Probability Abstracts 93

This document contains abstracts 4255-4513 from May-1-2006 to Jul-31-2006.
They have been mailed on Aug 1st, 2006.

4255. Estimation in spin glasses: A first step

Author(s): Sourav Chatterjee

Abstract: The Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses, the Hopfield model of neural networks, and the Ising spin glass are all models of binary data belonging to the one-parameter exponential family with quadratic sufficient statistic. Under bare minimal conditions, we establish the consistency of the maximum pseudolikelihood estimate of the natural parameter in this family, even at critical temperatures. Since very little is known about the low and critical temperature regimes of these extremely difficult models, the proof requires several new ideas. The author's version of Stein's method is a particularly useful tool. One goal of this paper is to introduce these techniques into the realm of mathematical statistics through an example.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604634
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604634 (alternate)

4256. A Delayed Black and Scholes Formula I

Author(s): Mercedes Arriojas and Yaozhong Hu and Salah-Eldin Mohammed and Gyula Pap

Abstract: In this article we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic differential delay equation (sdde). We believe that the proposed model is sufficiently flexible to fit real market data, and is yet simple enough to allow for a closed-form representation of the option price. Furthermore, the model maintains the no-arbitrage property and the completeness of the market. The derivation of the option-pricing formula is based on an equivalent martingale measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604640
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604640 (alternate)

4257. A Delayed Black and Scholes Formula II

Author(s): Mercedes Arriojas and Yaozhong Hu and Salah-Eldin Mohammed and Gyula Pap

Abstract: This article is a sequel to [A.H.M.P]. In [A.H.M.P], we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic delay equation with fixed delays in the drift and diffusion terms. In this article, we look at models of the stock price described by stochastic functional differential equations with variable delays. We present a class of examples of stock dynamics with variable delays that permit an explicit form for the option pricing formula. As in [A.H.M.P], the market is complete with no arbitrage. This is achieved through the existence of an equivalent martingale measure. In subsequent work, the authors intend to test the models in [A.H.M.P] and the present article against real market data.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0604641
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0604641 (alternate)

4258. The Heckman-Opdam Markov processes

Author(s): Bruno Schapira (MAPMO and PMA)

Abstract: We introduce and study the natural counterpart of the Dunkl Markov processes in a negatively curved setting. We give a semimartingale decomposition of the radial part, and some properties of the jumps. We prove also a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem, and the convergence of the normalized process to the Dunkl process. Eventually we describe the asymptotic behavior of the infinite loop as it was done by Anker, Bougerol and Jeulin in the symmetric spaces setting in \cite{ABJ}.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605020
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605020 (alternate)

4259. Two-Dimensional Critical Percolation: The Full Scaling Limit

Author(s): Federico Camia and Charles M. Newman

Abstract: We use SLE(6) paths to construct a process of continuum nonsimple loops in the plane and prove that this process coincides with the full continuum scaling limit of 2D critical site percolation on the triangular lattice -- that is, the scaling limit of the set of all interfaces between different clusters. Some properties of the loop process, including conformal invariance, are also proved.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605035
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605035 (alternate)

4260. Generalization of the Borel-Cantelli Lemma

Author(s): Alexei Stepanov

Abstract: In the present note a generalization of Borel-Cantelli Lemma is proposed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605007
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0605007 (alternate)

4261. Tug-of-war and the infinity Laplacian

Author(s): Yuval Peres and Oded Schramm and Scott Sheffield and David Wilson

Abstract: We prove that every bounded Lipschitz function F on a subset Y of a length space X admits a tautest extension to X, i.e., a unique Lipschitz extension u for which Lip_U u = Lip_{boundary of U} u for all open subsets U of X that do not intersect Y. This was previously known only for bounded domains R^n, in which case u is infinity harmonic, that is, a viscosity solution to Delta_infty u = 0. We also prove the first general uniqueness results for Delta_infty u = g on bounded subsets of R^n (when g is uniformly continuous and bounded away from zero), and analogous results for bounded length spaces. The proofs rely on a new game-theoretic description of u. Let u^epsilon(x) be the value of the following two-player zero-sum game, called tug-of-war: fix x_0=x \in X minus Y. At the kth turn, the players toss a coin and the winner chooses an x_k with d(x_k, x_{k-1})< \epsilon. The game ends when x_k is in Y, and player one's payoff is F(x_k) - (epsilon^2/2) sum_{i=0}^{k-1} g(x_i) We show that the u^\epsilon converge uniformly to u as epsilon tends to zero. Even for bounded domains in R^n, the game theoretic description of infinity-harmonic functions yields new intuition and estimates; for instance, we prove power law bounds for infinity-harmonic functions in the unit disk with boundary values supported in a delta-neighborhood of a Cantor set on the unit circle.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605002
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.AP/0605002 (alternate)

4262. Operators associated with the soft and hard spectral edges of unitary ensembles

Author(s): Gordon Blower

Abstract: Using Hankel operators and shift-invariant subspaces on Hilbert space, this paper develops the theory of the operators associated with soft and hard edges of eigenvalue distributions of random matrices. Tracy and Widom introduced a projection operator $W$ to describe the soft edge of the spectrum of the Gaussian unitary ensemble. The subspace $WL^2$ is simply invariant under the translation semigroup $e^{itD}$ $(t\geq 0)$ and invariant under the Schr\"odinger semigroup $e^{it(D^2+x)}$ $(t\geq 0)$; these properties characterize $WL^2$ via Beurling's theorem. The Jacobi ensemble of random matrices has positive eigenvalues which tend to accumulate near to the hard edge at zero. This paper identifies a pair of unitary groups that satisfy the von Neumann--Weyl anti-commutation relations and leave invariant certain subspaces of $L^2(0,\infty)$ which are invariant for operators with Jacobi kernels. Such Tracy--Widom operators are reproducing kernels for weighted Hardy spaces, known as Sonine spaces. Periodic solutions of Hill's equation give a new family of Tracy--Widom type operators.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605010
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.FA/0605010 (alternate)

4263. A Central Limit Theorem for Convex Sets

Author(s): B. Klartag

Abstract: We show that there exists a sequence $\eps_n \searrow 0$ for which the following holds: Let $K \subset \RR^n$ be a compact, convex set with a non-empty interior. Let $X$ be a random vector that is distributed uniformly in $K$. Then there exists a unit vector $\theta$ in $\RR^n$, $t_0 \in \RR$ and $\sigma > 0$ such that \begin{equation} \sup_{A \subset \RR} | Prob \{< X, \theta > \in A \} - \frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi \sigma}} \int_A e^{-\frac{(t - t_0)^2}{2 \sigma^2}} dt | \leq \eps_n, \end{equation} where the supremum runs over all measurable sets $A \subset \RR$, and where $<\cdot, \cdot >$ denotes the usual scalar product in $\RR^n$. Moreover, under the additional assumptions that the expectation of $X$ is zero and that the covariance matrix of $X$ is the identity matrix, we argue that most unit vectors $\theta$ satisfy ($\dagger$), with $t_0 = 0$ and $\sigma = 1$. Thus, typical one-dimensional marginal distributions of high-dimensional, isotropic, convex sets are approximately gaussian. This proves a basic conjecture in asymptotic convex geometry, that was put forward by Anttila, Ball and Perissinaki and by Brehm and Voigt. We also discuss normal approximation for multi-dimensional marginal distributions of uniform measures on convex sets.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605014
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0605014 (alternate)

4264. Pricing with coherent risk

Author(s): Alexander S. Cherny

Abstract: This paper deals with applications of coherent risk measures to pricing in incomplete markets. Namely, we study the No Good Deals pricing technique based on coherent risk. Two forms of this technique are presented: one defines a good deal as a trade with negative risk; the other one defines a good deal as a trade with unusually high RAROC. For each technique, the fundamental theorem of asset pricing and the form of the fair price interval are presented. The model considered includes static as well as dynamic models, models with an infinite number of assets, models with transaction costs, and models with portfolio constraints. In particular, we prove that in a model with proportional transaction costs the fair price interval converges to the fair price interval in a frictionless model as the coefficient of transaction costs tends to zero. Moreover, we study some problems in the ``pure'' theory of risk measures: we present a simple geometric solution of the capital allocation problem and apply it to define the coherent risk contribution. The mathematical tools employed are probability theory, functional analysis, and finite-dimensional convex analysis.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605049
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605049 (alternate)

4265. On the range of the simple random walk bridge on groups

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Roey Izkovsky and Harry Kesten

Abstract: Let G be a vertex transitive graph. A study of the range of simple random walk on G and of its bridge is proposed. While it is expected that on a graph of polynomial growth the sizes of the range of the unrestricted random walk and of its bridge are the same in first order, this is not the case on some larger graphs such as regular trees. Of particular interest is the case when G is the Cayley graph of a group. In this case we even study the range of a general symmetric (not necessarily simple) random walk on G. We hope that the few examples for which we calculate the first order behavior of the range here will help to discover some relation between the group structure and the behavior of the range. Further problems regarding bridges are presented.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605050
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605050 (alternate)

4266. Equilibrium with coherent risk

Author(s): Alexander S. Cherny

Abstract: This paper is the continuation of "Pricing with coherent risk" and deals with further applications of coherent risk measures to problems of finance. First, we study the optimization problem. Three forms of this problem are considered. Furthermore, the results obtained are applied to the optimality pricing. Again three forms of this technique are considered. Finally, we study the equilibrium problem both in the unconstrained and in the constrained forms. We establish the equivalence between the global and the competitive optima and give a dual description of the equilibrium. Moreover, we provide an explicit geometric solution of the constrained equilibrium problem. Most of the results are presented on two levels: on a general level the results have a probabilistic form; for a static model with a finite number of assets, the results have a geometric form.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605051
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605051 (alternate)

4267. Large deviations and a Kramers' type law for self-stabilizing diffusions

Author(s): Samuel Herrmann and Peter Imkeller and Dierk Peithmann

Abstract: We investigate exit times from domains of attraction for the motion of a self-stabilized particle travelling in a geometric (potential type) landscape and perturbed by Brownian noise of small amplitude. Self-stabilization is mediated by an ensemble-average attraction adding on to the individual potential drift, where the particle is supposed to be suspended in a large population of identical ones. A Kramers' type law for the particle's exit from the potential's domains of attraction and a large deviations principle for the self-stabilizing diffusion are proved. It turns out that the exit law for the self-stabilizing diffusion coincides with the exit law of a potential diffusion without self-stabilization with a drift component perturbed by average attraction. We show that self-stabilization may substantially delay the exit from domains of attraction, and that the exit location may be completely different.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605053
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605053 (alternate)

