S_n \ge y) \le c P^{\lin,\lc}(T_n \ge y+h/2)\quad\forall y\in\R is obtained, where c:=e^2/2=3.694..., h:=d+\si^2/d, and the function y\mapsto P^{\lin,\lc}(T_n > y) is the least log-concave majorant of the linear interpolation of the tail function y\mapsto P(T_n \ge y) over the lattice of all points of the form nd+kh (k\in\Z). An explicit formula for P^{\lin,\lc}(T_n\ge y+h/2) is given. Another, similar bound is given under somewhat different conditions. It is shown that these bounds improve significantly upon known bounds.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512301
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512301 (alternate)

3881. Local structure of random quadrangulations

Author(s): Maxim Krikun (IEC)

Abstract: This paper is an adaptation of a method used in math.PR/0311127 to the model of random quadrangulations. We prove local weak convergence of uniform measures on quadrangulations and show that local growth of quadrangulation is governed by certain critical time-reversed branching process. As an intermediate result we calculate a biparametric generating function for certain class of quadrangulations with boundary.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512304
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512304 (alternate)

3882. Large systems of path-repellent Brownian motions in a trap at positive temperature

Author(s): Stefan Adams and Jean-Bernard Bru and Wolfgang Koenig

Abstract: We study a model of $ N $ mutually repellent Brownian motions under confinement to stay in some bounded region of space. Our model is defined in terms of a transformed path measure under a trap Hamiltonian, which prevents the motions from escaping to infinity, and a pair-interaction Hamiltonian, which imposes a repellency of the $N$ paths. In fact, this interaction is an $N$-dependent regularisation of the Brownian intersection local times, an object which is of independent interest in the theory of stochastic processes. The time horizon (interpreted as the inverse temperature) is kept fixed. We analyse the model for diverging number of Brownian motions in terms of a large deviation principle. The resulting variational formula is the positive-temperature analogue of the well-known Gross-Pitaevskii formula, which approximates the ground state of a certain dilute large quantum system; the kinetic energy term of that formula is replaced by a probabilistic energy functional. This study is a continuation of the analysis in \cite{ABK04} where we considered the limit of diverging time (i.e., the zero-temperature limit) with fixed number of Brownian motions, followed by the limit for diverging number of motions. \bibitem[ABK04]{ABK04} {\sc S.~Adams, J.-B.~Bru} and {\sc W.~K\"onig}, \newblock Large deviations for trapped interacting Brownian particles and paths, \newblock {\it Ann. Probab.}, to appear (2004).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512305
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512305 (alternate)

3883. A functional central limit theorem for a class of urn models

Author(s): Gopal K Basak and Amites Dasgupta

Abstract: We construct an independent increments Gaussian process associated to a class of multicolor urn models. The construction uses random variables from the urn model which are different from the random variables for which central limit theorems are available in the two color case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512325
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512325 (alternate)

3884. Coupling all the Levy stochastic areas of multidimensional Brownian motion

Author(s): Wilfrid Kendall

Abstract: It is shown how to construct a successful co-adapted coupling of two copies of an n-dimensional Brownian motion while simultaneously coupling all corresponding copies of Levy stochastic areas. It is conjectured that successful co-adapted couplings still exist when the Levy stochastic areas are replaced by a finite set of multiply-iterated path-and-time integrals, subject to algebraic compatibility of the initial conditions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512336
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512336 (alternate)

3885. Quantum Stochastic Semigroups and Their Generators

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A rigged Hilbert space characterisation of the unbounded generators of quantum completely positive (CP) stochastic semigroups is given. The general form and the dilation of the stochastic completely dissipative (CD) equation over the algebra L(H) is described, as well as the unitary quantum stochastic dilation of the subfiltering and contractive flows with unbounded generators is constructed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512360
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512360 (alternate)

