Probability Abstracts 92

This document contains abstracts 4110-4254 from Mar-1-2006 to Apr-28-2006.
They have been mailed on May 5, 2006.

4110. Large deviation for diffusions and Hamilton--Jacobi equation in Hilbert spaces

Author(s): Jin Feng

Abstract: Large deviation for Markov processes can be studied by Hamilton--Jacobi equation techniques. The method of proof involves three steps: First, we apply a nonlinear transform to generators of the Markov processes, and verify that limit of the transformed generators exists. Such limit induces a Hamilton--Jacobi equation. Second, we show that a strong form of uniqueness (the comparison principle) holds for the limit equation. Finally, we verify an exponential compact containment estimate. The large deviation principle then follows from the above three verifications. This paper illustrates such a method applied to a class of Hilbert-space-valued small diffusion processes. The examples include stochastically perturbed Allen--Cahn, Cahn--Hilliard PDEs and a one-dimensional quasilinear PDE with a viscosity term. We prove the comparison principle using a variant of the Tataru method. We also discuss different notions of viscosity solution in infinite dimensions in such context.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0602655
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0602655 (alternate)

4111. Passage of L\'{e}vy Processes across Power Law Boundaries at Small Times

Author(s): Jean Bertoin (PMA) and Ronald A. Doney and Ross A. Maller (CMA)

Abstract: We wish to characterise when a L\'{e}vy process $X\_t$ crosses boundaries like $t^\kappa$, $\kappa>0$, in a one or two-sided sense, for small times $t$; thus, we enquire when $\limsup\_{t\downarrow 0}|X\_t|/t^{\kappa}$, $\limsup\_{t\downarrow 0}X\_t/t^{\kappa}$ and/or $\liminf\_{t\downarrow 0}X\_t/t^{\kappa}$ are almost surely (a.s.) finite or infinite. Necessary and sufficient conditions are given for these possibilities for all values of $\kappa>0$. Often (for many values of $\kappa$), when the limsups are finite a.s., they are in fact zero, as we show, but the limsups may in some circumstances take finite, nonzero, values, a.s. In general, the process crosses one or two-sided boundaries in quite different ways, but surprisingly this is not so for the case $\kappa=1/2$. An integral test is given to distinguish the possibilities in that case. Some results relating to other norming sequences for $X$, and when $X$ is centered at a nonstochastic function, are also given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603274
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603274 (alternate)

4112. Constructive no-arbitrage criterion under transaction costs in the case of finite discrete time

Author(s): Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Abstract: We obtain a constructive criterion for robust no-arbitrage in discrete-time market models with transaction costs. This criterion is expressed in terms of the supports of the regular conditional upper distributions of the solvency cones. We also consider the model with a bank account. A method for construction of arbitrage strategies is proposed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603284
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603284 (alternate)

4113. Induced gelation in a two-site spatial coagulation model

Author(s): Rainer Siegmund-Schultze and Wolfgang Wagner

Abstract: A two-site spatial coagulation model is considered. Particles of masses m and n at the same site form a new particle of mass m+n at rate mn. Independently, particles jump to the other site at a constant rate. The limit (for increasing particle numbers) of this model is expected to be non-deterministic after the gelation time, namely, one or two giant particles randomly jump between the two sites. Moreover, a new effect of induced gelation is observed - the gelation happening at the site with the larger initial number of monomers immediately induces gelation at the other site. Induced gelation is shown to be of logarithmic order. The limiting behaviour of the model is derived rigorously up to the gelation time, while the expected post-gelation behaviour is illustrated by a numerical simulation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603300
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603300 (alternate)

4114. Cube root fluctuations for the corner growth model associated to the exclusion process

Author(s): Marton Balazs and Eric Cator and Timo Seppalainen

Abstract: We study the last-passage growth model on the planar integer lattice with exponential weights. With boundary conditions that represent the equilibrium exclusion process as seen from a particle right after its jump we prove that the variance of the last-passage time in a characteristic direction is of order t^{2/3}. With more general boundary conditions that include the rarefaction fan case we show that the last-passage time fluctuations are still of order t^{1/3}, and also that the transversal fluctuations of the maximal path have order t^{2/3}. We adapt and then build on a recent study of Hammersley's process by Cator and Groeneboom, and also utilize the competition interface introduced by Ferrari, Martin and Pimentel. The arguments are entirely probabilistic, and no use is made of the combinatorics of Young tableaux or methods of asymptotic analysis.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603306
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603306 (alternate)

4115. Weak Disorder in Fibonacci Sequences

Author(s): E. Ben-Naim and P.L. Krapivsky

Abstract: We study how weak disorder affects the growth of the Fibonacci series. We introduce a family of stochastic sequences that grow by the normal Fibonacci recursion with probability 1-epsilon, but follow a different recursion rule with a small probability epsilon. We focus on the weak disorder limit and obtain the Lyapunov exponent, that characterizes the typical growth of the sequence elements, using perturbation theory. The limiting distribution for the ratio of consecutive sequence elements is obtained as well. A number of variations to the basic Fibonacci recursion including shift, doubling, and copying are considered.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0603117
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0603117 (alternate)

4116. Universality for mathematical and physical systems

Author(s): Percy Deift

Abstract: All physical systems in equilibrium obey the laws of thermodynamics. In other words, whatever the precise nature of the interaction between the atoms and molecules at the microscopic level, at the macroscopic level, physical systems exhibit universal behavior in the sense that they are all governed by the same laws and formulae of thermodynamics. In this paper we describe some recent history of universality ideas in physics starting with Wigner's model for the scattering of neutrons off large nuclei and show how these ideas have led mathematicians to investigate universal behavior for a variety of mathematical systems. This is true not only for systems which have a physical origin, but also for systems which arise in a purely mathematical context such as the Riemann hypothesis, and a version of the card game solitaire called patience sorting.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0603038
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0603038 (alternate)

4117. On finite-dimensional projections of distributions for solutions of randomly forced PDE's

Author(s): Andrei Agrachev (SISSA-Isas) and Sergei Kuksin (Mathematics Department of Heriot-Watt University), Andrey Sarychev (DMD), Armen Shirikyan (LM-Orsay)

Abstract: The paper is devoted to studying the image of probability measures on a Hilbert space under finite-dimensional analytic maps. We establish sufficient conditions under which the image of a measure has a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure and continuously depends on the map. The results obtained are applied to the 2D Navier--Stokes equations perturbed by various random forces of low dimension.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603295
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.AP/0603295 (alternate)

4118. Simulation of Discrete Systems using Probabilistic Sequential Systems

Author(s): Maria A. Avino-Diaz and Gabriela Bulancea and Oscar Moreno

Abstract: In this paper we introduce the idea of probability in the definition of a Sequential Dynamical System (SDS), thus obtaining a new concept, that of Probabilistic Sequential System (PSS). Due to its particular dynamic, the Probabilistic Boolean Network (PBN) model has been applied to genetic regulatory networks. The model we introduce combines the sequential aspect of the SDSs and the dynamic of the PBNs. The notion of simulation of a PSS is introduced using the concept of morphism of PSSs. We prove that the PSSs with the PSS-morphisms form a category PSS. Several examples of morphisms, subsystems and simulations are given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603289
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0603289 (alternate)

4119. Special homomorphisms between Probabilistic Gene Regulatory Networks

Author(s): Maria A. Avino-Diaz

Abstract: In this paper we study finite dynamical systems with $n$ functions acting on the same set $X$, and probabilities assigned to these functions, that it is called Probabilistic Regulatory Gene Networks (PRN. his concept is the same or a natural generalization of the concept Probabilistic Boolean Networks (PBN), introduced by I. Shmulevich, E. Dougherty, and W. Zhang, particularly the model PBN has been using to describe genetic networks and has therapeutic applications. In PRNs the most important question is to describe the steady states of the systems, so in this paper we pay attention to the idea of transforming a network to another without lost all the properties, in particular the probability distribution. Following this objective we develop the concepts of homomorphism and $\epsilon$-homomorphism of probabilistic regulatory networks, since these concepts bring the properties from one networks to another. Projections are special homomorphisms, and they always induce invariant subnetworks that contain all cycles and steady states in the network.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603291
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0603291 (alternate)

4120. Probabilistic Gene Regulatory Networks, isomorphisms of Markov Chains

Author(s): Maria A. Avino-Diaz

Abstract: In this paper we study homomorphisms of Probabilistic Regulatory Gene Networks(PRN) introduced in arXiv:math.DS/0603289 v1 13 Mar 2006. The model PRN is a natural generalization of the Probabilistic Boolean Networks (PBN), introduced by I. Shmulevich, E. Dougherty, and W. Zhang in 2001, that has been using to describe genetic networks and has therapeutic applications. In this paper, our main objectives are to apply the concept of homomorphism and $\epsilon$-homomorphism of probabilistic regulatory networks to the dynamic of the networks. The meaning of $\epsilon$ is that these homomorphic networks have similar distributions and the distance between the distributions is upper bounded by $\epsilon$. Additionally, we prove that the class of PRN together with the homomorphisms form a category with products and coproducts. Projections are special homomorphisms, and they always induce invariant subnetworks that contain all the cycles and steady states in the network. Here, it is proved that the $\epsilon$-homomorphism for $0<\epsilon<1$ produce simultaneous Markov Chains in both networks, that permit to introduce the concept of $\epsilon$-isomorphism of Markov Chains, and similar networks.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603302
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0603302 (alternate)

4121. State Dependent Utility

Author(s): Jaime A. Londo\~no

Abstract: We propose a new approach to utilities that is consistent with state-dependent utilities. In our model utilities reflect the level of consumption satisfaction of flows of cash in future times as they are valued when the economic agents are making their consumption and investment decisions. The theoretical framework used for the model is one proposed by the author in Dynamic State Tameness {arXiv:math.PR/0509139}. The proposed framework is a generalization of the theory of Brownian flows and can be applied to those processes that are the solutions of classical It^o stochastic differential equations, even when the volatilities and drifts are just locally $\delta$-Holder continuous for some $\delta>0$. We develop the martingale methodology for the solution of the problem of optimal consumption and investment. Complete solutions of the optimal consumption and portfolio problem are obtained in a very general setting which includes several functional forms for utilities in the current literature, and consider general restrictions on minimal wealths. As a secondary result we obtain a suitable representation for straightforward numerical computations of the optimal consumption and investment strategies.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603316
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603316 (alternate)