4268. Optimal stopping of Hunt and L\'evy processes

Author(s): Ernesto Mordecki and Paavo Salminen

Abstract: The optimal stopping problem for a Hunt processes on $\R$ is considered via the representation theory of excessive functions. In particular, we focus on infinite horizon (or perpetual) problems with one-sided structure, that is, there exists a point $x^*$ such that the stopping region is of the form $[x^*,+\infty)$. Corresponding results for two-sided problems are also indicated. The main result is a spectral representation of the value function in terms of the Green kernel of the process. Specializing in L\'evy processes, we obtain, by applying the Wiener-Hopf factorization, a general representation of the value function in terms of the maximum of the L\'evy process. To illustrate the results, an explicit expression for the Green kernel of Brownian motion with exponential jumps is computed and some optimal stopping problems for Poisson process with positive exponential jumps and negative drift are solved.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605054
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605054 (alternate)

4269. Sur le nombre de points visit\'{e}s par une marche al\'{e}atoire sur un amas infini de percolation

Author(s): Clement Rau (LATP)

Abstract: In this article, we consider random walk on the infinite cluster of bond percolation on $\Z^d (d \geq 2)$. We show that the Laplace transformation of the number of visited points $N\_n$, has a behaviour as the random walk was on $\Z^d$. More precisely, for all $0<\alpha<1$, we proved that there exist constants $C\_i$ and $C\_s$ such that for all infinite cluster that contains the origin, we have: $$ e^{-C\_i n^{\frac{d}{d+2}}} \leq \E\_0^{\omega} (\alpha^{N\_n}) \leq e^{-C\_sn^{\frac{d}{d+2}}}.$$ Our approach is based on finding an isoperimetric inequalities on the infinite cluster, lifted on a wreath product which give good behaviour. The problem of the isoperimetry on wreath product was already raised by A.Ershler.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605056
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605056 (alternate)

4270. Coherent measurement of factor risks

Author(s): Alexander S. Cherny and Dilip B. Madan

Abstract: We propose a new procedure for the risk measurement of large portfolios. It employs the following objects as the building blocks: - coherent risk measures introduced by Artzner, Delbaen, Eber, and Heath; - factor risk measures introduced in this paper, which assess the risks driven by particular factors like the price of oil, S&P500 index, or the credit spread; - risk contributions and factor risk contributions, which provide a coherent alternative to the sensitivity coefficients. We also propose two particular classes of coherent risk measures called Alpha V@R and Beta V@R, for which all the objects described above admit an extremely simple empirical estimation procedure. This procedure uses no model assumptions on the structure of the price evolution. Moreover, we consider the problem of the risk management on a firm's level. It is shown that if the risk limits are imposed on the risk contributions of the desks to the overall risk of the firm (rather than on their outstanding risks) and the desks are allowed to trade these limits within a firm, then the desks automatically find the globally optimal portfolio.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605062
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605062 (alternate)

4271. Pricing and hedging in incomplete markets with coherent risk

Author(s): Alexander S. Cherny and Dilip B. Madan

Abstract: We propose a pricing technique based on coherent risk measures, which enables one to get finer price intervals than in the No Good Deals pricing. The main idea consists in splitting a liability into several parts and selling these parts to different agents. The technique is closely connected with the convolution of coherent risk measures and equilibrium considerations. Furthermore, we propose a way to apply the above technique to the coherent estimation of the Greeks.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605064
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605064 (alternate)

4272. CAPM, rewards, and empirical asset pricing with coherent risk

Author(s): Alexander S. Cherny and Dilip B. Madan

Abstract: The paper has 2 main goals: 1. We propose a variant of the CAPM based on coherent risk. 2. In addition to the real-world measure and the risk-neutral measure, we propose the third one: the extreme measure. The introduction of this measure provides a powerful tool for investigating the relation between the first two measures. In particular, this gives us - a new way of measuring reward; - a new approach to the empirical asset pricing.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605065
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605065 (alternate)

4273. Ito maps and analysis on path spaces

Author(s): K. D. Elworthy and Xue-Mei Li

Abstract: We consider versions of Malliavin calculus on path spaces of compact manifolds with diffusion measures, defining Gross-Sobolev spaces of differentiable functions and proving their intertwining with solution maps, I, of certain stochastic differential equations. This is shown to shed light on fundamental uniqueness questions for this calculus including uniqueness of the closed derivative operator $d$ and Markov uniqueness of the associated Dirichlet form. A continuity result for the divergence operator by Kree and Kree is extended to this situation. The regularity of conditional expectations of smooth functionals of classical Wiener space, given I, is considered and shown to have strong implications for these questions. A major role is played by the (possibly sub-Riemannian) connections induced by stochastic differential equations: Damped Markovian connections are used for the covariant derivatives.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605089
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605089 (alternate)

4274. Compressing redundant information in Markov chains

Author(s): Giacomo Aletti

Abstract: Given a strongly stationary Markov chain and a finite set of stopping rules, we prove the existence of a polynomial algorithm which projects the Markov chain onto a minimal Markov chain without redundant information. Markov complexity is hence defined and tested on some classical problems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605099
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605099 (alternate)

4275. Expected Number of Local Maxima of Some Gaussian Random Polynomials

Author(s): S. Shemehsavar and S. Rezakhah

Abstract: Let $Q_n(x)=\sum_{i=0}^{n} A_{i}x^{i}$ be a random algebraic polynomial where the coefficients $A_0,A_1,... $ form a sequence of centered Gaussian random variables. Moreover, assume that the increments $\Delta_j=A_j-A_{j-1}$, $j=0,1,2,...$ are independent, $A_{-1}=0$. The coefficients can be considered as $n$ consecutive observations of a Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the expected number of local maxima of $Q_n(x)$ below level $u=O(n^k)$, for some $k>0$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605116
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605116 (alternate)

4276. Anchored Critical Percolation Clusters and 2-D Electrostatics

Author(s): P. Kleban and J. J. H. Simmons and and R. M. Ziff

Abstract: We consider the densities of clusters, at the percolation point of a two-dimensional system, which are anchored in various ways to an edge. These quantities are calculated by use of conformal field theory and computer simulations. We find that they are given by simple functions of the potentials of 2-D electrostatic dipoles, and that a kind of superposition {\it cum} factorization applies. Our results broaden this connection, already known from previous studies, and we present evidence that it is more generally valid. An exact result similar to the Kirkwood superposition approximation emerges.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0605120
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0605120 (alternate)

4277. The configurational measure on mutually avoiding SLE paths

Author(s): Michael J. Kozdron (University of Regina) and Gregory F. Lawler (Cornell University)

Abstract: We define multiple chordal SLEs in a simply connected domain by considering a natural configurational measure on paths. We show how to construct these measures so that they are conformally covariant and satisfy certain boundary perturbation and Markov properties, as well as a cascade relation. As an example of our construction, we derive the scaling limit of Fomin's identity in the case of two paths directly; that is, we prove that the probability that an SLE(2) and a Brownian excursion do not intersect can be given in terms of the determinant of the excursion hitting matrix. Finally, we define the lambda-SAW, a one-parameter family of measures on self-avoiding walks on Z^2.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605159
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605159 (alternate)

4278. Loop-free Markov chains as determinantal point processes

Author(s): Alexei Borodin

Abstract: We show that any loop-free Markov chain on a discrete space can be viewed as a determinantal point process. As an application we prove central limit theorems for the number of particles in a window for renewal processes and Markov renewal processes with Bernoulli noise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605168
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605168 (alternate)

4279. Behavior of a second class particle in Hammersley's process

Author(s): Eric Cator and Sergei Dobrynin

Abstract: In the case of a rarefaction fan in a non-stationary Hammersley process, we explicitly calculate the asymptotic behavior of the process as we move out along a ray, and the asymptotic distribution of the angle within the rarefaction fan of a second class particle and a dual second class particle. Furthermore, we consider a stationary Hammersley process and use the previous results to show that trajectories of a second class particle and a dual second class particles touch with probability one, and we give some information on the area enclosed by the two trajectories, up until the first intersection point. This is linked to the area of influence of an added Poisson point in the plane.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605199
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605199 (alternate)

4280. Random Matrix Central Limit Theorems for Non-Intersecting Random Walks

Author(s): Jinho Baik and Toufic Suidan

Abstract: We consider non-intersecting random walks satisfying the condition that the increments have a finite moment generating function. We prove that in a certain limiting regime where the number of walks and the number of time steps grow to infinity, several limiting distributions of the walks at the mid-time behave as the eigenvalues of random Hermitian matrices as the dimension of the matrices grows to infinity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605212
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605212 (alternate)

4281. On the behavior of random walk around heavy points

Author(s): Endre Cs\'aki and Ant\'onia F\"oldes and P\'al R\'ev\'esz

Abstract: Consider a symmetric aperiodic random walk in $Z^d$, $d\geq 3$. There are points (called heavy points) where the number of visits by the random walk is close to its maximum. We investigate the local times around these heavy points and show that they converge to a deterministic limit as the number of steps tends to infinity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605221
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605221 (alternate)

4282. $t^{1/3}$ Superdiffusivity of Finite-Range Asymmetric Exclusion Processes on $\mathbb Z$

Author(s): Jeremy Quastel and Benedek Valko

Abstract: We consider finite-range asymmetric exclusion processes on $\mathbb Z$ with non-zero drift. The diffusivity $D(t)$ is expected to be of $O(t^{1/3})$. We prove that $D(t)\ge Ct^{1/3}$ in the weak (Tauberian) sense that $\int_0^\infty e^{-\lambda t}tD(t)dt \ge C\lambda^{-7/3}$ as $\lambda\to 0$. The proof employs the resolvent method to make a direct comparison with the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process, for which the result is a consequence of the scaling limit for the two-point function recently obtained by Ferrari and Spohn. When $p(z)\ge p(-z)$ for each $z>0$, we show further that $tD(t)$ is monotone, and hence we can conclude that $D(t)\ge Ct^{1/3}(\log t)^{-7/3}$ in the usual sense.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605266
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605266 (alternate)