3886. Quantum Stochastic Calculus and Quantum Nonlinear Filtering

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A *-algebraic indefinite structure of quantum stochastic (QS) calculus is introduced and a continuity property of generalized nonadapted QS integrals is proved under the natural integrability conditions in an infinitely dimensional nuclear space. The class of nondemolition output QS processes in quantum open systems is characterized in terms of the QS calculus, and the problem of QS nonlinear filtering with respect to nondemolition continuous measurments is investigated. The stochastic calculus of a posteriori conditional expectations in quantum observed systems is developed and a general quantum filtering stochastic equation for a QS process is derived. An application to the description of the spontaneous collapse of the quantum spin under continuous observation is given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512362
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512362 (alternate)

3887. Logarithmic asymptotics for the number of periodic orbits of the Teichmueller flow on Veech's space of zippered rectangles

Author(s): Alexander I. Bufetov

Abstract: The logarithmic asymptotics is computed for the growth of the number of periodic orbits for the Teichmueller flow on Veech's moduli space of zippered rectangles. The rate is equal to the entropy of the flow with respect to the absolutely continuous invariant measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511035
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0511035 (alternate)

3888. Localization transition for a copolymer in an emulsion

Author(s): F den Hollander and S G Whittington

Abstract: In this paper we study a two-dimensional directed self-avoiding walk model of a random copolymer in a random emulsion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512374
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512374 (alternate)

3889. Gibbs distributions for random partitions generated by a fragmentation process

Author(s): Nathanael Berestycki (U.B.C.) and Jim Pitman (U.C. BERKELEY)

Abstract: In this paper we study random partitions of {1,...,n} where every cluster of size j can be in any of w(j) possible internal states. The Gibbs (n,k,w) distribution is obtained by sampling uniformly among such partitions with k clusters. Gibbs distributions arise naturally as equilibrium distributions of reversible coagulation - fragmentation processes. The goal of this work is to study random processes where at step k the process has the Gibbs (n,k,w) distribution, so that this microscopical equilibrium is subject to irreversible fragmentation as time evolves. It is not always possible to combine those two features, and in our main result we identify those weight sequences w(j) for which such a process exists subject to some simplifying assumptions. In this case the time-reversed process turns out to be the discrete Marcus-Lushnikov coalescent process with affine collision rate K(x,y)=a+b(x+y) for some real numbers a and b.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512378
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512378 (alternate)

3890. A quantitative investigation into the accumulation of rounding errors in the numerical solution of ODEs

Author(s): Sebastian Mosbach and Amanda G. Turner

Abstract: We examine numerical rounding errors of some deterministic solvers for systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We show that the accumulation of rounding errors results in a solution that is inherently random and we obtain the theoretical distribution of the trajectory as a function of time, the step size and the numerical precision of the computer. We consider, in particular, systems which amplify the effect of the rounding errors so that over long time periods the solutions exhibit divergent behaviour. By performing multiple repetitions with different values of the time step size, we observe numerically the random distributions predicted theoretically. We mainly focus on the explicit Euler and RK4 methods but also briefly consider more complex algorithms such as the implicit solvers VODE and RADAU5.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512364
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NA/0512364 (alternate)

3891. Normal domination of (super)martingales

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Let (S_0,S_1,...) be a supermartingale relative to a nondecreasing sequence of \sigma-algebras (H_{\le0},H_{\le1},...), with S_0\le0 almost surely (a.s.) and differences X_i:=S_i-S_{i-1}. Suppose that for every i=1,2,... there exist H_{\le(i-1)}-measurable r.v.'s C_{i-1} and D_{i-1} and a positive real number s_i such that C_{i-1}\le X_i\le D_{i-1} and D_{i-1}-C_{i-1}\le 2 s_i a.s. Then for all real t and natural n one has \E f_t(S_n)\le\E f_t(sZ), where f_t(x):=\max(0,x-t)^5, s:=\sqrt{s_1^2+...+s_n^2}, and Z is N(0,1). In particular, this implies P(S_n\ge x)\le c_{5,0}P(Z\ge x/s) for all x in \R, where c_{5,0}=5!(e/5)^5=5.699.... Results for \max_{0\le k\le n}S_k in place of S_n and for concentration of measure also follow.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512382
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512382 (alternate)