4122. Systematic scan for sampling colorings

Author(s): Martin Dyer and Leslie Ann Goldberg and Mark Jerrum

Abstract: We address the problem of sampling colorings of a graph $G$ by Markov chain simulation. For most of the article we restrict attention to proper $q$-colorings of a path on $n$ vertices (in statistical physics terms, the one-dimensional $q$-state Potts model at zero temperature), though in later sections we widen our scope to general ``$H$-colorings'' of arbitrary graphs $G$. Existing theoretical analyses of the mixing time of such simulations relate mainly to a dynamics in which a random vertex is selected for updating at each step. However, experimental work is often carried out using systematic strategies that cycle through coordinates in a deterministic manner, a dynamics sometimes known as systematic scan. The mixing time of systematic scan seems more difficult to analyze than that of random updates, and little is currently known. In this article we go some way toward correcting this imbalance. By adapting a variety of techniques, we derive upper and lower bounds (often tight) on the mixing time of systematic scan. An unusual feature of systematic scan as far as the analysis is concerned is that it fails to be time reversible.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603323
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603323 (alternate)

4123. Pattern densities in fluid dimer models

Author(s): Cedric Boutillier

Abstract: In this paper, we introduce a family of observables for the dimer model on a bi-periodic bipartite planar graph, called pattern density fields. We study the scaling limit of these objects for liquid and gaseous Gibbs measures of the dimer model, and prove that they converge to a linear combination of a derivative of the Gaussian massless free field and an independent white noise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603324
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603324 (alternate)

4124. Mean field convergence of a model of multiple TCP connections through a buffer implementing RED

Author(s): D. R. McDonald and J. Reynier

Abstract: RED (Random Early Detection) has been suggested when multiple TCP sessions are multiplexed through a bottleneck buffer. The idea is to detect congestion before the buffer overflows by dropping or marking packets with a probability that increases with the queue length. The objectives are reduced packet loss, higher throughput, reduced delay and reduced delay variation achieved through an equitable distribution of packet loss and reduced synchronization. Baccelli, McDonald and Reynier [Performance Evaluation 11 (2002) 77--97] have proposed a fluid model for multiple TCP connections in the congestion avoidance regime multiplexed through a bottleneck buffer implementing RED. The window sizes of each TCP session evolve like independent dynamical systems coupled by the queue length at the buffer. The key idea in [Performance Evaluation 11 (2002) 77--97] is to consider the histogram of window sizes as a random measure coupled with the queue. Here we prove the conjecture made in [Performance Evaluation 11 (2002) 77--97] that, as the number of connections tends to infinity, this system converges to a deterministic mean-field limit comprising the window size density coupled with a deterministic queue.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603325
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603325 (alternate)

4125. Large deviation asymptotics and control variates for simulating large functions

Author(s): Sean P. Meyn

Abstract: Consider the normalized partial sums of a real-valued function $F$ of a Markov chain, \[\phi_n:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}F(\Phi(k)),\qquad n\ge1.\] The chain $\{\Phi(k):k\ge0\}$ takes values in a general state space $\mathsf {X}$, with transition kernel $P$, and it is assumed that the Lyapunov drift condition holds: $PV\le V-W+b\mathbb{I}_C$ where $V:\mathsf {X}\to(0,\infty)$, $W:\mathsf {X}\to[1,\infty)$, the set $C$ is small and $W$ dominates $F$. Under these assumptions, the following conclusions are obtained: 1. It is known that this drift condition is equivalent to the existence of a unique invariant distribution $\pi$ satisfying $\pi(W)<\infty$, and the law of large numbers holds for any function $F$ dominated by $W$: \[\phi_n\to\phi:=\pi(F),\qquad{a.s.}, n\to\infty.\] 2. The lower error probability defined by $\mathsf {P}\{\phi_n\le c\}$, for $c<\phi$, $n\ge1$, satisfies a large deviation limit theorem when the function $F$ satisfies a monotonicity condition. Under additional minor conditions an exact large deviations expansion is obtained. 3. If $W$ is near-monotone, then control-variates are constructed based on the Lyapunov function $V$, providing a pair of estimators that together satisfy nontrivial large asymptotics for the lower and upper error probabilities. In an application to simulation of queues it is shown that exact large deviation asymptotics are possible even when the estimator does not satisfy a central limit theorem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603328
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603328 (alternate)

4126. Correction. Improper regular conditional distributions

Author(s): Teddy Seidenfeld and Mark J. Schervish and Joseph B. Kadane

Abstract: Correction to Annals of Probability 29 (2001) 1612--1624 [doi:10.1214/aop/1015345764].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603012
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603012 (alternate)

4127. Asymptotic theorems of sequential estimation-adjusted urn models

Author(s): Li-X. Zhang and Feifang Hu and Siu Hung Cheung

Abstract: The Generalized P\'{o}lya Urn (GPU) is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we propose a sequential estimation-adjusted urn model (a nonhomogeneous GPU) which has a wide spectrum of applications. Because the proposed urn model depends on sequential estimations of unknown parameters, the derivation of asymptotic properties is mathematically intricate and the corresponding results are unavailable in the literature. We overcome these hurdles and establish the strong consistency and asymptotic normality for both the patient allocation and the estimators of unknown parameters, under some widely satisfied conditions. These properties are important for statistical inferences and they are also useful for the understanding of the urn limiting process. A superior feature of our proposed model is its capability to yield limiting treatment proportions according to any desired allocation target. The applicability of our model is illustrated with a number of examples.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603329
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603329 (alternate)

4128. On the asymptotics of the supremum of a random walk: the principle of a single big jump in the light-tailed case

Author(s): Stan Zachary and Serguei Foss

Abstract: We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma\ge0$, to the class $\mathcal{S}_{\gamma}$ introduced by Chover, Ney, and Weinger (1973). For $\gamma>0$, we give a probabilistic derivation of the asymptotic tail distribution of $M$ and show that, as in the case $\gamma=0$, extreme values of $M$ are in general attained through some single large increment in the random walk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603330
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603330 (alternate)

4129. Individual versus cluster recoveries within a spatially structured population

Author(s): L. Belhadji and N. Lanchier

Abstract: Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the contact process describing the course of a single disease within a spatially structured human population distributed in social clusters. That is, each site of the $d$-dimensional integer lattice is occupied by a cluster of individuals; each individual can be healthy or infected. The evolution of the disease depends on three parameters, namely the outside infection rate which models the interactions between the clusters, the within infection rate which takes into account the repeated contacts between individuals in the same cluster, and the size of each social cluster. For the first model, we assume cluster recoveries, while individual recoveries are assumed for the second one. The aim is to investigate the existence of nontrivial stationary distributions for both processes depending on the value of each of the three parameters. Our results show that the probability of an epidemic strongly depends on the recovery mechanism.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603331
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603331 (alternate)

4130. A zero-one law for first-order logic on random images

Author(s): David Coupier (MAP5) and Agn\`{e}s Desolneux (MAP5) and Bernard Ycart (LMC - IMAG)

Abstract: For an $n\times n$ random image with independent pixels, black with probability $p(n)$ and white with probability $1-p(n)$, the probability of satisfying any given first-order sentence tends to 0 or 1, provided both $p(n)n^{\frac{2}{k}}$ and $(1-p(n))n^{\frac{2}{k}}$ tend to 0 or $+\infty$, for any integer $k$. The result is proved by computing the threshold function for basic local sentences, and applying Gaifman's theorem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603333
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603333 (alternate)

4131. Some strong limit theorems for the largest entries of sample correlation matrices

Author(s): Deli Li and Andrew Rosalsky

Abstract: Let $\{X_{k,i};i\geq 1,k\geq 1\}$ be an array of i.i.d. random variables and let $\{p_n;n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of positive integers such that $n/p_n$ is bounded away from 0 and $\infty$. For $W_n=\max_{1\leq i1/2)$, (ii) $\lim_{n\to \infty}n^{1-\alpha}L_n=0$ a.s. $(1/2<\alpha \leq 1)$, (iii) $\lim_{n\to \infty}\frac{W_n}{\sqrt{n\log n}}=2$ a.s. and (iv) $\lim_{n\to \infty}(\frac{n}{\log n})^{1/2}L_n=2$ a.s. are shown to hold under optimal sets of conditions. These results follow from some general theorems proved for arrays of i.i.d. two-dimensional random vectors. The converses of the limit laws (i) and (iii) are also established. The current work was inspired by Jiang's study of the asymptotic behavior of the largest entries of sample correlation matrices.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603334
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603334 (alternate)

4132. Stochastic spatial models of host-pathogen and host-mutualist interactions I

Author(s): N. Lanchier and C. Neuhauser

Abstract: Mutualists and pathogens, collectively called symbionts, are ubiquitous in plant communities. While some symbionts are highly host-specific, others associate with multiple hosts. The outcomes of multispecies host-symbiont interactions with different degrees of specificity are difficult to predict at this point due to a lack of a general conceptual framework. Complicating our predictive power is the fact that plant populations are spatially explicit, and we know from past research that explicit space can profoundly alter plant-plant interactions. We introduce a spatially explicit, stochastic model to investigate the role of explicit space and host-specificity in multispecies host-symbiont interactions. We find that in our model, pathogens can significantly alter the spatial structure of plant communities, promoting coexistence, whereas mutualists appear to have only a limited effect. Effects are more pronounced the more host-specific symbionts are.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603335
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603335 (alternate)

4133. Image denoising by statistical area thresholding

Author(s): David Coupier (MAP5) and Agn\`{e}s Desolneux (MAP5) and Bernard Ycart (LMC - IMAG)

