Probability Abstracts 95

This document contains abstracts 4722-5092 from Oct-1-2006 to Dic-31-2006.
They have been mailed on Jan 1st, 2007.

4722. Condensation for a fixed number of independent random variables

Author(s): Pablo A. Ferrari and Claudio Landim and Valentin V. Sisko

Abstract: A family of m independent identically distributed random variables indexed by a chemical potential \phi\in[0,\gamma] represents piles of particles. As \phi increases to \gamma, the mean number of particles per site converges to a maximal density \rho_c<\infty. The distribution of particles conditioned on the total number of particles equal to n does not depend on \phi (canonical ensemble). For fixed m, as n goes to infinity the canonical ensemble measure behave as follows: removing the site with the maximal number of particles, the distribution of particles in the remaining sites converges to the grand canonical measure with density \rho_c; the remaining particles concentrate (condensate) on a single site.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612856
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612856 (alternate)

4723. Survival probability of a diffusing particle constrained by two moving, absorbing boundaries

Author(s): Alan J. Bray and Richard Smith

Abstract: We calculate the exact asymptotic survival probability, Q, of a one-dimensional Brownian particle, initially located located at the point x in (-L,L), in the presence of two moving absorbing boundaries located at \pm(L+ct). The result is Q(y,\lambda) = \sum_{n=-\infty}^\infty \cosh(ny) \exp(-n^2\lambda/4), where y=cx/D, \lambda = cL/D and D is the diffusion constant of the particle. The results may be extended to the case where the absorbing boundaries have different speeds. As an application, we compute the asymptotic survival probability for the trapping reaction A + B -> B, for evanescent traps with a long decay time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0612563
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0612563 (alternate)

4724. Highly robust error correction by convex programming

Author(s): Emmanuel J. Candes and Paige A. Randall

Abstract: This paper discusses a stylized communications problem where one wishes to transmit a real-valued signal x in R^n (a block of n pieces of information) to a remote receiver. We ask whether it is possible to transmit this information reliably when a fraction of the transmitted codeword is corrupted by arbitrary gross errors, and when in addition, all the entries of the codeword are contaminated by smaller errors (e.g. quantization errors). We show that if one encodes the information as Ax where A is a suitable m by n coding matrix (m >= n), there are two decoding schemes that allow the recovery of the block of n pieces of information x with nearly the same accuracy as if no gross errors occur upon transmission (or equivalently as if one has an oracle supplying perfect information about the sites and amplitudes of the gross errors). Moreover, both decoding strategies are very concrete and only involve solving simple convex optimization programs, either a linear program or a second-order cone program. We complement our study with numerical simulations showing that the encoder/decoder pair performs remarkably well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0612124
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.IT/0612124 (alternate)

4725. Billiards in a general domain with random reflections

Author(s): Francis Comets and Serguei Popov and Gunter Sch\"utz and Marina Vachkovskaia

Abstract: We study stochastic billiards on general tables: a particle moves according to its constant velocity inside some domain ${\mathcal D} \subset {\mathbb R}^d$ until it hits the boundary and bounces randomly inside according to some reflection law. We assume that the boundary of the domain is locally Lipschitz and almost everywhere continuously differentiable. The angle of the outgoing velocity with the inner normal vector has a specified, absolutely continuous density. We construct the discrete time and the continuous time processes recording the sequence of hitting points on the boundary and the pair location/velocity. We mainly focus on the case of bounded domains. Then, we prove exponential ergodicity of these two Markov processes, we study their invariant distribution and their normal (Gaussian) fluctuations. Of particular interest is the case of the cosine reflection law: the stationary distributions for the two processes are uniform in this case, the discrete time chain is reversible though the continuous time process is quasi-reversible. Also in this case, we give a natural construction of a chord ``picked at random'' in ${\mathcal D}$, and we study the angle of intersection of the process with a $(d-1)$-dimensional manifold contained in ${\mathcal D}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612799
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612799 (alternate)

4726. Uniqueness and non-uniqueness in percolation theory

Author(s): Olle H\"{a}ggstr\"{o}m and Johan Jonasson

Abstract: This paper is an up-to-date introduction to the problem of uniqueness versus non-uniqueness of infinite clusters for percolation on ${\mathbb{Z}}^d$ and, more generally, on transitive graphs. For iid percolation on ${\mathbb{Z}}^d$, uniqueness of the infinite cluster is a classical result, while on certain other transitive graphs uniqueness may fail. Key properties of the graphs in this context turn out to be amenability and nonamenability. The same problem is considered for certain dependent percolation models -- most prominently the Fortuin--Kasteleyn random-cluster model -- and in situations where the standard connectivity notion is replaced by entanglement or rigidity. So-called simultaneous uniqueness in couplings of percolation processes is also considered. Some of the main results are proved in detail, while for others the proofs are merely sketched, and for yet others they are omitted. Several open problems are discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612812
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612812 (alternate)

4727. Asymptotic normality of the k-core in random graphs

Author(s): Svante Janson and Malwina J. Luczak

Abstract: We study the $k$-core of a random (multi)graph on $n$ vertices with a given degree sequence. In our previous paper `A simple solution to the k-core problem' we used properties of empirical distributions of independent random variables to give a simple proof of the fact that the size of the giant $k$-core obeys a law of large numbers as $n$ tends to infinity. Here we develop the method further and show that the fluctuations around the deterministic limit converge to a Gaussian law above and near the threshold, and to a non-normal law at the threshold. Further, we determine precisely the location of the phase transition window for the emergence of a giant $k$-core. Hence we deduce corresponding results for the $k$-core in $G(n,p)$ and $G(n,m)$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612827
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612827 (alternate)

4728. Large Deviations and Random Energy Models

Author(s): N. K. Jana and B. V. Rao

Abstract: A unified treatment for the existence of free energy in several random energy models is presented. If the sequence of distributions associated with the particle systems obeys a large deviation principle, then the free energy exists almost surely. This includes all the known cases as well as some heavy-tailed distributions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612836
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612836 (alternate)

4729. High Dimensional Probability

Author(s): Evarist Gin\'{e} and Vladimir Koltchinskii and Wenbo Li and Joel Zinn

Abstract: About forty years ago it was realized by several researchers that the essential features of certain objects of Probability theory, notably Gaussian processes and limit theorems, may be better understood if they are considered in settings that do not impose structures extraneous to the problems at hand. For instance, in the case of sample continuity and boundedness of Gaussian processes, the essential feature is the metric or pseudometric structure induced on the index set by the covariance structure of the process, regardless of what the index set may be. This point of view ultimately led to the Fernique-Talagrand majorizing measure characterization of sample boundedness and continuity of Gaussian processes, thus solving an important problem posed by Kolmogorov. Similarly, separable Banach spaces provided a minimal setting for the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm, and this led to the elucidation of the minimal (necessary and/or sufficient) geometric properties of the space under which different forms of these theorems hold. However, in light of renewed interest in Empirical processes, a subject that has considerably influenced modern Statistics, one had to deal with a non-separable Banach space, namely $\mathcal{L}_{\infty}$. With separability discarded, the techniques developed for Gaussian processes and for limit theorems and inequalities in separable Banach spaces, together with combinatorial techniques, led to powerful inequalities and limit theorems for sums of independent bounded processes over general index sets, or, in other words, for general empirical processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612726
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612726 (alternate)

4730. Law of the Iterated Logarithm for stationary processes

Author(s): Ou Zhao and Michael Woodroofe

Abstract: There has been recent interest in the conditional central limit question for (strictly) stationary, ergodic processes $... X_{-1}, X_0,X_1,...$ whose partial sums $S_n = X_1+...+X_n$ are of the form $S_n=M_n+R_n$, where $M_n$ is a square integrable martingale with stationary increments and $R_n$ is a remainder term for which $E(R_n^2) = o(n)$. Here we explore the Law of the Iterated Logarithm (LIL) for the same class of processes. Letting $\Vert\cdot\Vert$ denote the norm in $L^2(P)$, a sufficient condition for the partial sums of a stationary process to have the form $S_n = M_n+R_n$ is that $n^{-{3\over 2}}\Vert E(S_n|X_0,X_{-1},...)\Vert$ be summable. A sufficient condition for the LIL is only slightly stronger, requiring $n^{-{3\over 2}}\log^{3\over 2} (n)\Vert E(S_n|X_0,X_{-1},...)\Vert$ to be summable. As a by-product of our main result, we obtain an improved statement of the Conditional Central Limit Theorem. Invariance principles are obtained as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612747
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612747 (alternate)

4731. Convex chains in Z^2

Author(s): Nathanael Enriquez (PMA)

Abstract: A detailed combinatorial analysis of lattice convex polygonal lines of N^2 joining 0 to (n,n) is presented. We derive consequences on the line having the largest number of vertices as well as the cardinal and limit shape of lines having few vertices. The proof refines a statistical physical method used by Sinai to obtain the typical behavior of these lines, allied to some Fourier analysis. Limit shapes of convex lines joining 0 to (n,n) and having a given total length are also characterized.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612770
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612770 (alternate)

4732. Empirical graph Laplacian approximation of Laplace--Beltrami operators: Large sample results

Author(s): Evarist Gin\'{e} and Vladimir Koltchinskii

Abstract: Let ${M}$ be a compact Riemannian submanifold of ${{\bf R}^m}$ of dimension $\scriptstyle{d}$ and let ${X_1,...,X_n}$ be a sample of i.i.d. points in ${M}$ with uniform distribution. We study the random operators $$ \Delta_{h_n,n}f(p):=\frac{1}{nh_n^{d+2}}\sum_{i=1}^n K(\frac{p-X_i}{h_n})(f(X_i)-f(p)), p\in M $$ where ${K(u):={\frac{1}{(4\pi)^{d/2}}}e^{-\|u\|^2/4}}$ is the Gaussian kernel and ${h_n\to 0}$ as ${n\to\infty.}$ Such operators can be viewed as graph laplacians (for a weighted graph with vertices at data points) and they have been used in the machine learning literature to approximate the Laplace-Beltrami operator of ${M,}$ ${\Delta_Mf}$ (divided by the Riemannian volume of the manifold). We prove several results on a.s. and distributional convergence of the deviations ${\Delta_{h_n,n}f(p)-{\frac{1}{|\mu|}}\Delta_Mf(p)}$ for smooth functions ${f}$ both pointwise and uniformly in ${f}$ and ${p}$ (here ${|\mu|=\mu(M)}$ and ${\mu}$ is the Riemannian volume measure). In particular, we show that for any class ${{\cal F}}$ of three times differentiable functions on ${M}$ with uniformly bounded derivatives $$ \sup_{p\in M}\sup_{f\in F}\Big|\Delta_{h_n,p}f(p)-\frac{1}{|\mu|}\Delta_Mf(p)\Big|= O\Big(\sqrt{\frac{\log(1/h_n)}{nh_n^{d+2}}}\Big) a.s. $$ as soon as $$ nh_n^{d+2}/\log h_n^{-1}\to \infty and nh^{d+4}_n/\log h_n^{-1}\to 0, $$ and also prove asymptotic normality of ${\Delta_{h_n,p}f(p)-{\frac{1}{|\mu|}}\Delta_Mf(p)}$ (functional CLT) for a fixed ${p\in M}$ and uniformly in ${f}.$

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612777
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612777 (alternate)

4733. Estimation for the discretely observed telegraph process

Author(s): stefano m. iacus and nakahiro yoshida

Abstract: The telegraph process $\{X(t), t>0\}$, is supposed to be observed at $n+1$ equidistant time points $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,..., n$. The unknown value of $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the Poisson process, is a parameter to be estimated. The asymptotic framework considered is the following: $\Delta_n \to 0$, $n\Delta_n = T \to \infty$ as $n \to \infty$. We show that previously proposed moment type estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal but not efficient. We study further an approximated moment type estimator which is still not efficient but comes in explicit form. For this estimator the additional assumption $n\Delta_n^3 \to 0$ is required in order to obtain asymptotic normality. Finally, we propose a new estimator which is consistent, asymptotically normal and asymptotically efficient under no additional hypotheses.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612784
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612784 (alternate)

4734. A CLT for regularized sample covariance matrices

Author(s): Greg W Anderson and Ofer Zeitouni

Abstract: We consider the spectral properties of a class of {\em regularized estimators} of (large) empirical covariance matrices corresponding to stationary (but not necessarily Gaussian) sequences, obtained by {\em banding}. We prove a law of large numbers (similar to that proved in the Gaussian case by Bickel and Levina), which implies that the spectrum of a banded empirical covariance matrix is an efficient estimator. Our main result is a central limit theorem in the same regime, which to our knowledge is new, even in the Gaussian setup.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612791
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612791 (alternate)

4735. Law of large numbers for superdiffusions: the non-ergodic case

Author(s): Janos Englander

Abstract: In a previous paper of Winter and the author the Law of Large Numbers for the local mass of certain superdiffusions was proved under a spectral theoretical assumption, which is equivalent to the ergodicity (positive recurrence) of the motion component of an $H$-transformed (or weighted) superprocess. In fact the assumption is also equivalent to the property that the scaling for the expectation of the local mass is pure exponential. In this paper we go beyond ergodicity, that is we consider cases when the scaling is not purely exponential. Inter alia, we prove the analog of the Watanabe-Biggins Law of Large Numbers for super-Brownian motion (SBM). We will also prove another Law of Large Numbers for a bounded set moving with subcritical speed, provided the variance term decays sufficiently fast.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612797
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612797 (alternate)

4736. Stochastic inertial manifolds for damped wave equations

Author(s): Zhenxin Liu

Abstract: In this paper, stochastic inertial manifold for damped wave equations subjected to additive white noise is constructed by the Lyapunov-Perron method. It is proved that when the intensity of noise tends to zero the stochastic inertial manifold converges to its deterministic counterpart almost surely.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612774
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0612774 (alternate)

4737. How to Choose a Champion

Author(s): E. Ben-Naim and N.W. Hengartner

Abstract: League competition is investigated using random processes and scaling techniques. In our model, a weak team can upset a strong team with a fixed probability. Teams play an equal number of head-to-head matches and the team with the largest number of wins is declared to be the champion. The total number of games needed for the best team to win the championship with high certainty, T, grows as the cube of the number of teams, N, i.e., T ~ N^3. This number can be substantially reduced using preliminary rounds where teams play a small number of games and subsequently, only the top teams advance to the next round. When there are k rounds, the total number of games needed for the best team to emerge as champion, T_k, scales as follows, T_k ~N^(\gamma_k) with gamma_k=1/[1-(2/3)^(k+1)]. For example, gamma_k=9/5,27/19,81/65 for k=1,2,3. These results suggest an algorithm for how to infer the best team using a schedule that is linear in N. We conclude that league format is an ineffective method of determining the best team, and that sequential elimination from the bottom up is fair and efficient.

http://arXiv.org/abs/physics/0612217
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/physics/0612217 (alternate)

4738. On the excursion theory for linear diffusions

Author(s): Paavo Salminen and Pierre Vallois and Marc Yor

Abstract: We present a number of important identities related to the excursion theory of linear diffusions. In particular, excursions straddling an independent exponential time are studied in detail. Letting the parameter of the exponential time tend to zero it is seen that these results connect to the corresponding results for excursions of stationary diffusions (in stationary state). We characterize also the laws of the diffusion prior and posterior to the last zero before the exponential time. It is proved using Krein's representations that, e.g., the law of the length of the excursion straddling an exponential time is infinitely divisible. As an illustration of the results we discuss Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612687
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612687 (alternate)

4739. Option pricing with log-stable L\'{e}vy processes

Author(s): Przemys{\l}aw Repetowicz and Peter Richmond

Abstract: We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix $\underline{\underline{E}}$ onto a non-random vector. The scaling index $\underline{\underline{E}}$ models prices of the individual financial assets (stocks, mutual funds, etc.). We find the functional form of the characteristic function of real powers of the price returns and we compute the expectation value of these real powers and we speculate on the utility of these results for statistical inference. Finally we consider a portfolio composed of an asset and an option on that asset. We derive the characteristic function of the deviation of the portfolio, \mbox{${\mathfrak D}_t^{({\mathfrak t})}$}, defined as a temporal change of the portfolio diminished by the the compound interest earned. We derive pseudo-differential equations for the option as a function of the log-stock-price and time and we find exact closed-form solutions to that equation. These results were not known before. Finally we discuss how our solutions correspond to other approximate results known from literature,in particular to the well known Black & Scholes equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612691
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612691 (alternate)

4740. Oscillations of empirical distribution functions under dependence

Author(s): Wei Biao Wu

Abstract: We obtain an almost sure bound for oscillation rates of empirical distribution functions for stationary causal processes. For short-range dependent processes, the oscillation rate is shown to be optimal in the sense that it is as sharp as the one obtained under independence. The dependence conditions are expressed in terms of physical dependence measures which are directly related to the data-generating mechanism of the underlying processes and thus are easy to work with.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612692
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612692 (alternate)

4741. Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansions of mean-centered Wiener processes

Author(s): Paul Deheuvels

Abstract: For $\gamma>-{1/2}$, we provide the Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion of the weighted mean-centered Wiener process, defined by \[W _{\gamma}(t)=\frac{1}{\sqrt{1+2\gamma}}\Big\{W\big(t^{1+2\gamma}\big)- \int_0^1W\big(u^{1+2\gamma}\big)du\Big\},\] for $t\in(0,1]$. We show that the orthogonal functions in these expansions have simple expressions in term of Bessel functions. Moreover, we obtain that the $L^2[0,1]$ norm of $W_{\gamma}$ is identical in distribution with the $L^2[0,1]$ norm of the weighted Brownian bridge $t^{\gamma}B(t)$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612693
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612693 (alternate)

4742. Fractional Brownian fields, duality, and martingales

Author(s): Vladimir Dobri\'{c} and Francisco M. Ojeda

Abstract: In this paper the whole family of fractional Brownian motions is constructed as a single Gaussian field indexed by time and the Hurst index simultaneously. The field has a simple covariance structure and it is related to two generalizations of fractional Brownian motion known as multifractional Brownian motions. A mistake common to the existing literature regarding multifractional Brownian motions is pointed out and corrected. The Gaussian field, due to inherited ``duality'', reveals a new way of constructing martingales associated with the odd and even part of a fractional Brownian motion and therefore of the fractional Brownian motion. The existence of those martingales and their stochastic representations is the first step to the study of natural wavelet expansions associated to those processes in the spirit of our earlier work on a construction of natural wavelets associated to Gaussian-Markov processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612694
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612694 (alternate)

4743. A Generalized Occupation Time Formula For Continuous Semimartingales

Author(s): Raouf Ghomrasni

Abstract: We show that for a wide class of functions $F$ that: $$ {\lim_{\epsilon \downarrow 0} {\frac{1}{\epsilon}} \int_0^t \Big\{F(s, X_s) - F(s, X_s - \epsilon)\Big\} d\big_s} = - \int_0^t\int_{\R} F(s, x) d L_s^x $$ where $X_t$ is a continuous semi-martingale, $(L_t^x, x \in \R, t \geq 0)$ its local time process and $(\big_t, t \geq 0)$ its quadratic variation process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612699
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612699 (alternate)

4744. Fractal properties of the random string processes

Author(s): Dongsheng Wu and Yimin Xiao

Abstract: Let $\{u_t(x),t\ge 0, x\in {\mathbb{R}}\}$ be a random string taking values in ${\mathbb{R}}^d$, specified by the following stochastic partial differential equation [Funaki (1983)]: \[\frac{\partial u_t(x)}{\partial t}=\frac{{\partial}^2u_t(x)}{\partial x^2}+\dot{W},\] where $\dot{W}(x,t)$ is an ${\mathbb{R}}^d$-valued space-time white noise. Mueller and Tribe (2002) have proved necessary and sufficient conditions for the ${\mathbb{R}}^d$-valued process $\{u_t(x):t\ge 0, x\in {\mathbb{R}}\}$ to hit points and to have double points. In this paper, we continue their research by determining the Hausdorff and packing dimensions of the level sets and the sets of double times of the random string process $\{u_t(x):t\ge 0, x\in {\mathbb{R}}\}$. We also consider the Hausdorff and packing dimensions of the range and graph of the string.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612700
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612700 (alternate)

4745. Modified empirical CLT's under only pre-Gaussian conditions

Author(s): Shahar Mendelson and Joel Zinn

Abstract: We show that a modified Empirical process converges to the limiting Gaussian process whenever the limit is continuous. The modification depends on the properties of the limit via Talagrand's characterization of the continuity of Gaussian processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612703
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612703 (alternate)

4746. Empirical and Gaussian processes on Besov classes

Author(s): Richard Nickl

Abstract: We give several conditions for pregaussianity of norm balls of Besov spaces defined over $\mathbb{R}^d$ by exploiting results in Haroske and Triebel (2005). Furthermore, complementing sufficient conditions in Nickl and P\"{o}tscher (2005), we give necessary conditions on the parameters of the Besov space to obtain the Donsker property of such balls. For certain parameter combinations Besov balls are shown to be pregaussian but not Donsker.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612706
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612706 (alternate)

4747. Invariance principle for stochastic processes with short memory

Author(s): Magda Peligrad and Sergey Utev

Abstract: In this paper we give simple sufficient conditions for linear type processes with short memory that imply the invariance principle. Various examples including projective criterion are considered as applications. In particular, we treat the weak invariance principle for partial sums of linear processes with short memory. We prove that whenever the partial sums of innovations satisfy the $L_p$--invariance principle, then so does the partial sums of its corresponding linear process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612707
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612707 (alternate)

4748. Homogenenous Multitype Fragmentations

Author(s): Jean Bertoin (PMA and DMA)

Abstract: A homogeneous mass-fragmentation, as it has been defined in \cite{RFC}, describes the evolution of the collection of masses of fragments of an object which breaks down into pieces as time passes. Here, we show that this model can be enriched by considering also the types of the fragments, where a type may represent, for instance, a geometrical shape, and can take finitely many values. In this setting, the dynamics of a randomly tagged fragment play a crucial role in the analysis of the fragmentation. They are determined by a Markov additive process whose distribution depends explicitly on the characteristics of the fragmentation. As applications, we make explicit the connexion with multitype branching random walks, and obtain multitype analogs of the pathwise central limit theorem and large deviation estimates for the empirical distribution of fragments.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612710
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612710 (alternate)

4749. Path Integrals on a Compact Manifold with Non-negative Curvature

Author(s): Adrian P.C. Lim

Abstract: A typical path integral on a manifold, $M$ is an informal expression of the form \frac{1}{Z}\int_{\sigma \in H(M)} f(\sigma) e^{-E(\sigma)}\mathcal{D}\sigma, \nonumber where $H(M)$ is a Hilbert manifold of paths with energy $E(\sigma) < \infty$, $f$ is a real valued function on $H(M)$, $\mathcal{D}\sigma$ is a \textquotedblleft Lebesgue measure \textquotedblright and $Z$ is a normalization constant. For a compact Riemannian manifold $M$, we wish to interpret $\mathcal{D}\sigma$ as a Riemannian \textquotedblleft volume form \textquotedblright over $H(M)$, equipped with its natural $G^{1}$ metric. Given an equally spaced partition, ${\mathcal{P}}$ of $[0,1],$ let $H_{{\mathcal{P}}%}(M)$ be the finite dimensional Riemannian submanifold of $H(M) $ consisting of piecewise geodesic paths adapted to $\mathcal{P.}$ Under certain curvature restrictions on $M,$ it is shown that \[ \frac{1}{Z_{{\mathcal{P}}}}e^{-{1/2}E(\sigma)}dVol_{H_{{\mathcal{P}}}% }(\sigma)\to\rho(\sigma)d\nu(\sigma)\text{as}\mathrm{mesh}% ({\mathcal{P}})\to0, \] where $Z_{{\mathcal{P}}}$ is a \textquotedblleft normalization\textquotedblright constant, $E:H(M) \to\lbrack0,\infty)$ is the energy functional, $Vol_{H_{{\mathcal{P}}%}}$ is the Riemannian volume measure on $H_{\mathcal{P}}(M) ,$ $\nu$ is Wiener measure on continuous paths in $M,$ and $\rho$ is a certain density determined by the curvature tensor of $M.$

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612711
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612711 (alternate)

4750. Risk bounds for the non-parametric estimation of L\'{e}vy processes

Author(s): Jos\'{e} E. Figueroa-L\'{o}pez and Christian Houdr\'{e}

Abstract: Estimation methods for the L\'{e}vy density of a L\'{e}vy process are developed under mild qualitative assumptions. A classical model selection approach made up of two steps is studied. The first step consists in the selection of a good estimator, from an approximating (finite-dimensional) linear model ${\mathcal{S}}$ for the true L\'{e}vy density. The second is a data-driven selection of a linear model ${\mathcal{S}}$, among a given collection $\{{\mathcal{S}}_m\}_{m\in {\mathcal{M}}}$, that approximately realizes the best trade-off between the error of estimation within ${\mathcal{S}}$ and the error incurred when approximating the true L\'{e}vy density by the linear model ${\mathcal{S}}$. Using recent concentration inequalities for functionals of Poisson integrals, a bound for the risk of estimation is obtained. As a byproduct, oracle inequalities and long-run asymptotics for spline estimators are derived. Even though the resulting underlying statistics are based on continuous time observations of the process, approximations based on high-frequency discrete-data can be easily devised.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612697
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0612697 (alternate)

4751. Revisiting two strong approximation results of Dudley and Philipp

Author(s): Philippe Berthet and David M. Mason

Abstract: We demonstrate the strength of a coupling derived from a Gaussian approximation of Zaitsev (1987a) by revisiting two strong approximation results for the empirical process of Dudley and Philipp (1983), and using the coupling to derive extended and refined versions of them.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612701
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0612701 (alternate)

4752. On the Bahadur slope of the Lilliefors and the Cram\'{e}r--von Mises tests of normality

Author(s): Miguel A. Arcones

Abstract: We find the Bahadur slope of the Lilliefors and Cram\'{e}r--von Mises tests of normality.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612708
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0612708 (alternate)

4753. Ivy on the ceiling: first-order polymer depinning transitions with quenched disorder

Author(s): Kenneth S. Alexander

Abstract: We consider a polymer, with monomer locations modeled by the trajectory of an underlying Markov chain, in the presence of a potential thatinteracts with the polymer when it visits a particular site 0. Disorder is introduced by having the interaction vary from one monomer to another, as a constant $u$ plus i.i.d. mean-0 randomness. There is a critical value of $u$ above which the polymer is pinned, placing a positive fraction (called the contact fraction) of its monomers at 0 with high probability. When the excursions of the underlying chain have a finite mean but no finite exponential moment, it is known that the depinning transition (more precisely, the contact fraction) in the corresponding annealed system is discontinuous. One generally expects the presence of disorder to smooth transitions, and it was proved by Giacomin and Toninelli that when the excursion length distribution has power-law tails, the quenched system has a continuous transition even if the annealed system does not. We show here that when the underlying chain is transient but the finite part of the excursion length distribution has exponential tails, then the depinning transition is discontinuous even in the quenched system, and the quenched and annealed critical points are strictly different. By contrast, in the recurrent case, the depinning behavior depends on the subexponential prefactors on the exponential decay of the excursion length distribution, and when these prefactors decay with an appropriate power law, the quenched transition is continuous even though the annealed one is not.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612625
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612625 (alternate)

4754. Merging percolation on $Z^d$ and classical random graphs: Phase transition

Author(s): Tatyana S. Turova and Thomas Vallier

Abstract: We study a random graph model which is a superposition of the bond percolation model on $Z^d$ with probability $p$ of an edge, and a classical random graph $G(n, c/n)$. We show that this model, being a {\it homogeneous} random graph, has a natural relation to the so-called "rank 1 case" of {\it inhomogeneous} random graphs. This allows us to use the newly developed theory of inhomogeneous random graphs to describe the phase diagram on the set of parameters $c\geq 0$ and $0 \leq p

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612644
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612644 (alternate)

4755. A Call-Put Duality for Perpetual American Options

Author(s): Aur\'{e}lien Alfonsi (CERMICS) and Benjamin Jourdain (CERMICS)

Abstract: It is well known that in models with time-homogeneous local volatility functions and constant interest and dividend rates, the European Put prices are transformed into European Call prices by the simultaneous exchanges of the interest and dividend rates and of the strike and spot price of the underlying. This paper investigates such a Call Put duality for perpetual American options. It turns out that the perpetual American Put price is equal to the perpetual American Call price in a model where, in addition to the previous exchanges between the spot price and the strike and between the interest and dividend rates, the local volatility function is modified. We prove that equality of the dual volatility functions only holds in the standard Black-Scholes model with constant volatility. Thanks to these duality results, we design a theoretical calibration procedure of the local volatility function from the perpetual Call and Put prices for a fixed spot price $x_0$. The knowledge of the Put (resp. Call) prices for all strikes enables to recover the local volatility function on the interval $(0,x_0)$ (resp. $(x_0,+\infty)$).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612648
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612648 (alternate)

4756. General Duality for Perpetual American Options

Author(s): Aur\'{e}lien Alfonsi (CERMICS) and Benjamin Jourdain (CERMICS)

Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the generalization of the Call-Put duality equality obtained in [1] for perpetual American options when the Call-Put payoff $(y-x)^+$ is replaced by $\phi(x,y)$. It turns out that the duality still holds under monotonicity and concavity assumptions on $\phi$. The specific analytical form of the Call-Put payoff only makes calculations easier but is not crucial unlike in the derivation of the Call-Put duality equality for European options. Last, we give some examples for which the optimal strategy is known explicitly.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612649
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612649 (alternate)

4757. Level crossings and other level functionals of stationary Gaussian processes

Author(s): Marie F. Kratz

Abstract: This paper presents a synthesis on the mathematical work done on level crossings of stationary Gaussian processes, with some extensions. The main results [(factorial) moments, representation into the Wiener Chaos, asymptotic results, rate of convergence, local time and number of crossings] are described, as well as the different approaches [normal comparison method, Rice method, Stein-Chen method, a general $m$-dependent method] used to obtain them; these methods are also very useful in the general context of Gaussian fields. Finally some extensions [time occupation functionals, number of maxima in an interval, process indexed by a bidimensional set] are proposed, illustrating the generality of the methods. A large inventory of papers and books on the subject ends the survey.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612577
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612577 (alternate)