3892. Relative entropy and waiting times for continuous-time Markov processes

Author(s): Jean-Rene Chazottes and Cristian Giardina and Frank Redig

Abstract: For discrete-time stochastic processes, there is a close connection between return/waiting times and entropy. Such a connection cannot be straightforwardly extended to the continuous-time setting. Contrarily to the discrete-time case one does need a reference measure and so the natural object is relative entropy rather than entropy. In this paper we elaborate on this in the case of continuous-time Markov processes with finite state space. A reference measure of special interest is the one associated to the time-reversed process. In that case relative entropy is interpreted as the entropy production rate. The main results of this paper are: almost-sure convergence to relative entropy of suitable waiting-times and their fluctuation properties (central limit theorem and large deviation principle).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512386
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512386 (alternate)

3893. Asymptotic direction for random walks in random environments

Author(s): Fran\c{c}ois Simenhaus (PMA)

Abstract: In this paper we study the property of asymptotic direction for random walks in random i.i.d. environments (RWRE). We prove that if the set of directions where the walk is transient is non empty and open, the walk admits an asymptotic direction. The main tool to obtain this result is the construction of a renewal structure with cones. We also prove that RWRE admits at most two opposite asymptotic directions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512388
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512388 (alternate)

3894. Randomly Growing Braid on Three Strands and the Manta Ray, with Appendix

Author(s): Jean Mairesse and Fr\'ed\'eric Math\'eus

Abstract: Consider the braid group B3 = < a,b | aba = bab > and the nearest neighbor random walk defined by a probability \nu with support {a,b,a^-1,b^-1}. The rate of escape of the walk is explicitely expressed in function of the unique solution of a set of eight polynomial equations of degree three over eight indeterminates. We also explicitely describe the harmonic measure of the induced random walk on B3 quotiented by its center. The method and results apply, mutatis mutandis, to nearest neighbor random walks on dihedral Artin groups.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512391
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512391 (alternate)

3895. A universal dilation of discrete Markov evolutions

Author(s): M. Gregoratti

Abstract: Given a finite state space E, we build a universal dilation for all possible discrete time Markov chains on E, homogeneous or not: we introduce a second system (an ``environment'') and a deterministic invertible time-homogeneous global evolution of the system E with this environment such that any Markov evolution of E can be realized by a proper choice of the initial (random) state of the environment, which therefore determines the transition probabilities of the system. We also compare this dilation with the quantum dilations of a Quantum Dynamical Semigroup: given a Classical Markov Semigroup, we show that it can be extended to a Quantum Dynamical Semigroup for which we can find a quantum dilation to a group of *-automorphisms admitting an invariant abelian subalgebra where this quantum dilation gives just our classical dilation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512393
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512393 (alternate)

3896. Large deviations of the empirical current in interacting particle systems

Author(s): L. Bertini and A. De Sole and D. Gabrielli and G. Jona-Lasinio and C. Landim

Abstract: We study current fluctuations in lattice gases in the hydrodynamic scaling limit. More precisely, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical current in the symmetric simple exclusion process with rate functional I. We then estimate the asymptotic probability of a fluctuation of the average current over a large time interval and show that the corresponding rate function can be obtained by solving a variational problem for the functional I. For the symmetric simple exclusion process the minimizer is time independent so that this variational problem can be reduced to a time independent one. On the other hand, for other models the minimizer is time dependent. This phenomenon is naturally interpreted as a dynamical phase transition.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512394
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512394 (alternate)