Abstract: Area openings and closings are morphological filters which efficiently suppress impulse noise from an image, by removing small connected components of level sets. The problem of an objective choice of threshold for the area remains open. Here, a mathematical model for random images will be considered. Under this model, a Poisson approximation for the probability of appearance of any local pattern can be computed. In particular, the probability of observing a component with size larger than $k$ in pure impulse noise has an explicit form. This permits the definition of a statistical test on the significance of connected components, thus providing an explicit formula for the area threshold of the denoising filter, as a function of the impulse noise probability parameter. Finally, using threshold decomposition, a denoising algorithm for grey level images is proposed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603337
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603337 (alternate)

4134. The arcsine law as a universal aging scheme for trap models

Author(s): Gerard Ben Arous and Jiri Cerny

Abstract: We give a general proof of aging for trap models using the arcsine law for stable subordinators. This proof is based on abstract conditions on the potential theory of the underlying graph and on the randomness of the trapping landscape. We apply this proof to aging for trap models on large two-dimensional tori and for trap dynamics of the Random Energy Model on a broad range of time scales.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603340
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603340 (alternate)

4135. Discrete It\^o Formulas and Their Applications to Stochastic Numerics

Author(s): Jir\^o Akahori

Abstract: This is a survey note of the author's observations on the discrete-time analogues of It\^o formulas.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603341
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603341 (alternate)

4136. Dynamics of trap models

Author(s): Gerard Ben Arous and Jiri Cerny

Abstract: These notes cover one of the topics of the class given in the Les Houches Summer School ``Mathematical statistical physics'' in July 2005. The lectures tried to give a summary of the recent mathematical results about the long-time behaviour of dynamics of (mean-field) spin-glasses and other disordered media. We have chosen here to restrict the scope of these notes to the dynamics of trap models only, but to cover this topic in somewhat more depth.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603344
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603344 (alternate)

4137. Correction. Central limit theorems for additive functionals of the simple exclusion process

Author(s): S. Sethuraman

Abstract: Correction to Annals of Probability 28 (2000) 277--302 [doi:10.1214/aop/1019160120].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603014
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603014 (alternate)

4138. Second class particles and cube root asymptotics for Hammersley's process

Author(s): Eric Cator and Piet Groeneboom

Abstract: We show that, for a stationary version of Hammersley's process, with Poisson sources on the positive x-axis and Poisson sinks on the positive y-axis, the variance of the length of a longest weakly North-East path $L(t,t)$ from $(0,0)$ to $(t,t)$ is equal to $2\E(t-X(t))_+$, where $X(t)$ is the location of a second class particle at time $t$. This implies that both $\E(t-X(t))_+$ and the variance of $L(t,t)$ are of order $t^{2/3}$. Proofs are based on the relation between the flux and the path of a second class particle, continuing the approach of Cator and Groeneboom (2005).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603345
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603345 (alternate)

4139. Right-Permutative Cellular Automata on Topological Markov Chains

Author(s): Marcelo Sobottka

Abstract: In this paper we consider cellular automata $(\mathfrak{G},\Phi)$ with algebraic local rules and such that $\mathfrak{G}$ is a topological Markov chain which has a structure compatible to this local rule. We characterize such cellular automata and study the convergence of the Ces\`aro mean distribution of the iterates of any probability measure with complete connections and summable decay.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603326
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0603326 (alternate)

4140. A subdiffusive behaviour of recurrent random walk in random environment on a regular tree

Author(s): Yueyun Hu (LAGA) and Zhan Shi (PMA)

Abstract: We are interested in the random walk in random environment on an infinite tree. Lyons and Pemantle [11] give a precise recurrence/transience criterion. Our paper focuses on the almost sure asymptotic behaviours of a recurrent random walk $(X\_n)$ in random environment on a regular tree, which is closely related to Mandelbrot [13]'s multiplicative cascade. We prove, under some general assumptions upon the distribution of the environment, the existence of a new exponent $\nu\in (0, {1\over 2}]$ such that $\max\_{0\le i \le n} |X\_i|$ behaves asymptotically like $n^{\nu}$. The value of $\nu$ is explicitly formulated in terms of the distribution of the environment.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603363
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603363 (alternate)

4141. Beta-paths in the Hammersley process

Author(s): Cristian Coletti and Leandro P. R. Pimentel

Abstract: We study the asymptotics of beta-paths in the Hammersley process with sources and sinks, in the rarefaction regime. We derive a strong law of large number for those paths and we show that its fluctuation exponent is at most 2/3. Examples of beta-paths are the space-time path of a second-class particle in the Hammersley process and also the space-time path of the interface between two PNG droplets.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603382
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603382 (alternate)

4142. Testing statistical hypothesis on Random Trees

Author(s): Jorge R. Busch and Pablo A. Ferrari and A. Georgina Flesia and Ricardo Fraiman and Sebastian Grynberg

Abstract: To distinguish between populations of trees, we consider the hypothesis test proposed recently by Balding, Ferrari, Fraiman and Sued (BFFS--test). A direct approach to calculate effectively the test statistic is quite difficult, since it is based on a supremum defined over the space of all trees, which grows exponentially fast. We show how to transform this problem into a max-flow over a network which can be solved using a Ford Fulkerson algorithm in polynomial time on the maximal number of vertices of the random tree. We also describe conditions that imply the characterization of the measure by the marginal distributions of each node of the random tree, which validate the use of the BFFS--test for measure discrimination. The performance of the test is studied via simulations on Galton-Watson processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603378
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0603378 (alternate)

4143. Deviation bounds for additive functionals of Markov process

Author(s): Patrick Cattiaux (CMAP and Modal'x) and Arnaud Guillin (CEREMADE)

Abstract: In this paper we derive non asymptotic deviation bounds for $$\P_\nu (|\frac 1t \int_0^t V(X_s) ds - \int V d\mu | \geq R)$$ where $X$ is a $\mu$ stationary and ergodic Markov process and $V$ is some $\mu$ integrable function. These bounds are obtained under various moments assumptions for $V$, and various regularity assumptions for $\mu$. Regularity means here that $\mu$ may satisfy various functional inequalities (F-Sobolev, generalized Poincar\'e etc...).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603021 (alternate)

4144. Weak disorder for low dimensional polymers: The model of stable laws

Author(s): Francis Comets (PMA)

Abstract: In this paper, we consider directed polymers in random environment with long range jumps in discrete space and time. We extend to this case some techniques, results and classifications known in the usual short range case. However, some properties are drastically different when the underlying random walk belongs to the domain of attraction of an $\a$-stable law. For instance, we construct natural examples of directed polymers in random environment which experience weak disorder in low dimension.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603390
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603390 (alternate)

4145. Transient random walks on a strip in a random environment

Author(s): Alexander Roitershtein

Abstract: We consider transient random walks on a strip in a random environment. The model was introduced by Bolthausen and Goldsheid in [4]. We derive a strong law of large numbers for the random walks in a general ergodic setup and obtain an annealed central limit theorem in the case of uniformly mixing environments. In addition, we prove that the law of the ``environment viewed from the position of the walker'' converges to a limiting distribution if the environment is an i.i.d. sequence.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603392
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603392 (alternate)

4146. Process level moderate deviations for stabilizing functionals

Author(s): Peter Eichelsbacher and Tomasz Schreiber

Abstract: Functionals of spatial point process often satisfy a weak spatial dependence condition known as stabilization. In this paper we prove process level moderate deviation principles (MDP) for such functionals, which are a level-3 result for empirical point fields as well as a level-2 result for empirical point measures. The level-3 rate function coincides with the so-called specific information. We show that the general result can be applied to prove MDPs for various particular functionals, including random sequential packing, birth-growth models, germ-grain models and nearest neighbor graphs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603402
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603402 (alternate)

4147. Some scaling limits for a brownian polymer in a Gaussian medium

Author(s): Sergio De Carvalho Bezerra (IECN) and Samy Tindel (IECN) and Frederi Viens

Abstract: This paper provides information about the asymptotic behavior of a one-dimensional Brownian polymer in random medium represented by a space-time Gaussian field W assumed to be white noise in time and function-valued in space. According to the behavior of the spatial covariance W, we give sharp upper and lower bounds on the partition function's exponential rate (Lyapunov exponent), and on the growth (wandering exponent) of the polymer itself when the time parameter goes to infinity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603404
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603404 (alternate)

4148. Large Deviations for Past-Dependent Recursions

Author(s): F. Klebaner and R. Liptser

Abstract: The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603407
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603407 (alternate)

4149. Permutations without long decreasing subsequences and random matrices

Author(s): Piotr Sniady

Abstract: We study the shape of the Young diagram \lambda associated via the Robinson-Schensted-Knuth algorithm to a random permutation in S_n such that the length of the longest decreasing subsequence is not bigger than a fixed number d; in other words we study the restriction of the Plancherel measure to Young diagrams with at most d rows. We prove that in the limit n\to\infty the rows of \lambda behave like the eigenvalues of a certain random matrix (traceless Gaussian Unitary Ensemble) with d rows and columns. In particular, the length of the longest increasing subsequence of such a random permutation behaves asymptotically like the largest eigenvalue of the corresponding random matrix.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603401
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0603401 (alternate)

4150. Weak survival for branching random walks on graphs

Author(s): Daniela Bertacchi and Fabio Zucca

Abstract: We study weak and strong survival for branching random walks on multigraphs. We prove that, for a large class of multigraphs, weak survival is related to a geometrical parameter of the multigraph and that the existence of a pure weak phase is equivalent to nonamenability. Finally we study weak and strong critical behaviors of the branching random walk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603412
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603412 (alternate)

4151. Moderate deviations for some point measures in geometric probability

Author(s): Peter Eichelsbacher and Tomasz Schreiber and Joseph E. Yukich

Abstract: Functionals in geometric probability are often expressed as sums of bounded functions exhibiting exponential stabilization. Methods based on cumulant techniques and exponential modifications of measures show that such functionals satisfy moderate deviation principles. This leads to moderate deviation principles and laws of the iterated logarithm for random packing models as well as for statistics associated with germ-grain models and $k$ nearest neighbor graphs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603022
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603022 (alternate)