4283. The Multiparameter Fractional Brownian Motion

Author(s): Erick Herbin and Ely Merzbach

Abstract: We define and study the multiparameter fractional Brownian motion. This process is a generalization of both the classical fractional Brownian motion and the multiparameter Brownian motion, when the condition of independence is relaxed. Relations with the L\'evy fractional Brownian motion and with the fractional Brownian sheet are discussed. Different notions of stationarity of the increments for a multiparameter process are studied and applied to the fractional property. Using self-similarity we present a characterization for such processes. Finally, behavior of the multiparameter fractional Brownian motion along increasing paths is analysed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605279
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605279 (alternate)

4284. Multiserver queueing systems with retrials and abandonments and their application to call centers

Author(s): Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Abstract: The paper studies multiserver retrial queueing systems with $m$ servers. Arrival process is a quite general point process. An arriving customer occupies one of free servers. If upon arrival all servers are busy, then the customer waits for his service in orbit, and after random time retries more and more to occupy a server. The orbit has one waiting space only, and arriving customer, who finds all servers busy and the waiting space occupied, abandons the system. Time intervals between possible retrials are assumed to have arbitrary distribution (the retrial scheme is exactly explained in the paper). The paper provides analysis of this system. Specifically the paper studies optimal number of servers to decrease the loss proportion to a given value. The representation obtained for loss proportion enables us to solve the problem numerically. The algorithm for numerical solution includes effective simulation, which meets the challenge of rare events problem in simulation. Application of the results to call centers is discussed as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605285
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605285 (alternate)

4285. A limit theorem for the maximal interpoint distance of a random sample in the unit ball

Author(s): Michael Mayer and Ilya Molchanov

Abstract: We prove a limit theorem for the the maximal interpoint distance (also called the diameter) for a sample of n i.i.d. points in the unit ball of dimension 2 or more. The exact form of the limit distribution and the required normalisation are derived using assumptions on the tail of the interpoint distance for two i.i.d. points. The results are specialised for the cases when the points have spherical symmetric distributions, in particular, are uniformly distributed in the whole ball and on its boundary.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605289
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605289 (alternate)

4286. Contour lines of the two-dimensional discrete Gaussian free field

Author(s): Oded Schramm and Scott Sheffield

Abstract: We prove that the chordal contour lines of the discrete Gaussian free field converge to forms of SLE(4). Specifically, there is a constant lambda > 0 such that when h is an interpolation of the discrete Gaussian free field on a Jordan domain -- with boundary values -lambda on one boundary arc and lambda on the complementary arc -- the zero level line of h joining the endpoints of these arcs converges to SLE(4) as the domain grows larger. If instead the boundary values are -a < 0 on the first arc and b > 0 on the complementary arc, then the convergence is to SLE(4;a/lambda-1,b/lambda-1), a variant of SLE(4).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605337
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605337 (alternate)

4287. Toward the best constant factor for the Rademacher-Gaussian tail comparison

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: Let S_n:=a_1\vp_1+...+a_n\vp_n, where \vp_1,...,\vp_n are independent Rademacher random variables (r.v.'s) and a_1,...,a_n are any real numbers such that a_1^2+...+a_n^2=1. Let Z be a standard normal r.v. It is proved that the best constant factor c in inequality \P(S_n>x) \leq c\P(Z>x) for all x in \R is between two explicitly defined absolute constants c_1 and c_2 such that c_1

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605340
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605340 (alternate)

4288. Generalized Entropy Power Inequalities and Monotonicity Properties of Information

Author(s): Mokshay Madiman and Andrew Barron

Abstract: New families of Fisher information and entropy power inequalities for sums of independent random variables are presented. These inequalities relate the information in the sum of n independent random variables to the information contained in sums over subsets of the random variables, for an arbitrary collection of subsets. As a consequence, a simple proof of the monotonicity of information in central limit theorems is obtained, both in the setting of i.i.d. summands as well as in the more general setting of independent summands with variance-standardized sums.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0605047
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.IT/0605047 (alternate)

4289. Weak approximation of stochastic differential equations and application to derivative pricing

Author(s): Syoiti Ninomiya and Nicolas Victoir

Abstract: The authors present a new simple algorithm to approximate weakly stochastic differential equations in the spirit of [1] and [2]. They apply it to the problem of pricing Asian options under the Heston stochastic volatility model, and compare it with other known methods. It is shown that the combination of the suggested algorithm and quasi-Monte Carlo methods makes computations extremely fast. [1] Shigeo Kusuoka, ``Approximation of Expectation of Diffusion Process and Mathematical Finance,'' Advanced Studies in Pure Mathematics, Proceedings of Final Taniguchi Symposium, Nara 1998 (T. Sunada, ed.), vol. 31 2001, pp. 147--165. [2] Terry Lyons and Nicolas Victoir, ``Cubature on Wiener Space,'' Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences 460 (2004), pp. 169--198.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605361
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605361 (alternate)

4290. The Freidlin-Wentzell LDP with rapidly growing coefficients

Author(s): P. Chigansky and R. Liptser

Abstract: The Large Deviations Principle (LDP) is verified for a homogeneous diffusion process with respect to a Brownian motion $B_t$, $$ X^\eps_t=x_0+\int_0^tb(X^\eps_s)ds+ \eps\int_0^t\sigma(X^\eps_s)dB_s, $$ where $b(x)$ and $\sigma(x)$ are are locally Lipschitz functions with super linear growth. We assume that the drift is directed towards the origin and the growth rates of the drift and diffusion terms are properly balanced. Nonsingularity of $a=\sigma\sigma^*(x)$ is not required.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605365
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605365 (alternate)

4291. Estimates of Green Function for some perturbations of fractional Laplacian

Author(s): Tomasz Grzywny and Micha{\l} Ryznar

Abstract: Suppose that Y(t) is a d-dimensional Levy symmetric process for which its Levy measure differs from the Levy measure of the isotropic alpha-stable process (00, we prove that the Green functions are comparable, provided D is connected. These results apply for example to alpha-stable relativistic process. This process was studied in recent years. In the paper we also considered one dimensional case for alpha<= 1 and proved that the Green functions for an open and bounded interval are comparable.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605370
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605370 (alternate)

4292. Poisson approximations for the Ising model

Author(s): David Coupier

Abstract: A $d$-dimensional Ising model on a lattice torus is considered. As the size $n$ of the lattice tends to infinity, a Poisson approximation is given for the distribution of the number of copies in the lattice of any given local configuration, provided the magnetic field $a=a(n)$ tends to $-\infty$ and the pair potential $b$ remains fixed. Using the Stein-Chen method, a bound is given for the total variation error in the ferromagnetic case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605395
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605395 (alternate)

4293. An explicit bound on the Logarithmic Sobolev constant of weakly dependent random variables

Author(s): Katalin Marton

Abstract: We prove logarithmic Sobolev inequality for measures $$ q^n(x^n)=\text{dist}(X^n)=\exp\bigl(-V(x^n)\bigr), \quad x^n\in \Bbb R^n, $$ under the assumptions that: (i) the conditional distributions $$ Q_i(\cdot| x_j, j\neq i)=\text{dist}(X_i| X_j= x_j, j\neq i) $$ satisfy a logarithmic Sobolev inequality with a common constant $\rho$, and (ii) they also satisfy some condition expressing that the mixed partial derivatives of the Hamiltonian $V$ are not too large relative to $\rho$. \bigskip Condition (ii) has the form that the norms of some matrices defined in terms of the mixed partial derivatives of $V$ do not exceed $1/2\cdot\rho\cdot(1-\de)$. The logarithmic Sobolev constant of $q^n$ can then be estimated from below by $1/2\cdot\rho\cdot\delta$. This improves on earlier results by Th. Bodineau and B. Helffer, by giving an explicit bound, for the logarithmic Sobolev constant for $q^n$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605397
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605397 (alternate)

4294. Poisson limits for empirical point processes

Author(s): Andr\'{e} Dabrowski and Gail Ivanoof and Rafal Kulik

Abstract: Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point processes through a novel use of a dimension-free method based on the convergence of compensators of multiparameter martingales. The method extends previous results in several directions. We obtain limits at points where the density of $Y_i$ may be zero, but has regular variation. The joint limit of the empirical process evaluated at distinct points is given by independent Poisson processes. These results also hold for multivariate $Y_i$ with little additional effort. Applications are provided both to nearest-neighbour density estimation in high dimensions, and to the asymptotic behaviour of multivariate extremes such as those arising from bivariate normal copulas.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605400
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605400 (alternate)

4295. Decay Properties of the Connectivity for Mixed Long Range Percolation Models on $\Z^d$

Author(s): Gastao A. Braga and Leandro M. Cioletti and Remy Sanchis

Abstract: In this paper we consider mixed short-long range independent bond percolation models on $\Z^d$. Let $p_{uv}$ be the probability that the edge $(u,v)$ will be open. Successive applications of the Simon-Lieb inequality at a fixed length scale generates convolutions of $p_{uv}$ with itself which yields, in the perturbative regime, that the long distance behavior of the connectivity $\tau_{xy}$ is governed by the probability $p_{xy}$. Allowing a $x,y$-dependent length scale and using a multi-scale analysis due to Aizenman and Newman, decay properties of $\tau_{xy}$ are obtained up to the critical point.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0605047
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0605047 (alternate)

4296. Universality for the distance in finite variance random graphs: Extended version

Author(s): Henri van den Esker and Remco van der Hofstad and Gerard Hooghiemstra

Abstract: The asymptotic behavior of the graph distance between two uniformly chosen nodes in the configuration model is generalized to a wide class of random graphs, where the degrees have finite variance. Among others, this class contains the Poissonian random graph and the generalized random graph (including the classical Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph). We prove that the graph distance grows like $\log_\nu N$, when the base of the logarithm equals $\nu = E[\Lambda^2]/E[\Lambda]$, where $\Lambda$ is a positive random variable with $P(\Lambda> x)\leq cx^{1-\tau}$, for some constant $c$ and some power-law exponent $\tau>3$. In addition, the random fluctuations around this asymptotic mean $\log_\nu N$ are characterized and shown to be uniformly bounded. The proof of this result uses that the graph distance of all members of the class can be coupled successfully to the graph distance in the Poissonian random graph.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605414
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605414 (alternate)