3897. Conformal invariance of isoradial dimer models & the case of triangular quadri-tilings

Author(s): B. de Tili\`ere

Abstract: We consider dimer models on graphs which are bipartite, periodic and satisfy a geometric condition called {\em isoradiality}, defined in \cite{Kenyon3}. We show that the scaling limit of the height function of any such dimer model is $1/\sqrt{\pi}$ times a Gaussian free field. Triangular quadri-tilings were introduced in \cite{Bea}; they are dimer models on a family of isoradial graphs arising form rhombus tilings. By means of two height functions, they can be interpreted as random interfaces in dimension 2+2. We show that the scaling limit of each of the two height functions is $1/\sqrt{\pi}$ times a Gaussian free field, and that the two Gaussian free fields are independent.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512395
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512395 (alternate)

3898. The monotonicity condition for BSDE on manifolds

Author(s): Fabrice Blache (IAM)

Abstract: In two preceding articles, we studied the problem of the existence and uniqueness of a solution to some general BSDE on manifolds. In these two articles, we assumed some Lipschitz conditions on the drift $f(b,x,z)$. The purpose of this article is to extend the existence and uniqueness results under weaker assumptions, in particular a monotonicity condition in the variable $x$. This extends well-known results for Euclidean BSDE.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512403
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512403 (alternate)

3899. Operator Markovian Cocycles via Associated Semigroups

Author(s): J. Martin Lindsay and Stephen J. Wills

Abstract: A recent characterisation of Fock-adapted contraction operator stochastic cocycles on a Hilbert space, in terms of their associated semigroups, yields a general principle for the construction of such cocycles by approximation of their stochastic generators. This leads to new existence results for quantum stochastic differential equations. We also give necessary and sufficient conditions for a cocycle to satisfy such an equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512398
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.FA/0512398 (alternate)

3900. Markov measures on Young tableaux and induced representations on the infinite symmetric group

Author(s): A.M.Vershik and N.V.Tsilevich

Abstract: We show that the class of inductive limits of the representations of finite symmetric groups with simple spectrum coinsides with the class of Markov representations of the infinite symmetric group associated with Markov measures on the space of infinite Young tableaux. We also show that the representations of infinite symmetric group induced from identity representation of two-block Young subgroup are Markov representations and find explicit formulas for transition probabilities of corresponding Markov measure on the Young diagrmas. Induced two-row representations of finite symmetric group are studied using tensor model of those representations which alows easily to obtain the formulas for Gel'fand-Zetlin basis.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512389
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.RT/0512389 (alternate)

3901. Reconstruction theorem for quantum stochastic processes

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: Statistically interpretable axioms are formulated that define a quantum stochastic process (QSP) as a causally ordered operator field in an arbitrary space-time region T of an open quantum system under a sequential observation at a discrete space-time localization. It is shown that to every QSP described in the weak sense by a self-consistent system of causally ordered correlation kernels there corresponds a unique, up to unitary equivalence, minimal QSP in the strong sense. It is shown that the proposed QSP construction, which reduces in the case of the linearly ordered discrete T=Z to the construction of the inductive limit of Lindblad's canonical representations, corresponds to Kolmogorov's classical reconstruction if the order on T is ignored and leads to Lewis construction if one uses the system of all (not only causal) correlation kernels, regarding this system as lexicographically preordered on T. The approach presented encompasses both nonrelativistic and relativistic irreversible dynamics of open quantum systems and fields satisfying the conditions of local commutativity and semigroup covariance. Also given are necessary and sufficient conditions of dynamicity (or conditional Markovianity) and regularity, these leading to the properties of complete mixing (relaxation) and ergodicity of the QSP.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512410
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512410 (alternate)

3902. Semilogics, Quasilogics and Other Quantum Structures

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: We give an axiomatic formulation of quantum structures like semilogics and quasilogics which generalize the boolean semirings of events and fuzzy logics. The notions of distributions, states, representations observables and semiobservables are introduced and their Hilbert space realizations are found. The closed and open structures in semilogics are introduced and the regular distributions on the semilogics are studied.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512413
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512413 (alternate)

3903. Occupation time fluctuations of Poisson and equilibrium finite variance branching systems

Author(s): Piotr Milos

Abstract: Functional limit theorems are presented for the rescaled occupation time fluctuations process of a critical finite variance branching particle system in $R^d$ with symmetric a-stable motion starting off from either a standard Poisson random field or from the equilibrium distribution for intermediate dimensions a