4152. Convex geometry of max-stable distributions

Author(s): Ilya Molchanov

Abstract: It is shown that max-stable random vectors in $[0,\infty)^d$ with unit Fr\'echet marginals are in one to one correspondence with convex sets $K$ in $[0,\infty)^d$ called max-zonoids. The max-zonoids can be characterised as sets obtained as limits of Minkowski sums of simplices or, alternatively, as the selection expectation of a random simplex whose distribution is controlled by the spectral measure of the max-stable random vector. Furthermore, the cumulative distribution function $\Prob{\xi\leq x}$ of a max-stable random vector $\xi$ with unit Fr\'echet marginals is determined by the norm of the inverse to $x$, where all possible norms are given by the support functions of max-zonoids. As an application, geometrical interpretations of a number of well-known concepts from the theory of multivariate extreme values and copulas are provided. The convex geometry approach makes it possible to generalise a number of known results and to introduce new operations with max-stable random vectors.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603423
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603423 (alternate)

4153. Differentiability of backward stochastic differential equations in Hilbert spaces with monotone generators

Author(s): Philippe Briand (IRMAR) and Fulvia Confortola

Abstract: The aim of the present paper is to study the regularity properties of the solution of a backward stochastic differential equation with a monotone generator in infinite dimension. We show some applications to the nonlinear Kolmogorov equation and to stochastic optimal control.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603428
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603428 (alternate)

4154. On the Inference of Spartan Spatial Random Field Models for Geostatistical Applications

Author(s): Samuel Elogne and Dionisis Hristopulos

Abstract: This paper focuses on the estimation of model parameters (model inference) for the class of Spartan Spatial Random Fields (SSRFs) introduced by Hristopulos (2003). The approach used for model inference involves calculation of sample constraints and fitting with respective ensemble constraints. The fitting leads to optimal SSRF parameters obtained by minimizing a suitable distance functional. We propose kernel-based estimators for calculating the sample constraints from data distributed on irregular sampling grids. We investigate the asymptotic properties of the estimators, and we establish a criterion for the selection of the kernel bandwidth parameters. The performance of the sample constraint estimators, as well as that of the SSRF inference procedure is evaluated by means of numerical simulations for different models of spatial dependence.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603430
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0603430 (alternate)

4155. Convergence of approximations of monotone gradient systems

Author(s): Lorenzo Zambotti

Abstract: We consider stochastic differential equations in a Hilbert space, perturbed by the gradient of a convex potential. We investigate the problem of convergence of a sequence of such processes. We propose applications of this method to reflecting O.U. processes in infinite dimension, to stochastic partial differential equations with reflection of Cahn-Hilliard type and to interface models.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603474
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603474 (alternate)

4156. Statistical properties of topological Collet-Eckmann maps

Author(s): Feliks Przytycki and Juan Rivera-Letelier

Abstract: We study geometric and statistical properties of complex rational maps satisfying the Topological Collet-Eckmann Condition. We show that every such a rational map possesses a unique conformal probability measure of minimal exponent, and that this measure is non-atomic, ergodic and that its Hausdorff dimension is equal to the Hausdorff dimension of the Julia set. Furthermore, we show that there is a unique invariant probability measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to this conformal measure, and we show that this measure is exponentially mixing (it has exponential decay of correlations) and that it satisfies the Central Limit Theorem. We also show that for a complex rational map f the existence of such an invariant measure characterizes the Topological Collet-Eckmann Condition, and that this measure is the unique equilibrium state with potential - HD(J(f)) ln |f'|.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603459
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0603459 (alternate)

4157. On inequalities for sums of bounded random variables

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Let $\eta_1,\eta_2,...$ be independent (but not necessarily identically distributed) zero-mean random variables (r.v.'s) such that $|\eta_i|\le1$ almost surely for all $i$, and let $Z$ stand for a standard normal r.v. Let $a_1,a_2,...$ be any real numbers such that $a_1^2+a_2^2+...=1.$ It is shown that then for all $x>0$ $$ \P(a_1\eta_1+a_2\eta_2+...\ge x) \le \P(Z\ge x-\la/x), $$ where $\la := \ln\frac{2e^3}9=1.495...$. The proof relies on (i) another probability inequality and (ii) a l'Hospital-type rule for monotonicity, both developed elsewhere. Extensions to (super)martingales are indicated.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603030
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603030 (alternate)

4158. Theorems Limit With Weight For The Vectorial Martingales To Continuous Time

Author(s): Faouzi Chaabane and Ahmed Kebaier

Abstract: We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this result we study the problem of estimate the variance of a process with stationary and idependent increments in statistics.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603492
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603492 (alternate)

4159. Explicit laws of large numbers for random nearest-neighbour type graphs

Author(s): Andrew R. Wade

Abstract: We give laws of large numbers (in the L^p sense) for the total length of the k-nearest neighbours (directed) graph and the j-th nearest neighbour (directed) graph in R^d, with power-weighted edges. We deduce a law of large numbers for the standard nearest neighbour (undirected) graph. We give the limiting constants, in the case of uniform random points in (0,1)^d, explicitly. Also, we give explicit laws of large numbers for the total power-weighted length of the Gabriel graph and two further graphs that are related to the standard nearest-neighbour graph: the on-line nearest-neighbour graph and the minimal directed spanning forest.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603559
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603559 (alternate)

4160. Limit theory for the random on-line nearest-neighbour graph

Author(s): Mathew D. Penrose and Andrew R. Wade

Abstract: In the on-line nearest-neighbour graph (ONG), each point after the first in a sequence of points in R^d is joined by an edge to its nearest-neighbour amongst those points that precede it in the sequence. We study the large-sample asymptotic behaviour of the total power-weighted length of the ONG on uniform random points in (0,1)^d. In particular, for d=1 and weight exponent \alpha>1/2, the limiting distribution of the centred total weight is characterized by a distributional fixed-point equation. As an ancillary result, we give exact expressions for the expectation and variance of the standard nearest-neighbour (directed) graph on uniform random points in the unit interval.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603561
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603561 (alternate)

4161. A generalization of the central limit theorem consistent with nonextensive statistical mechanics

Author(s): Sabir Umarov and Stanly Steinberg and Constantino Tsallis

Abstract: As well known, the standard central limit theorem plays a fundamental role in Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics. This important physical theory has been generalized by one of us (CT) in 1988 by using the entropy $S_q = \frac{1-\sum_i p_i^q}{q-1}$ (with $q \in \cal{R}$) instead of its particular case $S_1=S_{BG}= -\sum_i p_i \ln p_i$. The theory which emerges is usually referred to as {\it nonextensive statistical mechanics} and recovers the standard theory for $q=1$. During the last two decades, this $q$-generalized statistical mechanics has been successfully applied to a considerable amount of physically interesting complex phenomena. Conjectures and numerical indications available in the literature were since a few years suggesting the possibility of $q$-generalizations of the standard central limit theorem by allowing the random variables that are being summed to be correlated in some special manner, the case $q=1$ corresponding to standard probabilistic independence. This is precisely what we prove in the present paper for some range of $q$ which extends from below to above $q=1$. The attractor, in the usual sense of a central limit theorem, is given by a distribution of the form $p(x) \propto [1-(1-q) \beta x^2]^{1/(1-q)}$ with $\beta>0$. These distributions, sometimes referred to as $q$-Gaussians, are known to make, under appropriate constraints, extremal the functional $S_q$. Their $q=1$ and $q=2$ particular cases recover respectively Gaussian and Cauchy distributions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0603593
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0603593 (alternate)

4162. A Geometrical Structure for an Infinite Oriented Cluster and its Uniqueness

Author(s): Xian-Yuan Wu and Yu Zhang

Abstract: We consider the supercritical oriented percolation model. Let ${\fK}$ be all the percolation points. For each $u\in {\fK}$, we write $\gamma_u$ as its right-most path. Let $G=\cup_u \gamma_u$. In this paper, we show that $G$ is a single tree with only one topological end. We also present a relationship between ${\fK}$ and $G$ and construct a bijection between ${\fK}$ and $\Z$ using the preorder traversal algorithm. Through applications of this fundamental graph property, we show the uniqueness of an infinite oriented cluster by ignoring finite vertices.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603580
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603580 (alternate)

4163. Ultrametric random field

Author(s): A.Yu.Khrennikov and S.V.Kozyrev

Abstract: Gaussian random field on general ultrametric space is introduced as a solution of pseudodifferential stochastic equation. Covariation of the introduced random field is computed with the help of wavelet analysis on ultrametric spaces. Notion of ultrametric Markovianity, which describes independence of contributions to random field from different ultrametric balls is introduced. We show that the random field under investigation satisfies this property.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603584
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603584 (alternate)

4164. On Raw Coding of Chaotic Dynamics

Author(s): Michael Blank

Abstract: We study raw coding of trajectories of a chaotic dynamical system by sequences of elements from a finite alphabet and show that there is a fundamental constraint on differences between codes corresponding to different trajectories of the dynamical system.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603575
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0603575 (alternate)

4165. Conditioned stable L\'{e}vy processes and Lamperti representation

Author(s): Maria Emilia Caballero and Lo\"{i}c Chaumont (PMA)

Abstract: By killing a stable L\'{e}vy process when it leaves the positive half-line, or by conditioning it to stay positive, or by conditioning it to hit 0 continuously, we obtain three different positive self-similar Markov processes which illustrate the three classes described by Lamperti \cite{La}. For each of these processes, we compute explicitly the infinitesimal generator from which we deduce the characteristics of the underlying L\'{e}vy process in the Lamperti representation. The proof of this result bears on the behaviour at time 0 of stable L\'{e}vy processes before their first passage time across level 0 which we describe here. As an application, we give the law of the minimum before an independent exponential time of a certain class of L\'{e}vy processes. It provides the explicit form of the spacial Wiener-Hopf factor at a particular point and the value of the ruin probability for this class of L\'{e}vy processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603613
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603613 (alternate)