4297. Small Deviations of Gaussian Random Fields in $L_q$--Spaces

Author(s): Mikhail Lifshits and Werner Linde and Zhan Shi

Abstract: We investigate small deviation properties of Gaussian random fields in the space $L_q(\R^N,\mu)$ where $\mu$ is an arbitrary finite compactly supported Borel measure. Of special interest are hereby "thin" measures $\mu$, i.e., those which are singular with respect to the $N$--dimensional Lebesgue measure; the so--called self--similar measures providing a class of typical examples. For a large class of random fields (including, among others, fractional Brownian motions), we describe the behavior of small deviation probabilities via numerical characteristics of $\mu$, called mixed entropy, characterizing size and regularity of $\mu$. For the particularly interesting case of self--similar measures $\mu$, the asymptotic behavior of the mixed entropy is evaluated explicitly. As a consequence, we get the asymptotic of the small deviation for $N$--parameter fractional Brownian motions with respect to $L_q(\R^N,\mu)$--norms. While the upper estimates for the small deviation probabilities are proved by purely probabilistic methods, the lower bounds are established by analytic tools concerning Kolmogorov and entropy numbers of H\"older operators.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605417
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605417 (alternate)

4298. Imbalance attractors for a strategic model of market microstructure

Author(s): Ted Theodosopoulos and Ming Yuen

Abstract: In this paper we extend the series of our studies on the properties of an interacting particle model for market microstructure. In our earlier work we defined a Markov process on the majority opinion of the agents, obtained the transition probabilities and analyzed the martingale properties of the ensuing wealth process. Here we relax the assumption on the choices of individual agents by allowing mixed strategies, offering opportunities for the agents to gain intermediate submartingale exposure for their individual wealth processes. We develop a novel two-dimensional spin system to model the critical regions of the wealth process as a reflection of the agents' behaviors. We exhibit strategic conflicts between individual market participants and the market as a whole, and identify a new source of uncertainty arising from `reinforced expectations'.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605421
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605421 (alternate)

4299. Generalized 3G theorem and application to relativistic stable process on non-smooth open sets

Author(s): Panki Kim and Young-Ran Lee

Abstract: Let G(x,y) and G_D(x,y) be the Green functions of rotationally invariant symmetric \alpha-stable process in R^d and in an open set D respectively, where 0<\alpha < 2. The inequality G_D(x,y)G_D(y,z)/G_D(x,z) \le c(G(x,y)+G(y,z)) is a very useful tool in studying (local) Schrodinger operators. When the above inequality is true with a constant c=c(D)>0, then we say that the 3G theorem holds in D. In this paper, we establish a generalized version of 3G theorem when D is a bounded \kappa-fat open set, which includes a bounded John domain. The 3G we consider is of the form G_D(x,y)G_D(z,w)/G_D(x,w), where y may be different from z. When y=z, we recover the usual 3G. The 3G form G_D(x,y)G_D(z,w)/G_D(x,w) appears in non-local Schrodinger operator theory. Using our generalized 3G theorem, we give a concrete class of functions belonging to the non-local Kato class, introduced by Chen and Song, on \kappa-fat open sets. As an application, we discuss relativistic \alpha-stable processes (relativistic Hamiltonian when \alpha=1) in \kappa-fat open sets. We identify the Martin boundary and the minimal Martin boundary with the Euclidean boundary for relativistic \alpha-stable processes in \kappa-fat open sets. Furthermore, we show that relative Fatou type theorem is true for relativistic stable processes in \kappa-fat open sets. The main results of this paper hold for a large class of symmetric Markov processes, as are illustrated in the last section of this paper. We also discuss the generalized 3G theorem for a large class of symmetric stable Levy processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605422
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605422 (alternate)

4300. Sufficient Conditions for the Invertibility of Adapted Perturbations of Identity on the Wiener Space

Author(s): Ali Suleyman Ustunel and Moshe Zakai

Abstract: Let $(W,H,\mu)$ be the classical Wiener space. Assume that $U=I_W+u$ is an adapted perturbation of identity, i.e., $u:W\to H$ is adapted to the canonical filtration of $W$. We give some sufficient analytic conditions on $u$ which imply the invertibility of the map $U$. In particular it is shown that if $u\in \DD_{p,1}(H)$ is adapted and if $\exp({1/2}\|\nabla u\|_2^2-\delta u)\in L^q(\mu)$, where $p^{-1}+q^{-1}=1$, then $I_W+u$ is almost surely invertible. As a consequence, if, there exists an integer $k\geq 1$ such that $\|\nabla^k u\|_{H^{\otimes(k+1)}}\in L^\infty(\mu)$, then $I_W+u$ is again almost surely invertible.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605433
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605433 (alternate)

4301. Resampling from the past to improve on MCMC algorithms

Author(s): Yves F. Atchade

Abstract: We introduce the idea that resampling from past observations in a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampler can fasten convergence. We prove that proper resampling from the past does not disturb the limit distribution of the algorithm. We illustrate the method with two examples. The first on a Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models and the other on Bayesian phylogeny reconstruction.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605452
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0605452 (alternate)

4302. Infinitely divisibility of solutions of some semi-stable integro-differential equations and exponential functionals of Levy processes

Author(s): Pierre Patie

Abstract: We provide the increasing $q$-harmonic functions associated to spectrally negative semi-stable Feller semigroups, which have been introduced by Lamperti. The functions are expressed in terms of a new family of power series which includes, for instance, the modified Bessel functions of the first kind and some new generalization of the Mittag-Leffler function. Then, we show that some specific combinations of these functions are Laplace transforms of selfdecomposable or infinitely divisible distributions concentrated on the positive line. In particular, this generalizes the result of Hartman in the case of the Bessel semigroup. Finally, when the Levy process has a negative mean, we compute the associated decreasing $q$-harmonic functions and derive the Laplace transform of the exponential functionals.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605453
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605453 (alternate)

4303. Hybrid dynamics for currency modeling

Author(s): Ted Theodosopoulos and Alex Trifunovic

Abstract: We present a simple hybrid dynamical model as a tool to investigate behavioral strategies based on trend following. The multiplicative symbolic dynamics are generated using a lognormal diffusion model for the at-the-money implied volatility term structure. Thus, are model exploits information from derivative markets to obtain qualititative properties of the return distribution for the underlier. We apply our model to the JPY-USD exchange rate and the corresponding 1mo., 3mo., 6mo. and 1yr. implied volatilities. Our results indicate that the modulation of autoregressive trend following using derivative-based signals significantly improves the fit to the distribution of times between successive sign flips in the underlier time series.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605457
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605457 (alternate)

4304. On Stable Pareto Laws in a Hierarchical Model of Economy

Author(s): Alexander M. Chebotarev

Abstract: This study considers a model of the income distribution of agents whose pairwise interaction is asymmetric and price-invariant. Asymmetric transactions are typical for chain-trading groups who arrange their business such that commodities move from senior to junior partners and money moves in the opposite direction. The price-invariance of transactions means that the probability of a pairwise interaction is a function of the ratio of incomes, which is independent of the price scale or absolute income level. These two features characterize the hierarchical model. The income distribution in this class of models is a well-defined double-Pareto function, which possesses Pareto tails for the upper and lower incomes. For gross and net upper incomes, the model predicts definite values of the Pareto exponents, $a_{\rm gross}$ and $a_{\rm net}$, which are stable with respect to quantitative variation of the pair-interaction. The Pareto exponents are also stable with respect to the choice of a demand function within two classes of status-dependent behavior of agents: linear demand ($a_{\rm gross}=1$, $a_{\rm net}=2$) and unlimited slowly varying demand ($a_{\rm gross}=a_{\rm net}=1$). For the sigmoidal demand that describes limited returns, $a_{\rm gross}=a_{\rm net}=1+\alpha$, with some $\alpha>0$ satisfying a transcendental equation. The low-income distribution may be singular or vanishing in the neighborhood of the minimal income; in any case, it is $L_1$-integrable and its Pareto exponent is given explicitly. The theory used in the present study is based on a simple balance equation and new results from multiplicative Markov chains and exponential moments of random geometric progressions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605461
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605461 (alternate)

4305. Stability of processor sharing networks with simultaneous resource requirements

Author(s): Jennie Hansen and Cian Reynolds and Stan Zachary

Abstract: We study the phenomenon of entrainment in processor sharing networks, whereby, while individual network resources have sufficient capacity to met demand, the requirement for simultaneous availability of resources means that a network may nevertheless be unstable. We show that instability occurs through poor control, and that, for a variety of network topologies, only small modifications to controls are required in order to ensure stability. For controls which possess a natural monotonicity property, we give some new results for the classification of the corresponding Markov processes, which lead to conditions both for stability and for instability.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605477
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605477 (alternate)

4306. On the occupation measure of super-Brownian motion

Author(s): J.F. Le Gall and M. Merle

Abstract: We derive the asymptotic behavior of the occupation measure of the unit ball, for super-Brownian motion started from the Dirac measure at a distant point x and conditioned to hit the unit ball. In the critical dimension d=4, we obtain a limiting exponential distribution for the ratio of the occupation measure over log(|x|).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605482
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605482 (alternate)

4307. Random real trees

Author(s): J.F. Le Gall

Abstract: We survey recent developments about random real trees, whose prototype is the Continuum Random Tree (CRT) introduced by Aldous in 1991. We briefly explain the formalism of real trees, which yields a neat presentation of the theory and in particular of the relations between discrete Galton-Watson trees and continuous random trees. We then discuss the particular class of self-similar random real trees called stable trees, which generalize the CRT. We review several important results concerning stable trees, including their branching property, which is analogous to the well-known property of Galton-Watson trees, and the calculation of their fractal dimension. We then consider spatial trees, which combine the genealogical structure of a real tree with spatial displacements, and we explain their connections with superprocesses. In the last section, we deal with a particular conditioning problem for spatial trees, which is closely related to asymptotics for random planar quadrangulations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605484
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605484 (alternate)