4758. A Random Multiple Access Protocol with Spatial Interactions

Author(s): Charles Bordenave and Serguei Foss and Vsevolod Shneer

Abstract: We analyse an aloha type access protocol where users have local interactions. We establish that the fluid model of the system workload satisfies a differential equation. We exhibit a sufficient condition on the stability of this differential equation and deduce a sufficient condition for the stability of the protocol. We discuss the necessary condition.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612583
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612583 (alternate)

4759. Volume growth and heat kernel estimates for the continuum random tree

Author(s): David Croydon

Abstract: In this article, we prove global and local (point-wise) volume and heat kernel bounds for the continuum random tree. We demonstrate that there are almost-surely logarithmic global fluctuations and log-logarithmic local fluctuations in the volume of balls of radius $r$ about the leading order polynomial term as $r\to0$. We also show that the on-diagonal part of the heat kernel exhibits corresponding global and local fluctuations as $t\to0$ almost-surely. Finally, we prove that this quenched (almost-sure) behaviour contrasts with the local annealed (averaged over all realisations of the tree) volume and heat kernel behaviour, which is smooth.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612585
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612585 (alternate)

4760. Stochastic integrals and asymptotic analysis of canonical von Mises statistics based on dependent observations

Author(s): Igor S. Borisov and Alexander A. Bystrov

Abstract: In the first part of the paper we study stochastic integrals of a nonrandom function with respect to a nonorthogonal Hilbert noise defined on a semiring of subsets of an arbitrary nonempty set. In the second part we apply this construction to study limit behavior of canonical (i.e., degenerate) Von Mises statistics based on weakly dependent stationary observations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612594
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612594 (alternate)

4761. The Length of an SLE - Monte Carlo Studies

Author(s): Tom Kennedy

Abstract: The scaling limits of a variety of critical two-dimensional lattice models are equal to the Schramm-Loewner evolution (SLE) for a suitable value of the parameter kappa. These lattice models have a natural parametrization of their random curves given by the length of the curve. This parametrization (with suitable scaling) should provide a natural parametrization for the curves in the scaling limit. We conjecture that this parametrization is also given by a type of fractal variation along the curve, and present Monte Carlo simulations to support this conjecture. Then we show by simulations that if this fractal variation is used to parametrize the SLE, then the parametrized curves have the same distribution as the curves in the scaling limit of the lattice models with their natural parametrization.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612609
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612609 (alternate)

4762. Linear Ramsey numbers for bounded-degree hypergraphs

Author(s): Yoshiyasu Ishigami

Abstract: We show that the Ramsey number is linear for every uniform hypergraph with bounded-degree. This is a hypergraph extension of the famous theorem for ordinary graphs which Chv\'atal et al. showed in 1983. Our proof is simple, contains the multicolor case, and provides a strong embedding lemma.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612601
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0612601 (alternate)

4763. Gaussian processes, kinematic formulae and Poincar\'e's limit

Author(s): Jonathan E. Taylor and Robert J. Adler

Abstract: We consider vector valued, unit variance Gaussian processes $y$ defined over piecewise $C^2$ stratified manifolds $M$ and consider the geometry of their (random) excursion sets $M\cap y^{-1}D$ for $D$ a stratified subset of Euclidean space. In particular, we develop an explicit formula for the expectation of all the Lipshitz-Killing curvatures of these sets. This formula has an interpretation as a version of the classic kinematic fundamental formula of Integral Geometry, in which integration over the isometry group with respect to Haar measure is replaced by integration over a function space with respect to an appropriate Gaussian measure. Particularly novel is the method of proof, based on approximating the Gaussian processes by processes on spheres, the orthonormal expansions of which have (random) coefficients on the $n$-sphere. The $n\to\infty$ limit is handled via recent extensions of the classic Poincar\'e limit theorem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612580
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DG/0612580 (alternate)

4764. The asymptotic behavios of free convolution

Author(s): Hari Bercovici and Jiun-Chau Wang

Abstract: We give a streamlined proof of the limit theorems for the free additive convolution of infinitesimal triangular arrays of probability measures on the real line. The result was first proved by Chistyakov and G\"otze using analytic subordination.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612599
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0612599 (alternate)

4765. Localization of favorite points for diffusion in random environment

Author(s): Dimitrios Cheliotis

Abstract: For a diffusion X_t in a one-dimensional Wiener medium W, it is known that there is a certain process b_x(W) that depends only on the environment W, so that X_t-b_{logt}(W) converges in distribution as t goes to infinity. We prove that, modulo a relatively small time change, the process {b_x(W):x>0}is followed closely by the process {F_X(e^x): x>0}, with F_X(t) denoting the point with the most local time for the diffusion at time t.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612533
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612533 (alternate)

4766. Rank distributions in semiotics

Author(s): V. P. Maslov and T. V. Maslova

Abstract: The notions of real and user cardinality of a sign are introduced. Rank distributions can be extended to arbitrary sign objects, i.e., semiotic systems. The dynamics of the distribution of consumer durables, such as automobiles, is studied.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612540
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612540 (alternate)

4767. On Exponential Ergodicity of Multiclass Queueing Networks

Author(s): David Gamarnik and Sean Meyn

Abstract: One of the key performance measures in queueing systems is the exponential decay rate of the steady-state tail probabilities of the queue lengths. It is known that if a corresponding fluid model is stable and the stochastic primitives have finite moments, then the queue lengths also have finite moments, so that the tail probability \pr(\cdot >s) decays faster than s^{-n} for any n. It is natural to conjecture that the decay rate is in fact exponential. In this paper an example is constructed to demonstrate that this conjecture is false. For a specific stationary policy applied to a network with exponentially distributed interarrival and service times it is shown that the corresponding fluid limit model is stable, but the tail probability for the buffer length decays slower than s^{-\log s}.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612544
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612544 (alternate)

4768. A contact process with mutations on a tree

Author(s): Thomas M. Liggett and Rinaldo B. Schinazi and and Jason Schweinsberg

Abstract: Consider the following stochastic model for immune response. Each pathogen gives birth to a new pathogen at rate $\lambda$. When a new pathogen is born, it has the same type as its parent with probability $1 - r$. With probability $r$, a mutation occurs, and the new pathogen has a different type from all previously observed pathogens. When a new type appears in the population, it survives for an exponential amount of time with mean 1, independently of all the other types. All pathogens of that type are killed simultaneously. Schinazi and Schweinsberg (2006) have shown that this model on $\Z^d$ behaves rather differently from its non-spatial version. In this paper, we show that this model on a homogeneous tree captures features from both the non-spatial version and the $\Z^d$ version. We also obtain comparison results between this model and the basic contact process on general graphs.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612564
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612564 (alternate)

4769. A New Approach for Capacity Analysis of Large Dimensional Multi-Antenna Channels

Author(s): Walid Hachem (LTCI) and Oleksiy Khorunzhiy and Philippe Loubaton (IGM-LabInfo), Jamal Najim (LTCI), Leonid Pastur

Abstract: This paper adresses the behaviour of the mutual information of correlated MIMO Rayleigh channels when the numbers of transmit and receive antennas converge to infinity at the same rate. Using a new and simple approach based on Poincar\'{e}-Nash inequality and on an integration by parts formula, it is rigorously established that the mutual information converges to a Gaussian random variable whose mean and variance are evaluated. These results confirm previous evaluations based on the powerful but non rigorous replica method. It is believed that the tools that are used in this paper are simple, robust, and of interest for the communications engineering community.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0612076
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.IT/0612076 (alternate)

4770. A new method for queuing performance estimates Using Markov chains

Author(s): Richard G. Clegg

Abstract: This paper gives an exact closed form solution for the expected queue length at equilibrium of a G/D/1 discrete time queuing system in which the arrival process is a specific Markov-modulated process. A system of equations is given which can calculate the probability that the queue has a given length. The results are tested in simulation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612476
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612476 (alternate)

4771. The area of exponential random walk and partial sums of uniform order statistics

Author(s): Vladislav Vysotsky

Abstract: Let S_i be a random walk with standard exponential increments. We call \sum_{i=1}^k S_i its k-step area. The random variable V = \inf_{k \ge 1} \frac{2}{k(k+1)} \sum_{i=1}^k S_i plays important role in the study of so-called one-dimensional sticky particles model. We find the distribution of V and prove that P(V > t) = \sqrt{1-t} exp(-t/2) for t in [0,1]. We also show that the variables \min_{1 \le k \le n} \frac{2n}{k(k+1)} \sum_{i=1}^k U_{i, n} converge in distribution to V. Here U_{i, n} are the order statistics of n i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed on [0,1].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612490
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612490 (alternate)

4772. Multi-step Richardson-Romberg Extrapolation: Remarks on Variance Control and complexity

Author(s): Gilles Pag\`{e}s (PMA)

Abstract: We propose a multi-step Richardson-Romberg extrapolation method for the computation of expectations $E f(X_{_T})$ of a diffusion $(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ when the weak time discretization error induced by the Euler scheme admits an expansion at an order $R\ge 2$. The complexity of the estimator grows as $R^2$ (instead of $2^R$) and its variance is asymptotically controlled by considering some consistent Brownian increments in the underlying Euler schemes. Some Monte carlo simulations carried with path-dependent options (lookback, barriers) which support the conjecture that their weak time discretization error also admits an expansion (in a different scale). Then an appropriate Richardson-Romberg extrapolation seems to outperform the Euler scheme with Brownian bridge.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612523
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612523 (alternate)

4773. Capital allocation for credit portfolios with kernel estimators

Author(s): Dirk Tasche

Abstract: Determining contributions by sub-portfolios or single exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital for credit risk is an important risk measurement task. Often economic capital is measured as Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the portfolio loss distribution. For many of the credit portfolio risk models used in practice, then the VaR contributions have to be estimated from Monte Carlo samples. In the context of a partly continuous loss distribution (i.e. continuous except for a positive point mass on zero), we investigate how to combine kernel estimation methods with importance sampling to achieve more efficient (i.e. less volatile) estimation of VaR contributions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612470
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0612470 (alternate)

4774. On the hyperplane conjecture for random convex sets

Author(s): Bo'az Klartag and Gady Kozma

Abstract: Let N > n, and denote by K the convex hull of N independent standard gaussian random vectors in an n-dimensional Euclidean space. We prove that with high probability, the isotropic constant of K is bounded by a universal constant. Thus we verify the hyperplane conjecture for the class of gaussian random polytopes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612517
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0612517 (alternate)

4775. A new REM conjecture

Author(s): Gerard Ben Arous and Veronique Gayrard and Alexey Kuptsov

Abstract: We introduce here a new universality conjecture for levels of random Hamiltonians, in the same spirit as the local REM conjecture made by S. Mertens and H. Bauke. We establish our conjecture for a wide class of Gaussian and non-Gaussian Hamiltonians, which include the $p$-spin models, the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model and the number partitioning problem. We prove that our universality result is optimal for the last two models by showing when this universality breaks down.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612373
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612373 (alternate)

4776. Tightness for a family of recursive equations

Author(s): Maury Bramson and Ofer Zeitouni

Abstract: In this paper, we study the tightness of solutions for a family of recursive equations. These equations arise naturally in the study of random walks on tree-like structures. Examples include the maximal displacement of branching random walk in one dimension, and the cover time of symmetric simple random walk on regular binary trees. Recursion equations associated with the distribution functions of these quantities have been used to establish weak laws of large numbers. Here, we use these recursion equations to establish the tightness of the corresponding sequences of distribution functions after appropriate centering. We phrase our results in a fairly general context, which we hope will facilitate their application in other settings.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612382
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612382 (alternate)

4777. Joint probability for the Pearcey process

Author(s): Mark Adler & Pierre van Moerbeke

Abstract: This paper is a step in the direction of understanding the behavior of non-intersecting Brownian motions on the real line, when the number of particles becomes large. Consider 2k non-intersecting Brownian motions, all starting at the origin, such that the k left paths end up at -a and the k right paths end up at +a at time t=1. The Karlin-McGregor formula enables one to express the transition probability in terms of a matrix model, consisting of Gaussian Hermitian random matrices in a chain with external source. It is shown that the log of the probability for this model satisfies a fourth order PDE with a quartic non-linearity, obtained by means of the 3-component KP hierarchy and Virasoro constraints. When the number of particles grows very large, the particles will be concentrated on two intervals near t=0 and on one interval near t=1. The Pearcey process is the infinite-dimensional diffusion, near the critical transition from two to one interval. An appropriate scaling limit of the PDE for the finite model leads to a non-linear PDE for the multi-time transition probabilities of the Pearcey process. We conjecture that each of the Markov clouds (like the Pearcey process) arising near phase transitions is related to some integrable system. Moreover, there is an intimate connection between the integrable system and the associated Riemann-Hilbert problem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612393
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612393 (alternate)

4778. On a distribution in frequency probability theory corresponding to the Bose-Einstein distribution

Author(s): V. P. Maslov

Abstract: The notion of density of a finite set is discussed. We proof a general theorem of set theory which refines Bose-Einstein distribution.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612394
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612394 (alternate)

4779. Influences and decision trees

Author(s): Hamed Hatami

Abstract: A celebrated theorem of Friedgut says that every function $f:\{0,1\}^n \to \{0,1\}$ can be approximated by a function $g:\{0,1\}^n \to \{0,1\}$ with $\|f-g\|_2^2 \le \epsilon$ which depends only on $e^{O(I_f/\epsilon)}$ variables where $I_f$ is the sum of the influences of the variables of $f$. Dinur and Friedgut later showed that this statement also holds if we replace the discrete domain $\{0,1\}^n$ with the continuous domain $[0,1]^n$, under the extra assumption that $f$ is monotone. They conjectured that the condition of monotonicity is unnecessary and can be removed. We show that certain constant-depth decision trees provide counter-examples to Dinur-Friedgut conjecture. This suggests a reformulation of the conjecture in which the function $g:[0,1]^n \to \{0,1\}$ instead of depending on a small number of variables has a decision tree of small depth. In fact we prove this reformulation by showing that the depth of the decision tree of $g$ can be bounded by $e^{O(I_f/\epsilon^2)}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612405
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612405 (alternate)

4780. Dynamical properties and characterization of gradient drift diffusions

Author(s): S\'{e}bastien Darses (PMA) and Ivan Nourdin (PMA)

Abstract: We study the dynamical properties of the Brownian diffusions having $\sigma {\rm Id}$ as diffusion coefficient matrix and $b=\nabla U$ as drift vector. We characterize this class through the equality $D^2_+=D^2_-$, where $D_{+}$ (resp. $D_-$) denotes the forward (resp. backward) stochastic derivative of Nelson's type. Our proof is based on a remarkable identity for $D_+^2-D_-^2$ and on the use of the martingale problem. We also give a new formulation of a famous theorem of Kolmogorov concerning reversible diffusions. We finally relate our characterization to some questions about the complex stochastic embedding of the Newton equation which initially motivated of this work.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612413
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612413 (alternate)

4781. An L2 theory for differential forms on path spaces I

Author(s): K.D. Elworthy and Xue-Mei Li

Abstract: An L2 theory of differential forms is proposed for the Banach manifold of continuous paths on Riemannian manifolds M furnished with its Brownian motion measure. Differentiation must be restricted to certain Hilbert space directions, the H-tangent vectors. To obtain a closed exterior differential operator the relevant spaces of differential forms, the H-forms, are perturbed by the curvature of M. A Hodge decomposition is given for L2 H-one-forms, and the structure of H-two -forms is described. The dual operator d* is analysed in terms of a natural connection on the H-tangent spaces. Malliavin calculus is a basic tool.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612416
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612416 (alternate)

4782. Heat kernel and Green function estimates on affine buildings of type $\tilde{A}_r$

Author(s): Jean-Philippe Anker (MAPMO) and Bruno Schapira (MAPMO and PMA) and Bartosz Trojan (MAPMO)

Abstract: We obtain a global estimate of the transition density $p^n(0,x)$ associated to a nearest neighbor random walk, called here "simple", on affine buildings of type $\widetilde{A}_r$. Then we deduce a global estimate of the Green function. This is the analogue of a result on Riemannian symmetric spaces of the noncompact type.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612385
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0612385 (alternate)

4783. Sharp Thresholds for Constraint Satisfaction Problem and Graph Homomorphisms

Author(s): Hamed Hatami and Michael Molloy

Abstract: We determine under which conditions certain natural models of random constraint satisfaction problems have sharp thresholds of satisfiability. These models include graph and hypergraph homomorphism, the $(d,k,t)$-model, and binary constraint satisfaction problems with domain size 3.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612391
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0612391 (alternate)

4784. On the minimization of operational risks

Author(s): V. P. Maslov

Abstract: We give a risk-minimizing formula for government investments taking into account the zero intelligence law for financial markets.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612395
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.GM/0612395 (alternate)

4785. Crossing Probabilities for Diffusion Processes with Piecewise Continuous Boundaries

Author(s): Liqun Wang and Klaus P\"otzelberger

Abstract: We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class includes many interesting processes in real applications, e.g., Ornstein-Uhlenbeck, growth processes and geometric Brownian motion with time dependent drift. This method applies to both one-sided and two-sided general nonlinear boundaries, which may be discontinuous. Using this approach explicit formulas for boundary crossing probabilities for certain nonlinear boundaries are obtained, which are useful in evaluation and comparison of various omputational algorithms. Moreover, numerical computation can be easily done by Monte Carlo integration and the approximation errors for general boundaries are automatically calculated. Some numerical examples are presented.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612337
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612337 (alternate)

4786. What is the natural scale for a L\'evy process in modelling term structure of interest rates?

Author(s): Jir\^o Akahori and Takahiro Tsuchiya

Abstract: This paper gives examples of explicit arbitrage-free term structure models with L\'evy jumps via state price density approach. By generalizing quadratic Gaussian models, it is found that the probability density function of a L\'evy process is a "natural" scale for the process to be the state variable of a market.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612341
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612341 (alternate)

4787. On the Longest Increasing Subsequence for Finite and Countable Alphabets

Author(s): Christian houdr\'e and Trevis J. Litherland

Abstract: Let $X_1, X_2, ..., X_n, ... $ be a sequence of iid random variables with values in a finite alphabet $\{1,...,m\}$. Let $LI_n$ be the length of the longest increasing subsequence of $X_1, X_2, ..., X_n.$ We express the limiting distribution of $LI_n$ as functionals of $m$ and $(m-1)$-dimensional Brownian motions. These expressions are then related to similar functionals appearing in queueing theory, allowing us to further establish asymptotic behaviors as $m$ grows. The finite alphabet results are then used to treat the countable (infinite) alphabet.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612364
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612364 (alternate)

4788. Anticipating Reflected Stochastic Differential Equations

Author(s): Zongxia Liang and Tusheng Zhang

Abstract: In this paper, we establish the existence of the solutions $ (X, L)$ of reflected stochastic differential equations with possible anticipating initial random variables. The key is to obtain some substitution formula for Stratonovich integrals via a uniform convergence of the corresponding Riemann sums.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612294
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612294 (alternate)

4789. On recurrence of reflected random walk on the half-line. With an appendix on results of Martin Benda

Author(s): Marc Peign\'e and Wolfgang Woess

Abstract: Let $(Y_n)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. real valued random variables. Reflected random walk $(X_n)$ is defined recursively by $X_0=x \ge 0$, $X_{n+1} = |X_n - Y_{n+1}|$. In this note, we study recurrence of this process, extending a previous criterion. This is obtained by determining an invariant measure of the embedded process of reflections.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612306
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612306 (alternate)

4790. On a model for the storage of files on a hardware II : Evolution of a typical data block

Author(s): Vincent Bansaye (PMA)

Abstract: We consider a generalized version in continuous time of the parking problem of Knuth. Files arrive following a Poisson point process and are stored on a hardware identified with the real line, at the right of their arrival point. We study here the evolution of the extremities of the data block straddling 0, which is empty at time 0 and is equal to $\RRR$ at a deterministic time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612312
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612312 (alternate)

4791. Free-Knot Spline Approximation of Stochastic Processes

Author(s): J. Creutzig and T. Mueller-Gronbach and K. Ritter

Abstract: We study optimal approximation of stochastic processes by polynomial splines with free knots. The number of free knots is either a priori fixed or may depend on the particular trajectory. For the $s$-fold integrated Wiener process as well as for scalar diffusion processes we determine the asymptotic behavior of the average $L_p$-distance to the splines spaces, as the (expected) number $k$ of free knots tends to infinity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612313
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612313 (alternate)

4792. Scaling limits of bipartite planar maps are homeomorphic to the 2-sphere

Author(s): J.F. Le Gall and F. Paulin

Abstract: We prove that scaling limits of random planar maps which are uniformly distributed over the set of all rooted 2k-angulations are a.s. homeomorphic to the two-dimensional sphere. Our methods rely on the study of certain random geodesic laminations of the disk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612315
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612315 (alternate)

4793. Automorphisms of the type II_1 Arveson system of Warren's noise

Author(s): Boris Tsirelson

Abstract: Motions of the plane (shifts and rotations) correspond to automorphisms of the type I Arveson system of white noise. I prove that automorphisms corresponding to rotations cannot be extended to the type II Arveson system of Warren's noise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612303
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0612303 (alternate)

4794. A large closed queueing network in Markov environment and its application

Author(s): Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Abstract: A paper studies a closed queueing network containing a server station and $k$ client stations. The server station is an infinite server queueing system, and client stations are single server queueing systems with autonomous service, i.e. every client station serves customers (units) only at random instants generated by strictly stationary and ergodic sequence of random variables. The total number of units in the network is $N$. The expected times between departures in client stations are $(N\mu_j)^{-1}$. After service completion in the server station a unit is transmitted to the $j$th client station with probability $p_{j}$ $(j=1,2,...,k)$, and being processed in the $j$th client station the unit returns to server station. The network is assumed to be in Markov environment. The Markov environment is defined by initial state, and phase space of dimension $d$. Then the routing matrix $p_{j}$ as well as transmission rates (which are expressed via parameters of the network) depend on the Markov state of the environment. The paper studies the queue-length processes in client stations of this network, and is aimed to analysis of performance measures associated with this network. The questions risen in this paper have immediate relation to quality control of complex telecommunication networks.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612224
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612224 (alternate)

4795. A functional limit theorem for the position of a particle in a Lorentz type model

Author(s): Vladislav Vysotsky

Abstract: Consider a particle moving through a random medium, which consists of spherical obstacles, randomly distributed in R^d. The particle is accelerated by a constant external field; when colliding with an obstacle, the particle inelastically reflects. We study the asymptotics of X(t), which denotes the position of the particle at time t, as t tends to infinity. The result is a functional limit theorem for X(t).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612253
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612253 (alternate)

4796. The Poisson boundary of triangular matrices in a number field

Author(s): Bruno Schapira (MAPMO and PMA)

Abstract: The aim of this note is to describe the Poisson boundary of the group of invertible triangular matrices with coefficients in a number field. It generalizes to any dimension and to any number field a result of Brofferio \cite{Bro} concerning the Poisson boundary of random rational affinities.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612272
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612272 (alternate)

4797. Error structures and parameter estimation

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS) and Christophe Chorro (CERMICS and CERMSEM)

Abstract: This article proposes a link between statistics and the theory of Dirichlet forms used to compute errors. The error calculus based on Dirichlet forms is an extension of classical Gauss' approach to error propagation. The aim of this paper is to derive error structures from measurements. The links with Fisher's information lay the foundations of a strong connection with experiment. We show that this connection behaves well towards changes of variables and is related to the theory of asymptotic statistics.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612258
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0612258 (alternate)

4798. On Mixing and Ergodicity in Locally Compact Motion Groups

Author(s): M. Anoussis and D. Gatzouras

Abstract: Let $G$ be a semi-direct product $G=A\times_\phi K$ with $A$ Abelian and $K$ compact. We characterize spread-out probability measures on $G$ that are mixing by convolutions by means of their Fourier transforms. A key tool is a spectral radius formula for the Fourier transform of a regular Borel measure on $G$ that we develop, and which is analogous to the well-known Beurling--Gelfand spectral radius formula. For spread-out probability measures on $G$, we also characterize ergodicity by means of the Fourier transform of the measure. Finally, we show that spread-out probability measures on such groups are mixing if and only if they are weakly mixing.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612262
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.FA/0612262 (alternate)

4799. Limit theorems for free multiplicative convolutions

Author(s): Hari Bercovici and Jiun-Chau Wang

Abstract: We determine the distributional behavior for products of free random variables in a general infinitesimal triangular array. In the case of positive variables, the main theorem extends a result proved earlier for arrays with identically distributed rows. The case of unitary variables is considered as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612278
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0612278 (alternate)

4800. The similarity metric

Author(s): Ming Li (Univ. of Waterloo and BioInformatics Solutions Inc.) and Xin Chen (Univ. California, Santa Barbara), Xin Li (Univ. Western Ontario), Bin Ma (Univ. Western Ontario), Paul Vitanyi (CWI and Univ. of Amsterdam)

Abstract: A new class of distances appropriate for measuring similarity relations between sequences, say one type of similarity per distance, is studied. We propose a new ``normalized information distance'', based on the noncomputable notion of Kolmogorov complexity, and show that it is in this class and it minorizes every computable distance in the class (that is, it is universal in that it discovers all computable similarities). We demonstrate that it is a metric and call it the {\em similarity metric}. This theory forms the foundation for a new practical tool. To evidence generality and robustness we give two distinctive applications in widely divergent areas using standard compression programs like gzip and GenCompress. First, we compare whole mitochondrial genomes and infer their evolutionary history. This results in a first completely automatic computed whole mitochondrial phylogeny tree. Secondly, we fully automatically compute the language tree of 52 different languages.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0111054
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.CC/0111054 (alternate)

4801. A New Quartet Tree Heuristic for Hierarchical Clustering

Author(s): Rudi Cilibrasi and Paul M.B. Vitanyi

Abstract: We consider the problem of constructing an an optimal-weight tree from the 3*(n choose 4) weighted quartet topologies on n objects, where optimality means that the summed weight of the embedded quartet topologiesis optimal (so it can be the case that the optimal tree embeds all quartets as non-optimal topologies). We present a heuristic for reconstructing the optimal-weight tree, and a canonical manner to derive the quartet-topology weights from a given distance matrix. The method repeatedly transforms a bifurcating tree, with all objects involved as leaves, achieving a monotonic approximation to the exact single globally optimal tree. This contrasts to other heuristic search methods from biological phylogeny, like DNAML or quartet puzzling, which, repeatedly, incrementally construct a solution from a random order of objects, and subsequently add agreement values.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cs/0606048
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cs.DS/0606048 (alternate)

4802. Two-player Knock 'em Down

Author(s): James Allen Fill and David B. Wilson

Abstract: We analyze the two-player game of Knock 'em Down, asymptotically as the number of tokens to be knocked down becomes large. Optimal play requires mixed strategies with deviations of order sqrt(n) from the naive law-of-large numbers allocation. Upon rescaling by sqrt(n) and sending n to infinity, we show that optimal play's random deviations always have bounded support and have marginal distributions that are absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612205
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612205 (alternate)

4803. Sinai's walk: a statistical aspect

Author(s): Pierre Andreoletti (MAPMO)

Abstract: We consider Sinai's random walk in random environment. We prove that the logarithm of the local time is a good estimator of the random potential associated to the random environment. We give a constructive method allowing us to built the random environment from a single trajectory of the random walk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612209
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612209 (alternate)

4804. A filtering approach to tracking volatility from prices observed at random times

Author(s): Jak\v{s}a Cvitani\'{c} and Robert Liptser and Boris Rozovskii

Abstract: This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t} dt+v(\theta_{t})S_{t} dB_{t}, \] where $B=(B_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is a Brownian motion, $v$ is a positive function and $\theta=(\theta_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is a c\'{a}dl\'{a}g strong Markov process. The random process $\theta$ is unobservable. We assume also that the asset price $S_{t}$ is observed only at random times $0<\tau_{1}<\tau_{2}<....$ This is an appropriate assumption when modeling high frequency financial data (e.g., tick-by-tick stock prices). In the above setting the problem of estimation of $\theta$ can be approached as a special nonlinear filtering problem with measurements generated by a multivariate point process $(\tau_{k},\log S_{\tau_{k}})$. While quite natural, this problem does not fit into the ``standard'' diffusion or simple point process filtering frameworks and requires more technical tools. We derive a closed form optimal recursive Bayesian filter for $\theta_{t}$, based on the observations of $(\tau_{k},\log S_{\tau_{k}})_{k\geq1}$. It turns out that the filter is given by a recursive system that involves only deterministic Kolmogorov-type equations, which should make the numerical implementation relatively easy.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612212
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612212 (alternate)

4805. A slow transient diffusion in a drifted stable potential

Author(s): Arvind Singh (PMA)

Abstract: We consider a diffusion process $X$ in a random potential $\V$ of the form $\V_x = \S_x -\delta x$ where $\delta$ is a positive drift and $\S$ is a strictly stable process of index $\alpha\in (1,2)$ with positive jumps. Then the diffusion is transient and $X_t / \log^\alpha t$ converges in law towards an exponential distribution. This behaviour contrasts with the case where $\V$ is a drifted Brownian motion and provides an example of a transient diffusion in a random potential which is as "slow" as in the recurrent setting.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612220
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612220 (alternate)

4806. Duality and exact correlations for a model of heat conduction

Author(s): C. Giardin\'a and J. Kurchan and F. Redig

Abstract: We study a model of heat conduction with stochastic diffusion of energy. We obtain a dual particle process which describes the evolution of all the correlation functions. An exact expression for the covariance of the energy exhibits long-range correlations in the presence of a current. We discuss the formal connection of this model with the simple symmetric exclusion process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0612198
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0612198 (alternate)

4807. Bessel Potentials, Hitting Distributions and Green Functions

Author(s): T. Byczkowski and M. Ryznar and J. Malecki

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to find explicit formulas for basic objects pertaining the local potential theory of the operator $(I-\Delta)^{\alpha/2}$, $0<\alpha<2$. The potential theory of this operator is based on Bessel potentials $J_{\alpha}=(I-\Delta)^{-\alpha/2}$. We compute the {\it harmonic measure} of the half-space and write a concise form of the corresponding {\it Green function} for the operator $(I-\Delta)^{\alpha/2}$. To achieve this we analyze the so-called {\it relativistic $\alpha$-stable process} on $\R^d$ space, killed when exiting the half-space. In terms of this process we are dealing here with the 1-{\it potential theory} or, equivalently, potential theory of Schr{\"o}dinger operator based on the generator of the process with Kato's potential $q=-1$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612176
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612176 (alternate)