4166. Scattering length for stable processes

Author(s): B. Siudeja

Abstract: Let $\alpha\in(0,2)$ and $X_t$ be a symmetric $\alpha$-stable process. We define the scattering length $\Gamma(v)$ of the positive potential $v$ and prove several of its basic properties. We use the scattering length to findestimates for the first eigenvalue of the Schr\"odinger operator of the ``Neumann'' fractional Laplacian in a cube with potential $v$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603627
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603627 (alternate)

4167. On the number of circuits in random graphs

Author(s): Enzo Marinari and Guilhem Semerjian

Abstract: We apply in this article (non rigorous) statistical mechanics methods to the problem of counting long circuits in graphs. The outcomes of this approach have two complementary flavours. On the algorithmic side, we propose an approximate counting procedure, valid in principle for a large class of graphs. On a more theoretical side, we study the typical number of long circuits in random graph ensembles, reproducing rigorously known results and stating new conjectures.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0603657
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0603657 (alternate)

4168. Existence of Saddle Points in Discrete Markov Games and Its Application in Numerical Methods for Stochastic Differential Games

Author(s): Q. S. Song and G. Yin

Abstract: This work establishes sufficient conditions for existence of saddle points in discrete Markov games. The result reveals the relation between dynamic games and static games using dynamic programming equations. This result enables us to prove existence of saddle points of non-separable stochastic differential games of regime-switching diffusions under appropriate conditions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603600
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OC/0603600 (alternate)

4169. Bessel convolutions on matrix cones: Algebraic properties and random walks

Author(s): Michael Voit

Abstract: Bessel-type convolution algebras of bounded Borel measures on the matrix cones of positive semidefinite $q\times q$-matrices over $\mathbb R, \mathbb C, \mathbb H$ were introduced recently by R\"osler. These convolutions depend on some continuous parameter, generate commutative hypergroup structures and have Bessel functions of matrix argument as characters. Here, we first study the rich algebraic structure of these hypergroups. In particular, the subhypergroups and automorphisms are classified, and we show that each quotient by a subhypergroup carries a hypergroup structure of the same type. The algebraic properties are partially related to properties of random walks on matrix Bessel hypergroups. In particular, known properties of Wishart distributions, which form Gaussian convolution semigroups on these hypergroups, are put into a new light. Moreover, limit theorems for random walks on these hypergroups are presented. In particular, we obtain strong laws of large numbers and a central limit theorem with Wishart distributions as limits.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603017
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0603017 (alternate)

4170. Linear Stochastic Differential Equations Driven by a Fractional Brownian Motion with Hurst Parameter less than 1/2

Author(s): Jorge A. Leon and Jaime San Martin

Abstract: In this paper we use the chaos decomposition approach to establish the existence of a unique continuous solution to linear fractional differential equations of the Skorohod type. Here the coefficients are deterministic, the inital condition is anticipating and the underlying fractional Brownian motion has Hurst parameter less than 1/2. We provide an explicit expression for the chaos decomposition of the solution in order to show our results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603636
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603636 (alternate)

4171. Lifetime asymptotics of iterated Brownian motion in R^{n}

Author(s): Erkan Nane

Abstract: Let $\tau_{D}(Z) $ be the first exit time of iterated Brownian motion from a domain $D \subset \RR{R}^{n}$ started at $z\in D$ and let $P_{z}[\tau_{D}(Z) >t]$ be its distribution. In this paper we establish the exact asymptotics of $P_{z}[\tau_{D}(Z) >t]$ over bounded domains as an improvement of the results in \cite{deblassie, nane2}, for $z\in D$ \begin{eqnarray} \lim_{t\to\infty} t^{-1/2}\exp({3/2}\pi^{2/3}\lambda_{D}^{2/3}t^{1/3}) P_{z}[\tau_{D}(Z)>t]= C(z),\nonumber \end{eqnarray} where $C(z)=(\lambda_{D}2^{7/2})/\sqrt{3 \pi}(\psi(z)\int_{D}\psi(y)dy) ^{2}$. Here $\lambda_{D}$ is the first eigenvalue of the Dirichlet Laplacian ${1/2}\Delta$ in $D$, and $\psi $ is the eigenfunction corresponding to $\lambda_{D}$ . We also study lifetime asymptotics of Brownian-time Brownian motion (BTBM), $Z^{1}_{t}=z+X(|Y(t)|)$, where $X_{t}$ and $Y_{t}$ are independent one-dimensional Brownian motions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603637
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603637 (alternate)

4172. Edgeworth Expansion of the Largest Eigenvalue Distribution Function of GUE and LUE

Author(s): Leonard N. Choup

Abstract: We derive expansions of the Hermite and Laguerre kernels at the edge of the spectrum of the finite n Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUEn) and the finite n Laguerre Unitary Ensem- ble (LUEn), respectively. Using these large n kernel expansions, we prove an Edgeworth type theorem for the largest eigenvalue distribution function of GUEn and LUEn. In our Edgeworth expansion, the correction terms are expressed in terms of the same Painleve II function appearing in the leading term, i.e. in the Tracy-Widom distribution. We conclude with a brief discussion of the universality of these results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603639
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603639 (alternate)

4173. The Metastability Threshold for Modified Bootstrap Percolation in d Dimensions

Author(s): Alexander E. Holroyd

Abstract: In the modified bootstrap percolation model, sites in the cube {1,...,L}^d are initially declared active independently with probability p. At subsequent steps, an inactive site becomes active if it has at least one active nearest neighbour in each of the d dimensions, while an active site remains active forever. We study the probability that the entire cube is eventually active. For all d>=2 we prove that as L\to\infty and p\to 0 simultaneously, this probability converges to 1 if L=exp^{d-1} (lambda+epsilon)/p, and converges to 0 if L=exp^{d-1} (lambda-epsilon)/p, for any epsilon>0. Here exp^n denotes the n-th iterate of the exponential function, and the threshold lambda equals pi^2/6 for all d.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603645
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603645 (alternate)

4174. Log-concavity and the maximum entropy property of the Poisson distribution

Author(s): Oliver Johnson

Abstract: We prove that the Poisson distribution maximises entropy in the class of ultra-log-concave distributions, extending a result of Harremo\"{e}s. The proof uses ideas concerning log-concavity, and a semigroup action involving adding Poisson variables and thinning. We go on to show that the entropy is a concave function along this semigroup.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603647
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603647 (alternate)

4175. Quenched nonequilibrium central limit theorem for a tagged particle in the exclusion process with bond disorder

Author(s): M. D. Jara and C. Landim

Abstract: For a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $\{\xi_x : x\in \bb Z\}$ bounded above and below by strictly positive finite constants, consider the nearest-neighbor one-dimensional simple exclusion process in which a particle at $x$ (resp. $x+1$) jumps to $x+1$ (resp. $x$) at rate $\xi_x$. We examine a quenched nonequilibrium central limit theorem for the position of a tagged particle in the exclusion process with bond disorder $\{\xi_x : x\in \bb Z\}$. We prove that the position of the tagged particle converges under diffusive scaling to a Gaussian process if the other particles are initially distributed according to a Bernoulli product measure associated to a smooth profile $\rho_0:\bb R\to [0,1]$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603653
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603653 (alternate)

4176. On decomposing risk in a financial-intermediate market and reserving

Author(s): Saul Jacka and Abdel Berkaoui

Abstract: We consider the problem of decomposing monetary risk in the presence of a fully traded market in {\it some} risks. We show that a mark-to-market approach to pricing leads to such a decomposition if the risk measure is time-consistent in the sense of Delbaen.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603041
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603041 (alternate)

4177. Ergodic theory for SDEs with extrinsic memory

Author(s): M. Hairer and A. Ohashi

Abstract: We develop a theory of ergodicity for a class of random dynamical systems where the driving noise is not white. The two main tools of our analysis are the strong Feller property and topological irreducibility, introduced in this work for a class of non-Markovian systems. They allow us to obtain a criteria for ergodicity which is similar in nature to the Doob-Khas'minskii theorem. The second part of this article shows how it is possible to apply these results to the case of stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion. It follows that under a non-degeneracy condition on the noise, such equations admit a unique adapted stationary solution.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603658
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603658 (alternate)

4178. Correction. Connect The Dots: How Many Random Points Can A Regular Curve Pass Through?

Author(s): E. Arias-Castro and D. L. Donoho and X. Huo and C. A. Tovey

Abstract: Correction for Adv. in Appl. Probab. 37, no. 3 (2005), 571-603

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603673
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603673 (alternate)

4179. Large deviations for many Brownian bridges with symmetrised initial-terminal condition

Author(s): Stefan Adams and Wolfgang K\"onig

Abstract: Consider a large system of $N$ Brownian motions in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with some non-degenerate initial measure on some fixed time interval $[0,\beta]$ with symmetrised initial-terminal condition. That is, for any $i$, the terminal location of the $i$-th motion is affixed to the initial point of the $\sigma(i)$-th motion, where $\sigma$ is a uniformly distributed random permutation of $1,...,N$. Such systems play an important role in quantum physics in the description of Boson systems at positive temperature $1/\beta$. In this paper, we describe the large-N behaviour of the empirical path measure (the mean of the Dirac measures in the $N$ paths) and of the mean of the normalised occupation measures of the $N$ motions in terms of large deviations principles. The rate functions are given as variational formulas involving certain entropies and Fenchel-Legendre transforms. Consequences are drawn for asymptotic independence statements and laws of large numbers. In the special case related to quantum physics, our rate function for the occupation measures turns out to be equal to the well-known Donsker-Varadhan rate function for the occupation measures of one motion in the limit of diverging time. This enables us to prove a simple formula for the large-N asymptotic of the symmetrised trace of ${\rm e}^{-\beta \mathcal{H}_N}$, where $\mathcal{H}_N$ is an $N$-particle Hamilton operator in a trap.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603702
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603702 (alternate)