4308. An algebraic approach of Polya processes

Author(s): Nicolas Pouyanne (LM-Versailles)

Abstract: P\'olya processes are natural generalization of P\'olya-Eggenberger urn models. This article presents a new approach of their asymptotic behaviour {\it via} moments, based on the spectral decomposition of a suitable finite difference operator on polynomial functions. Especially, it provides new results for {\it large} processes (a P\'olya process is called {\it small} when 1 is simple eigenvalue of its replacement matrix and when any other eigenvalue has a real part $\leq 1/2$; otherwise, it is called large).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605472
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0605472 (alternate)

4309. On the Likelihood of Comparability in Bruhat Order

Author(s): Adam Hammett and Boris Pittel

Abstract: The poset of permutations of [n] under Bruhat ordering is studied. We give nontrivial upper and lower bounds for the number of comparable pairs of permutations in both the weak and strong versions of this order. In light of numerical experiments, we conjecture that in either case the upper bound is qualitatively close to the actual number of comparable pairs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605490
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605490 (alternate)

4310. Large deviations for weighted empirical mean with outliers

Author(s): Myl\`ene Ma\"{\i}da and Jamal Najim and Sandrine P\'ech\'e

Abstract: We study in this article large deviations for the empirical mean of iid random vectors with some deterministic weights, whose empirical measure weakly converges to some compactly support probability distribution. The scope of this paper is to study the effect on the LDP of outliers, that is sequences of weights that remain far from the support of the limiting measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605491
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605491 (alternate)

4311. Zero-one laws for binary random fields

Author(s): David Coupier and Paul Doukhan and Bernard Ycart

Abstract: A set of binary random variables indexed by a lattice torus is considered. Under a mixing hypothesis, the probability of any proposition belonging to the first order logic of colored graphs tends to 0 or 1, as the size of the lattice tends to infinity. For the particular case of the Ising model with bounded pair potential and surface potential tending to $-\infty$, the threshold functions of local propositions are computed, and sufficient conditions for the zero-one law are given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605502
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605502 (alternate)

4312. On classes of non-Gaussian asymptotic minimizers in entropic uncertainty principles

Author(s): S. Zozor and C. Vignat

Abstract: In this paper we revisit the Bialynicki-Birula & Mycielski uncertainty principle and its cases of equality. This Shannon entropic version of the well-known Heisenberg uncertainty principle can be used when dealing with variables that admit no variance. In this paper, we extend this uncertainty principle to Renyi entropies. We recall that in both Shannon and Renyi cases, and for a given dimension n, the only case of equality occurs for Gaussian random vectors. We show that as n grows, however, the bound is also asymptotically attained in the cases of n-dimensional Student-t and Student-r distributions. A complete analytical study is performed in a special case of a Student-t distribution. We also show numerically that this effect exists for the particular case of a n-dimensional Cauchy variable, whatever the Renyi entropy considered, extending the results of Abe and illustrating the analytical asymptotic study of the student-t case. In the Student-r case, we show numerically that the same behavior occurs for uniformly distributed vectors. These particular cases and other ones investigated in this paper are interesting since they show that this asymptotic behavior cannot be considered as a "Gaussianization" of the vector when the dimension increases.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605510
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605510 (alternate)

4313. Phase transitions in a piecewise expanding coupled map lattice with linear nearest neighbour coupling

Author(s): Jean-Baptiste Bardet (IRMAR) and Gerhard Keller

Abstract: We construct a mixing continuous piecewise linear map on [-1,1] with the property that a two-dimensional lattice made of these maps with a linear north and east nearest neighbour coupling admits a phase transition. We also provide a modification of this construction where the local map is an expanding analytic circle map. The basic strategy is borroughed from [Gielis-MacKay (2000)], namely we compare the dynamics of the CML to those of a probabilistic cellular automaton of Toom's type.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605501
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0605501 (alternate)

4314. Potential Theory of Truncated Stable Processes

Author(s): Panki Kim and Renming Song

Abstract: For any 0 < alpha <2, a truncated symmetric alpha-stable process is a symmetric Levy process in R^d with a Levy density given by c|x|^{-d-alpha} 1_{|x|< 1} for some constant c. In this paper we study the potential theory of truncated symmetric stable processes in detail. We prove a Harnack inequality for nonnegative harmonic nonnegative functions these processes. We also establish a boundary Harnack principle for nonnegative functions which are harmonic with respect to these processes in bounded convex domains. We give an example of a non-convex domain for which the boundary Harnack principle fails.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605533
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605533 (alternate)

4315. Exponential Approximation by Exchangeable Pairs and Spectral Graph Theory

Author(s): Sourav Chatterjee and Jason Fulman

Abstract: A general Berry-Esseen bound is obtained for the exponential distribution using Stein's method of exchangeable pairs. As an application, an error term is derived for Hora's result that the spectrum of the Bernoulli-Laplace Markov chain has an exponential limit. This is the first use of Stein's method to study the spectrum of a graph with a non-normal limit.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605552
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605552 (alternate)

4316. On dual processes of non-symmetric diffusions with measure-valued drifts

Author(s): Panki Kim and Renming Song

Abstract: In this paper, we study properties of the dual process and Schrodinger-type operators of a non-symmetric diffusion with measure-valued drift. Let mu=(mu^1,..., mu^d) be such that each mu^i is a signed measure on R^d belonging to the Kato class K_{d, 1}. We show that a killed diffusion process with measure-valued drift in any bounded domain has a dual process with respect to a certain reference measure. For an arbitrary bounded domain, we show that a scale invariant Harnack inequality is true for the dual process. We also show that, if the domain is bounded C^{1,1}, the boundary Harnack principle for the dual process is true and the (minimal) Martin boundary for the dual process can be identified with the Euclidean boundary. It is also shown that the harmonic measure for the dual process is locally comparable to that of the h-conditioned Brownian motion with h being the ground state. Under the gaugeability assumption, if the domain is bounded Lipschitz, the (minimal) Martin boundary for the Schrodinger operator obtained from the diffusion with measure-value drift can be identified with the Euclidean boundary.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605556
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605556 (alternate)

4317. Estimates on Green functions and Schrodinger-type equations for non-symmetric diffusions with measure-valued drifts

Author(s): Panki Kim and Renming Song

Abstract: In this paper, we establish sharp two-sided estimates for the Green functions of non-symmetric diffusions with measure-valued drifts in bounded Lipschitz domains. As consequences of these estimates, we get a 3G type theorem and a conditional gauge theorem for these diffusions in bounded Lipschitz domains. We also establish two-sided estimates for the heat kernels of Schrodinger-type operators with measure-valued potential in bounded C^{1,1}-domains and a scale invariant boundary Harnack principle for the positive harmonic functions with respect to Schrodinger-type operators in bounded Lipschitz domains.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605557
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605557 (alternate)

4318. On Taylor dispersion in oscillatory channel flows

Author(s): Kalvis M. Jansons

Abstract: We revisit Taylor dispersion in oscillatory flows at zero Reynolds number, giving an alternative method of calculating the Taylor dispersivity that is easier to use with computer algebra packages to obtain exact expressions. We consider the effect of out-of-phase oscillatory shear and Poiseuille flow, and show that the resulting Taylor dispersivity is independent of the phase difference. We also determine exact expressions for several examples of oscillatory power-law fluid flows.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605561
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605561 (alternate)

4319. Partition function of periodic isoradial dimer models

Author(s): B\'eatrice de Tili\`ere

Abstract: Isoradial dimer models were introduced in \cite{Kenyon3} - they consist of dimer models whose underlying graph satisfies a simple geometric condition, and whose weight function is chosen accordingly. In this paper, we prove a conjecture of \cite{Kenyon3}, namely that for periodic isoradial dimer models, the growth rate of the toroidal partition function has a simple explicit formula involving the local geometry of the graph only. This is a surprising feature of periodic isoradial dimer models, which does not hold in the general periodic dimer case \cite{KOS}.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605583
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605583 (alternate)

4320. Modelling Derivatives Pricing Mechanisms with Their Generating Functions

Author(s): Shige Peng

Abstract: In this paper we study dynamic pricing mechanisms of financial derivatives. A typical model of such pricing mechanism is the so-called g--expectation defined by solutions of a backward stochastic differential equation with g as its generating function. Black-Scholes pricing model is a special linear case of this pricing mechanism. We are mainly concerned with two types of pricing mechanisms in an option market: the market pricing mechanism through which the market prices of options are produced, and the ask-bid pricing mechanism operated through the system of market makers. The later one is a typical nonlinear pricing mechanism. Data of prices produced by these two pricing mechanisms are usually quoted in an option market. We introduce a criteria, i.e., the domination condition (A5) in (2.5) to test if a dynamic pricing mechanism under investigation is a g--pricing mechanism. This domination condition was statistically tested using CME data documents. The result of test is significantly positive. We also provide some useful characterizations of a pricing mechanism by its generating function.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605599
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605599 (alternate)

4321. Large deviations for sums defined on a Galton-Watson process

Author(s): Klaus Fleischmann and Vitali Wachtel

Abstract: In this paper we study the large deviation behavior of sums of i.i.d. random variables X_i defined on a supercritical Galton-Watson process Z. We assume the finiteness of the moments EX_1^2 and EZ_1log Z_1. The underlying interplay of the partial sums of the X_i and the lower deviation probabilities of Z is clarified. Here we heavily use lower deviation probability results on Z we recently published in [FW06].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605617
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605617 (alternate)

4322. Spatial birth and death processes as solutions of stochastic equations

Author(s): Nancy L. Garcia and Thomas G. Kurtz

Abstract: Spatial birth and death processes are obtained as solutions of a system of stochastic equations. The processes are required to be locally finite, but may involve an infinite population over the full (noncompact) type space. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, and for temporal and spatial ergodicity. For birth and death processes with constant death rate, a sub-criticality condition on the birth rate implies that the process is ergodic and converges exponentially fast to the stationary distribution.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605620
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605620 (alternate)

4323. The largest eigenvalue of rank one deformation of large Wigner matrices

Author(s): Delphine F\'eral and Sandrine P\'ech\'e

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to establish universality of the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue of some non necessarily Gaussian complex Deformed Wigner Ensembles. The real model is also considered. Our approach is close to the one used by A. Soshnikov in the investigations of classical real or complex Wigner Ensembles. It is based on the computation of moments of traces of high powers of the random matrices under consideration.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605624
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605624 (alternate)