4808. The Limiting Spectra of Girko's Block-Matrix

Author(s): Tamer Oraby

Abstract: To analyze the limiting spectral distribution of some random block-matrices, Girko [Girko, 2000] uses a system of canonical equations from [Girko, 98]. In this paper, we use the method of moments to give an integral form for the almost sure limiting spectral distribution of such matrices.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612177
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612177 (alternate)

4809. Utility Maximization in a jump market model

Author(s): Marie-Amelie Morlais

Abstract: In this paper, we consider the classical problem of utility maximization in a financial market allowing jumps. Assuming that the constraint set is a compact set, rather than a convex one, we use a dynamic method from which we derive a specific BSDE. We then aim at showing existence and uniqueness results for the introduced BSDE. This allows us to give an explicit expression of the value function and characterize optimal strategies for our problem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612181
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612181 (alternate)

4810. An arithmetic model for the total disorder process

Author(s): C. P. Hughes and A. Nikeghbali and M. Yor

Abstract: We prove a multidimensional extension of Selberg's central limit theorem for the logarithm of the Riemann zeta function on the critical line. The limit is a totally disordered process, whose coordinates are all independent and Gaussian.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612195
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612195 (alternate)

4811. Brownian Super-exponents

Author(s): Victor Goodman (Indiana University)

Abstract: We introduce a transform on the class of stochastic exponentials for d-dimensional Brownian motions. Each stochastic exponential generates another stochastic exponential under the transform. The new exponential process is often merely a supermartingale even in cases where the original process is a martingale. We determine a necessary and sufficient condition for the transform to be a martingale process. The condition links expected values of the transformed stochastic exponential to the distribution function of certain time-integrals.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612160
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612160 (alternate)

4812. Approche intrins\`{e}que des fluctuations quantiques en m\'{e}canique stochastique (An intrinsic approach of the quantum fluctuations in stochastic mechanics)

Author(s): Michel Fliess (INRIA Futurs)

Abstract: This note is answering an old questioning about the F\'{e}nyes-Nelson stochastic mechanics. The Brownian nature of the quantum fluctuations, which are associated to this mechanics, is deduced from Feynman's interpretation of the Heisenberg uncertainty principle via infinitesimal random walks stemming from nonstandard analysis. It is therefore no more necessary to combine those fluctuations with a background field, which has never been well understood. Most of the technical details are contained in an extended english abstract.

http://arXiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0612033
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/quant-ph/0612033 (alternate)

4813. Markov loops, determinants and Gaussian fields

Author(s): Yves Le Jan (LM-Orsay)

Abstract: The purpose of this note is to explore some simple relations between loop measures, determinants, and Gaussian Markov fields.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612112
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612112 (alternate)

4814. Square summability of variations and convergence of the transfer operator

Author(s): Anders Johansson and Anders \"Oberg

Abstract: In this paper we study the one-sided shift operator on a state space defined by a finite alphabet. Using a scheme developed by Walters [13], we prove that the sequence of iterates of the transfer operator converges under square summability of variations of the g-function, a condition which gave uniqueness of a g-measure in [7]. We also prove uniqueness of so-called G-measures, introduced by Brown and Dooley [2], under square summability of variations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612131
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0612131 (alternate)

4815. Computable Exponential Bounds for Screened Estimation and Simulation

Author(s): I. Kontoyiannis and S.P. Meyn

Abstract: Suppose the expectation E(F(X)) is to be estimated by the empirical averages of the values of F on independent and identically distributed samples {X_i}. A sampling rule called the ``screened'' estimator is introduced, and its performance is studied. When the mean E(U(X)) of a different function U is known, the estimates are ``screened,'' in that we only consider those which correspond to times when the empirical average of the {U(X_i)} is sufficiently close to its known mean. As long as U dominates F appropriately, the screened estimates admit exponential error bounds, even when F(X) is heavy-tailed. The main results are several nonasymptotic, explicit exponential bounds for the screened estimates. A geometric interpretation, in the spirit of Sanov's theorem, is given for the fact that the screened estimates always admit exponential error bounds, even if the standard estimates do not. And when they do, the screened estimates' error probability has a significantly better exponent. This implies that screening can be interpreted as a variance reduction technique. Our main mathematical tools come from large deviations techniques. The results are illustrated by a detailed simulation example.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612040
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612040 (alternate)

4816. On the Submodularity of Influence in Social Networks

Author(s): Elchanan Mossel and Sebastien Roch

Abstract: We prove and extend a conjecture of Kempe, Kleinberg, and Tardos (KKT) on the spread of influence in social networks. A social network can be represented by a directed graph where the nodes are individuals and the edges indicate a form of social relationship. A simple way to model the diffusion of ideas, innovative behavior, or ``word-of-mouth'' effects on such a graph is to consider an increasing process of ``infected'' (or active) nodes: each node becomes infected once an activation function of the set of its infected neighbors crosses a certain threshold value. Such a model was introduced by KKT in \cite{KeKlTa:03,KeKlTa:05} where the authors also impose several natural assumptions: the threshold values are (uniformly) random; and the activation functions are monotone and submodular. For an initial set of active nodes $S$, let $\sigma(S)$ denote the expected number of active nodes at termination. Here we prove a conjecture of KKT: we show that the function $\sigma(S)$ is submodular under the assumptions above. We prove the same result for the expected value of any monotone, submodular function of the set of active nodes at termination.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612046
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612046 (alternate)

4817. Attraction time for strongly reinforced walks

Author(s): C. Cotar and V. Limic

Abstract: We consider a class of strongly edge reinforced random walks, where the corresponding reinforcement weight function is non-decreasing. It is known by Limic and Tarr\`es (2006) that the attracting edge emerges with probability 1, whenever the underlying graph is locally bounded. We study the asymptotic behavior of the tail distribution of the (random) time of attraction. In particular, we obtain exact (up to multiplicative constant) asymptotics if the underlying graph has two edges. Next we show some extensions in the setting of finite and bounded degree infinite graphs. A nice corollary is that if the reinforcement weight has the form $W(k) = k^\rho$, $\rho>1$, then (universally over finite graphs) the expected time to attraction is infinite if and only if $\rho \leq 1+ \frac{1+\sqrt{5}}{2}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612048
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612048 (alternate)

4818. Convergence of sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods: I. Nonlinear flow of probability measures

Author(s): Andreas Eberle and Carlo Marinelli

Abstract: Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling schemes. We develop a stability analysis by functional inequalities for a nonlinear flow of probability measures describing the limit behavior of the algorithms as the number of particles tends to infinity. Stability results are derived both under global and local assumptions on the generator of the underlying Metropolis dynamics. This allows us to prove that the combined methods sometimes have good asymptotic stability properties in multimodal setups where traditional MCMC methods mix extremely slowly. For example, this holds for the mean field Ising model at all temperatures.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612074
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612074 (alternate)

4819. Option Pricing without Price Dynamics: A Probabilistic Approach

Author(s): Dimitris Bertsimas and Natasha Bushueva

Abstract: Employing probabilistic techniques we compute best possible upper and lower bounds on the price of an option on one or two assets with continuous piecewise linear payoff function based on prices of simple call options of possibly distinct maturities and the no-arbitrage condition, but without any assumption on the price dynamics of underlying assets. We show that the problem reduces to solving linear optimization problems that we explicitly characterize. We report numerical results that illustrate the effectiveness of the algorithms we develop.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612075
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612075 (alternate)

4820. A singular perturbation approach for choosing PageRank damping factor

Author(s): Konstantin Avrachenkov and Nelly Litvak and Kim Son Pham

Abstract: The choice of the PageRank damping factor is not evident. The Google's choice for the value c=0.85 was a compromise between the true reflection of the Web structure and numerical efficiency. However, the Markov random walk on the original Web Graph does not reflect the importance of the pages because it absorbs in dead ends. Thus, the damping factor is needed not only for speeding up the computations but also for establishing a fair ranking of pages. In this paper, we propose new criteria for choosing the damping factor, based on the ergodic structure of the Web Graph and probability flows. Specifically, we require that the core component receives a fair share of the PageRank mass. Using singular perturbation approach we conclude that the value c=0.85 is too high and suggest that the damping factor should be chosen around 1/2. As a by-product, we describe the ergodic structure of the OUT component of the Web Graph in detail. Our analytical results are confirmed by experiments on two large samples of the Web Graph.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612079
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612079 (alternate)

4821. Hydrodynamics and hydrostatics for a class of asymmetric particle systems with open boundaries

Author(s): Christophe Bahadoran

Abstract: We consider asymmetric attractive particle systems with product invariant measures in any space dimension. We show that, in the presence of open boundaries, the hydrodynamic limit is a scalar conservation law with boundary conditions in the sense defined by Bardos, Leroux and N\'{e}d\'{e}lec. When the boundaries are parallel hyperplanes, we establish a large-time convergence result for the entropy solution and derive the stationary profile for the particle system. Models include current-density relations with arbitrarily many maxima and minima.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612094
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612094 (alternate)

4822. The paving property for uniformly bounded matrices: A new proof

Author(s): Joel A. Tropp

Abstract: This note presents a new proof of an important result due to Bourgain and Tzafriri that provides a partial solution to the Kadison--Singer problem. The result shows that every unit-norm matrix whose entries are relatively small in comparison with its dimension can be paved by a partition of constant size. That is, the coordinates can be partitioned into a constant number of blocks so that the restriction of the matrix to each block of coordinates has norm less than one half. The original proof of Bourgain and Tzafriri involves a long, delicate calculation. The new proof relies on the systematic use of symmetrization and Khintchine inequalities to estimate the norm of some random matrices.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612070
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0612070 (alternate)

4823. Relativistic Diffusion in G\"odel's Universe

Author(s): Jacques Franchi

Abstract: K. G\"odel [G] discovered his celebrated solution to Einstein equations in 1949. Additional contributions were made by Kundt [K] and Hawking-Ellis ([H-E],5.7). On the other hand, a general Lorentz invariant operator, associated to the so-called "relativistic diffusion'', and making sense in any Lorentz manifold, was introduced by Franchi-Le Jan in [F-LJ]. Here is purposed a first study of the relativistic diffusion in the framework of G\"odel's universe, which contains matter.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612020
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612020 (alternate)

4824. Modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities on R

Author(s): Franck Barthe (LSProba) and Cyril Roberto (LAMA)

Abstract: We provide a sufficient condition for a measure on the real line to satisfy a modified logarithmic Sobolev inequality, thus extending the criterion of Bobkov and G\"{o}tze. Under mild assumptions the condition is also necessary. Concentration inequalities are derived. This completes the picture given in recent contributions by Gentil, Guillin and Miclo.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612026
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612026 (alternate)

4825. Exponential Martingales and Time integrals of Brownian Motion

Author(s): Victor Goodman and Kyounghee Kim

Abstract: We find a simple expression for the probability density of $\int \exp (B_s - s/2) ds$ in terms of its distribution function and the distribution function for the time integral of $\exp (B_s + s/2)$. The relation is obtained with a change of measure argument where expectations over events determined by the time integral are replaced by expectations over the entire probability space. We develop precise information concerning the lower tail probabilities for these random variables as well as for time integrals of geometric Brownian motion with arbitrary constant drift. In particular, $E[ \exp\big(\theta / \int \exp (B_s)ds\big) ]$ is finite iff $\theta < 2$. We present a new formula for the price of an Asian call option.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612034
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612034 (alternate)

4826. One-Factor Term Structure without Forward Rates

Author(s): Victor Goodman and Kyounghee Kim

Abstract: We construct a no-arbitrage model of bond prices where the long bond is used as a numeraire. We develop bond prices and their dynamics without developing any model for the spot rate or forward rates. The model is arbitrage free and all nominal interest rates remain positive in the model. We give examples where our model does not have a spot rate; other examples include both spot and forward rates.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0612035
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0612035 (alternate)

4827. Conformal boundary loop models

Author(s): Jesper Lykke Jacobsen (LPTMS and SPhT) and Hubert Saleur (SPhT)

Abstract: We study a model of densely packed self-avoiding loops on the annulus, related to the Temperley Lieb algebra with an extra idempotent boundary generator. Four different weights are given to the loops, depending on their homotopy class and whether they touch the outer rim of the annulus. When the weight of a contractible bulk loop x = q + 1/q satisfies -2 < x <= 2, this model is conformally invariant for any real weight of the remaining three parameters. We classify the conformal boundary conditions and give exact expressions for the corresponding boundary scaling dimensions. The amplitudes with which the sectors with any prescribed number and types of non contractible loops appear in the full partition function Z are computed rigorously. Based on this, we write a number of identities involving Z which hold true for any finite size. When the weight of a contractible boundary loop y takes certain discrete values, y_r = [r+1]_q / [r]_q with r integer, other identities involving the standard characters K_{r,s} of the Virasoro algebra are established. The connection with Dirichlet and Neumann boundary conditions in the O(n) model is discussed in detail, and new scaling dimensions are derived. When q is a root of unity and y = y_r, exact connections with the A_m type RSOS model are made. These involve precise relations between the spectra of the loop and RSOS model transfer matrices, valid in finite size. Finally, the results where y=y_r are related to the theory of Temperley Lieb cabling.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0611078
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0611078 (alternate)

4828. Markov chain approximations for symmetric jump processes

Author(s): R. Husseini and M. Kassmann

Abstract: Markov chain approximations of symmetric jump processes are investigated. Tightness results and a central limit theorem are established. Moreover, given the generator of a symmetric jump process with state space $\mathbbm{R}^d$ the approximating Markov chains are constructed explicitly. As a byproduct we obtain a definition of the Sobolev space $H^{\alpha/2}(\mathbbm{R}^d)$, $\alpha \in (0,2)$, that is equivalent to the standard one.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611934
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611934 (alternate)

4829. Does waste-recycling really improve Metropolis-Hastings Monte Carlo algorithm?

Author(s): Jean-Fran\c{c}ois Delmas (CERMICS) and Benjamin Jourdain (CERMICS)

Abstract: The waste-recycling Monte Carlo (WR) algorithm, introduced by Frenkel, is a modification of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, which makes use of all the proposals, whereas the standard Metropolis-Hastings algorithm only uses the accepted proposals. We prove the convergence of the WR algorithm and its asymptotic normality. We give an example which shows that in general the WR algorithm is not asymptotically better than the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm : the WR algorithm can have an asymptotic variance larger than the one of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. However, in the particular case of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm called Boltzmann algorithm, we prove that the WR algorithm is asymptotically better than the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611949
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611949 (alternate)

4830. Sparsity and Incoherence in Compressive Sampling

Author(s): Emmanuel Candes and Justin Romberg

Abstract: We consider the problem of reconstructing a sparse signal $x^0\in\R^n$ from a limited number of linear measurements. Given $m$ randomly selected samples of $U x^0$, where $U$ is an orthonormal matrix, we show that $\ell_1$ minimization recovers $x^0$ exactly when the number of measurements exceeds \[ m\geq \mathrm{Const}\cdot\mu^2(U)\cdot S\cdot\log n, \] where $S$ is the number of nonzero components in $x^0$, and $\mu$ is the largest entry in $U$ properly normalized: $\mu(U) = \sqrt{n} \cdot \max_{k,j} |U_{k,j}|$. The smaller $\mu$, the fewer samples needed. The result holds for ``most'' sparse signals $x^0$ supported on a fixed (but arbitrary) set $T$. Given $T$, if the sign of $x^0$ for each nonzero entry on $T$ and the observed values of $Ux^0$ are drawn at random, the signal is recovered with overwhelming probability. Moreover, there is a sense in which this is nearly optimal since any method succeeding with the same probability would require just about this many samples.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611957
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0611957 (alternate)

4831. Gravitational allocation to Poisson points

Author(s): Sourav Chatterjee and Ron Peled and Yuval Peres and Dan Romik

Abstract: For d>=3, we construct a non-randomized, fair and translation-equivariant allocation of Lebesgue measure to the points of a standard Poisson point process in R^d, defined by allocating to each of the Poisson points its basin of attraction with respect to the flow induced by a gravitational force field exerted by the points of the Poisson process. We prove that this allocation rule is economical in the sense that the "allocation diameter", defined as the diameter X of the basin of attraction containing the origin, is a random variable with a rapidly decaying tail. Specifically, we have the tail bound: P(X > R) < C exp[ -c R(log R)^(alpha_d) ], for all R>2, where: alpha_d = (d-2)/d for d>=4; alpha_3 can be taken as any number <-4/3; and C,c are positive constants that depend on d and alpha_d. This is the first construction of an allocation rule of Lebesgue measure to a Poisson point process with subpolynomial decay of the tail P(X>R).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611886
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611886 (alternate)

4832. An extension of the Levy characterization to fractional Brownian motion

Author(s): Yulia Mishura and Esko Valkeila

Abstract: We extend the classical Levy characterization of Brownian motion to fractional Brownian motion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611913
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611913 (alternate)

4833. A functional non-central limit theorem for jump-diffusions with periodic coefficients driven by stable Levy-noise

Author(s): Brice Franke

Abstract: We prove a functional non-central limit theorem for jump-diffusions with periodic coefficients driven by strictly stable Levy-processes with stability index bigger than one. The limit process turns out to be a strictly stable Levy process with an averaged jump-measure. Unlike in the situation where the diffusion is driven by Brownian motion, there is no drift related enhancement of diffusivity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611852
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611852 (alternate)

4834. How do random Fibonacci sequences grow?

Author(s): Elise Janvresse (LMRS) and Beno\^{i}t Rittaud (IG) and Thierry De La Rue (LMRS)

Abstract: We study two kinds of random Fibonacci sequences defined by $F_1=F_2=1$ and for $n\ge 1$, $F_{n+2} = F_{n+1} \pm F_{n}$ (linear case) or $F_{n+2} = |F_{n+1} \pm F_{n}|$ (non-linear case), where each sign is independent and either + with probability $p$ or - with probability $1-p$ ($0

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611860
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611860 (alternate)

4835. Laguerre Process and Generalised Hartman-Watson Law

Author(s): Nizar Demni (PMA)

Abstract: In this paper, we study complex Wishart processes or the so-called Laguerre processes. We give some interest to the behaviour of the eigenvalues process, derive some useful SDE and compute both infinitesimal generator and semi-group. We also give absolute-continuity relations between different indices.Then, we compute the density function of the generalised Hartman-Watson law as well as the law of the first hitting time of 0 when the size m=2.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611863
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611863 (alternate)

4836. The Numerical Algorithms and simulations for BSDEs

Author(s): Shige Peng and Mingyu Xu

Abstract: Here we study a new numerical method for BSDE. Then we present a package of our numerical algorithms of BSDE with convenient user--machine interface. This package permit us to solve BSDE, reflected BSDE with one or two barriers as well as BSDE with constraints. One of significant advantages of this package is that users have a very convenient interface. Any users who know the ABC of BSDE can use this package very easily. The interface of the input-output was also carefully designed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611864
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611864 (alternate)

4837. Asymptotic homology of the quotient of $PSL_2(\BR)$ by a modular group

Author(s): Jacques Franchi

Abstract: Consider $ G:= PSL_2(\R)\equiv T^1\H^2$, a modular group $ \Gamma$, and the homogeneous space $ \Gamma\sm G \equiv T^1(\Gamma\sm\H^2)$. Endow $ G $, and then $ \Gamma\sm G $, with a canonical left-invariant metric, thereby equipping it with a quasi hyperbolic geometry. Windings around handles and cusps of $ \Gamma\sm G $ are calculated by integrals of closed 1-forms of $ \Gamma\sm G $. The main results express, in both Brownian and geodesic cases, the joint convergence of the law of these integrals, with a stress on the asymptotic independence between slow and fast windings. The non-hyperbolicity of $ \Gamma\sm G $ is responsible for a difference between the Brownian and geodesic asymptotic behaviours, difference which does not exist at the level of the Riemann surface $\Gamma\sm\H^2$ (and generally in hyperbolic cases). Identification of the cohomology classes of closed 1-forms and with harmonic 1-forms, and equidistribution of large geodesic spheres, are also addressed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611866
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611866 (alternate)

4838. Correlation lengths for random polymer models and for some renewal sequences

Author(s): F. L. Toninelli (ENS Lyon and Umr--CNRS 5672)

Abstract: We consider models of directed polymers interacting with a one-dimensional defect line on which random charges are placed. More abstractly, one starts from renewal sequence on Z and gives a random (site-dependent) reward or penalty to the occurrence of a renewal at any given point of Z. These models are known to undergo a delocalization-localization transition, and the free energy $\tf$ vanishes when the critical point is approached from the localized region. We prove that the quenched correlation length $\xi$, defined as the inverse of the rate of exponential decay of the two-point function, does not diverge faster than $ 1/F$. We prove a lower bound also for the rate of exponential decay of the disorder-averaged two-point function. We discuss how, in the particular case where disorder is absent, this result can be seen as a refinement of the classical renewal theorem, for a specific class of renewal sequences.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611868
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611868 (alternate)

4839. Reflected BSDE with a Constraint and a New Doob-Meyer Nonlinear Decomposition

Author(s): Shige Peng and Mingyu Xu

Abstract: In this paper, we study a type of reflected BSDE with a constraint and introduce a new kind of nonlinear expectation via BSDE with a constraint and prove the Doob-Meyer decomposition with respect to the super(sub)martingale introduced by this nonlinear expectation. We then apply the results to the pricing of American options in incomplete market.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611869
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611869 (alternate)

4840. Reflected BSDE with monotonicity and general increasing in $y$, and non-Lipschitz conditions in $z$

Author(s): Mingyu Xu

Abstract: In this paper, we study the reflected BSDE with one continuous barrier, under the monotonicity and general increasing condition on $y$ and non Lipschitz condition on $z$. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution to these equation by approximation method.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611870
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611870 (alternate)

4841. A Generalization and Extension of an Autoregressive Model

Author(s): S Satheesh and E Sandhya and K E Rajasekharan

Abstract: Generalizations and extensions of a first order autoregressive model of Lawrance and Lewis (1981) are considered and characterized here.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611878
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611878 (alternate)

4842. A law of large numbers for random partitions of the interval and the limiting search-cost of the move-to-front strategy

Author(s): Javiera Barrera and Joaquin Fontbona

Abstract: We prove a law of large numbers for certain finite random partitions of $[0,1]$, when the number of fragments go to $\infty$. Then, we apply it to compute the limiting distribution of the transient search-cost of the move-to-front rule for general classes of random and deterministic request probabilities, when the list size goes to $\infty$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611882
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611882 (alternate)

4843. Large Deviations for Statistics of Jacobi Process

Author(s): Nizar Demni (PMA) and Marguerite Zani (LAMA)

Abstract: In this paper, we derive a handable expression for the Jacobi process semi group which is given by a bilinear series involving Jacobi polynomials. Our attempt uses a subordination of the considered process by means of a suitable random change. Once we did, we will be able, in the ultraspheric case, to derive a LDP for a family of estimators based on a single trajectory of the process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611884
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611884 (alternate)

4844. Probing rare physical trajectories with Lyapunov weighted dynamics

Author(s): Julien Tailleur and Jorge Kurchan

Abstract: The transition from order to chaos has been a major subject of research since the work of Poincare, as it is relevant in areas ranging from the foundations of statistical physics to the stability of the solar system. Along this transition, atypical structures like the first chaotic regions to appear, or the last regular islands to survive, play a crucial role in many physical situations. For instance, resonances and separatrices determine the fate of planetary systems, and localised objects like solitons and breathers provide mechanisms of energy transport in nonlinear systems such as Bose-Einstein condensates and biological molecules. Unfortunately, despite the fundamental progress made in the last years, most of the numerical methods to locate these 'rare' trajectories are confined to low-dimensional or toy models, while the realms of statistical physics, chemical reactions, or astronomy are still hard to reach. Here we implement an efficient method that allows one to work in higher dimensions by selecting trajectories with unusual chaoticity. As an example, we study the Fermi-Pasta-Ulam nonlinear chain in equilibrium and show that the algorithm rapidly singles out the soliton solutions when searching for trajectories with low level of chaoticity, and chaotic-breathers in the opposite situation. We expect the scheme to have natural applications in celestial mechanics and turbulence, where it can readily be combined with existing numerical methods

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0611672
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0611672 (alternate)

4845. A note on Talagrand's convex hull concentration inequality

Author(s): David Pollard

Abstract: The paper reexamines an argument by Talagrand that leads to a remarkable exponential tail bound for the concentration of probability near a set. The main novelty is the replacement of a mysterious Calculus inequality by an application of Jensen's inequality.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611770
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611770 (alternate)

4846. Colored loop-erased random walk on the complete graph

Author(s): Jomy Alappattu and Jim Pitman

Abstract: Starting from a sequence regarded as a walk through some set of values, we consider the associated loop-erased walk as a sequence of directed edges, with an edge from $i$ to $j$ if the loop erased walk makes a step from $i$ to $j$. We introduce a coloring of these edges by painting edges with a fixed color as long as the walk does not loop back on itself, then switching to a new color whenever a loop is erased, with each new color distinct from all previous colors. The pattern of colors along the edges of the loop-erased walk then displays stretches of consecutive steps of the walk left untouched by the loop-erasure process. Assuming that the underlying sequence generating the loop-erased walk is a sequence of independent random variables, each uniform on $[N]:=\{1, 2, ..., N\}$, we condition the walk to start at $N$ and stop the walk when it first reaches the subset $[k]$, for some $1 \leq k \leq N-1$. We relate the distribution of the random length of this loop-erased walk to the distribution of the length of the first loop of the walk, via Cayley's enumerations of trees, and via Wilson's algorithm. For fixed $N$ and $k$, and $i = 1,2, ...$, let $B_i$ denote the event that the loop-erased walk from $N$ to $[k]$ has $i +1$ or more edges, and the $i^{th}$ and $(i+1)^{th}$ of these edges are colored differently. We show that given that the loop-erased random walk has $j$ edges for some $1\leq j \leq N-k$, the events $B_i$ for $1 \leq i \leq j-1$ are independent, with the probability of $B_i$ equal to $1/(k+i+1)$. This determines the distribution of the sequence of random lengths of differently colored segments of the loop-erased walk, and yields asymptotic descriptions of these random lengths as $N \to \infty$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611775
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611775 (alternate)

4847. The Cox Theorem: Unknowns And Plausible Value

Author(s): Maurice J. Dupre and Frank J. Tipler

Abstract: We give a proof of Cox's Theorem on the product rule and sum rule for conditional plausibility without assuming continuity or differentiablity of plausibility. Instead, we extend the notion of plausibility to apply to unknowns giving them plausible values. Our proof is enormously simpler than others that have recently appeared in the literature, yet completely rigorous. For example, we do not need to investigate the 11 possibilities for conditional plausibilities as described on page 25 of Jaynes' recent book Probability Theory.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611795
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611795 (alternate)

4848. Convolution-type stochastic Volterra equations with additive fractional Brownian motion in Hilbert space

Author(s): Peter Caithamer and Anna Karczewska

Abstract: We consider convolution-type stochastic Volterra equations with additive Hilbert-valued fractional Brownian motion, $0

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611832
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611832 (alternate)

4849. Equilibrium fluctuations for the zero-range process on the Sierpinski gasket

Author(s): M. D. Jara

Abstract: We obtain the equilibrium fluctuations for the empirical density of particles for the zero-range process in the Sierpinski gasket. The limiting process is a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process generated by the Neumann Laplacian and its corresponding Dirichlet form on the gasket.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611836
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611836 (alternate)

4850. Parametric estimation for partially hidden diffusion processes sampled at discrete times

Author(s): Stefano Iacus and Masayuki Uchida and Nakahiro Yoshida

Abstract: A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$ is observed only when its path lies over some threshold $\tau$. On the basis of the observable part of the trajectory, the problem is to estimate finite dimensional parameter in both drift and diffusion coefficient under a discrete sampling scheme. It is assumed that the sampling occurs at regularly spaced times intervals of length $h_n$ such that $h_n\cdot n =T$. The asymptotic is considered as $T\to\infty$, $n\to\infty$, $n h_n^2\to 0$. Consistency and asymptotic normality for estimators of parameters in both drift and diffusion coefficient is proved.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611781
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0611781 (alternate)

4851. Dobrushin states in the \phi^4_1 model

Author(s): L. Bertini and S. Brassesco and P. Butt\`a

Abstract: We consider the van der Waals free energy functional in a bounded interval with inhomogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions imposing the two stable phases at the endpoints. We compute the asymptotic free energy cost, as the length of the interval diverges, of shifting the interface from the midpoint. We then discuss the effect of thermal fluctuations by analyzing the \phi^4_1-measure with Dobrushin boundary conditions. In particular, we obtain a nontrivial limit in a suitable scaling in which the length of the interval diverges and the temperature vanishes. The limiting state is not translation invariant and describes a localized interface. This result can be seen as the probabilistic counterpart of the variational convergence of the associated excess free energy.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0611077
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0611077 (alternate)

4852. Ecological Equilibrium for Restrained Branching Random Walks

Author(s): Daniela Bertacchi and Gustavo Posta and Fabio Zucca

Abstract: We study a generalized branching random walk where particles breed at a rate which depends on the number of neighbouring particles. Under general assumptions on the breeding rates we prove the existence of a phase where the population survives without exploding. We construct a non trivial invariant measure for this case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611720
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611720 (alternate)

4853. A lattice gas model for the incompressible Navier-Stokes equation

Author(s): J. Beltr\'an and C. Landim

Abstract: We recover the Navier-Stokes equation as the incompressible limit of a stochastic lattice gas in which particles are allowed to jump over a mesoscopic scale. The result holds in any dimension assuming the existence of a smooth solution of the Navier-Stokes equation in a fixed time interval. The proof does not use non-gradient methods or the multi-scale analysis due to the long range jumps.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611721
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611721 (alternate)