4180. Finitely additive beliefs and universal type spaces

Author(s): Martin Meier

Abstract: The probabilistic type spaces in the sense of Harsanyi [Management Sci. 14 (1967/68) 159--182, 320--334, 486--502] are the prevalent models used to describe interactive uncertainty. In this paper we examine the existence of a universal type space when beliefs are described by finitely additive probability measures. We find that in the category of all type spaces that satisfy certain measurability conditions ($\kappa$-measurability, for some fixed regular cardinal $\kappa$), there is a universal type space (i.e., a terminal object) to which every type space can be mapped in a unique beliefs-preserving way. However, by a probabilistic adaption of the elegant sober-drunk example of Heifetz and Samet [Games Econom. Behav. 22 (1998) 260--273] we show that if all subsets of the spaces are required to be measurable, then there is no universal type space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0602656
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0602656 (alternate)

4181. The time evolution of permutations under random stirring

Author(s): B\'alint Vet\H{o}

Abstract: We consider permutations of $\{1,...,n\}$ obtained by $\sqrt{nt}$ independent applications of random stirring. In each step the same marked stirring element is transposed with probability $1/n$ with any one of the $n$ elements. Normalizing by $\sqrt{n}$ we describe the asymptotic distribution of the cycle structure of these permutations, for all $t\ge0$, as $n\to\infty$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603044
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603044 (alternate)

4182. Stationarity of pure delay systems and queues with impatient customers via stochastic recursions

Author(s): Pascal Moyal

Abstract: In this paper we solve a particular stochastic recursion in the stationary ergodic framework, and propose some applications of this result to the study of regenerativity (that is, finiteness of busy cycles) and stationarity of some queueing systems: pure delay systems, in which all customers are immediately served, and queues with impatient customers. In this latter case under the FIFO discipline, we prove as well the existence of a stationary workload on an enlarged probability space.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603709
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603709 (alternate)

4183. On the asymptotic distribution of certain bivariate reinsurance treaties

Author(s): Enkelejd Hashorva

Abstract: Let (X_n,Y_n), n\ge 1 be bivariate random claim sizes with common distribution function F and let N(t), t \ge 0 be a stochastic process which counts the number of claims that occur in the time interval [0,t], t\ge 0. In this paper we derive the joint asymptotic distribution of randomly indexed order statistics of the random sample (X_1,Y_1),(X_2,Y_2),...,(X_{N(t)},Y_{N(t)}) which is then used to obtain asymptotic representations for the joint distribution of two generalised largest claims reinsurance treaties available under specific insurance settings. As a by-product we obtain a stochastic representation of a m-dimensional Lambda-extremal variate in terms of iid unit exponential random variables.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603719
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603719 (alternate)

4184. The zeros of Gaussian random holomorphic functions on $\C^n$, and hole probability

Author(s): Scott Zrebiec

Abstract: We consider a class of Gaussian random holomorphic functions, whose expected zero set is uniformly distributed over $\C^n $. This class is unique (up to multiplication by a non zero holomorphic function), and is closely related to a Gaussian field over a Hilbert space of holomorphic functions on the reduced Heisenberg group. For a fixed random function of this class, we show that the probability that there are no zeros in a ball of large radius, is less than $e^{-c_1 r^{2n+2}}$, and is also greater than $e^{-c_2 r^{2n+2}}$. Enroute to this result we also compute probability estimates for the event that a random function's unintegrated counting function deviates significantly from its mean.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603696
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CV/0603696 (alternate)

4185. Exchangeable partitions derived from Markovian coalescents

Author(s): Rui Dong and Alexander Gnedin and Jim Pitman

Abstract: Kingman derived the Ewens sampling formula for random partitions describing the genetic variation in a neutral mutation model defined by a Poisson process of mutations along lines of descent governed by a simple coalescent process, and observed that similar methods could be applied to more complex models. M{\"o}hle described the recursion which determines the generalization of the Ewens sampling formula in the situation when the lines of descent are governed by a $\Lambda$-coalescent, which allows multiple mergers. Here we show that the basic integral representation of transition rates for the $\Lambda$-coalescent is forced by sampling consistency under more general assumptions on the coalescent process. Exploiting an analogy with the theory of regenerative partition structures, we provide various characterizations of the associated partition structures in terms of discrete-time Markov chains.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603745
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603745 (alternate)

4186. Behavior of the Euler scheme with decreasing step in a degenerate situation

Author(s): Vincent Lemaire (LAMA)

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to study the behavior of the weighted empirical measures of the decreasing step Euler scheme of a one-dimensional diffusion process having multiple invariant measures. This situation can occur when the drift and the diffusion coefficient are vanish simultaneously. As a first step, we give a brief description of the Feller's classification of the one-dimensional process. We recall the concept of attractive and repulsive boundary point and introduce the concept of strongly repulsive point. That allows us to establish a classification of the ergodic behavior of the diffusion. We conclude this section by giving necessary and sufficient conditions on the nature of boundary points in terms of Lyapunov functions. In the second section we use this characterization to study the decreasing step Euler scheme. We give also an numerical example in higher dimension.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604021 (alternate)

4187. Invasion and adaptive evolution for individual-based spatially structured populations

Author(s): Nicolas Champagnat (WIAS) and Sylvie M\'{e}l\'{e}ard (MODAL'X and FESE)

Abstract: The interplay between space and evolution is an important issue in population dynamics, that is in particular crucial in the emergence of polymorphism and spatial patterns. Recently, biological studies suggest that invasion and evolution are closely related. Here we model the interplay between space and evolution starting with an individual-based approach and show the important role of parameter scalings on clustering and invasion. We consider a stochastic discrete model with birth, death, competition, mutation and spatial diffusion, where all the parameters may depend both on the position and on the trait of individuals. The spatial motion is driven by a reflected diffusion in a bounded domain. The interaction is modelled as a trait competition between individuals within a given spatial interaction range. First, we give an algorithmic construction of the process. Next, we obtain large population approximations, as weak solutions of nonlinear reaction-diffusion equations with Neumann's boundary conditions. As the spatial interaction range is fixed, the nonlinearity is nonlocal. Then, we make the interaction range decrease to zero and prove the convergence to spatially localized nonlinear reaction-diffusion equations, with Neumann's boundary conditions. Finally, simulations based on the microscopic individual-based model are given, illustrating the strong effects of the spatial interaction range on the emergence of spatial and phenotypic diversity (clustering and polymorphism) and on the interplay between invasion and evolution. The simulations focus on the qualitative differences between local and nonlocal interactions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604041
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604041 (alternate)

4188. Processes with inert drift

Author(s): David White

Abstract: We construct a stochastic process whose drift is a function of the process's local time at a reflecting barrier. The process arose as a model of the interactions of a Brownian particle and an inert particle in \citep{knight:01}. Interesting asymptotic results are obtained for two different arrangements of inert particles and Brownian particles. A version of the process in $\Re^d$ is also constructed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604052
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604052 (alternate)

4189. When the law of large numbers fails for increasing subsequences of random permutations

Author(s): Ross G. Pinsky

Abstract: Let the random variable $Z_{n,k}$ denote the number of increasing subsequences of length $k$ in a random permutation from $S_n$, the symmetric group of permutations of $\{1,...,n\}$. In a recent paper (http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0407353) we showed that the weak law of large numbers holds for $Z_{n,k_n}$ if $k_n=o(n^\frac25)$; that is, $$ \lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{Z_{n,k_n}} {EZ_{n,k_n}}=1, \text{in probability}. $$ The method of proof employed there used the second moment method and demonstrated that this method cannot work if the condition $k_n=o(n^\frac25)$ does not hold. It follows from results concerning the longest increasing subsequence of a random permutation that the law of large numbers cannot hold for $Z_{n,k_n}$ if $k_n\ge cn^\frac12$, with $c>2$. Presumably there is a critical exponent $l_0$ such that the law of large numbers holds if $k_n=O(n^l)$, with $l0$, for some $l>l_0$. Several phase transitions concerning increasing subsequences occur at $l=\frac12$, and these would suggest that $l_0=\frac12$. However, in this paper, we show that the law of large numbers fails for $Z_{n,k_n}$ if $\limsup_{n\to\infty}\frac{k_n}{n^\frac49}=\infty$. Thus the critical exponent, if it exists, must satisfy $l_0\in[\frac25,\frac49]$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604067
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604067 (alternate)

4190. A simple fluctuation lower bound for a disordered massless random continuous spin model in d=2

Author(s): C. Kuelske and E. Orlandi

Abstract: We prove a finite volume lower bound of the order of the squareroot of log N on the delocalization of a disordered continuous spin model (resp. effective interface model) in d = 2 in a box of size N . The interaction is assumed to be massless, possibly anharmonic and dominated from above by a Gaussian. Disorder is entering via a linear source term. For this model delocalization with the same rate is proved to take place already without disorder, so our proof shows that randomness will only enhance fluctuations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604068
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604068 (alternate)

4191. The maximum of the local time of a diffusion process in a drifted Brownian potential

Author(s): Alexis Devulder (PMA)

Abstract: We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process in a drifted Brownian potential. We are interested in the maximum of its local time, and study its almost sure asymptotic behaviour, which is proved to be different from the behaviour of the maximum local time of the transient random walk in random environment.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604078
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604078 (alternate)

4192. Cavity method in the spherical SK model

Author(s): Dmitry Panchenko

Abstract: We develop the cavity method for the spherical Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model at high temperature and small external field. As one application, we carry out the second moment computations for the overlap and the magnetization.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604081
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604081 (alternate)

4193. On the overlap in the multiple spherical SK models

Author(s): Dmitry Panchenko and Michel Talagrand

Abstract: In order to study certain questions concerning the distribution of the overlap in Sherrington-Kirkpatrick type models, such as the chaos and ultrametricity problems, it seems natural to study the free energy of multiple systems with constrained overlaps. One can write analogues of Guerra's replica symmetry breaking bound for such systems but it is not at all obvious how to choose informative functional order parameters in these bounds. We were able to make some progress for spherical pure $p$-spin SK models where many computations can be made explicitly. For pure 2-spin model we prove ultrametricity and chaos in an external field. For the pure $p$-spin model for even $p>4$ without an external field we describe two possible values of the overlap of two systems at different temperatures. We also prove a somewhat unexpected result which shows that in the 2-spin model the support of the joint overlap distribution is not always witnessed at the level of the free energy and,for example, ultrametricity holds only in a weak sense.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604082
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604082 (alternate)