4324. On the maximum queue length in the supermarket model

Author(s): Malwina J. Luczak and Colin McDiarmid

Abstract: There are $n$ queues, each with a single server. Customers arrive in a Poisson process at rate $\lambda n$, where $0<\lambda<1$. Upon arrival each customer selects $d\geq2$ servers uniformly at random, and joins the queue at a least-loaded server among those chosen. Service times are independent exponentially distributed random variables with mean 1. We show that the system is rapidly mixing, and then investigate the maximum length of a queue in the equilibrium distribution. We prove that with probability tending to 1 as $n\to\infty$ the maximum queue length takes at most two values, which are $\ln\ln n/\ln d+O(1)$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605639
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605639 (alternate)

4325. The size of components in continuum nearest-neighbor graphs

Author(s): Iva Kozakova and Ronald Meester and Seema Nanda

Abstract: We study the size of connected components of random nearest-neighbor graphs with vertex set the points of a homogeneous Poisson point process in ${\mathbb{R}}^d$. The connectivity function is shown to decay superexponentially, and we identify the exact exponent. From this we also obtain the decay rate of the maximal number of points of a path through the origin. We define the generation number of a point in a component and establish its asymptotic distribution as the dimension $d$ tends to infinity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605640
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605640 (alternate)

4326. Dynamical stability of percolation for some interacting particle systems and $\epsilon$-movability

Author(s): Erik I. Broman and Jeffrey E. Steif

Abstract: In this paper we will investigate dynamic stability of percolation for the stochastic Ising model and the contact process. We also introduce the notion of downward and upward $\epsilon$-movability which will be a key tool for our analysis.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605641
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605641 (alternate)

4327. Monotonicity, asymptotic normality and vertex degrees in random graphs

Author(s): Svante Janson

Abstract: We exploit a result by Nerman which shows that conditional limit theorems hold when a certain monotonicity condition is satisfied. Our main result is an application to vertex degrees in random graphs where we obtain asymptotic normality for the number of vertices with a given degree in the random graph G(n,m) with a fixed number of edges from the corresponding result for the random graph G(n,m) with independent edges. We give also some simple applications to random allocations and to spacings. Finally, inspired by these results but logically independent from them, we investigate whether a one-sided version of the Cramer-Wold theorem holds. We show that such a version holds under a weak supplementary condition, but not without it.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605642
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605642 (alternate)

4328. Comparison of weighted and unweighted histograms

Author(s): N.D. Gagunashvili

Abstract: Two modifications of the chi square test for comparing usual(unweighted) and weighted histograms and two weighted histograms are proposed. Numerical examples illustrate an application of the tests for the histograms with different statistics of events. Proposed tests can be used for the comparison of experimental data histograms against simulated data histograms and two simulated data histograms.

http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0605123
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/physics/0605123 (alternate)

4329. Intermittency on catalysts: symmetric exclusion

Author(s): J. Gaertner and F. den Hollander and G. Maillard

Abstract: We continue our study of intermittency for the parabolic Anderson equation $\partial u/\partial t = \kappa\Delta u + \xi u$, where $u\colon \Z^d\times [0,\infty)\to\R$, $\kappa$ is the diffusion constant, $\Delta$ is the discrete Laplacian, and $\xi\colon \Z^d\times [0,\infty)\to\R$ is a space-time random medium. The solution of the equation describes the evolution of a ``reactant'' $u$ under the influence of a ``catalyst'' $\xi$. In this paper we focus on the case where $\xi$ is exclusion with a symmetric random walk transition kernel, starting from equilibrium with density $\rho\in (0,1)$. We consider the annealed Lyapunov exponents, i.e., the exponential growth rates of the successive moments of $u$. We show that these exponents are trivial when the random walk is recurrent, but display an interesting dependence on the diffusion constant $\kappa$ when the random walk is transient, with qualitatively different behavior in different dimensions. Special attention is given to the asymptotics of the exponents for $\kappa\to\infty$, which is controlled by moderate deviations of $\xi$ requiring a delicate expansion argument. In G\"artner and den Hollander \cite{garhol04} the case where $\xi$ is a Poisson field of independent (simple) random walks was studied. The two cases show interesting differences and similarities. Throughout the paper, a comparison of the two cases plays a crucial role.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605657
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605657 (alternate)

4330. A version of H\"ormander's theorem for the fractional Brownian motion

Author(s): F. Baudoin and M. Hairer

Abstract: It is shown that the law of an SDE driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter greater than 1/2 has a smooth density with respect to Lebesgue measure, provided that the driving vector fields satisfy H\"ormander's condition. The main new ingredient of the proof is an extension of Norris' lemma to this situation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605658
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605658 (alternate)

4331. Quasi stationary distributions and Fleming-Viot processes in countable spaces

Author(s): Pablo A. Ferrari and Nevena Maric

Abstract: We consider an irreducible pure jump Markov process with rates Q=(q(x,y)) on \Lambda\cup\{0\} with \Lambda countable and 0 an absorbing state. A quasi-stationary distribution (qsd) is a probability measure \nu on \Lambda that satisfies: starting with \nu, the conditional distribution at time t, given that at time t the process has not been absorbed, is still \nu. That is, \nu(x) = \nu P_t(x)/(\sum_{y\in\Lambda}\nu P_t(y)), with P_t the transition probabilities for the process with rates Q. A Fleming-Viot (fv) process is a system of N particles moving in \Lambda. Each particle moves independently with rates Q until it hits the absorbing state 0; but then instantaneously chooses one of the N-1 particles remaining in \Lambda and jumps to its position. Between absorptions each particle moves with rates Q independently. Under the condition \alpha:=\sum_x\inf Q(\cdot,x) > \sup Q(\cdot,0):=C we prove existence of qsd for Q; uniqueness has been proven by Jacka and Roberts. When \alpha>0 the {\fv} process is ergodic for each N. Under \alpha>C the mean normalized densities of the fv unique stationary measure converge to the qsd of Q, as N \to \infty; in this limit the variances vanish.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605665
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605665 (alternate)

4332. On the Average Number of Sharp Crossings of Certain Gaussian Random Polynomials

Author(s): S. Shemehsavar and S. Rezakhah

Abstract: Let $Q_n(x)=\sum_{i=0}^{n} A_{i}x^{i}$ be a random algebraic polynomial where the coefficients $A_0,A_1,... $ form a sequence of centered Gaussian random variables. Moreover, assume that the increments $\Delta_j=A_j-A_{j-1}$, $j=0,1,2,...$ are independent, assuming $A_{-1}=0$. The coefficients can be considered as $n$ consecutive observations of a Brownian motion. We obtain the asymptotic behaviour of the expected number of u-sharp crossings of polynomial $Q_n(x)$ . We refer to u-sharp crossings as those zero up-crossings with slope greater than $u$, or those down-crossings with slope smaller than $-u$. We consider the cases where $u$ is unbounded and is increasing with $n$, where $u=o(n^{5/4})$, and $u=o(n^{3/2})$ separately.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605699
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605699 (alternate)

4333. Asymptotic behaviour of the simple random walk on the 2-comb

Author(s): Daniela Bertacchi

Abstract: We analyze the differences between the horizontal and the vertical component of the simple random walk on the 2-dimensional comb. In particular we evaluate by combinatorial methods the asymptotic behaviour of the expected value of the distance from the origin, the maximal deviation and the maximal span in $n$ steps, proving that for all these quantities the order is $n^{1/4}$ for the horizontal projection and $n^{1/2}$ for the vertical one (the exact constants are determined). Then we rescale the two projections of the random walk dividing by $n^{1/4}$ and $n^{1/2}$ the horizontal and vertical ones, respectively. The limit process is obtained. As a corollary of the estimate of the expected value of the maximal deviation, the walk dimension is determined, showing that the Einstein relation between the fractal, spectral and walk dimensions does not hold on the comb.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605718
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605718 (alternate)

4334. Digital search trees and chaos game representation

Author(s): Peggy C\'{e}nac (INRIA Rocquencourt) and Brigitte Chauvin (LM-Versailles), St\'{e}phane Ginouillac (LM-Versailles), Nicolas Pouyanne (LM-Versailles)

Abstract: In this paper, we consider a possible representation of a DNA sequence in a quaternary tree, in which on can visualize repetitions of subwords. The CGR-tree turns a sequence of letters into a digital search tree (DST), obtained from the suffixes of the reversed sequence. Several results are known concerning the height and the insertion depth for DST built from i.i.d. successive sequences. Here, the successive inserted wors are strongly dependent. We give the asymptotic behaviour of the insertion depth and of the length of branches for the CGR-tree obtained from the suffixes of reversed i.i.d. or Markovian sequence. This behaviour turns out to be at first order the same one as in the case of independent words. As a by-product, asymptotic results on the length of longest runs in a Markovian sequence are obtained.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605719
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605719 (alternate)

4335. On the Brownian meander and excursion conditioned to have a fixed time average

Author(s): Lorenzo Zambotti

Abstract: We study the density of the time average of the Brownian meander/excursion over the time interval [0,1]. Moreover we give an expression for the Brownian meander/excursion conditioned to have a fixed time average.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605720
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605720 (alternate)

4336. Intrinsic ultracontractivity of non-symmetric diffusions with measure-valued drifts and potentials

Author(s): Panki Kim and Renming Song

Abstract: Recently we extended the concept of intrinsic ultracontractivity to non-symmetric semigroups. In this paper, we study the intrinsic ultracontractivity of non-symmetric diffusions with measure-valued drifts and measure-valued potentials in bounded domains. We show that scale invariant parabolic and elliptic Harnack inequalities are valid for this process. In this paper, we prove the parabolic boundary Harnack principle and the intrinsic ultracontractivity for the killed diffusion with measure-valued drift and potential when the domain is one of the following types of bounded domains: twisted Holder domains of order (1/3, 1], uniformly Holder domains of order (0, 2) and domains which can be locally represented as the region above the graph of a function. As a consequence of the intrinsic ultracontractivity, we get that the supremum of the expected conditional lifetimes finite.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605757
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605757 (alternate)