4854. Self-Intersection Local Time of $(\alpha,d,\beta)$-superprocess

Author(s): L. Mytnik and J. Villa

Abstract: The existence of self-intersection local time (SILT), when the time diagonal is intersected, of the $(\alpha,d,\beta)$-superprocess is proved for $d/2<\alpha $ and for a renormalized SILT when $d/(2+(1+\beta)^{-1})<\alpha \leq d/2$. We also establish Tanaka-like formula for SILT.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611727
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611727 (alternate)

4855. A Random Walk with Collapsing Bonds and Its Scaling Limit

Author(s): Majid Hosseini and Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

Abstract: We introduce a new self-interacting random walk on the integers in a dynamic random environment and show that it converges to a pure diffusion in the scaling limit. We also find a lower bound on the diffusion coefficient in some special cases. With minor changes the same argument can be used to prove the scaling limit of the corresponding walk in Z^d.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611734
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611734 (alternate)

4856. An analogue of the Kubilius main theorem for quasi-logarithmic structures

Author(s): Bruno Nietlispach

Abstract: We prove an analogue of the Kubilius main theorem for quasi-logarithmic structures. This result extends the corresponding theorem of Arratia, Barbour and Tavar\'{e} (2003) in the context of logarithmic structures, and of Zhang (1996) in the context of additive arithmetic semigroups. In particular, our theorem is valid for additive arithmetic semigroups where non-classical ``Beurling type'' prime number theorems hold true.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611747
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611747 (alternate)

4857. One version of the Clark representation theorem for Arratia flow

Author(s): Andrey A Dorogovtsev

Abstract: The article contains description of the functionals from the family of coalescing Brownian particles. New type of the stochastic integral is introduced and used.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611748
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611748 (alternate)

4858. Smoothing problem in anticipating scenario

Author(s): Andrey A Dorogovtsev

Abstract: This article is devoted to the stochastic anticipating equations with the extended stochastic integral with respect to the Gaussian processes of a special type and its application to the smoothing problem in the case when noise is represented by the two jointly Gaussian Wiener processes, which can have not a semimartingale property with respect to the joint filtration.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611749
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611749 (alternate)

4859. One Brownian Stochastic Flow

Author(s): Andrey A Dorogovtsev

Abstract: The weak limits of the measure-valued processes organized as a mass carried by the interacting Brownian particles are described. As a limiting flow the Arrattia flow is obtained.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611750
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611750 (alternate)

4860. Stochastic anticipating boundary value problems

Author(s): Andrey A Dorogovtsev

Abstract: This article is devoted to the stochastic anticipating equations with the extended stochastic integral with respect to the Gaussian processes of a special type. In the particular cases the solutions of such an equations are the well-known Wiener functionals after the second quantization. As an application the stochastic Kolmogorov equation for the conditional distributions of the diffusion process is obtained. Also we will consider the conditional variant of the Feynman--Kac formula. The two last sections of the article are devoted to the smoothing problem in the case when noise is represented by the two jointly Gaussian Wiener processes, which can have not a semimartingale property with respect to the joint filtration.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611751
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611751 (alternate)

4861. Statistical Physics Algorithms for Traffic Reconstruction

Author(s): Arnaud De La Fortelle (CAOR) and Jean-Marc Lasgouttes (INRIA Rocquencourt), Cyril Furtlehner (INRIA Rocquencourt)

Abstract: Concepts and techniques from statistical physics inspired a new method for traffic prediction. This method is particularly suitable in settings where the only information available is floating car data. We propose a system, based on the Ising model of statistical physics, which both reconstructs and predicts the traffic in real time using a message-passing algorithm.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611757
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611757 (alternate)

4862. Prophet inequalities for i.i.d. random variables with random arrival times

Author(s): Pieter C. Allaart

Abstract: Suppose $X_1,X_2,...$ are i.i.d. nonnegative random variables with finite expectation, and for each $k$, $X_k$ is observed at the $k$-th arrival time $S_k$ of a Poisson process with unit rate which is independent of the sequence $\{X_k\}$. For $t>0$, comparisons are made between the expected maximum $M(t):=\rE[\max_{k\geq 1} X_k \sI(S_k\leq t)]$ and the optimal stopping value $V(t):=\sup_{\tau\in\TT}\sE[X_\tau \sI(S_\tau\leq t)]$, where $\TT$ is the set of all $\NN$-valued random variables $\tau$ such that $\{\tau=i\}$ is measurable with respect to the $\sigma$-algebra generated by $(X_1,S_1),...,(X_i,S_i)$. For instance, it is shown that $M(t)/V(t)\leq 1+\alpha_0$, where $\alpha_0\doteq 0.34149$ satisfies $\int_0^1(y-y\ln y+\alpha_0)^{-1} dy=1$; and this bound is asymptotically sharp as $t\to\infty$. Another result is that $M(t)/V(t)<2-(1-e^{-t})/t$, and this bound is asymptotically sharp as $t\downarrow 0$. Upper bounds for the difference $M(t)-V(t)$ are also given, under the additional assumption that the $X_k$ are bounded.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611664
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611664 (alternate)

4863. Anomalous heat-kernel decay for random walk among bounded random conductances

Author(s): Noam Berger and Marek Biskup and Christopher E. Hoffman and Gady Kozma

Abstract: We consider the nearest-neighbor simple random walk on $\Z^d$, $d\ge2$, driven by a field of bounded random conductances $\omega_{xy}\in[0,1]$. The conductance law is i.i.d. subject to the condition that the probability of $\omega_{xy}>0$ exceeds the percolation threshold on $\Z^d$. For environments in which the origin is connected to infinity by bonds with positive conductances, we prove that the $n$-step return probability $\cmss P_\omega^n(0,0)$ is bounded by a random constant times $n^{-d/2}$ in $d=2,3$, while in $d\ge5$ it is bounded by a constant times $n^{-2}$. In $d=4$ we get an upper bound proportional to $n^{-2}\log n$. The leading-order $1/n^2$ anomalous decay in $d\ge5$ may be achieved in suitably chosen (i.i.d.) environments.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611666
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611666 (alternate)

4864. Critical percolation of free product of groups

Author(s): Iva Kozakova

Abstract: In this article we study percolation on the Cayley graph of a free product of groups. Such a graph has a tree-like structure which allows us to evaluate the critical values of the phase transition, mean cluster size and the critical exponent in bond percolation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611668
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611668 (alternate)

4865. Group invariant inferred distributions via noncommutative probability

Author(s): B. Heller and M. Wang

Abstract: One may consider three types of statistical inference: Bayesian, frequentist, and group invariance-based. The focus here is on the last method. We consider the Poisson and binomial distributions in detail to illustrate a group invariance method for constructing inferred distributions on parameter spaces given observed results. These inferred distributions are obtained without using Bayes' method and in particular without using a joint distribution of random variable and parameter. In the Poisson and binomial cases, the final formulas for inferred distributions coincide with the formulas for Bayes posteriors with uniform priors.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611675
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611675 (alternate)

4866. Random walk on a polygon

Author(s): Jyotirmoy Sarkar

Abstract: A particle moves among the vertices of an $(m+1)$-gon which are labeled clockwise as $0,1,...,m$. The particle starts at 0 and thereafter at each step it moves to the adjacent vertex, going clockwise with a known probability $p$, or counterclockwise with probability $1-p$. The directions of successive movements are independent. What is the expected number of moves needed to visit all vertices? This and other related questions are answered using recursive relations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611676
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611676 (alternate)

4867. Conformal radii for conformal loop ensembles

Author(s): Oded Schramm and Scott Sheffield and David B. Wilson

Abstract: The conformal loop ensembles CLE(k), defined for k in [8/3, 8], are random collections of loops in a planar domain which are conjectured scaling limits of the O(n) loop models. We calculate the distribution of the conformal radii of the nested loops surrounding a deterministic point. Our results agree with predictions made by Cardy and Ziff and by Kenyon and Wilson for the O(n) model. We also compute the expectation dimension of the CLE(k) gasket, which consists of points not surrounded by any loop, to be 2-(8-k)(3k-8)/32k, which agrees with the fractal dimension given by Duplantier for the O(n) model gasket.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611687
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611687 (alternate)

4868. One-dimensional random field Kac's model: weak large deviations principle

Author(s): Enza Orlandi and Pierre Picco (CPT)

Abstract: We prove a quenched weak large deviations principle for the Gibbs measures of a Random Field Kac Model (RFKM) in one dimension. The external random magnetic field is given by symmetrically distributed Bernoulli random variables. The results are valid for values of the temperature, $\beta^{-1}$, and magnitude, $\theta$, of the field in the region where the free energy of the corresponding random Curie Weiss model has only two absolute minima $m_\beta$ and $Tm_\beta$. We give an explicit representation of the rate functional which is a positive random functional determined by two distinct contributions. One is related to the free energy cost ${\cal F}^*$ to undergo a phase change (the surface tension). The ${\cal F}^*$ is the cost of one single phase change and depends on the temperature and magnitude of the field. The other is a bulk contribution due to the presence of the random magnetic field. We characterize the minimizers of this random functional. We show that they are step functions taking values $m_\beta$ and $Tm_\beta$. The points of discontinuity are described by a stationary renewal process related to the $h-$extrema for a bilateral Brownian motion studied by Neveu and Pitman, where $h$ in our context is a suitable constant depending on the temperature and on magnitude of the random field. As an outcome we have a complete characterization of the typical profiles of RFKM (the ground states) which was initiated in [14] and extended in [16].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611688
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611688 (alternate)

4869. Existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure for a chain of oscillators in contact with two heat baths

Author(s): Philippe Carmona (LMJL)

Abstract: In this note we consider a chain of $N$ oscillators, whose ends are in contact with two heat baths at different temperatures. Our main result is the exponential convergence to the unique invariant probability measure (the stationary state). We use the Lyapunov's function technique of Rey-Bellet and coauthors with different model of heat baths, and adapt these techniques to two new case recently considered in the literature by respectively Bernardin and Olla, Lefevere and Schenkel

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611689
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611689 (alternate)

4870. Large deviations for Dirichlet processes and Poisson-Dirichlet distributions with two parameters

Author(s): Shui Feng

Abstract: Large deviation principles are established for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution and two-parameter Dirichlet process when parameter $\theta$ approaches infinity. The motivation for these results is to understand the differences in terms of large deviations between the two-parameter models and their one-parameter counterparts. New insight is obtained about the role of the second parameter $\alpha$ through a comparison with the corresponding results for the one-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution and Dirichlet process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611706
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611706 (alternate)

4871. Borel theorems for random matrices from the classical compact symmetric spaces

Author(s): Beno\^{i}t Collins and Michael Stolz

Abstract: We study random vectors of the form $({\rm Tr}(A^{(1)}V), ..., {\rm Tr}(A^{(r)}V))$, where $V$ is a uniformly distributed element of a matrix version of a classical compact symmetric space, and the $A^{(\nu)}$ are deterministic parameter matrices. We show that for increasing matrix sizes these random vectors converge to a joint Gaussian limit, and compute its covariances. This generalizes previous work of Diaconis et al. for Haar distributed matrices from the classical compact groups. The proof uses integration formulae, due to Collins and \'{S}niady, for polynomial functions on the classical compact groups.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611708
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611708 (alternate)

4872. Poincar\'{e} and transportation inequalities for Gibbs measures under the Dobrushin uniqueness condition

Author(s): Liming Wu

Abstract: In in this paper we establish an explicit and sharp estimate of the spectral gap (Poincar\'{e} inequality) and the transportation inequality for Gibbs measures, under the Dobrushin uniqueness condition. Moreover, we give a generalization of the Liggett's $M-\epsilon$ theorem for interacting particle systems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611635
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611635 (alternate)

4873. On a stochastic version of Prouse model in fluid dynamics

Author(s): B. Ferrario and F. Flandoli

Abstract: A stochastic version of a modified Navier-Stokes equation (introduced by Prouse) is considered in a 3-dimensional torus. We prove existence and uniqueness of martingale solutions. A different model with the non linearity given by a power 5 of the velocity is analyzed; for the structure function of this model, some insights towards an expression similar to that obtained by the Kolmogorov 1941 theory of turbulence are presented.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611637
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611637 (alternate)

4874. Orlicz-Sobolev inequalities for sub-Gaussian measures and ergodicity of Markov semi-groups

Author(s): Cyril Roberto (LAMA) and Boguslaw Zegarlinski

Abstract: We study coercive inequalities in Orlicz spaces associated to the probability measures on finite and infinite dimensional spaces which tails decay slower than the Gaussian ones. We provide necessary and sufficient criteria for such inequalities to hold and discuss relations between various classes of inequalities.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611638
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611638 (alternate)

4875. An Extension to Gaussian Semigroup and Some Applications

Author(s): Guibao Liu

Abstract: We look at the semigroup generated by a system of heat equations. Applications to testing normality and option pricing are addressed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611644
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611644 (alternate)

4876. Metastability in Interacting Nonlinear Stochastic Differential Equations

Author(s): Nils Berglund (CPT) and Bastien Fernandez (CPT) and Barbara Gentz

Abstract: We consider the dynamics of a periodic chain of N coupled overdamped particles under the influence of noise. Each particle is subjected to a bistable local potential, to a linear coupling with its nearest neighbours, and to an independent source of white noise. We show that as the coupling strength increases, the number of equilibrium points of the system changes from 3^N to 3. While for weak coupling, the system behaves like an Ising model with spin-flip dynamics, for strong coupling (of the order N^2), it synchronises, in the sense that all oscillators assume almost the same position in their respective local potential most of the time. We derive the exponential asymptotics for the transition times, and describe the most probable transition paths between synchronised states, in particular for coupling intensities below the synchronisation threshold. Our techniques involve a centre-manifold analysis of the desynchronisation bifurcation, with a precise control of the stability of bifurcating solutions, allowing us to give a detailed description of the system's potential landscape, in which the metastable behaviour is encoded.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611647
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611647 (alternate)

4877. Metastability in Interacting Nonlinear Stochastic Differential Equations

Author(s): Nils Berglund (CPT) and Bastien Fernandez (CPT) and Barbara Gentz

Abstract: We consider the dynamics of a periodic chain of N coupled overdamped particles under the influence of noise, in the limit of large N. Each particle is subjected to a bistable local potential, to a linear coupling with its nearest neighbours, and to an independent source of white noise. For strong coupling (of the order N^2), the system synchronises, in the sense that all oscillators assume almost the same position in their respective local potential most of the time. In a previous paper, we showed that the transition from strong to weak coupling involves a sequence of symmetry-breaking bifurcations of the system's stationary configurations, and analysed in particular the behaviour for coupling intensities slightly below the synchronisation threshold, for arbitrary N. Here we describe the behaviour for any positive coupling intensity \gamma of order N^2, provided the particle number N is sufficiently large (as a function of \gamma/N^2). In particular, we determine the transition time between synchronised states, as well as the shape of the "critical droplet", to leading order in 1/N. Our techniques involve the control of the exact number of periodic orbits of a near-integrable twist map, allowing us to give a detailed description of the system's potential landscape, in which the metastable behaviour is encoded.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611648
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611648 (alternate)

4878. Linear and quadratic functionals of random hazard rates: an asymptotic analysis

Author(s): Giovanni Peccati (LSTA) and Igor Pr\"{u}nster (UNIVERSITY of Turin)

Abstract: A popular Bayesian nonparametric approach to survival analysis consists in modeling hazard rates as kernel mixtures driven by a completely random measure. In this paper we derive asymptotic results for linear and quadratic functionals of such random hazard rates. In particular, we prove central limit theorems for the cumulative hazard function and for the path-second moment and path-variance of the hazard rate. Our techniques are based on recently established criteria for the weak convergence of single and double stochastic integrals with respect to Poisson random measures. We illustrate our results by considering specific models involving kernels and random measures commonly exploited in practice.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611652
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611652 (alternate)

4879. Bourgain's Entropy Estimates Revisited

Author(s): John T. Workman

Abstract: The following is a near complete set of notes of Bourgain's 1988 paper "Almost Sure Convergence and Bounded Entropy." Both entropy results are treated, as is one application. The proofs here are essentially those of Bourgain's.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611621
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0611621 (alternate)

4880. Shape of the ground state energy density of Hill's equation with nice Gaussian potential

Author(s): Jose A. Ramirez and Brian Rider

Abstract: Consider Hill's operator Q = -D^2 + q(x) in which the potential q(x) is an almost surely continuous and rotation invariant Gaussian process on the circle of perimeter one. We prove a universality result for the shape of the probability density function of the ground state energy

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611555
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611555 (alternate)

4881. On the Estimates of the Density of Feynman-Kac Semigroups of $\alpha$-Stable-like Processes

Author(s): Chunlin Wang

Abstract: Suppose that $\alpha \in (0,2)$ and that $X$ is an $\alpha$-stable-like process on $\R^d$. Let $F$ be a function on $\R^d$ belonging to the class $\bf{J_{d,\alpha}}$ (see Introduction) and $A_{t}^{F}$ be $\sum_{s \le t}F(X_{s-},X_{s}), t> 0$, a discontinuous additive functional of $X$. With neither $F$ nor $X$ being symmetric, under certain conditions, we show that the Feynman-Kac semigroup $\{S_{t}^{F}:t \ge 0\}$ defined by $$ S_{t}^{F}f(x)=\mathbb{E}_{x}(e^{-A_{t}^{F}}f(X_{t}))$$ has a density $q$ and that there exist positive constants $C_1,C_2,C_3$ and $C_4$ such that $$C_{1}e^{-C_{2}t}t^{-\frac{d}{\alpha}}(1 \wedge \frac{t^{\frac{1}{\alpha}}}{|x-y|})^{d+\alpha} \leq q(t,x,y) \leq C_{3}e^{C_{4}t}t^{-\frac{d}{\alpha}}(1 \wedge \frac{t^{\frac{1}{\alpha}}}{|x-y|})^{d+\alpha}$$ for all $(t,x,y)\in (0,\infty) \times \R^d \times \R^d$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611565
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611565 (alternate)

4882. On the Estimates of the Density of the Purely Discontinuous Girsanov Transforms of $\alpha$-Stable-like Processes

Author(s): Chunlin Wang

Abstract: In this paper, we study the purely discontinuous Girsanov transforms which were discussed in Chen and Song \cite{CS2} and Song \cite{S3}. We show that the transition density of any purely discontinuous Girsanov transform of a $\alpha$-stable-like process, which can be nonsymmetric, is comparable to the transition density of the $\alpha$-stable-like process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611566
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611566 (alternate)

4883. On the speed of a cookie random walk

Author(s): Anne-Laure Basdevant (PMA) and Arvind Singh (PMA)

Abstract: We consider the model of the one-dimensional cookie random walk when the initial cookie distribution is spatially uniform and the number of cookies per site is finite. We give a criterion to decide whether the limiting speed of the walk is non-zero. In particular, we show that a positive speed may be obtained for just 3 cookies per site. We also prove a result on the continuity of the speed with respect to the initial cookie distribution.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611580
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611580 (alternate)

4884. The norm of products of free random variables

Author(s): Vladislav Kargin

Abstract: Let $X_i$ denote free identically-distributed random variables. This paper investigates how the norm of products $\Pi_n=X_1 X_2 ... X_n$ behaves as $n$ approaches infinity. In addition, for positive $X_i$ it studies the asymptotic behavior of the norm of $Y_n=X_1 \circ X_2 \circ ...\circ X_n$, where $\circ$ denotes the symmetric product of two positive operators: $A \circ B=:A^{1/2}BA^{1/2}$. It is proved that if the expectation of $X_i$ is 1, then the norm of the symmetric product $Y_{n}$ is between $c_1 n^{1/2}$ and $c_2 n$ for certain constant $c_1$ and $c_2$. That is, the growth in the norm is at most linear. For the norm of the usual product $Pi_n$, it is proved that the limit of $n^{-1}\log Norm(Pi_n)$ exists and equals $\log \sqrt{E(X_i^{\ast}X_{i})}.$ In other words, the growth in the norm of the product is exponential and the rate equals the logarithm of the Hilbert-Schmidt norm of operator X. Finally, if $\pi $ is a cyclic representation of the algebra generated by $X_i$, and if $\xi$ is a cyclic vector, then $n^{-1}\log Norm(\pi (\Pi_{n}) \xi)=\log \sqrt{E(X_{i}^{\ast}X_{i})}$ for all $n.$ In other words, the growth in the length of the cyclic vector is exponential and the rate coincides with the rate in the growth of the norm of the product. These results are significantly different from analogous results for commuting random variables and generalize results for random matrices derived by Kesten and Furstenberg.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611593
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611593 (alternate)

4885. Homogenization of space-time dependent and degenerate random flows

Author(s): R\'{e}mi Rhodes (LATP)

Abstract: We study a diffusion process with random space-time dependent coefficients. Moreover the diffusion matrix is allowed to degenerate. An invariance principle is proved provided that the diffusion coefficient is controlled by a time independent one.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611598
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611598 (alternate)

4886. On laws of large numbers for random walks

Author(s): Anders Karlsson and Fran\c{c}ois Ledrappier

Abstract: We prove a general noncommutative law of large numbers. This applies in particular to random walks on any locally finite homogeneous graph, as well as to Brownian motion on Riemannian manifolds which admit a compact quotient. It also generalizes Oseledec's multiplicative ergodic theorem. In addition, we show that $\epsilon$-shadows of any ballistic random walk with finite moment on any group eventually intersect. Some related results concerning Coxeter groups and mapping class groups are recorded in the last section.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611607
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611607 (alternate)

4887. Random sampling in chirp space

Author(s): Eric Carlen and R. Vilela Mendes

Abstract: For the space of functions that can be approximated by linear chirps, we prove a reconstruction theorem by random sampling at arbitrary rates.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611608
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611608 (alternate)

4888. Quenched invariance principles for random walks with random conductances

Author(s): P. Mathieu

Abstract: We prove an almost sure invariance principle for a random walker among i.i.d. conductances in $\Z^d$, $d\geq 2$. We assume conductances are bounded from above but we dot require they are bounded from below.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611613
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611613 (alternate)

4889. Estimation of Parameters of Stable Distributions

Author(s): Chunlin Wang

Abstract: In this paper, we propose a method based on GMM (the generalized method of moments) to estimate the parameters of stable distributions with $0<\alpha<2$. We don't assume symmetry for stable distributions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611567
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0611567 (alternate)

4890. High Dimensional Statistical Inference and Random Matrices

Author(s): Iain M. Johnstone

Abstract: Multivariate statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of inter-dependence. Driven by problems in genetics and the social sciences, it first flowered in the earlier half of the last century. Subsequently, random matrix theory (RMT) developed, initially within physics, and more recently widely in mathematics. While some of the central objects of study in RMT are identical to those of multivariate statistics, statistical theory was slow to exploit the connection. However, with vast data collection ever more common, data sets now often have as many or more variables than the number of individuals observed. In such contexts, the techniques and results of RMT have much to offer multivariate statistics. The paper reviews some of the progress to date.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611589
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0611589 (alternate)

4891. Random walks on directed Cayley graphs

Author(s): Ravi Montenegro

Abstract: Previous authors have shown bounds on mixing time of random walks on finite undirected Cayley graphs, both with and without self-loops. We extend this to the most general case by showing that a similar bound holds for walks on all finite directed Cayley graphs. These are shown by use of two new canonical path theorems for mixing time of non-reversible Markov chains. The first result is related to the traditional canonical path mixing result but holds for general walks with small holding probability. The second theorem holds for all finite Markov chains, even non-reversible walks with no holding probability. Curiously, these results are shown by use of Evolving sets, whereas previous path results were shown via Spectral gap.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611585
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0611585 (alternate)

4892. Power-law estimates for the central limit theorem for convex sets

Author(s): B. Klartag

Abstract: We investigate the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for convex sets. We obtain bounds with a power-law dependence on the dimension. These bounds are asymptotically better than the logarithmic estimates which follow from the original proof of the central limit theorem for convex sets.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611577
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0611577 (alternate)

4893. A canonical path approach to bounding collision time for Pollard's Rho algorithm

Author(s): Ravi Montenegro

Abstract: We show how to apply the canonical path method to a non-reversible Markov chain with no holding probability: a random walk used in Pollard's Rho algorithm for discrete logarithm. This is used to show that the Pollard Rho method for finding the discrete logarithm on a cyclic group $G$ requires $O(\sqrt{|G|} (\log |G|)^{3/2})$ steps until a collision occurs and discrete logarithm is possibly found, not far from the widely conjectured value of $\Theta(\sqrt{|G|})$. Conversely, we find that arguments based on spectral gap, spectral profile or log-Sobolev cannot be used to show the correct mixing bound of the Pollard Rho walk, while coupling can give at best a small improvement on our current bound for collision time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611586
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NT/0611586 (alternate)

4894. On the equivalence of some eternal additive coalescents

Author(s): Anne-Laure Basdevant (PMA)

Abstract: In this paper, we study additive coalescents. Using their representation as fragmentation processes, we prove that the law of a large class of eternal additive coalescents is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the standard additive coalescent on any bounded time interval.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611523
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611523 (alternate)

4895. Joint density for the local times of continuous-time Markov chains

Author(s): David Brydges and Remco van der Hofstad and Wolfgang K\"onig

Abstract: We investigate the local times of a continuous-time Markov chain on an arbitrary discrete state space. For fixed finite range of the Markov chain, we derive an explicit formula for the joint density of all local times on the range, at any fixed time. We use standard tools from the theory of stochastic processes and finite-dimensional complex calculus. We apply this formula in the following directions: (1) we derive large deviation upper estimates for the normalized local times beyond the exponential scale, (2) we derive the upper bound in Varadhan's lemma for any measurable functional of the local times, \ch{and} (3) we derive large deviation upper bounds for continuous-time simple random walk on large subboxes of $\Z^d$ tending to $\Z^d$ as time diverges. We finally discuss the relation of our density formula to the Ray-Knight theorem for continuous-time simple random walk on $\Z$, which is analogous to the well-known Ray-Knight description of Brownian local times.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611525
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611525 (alternate)

4896. A note on insensitivity in stochastic networks

Author(s): Stan Zachary

Abstract: We give a simple and direct treatment of insensitivity in stochastic networks which is quite general and which provides probabilistic insight into the phenomenon. In the case of multi-class networks, the results generalise those of Bonald and Proutiere (2002, 2003).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611526
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611526 (alternate)

4897. Marche al\'{e}atoire sur un immeuble affine de type $\tilde{A}_r$ et mouvement brownien de la chambre de Weyl

Author(s): Bruno Schapira (MAPMO and PMA)

Abstract: In this paper we study a random walk on an affine building, whose radial part, when suitably normalized, converges to the Brownian motion of the Weyl chamber (for the type $A$). This gives a new discrete approximation of this process, which is different from the one of Biane \cite{Bia2}. The main ingredients of the proof are a combinatorial formula on the building and the estimate of the transition density proved in \cite{AST}. Moreover our result extends in higher rank the correspondence at the probabilistic level between Riemannian symmetric spaces of the noncompact type and their discrete counterpart, which had been previously obtained by Bougerol and Jeulin in rank one \cite{BJ}.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611529
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611529 (alternate)

4898. Multiscale Analysis for SPDEs with Quadratic Nonlinearities

Author(s): D. Bloemker and G.A. Pavliotis and M. Hairer

Abstract: In this article we derive rigorously amplitude equations for stochastic PDEs with quadratic nonlinearities, under the assumption that the noise acts only on the stable modes and for an appropriate scaling between the distance from bifurcation and the strength of the noise. We show that, due to the presence of two distinct timescales in our system, the noise (which acts only on the fast modes) gets transmitted to the slow modes and, as a result, the amplitude equation contains both additive and multiplicative noise. As an application we study the case of the one dimensional Burgers equation forced by additive noise in the orthogonal subspace to its dominant modes. The theory developed in the present article thus allows to explain theoretically some recent numerical observations from [Rob03].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611537
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611537 (alternate)

4899. Coherent random permutations with record statistics

Author(s): Alexander Gnedin

Abstract: Random permutations with distribution conditionally uniform given the set of record values can be generated in a unified way, coherently for all values of $n$. Our central example is a two-parameter family of random permutations that are conditionally uniform given the counts of upper and lower records. This family interpolates between two versions of Ewens' distribution. We discuss characterisations of the conditionally uniform permutations, their asymptotic properties, constructions and relations to random partitions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611538
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611538 (alternate)

4900. Cycles of free words in several independent random permutations

Author(s): Florent Benaych-Georges (PMA)

Abstract: In this text, extending results of A.Nica and M. Neagu, we study the asymptotics of the number of cycles of a given length of a word in several independent random permutations with restricted cycle lengths. Specifically, for $A_1$,..., $A_k$ non empty sets of positive integers and for $w$ word in the letters $g_1,g_1^{-1}$,..., $g_k,g_k^{-1}$, we consider, for all $n$ such that it is possible, an independent family $s_1(n)$,..., $s_k(n)$ of random permutations chosen uniformly among the permutations of $n$ objects which have all their cycle lengths in respectively $A_1$,..., $A_k$, and for $l$ positive integer, we are going to give asymptotics (as $n$ goes to infinity) on the number $N_l(n)$ of cycles of length $l$ of the permutation obtained by changing any letter $g_i$ in $w$ by $s_i(n)$. In many cases, we prove that the distribution of $N_l(n)$ converges to a Poisson law with parameter $1/l$ and that the family of random variables $(N_1(n), N_2(n),...)$ is asymptotically independent. We notice the pretty surprising fact that from this point of view, many things happen like if we considered the number of cycles of given lengths of a single permutation with uniform distribution on the $n$-th symmetric group.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611500
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611500 (alternate)

4901. Central Limit Theorem for a Tagged Particle in Asymmetric Simple Exclusion

Author(s): Patricia Goncalves

Abstract: We prove a Functional Central Limit Theorem for the position of a Tagged Particle in the one-dimensional Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process in the hyperbolic scaling, starting from a Bernoulli product measure conditioned to have a particle at the origin. We also prove that the position of the Tagged Particle at time $t$ depends on the initial configuration, by the number of empty sites in the interval $[0,(p-q)\alpha t]$ divided by $\alpha$ in the hyperbolic and in a longer time scale, namely $N^{4/3}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611505
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611505 (alternate)