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512414
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512414 (alternate)

3904. Quantum Probabilities and Paradoxes of the Quantum Century

Author(s): V. P. Belavkin

Abstract: A history and drama of the development of quantum probability theory is outlined starting from the discovery of the Plank's constant exactly a 100 years ago. It is shown that before the rise of quantum mechanics 75 years ago, the quantum theory had appeared first in the form of the statistics of quantum thermal noise and quantum spontaneous jumps which have never been explained by quantum mechanics. Moreover, the only reasonable probabilistic interpretation of quantum theory put forward by Max Born was in fact in irreconcilable contradiction with traditional mechanical reality and classical probabilistic causality. This led to numerous quantum paradoxes, some of them due to the great inventors of quantum theory such as Einstein and Schroedinger. They are reconsidered in this paper from the modern quantum probabilistic point of view.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512415
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512415 (alternate)

3905. Generalized probabilities taking values in non-Archimedean fields and topological groups

Author(s): Andrei Khrennikov

Abstract: We develop an analogue of probability theory for probabilities taking values in topological groups. We generalize Kolmogorov's method of axiomatization of probability theory: main distinguishing features of frequency probabilities are taken as axioms in the measure-theoretic approach. We also present a review of non-Kolmogorovian probabilistic models including models with negative, complex, and $p$-adic valued probabilities. The latter model is discussed in details. The introduction of $p$-adic (as well as more general non-Archimedean) probabilities is one of the main motivations for consideration of generalized probabilities taking values in topological groups which are distinct from the field of real numbers. We discuss applications of non-Kolmogorovian models in physics and cognitive sciences. An important part of this paper is devoted to statistical interpretation of probabilities taking values in topological groups (and in particular in non-Archimedean fields).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512427
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512427 (alternate)

3906. On Maximum Increase and Decrease of Brownian Motion

Author(s): Paavo Salminen and Pierre Vallois

Abstract: The joint distribution of maximum increase and decrease for Brownian motion up to an independent exponential time is computed. This is achieved by decomposing the Brownian path at the hitting times of the infimum and the supremum before the exponential time. It is seen that an important element in our formula is the distribution of the maximum decrease for the three dimensional Bessel process with drift started from 0 and stopped at the first hitting of a given level. From the joint distribution of the maximum increase and decrease it is possible to calculate the correlation coefficient between these at a fixed time and this is seen to be -0.47936... .

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0512440
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0512440 (alternate)

3907. A stochastic Lagrangian representation of the 3-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations

Author(s): Peter Constantin and Gautam Iyer

Abstract: In this paper we derive a representation of the deterministic 3-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations based on stochastic Lagrangian paths. The particle trajectories obey SDEs driven by a uniform Wiener process; the inviscid Weber formula for the Euler equations of ideal fluids is used to recover the velocity field. This method admits a self-contained proof of local existence for the nonlinear stochastic system, and can be extended to formulate stochastic representations of related hydrodynamic-type equations, including viscous Burgers equations and LANS-alpha models.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511067
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511067 (alternate)

3908. Controlled diffusion processes

Author(s): Vivek S. Borkar

Abstract: This article gives an overview of the developments in controlled diffusion processes, emphasizing key results regarding existence of optimal controls and their characterization via dynamic programming for a variety of cost criteria and structural assumptions. Stochastic maximum principle and control under partial observations (equivalently, control of nonlinear filters) are also discussed. Several other related topics are briefly sketched.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511077
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511077 (alternate)

3909. Basic Properties of Strong Mixing Conditions. A Survey and Some Open Questions

Author(s): Richard C. Bradley

Abstract: This is an update of, and a supplement to, a 1986 survey paper by the author on basic properties of strong mixing conditions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0511078
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0511078 (alternate)

3910. Asymptotic analysis for the ratio of the random sum of squares to the square of t