4194. Derivatives of Entropy Rate in Special Families of Hidden Markov Chains

Author(s): Guangyue Han and Brian Marcus

Abstract: Consider a hidden Markov chain obtained as the observation process of an ordinary Markov chain corrupted by noise. Zuk, et. al. [13], [14] showed how, in principle, one can explicitly compute the derivatives of the entropy rate of at extreme values of the noise. Namely, they showed that the derivatives of standard upper approximations to the entropy rate actually stabilize at an explicit finite time. We generalize this result to a natural class of hidden Markov chains called ``Black Holes.'' We also discuss in depth special cases of binary Markov chains observed in binary symmetric noise, and give an abstract formula for the first derivative in terms of a measure on the simplex due to Blackwell.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0603059
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.IT/0603059 (alternate)

4195. The coding of compact real trees by real valued functions

Author(s): Thomas Duquesne

Abstract: This paper is a detailled study of the coding of real trees by real valued functions that is motivated by probabilistic problems related to continuum random trees. Indeed it is known since the works of Aldous (1993) and Le Gall (1991) that a continuous non-negative function $h$ on $[0,1]$ such that $h(0)=0$ can be seen as the contour process of a compact real tree. This particular coding of a compact real tree provides additional structures, namely a root that is the vertex corresponding to $0\in [0,1]$, a linear order inherited from the usual order on $[0,1]$ and a measure induced by the Lebesgue measure on $[0,1]$; of course, the root, the linear order and the measure obtained by such a coding have to satisfy some compatibility conditions. In this paper, we prove that any compact real tree equipped with a root, a linear order and a measure that are compatible can be encoded by a non-negative function $h$ defined on a finite interval $[0, M]$, that is assumed to be left-continuous with right-limit, without positive jump and such that $h(0+)=h(0)=0$. Moreover, this function is unique if we assume that the exploration of the tree induced by such a coding backtracks as less as possible. We also prove that a measure-change on the tree corresponds to a re-parametrization of the coding function. In addition, we describe several path-properties of the coding function in terms of the metric properties of the real tree.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604106
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604106 (alternate)

4196. On the future infimum of positive self-similar Markov processes

Author(s): J.C. Pardo

Abstract: We establish integral tests and laws of the iterated logarithm for the upper envelope of the future infimum of positive self-similar Markov processes and for increasing self-similar Markov processes at 0 and infinity. Our proofs are based on the Lamperti representation and time reversal arguments due to Chaumont and Pardo [9]. These results extend laws of the iterated logarithm for the future infimum of Bessel processes due to Khoshnevisan et al. [11].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604110
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604110 (alternate)

4197. Laws and Likelihoods for Ornstein Uhlenbeck-Gamma and other BNS OU Stochastic Volatilty models with extensions

Author(s): Lancelot F. James

Abstract: In recent years there have been many proposals as flexible alternatives to Gaussian based continuous time stochastic volatility models. A great deal of these models employ positive L\'evy processes. Among these are the attractive non-Gaussian positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes proposed by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BNS) in a series of papers. One current problem of these approaches is the unavailability of a tractable likelihood based statistical analysis for the returns of financial assets. This paper, while focusing on the BNS models, develops general theory for the implementation of statistical inference for a host of models. Specifically we show how to reduce the infinite-dimensional process based models to finite, albeit high, dimensional ones. Inference can then be based on Monte Carlo methods. As highlights, specific to BNS we show that an OU process driven by an infinite activity Gamma process, that is an OU-$\Gamma$, exhibits unique features which allows one to exactly sample from relevant joint distributions. We show that this is a consequence of the OU structure and the unique calculus of Gamma and Dirichlet processes. Owing to another connection between Gamma/Dirichlet processes and the theory of Generalized Gamma Convolutions (GGC) we identify a large class of models, we call (FGGC), where one can perfectly sample marginal distributions relevant to option pricing and Monte Carlo likelihood analysis. This involves a curious result, we establish as Theorem 6.1. We also discuss analytic techniques and candidate densities for Monte-Carlo procedures which can be applied to more general

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604086
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0604086 (alternate)

4198. Maximum principle for SPDEs and its applications

Author(s): N.V. Krylov

Abstract: The maximum principle for SPDEs is established in multidimensional $C^{1}$ domains. An application is given to proving the H\"older continuity up to the boundary of solutions of one-dimensional SPDEs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604125
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604125 (alternate)

4199. A Family of non-Gaussian Martingales with Gaussian Marginals

Author(s): kais Hamza and Fima C. Klebaner

Abstract: We construct a family of non-Gaussian martingales the marginals of which are all Gaussian. We give the predictable quadratic variation of these processes and show they do not have continuous paths. These processes are Markovian and inhomogeneous in time, and we give their infinitesimal generators. Within this family we find a class of piecewise deterministic pure jump processes and describe the laws of jumps and times between the jumps.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604127
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604127 (alternate)

4200. Stochastic equations with time-dependent drift driven by Levy processes

Author(s): V.P.Kurenok

Abstract: Using the method of Krylov's estimates, we prove the existence of weak solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by purely discontinuous Levy processes satisfying an additional assumption. The diffusion coefficient is assumed to be one and the time-dependent drift is measurable and bounded.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604136
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604136 (alternate)

4201. Conditioned Galton-Watson trees do not grow

Author(s): Svante Janson

Abstract: An example is given which shows that, in general, conditioned Galton-Watson trees cannot be obtained by adding vertices one by one, as has been shown in a special case by Luczak and Winkler.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604141
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604141 (alternate)

4202. Semi-Selfdecomposable Laws in the Minimum Scheme

Author(s): S Satheesh and E Sandhya

Abstract: We discuss semi-selfdecomposable laws in the minimum scheme and characterize them using an autoregressive model. Semi-Pareto and semi-Weibull laws of Pillai (1991) are shown to be semi-selfdecomposable in this scheme. Methods for deriving this class of laws are then attempted from the angle of randomization. Finally, discrete analogues of these results are also considered.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604146
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604146 (alternate)

4203. Uniform formulae for coefficients of meromorphic functions in two variables. Part I

Author(s): Manuel Lladser

Abstract: Uniform asymptotic formulae for arrays of complex numbers of the form $(f_{r,s})$, with $r$ and $s$ nonnegative integers, are provided as $r$ and $s$ converge to infinity at a comparable rate. Our analysis is restricted to the case in which the generating function $F(z,w):=\sum f_{r,s} z^r w^s$ is meromorphic in a neighborhood of the origin. We provide uniform asymptotic formulae for the coefficients $f_{r,s}$ along directions in the $(r,s)$-lattice determined by regular points of the singular variety of $F$. Our main result derives from the analysis of a one dimensional parameter-varying integral describing the asymptotic behavior of $f_{r,s}$. We specifically consider the case in which the phase term of this integral has a unique stationary point, however, allowing the possibility that one or more stationary points of the amplitude term coalesce with this. Our results find direct application in certain problems associated to the Lagrange inversion formula as well as bivariate generating functions of the form $v(z)/(1-w\cdot u(z))$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604152
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0604152 (alternate)

4204. Design Flaws in the Implementation of the Ziggurat and Monty Python methods (and some remarks on Matlab randn)

Author(s): Boaz Nadler

Abstract: {\em Ziggurat} and {\em Monty Python} are two fast and elegant methods proposed by Marsaglia and Tsang to transform uniform random variables to random variables with normal, exponential and other common probability distributions. While the proposed methods are theoretically correct, we show that there are various design flaws in the uniform pseudo random number generators (PRNG's) of their published implementations for both the normal and Gamma distributions \cite{Ziggurat,{Gamma},Monty}. These flaws lead to non-uniformity of the resulting pseudo-random numbers and consequently to noticeable deviations of their outputs from the required distributions. In addition, we show that the underlying uniform PRNG of the published implementation of Matlab's \texttt{randn}, which is also based on the Ziggurat method, is not uniformly distributed with correlations between consecutive pairs. Also, we show that the simple linear initialization of the registers in matlab's \texttt{randn} may lead to non-trivial correlations between output sequences initialized with different (related or even random unrelated) seeds. These, in turn, may lead to erroneous results for stochastic simulations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603058
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0603058 (alternate)

4205. Effective bandwidth problem revisited

Author(s): Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Abstract: The paper studies a single-server queueing system with autonomous service and $\ell$ priority classes. Arrival and departure processes are defined by marked point processes. There are $\ell$ buffers corresponding to priority classes, and upon arrival a unit of the $k$th priority class occupies the place in the $k$th buffer. Let $N^{(k)}$, $k=1,2,...,\ell$ denote the quota for the total $k$th buffer content. The values $N^{(k)}$ are assumed to be large, and queueing systems both with finite and infinite buffers are studied. In the case of system with finite buffers, the values $N^{(k)}$ characterize buffer capacities. The paper discusses a circle of problems related to optimization of performance measures associated with overflowing the quota of buffer contents. Our approach to this problem is new, and presentation of our results is simple and clear for real applications.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604182
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604182 (alternate)

4206. Limiting behavior of the distance of a random walk

Author(s): Nathanael Berestycki and Rick Durrett

Abstract: This investigation is motivated by a result we proved recently for the random transposition random walk: the distance from the starting point of the walk has a phase transition from a linear regime to a sublinear regime at time $n/2$. Here, we study three new examples. It is trivial that the distance for random walk on the hypercube is smooth and is given by one simple formula. In the case of random adjacent transpositions, we find that there is no phase transition even though the distance has different scalings in three different regimes. In the case of a random 3-regular graph, there is a phase transition from linear growth to a constant equal to the diameter of the graph, at time $3\log_2 n$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604188
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604188 (alternate)