4902. Quantum stochastic convolution cocycles II

Author(s): J.Martin Lindsay and Adam Skalski

Abstract: The theory of quantum stochastic convolution cocycles is extended to the topological context of compact quantum groups. Stochastic convolution cocycles on a C*-hyperbialgebra, which are Markov-regular, completely positive and contractive, are shown to satisfy coalgebraic quantum stochastic differential equations with completely bounded coefficients, and the structure of their stochastic generators is obtained. Specialising to *-homomorphic convolution cocycles on a C*-bialgebra the stochastic generators are shown to have Schuermann form. Tentative definitions of quantum Levy process on a compact quantum group, for which a reconstruction theorem is valid, are proposed. In the examples given, connection to the algebraic theory is emphasised by a focus on the case of full compact quantum groups.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611497
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0611497 (alternate)

4903. How often is the coordinate of a harmonic oscillator positive?

Author(s): Boris Tsirelson

Abstract: The coordinate of a harmonic oscillator is measured at a time chosen at random among three equiprobable instants: now, after one third of the period, or after two thirds. The (total) probability that the outcome is positive depends on the state of the oscillator. In the classical case the probability varies between 1/3 and 2/3, but in the quantum case -- between 0.29 and 0.71.

http://arXiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0611147
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/quant-ph/0611147 (alternate)

4904. Random Graph-Homomorphisms and Logarithmic Degree

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Ariel Yadin and Amir Yehudayoff

Abstract: A graph homomorphism between two graphs is a map from the vertex set of one graph to the vertex set of the other graph, that maps edges to edges. In this note we study the range of a uniformly chosen homomorphism from a graph G to the infinite line Z. It is shown that if the maximal degree of G is `sub-logarithmic', then the range of such a homomorphism is super-constant. Furthermore, some examples are provided, suggesting that perhaps for graphs with super-logarithmic degree, the range of a typical homomorphism is bounded. In particular, a sharp transition is shown for a specific family of graphs C_{n,k} (which is the tensor product of the n-cycle and a complete graph, with self-loops, of size k). That is, given any function psi(n) tending to infinity, the range of a typical homomorphism of C_{n,k} is super-constant for k = 2 log(n) - psi(n), and is 3 for k = 2 log(n) + psi(n).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611416
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611416 (alternate)

4905. On Penrose's square-root law and beyond

Author(s): Werner Kirsch

Abstract: In certain bodies, like the Council of the EU, the member states have a voting weight which depends on the population of the re- spective state. In this article we ask the question which voting weight guarantees a `fair' representation of the citizens in the union. The tra- ditional answer, the square-root law by Penrose, is that the weight of a state (more precisely: the voting power) should be proportional to the square-root of the population of this state. The square root law is based on the assumption that the voters in every state cast their vote inde- pendently of each other. In this paper we concentrate on cases where the independence assumption is not valid.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611418
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611418 (alternate)

4906. On a model for the storage of files on a hardware I : Statistics at a fixed time and asymptotics

Author(s): Vincent Bansaye (PMA)

Abstract: We consider a generalized version in continuous time of the parking problem of Knuth. Files arrive following a Poisson point process and are stored on a hardware identified with the real line. We specify the distribution of the space of unoccupied locations at a fixed time and give its asymptotics when the hardware is becoming full.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611432
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611432 (alternate)

4907. Existence of subcritical regimes in the Poisson Boolean model of continuum percolation

Author(s): Jean-Baptiste Gou\'er\'e (MAPMO)

Abstract: We consider the so-called Poisson Boolean model of continuum percolation. At each point of an homogeneous Poisson point process on the Euclidean space $\R^d$, we center a ball with random radius. We assume that the radii of the balls are independent, identically distributed and independent of the point process. We denote by $\Sigma$ the union of the balls and by $S$ the connected component of $\Sigma$ that contains the origin. We show that $S$ is almost surely bounded for small enough density $\lambda$ of the point process if and only if the mean volume of the balls is finite. Let us denote by $D$ the diameter of $S$ and by $R$ one of the random radii. We also show that, for all positive real number $s$, $D^s$ is integrable for small enough $\lambda$ if and only if $R^{d+s}$ is integrable.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611369
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611369 (alternate)

4908. On the existence of some ARCH($\infty$) processes

Author(s): Philippe Soulier (MODAL'X) and Randal Douc (CMAP) and Fran\c{c}ois Roueff (LTCI)

Abstract: A new sufficient condition for the existence of a stationary causal solution of an ARCH($\infty$) equation is provided. This condition allows to consider polynomially decaying coefficients, so that it can be applied to the so-called FIGARCH processes, whose existence is thus proved.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611339
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0611339 (alternate)

4909. Trees and asymptotic developments for fractional stochastic differential equations

Author(s): Andreas Neuenkirch and Ivan Nourdin (PMA) and Andreas Roessler and Samy Tindel (IECN)

Abstract: In this paper we consider a n-dimensional stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/3. After solving this equation in a rather elementary way, following the approach of Gubinelli, we show how to obtain an expansion for E[f(X\_t)] in terms of t, where X denotes the solution to the SDE and f:R^n->R is a regular function. With respect to the work by Baudoin and Coutin, where the same kind of problem is considered, we try an improvement in three different directions: we are able to take a drift into account in the equation, we parametrize our expansion with trees (which makes it easier to use), and we obtain a sharp control of the remainder.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611306
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611306 (alternate)

4910. A near neighbour continuum percolation model

Author(s): A. Gillett and M. Nuyens

Abstract: We introduce a continuum percolation model defined on the points of a d-dimensional homogeneous Poisson process. Each Poisson point is connected to all points within its connection range, which depends on the distances to the other Poisson points. We show that the new model exhibits a phase transition, and obtain results about the critical values in low and high dimensions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611315
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611315 (alternate)

4911. Random Discrete Matrices

Author(s): V. Vu

Abstract: In this survey, we discuss some basic problems concerning random matrices with discrete distributions. Several new results, tools and conjectures will be presented.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611321
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0611321 (alternate)

4912. Approximating genealogies for partially linked neutral loci under a selective sweep

Author(s): P. Pfaffelhuber and A. Studeny

Abstract: Consider a genetic locus carrying a strongly beneficial allele which has recently fixed in a large population. As strongly beneficial alleles fix quickly, sequence diversity at partially linked neutral loci is reduced. This phenomenon is known as a selective sweep. The fixation of the beneficial allele not only affects sequence diversity at single neutral loci but also the joint allele distribution of several partially linked neutral loci. This distribution can be studied using the ancestral recombination graph for samples of partially linked neutral loci during the selective sweep. To approximate this graph, we extend recent work by Schweinsberg & Durrett 2005 and Etheridge, Pfaffelhuber & Wakolbinger 2006 using a marked Yule tree for the genealogy at a single neutral locus linked to a strongly beneficial one. We focus on joint genealogies at two partially linked neutral loci in the case of large selection coefficients \alpha and recombination rates \rho = O(\alpha/\log\alpha) between loci. Our approach leads to a full description of the genealogy with accuracy of O((\log \alpha)^{-2}) in probability. As an application, we derive the expectation of Lewontin's D as a measure for non-random association of alleles.

http://arXiv.org/abs/q-bio/0611029
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/q-bio.PE/0611029 (alternate)

4913. Quasi-arithmetic means of covariance functions with potential applications to space-time data

Author(s): E. Porcu and J. Mateu and and G. Christakos

Abstract: The theory of quasi-arithmetic means is a powerful tool in the study of covariance functions across space-time. In the present study we use quasi-arithmetic functionals to make inferences about the permissibility of averages of functions that are not, in general, permissible covariance functions. This is the case, e.g., of the geometric and harmonic averages, for which we obtain permissibility criteria. Also, some important inequalities involving covariance functions and preference relations as well as algebraic properties can be derived by means of the proposed approach. In particular, we show that quasi-arithmetic covariances allow for ordering and preference relations, for a Jensen-type inequality and for a minimal and maximal element of their class. The general results shown in this paper are then applied to study of spatial and spatiotemporal random fields. In particular, we discuss the representation and smoothness properties of a weakly stationary random field with a quasi-arithmetic covariance function. Also, we show that the generator of the quasi-arithmetic means can be used as a link function in order to build a space-time nonseparable structure starting from the spatial and temporal margins, a procedure that is technically sound for those working with copulas. Several examples of new families of stationary covariances obtainable with this procedure are shown. Finally, we use quasi-arithmetic functionals to generalise existing results concerning the construction of nonstationary spatial covariances and discuss the applicability and limits of this generalisation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611275
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611275 (alternate)

4914. Consistent families of Brownian motions and stochastic flows of kernels

Author(s): Chris Howitt and Jon Warren

Abstract: Consider the following mechanism for the random evolution of a distribution of mass on the integer lattice. At unit rate, independently for each site, the mass at the site is split into two parts by choosing a random proportion distributed according to some specified probability measure on [0,1] and dividing the mass in that proportion. One part then moves to each of the two adjacent sites. This paper considers a continuous analogue of this evolution, which may be described by means of a stochastic flow of kernels, the theory of which was developed by Le Jan and Raimond. One of their results is that such a flow is characterized by specifying its N point motions, which form a consistent family of Brownian motions. This means for each N we have a diffusion in N dimensional Euclidean space, whose N co-ordinates are all Brownian motions. Any M co-ordinates taken from the N-dimensional process are distributed as the M-dimensional process in the family. Moreover, in this setting, the only interactions between co-ordinates are local: when coordinates differ in value they evolve independently of each other. In this paper we explain how such multidimensional diffusions may be constructed and characterized via martingale problems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611292
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611292 (alternate)

4915. Simple Monte Carlo and the Metropolis Algorithm

Author(s): Peter Mathe and Erich Novak

Abstract: We study the integration of functions with respect to an unknown density. We compare the simple Monte Carlo method (which is almost optimal for a certain large class of inputs) and compare it with the Metropolis algorithm (based on a suitable ball walk). Using MCMC we prove (for certain classes of inputs) that adaptive methods are much better than nonadaptive ones. Actually, the curse of dimension (for nonadaptive methods) can be broken by adaption.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611285
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NA/0611285 (alternate)

4916. Completely positive quantum stochastic convolution cocycles and their dilations

Author(s): Adam Skalski

Abstract: Stochastic generators of completely positive and contractive quantum stochastic convolution cocycles on a C*-hyperbialgebra are characterised. The characterisation is used to obtain dilations and stochastic forms of Stinespring decomposition for completely positive convolution cocycles on a C*-bialgebra.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611271
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.OA/0611271 (alternate)

4917. A new method of normal approximation. I. Geometric central limit theorems

Author(s): Sourav Chatterjee

Abstract: We introduce a new version of Stein's method that reduces a large class of normal approximation problems to variance bounding exercises, thus making a connection between central limit theorems and concentration of measure. Unlike Skorokhod embeddings, the object whose variance has to be bounded has an explicit formula that makes it possible to carry out the program more easily. As an application, we derive a general CLT for functions that are obtained as combinations of many local contributions, where the definition of `local' itself depends on the data. Several examples are given, including the solution to a nearest-neighbor CLT problem posed by Peter Bickel.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611213
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611213 (alternate)

4918. Hitting time of large subsets of the hypercube

Author(s): Jiri Cerny and Veronique Gayrard

Abstract: We study the simple random walk on the $n$-dimensional hypercube, in particular its hitting times of large (possibly random) sets. We give simple conditions on these sets ensuring that the properly-rescaled hitting time is asymptotically exponentially distributed, uniformly in the starting position of the walk. These conditions are then verified for percolation clouds with densities that are much smaller than $(n \log n)^{-1}$. A main motivation behind this paper is the study of the so-called aging phenomenon in the Random Energy Model (REM), the simplest model of a mean-field spin glass. Our results allow us to prove aging in the REM for all temperatures, thereby extending earlier results to their optimal temperature domain.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611242
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611242 (alternate)

4919. A characterization of harmonic measures on laminations by hyperbolic Riemann surfaces

Author(s): Yuri Bakhtin and Matilde Martinez

Abstract: We prove that a probability measure on a compact non-singular lamination by hyperbolic Riemann surfaces is harmonic if and only if it is the projection of a measure on the unit tangent bundle such that it is invariant under both the geodesic and the horocycle flows.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611235
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.DS/0611235 (alternate)

4920. Convergence of the length of the loop-erased random walk on finite graphs to the Rayleigh process

Author(s): Jason Schweinsberg

Abstract: Let $(G_n)_{n=1}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of finite graphs, and let $Y_t$ be the length of a loop-erased random walk on $G_n$ after $t$ steps. We show that for a large family of sequences of finite graphs, which includes the case in which $G_n$ is the $d$-dimensional torus of size-length $n$ for $d \geq 4$, the process $(Y_t)_{t=0}^{\infty}$, suitably normalized, converges to the Rayleigh process introduced by Evans, Pitman, and Winter. Our proof relies heavily on ideas of Peres and Revelle, who used loop-erased random walks to show that the uniform spanning tree on large finite graphs converges to the Brownian continuum random tree of Aldous.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611155
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611155 (alternate)

4921. Height process for super-critical continuous state branching process

Author(s): Jean-Fran\c{c}ois Delmas (CERMICS)

Abstract: We define the height process for super-critical continuous state branching processes with quadratic branching mechanism. It appears as a projective limit of Brownian motions with positive drift reflected at 0 and a>0 as a goes to infinity. Then we extend the pruning procedure of branching processes to the super-critical case. This give a complete duality picture between pruning and size proportional immigration for quadratic continuous state branching processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611172
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611172 (alternate)

4922. Elementary potential theory on the hypercube

Author(s): Gerard Ben Arous and Veronique Gayrard

Abstract: This work addresses potential theoretic questions for the standard nearest neighbor random walk on the hypercube $\{-1,+1\}^N$. For a large class of subsets $A\subset\{-1,+1\}^N$ we give precise estimates for the harmonic measure of $A$, the mean hitting time of $A$, and the Laplace transform of this hitting time. In particular, we give precise sufficient conditions for the harmonic measure to be asymptotically uniform, and for the hitting time to be asymptotically exponentially distributed, as $N\to\infty$. Our approach relies on a $d$-dimensional extension of the Ehrenfest urn scheme called lumping and covers the case where $d$ is allowed to diverge with $N$ as long as $d\leq\alpha_0\frac{N}{\log N}$ for some constant $0<\alpha_0<1$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611178
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611178 (alternate)

4923. Directed animals in the gas

Author(s): Yvan Le Borgne (LaBRI) and Jean-Fran\c{c}ois Marckert (LaBRI)

Abstract: In this paper, we revisit the enumeration of directed animals using gas models. We show that there exists a natural construction of random directed animals on any directed graph together with a particle system that explains at the level of objects the formal link known between the density of the gas model and the generating function of directed animals counted according to the area. This provides some new methods to compute the generating function of directed animals counted according to area, and leads in the particular case of the square lattice to new combinatorial results and questions. A model of gas related to directed animals counted according to area and perimeter on any directed graph is also exhibited.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611194
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611194 (alternate)

4924. KdV Preserves White Noise

Author(s): Jeremy Quastel and Benedek Valko

Abstract: It is shown that white noise is an invariant measure for the Korteweg-deVries equation on $\mathbb T$. This is a consequence of recent results of Kappeler and Topalov establishing the well-posedness of the equation on appropriate negative Sobolev spaces, together with a result of Cambronero and McKean that white noise is the image under the Miura transform (Ricatti map) of the (weighted) Gibbs measure for the modified KdV equation, proven to be invariant for that equation by Bourgain.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611152
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.AP/0611152 (alternate)

4925. Mutation, selection, and ancestry in branching models: a variational approach

Author(s): Ellen Baake and Hans-Otto Georgii

Abstract: We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated genealogical tree is viewed both in the forward and the backward direction of time. The stationary type distribution of the reversed process, the so-called ancestral distribution, turns out as a key for the study of mutation-selection balance. This balance can be expressed in the form of a variational principle that quantifies the respective roles of reproduction and mutation for any possible type distribution. It shows that the mean growth rate of the population results from a competition for a maximal long-term growth rate, as given by the difference between the current mean reproduction rate, and an asymptotic decay rate related to the mutation process; this tradeoff is won by the ancestral distribution. Our main application is the quasispecies model of sequence evolution with mutation coupled to reproduction but independent across sites, and a fitness function that is invariant under permutation of sites. Here, the variational principle is worked out in detail and yields a simple, explicit result.

http://arXiv.org/abs/q-bio/0611018
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/q-bio.PE/0611018 (alternate)

4926. Discrete approximations to reflected Brownian motion

Author(s): Krzysztof Burdzy and Zhen-Qing Chen

Abstract: In this paper we investigate three discrete or semi-discrete approximation schemes for reflected Brownian motion on bounded Euclidean domains.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611114
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611114 (alternate)

4927. SLE(6) and CLE(6) from Critical Percolation

Author(s): Federico Camia and Charles M. Newman

Abstract: We review some of the recent progress on the scaling limit of two-dimensional critical percolation; in particular, the convergence of the exploration path to chordal SLE(6) and the "full" scaling limit of cluster interface loops. The results given here on the full scaling limit and its conformal invariance extend those presented previously. For site percolation on the triangular lattice, the results are fully rigorous. We explain some of the main ideas, skipping most technical details.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611116
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611116 (alternate)

4928. Some Estimates for Planar Random Walk and Brownian Motion

Author(s): Christian Benes

Abstract: The purpose of this note is to collect in one place a few results about simple random walk and Brownian motion which are often useful. These include standard results such as Beurling estimates, large deviation estimates, and a method for coupling the two processes, as well as solutions to the discrete Dirichlet problem in various domains which, to the author's knowledge, have not been published anywhere. The main focus is on the two-dimensional processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611127
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611127 (alternate)

4929. Non-existence of random gradient Gibbs measures in continuous interface models in $d=2$

Author(s): A. C. D. van Enter and C. Kuelske

Abstract: We consider statistical mechanics models of continuous spins in a disordered environment. These models have a natural interpretation as effective interface models. It is well-known that without disorder there are no interface Gibbs measures in infinite volume in dimension d=2, while there are ``gradient Gibbs measures'' describing an infinite-volume distribution for the increments of the field, as was shown by Funaki and Spohn. In the present paper we show that adding a disorder term prohibits the existence of such gradient Gibbs measures for general interaction potentials in d=2. This non-existence result generalizes the simple case of Gaussian fields where it follows from an explicit computation. In d=3 where random gradient Gibbs measures are expected to exist, our method provides a lower bound of the order of the inverse of the distance on the decay of correlations of Gibbs expectations w.r.t. the distribution of the random environment.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611140
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611140 (alternate)

4930. Phase transitions for the long-time behaviour of interacting diffusions

Author(s): A. Greven and F. den Hollander

Abstract: This paper considers a system of interacting diffusions labelled by the d-dimensional integer lattice. The diffusions interact linearly, according to a random walk transition kernel $a(\cdot,\cdot)$, and have an autonomous quadratic diffusion function with diffusion parameter $b$. The ergodic behaviour of such systems shows a delicate interplay between $a(cdot,\cdot)$ and $b$, which is described in detail. For instance, when $a(\cdot,\cdot)$ is transient, there is a sequence of critical values $b_*>b_2>b_3>...$ at which the equilibrium experiences a crossover: at $b_*$ from extinction to survival, and at $b_m$ from infinite to finite $m$-th moment. Proofs are based on $L^2$-theory, large deviations, and Palm theory.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611141
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611141 (alternate)

4931. Counting Planar Random Walk Holes

Author(s): Christian Benes

Abstract: We study two variants of the notion of {\it holes} formed by planar simple random walk of time duration $2n$ and the areas associated with them. We prove in both cases that the number of holes of area greater than A(n), where $\{A(n)\}$ is an increasing sequence, is, up to a logarithmic correction term, asymptotic to $n\cdot A(n)^{-1}$ for a range of large holes, thus confirming an observation by Mandelbrot. A consequence is that the largest hole has an area which is logarithmically asymptotic to $n$. We also discuss the different exponent of 5/3 observed by Mandelbrot for small holes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611144
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611144 (alternate)

4932. Probability distribution of distances between local extrema of random number series

Author(s): Argyn Kuketayev

Abstract: There is a sequence of random numbers x1,x2, ..., xn and so on. Numbers are independent of each other, but all numbers are from the same continuous distribution. If x1 < x2 > x3, then x2 is a local maximum. Here, we show that the probability mass function (PMF) of idstribution of distances between local maxima is non-parametric and the same for any probability distribution of random numbers in the sequence, and that the average distance is exactly 3. We present a method of computation of this PMF and its table for distances betwen 2 and 29. This PMF is confirmed to match distance distributions of sample random number sequences, which were created by pseudo-random number generators or obtained from "true" random number sources.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611130
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0611130 (alternate)

4933. On discretization schemes for stochastic evolution equations

Author(s): Istvan Gy\"{o}ngy and Annie Millet (PMA and MATISSE and SAMOS)

Abstract: Stochastic evolutional equations with monotone operators are considered in Banach spaces. Explicit and implicit numerical schemes are presented. The convergence of the approximations to the solution of the equations is proved.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611069
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611069 (alternate)

4934. Computation of the invariant measure for a L\'{e}vy driven SDE: Rate of convergence

Author(s): Fabien Panloup (PMA)

Abstract: We study the rate of convergence of some recursive procedures based on some "exact" or "approximate" Euler schemes which converge to the invariant measure of an ergodic SDE driven by a L\'{e}vy process. The main interest of this work is to compare the rates induced by exact and approximate Euler schemes. In our main result, we show that replacing the small jumps by a Brownian component in the approximate case preserves the rate induced by the exact Euler scheme for a large class of L\'{e}vy processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611072
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611072 (alternate)

4935. On implicit and explicit discretization schemes for parabolic SPDEs in any dimension

Author(s): Annie Millet (MATISSE and Pma and Samos) and Pierre-Luc Morien (MODAL'x)

Abstract: We study the speed of convergence of the explicit and implicit space-time discretization schemes of the solution $u(t,x)$ to a parabolic partial differential equation in any dimension perturbed by a space-correlated Gaussian noise. The coefficients only depend on $u(t,x)$ and the influence of the correlation on the speed is observed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611073
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611073 (alternate)

4936. On strongly Petrovskii's parabolic SPDEs in arbitrary dimension and the stochastic Cahn-Hilliard equation

Author(s): Caoline Cardon-Weber (PMA) and Annie Millet (PMA and MATISSE and SAMOS)

Abstract: In this paper we show that the Cahn-Hilliard stochastic SPDE has a function valued solution in dimension 4 and 5 when the perturbation is driven by a space-correlated Gaussian noise. This is done proving general results on SPDEs with globally Lipschitz coefficients associated with operators on smooth domains of $\mathbb{R}^d$ which are parabolic in the sense of Petrovskii}, and do not necessarily define a semi-group of operators. We study the regularity of the trajectories of the solutions and the absolute continuity of the law at some given time and position.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611090
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611090 (alternate)

4937. Wigner formula of rotation matrices and quantum walks

Author(s): Takahiro Miyazaki and Makoto Katori and Norio Konno

Abstract: Quantization of a random-walk model is performed by giving a multi-component qubit to a walker at site and by introducing a quantum coin, which is represented by a unitary matrix. In quantum walks, the qubit of walker is mixed according to the quantum coin at each time step, when the walker hops to other sites. The standard (discrete) quantum-walk model in one-dimension is defined by using a $2 \times 2$ unitary matrix for a walker with two-component qubit. In this paper we use Wigner's $(2j+1)$-dimensional unitary representations of rotations as quantum coins, where $j$ is a half-integer, and introduce a family of one-dimensional quantum walks with $(2j+1)$-component qubits. For any value of half-integer $j$, convergence of all moments of walker's pseudovelocity in the long-time limit is proved. It is generally shown for the present models that, if $(2j+1)$ is even, the limit distribution is given by a superposition of $(2j+1)/2$ terms of scaled Konno's density functions, and if $(2j+1)$ is odd, it is a superposition of $j$ terms of scaled Konno's density functions and a Dirac's delta function at the origin. For the two-, three-, and four-component models, the limit distribution functions are explicitly calculated and their dependence on the parameters of quantum coins and on the initial qubit of walker is completely determined. Comparison with computer simulation results is also shown.

http://arXiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0611022
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/quant-ph/0611022 (alternate)

4938. Simulation Studies of Some Voronoi Point Processes

Author(s): K.A. Borovkov and D.A. Odell

Abstract: We introduce a new class of dynamic point process models with simple and intuitive dynamics that are based on the Voronoi tessellations generated by the processes. Under broad conditions, these processes prove to be ergodic and produce, on stabilisation, a wide range of clustering patterns. In the paper, we present results of simulation studies of three statistical measures (Thiel's redundancy, van Lieshout and Baddeley's $J$-function and the empirical distribution of the Voronoi nearest neighbours' numbers) for inference on these models from the clustering behaviour in the stationary regime. In particular, we make comparisons with the area-interaction processes of Baddeley and van Lieshout.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611031
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611031 (alternate)

4939. A note on the exchangeability condition in Stein's method

Author(s): Adrian R\"ollin

Abstract: We show by a surprisingly simple argument that the exchangeability condition, which is key to the exchangeable pair approach in Stein's method for distributional approximation, can be omitted in many standard settings. This is achieved by replacing the usual antisymmetric function by a simpler one, for which only equality in distribution is required. In the case of approximations by continuous distributions we also slightly improve the constants appearing in previous results. For Poisson approximation, Chatterjee et al. (2005) use a different antisymmetric function, and additional error terms are needed if their bound is to be extended beyond the exchangeable setting. There is a strong connection between this new approach and Barbour's generator interpretation of Stein's method.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611050
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611050 (alternate)

4940. A new formulation of the spine approach to branching diffusions

Author(s): Robert Hardy and Simon C. Harris

Abstract: We present a formalization of the spine change of measure approach for branching diffusions that improves on the scheme laid out for branching Brownian motion in Kyprianou (2004) ["Travelling wave solutions to the KPP equation, Ann. Inst. H. Poincare Probab. Statist. 40, no.1, pp53-72] which itself made use of earlier works of Lyons et al (1997) ["A conceptual proof of the Kesten-Stigum theorem for multi-type branching processes", Classical and modern branching processes, IMA Vol. Math. Appl., vol.84, Springer, New York, pp181-185]. We use our new formulation to interpret certain `Gibbs-Boltzmann' weightings of particles and use this to give a new, intuitive and proof of a more general `Many-to-One' result which enables expectations of sums over particles in the branching diffusion to be calculated purely in terms of an expectation of one particle. Significantly, our formalization has provided the foundations that facilitate a variety of new, greatly simplified and more intuitive proofs in branching diffusions: see, for example, the L^p convergence of additive martingales in Hardy and Harris (2006) ["Spine proofs for L^p-convergence of branching-diffusion martingales", arXiv:math.PR/0611056], the path large deviation results for branching Brownian motion in Hardy and Harris (2006) ["A conceptual approach to a path result for branching Brownian motion", Stochastic Processes and their Applications, doi:10.1016/j.spa.2006.05.010] and the large deviations for a continuous-typed branching diffusion in Git et al (2006) ["Exponential growth rates in a typed branching diffusion", Annals Applied Prob., (under revision)] and Hardy and Harris (2004) ["A spine proof of a lower-bound for a typed branching diffusion", no.0408, Mathematics Preprint, University of Bath].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611054
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611054 (alternate)

4941. Spine proofs for Lp-convergence of branching-diffusion martingales

Author(s): Robert Hardy and Simon C. Harris

Abstract: Using the foundations laid down in Hardy and Harris (2006) ["A new formulation of the spine approach in branching diffusions", arXiv:math.PR/0611054], we present new spine proofs of the L^p-convergence p>=1) of some key `additive' martingales for three distinct models of branching diffusions, including new results for a multi-type branching Brownian motion and discussion of left-most particle speeds. The spine techniques we develop give clear and simple arguments in the spirit of the conceptual spine proofs found in Kyprianou (2004) ["Travelling wave solutions to the KPP equation, Ann. Inst. H. Poincare Probab. Statist. 40, no.1, pp53-72] and Lyons et al (1997) ["A conceptual proof of the Kesten-Stigum theorem for multi-type branching processes", Classical and modern branching processes, IMA Vol. Math. Appl., vol.84, Springer, New York, pp181-185], and they should also extend to more general classes of branching diffusions. Importantly, the techniques in this paper also pave the way for the path large-deviation results for branching diffusions found in Hardy and Harris (2006) ["A conceptual approach to a path result for branching Brownian motion", Stochastic Processes and their Applications, doi:10.1016/j.spa.2006.05.010].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611056
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611056 (alternate)

4942. Markovianity and ergodicity for a surface growth PDE

Author(s): D. Bloemker and F. Flandoli and M. Romito

Abstract: The paper analyses a model in surface growth, where uniqueness of weak solutions seems to be out of reach. We provide the existence of a weak martingale solution satisfying energy inequalities and having the Markov property. Furthermore, under non-degeneracy conditions on the noise, we establish that any such solution is strong Feller and has a unique invariant measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0611021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0611021 (alternate)

4943. Ergodic properties of geometrical crystallization processes, I

Author(s): Y. Davydov (University Lille 1) and A. Illig (University of Versailles Saint Quentin)

Abstract: We are interested here in a birth-and-growth process where germs are born according to a Poisson point process with invariant under translation in space intensity measure. The germs can be born in free space and then start growing until occupying the available space. In order to consider various way of growing, we describe the crystals at each time through their geometrical properties. In this general framework, the crystallization process can be caracterized by the random field giving for a point in the space state the first time this point is reached by a crystal. We prove under general conditions that this random field is mixing in the sens of ergodic theory and obtain estimates for the coefficient of absolute regularity.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610966
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610966 (alternate)

4944. Second look at the spread of epidemics on networks

Author(s): Eben Kenah and James Robins

Abstract: In an important paper, M.E.J. Newman claimed that a large class of network-based stochastic SIR epidemic models are isomorphic to bond percolation models, where the bonds are the edges of the contact network and the bond occupation probability is equal to the marginal probability of transmission from an infected node to a susceptible neighbor. In this paper, we show that this isomorphism is incorrect and define a percolation model on a semi-directed network that we call the percolation network that is exactly isomorphic to the SIR epidemic model. We show that the percolation network model predicts the same mean outbreak size (below the epidemic threshold), epidemic threshold, and final size of an epidemic as the bond percolation model. However, we also show that the bond percolation model fails to predict the correct outbreak size distribution and probability of an epidemic for any SIR epidemic model with a non-degenerate distribution of infectiousness. In a series of simulations, we show that the percolation network model accurately predicts the probability of an outbreak of size one and the probability of an epidemic, whereas the bond percolation model underestimates the first and overestimates the latter. In an appendix, we show that a percolation network model can be defined for any time-homogeneous SIR epidemic model. We conclude that percolation networks are a very general method of analyzing stochastic SIR epidemic models.