4337. Zeros of random polynomials on C^m

Author(s): Thomas Bloom and Bernard Shiffman

Abstract: For a regular compact set $K$ in $C^m$ and a measure $\mu$ on $K$ satisfying the Bernstein-Markov inequality, we consider the ensemble $P_N$ of polynomials of degree $N$, endowed with the Gaussian probability measure induced by $L^2(\mu)$. We show that for large $N$, the simultaneous zeros of $m$ polynomials in $P_N$ tend to concentrate around the Silov boundary of $K$; more precisely, their expected distribution is asymptotic to $N^m \mu_{eq}$, where $\mu_{eq}$ is the equilibrium measure of $K$. For the case where $K$ is the unit ball, we give scaling asymptotics for the expected distribution of zeros as $N\to\infty$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605739
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CV/0605739 (alternate)

4338. The Ostrogradsky series and related probability measures

Author(s): S.Albeverio and O.Baranovskyi and M.Pratsiovytyi and G.Torbin

Abstract: We develop a metric and probabilistic theory for the Ostrogradsky representation of real numbers, i.e., the expansion of a real number $x$ in the following form: \begin{align*} x&= \sum_n\frac{(-1)^{n-1}}{q_1q_2... q_n}= &=\sum_n\frac{(-1)^{n-1}}{g_1(g_1+g_2)...(g_1+g_2+...+g_n)}\equiv \bO1(g_1,g_2,...,g_n,...), \end{align*} where $q_{n+1}>q_n\in\N$, $g_1=q_1$, $g_{k+1}=q_{k+1}-q_k$. We compare this representation with the corresponding one in terms of continued fractions. We establish basic metric relations (equalities and inequalities for ratios of the length of cylindrical sets). We also compute the Lebesgue measure of subsets belonging to some classes of closed nowhere dense sets defined by characteristic properties of the $\bO1$-representation. In particular, the conditions for the set $\Cset{V}$, consisting of real numbers whose $\bO1$-symbols take values from the set $V \subset N$, to be of zero resp. positive Lebesgue measure are found. For a random variable $\xi$ with independent $\bO1$-symbols $g_n(\xi)$ we prove the theorem establishing the purity of the distribution. In the case of singularity the conditions for such distributions to be of Cantor type are also found.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605747
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NT/0605747 (alternate)

4339. Singular probability distributions and fractal properties of sets of real numbers defined by the asymptotic frequencies of their s-adic digits

Author(s): S.Albeverio and M.Pratsiovytyi and G.Torbin

Abstract: Properties of the set $T_s$ of "particularly non-normal numbers" of the unit interval are studied in details ($T_s$ consists of real numbers $x$, some of whose s-adic digits have the asymptotic frequencies in the nonterminating $s-$ adic expansion of $x$, and some do not). It is proven that the set $T_s$ is residual in the topological sense (i.e., it is of the first Baire category) and it is generic in the sense of fractal geometry ($T_s$ is a superfractal set, i.e., its Hausdorff-Besicovitch dimension is equal to~1). A topological and fractal classification of sets of real numbers via analysis of asymptotic frequencies of digits in their s-adic expansions is presented.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605763
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NT/0605763 (alternate)

4340. Simple Transient Random Walks in One-dimensional Random Environment: the Central Limit Theorem

Author(s): I. Ya. Goldsheid

Abstract: We consider a simple random walk (dimension one, nearest neighbour jumps) in a quenched random environment. The goal of this work is to provide sufficient conditions, stated in terms of properties of the environment, under which the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) holds for the position of the walk. Verifying these conditions leads to a complete solution of the problem in the case of independent identically distributed environments as well as in the case of uniformly ergodic (and thus also weakly mixing) environments.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0605775
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0605775 (alternate)

4341. Optimal control for rough differential equations

Author(s): Laurent Mazliak (PMA) and Ivan Nourdin (PMA)

Abstract: In this note, we consider an optimal control problem associated to a differential equation driven by a H\"{o}lder continuous function g of index greater than 1/2. We split our study in two cases. If the coefficient of dg\_t does not depend on the control process, we prove an existence theorem for a slightly generalized control problem, that is we obtain a literal extension of the corresponding deterministic situation. If the coefficient of dg\_t depends on the control process, we also prove an existence theorem but we are here obliged to restrict the set of controls to sufficiently regular functions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606030
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606030 (alternate)

4342. Shuffling cards for blackjack, bridge, and other card games

Author(s): Mark Conger and D. Viswanath

Abstract: This paper is about the following question: How many riffle shuffles mix a deck of card for games such as blackjack and bridge? An object that comes up in answering this question is the descent polynomial associated with pairs of decks, where the decks are allowed to have repeated cards. We prove that the problem of computing the descent polynomial given a pair of decks is $#P$-complete. We also prove that the coefficients of these polynomials can be approximated using the bell curve. However, as must be expected in view of the $#P$-completeness result, approximations using the bell curve are not good enough to answer our question. Some of our answers to the main question are supported by theorems, and others are based on experiments supported by heuristic arguments. In the introduction, we carefully discuss the validity of our answers.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606031
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606031 (alternate)

4343. Long-time behavior of stochastic model with multi-particle synchronization

Author(s): Anatoly Manita

Abstract: We consider a basic stochastic particle system consisting of $N$ identical particles with isotropic $k$-particle synchronization, $k\geq 2$. In the limit when both number of particles $N$ and time $t=t(N)$ grow to infinity we study an asymptotic behavior of a coordinate spread of the particle system. We describe three time stages of $t(N)$ for which a qualitative behavior of the system is completely different. Moreover, we discuss the case when a spread of the initial configuration depends on $N$ and increases to infinity as $N\to \infty $.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606040
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606040 (alternate)

4344. Sieving and the Erd{\H o}s-Kac theorem

Author(s): Andrew Granville and K. Soundararajan

Abstract: We give a relatively easy proof of the Erd\H os-Kac theorem via computing moments. We show how this proof extends naturally in a sieve theory context, and how it leads to several related results in the literature.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606039
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NT/0606039 (alternate)

4345. The Poisson boundary of lamplighter random walks on trees

Author(s): Anders Karlsson and Wolfgang Woess

Abstract: Let T be the homogeneous tree with degree and G a finitely generated group whose Cayley graph is T. The associated lamplighter group is the wreath product of the cyclic group of order r with G. For a large class of random walks on this group, we prove almost sure convergence to a natural geometric boundary. If the probability law governing the random walk has finite first moment, then the probability space formed by this geometric boundary together with the limit distribution of the random walk is proved to be maximal, that is, the Poisson boundary. We also prove that the Dirichlet problem at infinity is solvable for continuous functions on the active part of the boundary, if the lamplighter "operates at bounded range".

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606046
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606046 (alternate)

4346. Recurrence and Transience for Branching Random Walks in an iid Random Environment

Author(s): Sebastian M\"uller

Abstract: We give three different criteria for transience of a Branching Markov Chain. These conditions enable us to give a classification of Branching Random Walks in Random Environment (BRWRE) on Cayley Graphs in recurrence and transience. This classification is stated explicitly for BRWRE on $\Z^d.$ Furthermore, we emphasize the interplay between Branching Markov Chains and the spectral radius. We prove properties of the spectral radius of the Random Walk in Random Environment with the help of appropriate Branching Markov Chains.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606055
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606055 (alternate)

4347. The knee-jerk mapping

Author(s): Peter G. Doyle and Jim Reeds

Abstract: We claim to give the definitive theory of what we call the `knee-jerk mapping', which is the basis for a class of optimization algorithms introduced by Baum, and promoted by Dempster, Laird, and Rubin under the name `EM algorithm'.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606068
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606068 (alternate)

4348. Wiener integrals, Malliavin calculus and covariance measure structure

Author(s): Ida Kruk (LAGA) and Francesco Russo (LAGA) and Ciprian Tudor (SAMOS)

Abstract: We introduce the notion of {\em covariance measure structure} for square integrable stochastic processes. We define Wiener integral, we develop a suitable formalism for stochastic calculus of variations and we make Gaussian assumptions only when necessary. Our main examples are finite quadratric variation processes with stationary increments and the bifractional Brownian motion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606069
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606069 (alternate)

4349. q-generalization of symmetric alpha-stable distributions. Part I

Author(s): Sabir Umarov and Constantino Tsallis and Murray Gell-Mann and Stanly Steinberg

Abstract: The classic and the L\'evy-Gnedenko central limit theorems play a key role in theory of probabilities, and also in Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics. They both concern the paradigmatic case of probabilistic independence of the random variables that are being summed. A generalization of the BG theory, usually referred to as nonextensive statistical mechanics and characterized by the index $q$ ($q=1$ recovers the BG theory), introduces global correlations between the random variables, and recovers independence for $q=1$. The classic central limit theorem was recently $q$-generalized by some of us. In the present paper we $q$-generalize the L\'evy-Gnedenko central limit theorem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0606038
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0606038 (alternate)

4350. q-generalization of symmetric alpha-stable distributions. Part II

Author(s): Sabir Umarov and Constantino Tsallis and Murray Gell-Mann and Stanly Steinberg

Abstract: The classic and the L\'evy-Gnedenko central limit theorems play a key role in theory of probabilities, and also in Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics. They both concern the paradigmatic case of probabilistic independence of the random variables that are being summed. A generalization of the BG theory, usually referred to as nonextensive statistical mechanics and characterized by the index $q$ ($q=1$ recovers the BG theory), introduces global correlations between the random variables, and recovers independence for $q=1$. The classic central limit theorem was recently $q$-generalized by some of us. In the present paper we $q$-generalize the L\'evy-Gnedenko central limit theorem. In Part I we described the $q$-version of the $\alpha$-stable L\'evy distributions. In Part II we study the $(q^{\ast},q,q_{\ast})-$triplet, for which the mapping $F_{q^{\ast}}: \, \mathcal{G}_{q} \rightarrow \mathcal{G}_{q_{\ast}}$ holds. This fact allows to study the corresponding attractors and to obtain a complete generalization of the $q$-central limit theorem for random variables with infinite $(2q-1)$-variance.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0606040
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0606040 (alternate)