4207. Heavy tails in last-passage percolation

Author(s): Ben Hambly and James B. Martin

Abstract: We consider last-passage percolation models in two dimensions, in which the underlying weight distribution has a heavy tail of index alpha<2. We prove scaling laws and asymptotic distributions, both for the passage times and for the shape of optimal paths; these are expressed in terms of a family (indexed by alpha) of "continuous last-passage percolation" models in the unit square. In the extreme case alpha=0 (corresponding to a distribution with slowly varying tail) the asymptotic distribution of the optimal path can be represented by a random self-similar measure on [0,1], whose multifractal spectrum we compute. By extending the continuous last-passage percolation model to R^2 we obtain a heavy-tailed analogue of the Airy process, representing the limit of appropriately scaled vectors of passage times to different points in the plane. We give corresponding results for a directed percolation problem based on alpha-stable Levy processes, and indicate extensions of the results to higher dimensions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604189
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604189 (alternate)

4208. Two non-regular extensions of large deviation bound

Author(s): Masahito Hayashi

Abstract: We formulate two types of extensions of the large deviation theory initiated by Bahadur in a non-regular setting. One can be regarded as a bound of the point estimation, the other can be regarded as the limit of a bound of the interval estimation. Both coincide in the regular case, but do not necessarily coincide in a non-regular case. Using the limits of relative R\'{e}nyi entropies, we derive their upper bounds and give a necessary and sufficient condition for the coincidence of the two upper bounds. We also discuss the attainability of these two bounds in several non-regular location shift families.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604197
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604197 (alternate)

4209. Attracting edge and strongly edge reinforced walks

Author(s): V. Limic and P. Tarres

Abstract: The goal is to show that an edge reinforced random walk on a graph of bounded degree, with reinforcement {\em weight function} $W$ taken from a general class of reciprocally summable reinforcement weight functions, traverses a random {\em attracting} edge at all large times. The statement of the main theorem is very close to settling the original conjecture of Sellke (1994). An important corollary of this main result says that if $W$ is reciprocally summable and nondecreasing, the attracting edge exists on any graph of bounded degree, with probability 1. Another corollary is the main theorem of Limic (2003) where the class of weights was restricted to reciprocally summable powers. The proof uses martingale and other techniques developed by the authors in separate studies of edge and vertex reinforced walks (Limic (2003), Tarr\`es (2004)), and of nonconvergence properties of stochastic algorithms towards unstable equilibrium points of the associated deterministic dynamics, Tarr\`es (2000).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604200
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604200 (alternate)

4210. The moment problem and the Wiener space

Author(s): Frederik S Herzberg

Abstract: Consider an $L^1$-continuous functional $\ell$ on the vector space of polynomials of Brownian motion at given times, suppose $\ell $ commutes with the quadratic variation in a natural sense, and consider a finite set of polynomials of Brownian motion at rational times, $p_1(\vec b),...,p_m,(\vec b)$, mapping the Wiener space to $\mathbb{R}$. Similarly to the moment problem for a finite-dimensional space of polynomials, we give sufficient conditions under which $\ell$ can be written in the form $\int \cdot d\mu$ for some finite measure $\mu$ on the Wiener space such that $\mu$-almost surely, all the random variables $p_1(\vec b),...,p_m,(\vec b)$ are nonnegative.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604211
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604211 (alternate)

4211. Processor Sharing Queues with Impatience

Author(s): Christian H. Gromoll (STANFORD-MATHS) and Philippe Robert (INRIA Rocquencourt), Bert Zwart (TUE)

Abstract: We investigate a processor sharing queue with renewal arrivals and generally distributed service times. Impatient jobs may abandon the queue, or renege, before completing service. The corresponding stochastic processes are represented by measure valued Markov processes on R^2\_+. A scaling procedure that gives rise to a fluid model with a nontrivial, yet tractable steady state behavior, is presented. This fluid model model captures many essential features of the underlying stochastic model, and it is used to analyze the impact of impatience in processor sharing queues.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604215
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604215 (alternate)

4212. Heuristics for The Whitehead Minimization Problem

Author(s): R.M. Haralick and A.D. Miasnikov and A.G. Myasnikov

Abstract: In this paper we discuss several heuristic strategies which allow one to solve the Whitehead's minimization problem much faster (on most inputs) than the classical Whitehead algorithm. The mere fact that these strategies work in practice leads to several interesting mathematical conjectures. In particular, we conjecture that the length of most non-minimal elements in a free group can be reduced by a Nielsen automorphism which can be identified by inspecting the structure of the corresponding Whitehead Graph.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604204
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.GR/0604204 (alternate)

4213. Rigorous Inequalities between Length and Time Scales in Glassy Systems

Author(s): Andrea Montanari and Guilhem Semerjian

Abstract: Glassy systems are characterized by an extremely sluggish dynamics without any simple sign of long range order. It is a debated question whether a correct description of such phenomenon requires the emergence of a large correlation length. We prove rigorous bounds between length and time scales implying the growth of a properly defined length when the relaxation time increases. Our results are valid in a rather general setting, which covers finite-dimensional and mean field systems. As an illustration, we discuss the Glauber (heat bath) dynamics of p-spin glass models on random regular graphs. We present the first proof that a model of this type undergoes a purely dynamical phase transition not accompanied by any thermodynamic singularity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0603018
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0603018 (alternate)

4214. A Hybrid Search Algorithm for the Whitehead Minimization Problem

Author(s): A.D. Myasnikov and R.M Haralick

Abstract: The Whitehead Minimization problem is a problem of finding elements of the minimal length in the automorphic orbit of a given element of a free group. The classical algorithm of Whitehead that solves the problem depends exponentially on the group rank. Moreover, it can be easily shown that exponential blowout occurs when a word of minimal length has been reached and, therefore, is inevitable except for some trivial cases. In this paper we introduce a deterministic Hybrid search algorithm and its stochastic variation for solving the Whitehead minimization problem. Both algorithms use search heuristics that allow one to find a length-reducing automorphism in polynomial time on most inputs and significantly improve the reduction procedure. The stochastic version of the algorithm employs a probabilistic system that decides in polynomial time whether or not a word is minimal. The stochastic algorithm is very robust. It has never happened that a non-minimal element has been claimed to be minimal.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604206
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.GR/0604206 (alternate)

4215. Analyse non standard du bruit

Author(s): Michel Fliess (LIX and INRIA Futurs)

Abstract: Thanks to the nonstandard formalization of fast oscillating functions, due to P. Cartier and Y. Perrin, an appropriate mathematical framework is derived for new non-asymptotic estimation techniques, which do not necessitate any statistical analysis of the noises corrupting any sensor. Various applications are deduced for multiplicative noises, for the length of the parametric estimation windows, and for burst errors.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0603003
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.CE/0603003 (alternate)

4216. Recurrence of Random Walk Traces

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Ori Gurel-Gurevich and Russell Lyons

Abstract: We show that the edges crossed by a random walk in a network form a recurrent graph a.s. In fact, the same is true when those edges are weighted by the number of crossings.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603060
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603060 (alternate)

4217. Operator Scaling Stable Random Fields

Author(s): Hermine Bierm\'{e} (MAP5) and Mark M. Meerschaert and Hans-Peter Scheffler

Abstract: A scalar valued random field is called operator-scaling if it satisfies a self-similarity property for some matrix E with positive real parts of the eigenvalues. We present a moving average and a harmonizable representation of stable operator scaling random fields by utilizing so called E-homogeneous functions. These fields also have stationary increments and are stochastically continuous. In the Gaussian case critical H\"{o}lder-exponents and the Hausdorff-dimension of the sample paths are also obtained.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0602664
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0602664 (alternate)

4218. Processes on Unimodular Random Networks

Author(s): David Aldous and Russell Lyons

Abstract: We investigate unimodular random networks. Our motivations include their characterization via reversibility of an associated random walk and their similarities to unimodular quasi-transitive graphs. We extend various theorems concerning random walks, percolation, spanning forests, and amenability from the known context of unimodular quasi-transitive graphs to the more general context of unimodular random networks. We give properties of a trace associated to unimodular random networks with applications to stochastic comparison of continuous-time random walk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0603062
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0603062 (alternate)

4219. Multicritical continuous random trees

Author(s): J. Bouttier and P. Di Francesco and E. Guitter

Abstract: We introduce generalizations of Aldous' Brownian Continuous Random Tree as scaling limits for multicritical models of discrete trees. These discrete models involve trees with fine-tuned vertex-dependent weights ensuring a k-th root singularity in their generating function. The scaling limit involves continuous trees with branching points of order up to k+1. We derive explicit integral representations for the average profile of this k-th order multicritical continuous random tree, as well as for its history distributions measuring multi-point correlations. The latter distributions involve non-positive universal weights at the branching points together with fractional derivative couplings. We prove universality by rederiving the same results within a purely continuous axiomatic approach based on the resolution of a set of consistency relations for the multi-point correlations. The average profile is shown to obey a fractional differential equation whose solution involves hypergeometric functions and matches the integral formula of the discrete approach.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0603007
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0603007 (alternate)

4220. Random Energy Model with Compact Distributions

Author(s): Nabin Kumar Jana

Abstract: In this paper we study the Random energy model - so called toy model of the spin glass theory - where the underlying distributions are compactly supported. We prove a general theorem on the asymptotics of free energy and obtain formulae in several interesting cases - like uniform distribution, truncated double exponential.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0602666
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0602666 (alternate)

4221. Threshold $theta geq 2$ contact processes on homogeneous trees

Author(s): Luiz Renato Fontes and Roberto H. Schonmann

Abstract: We study the threshold $theta geq 2$ contact process on a homogeneous tree $T_b$ of degree $kappa = b + 1$, with infection parameter $lambda geq 0$ and started from a product measure with density $p$. The corresponding mean-field model displays a discontinuous transition at a critical point $lambda_c^{MF}(kappa,theta)$ and for $lambda geq lambda_c^{MF}(kappa,theta)$ it survives iff $p geq p_c^{MF}(kappa,theta,lambda)$, where this critical density satisfies $0 < p_c^{MF}(kappa,theta,lambda) < 1$, $lim_{lambda to infty} p_c^{MF}(kappa,theta,lambda) = 0$. For large $b$, we show that the process on $T_b$ has a qualitatively similar behavior when $lambda$ is small, including the behavi