http://arXiv.org/abs/q-bio/0610057
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/q-bio.QM/0610057 (alternate)

4945. CLT for L^{p} moduli of continuity of Gaussian processes

Author(s): Michael B. Marcus and Jay Rosen

Abstract: Let G=\{G(x),x\in R^1\} be a mean zero Gaussian processes with stationary increments and set \si ^2(|x-y|)= E(G(x)-G(y))^2. Let f be a symmetric function with Ef(\eta)<\ff, where \eta=N(0,1). When \si^2(s) is concave or when \si^2(s)=s^r$, $1

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610894
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610894 (alternate)

4946. How to determine the law of the noise driving a SPDE

Author(s): H. Gottschalk and B. Smii

Abstract: We consider a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) on a lattice \partial_t X=(\Delta-m^2)X-\lambda X^p+\eta where $\eta$ is a space-time L\'evy noise. A perturbative (in the sense of formal power series) strong solution is given by a tree expansion, whereas the correlation functions of the solution are given by a perturbative expansion with coefficients that are represented as sums over a certain class of graphs, called Parisi-Wu graphs. The perturbative expansion of the truncated (connected) correlation functions is obtained via a Linked Cluster Theorem as a sums over connected graphs only. The moments of the stationary solution can be calculated as well. In all these solutions the cumulants of the single site distribution of the noise enter as multiplicative constants. To determine them, e.g. by comparison with a empirical correlation function, one can fit these constants (e.g. by the methods of least squares) and thereby one (approximately) determines law of the noise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610906
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610906 (alternate)

4947. Two sufficient conditions for Poisson approximations in the ferromagnetic Ising model

Author(s): David Coupier

Abstract: A $d$-dimensional ferromagnetic Ising model on a lattice torus is considered. As the size of the lattice tends to infinity, two conditions ensuring a Poisson approximation for the distribution of the number of occurrences in the lattice of any given local configuration are suggested. The proof builds on the Stein-Chen method. The rate of the Poisson approximation and the speed of convergence to it are precised and make sense for the model. Thus, the two sufficient conditions are traduced in terms of the magnetic field and the pair potential. In particular, the Poisson approximation holds even if both potentials diverge.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610939
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610939 (alternate)

4948. Stochastic Models for Speciation Events in Phylogenetic trees

Author(s): Tanja Gernhard

Abstract: In a phylogenetic tree, we often don't have information about the time a speciation event (inner node) occured. Under a neutral model for speciation, I develop fast algorithms for calculating the probability that an inner node i is the k-th speciation event. For the Yule and the coalescent model, I develop an edge length estimation as well. Various properties of the Yule model are discussed throughout the thesis.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610919
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0610919 (alternate)

4949. Large deviations for random matrix ensembles in mesoscopic physics

Author(s): Peter Eichelsbacher and Michael Stolz

Abstract: In his seminal 1962 paper on the ``threefold way'', Freeman Dyson classified the spaces of matrices that support the random matrix ensembles deemed relevant from the point of view of classical quantum mechanics. Recently, Heinzner, Huckleberry and Zirnbauer have obtained a similar classification based on less restrictive assumptions, thus taking care of the needs of modern mesoscopic physics. Their list is in one-to-one correspondence with the infinite families of Riemannian symmetric spaces as classified by Cartan. The present paper develops the corresponding random matrix theories, with a special emphasis on large deviation principles.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610811
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610811 (alternate)

4950. Graph Measures

Author(s): Ilwoo Cho

Abstract: In this paper, we define several measures induced by a finite directed graph. The study themselves is interesting ont only in the noncommutative probability point of view but also in the algebraic structure point of view, since to define graph measures we defined several rough algebraic structures induced by the given graph.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610817
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610817 (alternate)

4951. Inverse problems for random walks on trees: network tomography

Author(s): Victor de la Pena and Henryk Gzyl and Patrick McDonald

Abstract: Let $G$ be a finite tree with root $r$ and associate to the internal vertices of $G$ a collection of transition probabilities for a simple nondegenerate Markov chain. Embedd $G$ into a graph $G^\prime$ constructed by gluing finite linear chains of length at least 2 to the terminal vertices of $G.$ Then $G^\prime$ admits distinguished boundary layers and the transition probabilities associated to the internal vertices of $G$ can be augmented to define a simple nondegenerate Markov chain $X$ on the vertices of $G^\prime.$ We show that the transition probabilities of $X$ can be recovered from the joint distribution of first hitting time and first hitting place of $X$ started at the root $r$ for the distinguished boundary layers of $G^\prime.$

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610821
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610821 (alternate)

4952. L-Divergence Consistency for a Discrete Prior

Author(s): M. Grendar

Abstract: Posterior distribution over a countable set M of continuous data-sampling distributions piles up at L-projection of the true distribution r on M, provided that the L-projection is unique. If there are several L-projections of r on M, then the posterior probability splits among them equally.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610824
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610824 (alternate)

4953. General Tridiagonal Random Matrix Models, Limiting Distributions and Fluctuations

Author(s): Ionel Popescu

Abstract: In this paper we discuss general tridiagonal matrix models which are natural extensions of the ones given by Dumitriu and Edelman. We prove here the convergence of the distribution of the eigenvalues and compute the limiting distributions in some particular cases. We also discuss the limit of fluctuations, which, in a general context, turn out to be Gaussian. For the case of several random matrices, we prove the convergence of the joint moments and the convergence of the fluctuations to a Gaussian family.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610827
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610827 (alternate)

4954. Ordered random walks

Author(s): Peter Eichelsbacher and Wolfgang Konig

Abstract: We construct the conditional version of $k$ independent and identically distributed random walks on $\R$ given that they stay in strict order at all times. This is a generalisation of so-called non-colliding or non-intersecting random walks, the discrete variant of Dyson's Brownian motions, which have been considered yet only for nearest-neighbor walks on the lattice. Our only assumptions are moment conditions on the steps and the validity of the local central limit theorem. The conditional process is constructed as a Doob $h$-transform with some positive regular function $V$ that is strongly related with the Vandermonde determinant and reduces to that function for simple random walk. Furthermore, we prove an invariance principle, i.e., a functional limit theorem towards Dyson's Brownian motions, the continuous analogue.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610850
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610850 (alternate)

4955. John Michael Hammersley (1920-2004)

Author(s): Geoffrey Grimmett and Dominic Welsh

Abstract: In writing this biographical memoir of John Hammersley, we have tried to communicate something of the character of the person, and of the impact of his scientific achievements across lattice models (for example, percolation, self-avoiding walks, first-passage percolation, dimer models), stochastic processes (including subadditive ergodic theory), Monte Carlo methods, applied probability, statistics, and other areas to which he contributed. There is also an extended account of his earlier life, taken from autobiographical notes written around 1994, together with a list of his published work.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610862
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610862 (alternate)

4956. Talagrand Inequality for the Semicircular Law and Energy of the Eigenvalues of Beta Ensembles

Author(s): Ionel Popescu

Abstract: We give a short proof of the free analogue of the Talagrand inequality for the transportation cost to the semicircular which was originally proved by Biane and Voiculescu. The proof is based on a convexity argument and is in the spirit of the original Talagrand's proof. We also discuss the convergence, fluctuations and large deviations of the energy of the eigenvalues of beta ensembles, which gives also yet another proof of the convergence of the eigenvalue distribution to the semicircle law.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610826
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0610826 (alternate)

4957. Estimating the relative order of speciation or coalescence events on a given phylogeny

Author(s): Tanja Gernhard and Daniel Ford and Rutger Vos and Mike Steel

Abstract: The reconstruction of large phylogenetic trees from data that violates clocklike evolution (or as a supertree constructed from any m input trees) raises a difficult question for biologists - how can one assign relative dates to the vertices of the tree? In this paper we investigate this problem, assuming a uniform distribution on the order of the inner vertices of the tree (which includes, but is more general than, the popular Yule distribution on trees). We derive fast algorithms for computing the probability that (i) any given vertex in the tree was the j--th speciation event (for each j), and (ii) any one given vertex is earlier in the tree than a second given vertex. We show how the first algorithm can be used to calculate the expected length of any given interior edge in any given tree that has been generated under either a constant-rate speciation model, or the coalescent model.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610840
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0610840 (alternate)

4958. Fractional SPDEs driven by spatially correlated noise: existence of the solution and smoothness of its density

Author(s): Lahcen Boulanba and M'hamed Eddahbi and Mohamed Mellouk

Abstract: In this paper we study a class of stochastic partial differential equations in the whole space $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, with arbitrary dimension $d\geq 1$, driven by a Gaussian noise white in time and correlated in space. The differential operator is a fractional derivative operator. We show the existence, uniqueness and H\"{o}lder's regularity of the solution. Then by means of Malliavin calculus, we prove that the law of the solution has a smooth density with respect to the Lebesgue measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610769
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610769 (alternate)

4959. A Paradox for Admission Control of Multiclass Queueing Network with Differentiated Service

Author(s): Heng-Qing Ye

Abstract: In this paper, we present counter-intuitive examples for the multiclass queueing network system. In the system, each station may serve more than one job class with differentiated service priority, and each job may require service sequentially by more than one service station. In our examples, the network performance is improved even when more workloads are admitted for service.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610784
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610784 (alternate)

4960. Giant Component and Vacant Set for Random Walk on a Discrete Torus

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Alain-Sol Sznitman

Abstract: We consider random walk on a discrete torus E of side-length N, in sufficiently high dimension d. We investigate the percolative properties of the vacant set corresponding to the collection of sites which have not been visited by the walk up to time uN^d. We show that when u is chosen small, as N tends to infinity, there is with overwhelming probability a unique connected component in the vacant set which contains segments of length const log N. Moreover, this connected component occupies a non-degenerate fraction of the total number of sites N^d of E, and any point of E lies within distance an arbitrary fractional power of N from this component.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610802
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610802 (alternate)

4961. An application of Jacobi's elliptic functions to asymptotic probabilities for conformal restriction measures

Author(s): Robert O. Bauer

Abstract: We show that for the conformal restriction measure with exponent $b$ in the unit disk on hulls $\gamma$ connecting $e^{ix}$ to 1 the probability of the event that $\gamma$ avoids the disk of radius $q$ centered at zero decays like $\exp(-b\pi x/(1-q))$ if either $b\in[5/8,1]\cup[5/4,\infty)$ and $x\in(0,\pi]$, or if $b\in(1,5/4)$, $x\in(0,\pi)$, and $bx\le\pi$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610805
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610805 (alternate)

4962. Invariance principles for spatial multitype Galton-Watson trees

Author(s): Gr\'{e}gory Marc Miermont (LM-Orsay)

Abstract: We prove that critical multitype Galton-Watson trees converge after rescaling to the Brownian continuum random tree, under the hypothesis that the offspring distribution has finite covariance matrices. Our study relies on an ancestral decomposition for marked multitype trees. We then couple the genealogical structure with a spatial motion, whose step distribution may depend on the structure of the tree in a local way, and show that the resulting discrete spatial trees converge once suitably rescaled to the Brownian snake, under some suitable moment assumptions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610807
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610807 (alternate)

4963. Stochastic flows approach to Dupire's formula

Author(s): Benjamin Jourdain (CERMICS)

Abstract: The probabilistic equivalent formulation of Dupire's PDE is the Put-Call duality equality. In local volatility models including exponential L\'{e}vy jumps, we give a direct probabilistic proof for this result based on stochastic flows arguments. This approach also enables us to check the probabilistic equivalent formulation of various generalizations of Dupire's PDE recently obtained by Pironneau by the adjoint equation technique in the case of complex options.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610809
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610809 (alternate)

4964. On Traversable Length inside Semi-Cylinder in 2D supercritical Bond Percolation

Author(s): Nobuaki Sugimine and Masato Takei

Abstract: We investigate a limit theorem on traversable length inside semi-cylinder in the 2-dimensional supercritical Bernoulli bond percolation, which gives an extension of Theorem 2 in Grimmett(1981). This type of limit theorems was originally studied for the extinction time for the 1-dimensional contact process on a finite interval in Wagner and Anantharam(2005). Actually, our main result Theorem 2.1 is stated under a rather general 2-dimensional bond percolation setting.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610744
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610744 (alternate)

4965. Quadratic BSDEs driven by a continuous martingale and application to utility maximization problem

Author(s): Marie-Amelie Morlais

Abstract: In this paper, we study a class of quadratic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) which arises naturally when studying the problem of utility maximization with portfolio constraints. We first establish existence and uniqueness results for such BSDEs and then, we give an application to the utility maximization problem. Three cases of utility functions will be discussed: the exponential, power and logarithmic ones.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610749
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610749 (alternate)

4966. Global Fluctuations in General Beta Dyson Brownian Motion

Author(s): Martin Bender

Abstract: We consider a system of diffusing particles on the real line in a quadratic external potential and with repulsive electrostatic interaction. The empirical measure process is known to converge weakly to a deterministic measure-valued process as the number of particles tends to infinity. Provided the initial fluctuations are small, the rescaled linear statistics of the empirical measure process converge in distribution to a Gaussian limit for sufficiently smooth test functions. We derive explicit general formulae for the mean and covariance in this central limit theorem by analyzing a partial differential equation characterizing the limiting fluctuations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610750
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610750 (alternate)

4967. New Lower Bound on the Critical Density in Continuum Percolation

Author(s): Zhenning Kong and Edmund M. Yeh

Abstract: Percolation theory has become a useful tool for the analysis of large scale wireless networks. We investigate the fundamental problem of characterizing the critical density for Poisson random geometric graphs in continuum percolation theory. By using a probabilistic analysis which incorporates the clustering effect in random geometric graphs, we develop a new class of lower bounds for the critical density. In particular, the lower bound is substantially improved to 0.833. This graph theoretical viewpoint provides a new approach and a deep insight for the problem.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610751
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610751 (alternate)

4968. It\^{o}'s formula for linear fractional PDEs

Author(s): Jorge A. Leon (CINVESTAV-Ipn) and Samy Tindel (IECN)

Abstract: In this paper we introduce a stochastic integral with respect to the solution X of the fractional heat equation on [0,1], interpreted as a divergence operator. This allows to use the techniques of the Malliavin calculus in order to establish an It\^{o}-type formula for the process X.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610753
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610753 (alternate)

4969. Malliavin Calculus for Infinite-Dimensional Systems with Additive Noise

Author(s): Yuri Bakhtin and Jonathan C. Mattingly

Abstract: We consider an infinite-dimensional dynamical system with polynomial nonlinearity and additive noise given by a finite number of Wiener processes. By studying how randomness is spread by the system we develop a counterpart of Hormander's classical theory in this setting. We study the distributions of finite-dimensional projections of the solutions and give conditions that provide existence and smoothness of densities of these distributions with respect to the Lebesgue measure. We also apply our results to concrete SPDEs such as Stochastic Reaction Diffusion Equation and Stochastic 2D Navier--Stokes System.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610754
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610754 (alternate)

4970. A simple proof of a recurrence theorem for random walks in $\Z^{2}$

Author(s): Jean-Marc Derrien (LM-Brest)

Abstract: In this note, we prove without using Fourier analysis that the symmetric square integrable random walks in $\Z^{2}$ are recurrent.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610763
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610763 (alternate)

4971. A practical guide to measuring the Hurst parameter

Author(s): Richard G. Clegg

Abstract: This paper describes, in detail, techniques for measuring the Hurst parameter. Measurements are given on artificial data both in a raw form and corrupted in various ways to check the robustness of the tools in question. Measurements are also given on real data, both new data sets and well-studied data sets. All data and tools used are freely available for download along with simple ``recipes'' which any researcher can follow to replicate these measurements.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610756
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0610756 (alternate)

4972. A Non-Measurable Set From Coin-Flips

Author(s): Alexander E. Holroyd and Terry Soo

Abstract: In this expository note, we construct a non-measurable set in the probability space of coin flips indexed by the integers.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610705
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610705 (alternate)

4973. Percolation on random Johnson-Mehl tessellations and related models

Author(s): Bela Bollobas and Oliver Riordan

Abstract: We make use of the recent proof that the critical probability for percolation on random Voronoi tessellations is 1/2 to prove the corresponding result for random Johnson-Mehl tessellations, as well as for two-dimensional slices of higher dimensional Voronoi tessellations. Surprisingly, the proof is a little simpler for these more complicated models.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610716
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610716 (alternate)

4974. The Shift, properties and recommendations for practical use

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (LAMM)

Abstract: Because the stochastic calculus yields rarely random variables with laws defined by explicit closed formulas, probabilistic numerical computations are done most often by simulation. The simulation by the shift, whose field of application is as wide as that of Monte Carlo method, is particularly relevant when the simulations use, for each sample, a large number of calls to the random function. We give here the theoretical features, the implementation and the specific advantages of this method.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610729
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610729 (alternate)

4975. A Linear Programming Inequality with Applications to Concentration of Measure

Author(s): Leonid Kontorovich

Abstract: We prove an elementary yet useful inequality bounding the maximal value of certain linear programs. This leads directly to a bound on the martingale difference for arbitrarily dependent random variables, providing a generalization of some recent concentration of measure results. The linear programming inequality may be of independent interest.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610712
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.FA/0610712 (alternate)

4976. A finite difference method for Piecewise Deterministic Processes with memory

Author(s): Mario Annunziato

Abstract: In this paper the numerical approximation of solutions of Liouville-Master Equations for time-dependent distribution functions of Piecewise Deterministic Processes with memory is considered. These equations are linear hyperbolic PDEs with non-constant coefficients, and boundary conditions that depend on integrals over the interior of the integration domain. We construct a finite difference method of the first order, by a combination of the upwind method, for PDEs, and by a direct quadrature, for the boundary condition. We analyse convergence of the numerical solution for distribution functions evolving towards an equilibrium. Numerical results for two problems, whose analytical solutions are known in closed form, illustrate the theoretical finding.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610725
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NA/0610725 (alternate)

4977. The surface tension near criticality of the 2d-Ising model

Author(s): R. J. Messikh

Abstract: For the two dimensional Ising model, we construct the adequate surface tension near criticality. The latter quantity has been shown to play a central role in the study of phase coexistence in a joint limit where the temperature approaches the critical point from below and simultaneously the size of the system increases fast enough.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610636
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610636 (alternate)

4978. The renormalization transformation for two-type branching models

Author(s): Don A. Dawson and Andreas Greven and Frank den Hollander and Rongfeng Sun and Jan M. Swart

Abstract: This paper studies countable systems of linearly and hierarchically interacting diffusions taking values in the positive quadrant. These systems arise in population dynamics for two types of individuals migrating between and interacting within colonies. Their large-scale space-time behavior can be studied by means of a renormalization program. This program, which has been carried out successfully in a number of other cases (mostly one-dimensional), is based on the construction and the analysis of a nonlinear renormalization transformation, acting on the diffusion function for the components of the system and connecting the evolution of successive block averages on successive time scales. We identify a general class of diffusion functions on the positive quadrant for which this renormalization transformation is well-defined and, subject to a conjecture on its boundary behavior, can be iterated. Within certain subclasses, we identify the fixed points for the transformation and investigate their domains of attraction. These domains of attraction constitute the universality classes of the system under space-time scaling.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610645
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610645 (alternate)

4979. Revisiting Offspring Maxima in Branching Processes

Author(s): George P. Yanev

Abstract: We present a progress report for studies on maxima related to offspring in branching processes. We summarize and discuss the findings on the subject that appeared in the last ten years. Some of the results are refined and illustrated with new examples.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610647
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610647 (alternate)

4980. On the Lyapunov Exponent of a Multidimensional Stochastic Flow

Author(s): M. Baldini

Abstract: Let $X_t$ be a reversible and positive recurrent diffusion in $R^d$ described by \begin{equation}\nonumber X_t=x+\sigma b(t)+\int_0^tm(X_s)\dif s, \end{equation} where the diffusion coefficient $\sigma$ is a positive-definite matrix and the drift $m$ is a smooth function. Let $X_t(A)$ denote the image of a compact set $A\subset R^d$ under the stochastic flow generated by $X_t$. If the divergence of the drift is strictly negative, there exists a set of functions $u$ such that \[\lim_{t\to\infty} \int_{X_t(A)}u(x)\dif x=0\quad{a.s.} \] A characterization of the functions $u$ is provided, as well as lower and upper bounds for the exponential rate of convergence.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610665
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610665 (alternate)

4981. Gaussian limits for multidimensional random sequential packing at saturation (extended version)

Author(s): T. Schreiber and Mathew D. Penrose and J. E. Yukich

Abstract: Consider the random sequential packing model with infinite input and in any dimension. When the input consists of non-zero volume convex solids we show that the total number of solids accepted over cubes of volume $\lambda$ is asymptotically normal as $\lambda \to \infty$. We provide a rate of approximation to the normal and show that the finite dimensional distributions of the packing measures converge to those of a mean zero generalized Gaussian field. The method of proof involves showing that the collection of accepted solids satisfies the weak spatial dependence condition known as stabilization.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610680
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610680 (alternate)

4982. Critical Exponents of Planar Gradient Percolation

Author(s): Pierre Nolin (DMA and LM-Orsay)

Abstract: We study gradient percolation for site percolation on the triangular lattice. This is a percolation model where the percolation probability depends linearly on the location of the site. We prove the results predicted by physicists for this model. More precisely, we describe the fluctuations of the interfaces around their (straight) scaling limits, the expected and typical lengths of these interfaces. These results build on the recent results for critical percolation on this lattice by Smirnov, Lawler, Schramm and Werner, and on the hyperscaling ideas developed by Kesten.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610682
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610682 (alternate)

4983. Monte Carlo simulations with generalized detailed balance using quantum-classical isomorphism

Author(s): Yefim I. Leifman

Abstract: A quantum-classical isomorphism is used in order to develop a Monte Carlo simulation with controlled deviation from detailed balance, that is, in proposed notions, with generalized detailed balance and known relative entropy with respect to the reference process at each point. In order to apply this method to molecular simulations a new partial chirotope realization algorithm, based on linear programming methods, a new distance geometry algorithm and a new all-atom off-lattice Monte Carlo method are proposed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610696
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610696 (alternate)

4984. Critical curves in conformally invariant statistical systems

Author(s): I. Rushkin and E. Bettelheim and I. A. Gruzberg and P. Wiegmann

Abstract: We consider critical curves -- conformally invariant curves that appear at critical points of two-dimensional statistical mechanical systems. We show how to describe these curves in terms of the Coulomb gas formalism of conformal field theory (CFT). We also provide links between this description and the stochastic (Schramm-) Loewner evolution (SLE). The connection appears in the long-time limit of stochastic evolution of various SLE observables related to CFT primary fields. We show how the multifractal spectrum of harmonic measure and other fractal characteristics of critical curves can be obtained.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0610550
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0610550 (alternate)

4985. The hole probability for Gaussian random SU(2) polynomials

Author(s): Scott Zrebiec

Abstract: We show that for Gaussian random SU(2)polynomials of a large degree $N$ the probability that there are no zeros in the disk of radius $r$ is less than $e^{-c_{1,r} N^2}$, and is also greater than $e^{-c_{2,r} N^2}$. Enroute to this result, we also derive a more general result: probability estimates for the event that the number of complex zeros of a random polynomial of high degree deviates significantly from its mean.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610686
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CV/0610686 (alternate)

4986. On spatial thinning-replacement processes based on Voronoi cells

Author(s): Konstantin Borovkov and David Odell

Abstract: We introduce a new class of spatial-temporal point processes based on Voronoi tessellations. At each step of such a process, a point is chosen at random according to a distribution determined by the associated Voronoi cells. The point is then removed, and a new random point is added to the configuration. The dynamics are simple and intuitive and could be applied to modeling natural phenomena. We prove ergodicity of these processes under wide conditions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610606
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610606 (alternate)

4987. Stochastic integration in UMD Banach spaces

Author(s): Jan van Neerven and Mark Veraar and Lutz Weis

Abstract: In this paper we construct a theory of stochastic integration of processes with values in $\calL(H,E)$, where $H$ is a separable Hilbert space and $E$ is a UMD Banach space. The integrator is an $H$-cylindrical Brownian motion. Our approach is based on a two-sided $L^p$-decoupling inequality for UMD spaces due to Garling, which is combined with the theory of stochastic integration of $\calL(H,E)$-valued functions introduced recently by two of the authors. We obtain various characterizations of the stochastic integral and prove versions of the It\^o isometry, the Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequalities, and the representation theorem for Brownian martingales.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610619
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610619 (alternate)

4988. Identifying the diffusion covariation and the co-jumps given discrete observations

Author(s): Fabio Gobbi and Cecilia Mancini

Abstract: In this paper we consider two processes driven by diffusions and jumps. We consider both finite activity and infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the covariation between the two diffusion parts from the co-jumps. A commonly used approach to estimate the diffusion covariation part is to take the sum of the cross products of the two processes increments; however this estimator can be highly biased in the presence of jump components, since it approaches the quadratic covariation containing also the co-jumps. Our estimator is based on a threshold principle allowing to isolate the jumps. %detect the presence of jumps. As a consequence we find an estimator which is consistent. In the case of finite activity jump components the estimator is also asymptotically Gaussian. We assess the performance of our estimator for finite samples on four different simulated models.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610621
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610621 (alternate)

4989. The Brownian net

Author(s): Rongfeng Sun and Jan M. Swart

Abstract: The (standard) Brownian web is a collection of coalescing one-dimensional Brownian motions, starting from each point in space and time. It arises as the diffusive scaling limit of a collection of coalescing random walks. We show that it is possible to obtain a nontrivial limiting object if the random walks in addition branch with a small probability. We call the limiting object the Brownian net, and study some of its elementary properties.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610625
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610625 (alternate)

4990. Construction of a Gibbs measure associated to the periodic Benjamin-Ono equation

Author(s): N. Tzvetkov

Abstract: We define a finite Borel measure of Gibbs type, supported by the Sobolev spaces of negative indexes on the circle. The measure can be seen as a limit of finite dimensional measures. These finite dimensional measures are invariant by the ODE's which correspond to the projection of the Benjamin-Ono equation, posed on the circle, on the first N>>1 modes in the trigonometric bases.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610626
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.AP/0610626 (alternate)

4991. Uniqueness of the critical probability for percolation in the two dimensional Sierpinski carpet lattice

Author(s): Yasunari Higuchi and Xian-Yuan Wu

Abstract: We prove that the critical probability for the Sierpinski carpet lattice in two dimensions is uniquely determined. The transition is sharp. This extends the Kumagai's result to the original Sierpinski carpet lattice.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610583
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610583 (alternate)

4992. Hoeffding decompositions and two-colour urn sequences

Author(s): Omar El-Dakkak (LSTA) and Giovanni Peccati (LSTA)

Abstract: Let X be a non-deterministic infinite exchangeable sequence with values in {0,1}. We show that X is Hoeffding-decomposable if, and only if, X is either an i.i.d. sequence or a Polya sequence. This completes the results established in Peccati [2004]. The proof uses several combinatorial implications of the correspondence between Hoeffding decomposability and weak independence. Our results must be compared with previous characterizations of i.i.d. and Polya sequences given by Hill et al. [1987] and Diaconis and Yilvisaker [1979].