4351. Some properties of exponential integrals of L\'evy processes and examples

Author(s): Hitoshi Kondo and Makoto Maejima and Ken-iti Sato

Abstract: The improper stochastic integral $Z=\int_0^{\infty-}\exp(-X_{s-})dY_s$ is studied, where $\{(X_t, Y_t), t \geqslant 0 \}$ is a L\'evy process on $\mathbb R ^{1+d}$ with $\{X_t \}$ and $\{Y_t \}$ being $\mathbb R$-valued and $\mathbb R ^d$-valued, respectively. The condition for existence and finiteness of $Z$ is given and then the law $\mathcal L(Z)$ of $Z$ is considered. Some sufficient conditions for $\mathcal L(Z)$ to be selfdecomposable and some sufficient conditions for $\mathcal L(Z)$ to be non-selfdecomposable but semi-selfdecomposable are given. Attention is paid to the case where $d=1$, $\{X_t\}$ is a Poisson process, and $\{X_t\}$ and $\{Y_t\}$ are independent. An example of $Z$ of type $G$ with selfdecomposable mixing distribution is given.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606084
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606084 (alternate)

4352. Hitting times for Gaussian processes

Author(s): L. Decreusefond and D. Nualart

Abstract: We establish a general formula for the Laplace transform of the hitting times of a Gaussian process. Some consequences are derived, and in particular cases like the fractional Brownian motion are discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606086
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606086 (alternate)

4353. Projection formulas for orthogonal polynomials

Author(s): W. Bryc and W. Matysiak and R. Szwarc and J. Wesolowski

Abstract: We prove a new projection formula for the four-parameter family of orthogonal polynomials outside of the Askey-Wilson class. By carefully analyzing the recurrence relations we manage to overcome the lack of explicit expression for the orthogonality measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606092
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0606092 (alternate)

4354. Gaussian marginals of probability measures with geometric symmetries

Author(s): Mark W. Meckes

Abstract: Motivated by the multivariate version of the central limit problem for convex bodies, we prove normal approximation theorems for k-dimensional marginals of probability measures on R^n possessing certain geometric symmetries. In particular, we derive results for uniform measures on 1-unconditional and 1-symmetric convex bodies and on simplices. We also discuss connections between results of E. Meckes and the author for 1-dimensional marginals and a recent result of B. Klartag.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606073
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0606073 (alternate)

4355. A discrete invitation to quantum filtering and feedback control

Author(s): Luc Bouten and Ramon van Handel and and Matthew R. James

Abstract: The engineering and control of devices at the quantum-mechanical level--such as those consisting of small numbers of atoms and photons--is a delicate business. The fundamental uncertainty that is inherently present at this scale manifests itself in the unavoidable presence of noise, making this a novel field of application for stochastic estimation and control theory. In this expository paper we demonstrate estimation and feedback control of quantum mechanical systems in what is essentially a noncommutative version of the binomial model that is popular in mathematical finance. The model is extremely rich and allows a full development of the theory, while remaining completely within the setting of finite-dimensional Hilbert spaces (thus avoiding the technical complications of the continuous theory). We introduce discretized models of an atom in interaction with the electromagnetic field, obtain filtering equations for photon counting and homodyne detection, and solve a stochastic control problem using dynamic programming and Lyapunov function methods.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606118
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606118 (alternate)

4356. Parameter-based Fisher's information of orthogonal polynomials

Author(s): J.S. Dehesa and B. Olmos & R.J. Yanez

Abstract: The Fisher information of the classical orthogonal polynomials with respect to a parameter is introduced, its interest justified and its explicit expression for the Jacobi, Laguerre, Gegenbauer and Grosjean polynomials found.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606133
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0606133 (alternate)

4357. Dichotomous Markov Noise: Exact results for out-of-equilibrium systems (a brief overview)

Author(s): Ioana Bena

Abstract: Nonequilibrium systems driven by additive or multiplicative dichotomous Markov noise appear in a wide variety of physical and mathematical models. We review here some prototypical examples, with an emphasis on {\em analytically-solvable} situations. In particular, it has escaped attention till recently that the standard results for the long-time properties of such systems cannot be applied when unstable fixed points are crossed in the asymptotic regime. We show how calculations have to be modified to deal with these cases and present a few relevant applications -- the hypersensitive transport, the rocking ratchet, and the stochastic Stokes' drift. These results reinforce the impression that dichotomous noise can be put on a par with Gaussian white noise as far as obtaining analytic results is concerned. They convincingly illustrate the interplay between noise and nonlinearity in generating nontrivial behaviors of nonequilibrium systems and point to various practical applications.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0606116
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0606116 (alternate)

4358. Percolation on dual lattices with k-fold symmetry

Author(s): Bela Bollobas and Oliver Riordan

Abstract: Zhang found a simple, elegant argument deducing the non-existence of an infinite open cluster in certain lattice percolation models (for example, p=1/2 bond percolation on the square lattice) from general results on the uniqueness of an infinite open cluster when it exists; this argument requires some symmetry. Here we show that a simple modification of Zhang's argument requires only 2-fold (or 3-fold) symmetry, proving that the critical probabilities for percolation on dual planar lattices with such symmetry sum to 1. We also give a new proof of a result of Grimmett determining the critical surface for anisotropic percolation on the triangular lattice.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606149
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606149 (alternate)

4359. Generalized Cheeger inequalities for eigenvalues of non-reversible Markov chains

Author(s): Ravi Montenegro

Abstract: We show lower bounds for the smallest non-trivial eigenvalue, and smallest real portion of an eigenvalue, of the Laplacian of a non-reversible Markov chain in terms of an Evolving set quantity. A myriad of Cheeger-like inequalities follow for non-reversible chains, which even in the reversible case sharpen previously known results. The same argument also produces a new Cheeger-like inequality for the smallest eigenvalue of a reversible chain, and a Cheeger-like inequality for the second largest magnitude eigenvalue of a non-reversible chain.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606167
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606167 (alternate)

4360. Student's t-test without symmetry conditions

Author(s): Iosif Pinelis

Abstract: An explicit representation of an arbitrary zero-mean distribution as the mixture of (at-most-)two-point zero-mean distributions is given. Based in this representation, tests for (i) asymmetry patterns and (ii) for location without symmetry conditions can be constructed. Exact inequalities implying conservative properties of such tests are presented. These developments extend results established earlier by Efron, Eaton, and Pinelis under a symmetry condition.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606160
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0606160 (alternate)

4361. Correlation decay and deterministic FPTAS for counting list-colorings of a graph

Author(s): David Gamarnik and Dmitriy Katz

Abstract: We propose a deterministic algorithm for approximately counting the number of list colorings of a graph. Under the assumption that the graph is triangle free, the size of every list is at least $\alpha \Delta$, where $\alpha$ is an arbitrary constant bigger than $\alpha^{**}=2.8432...$, the solution of $\alpha e^{-{1\over \alpha}}=2$, and $\Delta$ is the maximum degree of the graph, we obtain the following results. For the case when the size of the each list is a large constant, we show the existence of a \emph{deterministic} FPTAS for computing the total number of list colorings. The same deterministic algorithm has complexity $2^{O(\log^2 n)}$, without any assumptions on the sizes of the lists, where $n$ is the size of the instance. Our results are not based on the most powerful existing counting technique -- rapidly mixing Markov chain method. Rather we build upon concepts from statistical physics, in particular, the decay of correlation phenomena and its implication for the uniqueness of Gibbs measures in infinite graphs. This approach was proposed in two recent papers \cite{BandyopadhyayGamarnikCounting} and \cite{weitzCounting}. The principle insight of the present work is that the correlation decay property can be established with respect to certain \emph{computation tree}, as opposed to the conventional correlation decay property which is typically established with respect to graph theoretic neighborhoods of a given node. This allows truncation of computation at a logarithmic depth in order to obtain polynomial accuracy in polynomial time. While the analysis conducted in this paper is limited to the problem of counting list colorings, the proposed algorithm can be extended to an arbitrary constraint satisfaction problem in a straightforward way.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606143
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0606143 (alternate)

4362. Truels, or the survival of the weakest

Author(s): Pau Amengual and Ra\'ul Toral

Abstract: In this paper we review some of the main results obtained in the field of truels. A "truel" is a generalization of a duel involving three players. Depending on the rules used for chosing the players, we may distinguish between the random, sequential and simultaneous truel. A paradoxical result appears in these games, as the player with the highest marksmanship does not necessarily possess the highest survival (or winning) probability. In this work we limit ourselves to the random and sequential truels in which players use their best possible strategy with no coalitions. Furthermore, we have modified the random truel and converted it into an opinion model. In this version each of the three players holds a different opinion on a given topic. We address next the question of who wins a "truel league". We will see that, despite the paradoxical result mentioned above, still the distribution of winners is peaked around the players with the higher marksmanship for the random and opinion versions. In the sequential truel, however, the paradoxical result remains partially since the distribution of winners is peaked around the intermediate players. If the rules of truels are extended from three to $N$ players, the paradoxical results shows up even more clearly since as $N$ increases it is more difficult for the player with the highest marksmanship to win the game. Finally, we consider the dynamics of the games in a spatial distribution in a given network of interactions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606181
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606181 (alternate)

4363. Generalizations of Ho-Lee's binomial interest rate model I: from one- to multi-factor

Author(s): Jir\^o Akahori and Hiroki Aoki and and Yoshihiko Nagata

Abstract: In this paper a multi-factor generalization of Ho-Lee model is proposed. In sharp contrast to the classical Ho-Lee, this generalization allows for those movements other than parallel shifts, while it still is described by a recombining tree, and is stationary to be compatible with principal component analysis. Based on the model, generalizations of duration-based hedging are proposed. A continuous-time limit of the model is also discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606183
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606183 (alternate)

4364. Stable semigroups on homogeneous trees and hyperbolic spaces

Author(s): Andrzej Stos

Abstract: We prove the kernel estimates related to subordinated semigroups on homogeneous trees. We study the long time propagation problem. We exploit this to show exit time estimates for (large) balls. We use an abstract setting of metric measure spaces. This enables us to give these results for trees end hyperbolic spaces as well. Finally, we show some estimates for the Poisson kernel of a ball.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606185
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0606185 (alternate)

4365. Identification d'un processus au