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610590
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610590 (alternate)

4993. On Permanental Processes

Author(s): Nathalie Eisenbaum and Haya Kaspi

Abstract: Permanental processes can be viewed as a generalisation of squared centered Gaussian processes. We develop in this paper two main subjects. The first one analyses the connections of these processes with the local times of general Markov processes. The second deals with Bosonian point processes and the Bose-Einstein condensation. The obtained results in both directions are related and based on the notion of infinite divisibility.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610600
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610600 (alternate)

4994. Non-backtracking random walks mix faster

Author(s): Noga Alon and Itai Benjamini and Eyal Lubetzky and Sasha Sodin

Abstract: We compute the mixing rate of a non-backtracking random walk on a regular expander. Using some properties of Chebyshev polynomials of the second kind, we show that this rate may be up to twice as fast as the mixing rate of the simple random walk. The closer the expander is to a Ramanujan graph, the higher the ratio between the above two mixing rates is. As an application, we show that if $G$ is a high-girth regular expander on $n$ vertices, then a typical non-backtracking random walk of length $n$ on $G$ does not visit a vertex more than $(1+o(1))\frac{\log n}{\log\log n}$ times, and this result is tight. In this sense, the multi-set of visited vertices is analogous to the result of throwing $n$ balls to $n$ bins uniformly, in contrast to the simple random walk on $G$, which almost surely visits some vertex $\Omega(\log n)$ times.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610550
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610550 (alternate)

4995. Invariance principle, multifractional Gaussian processes and long-range dependence

Author(s): Serge Cohen and Renaud Marty

Abstract: This paper is devoted to establish an invariance principle where the limit process is a multifractional Gaussian process with a multifractional function which takes its values in (1/2, 1). Some properties, as regularity and local self-similarity, of this process are studied. Moreover the limit process is compared to the multifractional Brownian motion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610551
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610551 (alternate)

4996. On numerical integration by the shift and application to Wiener space

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (LAMM)

Abstract: The aim of this study is to clarify the consequences of recent theoretical results for the numerical computation of expectation by the shift method, and in particular to yield sufficient criteria for the existence of speed of convergence of the type `iterated logarithm' in several situations. We deepen the case of the Wiener space because it contains many situations useful in applications.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610560
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610560 (alternate)

4997. Penalizations of Walsh Brownian motion

Author(s): Joseph Najnudel

Abstract: In this paper, we construct a family of probability measures, by penalizations of a Walsh Brownian motion with a weight dependent on its value and its local time at a time t. We prove that this family converges to a probability measure as t tends to infinity, and we study the behaviour of this limit measure.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610564
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610564 (alternate)

4998. Dynkin's isomorphism without symmetry

Author(s): Yves Le Jan (LM-Orsay)

Abstract: The purpose of this note is to extend Dynkin's isomorphim involving functionals of the occupation field of a symmetric Markov processes and of the associated Gaussian field to a suitable class of non symmetric Markov processes.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610571
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610571 (alternate)

4999. Asymptotic behavior of a branching population before extinction

Author(s): Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Abstract: Under the assumption that the initial population size of a Galton-Watson branching process increases to infinity, the paper studies asymptotic behavior of the population size before extinction. More specifically, we establish asymptotic properties of the conditional moments (which are exactly defined in the paper).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610506
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610506 (alternate)

5000. Viscoelasticity and L\'{e}vy processes

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: We show that the linear viscoelastic materials, and more generally the physical phenomena to which Biot's relaxation theory is relevant, can be put in correspondance with the laws of processes with independent increments. In the one dimensional case this correspondence is one to one with subordinators and gives rise naturally to a conjugation relation on subordinators.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610507
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610507 (alternate)

5001. An extension to the Wiener space of the arbitrary functions principle

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: The arbitrary functions principle says that the fractional part of $nX$ converges stably to an independent random variable uniformly distributed on the unit interval, as soon as the random variable $X$ possesses a density or a characteristic function vanishing at infinity. We prove a similar property for random variables defined on the Wiener space when the stochastic measure $dB\_s$ is crumpled on itself.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610509
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610509 (alternate)

5002. Maximal inequalities and a law of the iterated logarithm for negatively associated random fields

Author(s): Li Xin Zhang

Abstract: The exponential inequality of the maximum partial sums is a key to establish the law of the iterated logarithm of negatively associated random variables. In the one-indexed random sequence case, such inequalities for negatively associated random variables are established by Shao (2000) by using his comparison theorem between negatively associated and independent random variables. In the multi-indexed random field case, the comparison theorem fails. The purpose of this paper is to establish the Kolmogorov exponential inequality as well a moment inequality of the maximum partial sums of a negatively associated random field via a different method. By using these inequalities, the sufficient and necessary condition for the law of the iterated logarithm of a negatively associated random field to hold is obtained.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610511
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610511 (alternate)

5003. A note on the invariance principle of the product of sums of random variables

Author(s): Li-Xin Zhang and Wei Huang

Abstract: In literature, the central limit theorems for the product of sums of various random variables have studied. The purpose of this note is to show that this kind of results are corollary of the invariance principle.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610515
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610515 (alternate)

5004. Precise rates in the law of the iterated logarithm

Author(s): Li-Xin Zhang

Abstract: Let $X$, $X_1$, $X_2$, $...$ be i.i.d. random variables, and let $S_n=X_1+... + X_n$ be the partial sums and $M_n=\max_{k\le n}|S_k|$ be the maximum partial sums. We give the sufficient and necessary conditions for a kind of limit theorems to hold on the convergence rate of the tail probabilities of both $S_n$ and $M_n$. These results are related to the law of the iterated logarithm. The results of Gut and Spataru (2000) are special cases of ours.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610519
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610519 (alternate)

5005. Precise Asymptotics in Chung's law of the iterated logarithm

Author(s): Li-Xin Zhang

Abstract: This paper gives sufficent and necessary conditions on a kind of limit results to hold on the precise convergent rate of an infinite series of probabilities on the Chung type law of the iterated logarithm.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610520
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610520 (alternate)

5006. On the rates of the other law of the logarithm

Author(s): Li-Xin Zhang

Abstract: By using the strong approximation, this paper establishes several limit results on the convergent rate of a infinite series of probabilities on the other law of iterated logarithm.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610521
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610521 (alternate)

5007. A second order SDE for the Langevin process reflected at a completely inelastic boundary

Author(s): Jean Bertoin (PMA and DMA)

Abstract: It was shown recently that a Langevin process can be reflected at an energy absorbing boundary. Here, we establish that the law of this reflecting process can be characterized as the unique weak solution to a certain second order stochastic differential equation with constraints, which is in sharp contrast with a deterministic analog.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610442
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610442 (alternate)

5008. The Cauchy problem and the martingale problem for integro-differential operators with non-smooth kernels

Author(s): H. Abels M. Kassmann

Abstract: We consider the linear integro-differential operator $L$ defined by \[ Lu(x) =\int_\Rn (u(x+y) - u(x) - 1_{[1,2]}(\alpha) 1_{\{|y|\leq 2\}}(y)y \cdot \nabla u(x)) k(x,y) \sd y . \] Here the kernel $k(x,y)$ behaves like $|y|^{-d-\alpha}$, $\alpha \in (0,2)$, for small $y$ and is H\"older-continuous in the first variable, precise definitions are given below. The aim of this work is twofold. On one hand, we study the unique solvability of the Cauchy problem corresponding to $L$. On the other hand, we study the martingale problem for $L$. The analytic results obtained for the deterministic parabolic equation guarantee that the martingale problem is well-posed. Our strategy follows the classical path of Stroock-Varadhan. The assumptions allow for cases that have not been dealt with so far.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610445
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610445 (alternate)

5009. Sharp probability estimates for random walks with barriers

Author(s): Kevin Ford

Abstract: We give sharp, uniform estimates for the probability that a random walk of n steps on the reals avoids a half-line [y,infinity) given that it ends at the point x. The estimates hold for general continuous or lattice distributions provided the 4th moment is finite.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610450
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610450 (alternate)

5010. The mixing time of the giant component of a random graph

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Gady Kozma and Nicholas Wormald

Abstract: We show that the total variation mixing time of the simple random walk on the giant component of supercritical Erdos-Renyi graphs is log^2 n. This statement was only recently proved, independently, by Fountoulakis and Reed. Our proof follows from a structure result for these graphs which is interesting in its own right. We show that these graphs are "decorated expanders" - an expander glued to graphs whose size has constant expectation and exponential tail, and such that each vertex in the expander is glued to no more than a constant number of decorations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610459
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610459 (alternate)

5011. Component sizes of the random graph outside the scaling window

Author(s): Asaf Nachmias and Yuval Peres

Abstract: We provide simple proofs describing the behavior of the largest component of the Erdos-Renyi random graph $G(n,p)$ outside of the scaling window, $p={1+\eps(n) \over n}$ where $\eps(n) \to 0$ but $\eps(n)n^{1/3} \to \infty$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610466
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610466 (alternate)

5012. Dirichlet forms methods, an application to the propagation of the error due to the Euler scheme

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: We present recent advances on Dirichlet forms methods either to extend financial models beyond the usual stochastic calculus or to study stochastic models with less classical tools. In this spirit, we interpret the asymptotic error on the solution of an sde due to the Euler scheme in terms of a Dirichlet form on the Wiener space, what allows to propagate this error thanks to functional calculus.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610475
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610475 (alternate)

5013. Differential calculus for Dirichlet forms : the measure-valued gradient preserved by image

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: In order to develop a differential calculus for error propagation we study local Dirichlet forms on probability spaces with square field operator $\Gamma$ -- i.e. error structures -- and we are looking for an object related to $\Gamma$ which is linear and with a good behaviour by images. For this we introduce a new notion called the measure valued gradient which is a randomized square root of $\Gamma$. The exposition begins with inspecting some natural notions candidate to solve the problem before proposing the measure-valued gradient and proving its satisfactory properties.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610485
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610485 (alternate)

5014. Dirichlet forms in simulation

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: Equipping the probability space with a local Dirichlet form with square field operator $\Gamma$ and generator $A$ allows to improve Monte Carlo computations of expectations, densities, and conditional expectations, as soon as we are able to simulate a random variable $X$ together with $\Gamma[X]$ and $A[X]$. We give examples on the Wiener space, on the Poisson space and on the Monte Carlo space. When $X$ is real-valued we give an explicit formula yielding the density at the speed of the law of large numbers.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610486
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610486 (alternate)

5015. Error calculus and path sensitivity in financial models

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: In the framework of risk management, for the study of the sensitivity of pricing and hedging in stochastic financial models to changes of parameters and to perturbations of the stock prices, we propose an error calculus which is an extension of the Malliavin calculus based on Dirichlet forms. Although useful also in physics, this error calculus is well adapted to stochastic analysis and seems to be the best practicable in finance. This tool is explained here intuitively and with some simple examples.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610489
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610489 (alternate)

5016. Calcul d'erreur complet lipschitzien et formes de Dirichlet

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: We study the error calculus from a mathematical point of view, in particular for the infinite dimensional models met in stochastic analysis. Gauss was the first to propose an error calculus. It can be reinforced by an extension principle based on Dirichlet forms which gives more strength to the coherence property. One gets a Lipschitzian complete error calculus which behaves well by images and by products and allows a quick and easy construction of the basic mathematical tools of Malliavin calculus. This allows also to revisit the delicate question of error permanency that Poincar\'{e} emphasized. This error calculus is connected with statistics by mean of the notion of Fisher information.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610491
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610491 (alternate)

5017. Non-exponential stability and decay rates in nonlinear stochastic difference equation with unbounded noises

Author(s): J.A.D. Appleby and G. Berkolaiko and A. Rodkina

Abstract: We consider stochastic difference equation $$ x_{n+1} = x_n (1 - h f(x_n) + \sqrt{h} g(x_n) \xi_{n+1}), $$ where functions f and g are nonlinear and bounded, random variables \xi_i are independent and h>0 is a nonrandom parameter. We establish results on asymptotic stability and instability of the trivial solution x_n=0. We also show, that for some natural choices of the nonlinearities f and g, the rate of decay of x_n is approximately polynomial: we find \alpha>0 such that x_n decay faster than n^{-\alpha+\epsilon} but slower than n^{-\alpha-\epsilon} for any \epsilon>0. It also turns out that if g(x) decays faster than f(x) as x->0, the polynomial rate of decay can be established exactly, x_n n^\alpha -> const. On the other hand, if the coefficient by the noise does not decay fast enough, the approximate decay rate is the best possible result.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610425
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610425 (alternate)

5018. Metric and Mixing Sufficient Conditions for Concentration of Measure

Author(s): Leonid Kontorovich

Abstract: We derive sufficient conditions for a family $(X^n,\rho_n,P_n)$ of metric probability spaces to have the measure concentration property. Specifically, if the sequence $\{P_n\}$ of probability measures satisfies a strong mixing condition (which we call $\eta$-mixing) and the sequence of metrics $\{\rho_n\}$ is what we call $\Psi$-dominated, we show that $(X^n,\rho_n,P_n)$ is a normal Levy family. We establish these properties for some metric probability spaces, including the possibly novel $X=[0,1]$, $\rho_n=\ell_1$ case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610427
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610427 (alternate)

5019. The Ornstein Uhlenbeck Bridge and Applications to Markov Semigroups

Author(s): Beniamin Goldys and Bohdan Maslowski

Abstract: For an arbitrary Hilbert space-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process we construct the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Bridge connecting a starting point $x$ and an endpoint $y$ that belongs to a certain linear subspace of full measure. We derive also a stochastic evolution equation satisfied by the OU Bridge and study its basic properties. The OU Bridge is then used to investigate the Markov transition semigroup associated to a nonlinear stochastic evolution equation with additive noise. We provide an explicit formula for the transition density and study its regularity. Given the Strong Feller property and the existence of an invariant measure we show that the transition semigroup maps $L^p$ functions into continuous functions. We also show that transition operators are $q$-summing for some $q>p>1$, in particular of Hilbert-Schmidt type.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610386
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610386 (alternate)

5020. Th\'{e}or\`{e}me de Donsker et formes de Dirichlet

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: We use the language of errors to handle local Dirichlet forms with square field operator (cf [2]). Let us consider, under the hypotheses of Donsker theorem, a random walk converging weakly to a Brownian motion. If in addition the random walk is supposed to be erroneous, the convergence occurs in the sense of Dirichlet forms and induces the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck structure on the Wiener space. This quite natural result uses an extension of Donsker theorem to functions with quadratic growth. As an application we prove an invariance principle for the gradient of the maximum of the Brownian path computed by Nualart and Vives.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610392
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610392 (alternate)

5021. Submean variance bound for effective resistance on random electric networks

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Raphael Rossignol

Abstract: We study a model of random electric networks with Bernoulli resistances. In the case of the lattice Z^2, we show that the point-to-point effective resistance has a small variance compared to its expected value, whereas for Z^d, with d different from 2, expectation and variance are of the same order. Similar results are obtained in the context of p-resistance. The proofs rely on a modified Poincare inequality due to Falik and Samorodnitsky.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610393
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610393 (alternate)

5022. The Curie-Weiss model with dynamical external field

Author(s): Clement Dombry and Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Abstract: We study a Curie-Weiss model with a random external field generated by a dynamical system. Probabilistic limit theorems (weak law of large numbers, central limit theorems) are proven for the corresponding magnetization.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610394
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610394 (alternate)

5023. A stochastic approximation scheme and convergence theorem for particle interactions with perfectly reflecting boundaries

Author(s): Clive G. Wells

Abstract: We prove the existence of a solution to an equation governing the number density within a compact domain of a discrete particle system for a prescribed class of particle interactions taking into account the effects of the diffusion and drift of the set of particles. Each particle carries a number of internal coordinates which may evolve continuously in time, determined by what we will refer to as the internal drift, or discretely via the interaction kernels. Perfectly reflecting boundary conditions are imposed on the system and all the processes may be spatially and temporally inhomogeneous. We use a relative compactness argument to construct a sequence of measures that converge weakly to a solution of the governing equation. Since the proof of existence is a constructive one, it provides a stochastic approximation scheme that can be used for the numerical study of molecular dynamics.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610412
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610412 (alternate)

5024. When and how an error yields a Dirichlet form

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: We consider a random variable $Y$ and approximations $Y\_n$, defined on the same probability space with values in the same measurable space as $Y$. We are interested in situations where the approximations $Y\_n$ allow to define a Dirichlet form in the space $L^2(P\_Y)$ where $P\_Y$ is the law of $Y$. Our approach consists in studying both biases and variances. The article attempts to propose a general theoretical framework. It is illustrated by several examples.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610389
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.FA/0610389 (alternate)

5025. Some thoughts upon axiomatized languages with estension tools, a focus on probability theory and error calculus with Dirichlet forms

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: A comparison of the "theory of random sequences" developed during the twentieth century and the axiomatic approach of probability theory proposed by Kolmogorov shows the importance of sigma-additivity as extension tool. Similarly, the Cauchy criterion appears to be an extension tool for mathematical analysis. The Dirichlet forms theory possesses also such an extension tool. They are the source of the fruitfulness of these languages and the condition of their creativity. A connection is given with the so-called Richard paradox.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610390
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.HO/0610390 (alternate)

5026. A Tight Bound for the Lamplighter Problem

Author(s): Murali K. Ganapathy and Prasad Tetali

Abstract: We settle an open problem, raised by Y. Peres and D. Revelle, concerning the $L^2$ mixing time of the random walk on the lamplighter graph. We also provide general bounds relating the entropy decay of a Markov chain to the separation distance of the chain, and show that the lamplighter graphs once again provide examples of tightness of our results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610345
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610345 (alternate)

5027. Correction. Brownian models of open processing networks: canonical representation of workload

Author(s): J. Michael Harrison

Abstract: Due to a printing error the above mentioned article [Annals of Applied Probability 10 (2000) 75--103, doi:10.1214/aoap/1019737665] had numerous equations appearing incorrectly in the print version of this paper. The entire article follows as it should have appeared. IMS apologizes to the author and the readers for this error. A recent paper by Harrison and Van Mieghem explained in general mathematical terms how one forms an ``equivalent workload formulation'' of a Brownian network model. Denoting by $Z(t)$ the state vector of the original Brownian network, one has a lower dimensional state descriptor $W(t)=MZ(t)$ in the equivalent workload formulation, where $M$ can be chosen as any basis matrix for a particular linear space. This paper considers Brownian models for a very general class of open processing networks, and in that context develops a more extensive interpretation of the equivalent workload formulation, thus extending earlier work by Laws on alternate routing problems. A linear program called the static planning problem is introduced to articulate the notion of ``heavy traffic'' for a general open network, and the dual of that linear program is used to define a canonical choice of the basis matrix $M$. To be specific, rows of the canonical $M$ are alternative basic optimal solutions of the dual linear program. If the network data satisfy a natural monotonicity condition, the canonical matrix $M$ is shown to be nonnegative, and another natural condition is identified which ensures that $M$ admits a factorization related to the notion of resource pooling.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610352
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610352 (alternate)

5028. On some errors related to the graduation of measurinf instruments

Author(s): Nicolas Bouleau (CERMICS)

Abstract: The error on a real quantity Y due to the graduation of the measuring instrument may be represented, when the graduation is regular and fines down, by a Dirichlet form on R whose square field operator do not depend on the probability law of Y as soon as this law possesses a continuous density. This feature is related to the "arbitrary functions principle" (Poincar\'{e}, Hopf). We give extensions of this property to multivariate case and infinite dimensional case for approximations of the Brownian motion. We use a Girsanov theorem for Dirichlet forms which has its own interest. Connections are given with discretization of stochastic differential equations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610355
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610355 (alternate)

5029. Reflection positivity and phase transitions in lattice spin models

Author(s): Marek Biskup

Abstract: Reflection positivity (RP) is a property of Gibbs measures exhibited by a class of lattice spin systems that includes the Ising, Potts and Heisenberg models. The RP property is useful because of its two basic consequences: infrared bound and chessboard estimates. These are one of basic (and rather efficient) tools for proving phase transitions in many models of physical interest. The content of the notes presented hereby are the lectures on reflection positivity and its consequences that the author delivered at the Prague Summer School on Mathematical Statistical Mechanics in September 2006. The notes summarize both the classical material on the subject from the late 1970s as well as some of the more recent developments.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0610025
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0610025 (alternate)

5030. Asymptotic Feynman-Kac formulae for large symmetrised systems of random walks

Author(s): Stefan Adams and Tony Dorlas

Abstract: We study large deviations principles for $ N $ random processes on the lattice $ \Z^d $ with finite time horizon $ [0,\beta] $ under a symmetrised measure where all initial and terminal points are uniformly given by a random permutation. That is, given a permutation $ \sigma $ of $ N $ elements and a vector $ (x_1,...,x_N) $ of $ N $ initial points we let the random processes terminate in the points $ (x_{\sigma(1)},...,x_{\sigma(N)}) $ and then sum over all possible permutations and initial points, weighted with an initial distribution. There is a two-level random mechanism and we prove two-level large deviations principles for the mean of empirical path measures, for the mean of paths and for the mean of occupation local times under this symmetrised measure. The symmetrised measure cannot be written as any product of single random process distributions. We show a couple of important applications of these results in quantum statistical mechanics using the Feynman-Kac formulae representing traces of certain trace class operators. In particular we prove a non-commutative Varadhan Lemma for quantum spin systems with Bose-Einstein statistics and mean field interactions. A special case of our large deviations principle for the mean of occupation local times of $ N $ simple random walks has the Donsker-Varadhan rate function as the rate function for the limit $ N\to\infty $ but for finite time $ \beta $. We give an interpretation in quantum statistical mechanics for this surprising result.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0610026
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0610026 (alternate)

5031. The Scaling Limits of Planar LERW in Finitely Connected Domains

Author(s): Dapeng Zhan

Abstract: We define a family of SLE-type processes in finitely connected domains, which are called continuous LERW (loop-erased random walk). A continuous LERW describes a random curve in a finitely connected domain that starts from a prime end and ends at a certain target set, which could be an interior point, or a prime end, or a side arc. It is defined using the usual chordal Loewner equation with the driving function being $\sqrt 2 B(t)$ plus a drift term. The distributions of continuous LERW are conformally invariant. A continuous LERW preserves a family of local martingales, which are composed of generalized Poisson kernels, normalized by their behaviors near the target set. These local martingales resemble the discrete martingales preserved by the corresponding LERW on the discrete approximation of the domain. For all kinds of targets, if the domain satisfies certain boundary conditions, we use these martingales to prove that when the mesh of the discrete approximation is small enough, the continuous LERW and the corresponding discrete LERW can be coupled together, such that after a suitable parametrization, with probability close to 1, the two curves are uniformly close to each other.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610304
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610304 (alternate)

5032. On the ergodicity properties of some adaptive MCMC algorithms

Author(s): Christophe Andrieu and \'{E}ric Moulines

Abstract: In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated from the output of a so-called adaptive MCMC sampler converge to the required value and can even, under more stringent assumptions, satisfy a central limit theorem. We prove that the conditions required are satisfied for the independent Metropolis--Hastings algorithm and the random walk Metropolis algorithm with symmetric increments. Finally, we propose an application of these results to the case where the proposal distribution of the Metropolis--Hastings update is a mixture of distributions from a curved exponential family.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610317
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610317 (alternate)

5033. Nonmonotonicity of phase transitions in a loss network with controls

Author(s): Brad Luen and Kavita Ramanan and Ilze Ziedins

Abstract: We consider a symmetric tree loss network that supports single-link (unicast) and multi-link (multicast) calls to nearest neighbors and has capacity $C$ on each link. The network operates a control so that the number of multicast calls centered at any node cannot exceed $C_V$ and the number of unicast calls at a link cannot exceed $C_E$, where $C_E$, $C_V\leq C$. We show that uniqueness of Gibbs measures on the infinite tree is equivalent to the convergence of certain recursions of a related map. For the case $C_V=1$ and $C_E=C$, we precisely characterize the phase transition surface and show that the phase transition is always nonmonotone in the arrival rate of the multicast calls. This model is an example of a system with hard constraints that has weights attached to both the edges and nodes of the network and can be viewed as a generalization of the hard core model that arises in statistical mechanics and combinatorics. Some of the results obtained also hold for more general models than just the loss network. The proofs rely on a combination of techniques from probability theory and dynamical systems.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610321
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610321 (alternate)

5034. On the variational distance of two trees

Author(s): M. A. Steel and L. A. Sz\'{e}kely

Abstract: A widely studied model for generating sequences is to ``evolve'' them on a tree according to a symmetric Markov process. We prove that model trees tend to be maximally ``far apart'' in terms of variational distance.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610323
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610323 (alternate)

5035. On the value of optimal stopping games

Author(s): Erik Ekstr\"{o}m and Stephane Villeneuve

Abstract: We show, under weaker assumptions than in the previous literature, that a perpetual optimal stopping game always has a value. We also show that there exists an optimal stopping time for the seller, but not necessarily for the buyer. Moreover, conditions are provided under which the existence of an optimal stopping time for the buyer is guaranteed. The results are illustrated explicitly in two examples.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610324
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610324 (alternate)

5036. Upper limits of Sinai's walk in random scenery

Author(s): Olivier Zindy (PMA)

Abstract: We consider Sinai's walk in i.i.d. random scenery and focus our attention on a conjecture of R\'ev\'esz \cite{r05} concerning the upper limits of Sinai's walk in random scenery when the scenery is bounded from above. A close study of the competition between the concentration property for Sinai's walk and negative values for the scenery enables us to prove that the conjecture is true if the scenery has "thin" negative tails and is false otherwise.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610326
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610326 (alternate)

5037. A heteropolymer in a medium with random droplets

Author(s): Mario V. W\"{u}thrich

Abstract: We define a heteropolymer in a medium with random droplets. We prove that for this model we have two regimes: a delocalized one and a localized one. In the localized regime we prove tightness to the droplets, whereas in the delocalized regime we prove diffusive path behavior.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610328
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610328 (alternate)

5038. Convergence rate and averaging of nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithms

Author(s): Abdelkader Mokkadem and Mariane Pelletier

Abstract: The first aim of this paper is to establish the weak convergence rate of nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithms. Its second aim is to introduce the averaging principle in the context of two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithms. We first define the notion of asymptotic efficiency in this framework, then introduce the averaged two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithm, and finally establish its weak convergence rate. We show, in particular, that both components of the averaged two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithm simultaneously converge at the optimal rate $\sqrt{n}$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610329
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610329 (alternate)

5039. Translation-Invariant Matchings of Coin-Flips on Z^d

Author(s): Terry Soo

Abstract: Consider independent fair coin flips at each site of the lattice Z^d. We study non-randomized translation-invariant perfect matching rules of occupied sites to unoccupied sites and determine bounds on the distance from a site to its partner. In particular, in d=2, if Z is the distance from the origin to its partner then we obtain that if 0 < p < 2/3, then the p-th moment of Z is finite. This is related to an open problem of Holroyd and Peres.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610334
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610334 (alternate)

5040. Asymptotics of Plancherel-type random partitions

Author(s): Alexei Borodin and Grigori Olshanski

Abstract: We present a solution to a problem suggested by Philippe Biane: We prove that a certain Plancherel-type probability distribution on partitions converges, as partitions get large, to a new determinantal random point process on the set {0,1,2,...} of nonnegative integers. This can be viewed as an edge limit ransition. The limit process is determined by a correlation kernel on {0,1,2,...} which is expressed through the Hermite polynomials, we call it the discrete Hermite kernel. The proof is based on a simple argument which derives convergence of correlation kernels from convergence of unbounded self-adjoint difference operators. Our approach can also be applied to a number of other probabilistic models. As an example, we discuss a bulk limit for one more Plancherel-type model of random partitions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610240
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610240 (alternate)

5041. Stochastic Volterra equations driven by cylindrical Wiener process

Author(s): Anna Karczewska and Carlos Lizama

Abstract: In this paper, stochastic Volterra equations driven by cylindrical and genuine Wiener process in Hilbert space are investigated. Sufficient conditions for existence of strong solutions are given. The key role is played by convergence of $\alpha$-times resolvent families.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610241
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610241 (alternate)

5042. Martin boundary of a reflected random walk on a half-space

Author(s): Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

Abstract: The complete representation of the Martin compactification for reflected random walks on a half-space $\Z^d\times\N$ is obtained. It is shown that the full Martin compactification is in general not homeomorphic to the ``radial'' compactification obtained by Ney and Spitzer for the homogeneous random walks in $\Z^d$ : convergence of a sequence of points $z_n\in\Z^{d-1}\times\N$ to a point of on the Martin boundary does not imply convergence of the sequence $z_n/|z_n|$ on the unit sphere $S^d$. Our approach relies on the large deviation properties of the scaled processes and uses Pascal's method combined with the ratio limit theorem. The existence of non-radial limits is related to non-linear optimal large deviation trajectories.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610242
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610242 (alternate)

5043. The Palm measure and the Voronoi tessellation for the Ginibre process

Author(s): Andre Goldman

Abstract: We prove that the Palm measure of the Ginibre process is obtained by removing a gaussian distributed point from the process and adding the origin. We obtain also precise formulas describing the law of the typical cell of the Ginibre-Voronoi tessellation. We show that near the cell's germs a more important part of the area is captured in the Ginibre-Voronoi tessellation than in the case of the Poisson-Voronoi tessellation. Moments areas of corresponding subdomains of cells are explicitly evaluated.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610243
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610243 (alternate)

5044. On stochastic fractional Volterra equations in Hilbert space

Author(s): Anna Karczewska and Carlos Lizama

Abstract: In this paper stochastic Volterra equations admitting exponentially bounded resolvents are studied. After obtaining convergence of resolvents, some properties of stochastic convolutions are given. The paper provides a sufficient condition for a stochastic convolution to be a strong solution to a stochastic Volterra equation.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610244
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610244 (alternate)

5045. Tail asymptotics for the maximum of perturbed random walk

Author(s): Victor F. Araman and Peter W. Glynn

Abstract: Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum $M_{\infty}=\max \{S_k+\xi_k:k\geq0\}$ of perturbed random walk with a negative drift. Such a maximum arises in several different applications settings, including production systems, communications networks and insurance risk. Our main results describe asymptotics for $\mathbb{P}(M_{\infty}>x)$ as $x\to\infty$. The tail asymptotics depend greatly on whether the $\xi_n$'s are light-tailed or heavy-tailed. In the light-tailed setting, the tail asymptotic is closely related to the Cram\'{e}r--Lundberg asymptotic for standard random walk.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610271
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610271 (alternate)

5046. Random rewards, fractional Brownian local times and stable self-similar processes

Author(s): Serge Cohen and Gennady Samorodnitsky

Abstract: We describe a new class of self-similar symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes with stationary increments arising as a large time scale limit in a situation where many users are earning random rewards or incurring random costs. The resulting models are different from the ones studied earlier both in their memory properties and smoothness of the sample paths.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610272
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610272 (alternate)

5047. Representations of Lie groups and random matrices

Author(s): Benoit Collins and Piotr Sniady

Abstract: We study the asymptotics of representations of a fixed compact Lie group. We prove that the limit behavior of a sequence of such representations can be described in terms of certain random matrices; in particular operations on representations (for example: tensor product, restriction to a subgroup) correspond to some natural operations on random matrices (respectively: sum of independent random matrices, taking the corners of a random matrix). Our method of proof is to treat the canonical block matrix associated to a representation as a random matrix with non-commutative entries.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610285
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610285 (alternate)

5048. A Complete Renormalization Group Trajectory Between Two Fixed Points

Author(s): Abdelmalek Abdesselam

Abstract: We give a rigorous nonperturbative construction of a massless discrete trajectory for Wilson's exact renormalization group. The model is a three dimensional Euclidean field theory with a modified free propagator. The trajectory realizes the mean field to critical crossover from the ultraviolet Gaussian fixed point to an analog recently constructed by Brydges, Mitter and Scoppola of the Wilson-Fisher nontrivial fixed point.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math-ph/0610018
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math-ph/0610018 (alternate)

5049. Multivariable Christoffel-Darboux kernels and characteristic polynomials of random hermitian matrices

Author(s): Hjalmar Rosengren

Abstract: We study multivariable Christoffel-Darboux kernels, which may be viewed as reproducing kernels for antisymmetric orthogonal polynomials, and also as correlation functions for products of characteristic polynomials of random hermitian matrices. Using their interpretation as reproducing kernels, we obtain simple proofs of pfaffian and determinant formulas, as well as Schur polynomial expansions, for such kernels. In subsequent work, these results are applied in combinatorics (enumeration of marked shifted tableaux) and number theory (representation of integers as sums of squares).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0606391
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CA/0606391 (alternate)

5050. Spectral gap for stable process on convex planar double symmetric domains

Author(s): Bartlomiej Dyda and Tadeusz Kulczycki

Abstract: We study the semigroup of the symmetric $\alpha$-stable process in bounded domains in $\R^2$. We obtain a variational formula for the spectral gap, i.e. the difference between two first eigenvalues of the generator of this semigroup. This variational formula allows us to obtain lower bound estimates of the spectral gap for convex planar domains which are symmetric with respect to both coordinate axes. For rectangles, using "midconcavity" of the first eigenfunction, we obtain sharp upper and lower bound estimates of the spectral gap.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610283
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.SP/0610283 (alternate)

5051. The number of unbounded components in the Poisson-Boolean model on the hyperbolic disc

Author(s): Johan Tykesson

Abstract: We consider the Poisson-Boolean continuum percolation model on the hyperbolic disc. We show that there are intensities for the underlying Poisson point process for which there are infinitely many unbounded connected components in the covered and vacant regions of the hyperolic disc.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610202
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610202 (alternate)

5052. Gamma Tilting Calculus for GGC and Dirichlet means with applications to Linnik processes and Occupation Time Laws for Randomly Skewed Bessel Processes and Bridges

Author(s): Lancelot F. James

Abstract: This paper develops some general calculus for GGC and Dirichlet process means functionals. It then proceeds via an investigation of positive Linnik random variables, and more generally random variables derived from compositions of a stable subordinator with GGC subordinators, to establish various distributional equivalences between these models and phenomena connected to local times and occupation times of what are defined as randomly skewed Bessel processes and bridges. This yields a host of interesting identities and explicit density formula for these models. Randomly skewed Bessel processes and bridges may be seen as a randomization of their p-skewed counterparts developed in Barlow, Pitman and Yor~(1989) and Pitman and Yor~(1997), and are shown to naturally arise via exponential tilting. As a special result it is shown that the occupation time of a p-skewed random Bessel process or (generalized) bridge is equivalent in distribution to the the occupation time of a non-trivial randomly skewed process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610218
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610218 (alternate)

5053. The minimal entropy martingale measure for general Barndorff-Nielsen/Shephard models

Author(s): Thorsten Rheinl\"{a}nder and Gallus Steiger

Abstract: We determine the minimal entropy martingale measure for a general class of stochastic volatility models where both price process and volatility process contain jump terms which are correlated. This generalizes previous studies which have treated either the geometric L\'{e}vy case or continuous price processes with an orthogonal volatility process. We proceed by linking the entropy measure to a certain semi-linear integro-PDE for which we prove the existence of a classical solution.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610219
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610219 (alternate)

5054. On the two-times differentiability of the value functions in the problem of optimal investment in incomplete markets

Author(s): Dmitry Kramkov and Mihai S\^{{\i}}rbu

Abstract: We study the two-times differentiability of the value functions of the primal and dual optimization problems that appear in the setting of expected utility maximization in incomplete markets. We also study the differentiability of the solutions to these problems with respect to their initial values. We show that the key conditions for the results to hold true are that the relative risk aversion coefficient of the utility function is uniformly bounded away from zero and infinity, and that the prices of traded securities are sigma-bounded under the num\'{e}raire given by the optimal wealth process.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610224
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610224 (alternate)

5055. A spatially explicit model for competition among specialists and generalists in a heterogeneous environment

Author(s): N. Lanchier and C. Neuhauser

Abstract: Competition is a major force in structuring ecological communities. The strength of competition can be measured using the concept of a niche. A niche comprises the set of requirements of an organism in terms of habitat, environment and functional role. The more niches overlap, the stronger competition is. The niche breadth is a measure of specialization: the smaller the niche space of an organism, the more specialized the organism is. It follows that, everything else being equal, generalists tend to be more competitive than specialists. In this paper, we compare the outcome of competition among generalists and specialists in a spatial versus a nonspatial habitat in a heterogeneous environment. Generalists can utilize the entire habitat, whereas specialists are restricted to their preferred habitat type. We find that although competitiveness decreases with specialization, specialists are more competitive in a spatial than in a nonspatial habitat as patchiness increases.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610227
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610227 (alternate)

5056. Positive recurrence of processes associated to crystal growth models

Author(s): E. D. Andjel and M. V. Menshikov and V. V. Sisko

Abstract: We show that certain Markov jump processes associated to crystal growth models are positive recurrent when the parameters satisfy a rather natural condition.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610172
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610172 (alternate)

5057. Stability and genericity for SPDEs driven by spatially correlated noise

Author(s): K. Bahlali and M. Eddahbi and M. Mellouk

Abstract: We consider stochastic partial differential equations on $\mathbb{R}^{d}, d\geq 1$, driven by a Gaussian noise white in time and colored in space, for which the pathwise uniqueness holds. By using the Skorokhod representation theorem we establish various strong stability results. Then, we give an application to the convergence of the Picard successive approximation. Finally, we show that in the sense of Baire category, almost all stochastic partial differential equations with continuous and bounded coefficients have the properties of existence and uniqueness of solutions as well as the continuous dependence on the coefficients.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610174
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610174 (alternate)

5058. A duality approach for the weak approximation of stochastic differential equations

Author(s): Emmanuelle Cl\'{e}ment and Arturo Kohatsu-Higa and Damien Lamberton

Abstract: In this article we develop a new methodology to prove weak approximation results for general stochastic differential equations. Instead of using a partial differential equation approach as is usually done for diffusions, the approach considered here uses the properties of the linear equation satisfied by the error process. This methodology seems to apply to a large class of processes and we present as an example the weak approximation of stochastic delay equations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610178
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610178 (alternate)

5059. A new coexistence result for competing contact processes

Author(s): Benjamin Chan and Richard Durrett

Abstract: Neuhauser [Probab. Theory Related Fields 91 (1992) 467--506] considered the two-type contact process and showed that on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ coexistence is not possible if the death rates are equal and the particles use the same dispersal neighborhood. Here, we show that it is possible for a species with a long-, but finite, range dispersal kernel to coexist with a superior competitor with nearest-neighbor dispersal in a model that includes deaths of blocks due to ``forest fires.''

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610179
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610179 (alternate)

5060. Multitype randomized Reed--Frost epidemics and epidemics upon random graphs

Author(s): Peter Neal

Abstract: We consider a multitype epidemic model which is a natural extension of the randomized Reed--Frost epidemic model. The main result is the derivation of an asymptotic Gaussian limit theorem for the final size of the epidemic. The method of proof is simpler, and more direct, than is used for similar results elsewhere in the epidemics literature. In particular, the results are specialized to epidemics upon extensions of the Bernoulli random graph.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610180
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610180 (alternate)

5061. Parallel and interacting Markov chains Monte Carlo method

Author(s): Fabien Campillo (IRISA / INRIA Rennes) and Vivien Rossi (IURC)

Abstract: In many situations it is important to be able to propose $N$ independent realizations of a given distribution law. We propose a strategy for making $N$ parallel Monte Carlo Markov Chains (MCMC) interact in order to get an approximation of an independent $N$-sample of a given target law. In this method each individual chain proposes candidates for all other chains. We prove that the set of interacting chains is itself a MCMC method for the product of $N$ target measures. Compared to independent parallel chains this method is more time consuming, but we show through concrete examples that it possesses many advantages: it can speed up convergence toward the target law as well as handle the multi-modal case.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610181
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610181 (alternate)

5062. Adaptive Poisson disorder problem

Author(s): Erhan Bayraktar and Savas Dayanik and Ioannis Karatzas

Abstract: We study the quickest detection problem of a sudden change in the arrival rate of a Poisson process from a known value to an unknown and unobservable value at an unknown and unobservable disorder time. Our objective is to design an alarm time which is adapted to the history of the arrival process and detects the disorder time as soon as possible. In previous solvable versions of the Poisson disorder problem, the arrival rate after the disorder has been assumed a known constant. In reality, however, we may at most have some prior information about the likely values of the new arrival rate before the disorder actually happens, and insufficient estimates of the new rate after the disorder happens. Consequently, we assume in this paper that the new arrival rate after the disorder is a random variable. The detection problem is shown to admit a finite-dimensional Markovian sufficient statistic, if the new rate has a discrete distribution with finitely many atoms. Furthermore, the detection problem is cast as a discounted optimal stopping problem with running cost for a finite-dimensional piecewise-deterministic Markov process. This optimal stopping problem is studied in detail in the special case where the new arrival rate has Bernoulli distribution. This is a nontrivial optimal stopping problem for a two-dimensional piecewise-deterministic Markov process driven by the same point process. Using a suitable single-jump operator, we solve it fully, describe the analytic properties of the value function and the stopping region, and present methods for their numerical calculation. We provide a concrete example where the value function does not satisfy the smooth-fit principle on a proper subset of the connected, continuously differentiable optimal stopping boundary, whereas it does on the complement of this set.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610184
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610184 (alternate)

5063. Local alignment of Markov chains

Author(s): Niels Richard Hansen

Abstract: We consider local alignments without gaps of two independent Markov chains from a finite alphabet, and we derive sufficient conditions for the number of essentially different local alignments with a score exceeding a high threshold to be asymptotically Poisson distributed. From the Poisson approximation a Gumbel approximation of the maximal local alignment score is obtained. The results extend those obtained by Dembo, Karlin and Zeitouni [Ann. Probab. 22 (1994) 2022--2039] for independent sequences of i.i.d. variables.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610187
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610187 (alternate)

5064. Coupling with the stationary distribution and improved sampling for colorings and independent sets

Author(s): Thomas P. Hayes and Eric Vigoda

Abstract: We present an improved coupling technique for analyzing the mixing time of Markov chains. Using our technique, we simplify and extend previous results for sampling colorings and independent sets. Our approach uses properties of the stationary distribution to avoid worst-case configurations which arise in the traditional approach. As an application, we show that for $k/\Delta >1.764$, the Glauber dynamics on $k$-colorings of a graph on $n$ vertices with maximum degree $\Delta$ converges in $O(n\log n)$ steps, assuming $\Delta =\Omega(\log n)$ and that the graph is triangle-free. Previously, girth $\ge 5$ was needed. As a second application, we give a polynomial-time algorithm for sampling weighted independent sets from the Gibbs distribution of the hard-core lattice gas model at fugacity $\lambda <(1-\epsilon)e/\Delta$, on a regular graph $G$ on $n$ vertices of degree $\Delta =\Omega(\log n)$ and girth $\ge 6$. The best known algorithm for general graphs currently assumes $\lambda <2/(\Delta -2)$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610188
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610188 (alternate)

5065. Central limit theorems for Gaussian polytopes

Author(s): I. Barany and V. H. Vu

Abstract: Choose $n$ random, independent points in $\R^d$ according to the standard normal distribution. Their convex hull $K_n$ is the {\sl Gaussian random polytope}. We prove that the volume and the number of faces of $K_n$ satisfy the central limit theorem, settling a well known conjecture in the field.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610192
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.CO/0610192 (alternate)

5066. $L^p$ properties for Gaussian random series

Author(s): A. Ayache and N. Tzvetkov

Abstract: We study L^p properties of Gaussian random series with particular attention to the case of radial functions.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610139
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610139 (alternate)

5067. Limit Correlation Functions for Fixed Trace Random Matrix Ensembles

Author(s): Friedrich G\"otze and Mikhail Gordin

Abstract: Universal limits for the eigenvalue correlation functions in the bulk of the spectrum are shown for a class of nondeterminantal random matrices known as the fixed trace ensemble.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610149
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610149 (alternate)

5068. Points on Hemispheres

Author(s): Jan Fricke

Abstract: We will show that for any $n\ge N$ points on the $N$-dimensional sphere $S^N$ there is a closed hemisphere which contains at least $\lfloor\frac{n+N+1}{2}\rfloor$ of these points. This bound is sharp and we will calculate the amount of sets which realize this value. If we change to open hemispheres things will be easier. For any $n$ points on the sphere there is an open hemisphere which contains at least $\lfloor\frac{n+1}{2}\rfloor$ of these points, independent of the dimension. This bound is sharp.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610140
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0610140 (alternate)

5069. A mutation-selection model for general genotypes with recombination

Author(s): Steven N. Evans and David Steinsaltz and Kenneth W. Wachter

Abstract: A probability model is presented for the dynamics of mutation-selection balance in a infinite-population infinite-sites setting sufficiently general to cover mutation-driven changes in full age-specific demographic schedules. An earlier work by the same authors presented a haploid model -- without genetic recombination -- of similar scope. This work complements that model, adding genetic recombination, based on a well-known general discrete-population genetic model of N. Barton and M. Turelli. The model with recombination is a flow on Poisson intensities, substantially different from the haploid model. It is shown that the new model arises from the haploid model when recombination is added, in the limit as generations per unit time go to infinity, and selection strength and mutation per generation go to 0.

http://arXiv.org/abs/q-bio/0609046
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/q-bio.PE/0609046 (alternate)

5070. Fluctuation theory of connectivities for subcritical random cluster models

Author(s): Massimo Campanino and Dmitry Ioffe and Yvan Velenik

Abstract: We develop a fluctuation theory of connectivities for subcritical random cluster models. The theory is based on a non-perturbative description of long connected clusters in terms of essentially one-dimensional chains of irreducible objects. Our construction leads to an effective random walk representation of percolation clusters. The results include a derivation of a sharp Ornstein-Zernike type asymptotic formula for 2-point functions, a proof of analyticity and strict convexity of inverse correlation length and a proof of an invariance principle for connected clusters under diffusive scaling. In two dimensions, duality considerations enable a reformulation of these results for supercritical nearest-neighbour random cluster measures, in particular for nearest-neighbour Potts models in the phase transition regime. Accordingly, we prove that equilibrium crystal shapes are always analytic and strictly convex and that the interfaces between different phases are always diffusive. Thus, no roughening transition is possible in the whole regime where our results apply. Our results hold under an assumption of exponential decay of finite volume wired connectivities in rectangular domains that is conjectured to hold in the whole subcritical regime; the latter is known to be true, in any dimensions, when q=1, q=2, and when q is sufficiently large. In two dimensions the assumption holds whenever there is an exponential decay of connectivities in the infinite volume measure. By duality this includes all supercritical nearest-neighbour Potts models with positive surface tension between ordered phases.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610100
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610100 (alternate)

5071. Reflected diffusions defined via the extended Skorokhod map

Author(s): K.Ramanan

Abstract: This work introduces the extended Skorokhod problem (ESP) and associated extended Skorokhod map (ESM) that enable a pathwise construction of reflected diffusions that are not necessarily semimartingales. Roughly speaking, given the closure G of an open connected set in R^J, a non-empty convex cone d(x) in R^J, specified at each point x on the boundary of G, and a cadlag trajectory \psi taking values in R^J, the ESM defines a constrained version \phi of \psi that takes values in G and is such that the increments of \phi - \psi on any interval [s,t] lie in the closed convex hull of the directions d(\phi(u)), u in (s,t]. General deterministic properties of the ESP are first established under the only assumption that the graph of d(.) is closed. Next, for a class of multi-dimensional ESPs on polyhedral domains, pathwise uniqueness and existence of strong solutions to the associated stochastic differential equations is established. In addition, it is also proved that these reflected diffusions are semimartingales on [0,\tau_0], where \tau_0 is the time to hit the set of points x on the boundary for which d(x) contains a line. One motivation for the study of this class of reflected diffusions is that they arise as approximations of queueing networks in heavy traffic that use the so-called generalised processor sharing discipline.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610103
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610103 (alternate)

5072. Kinetically constrained spin models

Author(s): Nicoletta Cancrini and Fabio Martinelli and Cyril Roberto (LAMA) and Cristina Toninelli (PMA)

Abstract: We analyze the density and size dependence of the relaxation time for kinetically constrained spin models (KCSM) intensively studied in the physical literature as simple models sharing some of the features of a glass transition. KCSM are interacting particle systems on $\Z^d$ with Glauber-like dynamics, reversible w.r.t. a simple product i.i.d Bernoulli($p$) measure. The essential feature of a KCSM is that the creation/destruction of a particle at a given site can occur only if the current configuration of empty sites around it satisfies certain constraints which completely define each specific model. No other interaction is present in the model. From the mathematical point of view, the basic issues concerning positivity of the spectral gap inside the ergodicity region and its scaling with the particle density $p$ remained open for most KCSM (with the notably exception of the East model in $d=1$ \cite{Aldous-Diaconis}). Here for the first time we: i) identify the ergodicity region by establishing a connection with an associated bootstrap percolation model; ii) develop a novel multi-scale approach which proves positivity of the spectral gap in the whole ergodic region; iii) establish, sometimes optimal, bounds on the behavior of the spectral gap near the boundary of the ergodicity region and iv) establish pure exponential decay for the persistence function. Our techniques are flexible enough to allow a variety of constraints and our findings disprove certain conjectures which appeared in the physical literature on the basis of numerical simulations.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610106
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610106 (alternate)

5073. On quasi successful couplings of Markov processes

Author(s): Michael Blank and Sergey Pirogov

Abstract: The notion of a successful coupling of Markov processes, based on the idea that both components of the coupled system ``intersect'' in finite time with probability one, is extended to cover situations when the coupling is unnecessarily Markovian and its components are only converging (in a certain sense) to each other with time. Under these assumptions the unique ergodicity of the original Markov process is proven. A price for this generalization is the weak convergence to the unique invariant measure instead of the strong one. Applying these ideas to infinite interacting particle systems we consider even more involved situations when the unique ergodicity can be proven only for a restriction of the original system to a certain class of initial distributions (e.g. translational invariant ones). Questions about the existence of invariant measures with a given particle density are discussed as well.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610118
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610118 (alternate)

5074. On the zero mass limit of tagged particle diffusion in the 1-d Rayleigh-gas

Author(s): Peter Balint (1) and Balint Toth (1) and Peter Toth (2) ((1) Institute of Mathematics, Technical University of Budapest, (2) Renyi Institute, Hungarian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract: We consider the M -> 0 limit for tagged particle diffusion in a 1-dimensional Rayleigh-gas, studied originaly by Sinai and Soloveichik (1986), respectively by Szasz and Toth (1986). In this limit we derive a new type of model for tagged paricle diffusion, with Calogero-Moser-Sutherland (i.e. inverse quadratic) interaction potential between the two central particles. Computer simulations on this new model reproduce exactly the numerical value of the limiting variance obtained by Boldrighini, Frigio and Tognetti (2002).

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610125
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610125 (alternate)

5075. Better Bell Inequalities (Passion at a Distance)

Author(s): Richard D. Gill

Abstract: I explain quantum nonlocality experiments and discuss how to optimize them. Statistical tools from missing data maximum likelihood are crucial. New results are given on CGLMP, CH and ladder inequalities. Open problems are also discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610115
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.ST/0610115 (alternate)

5076. Moment bounds for the Smoluchowski equation and their consequences

Author(s): Alan Hammond and Fraydoun Rezakhanlou

Abstract: We prove uniform bounds on moments X_a = \sum_{m}{m^a f_m(x,t)} of the Smoluchowski coagulation equations with diffusion, valid in any dimension. If the collision propensities \alpha(n,m) of mass n and mass m particles grow more slowly than (n+m)(d(n) + d(m)), and the diffusion rate d(\cdot) is non-increasing and satisfies m^{-b_1} \leq d(m) \leq m^{-b_2} for some b_1 and b_2 satisfying 0 \leq b_2 < b_1 < \infty, then any weak solution satisfies X_a \in L^{\infty}(\mathbb{R}^d \times [0,T]) \cap L^1(\mathbb{R}^d \times [0,T]) for every a \in \mathbb{N} and T \in (0,\infty), (provided that certain moments of the initial data are finite). As a consequence, we infer that these conditions are sufficient to ensure uniqueness of a weak solution and its conservation of mass.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610090
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.AP/0610090 (alternate)

5077. Geodesics and almost geodesic cycles in random regular graphs

Author(s): Itai Benjamini and Carlos Hoppen and Eran ofek and Pawel Pralat and Nick Wormald

Abstract: A geodesic in a graph G is a shortest path between two vertices of G. For a specific function e(n) of n, we define an almost geodesic cycle C in G to be a cycle in which for every two vertices u and v in C, the distance d_G(u,v) is at least d_C(u,v)-e(n). Let f(n) be any function tending to infinity with n. We consider a random d-regular graph on n vertices. We show that almost all pairs of vertices belong to an almost geodesic cycle C with e(n)= \log_{d-1} \log_{d-1} n +f(n) and |C|=2\log_{d-1}n+O(f(n)). Along the way, we obtain results on near-geodesic paths. We also give the limiting distribution of the number of geodesics between two random vertices in this random graph.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610089
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.MG/0610089 (alternate)

5078. The Effect of Disorder on Polymer Depinning Transitions

Author(s): Kenneth S. Alexander

Abstract: We consider a polymer, with monomer locations modeled by the trajectory of a Markov chain, in the presence of a potential that interacts with the polymer when it visits a particular site 0. We assume that probability of an excursion of length $n$ is given by $n^{-c}\phi(n)$ for some $13/2$, at high temperature, the quenched and annealed curves differ significantly only in a very small neighborhood of the critical point--the size of this neighborhood scales as $\beta^{1/(2c-3)}$ where $\beta$ is the inverse temperature. For $c<3/2$, given $\epsilon>0$, for sufficiently high temperature the quenched and annealed curves are within a factor of $1-\epsilon$ for all $u$ near the critical point; in particular the quenched and annealed critical points are equal. For $c=3/2$ the regime depends on the slowly varying function $\phi$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610008
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610008 (alternate)

5079. Some relations between mutual information and estimation error on Wiener space

Author(s): Eddy Mayer-Wolf and Moshe Zakai

Abstract: The model considered is that of "signal plus white noise". Known connections between the non-causal filtering error and mutual information are combined with new ones involving the causal estimation error, in a general abstract setup. The results are shown to be invariant under a wide class of causality patterns; they are applied to the derivation of the causal estimation error of a Gaussian non-stationary filtering problem and to a multidimensional extension of the Yovits-Jackson formula.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610024
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610024 (alternate)

5080. Quasipotential and logarithmic asymptotics of the Green's measures

Author(s): Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

Abstract: It is proved that the weak large deviation principle of the scaled processes $Z^\eps(t) = \eps Z(t/\eps)$ implies the weak large deviation principle for the scaled Green's measures of the Markov process $Z(t)$.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610040
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610040 (alternate)

5081. A note on recurrent random walks

Author(s): Dimitrios Cheliotis

Abstract: For any recurrent random walk (S_n)_{n>0} on R, there are increasing sequences (g_n)_{n>0} converging to infinity for which (g_n S_n)_{n>0} has at least one finite accumulation point. For one class of random walks, we give a criterion on (g_n)_{n>0} and the distribution of S_1 determining the set of accumulation points for (g_n S_n)_{n>0}. This extends, with a simpler proof, a result of K.L. Chung and P. Erdos. Finally, for recurrent, symmetric random walks, we give a criterion characterizing the increasing sequences (g_n)_{n>0} of positive numbers for which liminf g_n|S_n|=0.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610056
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610056 (alternate)

5082. One dimensional diffusion in an asymmetric random environment

Author(s): Dimitrios Cheliotis

Abstract: According to a theorem of S. Schumacher, for a diffusion X in an environment determined by a stable process that belongs to an appropriate class and has index a, it holds that X_t/(log t)^a converges in distribution, as t goes to infinity, to a random variable having an explicit description in terms of the environment. We compute the density of this random variable in the case the stable process is spectrally one-sided. This computation extends a result of H. Kesten and quantifies the bias that the asymmetry of the environment causes to the behavior of the diffusion.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610057
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610057 (alternate)

5083. Berry-Esseen for Free Random Variables

Author(s): Vladislav Kargin

Abstract: An analogue of the Berry-Esseen inequality is proved for the speed of convergence of free additive convolutions of bounded probability measures. The obtained rate of convergence is of the order n^{-1/2}, the same as in the classical case. An example with binomial measures shows that this estimate cannot be improved without imposing further restrictions on convolved measures.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610072
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610072 (alternate)

5084. On Superconvergence of Sums of Free Random Variables

Author(s): Vladislav Kargin

Abstract: This paper derives sufficient conditions for supeconvergence of sums of bounded free random variables, and provides an estimate on the rate of superconvergence.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610075
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610075 (alternate)

5085. A Survey of Random Processes with Reinforcement

Author(s): Robin Pemantle

Abstract: The models surveyed include generalized Polya urns, reinforced random walks, interacting urn models, and continuous reinforced processes. Emphasis is on methods and results, with sketches provided of some proofs. Applications are discussed in statistics, biology, economics and a number of other areas.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610076
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610076 (alternate)

5086. Partially Reflected Brownian Motion: A Stochastic Approach to Transport Phenomena

Author(s): Denis S. Grebenkov

Abstract: Transport phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and known to be important for various scientific domains. Examples can be found in physics, electrochemistry, heterogeneous catalysis, physiology, etc. To obtain new information about diffusive or Laplacian transport towards a semi-permeable or resistive interface, one can study the random trajectories of diffusing particles modeled, in a first approximation, by the partially reflected Brownian motion. This stochastic process turns out to be a convenient mathematical foundation for discrete, semi-continuous and continuous theoretical descriptions of diffusive transport. This paper presents an overview of these topics with a special emphasis on the close relation between stochastic processes with partial reflections and Laplacian transport phenomena. We give selected examples of these phenomena followed by a brief introduction to the partially reflected Brownian motion and related probabilistic topics (e.g., local time process and spread harmonic measure). A particular attention is paid to the use of the Dirichlet-to-Neumann operator. Some practical consequences and further perspectives are discussed.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610080
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0610080 (alternate)

5087. Rough solutions for the periodic Korteweg-de Vries equation

Author(s): M. Gubinelli

Abstract: The one dimensional Korteweg-de Vries equation on a periodic domain and with initial condition in negative Sobolev spaces is studied using ideas from the theory of rough paths. We discuss convergence of Galerkin approximations and the presence of a random force of white-noise type in time.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610006
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.AP/0610006 (alternate)

5088. The principle of the large sieve

Author(s): Emmanuel Kowalski

Abstract: We describe a very general abstract form of sieve based on a large-sieve inequality which generalizes both the classical sieve inequality of Montgomery (and its higher-dimensional variants), and our recent sieve for Frobenius over function fields. The general framework suggests new applications. We get some first results on the number of prime divisors of ``most'' elements of an elliptic divisibility sequence, and we develop in some detail ``probabilistic'' sieves for random walks on arithmetic groups, e.g., estimating the probability of finding a reducible characteristic polynomial at some step of a random walk on SL(n,Z). In addition to the sieve principle, the applications depend on bounds for a large sieve constant. To prove such bounds involves a variety of deep results, including Property (T) or expanding properties of Cayley graphs, and the Riemann Hypothesis over finite fields. It seems likely that this sieve can have further applications.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0610021
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.NT/0610021 (alternate)

5089. Probability of hitting a distant point for the voter model started with a single one

Author(s): Mathieu Merle

Abstract: The goal of this work is to find the asymptotics of the hitting probability of a distant point for the voter model on the integer lattice started from a single 1 at the origin. In dimensions 2 or 3, we obtain the precise asymptotic behavior of this probability. We use the scaling limit of the voter model started from a single 1 at the origin in terms of super-Brownian motion under its excursion measure. This invariance principle was stated by Bramson, Cox and Le Gall, as a consequence of a theorem of Cox, Durrett and Perkins. Less precise estimates are derived in dimensions greater than 4.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0609826
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0609826 (alternate)

5090. Concentration Inequalities for Dependent Random Variables via the Martingale Method

Author(s): Leonid Kontorovich and Kavita Ramanan

Abstract: We use the martingale method to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the way, we obtain bounds on certain martingale differences associated with the random sequences, which may be of independent interest. As an application of our result, we also derive a concentration inequality for inhomogeneous Markov chains, and establish an extremal property associated with their martingale difference bounds. This work complements certain concentration inequalities obtained by Marton and Samson, while also providing a different proof of some known results.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0609835
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0609835 (alternate)

5091. Non-local Dirichlet Forms and Symmetric Jump Processes

Author(s): M.T. Barlow and R.F. Bass and Z.-Q. Chen. and M. Kassmann

Abstract: We consider the symmetric non-local Dirichlet form $(E, F)$ given by \[ E (f,f)=\int_{R^d} \int_{R^d} (f(y)-f(x))^2 J(x,y) dx dy \] with $F$ the closure of the set of $C^1$ functions on $R^d$ with compact support with respect to $E_1$, where $E_1 (f, f):=E (f, f)+\int_{R^d} f(x)^2 dx$, and where the jump kernel $J$ satisfies \[ \kappa_1|y-x|^{-d-\alpha} \leq J(x,y) \leq \kappa_2|y-x|^{-d-\beta} \] for $0<\alpha< \beta <2, |x-y|<1$. This assumption allows the corresponding jump process to have jump intensities whose size depends on the position of the process and the direction of the jump. We prove upper and lower estimates on the heat kernel. We construct a strong Markov process corresponding to $(E, F)$. We prove a parabolic Harnack inequality for nonnegative functions that solve the heat equation with respect to $E$. Finally we construct an example where the corresponding harmonic functions need not be continuous.

http://arXiv.org/abs/math/0609842
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/math.PR/0609842 (alternate)

5092. Random patterns generated by random permutations of natural numbers

Author(s): G.Oshanin (1 and 2) and R.Voituriez (1) and S.Nechaev (3) and O.Vasilyev (2) and F.Hivert (4)((1) LPTMC, Universite Paris 6, France; (2) Inhomogeneous Condensed Matter Department, Max-Planck-Institute Stuttgart, Germany; (3) LPTMS, Universite Paris-Sud, France; (4) LITIS/LIFAR, Universite de Rouen, France)

Abstract: We survey recent results on some one- and two-dimensional patterns generated by random permutations of natural numbers. In the first part, we discuss properties of random walks, evolving on a one-dimensional regular lattice in discrete time $n$, whose moves to the right or to the left are induced by the rise-and-descent sequence associated with a given random permutation. We determine exactly the probability of finding the trajectory of such a permutation-generated random walk at site $X$ at time $n$, obtain the probability measure of different excursions and define the asymptotic distribution of the number of "U-turns" of the trajectories - permutation "peaks" and "through". In the second part, we focus on some statistical properties of surfaces obtained by randomly placing natural numbers $1,2,3, >...,L$ on sites of a 1d or 2d square lattices containing $L$ sites. We calculate the distribution function of the number of local "peaks" - sites the number at which is larger than the numbers appearing at nearest-neighboring sites - and discuss some surprising collective behavior emerging in this model.

http://arXiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0609718
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/cond-mat/0609718 (alternate)
stefano . iacus at unimi . it